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<strong>Company</strong> <strong>report</strong><br />

Food & Beverage Belgium<br />

DUVEL ACCUMULATE<br />

26<br />

24<br />

22<br />

20<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

11/01 01/02 03/02 05/02 07/02 09/02 11/02<br />

Price<br />

DJ Beverage re-based<br />

Date: 25 November 2002<br />

Price: EUR 16.65<br />

Reuters: DUVE.BR<br />

Bloomberg: DUV BB<br />

Initiation of coverage<br />

(EUR - FY end: December) 2000 2001 2002e 2003e 2004e Market cap. (m) 88.9<br />

Sales (m) 48.7 51.7 55.9 58.2 61.1<br />

EBITDA (m) 15.0 14.9 15.7 16.9 18.4 No. of shares 5,341,390<br />

EBIT (m) 10.1 10.2 10.5 11.6 12.9 Free float 21.3%<br />

Net profit (m) 6.3 5.1 5.3 7.3 8.3<br />

EPS adj. 1.24 1.26 1.21 1.46 1.67 Avg. no. trad. sh. 12 mth 620<br />

CFPS 2.23 2.23 2.27 2.57 2.78 Avg. trad. Vol. 12 mth 12,097<br />

BVPS 8.20 8.84 9.38 10.16 10.90 Price high 12 mth 23.50<br />

DPS 0.45 0.48 0.46 0.59 0.83 Price low 12 mth 14.60<br />

Net Debt(+)/Cash(-)(m) -9.0 -3.1 0.5 -3.3 -7.1 Abs. perf. 1 mth 12.9%<br />

Interest coverage N.R. N.R. N.R. N.R. N.R. Abs. perf. 3 mth -10.5%<br />

EV/EBITDA 8.2 6.6 5.5 5.1 4.5 Abs. perf. 12 mth -17.2%<br />

EV/EBIT 12.2 9.7 8.2 7.5 6.4<br />

P/E 20.4 16.0 13.7 11.4 10.0 Local index No<br />

Dividend yield 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 5.0% DJ STOXX 50 No<br />

ROCE 23.4% 16.7% 14.8% 15.4% 16.8% EPS 2001-04 CAGR 9.8%<br />

Main shareholders: FIBEMI 62.8% - Baert Moortgat 10.9% - Lessius 4.7% - Management 0.2%<br />

The devil inside<br />

• Duvel Moortgat is a Belgian brewer whose margins are among the highest in the sector.<br />

• The company mainly operates in the high-fermentation speciality beer market, where it has a<br />

very strong position especially in Belgium.<br />

• First half results were slightly impacted by the heavy investment the company made this year<br />

in order to rejuvenate its production plant (bottling system, water treatment plant, new<br />

buildings, …).<br />

• Our valuation models lead to a fair value of EUR 18.5 per share, leaving more than 10%<br />

upside potential. Hence, given the low risk associated with the beer business in general and<br />

Duvel in particular, we initiate our coverage with an ‘Accumulate’ rating.<br />

Bank Degroof acts as liquidity provider for Duvel Moortgat<br />

Christophe Piron +32 2 287 95 43 christophe.piron@degroof.be


TABLE OF CONTENT<br />

DUVEL<br />

Recommendation 3<br />

SWOT analysis 3<br />

Valuation 4<br />

Discounted free cash flow 4<br />

Dividend discount model 5<br />

Economic profit or EVA TM model 5<br />

<strong>Company</strong> description 6<br />

Introduction 6<br />

Business description 6<br />

1. Production 7<br />

2. Services 8<br />

3. Real Estate 8<br />

Positioning & Outlook 8<br />

Financial calendar 12<br />

25 November 2002 Page 2


Recommendation<br />

DUVEL<br />

Duvel Moortgat is a Belgian brewer based in Puurs and created in 1871. The<br />

revenue stream of the company mainly comes from Belgium and from its high<br />

fermentation speciality beer: the Duvel.<br />

Before having invested in the Czech Republic (Bernard Brewery), Duvel<br />

diversified through Freya’s Delit Fruit, a company producing fresh fruit juices<br />

under private label and own brand.<br />

Although decreasing these last two years (due to the recent investments<br />

mentioned below), the margins of the company remain among the highest in the<br />

sector. We account this for from two major features:<br />

• More than 75% of revenues come from the highly priced speciality beer<br />

branded under the company’s name: Duvel.<br />

• Strong focus on a small size local market (78% of revenues come from<br />

Belgium) enabling cost optimisation.<br />

Nevertheless, Duvel Moortgat remains a small player compared to its listed peers.<br />

