Company report - Duvelmoortgat
Company report - Duvelmoortgat
Company report - Duvelmoortgat
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<strong>Company</strong> <strong>report</strong><br />
Food & Beverage Belgium<br />
DUVEL ACCUMULATE<br />
26<br />
24<br />
22<br />
20<br />
18<br />
16<br />
14<br />
11/01 01/02 03/02 05/02 07/02 09/02 11/02<br />
Price<br />
DJ Beverage re-based<br />
Date: 25 November 2002<br />
Price: EUR 16.65<br />
Reuters: DUVE.BR<br />
Bloomberg: DUV BB<br />
Initiation of coverage<br />
(EUR - FY end: December) 2000 2001 2002e 2003e 2004e Market cap. (m) 88.9<br />
Sales (m) 48.7 51.7 55.9 58.2 61.1<br />
EBITDA (m) 15.0 14.9 15.7 16.9 18.4 No. of shares 5,341,390<br />
EBIT (m) 10.1 10.2 10.5 11.6 12.9 Free float 21.3%<br />
Net profit (m) 6.3 5.1 5.3 7.3 8.3<br />
EPS adj. 1.24 1.26 1.21 1.46 1.67 Avg. no. trad. sh. 12 mth 620<br />
CFPS 2.23 2.23 2.27 2.57 2.78 Avg. trad. Vol. 12 mth 12,097<br />
BVPS 8.20 8.84 9.38 10.16 10.90 Price high 12 mth 23.50<br />
DPS 0.45 0.48 0.46 0.59 0.83 Price low 12 mth 14.60<br />
Net Debt(+)/Cash(-)(m) -9.0 -3.1 0.5 -3.3 -7.1 Abs. perf. 1 mth 12.9%<br />
Interest coverage N.R. N.R. N.R. N.R. N.R. Abs. perf. 3 mth -10.5%<br />
EV/EBITDA 8.2 6.6 5.5 5.1 4.5 Abs. perf. 12 mth -17.2%<br />
EV/EBIT 12.2 9.7 8.2 7.5 6.4<br />
P/E 20.4 16.0 13.7 11.4 10.0 Local index No<br />
Dividend yield 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 5.0% DJ STOXX 50 No<br />
ROCE 23.4% 16.7% 14.8% 15.4% 16.8% EPS 2001-04 CAGR 9.8%<br />
Main shareholders: FIBEMI 62.8% - Baert Moortgat 10.9% - Lessius 4.7% - Management 0.2%<br />
The devil inside<br />
• Duvel Moortgat is a Belgian brewer whose margins are among the highest in the sector.<br />
• The company mainly operates in the high-fermentation speciality beer market, where it has a<br />
very strong position especially in Belgium.<br />
• First half results were slightly impacted by the heavy investment the company made this year<br />
in order to rejuvenate its production plant (bottling system, water treatment plant, new<br />
buildings, …).<br />
• Our valuation models lead to a fair value of EUR 18.5 per share, leaving more than 10%<br />
upside potential. Hence, given the low risk associated with the beer business in general and<br />
Duvel in particular, we initiate our coverage with an ‘Accumulate’ rating.<br />
Bank Degroof acts as liquidity provider for Duvel Moortgat<br />
Christophe Piron +32 2 287 95 43 christophe.piron@degroof.be
TABLE OF CONTENT<br />
DUVEL<br />
Recommendation 3<br />
SWOT analysis 3<br />
Valuation 4<br />
Discounted free cash flow 4<br />
Dividend discount model 5<br />
Economic profit or EVA TM model 5<br />
<strong>Company</strong> description 6<br />
Introduction 6<br />
Business description 6<br />
1. Production 7<br />
2. Services 8<br />
3. Real Estate 8<br />
Positioning & Outlook 8<br />
Financial calendar 12<br />
25 November 2002 Page 2
Recommendation<br />
DUVEL<br />
Duvel Moortgat is a Belgian brewer based in Puurs and created in 1871. The<br />
revenue stream of the company mainly comes from Belgium and from its high<br />
fermentation speciality beer: the Duvel.<br />
Before having invested in the Czech Republic (Bernard Brewery), Duvel<br />
diversified through Freya’s Delit Fruit, a company producing fresh fruit juices<br />
under private label and own brand.<br />
Although decreasing these last two years (due to the recent investments<br />
mentioned below), the margins of the company remain among the highest in the<br />
sector. We account this for from two major features:<br />
• More than 75% of revenues come from the highly priced speciality beer<br />
