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THE YEMENI ENTREPRENEURIAL ECOSYSTEM

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CULTURE<br />

business unusual | LIFE | TRAVEL | DESIGN | TRAPPINGS<br />

Zuckerberg dropping out of college to<br />

start a billion-dollar business and you<br />

over-value that story in your head.<br />

Meanwhile, you never hear about all of<br />

the college dropouts that fail to start a<br />

successful company. You only hear about<br />

the hits and never hear about the misses<br />

even though the misses far outnumber<br />

the hits.<br />

• You see someone of a particular ethnic<br />

or racial background getting arrested and<br />

so you assume all people with that background<br />

are more likely to be involved in<br />

crime. You never hear about the 99% of<br />

people who don’t get arrested because it<br />

is a non-event.<br />

• You hear about a shark attack on the<br />

news and refuse to go into the ocean during<br />

your next beach vacation. The odds of<br />

a shark attack have not increased since<br />

you went in the ocean last time, but you<br />

never hear about the millions of people<br />

swimming safely each day. The news is<br />

never going to run a story titled, “Millions<br />

of Tourists Float in the Ocean Each<br />

Day.” You over-emphasize the story you<br />

hear on the news and make an illusory<br />

correlation.<br />

Most of us are unaware of how our<br />

selective memory of events influences<br />

the beliefs we carry around with us on<br />

a daily basis. We are incredibly poor at<br />

remembering things that do not happen.<br />

If we don’t see it, we assume it has no<br />

impact or rarely happens.<br />

If you understand how these errors in<br />

thinking occur and use strategies like<br />

the Contingency Table Test mentioned<br />

above, you can reveal the hidden assumptions<br />

you didn’t even know you had<br />

and correct the misguided thinking that<br />

plagues our everyday lives.<br />

Cell D No full moon and a normal night.<br />

Nothing memorable happens on either<br />

end, so these events are easy to ignore as<br />

well.<br />

This contingency table helps reveal what<br />

is happening inside the minds of nurses<br />

during a full moon. The nurses quickly<br />

remember the one time when there was a<br />

full moon and the hospital was overflowing,<br />

but simply forget the many times<br />

there was a full moon and the patient<br />

load was normal. Because they can easily<br />

retrieve a memory about a full moon and<br />

a crazy night, so they incorrectly assume<br />

that the two events are related.<br />

I first learned about this contingency<br />

table strategy while reading 50 Great<br />

Myths of Popular Psychology and I find<br />

that this simple table can be adapted to<br />

many different situations. Ideally, you<br />

would plug in a number into each cell<br />

so that you can compare the actually<br />

frequency of each event, which will often<br />

be much different than the frequency you<br />

easily remember for each event.<br />

HOW TO FIX YOUR MISGUIDED<br />

THINKING<br />

We make illusory correlations in many<br />

areas of life:<br />

• You hear about Bill Gates or Mark<br />

Social and professional networks<br />

set to dominate MENA recruitment in 2016<br />

Have you not been receiving<br />

any responses to the employment<br />

applications you have<br />

sent out? This infographic<br />

released by PayFort based<br />

off the findings of LinkedIn’s MENA<br />

Recruiting Trends 2016 report may<br />

explain why that’s been the case.<br />

According to this study, relationshipbased<br />

hiring is redefining the way<br />

the MENA region’s employers fill<br />

open positions, with 41% of recruiters<br />

admitting to tapping their social and<br />

professional networks as a preferred<br />

source for staffing. Recruitment<br />

based on employee referral programs<br />

is also emerging as another key mode<br />

of staffing. The infographic also highlights<br />

the emphasis placed by talent<br />

acquisition specialists on “quality”<br />

as an employee performance metric,<br />

and how the new hire’s contribution<br />

to “employer branding” is playing a<br />

critical role in hiring. The study also<br />

notes that at a time when employee<br />

retention figures as top priority for<br />

recruiters, the inadequate number<br />

of “qualified” candidates and the<br />

inability to meet the compensation<br />

expectations of top talent continue to<br />

be key obstacles. www.payfort.com<br />

50 great myths of popular psychology © wiley blackwell | infographic © payfort<br />

66 Entrepreneur june 2016

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