With a production of around 350 khl, Duvel Moortgat accounts for less than 1% of<br />

the total production of Interbrew and less than 2.5% of the Belgian beer market.<br />

Duvel has a very strong balance sheet. Indeed, thanks to strong cash flow and<br />

despite heavy investments in its new headquarter building, in the water treatment<br />

plant and in the new bottling system, we expect the company’s gearing to stand<br />

only at 1.0% equity by the end of this year. Taking into account the forthcoming<br />

capital expenditures, we expect Duvel to be in a net cash position by the end of<br />

2003.<br />

Given its strong focus on the Belgian market, Duvel Moortgat should fully benefit<br />

from the tax reduction plan from 2003 onwards. We estimate the positive impact<br />

on the net current results of the company at 10%.<br />

Our valuation models lead to a fair value of EUR 18.5 per share, leaving more<br />

than 10% upside potential. Hence, given the low risk associated with the beer<br />

business in general and Duvel in particular, we initiate our coverage with an<br />

‘Accumulate’ rating.<br />

SWOT analysis<br />

Strengths Weaknesses<br />

• Strong balance sheet<br />

• Highest margins in the sector<br />

• Strong brand recognition<br />

Opportunities Threats<br />

• Investment capacity due to net<br />

cash position<br />

• Speculative attraction (MBO) due<br />

to low free float & valuation<br />

• Low free float and liquidity<br />

• Limited production capacity<br />

• Competitors which have a<br />

significantly larger size could<br />

easily put heavy price pressure<br />

25 November 2002 Page 3


Valuation<br />

The DCF model<br />

leads to a value of<br />

€ 18.42 per share<br />

Three methods have been used for the valuation of Duvel:<br />

• A valuation based on the discounted free cash flows<br />

• A valuation based on the dividend discount model<br />

DUVEL<br />

• A valuation using the economic profit or EVA TM method<br />

Given the current market parameters, these valuation models (see detail below)<br />

lead to a fair value of EUR 18.5 per share. One should note that the risk premium<br />

determined by Bank Degroof’s Dividend Discount Model stands at 5.58%,<br />

significantly above the historical average of 2.84%.<br />

Discounted free cash flow<br />

The DCF Valuation points to a theoretical value of equity of EUR 98.41 m or<br />

EUR 18.42 per share. As mentioned above, the market risk premium stands at<br />

5.58%. The risk free rate stands at 5.22% and the estimated beta of Duvel is<br />

0.79. A long-term growth rate of 0.75% (from 2006 onwards) was applied in<br />

calculating the terminal value. The higher capital expenditures in 2005 can be<br />

explained by the EUR 5 m investment in new crates.<br />

DCF model 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />

- Market risk free 5.22%<br />

- Market risk premium 5.58%<br />

- Long term growth 0.75%<br />

- Beta (leveraged) 0.79 0.79 0.75 0.74 0.78<br />

NOPLAT 6.12 7.41 8.33 9.56 10.12<br />

+ Depreciation & other non cash 5.19 5.46 5.51 5.62 6.30<br />

- Investment -12.26 -7.16 -6.89 -10.44 -6.30<br />

- Investment in working capital -0.79 0.20 -0.47 -0.57 -0.30<br />

= Free cash flow -1.74 5.92 6.47 4.18 9.82<br />

Discount factor 0.99 0.90 0.82 0.75 0.68<br />

Present value of free cash flow -1.72 5.34 5.32 3.12 6.68<br />

Cumulative present value of FCF 18.74<br />

+ Present value of terminal value 74.38<br />

= Entreprise value 93.12<br />

- Value of debt 6.06<br />

- Provisions -0.79<br />

- Minorities 0.01<br />

+ Value of peripherical assets 0.00<br />

= Theoretical value of equity 98.41<br />

Idem per share 18.42<br />

25 November 2002 Page 4


The DDM valuation<br />

points to a value of<br />

€ 18.58 per share<br />

EVA TM leads to<br />

€ 18.42 per share<br />

Dividend discount model<br />

DUVEL<br />

The parameters used for valuing Duvel through the dividend discount model were<br />