branded under the company’s name: Duvel.<br />
• Strong focus on a small size local market (78% of revenues come from<br />
Belgium) enabling cost optimisation.<br />
Nevertheless, Duvel Moortgat remains a small player compared to its listed peers.<br />
With a production of around 350 khl, Duvel Moortgat accounts for less than 1% of<br />
the total production of Interbrew and less than 2.5% of the Belgian beer market.<br />
Duvel has a very strong balance sheet. Indeed, thanks to strong cash flow and<br />
despite heavy investments in its new headquarter building, in the water treatment<br />
plant and in the new bottling system, we expect the company’s gearing to stand<br />
only at 1.0% equity by the end of this year. Taking into account the forthcoming<br />
capital expenditures, we expect Duvel to be in a net cash position by the end of<br />
2003.<br />
Given its strong focus on the Belgian market, Duvel Moortgat should fully benefit<br />
from the tax reduction plan from 2003 onwards. We estimate the positive impact<br />
on the net current results of the company at 10%.<br />
Our valuation models lead to a fair value of EUR 18.5 per share, leaving more<br />
than 10% upside potential. Hence, given the low risk associated with the beer<br />
business in general and Duvel in particular, we initiate our coverage with an<br />
‘Accumulate’ rating.<br />
SWOT analysis<br />
Strengths Weaknesses<br />
• Strong balance sheet<br />
• Highest margins in the sector<br />
• Strong brand recognition<br />
Opportunities Threats<br />
• Investment capacity due to net<br />
cash position<br />
• Speculative attraction (MBO) due<br />
to low free float & valuation<br />
• Low free float and liquidity<br />
• Limited production capacity<br />
• Competitors which have a<br />
significantly larger size could<br />
easily put heavy price pressure<br />
25 November 2002 Page 3
Valuation<br />
The DCF model<br />
leads to a value of<br />
€ 18.42 per share<br />
Three methods have been used for the valuation of Duvel:<br />
• A valuation based on the discounted free cash flows<br />
• A valuation based on the dividend discount model<br />
DUVEL<br />
• A valuation using the economic profit or EVA TM method<br />
Given the current market parameters, these valuation models (see detail below)<br />
lead to a fair value of EUR 18.5 per share. One should note that the risk premium<br />
determined by Bank Degroof’s Dividend Discount Model stands at 5.58%,<br />
significantly above the historical average of 2.84%.<br />
Discounted free cash flow<br />
The DCF Valuation points to a theoretical value of equity of EUR 98.41 m or<br />
EUR 18.42 per share. As mentioned above, the market risk premium stands at<br />
5.58%. The risk free rate stands at 5.22% and the estimated beta of Duvel is<br />
0.79. A long-term growth rate of 0.75% (from 2006 onwards) was applied in<br />
calculating the terminal value. The higher capital expenditures in 2005 can be<br />
explained by the EUR 5 m investment in new crates.<br />
DCF model 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />
- Market risk free 5.22%<br />
- Market risk premium 5.58%<br />
- Long term growth 0.75%<br />
- Beta (leveraged) 0.79 0.79 0.75 0.74 0.78<br />
NOPLAT 6.12 7.41 8.33 9.56 10.12<br />
+ Depreciation & other non cash 5.19 5.46 5.51 5.62 6.30<br />
- Investment -12.26 -7.16 -6.89 -10.44 -6.30<br />
- Investment in working capital -0.79 0.20 -0.47 -0.57 -0.30<br />
= Free cash flow -1.74 5.92 6.47 4.18 9.82<br />
Discount factor 0.99 0.90 0.82 0.75 0.68<br />
Present value of free cash flow -1.72 5.34 5.32 3.12 6.68<br />
Cumulative present value of FCF 18.74<br />
