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158<br />

100-BAGGERS<br />

That excerpt comes from a letter in 1938 by one of the greatest investors<br />

of all time. He made money in one of the most difficult markets of all<br />

time—that of the Great Depression.<br />

He is John Maynard Keynes (1883–1946).<br />

This may surprise you. Keynes you know as an influential economist.<br />

But whatever you think of Keynes as an economist, the man was a great<br />

investor. He had a keen understanding of markets.<br />

Keynes managed Cambridge’s King’s College Chest Fund. The fund averaged<br />

12 percent per year from 1927–1946, which was remarkable given<br />

that the period seemed to be all about gray skies and storm clouds—it<br />

included the Great Depression and World War II. The UK stock market fell<br />

15 percent during this stretch. And to top it off, the Chest Fund’s returns<br />

included only capital appreciation, as the college spent the income earned<br />

in the portfolio, which was considerable. I think it must be one of the most<br />

remarkable track records in the annals of finance.<br />

How he did it is the subject of this section.<br />

600<br />

500<br />

What depression?<br />

The sizzling performance of Keynes’ chest fund<br />

Chest Index<br />

UK Index<br />

Index Value<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

’27 ’28 ’29 ’30 ’31 ’32 ’33 ’34 ’35 ’36 ’37 ’38 ’39 ’40 ’41 ’42 ’43 ’44 ’45<br />

Keynes also made himself a personal fortune as an investor. When<br />

he died, he left an estate worth some $30 million in present-day dollars,<br />

which surprised his contemporaries. Justyn Walsh, author of Keynes and<br />

the Market, points out that Keynes spent his last six years as an unpaid

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