the same than for the DCF model (Cost of Equity: 9.6%). The long-term growth<br />

rate of dividends used in the Gordon-Shapiro formula was 2.64%.<br />

Using these parameters, the dividend discount model leads to a value of<br />

EUR 18.58 per share.<br />

Economic profit or EVA TM model<br />

The Economic Value Added model underlines the significant value creation of the<br />

company. We account this to the very high margin of the company compared to<br />

other brewers. Nevertheless, we revised those margins significantly downwards<br />

for this year due to heavy investments made this year in the water treatment<br />

plant, the new headquarter building and the new bottling system.<br />

Using the following parameters, the model leads to a value of shareholders’<br />

equity of EUR 98.41 m or EUR 18.42 per share.<br />

Economic profit model 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />

- Market risk free 5.22%<br />

- Market risk premium 5.58%<br />

- Long term growth 0.75%<br />

- Beta (leveraged) 0.79 0.79 0.75 0.74 0.78<br />

RoIC 14.8% 15.4% 16.8% 18.6% 18.6%<br />

WACC 9.7% 9.7% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8%<br />

Spread 5.1% 5.7% 7.0% 8.6% 8.8%<br />

Invested capital (at year start) 41.30 48.14 49.64 51.49 56.87<br />

Economic profit 2.10 2.74 3.47 4.42 4.99<br />

NOPLAT 6.12 7.41 8.33 9.56 10.12<br />

Capital charges -4.02 -4.68 -4.85 -5.14 -5.58<br />

Economic profit 2.10 2.74 3.47 4.42 4.55<br />

Discount factor 0.99 0.90 0.82 0.75 0.68<br />

Actualized economic profit 2.08 2.47 2.86 3.31 3.09<br />

Cumulative PV of economic profit 13.81<br />

+ Present value of terminal value 34.44<br />

+ Capital invested 44.87<br />

= Value of operations 93.12<br />

- Value of debt and provisions 5.28<br />

- Minorities 0.01<br />

+ Value of peripherical assets 0.00<br />

= Theoretical value of equity 98.41<br />

Idem per share 18.42<br />

25 November 2002 Page 5


<strong>Company</strong> description<br />

Introduction<br />

DUVEL<br />

The history of Duvel Moortgat dates back from 1871 when Jan-Leonard Moortgat<br />

established the Moortgat brewery in Breendonk (Belgium). The foundation of the<br />

company' success is a beer based on English ale. From 1923 onwards, this beer<br />

was marketed under the name "Duvel". The production increased from 3,000<br />

crates in 1926 to more than 2,750,000 today. The company has been listed on<br />

the Brussels Stock Exchange in June 99 at EUR 36.50.<br />

Duvel Moortgat is mainly held by the Moortgat family both directly (through a<br />

10.93% stake) and indirectly (through Fibemi S.A. - 62.79%). Free float remains<br />

limited (21.34%) and the personnel holds a 0.24% interest in the company.<br />

Shareholders’ structure<br />

Source: <strong>Company</strong> data<br />

Beside the existing 5,341,390 shares, the extraordinary shareholders meeting of<br />

March ’99 created a 250,000 warrants plan. Those warrants have a lifetime of 10<br />

years and can only be exercised 3 years after their attribution. In January 2002,<br />

20,340 attributed warrants could be exercised at a price of EUR 21.57.<br />

Business description<br />

Duvel Moortgat is an integrated company managing the production and<br />

distribution of its products through three business units: Production (93.9% of the<br />

2001 revenues and 96.4% of the EBITDA) , Services (Revenues: 5.6% -<br />

EBITDA: 2.0%) and Real Estate (Revenues: 0.5% - EBITDA: 1.6%).<br />

Divisional breakdown<br />

Production<br />

93.9%<br />

Fibemi S.A.<br />

62.79%<br />

Source: <strong>Company</strong> data<br />

Baert-<br />

Moortgat<br />

2001 Revenue by division<br />

10.93%<br />

Lessius<br />

4.70%<br />

Brewery Duvel Moortgat S.A./N.V.<br />

Services<br />

5.6%<br />

Real<br />

Estate<br />

0.5%<br />

Production<br />

96.4%<br />

Free-Float<br />

& Staff<br />

21.58%<br />

2001 Ebitda by division<br />

Services<br />

2.0%<br />

Real<br />

Estate<br />

1.6%<br />

25 November 2002 Page 6


1. Production<br />

DUVEL<br />

The main brands of beer produced by Duvel Moortgat (or by one of its<br />

subsidiaries) are Duvel, Maredsous, Passendale, Bel Pils, Steendonk and<br />

Bernard (in which the company took a 50% stake in August 2001).<br />

In 2001, the Duvel brand accounted for 83% of the volumes sold by Duvel<br />

Moortgat S.A. and 59% of the volume sold for the whole group. In terms of<br />

turnover, Duvel represented 76.2%. Due to its in-the-bottle high fermentation<br />

process, the Duvel (8.5% alc.) is not sold in vats (although technically possible).<br />