+ Present value of terminal value 74.38<br />
= Entreprise value 93.12<br />
- Value of debt 6.06<br />
- Provisions -0.79<br />
- Minorities 0.01<br />
+ Value of peripherical assets 0.00<br />
= Theoretical value of equity 98.41<br />
Idem per share 18.42<br />
25 November 2002 Page 4
The DDM valuation<br />
points to a value of<br />
€ 18.58 per share<br />
EVA TM leads to<br />
€ 18.42 per share<br />
Dividend discount model<br />
DUVEL<br />
The parameters used for valuing Duvel through the dividend discount model were<br />
the same than for the DCF model (Cost of Equity: 9.6%). The long-term growth<br />
rate of dividends used in the Gordon-Shapiro formula was 2.64%.<br />
Using these parameters, the dividend discount model leads to a value of<br />
EUR 18.58 per share.<br />
Economic profit or EVA TM model<br />
The Economic Value Added model underlines the significant value creation of the<br />
company. We account this to the very high margin of the company compared to<br />
other brewers. Nevertheless, we revised those margins significantly downwards<br />
for this year due to heavy investments made this year in the water treatment<br />
plant, the new headquarter building and the new bottling system.<br />
Using the following parameters, the model leads to a value of shareholders’<br />
equity of EUR 98.41 m or EUR 18.42 per share.<br />
Economic profit model 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />
- Market risk free 5.22%<br />
- Market risk premium 5.58%<br />
- Long term growth 0.75%<br />
- Beta (leveraged) 0.79 0.79 0.75 0.74 0.78<br />
RoIC 14.8% 15.4% 16.8% 18.6% 18.6%<br />
WACC 9.7% 9.7% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8%<br />
Spread 5.1% 5.7% 7.0% 8.6% 8.8%<br />
Invested capital (at year start) 41.30 48.14 49.64 51.49 56.87<br />
Economic profit 2.10 2.74 3.47 4.42 4.99<br />
NOPLAT 6.12 7.41 8.33 9.56 10.12<br />
Capital charges -4.02 -4.68 -4.85 -5.14 -5.58<br />
Economic profit 2.10 2.74 3.47 4.42 4.55<br />
Discount factor 0.99 0.90 0.82 0.75 0.68<br />
Actualized economic profit 2.08 2.47 2.86 3.31 3.09<br />
Cumulative PV of economic profit 13.81<br />
+ Present value of terminal value 34.44<br />
+ Capital invested 44.87<br />
= Value of operations 93.12<br />
- Value of debt and provisions 5.28<br />
- Minorities 0.01<br />
+ Value of peripherical assets 0.00<br />
= Theoretical value of equity 98.41<br />
Idem per share 18.42<br />
25 November 2002 Page 5
<strong>Company</strong> description<br />
Introduction<br />
DUVEL<br />
The history of Duvel Moortgat dates back from 1871 when Jan-Leonard Moortgat<br />
established the Moortgat brewery in Breendonk (Belgium). The foundation of the<br />
company' success is a beer based on English ale. From 1923 onwards, this beer<br />
was marketed under the name "Duvel". The production increased from 3,000<br />
crates in 1926 to more than 2,750,000 today. The company has been listed on<br />
the Brussels Stock Exchange in June 99 at EUR 36.50.<br />
Duvel Moortgat is mainly held by the Moortgat family both directly (through a<br />
10.93% stake) and indirectly (through Fibemi S.A. - 62.79%). Free float remains<br />
limited (21.34%) and the personnel holds a 0.24% interest in the company.<br />
Shareholders’ structure<br />
Source: <strong>Company</strong> data<br />
Beside the existing 5,341,390 shares, the extraordinary shareholders meeting of<br />
March ’99 created a 250,000 warrants plan. Those warrants have a lifetime of 10<br />
years and can only be exercised 3 years after their attribution. In January 2002,<br />
20,340 attributed warrants could be exercised at a price of EUR 21.57.<br />