The whole production process for the Duvel is 3 months long.<br />

Beside the Duvel, there are four other own brands that are brewed in Breendonk:<br />

Bel Pils, Passendale, Vedett (that witnesses an unexpected revival in some<br />

trendy places in Belgium) and Wonderlight. The three Maredsous beers are also<br />

brewed in Puurs under a licence agreement with “Fromagerie et Brasserie de<br />

Maredsous”.<br />

Duvel Moortgat also owns a 50% stake in Brewery Steendonk. Brewery<br />

Steendonk is a joint venture (50/50 with Brewery Palm) that produces the<br />

Steendonk white beer. Steendonk white beer accounted for 2% of the company’s<br />

revenues in 2001.<br />

Duvel Moortgat has an interest in Brewery Ommegang through a 45% stake in<br />

the American Belâme Ltd. Brewery Ommegang is a Cooperstown (New-York)<br />

based joint venture with an American importer of Belgian speciality beers.<br />

Ommegang brews, bottles and markets Ommegang beers Hennepin and Rare<br />

Vos.<br />

Moreover, since 2000, the company also owns a 70% stake in Freya Deli Fruit<br />

S.A. that produces and markets fresh fruits juices as private labels or under the<br />

“Freya” brand.<br />

Revenues breakdown<br />

Duvel<br />

76.2%<br />

2001 Revenues by brands<br />

Source: <strong>Company</strong> data<br />

Other<br />

1.5%<br />

MHS<br />

4.6%<br />

Freya<br />

3.0%<br />

Steendonck<br />

1.6%<br />

Bernard<br />

3.6%<br />

Bel Pils<br />

4.7%<br />

Maredsous Belgium<br />

4.1% 77.2%<br />

Passendale<br />

0.7%<br />

2001 Revenues by region<br />

Netherlands<br />

10.5%<br />

UK<br />

0.9%<br />

France<br />

4.4%<br />

Czech Rep.<br />

3.6%<br />

USA<br />

1.3%<br />

Other<br />

2.2%<br />

25 November 2002 Page 7


Positioning & Outlook<br />

2. Services<br />

DUVEL<br />

The services business unit of Duvel Moortgat has two activities: distribution and<br />

financial services. Moortgat Horeca Services (MHS) is the result of the merger of<br />

Belgian regional resellers groups into one entity responsible for the distribution of<br />

the beer portfolio within hotels, restaurants & cafés (HORECA). Moortgat<br />

Financial Services is a financial institution responsible for the HORECA credit<br />

management.<br />

3. Real Estate<br />

The real estate division of the company not only manages the plots and buildings<br />

owned by the company but also some sales points that imply recurring rental<br />

revenues, and makes sales contracts easier in some strategic places in Belgium<br />

and abroad.<br />

Duvel is positioned in the high margin niche market of highly priced speciality<br />

beers. These last few years, the company recorded among the highest margins of<br />

the sector. Indeed, while Interbrew recorded a 5-year average operating margin of<br />

11.3%, Duvel offered an average margin of 21.7%. Without taking into account<br />

the impact of the lower margins in 2001 due to the acquisition of Bernard Brewery<br />

and the consolidation of Freya, the average operating margin of the company is<br />

even higher at 22.4%. Moreover, one should note that Duvel, as required by the<br />

Belgian Gaap, includes excises in its revenues and then deducts them as “other<br />

operating charges” which negatively impacts the margin (in percentage)<br />

compared to IAS where a company must directly deduct excises from revenues.<br />

The difference in margins with its peers shows the very high profitability of Duvel.<br />

Nevertheless the positioning, the size, and the growth of the company can explain<br />

this difference.<br />

Firstly, in terms of positioning, the Duvel brands represents 75% of the revenues<br />

of the company, as shown in the chart above. As Duvel is positioned as a high<br />

fermentation speciality beer, the average pricing of the company’s products is far<br />

above the prices applied by its competitors that have a more balanced portfolio of<br />

brands (lager-premium-speciality).<br />

Secondly, in terms of size, Duvel Moortgat has a very limited market coverage<br />

and is one example of the fragmentation of the whole beer market and of the<br />

Belgian Beer market in particular. We estimate the production of Duvel Moortgat<br />

at 350 khl or less than 2.5% of the sole Belgian beer production, which, according<br />

to CBMC, amounts to 15,039 khl (5,857 khl exported). Although it may seem a<br />

disadvantage, the size of Duvel is clearly one of its key success factors. Indeed,<br />

being mainly (78% - see the chart above) active on the Belgian market, Duvel<br />

enjoys a strong brand recognition (mainly in the Dutch-speaking part of the<br />

country), with powerful distribution channels, implying a limited cost structure and,<br />

hence, strong margins.<br />

25 November 2002 Page 8


Peer group comparison: profitability & production<br />

Market<br />

Cap. 1<br />

(in EUR m)<br />

2001 Beer<br />

Volumes<br />

(in mhl)<br />

2001Total<br />

Income<br />

(in EUR m)<br />

2001<br />

EBITDA<br />

(in EUR m)<br />

2001 Adj.<br />

net profit<br />

(in EUR m)<br />

2001<br />

EBITDA<br />

Margin<br />

DUVEL<br />

2001 Adj.<br />

net profit<br />

Margin<br />

Duvel 89.7 0.35 53.0 15.0 6.61 28.4% 12.5%<br />

Grolsch 339.3 3.1 278.8 58.7 28.6 21.1% 10.3%<br />

Heineken 14,354.3 80.9 9,163.0 1,609.0 715.0 17.6% 7.8%<br />

Interbrew 9,654.8 96.9 7,271.6 1,449.2 706.4 19.9% 9.7%<br />

Source: European Securities Network – Bank Degroof<br />

Finally, in terms of growth. Given its low size, and despite a very strong balance<br />

sheet, it is difficult for the company to exploit significant external growth<br />

opportunities. Moreover the global European beer consumption is clearly not<br />

increasing (see the table below) and we do not expect the company’s growth to<br />

outperform the market as it did in the past. Hence, few investments are required<br />

to support the underlying growth of Duvel. Though the company’s margins<br />

declined in 2001 (Bernard & Freya investments) and are expected to go on<br />

decreasing in 2002 due to the EUR 8.5 m investments in the new bottling system<br />

that will improve the capacity of Duvel Moortgat from around 40,000 bottles/hour<br />

to 55,000 bottles/hour.<br />

Evolution of beer consumption in Europe from 1991 to 2001<br />

Beer consumption<br />

('000 hl) 1991 … 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />

10Y<br />

Growth<br />

5Y<br />

Growth<br />

Austria 9,661 … 9,185 9,145 8,736 8,807 8,762 8,627 -10.7% -6.1%<br />

Belgium 11,113 … 10,284 10,243 10,011 10,203 10,064 10,060 -9.5% -2.2%<br />

Danmark 6,490 … 6,363 6,165 5,707 5,561 5,452 5,282 -18.6% -17.0%<br />

Finland 4,276 … 4,074 4,170 4,084 4,087 4,024 4,085 -4.5% 0.3%<br />

France 22,880 … 23,133 21,655 22,663 22,833 21,420 21,331 -6.8% -7.8%<br />

Germany 113,871 … 107,987 107,679 104,550 104,629 103,055 100,850 -11.4% -6.6%<br />

Greece 3,787 … 3,885 3,940 4,211 4,355 4,284 4,181 10.4% 7.6%<br />

Ireland 4,335 … 5,196 5,406 5,592 5,699 5,594 5,625 29.8% 8.3%<br />

Italia 13,010 … 13,758 14,535 15,501 15,500 16,289 16,694 28.3% 21.3%<br />

Luxembourg 443 … 469 466 453 474 472 445 0.5% -5.1%<br />

Netherlands 13,639 … 13,276 13,475 13,225 13,309 13,129 12,922 -5.3% -2.7%<br />

Portugal 6,635 … 6,136 6,318 6,494 6,420 6,456 6,276 -5.4% 2.3%<br />

Spain 27,587 … 26,199 26,238 26,417 27,772 28,976 30,850 11.8% 17.8%<br />

Sweden 5,244 … 5,228 5,459 5,077 5,258 5,011 4,896 -6.6% -6.4%<br />

United Kingdom 63,038 … 59,894 61,114 58,835 58,917 57,007 58,234 -7.6% -2.8%<br />

EU 306,009 295,067 296,008 291,556 293,824 289,995 290,358 -5.1% -1.6%<br />

Norway 2,209 … 2,299 2,330 2,203 2,305 2,327 2,290 3.7% -0.4%<br />

Switzerland 4,845 … 4,305 4,249 4,277 4,212 4,195 4,141 -14.5% -3.8%<br />

TOTAL 313,063 301,671 302,587 298,036 300,341 296,517 296,789 -5.2% -1.6%<br />

Source: CBMC, Bank Degroof<br />

1 As of 19-Nov-02<br />

25 November 2002 Page 9


DUVEL<br />

For the FY02, we expect the operating income of Duvel Moortgat to grow by 8.0%<br />

from EUR 52.95 m to EUR 57.18 m. This growth can mainly be explained by price<br />

increases of the Duvel brand product and scope changes. Compared to 1H02, we<br />

expect a slight increase in operating income of 1.3% during 2H02.<br />

For the 2002-2006 period, we expect the revenues to grow at a compound<br />

average growth rate of 4.1%, significantly below the 8.01% revenues CAGR<br />

realised for the 1998-2002 period. This growth, is equally realised through prices<br />

(in Europe) and volumes (in the Czech Republic) increases.<br />

During the first half of this year, the margins of the company suffered a lot from<br />

the integration of Bernard and the investment in the bottling system. We do not<br />

expect margins to increase significantly during the second half of this year as<br />

those investments are still not up-and-running. Therefore, we expect an operating<br />

profit for the FY02 of EUR 9.81 m down by 1.0% vs. the same period last year.<br />

On the long run, we expect the operating margin to reach 21.4%, slightly below its<br />

5-year average.<br />

We expect the bottom line to be impacted by non-cash extraordinary charges of<br />

EUR 1.03 m (mainly on Ommegang) and the net current result for the FY02 to<br />

stand at EUR 6.4 m or 1.21 per entitled share.<br />

The main evolution expected for the FY03 is the tax rate change in Belgium from<br />

40.17% to 33.99%. This has a direct positive impact of 10% on Duvel’s net<br />

current profit. The stable raw materials prices (Duvel has a 3-year contract on raw<br />

materials), the expected increase in revenues by 4.0%, the fact that the new<br />

bottling system will be up-and-running in 2003 and the above mentioned lower tax<br />

rate lead our 2003 EPS to amount to EUR 1.46.<br />

With an expected gearing close to 1% by the end of the current fiscal year and a<br />

strong positive cash flow, Duvel is in a solid financial position in order to face<br />

future investments. Among those, a EUR 5 m investment in new crates is<br />

expected by 2005-2006.<br />

With such a niche on the Belgian market and such a small size, Duvel may well<br />

be seen as an “easy” potential target for the sector’s heavy weights.<br />

Nevertheless, we do not see the family selling at the current price and believe that<br />

there is more potential speculative attraction in an MBO (the family is active in the<br />

company) as the free float only stands at 21%.<br />

Half Year results (EUR m) 1H01 2H01 1H02 2H02(e) Growth Growth FY02(e)<br />

y-o-y h-o-h<br />

Operating income 25.87 27.08 28.41 28.77 6.2% 1.3% 57.18<br />

Turnover 25.28 26.37 27.56 28.32 7.4% 2.7% 55.89<br />

Operating profit 4.95 4.96 4.88 4.93 -0.5% 1.1% 9.81<br />

Margin 19.2% 18.3% 17.2% 17.1% 17.2%<br />

Pre-tax current results 4.77 5.50 4.64 5.16 -6.2% 11.3% 9.80<br />

Margin 18.4% 20.3% 16.3% 17.9% 17.1%<br />

Extraordinary items -0.38 -0.61 -0.65 -0.38 -1.03<br />

Income tax 2.04 2.04 1.74 1.94 3.68<br />

Results consolidated by the equity method 0.00 -0.09 0.12 0.12 0.23<br />

Net profit 2.36 2.76 2.37 2.96 7.3% 25.1% 5.33<br />

25 November 2002 Page 10


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Consolidated income statement (EUR m) 2000 2001 2002(e) 2003(e) 2004(e)<br />

Operating income 49.63 52.95 57.18 59.52 62.43<br />

Turnover 48.75 51.66 55.89 58.23 61.13<br />

EBITDA (as <strong>report</strong>ed) 14.92 15.04 15.43 16.76 18.19<br />

Margin 30.1% 28.4% 27.0% 28.2% 29.1%<br />

Operating profit 9.67 9.91 9.81 10.87 12.25<br />

Margin 19.5% 18.7% 17.2% 18.3% 19.6%<br />

EBIT¹ (as <strong>report</strong>ed) 10.08 10.26 10.24 11.30 12.68<br />

Margin 20.3% 19.4% 17.9% 19.0% 20.3%<br />

Pre-tax current results 10.28 10.28 9.80 10.87 12.48<br />

Margin 20.7% 19.4% 17.1% 18.3% 20.0%<br />

Extraordinary items 0.49 -0.99 -1.03 0.00 0.00<br />

Income tax 4.42 4.08 3.68 3.84 4.39<br />

Results consolidated by the equity method 0.00 -0.09 0.23 0.24 0.24<br />

Net profit 6.34 5.12 5.33 7.27 8.33<br />

Group's net profit 6.36 5.17 5.33 7.27 8.33<br />

Group's net current profit¹ 6.60 6.61 6.37 7.70 8.76<br />

Group's net current cash flow 11.91 11.72 11.96 13.52 14.63<br />

EPS¹ 1.24 1.26 1.21 1.46 1.67<br />

CFPS 2.23 2.23 2.27 2.57 2.78<br />

¹ Before goodwill amortization<br />

Consolidated cash flow statement (EUR m) 2000 2001 2002(e) 2003(e) 2004(e)<br />

Net financial debt at year start -13.51 -9.02 -3.10 0.49 -3.27<br />

Net profit (total) 6.34 5.12 5.33 7.27 8.33<br />

Amortisation of goodwill 0.46 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.43<br />

Depreciation 4.90 4.76 5.16 5.39 5.44<br />

Others deprec. & non-cash items -0.03 0.02 1.05 0.07 0.07<br />

Change in working capital -4.35 -0.63 -0.79 0.20 -0.47<br />

Cash generated by operations 7.32 9.67 11.18 13.36 13.81<br />

Net capital expenditure 9.22 12.27 12.26 7.16 6.89<br />

Distribution of profit 2.14 2.40 2.51 2.44 3.08<br />

Change in equity & impact of changes in -0.45 -0.92 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />

scope of consolidation & translation adjust.<br />

Increase in net financial debt 4.49 5.92 3.59 -3.76 -3.83<br />

Net financial debt at year end -9.02 -3.10 0.49 -3.27 -7.11<br />

Total equity (year end) 43.92 47.20 50.09 54.27 58.23<br />

Gearing -20.5% -6.6% 1.0% -6.0% -12.2%<br />

25 November 2002 Page 11


DUVEL<br />

Consolidated balance sheet (EUR m) 2000 2001 2002(e) 2003(e) 2004(e)<br />

Long term assets 27.73 36.16 41.73 43.01 43.98<br />

Tangibles & Intangibles 25.28 32.28 38.93 40.21 41.18<br />

Financial Assets 2.38 3.82 2.80 2.80 2.80<br />

Long Term Receivables 0.06 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />

Current assets 38.15 31.64 38.07 41.14 44.79<br />

Inventories 2.25 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.5<br />

Accounts Receivable 14.61 15.7 17.1 17.2 18.0<br />

Cash and equivalent 20.81 13.4 18.2 21.0 23.7<br />

Prepayments and Accrued Income 0.48 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6<br />

Total assets 65.88 67.80 79.81 84.15 88.77<br />

Shareholder's equity 43.80 47.21 50.09 54.28 58.23<br />

Share capital 12.65 12.65 12.65 12.65 12.65<br />

Reserves 31.11 34.53 37.41 41.60 45.55<br />

Capital grants 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03<br />

Minority interest 0.12 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01<br />

Long term liabilities 10.05 9.10 15.84 15.74 16.09<br />

Provision for risks and charges 0.92 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.82<br />

Other liabilities >1 year 9.13 5.80 15.11 14.36 13.40<br />

Current liabilities 11.91 11.50 13.88 14.13 14.45<br />

Financial debt 2.66 1.95 3.54 3.37 3.14<br />

Trade debt 4.92 4.40 4.76 4.96 5.21<br />

Advance received 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />

taxes & remunerations 1.33 1.89 2.05 2.13 2.24<br />

Other amounts payable 2.61 2.64 2.85 2.97 3.12<br />

Accrued charges and deferred income 0.40 0.62 0.67 0.70 0.73<br />

Total liabilities 65.88 67.80 79.81 84.15 88.77<br />

Financial calendar<br />

April 28, 2003 AGM<br />

25 November 2002 Page 12


DUVEL<br />

Institutional sales team<br />

Damien Crispiels +32 2 287 96 97 damien.crispiels@degroof.be<br />

Bart Beullens +32 2 287 91 80 bart.beullens@degroof.be<br />

Eric Debeaud +32 2 287 96 05 eric.debeaud@degroof.be<br />

Hugues de Crozes* +32 2 287 93 24 hugues.decrozes@degroof.be<br />

Peter Deknopper +32 2 287 91 22 peter.deknopper@degroof.be<br />

Laurence de Ryckman +32 2 287 95 80 laurence.deryckman@degroof.be<br />

Germain Dupont +32 2 287 93 23 germain.dupont@degroof.be<br />

Daniel Jeger +32 2 287 93 33 daniel.jeger@degroof.be<br />

Jean-Marc Michelet +32 2 287 96 01 jeanmarc.michelet@degroof.be<br />

Peter Rysselaere +32 2 287 97 46 peter.rysselaere@degroof.be<br />

Stéphane Van Nimmen* +32 2 287 97 72 stephane.vannimmen@degroof.be<br />

* delegate agent<br />

Brokerage team for institutional investors<br />

John Paladino +32 2 287 96 40 john.paladino@degroof.be<br />

Tanguy del Marmol +32 2 287 96 13 tanguy.delmarmol@degroof.be<br />

Patrick Nisot +32 2 287 97 62 patrick.nisot@degroof.be<br />

Robin Podevyn +32 2 287 91 82 robin.podevyn@degroof.be<br />

Christian Saint-Jean +32 2 287 97 80 christian.saintjean@degroof.be<br />

Brokerage services for professional clients<br />

Joël Crevecoeur +32 2 287 96 23 joel.crevecoeur@degroof.be<br />

Mohamed Abalhossain +32 2 287 95 10 mohamed.abalhossain@degroof.be<br />

Frédéric Lebrun +32 2 287 96 18 frederic.lebrun@degroof.be<br />

Olivier Van Peel +32 2 287 91 88 olivier.vanpeel@degroof.be<br />

EUROPEAN SECURITIES NETWORK<br />

BELGIUM Bank Degroof / FRANCE CIC Securities / GERMANY Bankgesellschaft Berlin<br />

GREECE Egnatia Securities / IRELAND NCB Stockbrokers / ITALY Banca Akros<br />

NETHERLANDS F. van Lanschot Bankiers / PORTUGAL Caixa Valores<br />

SPAIN Caja Madrid Bolsa / U.K. Teather & Greenwood<br />

All opinions and projections expressed in this document constitute the judgement of Bank Degroof as of the date of their publication and are subject to change<br />

without notice. Bank Degroof and/or any of its subsidiaries may hold long/short positions in the securities referred to herein including derivative instruments<br />

related to the latter or may have business relations with the companies discussed herein. This material is intended for the information of the recipient only and<br />

does not constitute an offer to subscribe or purchase any securities.<br />

Although they are based on data which is presumed to be reliable and all while reasonable care has been taken to ensure they are derived from sources<br />

which are reliable, Bank Degroof has not independently verified such data and takes no responsibility as to their accuracy or completeness and accepts no<br />

liability for loss arising from the use of the opinions expressed in this document.<br />

Local laws and regulations may restrict the distribution of this document in other jurisdictions. Persons who enter in possession of this document should inform<br />

themselves about and observe any such restrictions. All information presented in this document is, unless otherwise specified, under copyright of Bank<br />

Degroof. No part of this publication may be copied or redistributed to other persons or firms without the written consent of Bank Degroof.<br />

25 November 2002 Page 13

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