Business description<br />
Duvel Moortgat is an integrated company managing the production and<br />
distribution of its products through three business units: Production (93.9% of the<br />
2001 revenues and 96.4% of the EBITDA) , Services (Revenues: 5.6% -<br />
EBITDA: 2.0%) and Real Estate (Revenues: 0.5% - EBITDA: 1.6%).<br />
Divisional breakdown<br />
Production<br />
93.9%<br />
Fibemi S.A.<br />
62.79%<br />
Source: <strong>Company</strong> data<br />
Baert-<br />
Moortgat<br />
2001 Revenue by division<br />
10.93%<br />
Lessius<br />
4.70%<br />
Brewery Duvel Moortgat S.A./N.V.<br />
Services<br />
5.6%<br />
Real<br />
Estate<br />
0.5%<br />
Production<br />
96.4%<br />
Free-Float<br />
& Staff<br />
21.58%<br />
2001 Ebitda by division<br />
Services<br />
2.0%<br />
Real<br />
Estate<br />
1.6%<br />
25 November 2002 Page 6
1. Production<br />
DUVEL<br />
The main brands of beer produced by Duvel Moortgat (or by one of its<br />
subsidiaries) are Duvel, Maredsous, Passendale, Bel Pils, Steendonk and<br />
Bernard (in which the company took a 50% stake in August 2001).<br />
In 2001, the Duvel brand accounted for 83% of the volumes sold by Duvel<br />
Moortgat S.A. and 59% of the volume sold for the whole group. In terms of<br />
turnover, Duvel represented 76.2%. Due to its in-the-bottle high fermentation<br />
process, the Duvel (8.5% alc.) is not sold in vats (although technically possible).<br />
The whole production process for the Duvel is 3 months long.<br />
Beside the Duvel, there are four other own brands that are brewed in Breendonk:<br />
Bel Pils, Passendale, Vedett (that witnesses an unexpected revival in some<br />
trendy places in Belgium) and Wonderlight. The three Maredsous beers are also<br />
brewed in Puurs under a licence agreement with “Fromagerie et Brasserie de<br />
Maredsous”.<br />
Duvel Moortgat also owns a 50% stake in Brewery Steendonk. Brewery<br />
Steendonk is a joint venture (50/50 with Brewery Palm) that produces the<br />
Steendonk white beer. Steendonk white beer accounted for 2% of the company’s<br />
revenues in 2001.<br />
Duvel Moortgat has an interest in Brewery Ommegang through a 45% stake in<br />
the American Belâme Ltd. Brewery Ommegang is a Cooperstown (New-York)<br />
based joint venture with an American importer of Belgian speciality beers.<br />
Ommegang brews, bottles and markets Ommegang beers Hennepin and Rare<br />
Vos.<br />
Moreover, since 2000, the company also owns a 70% stake in Freya Deli Fruit<br />
S.A. that produces and markets fresh fruits juices as private labels or under the<br />
“Freya” brand.<br />
Revenues breakdown<br />
Duvel<br />
76.2%<br />
2001 Revenues by brands<br />
Source: <strong>Company</strong> data<br />
Other<br />
1.5%<br />
MHS<br />
4.6%<br />
Freya<br />
3.0%<br />
Steendonck<br />
1.6%<br />
Bernard<br />
3.6%<br />
Bel Pils<br />
4.7%<br />
Maredsous Belgium<br />
4.1% 77.2%<br />
Passendale<br />
0.7%<br />
2001 Revenues by region<br />
Netherlands<br />
10.5%<br />
UK<br />
0.9%<br />
France<br />
4.4%<br />
Czech Rep.<br />
3.6%<br />
USA<br />
1.3%<br />
Other<br />
2.2%<br />
25 November 2002 Page 7
Positioning & Outlook<br />
2. Services<br />
DUVEL<br />
The services business unit of Duvel Moortgat has two activities: distribution and<br />
financial services. Moortgat Horeca Services (MHS) is the result of the merger of<br />
Belgian regional resellers groups into one entity responsible for the distribution of<br />
the beer portfolio within hotels, restaurants & cafés (HORECA). Moortgat<br />
Financial Services is a financial institution responsible for the HORECA credit<br />
management.<br />
3. Real Estate<br />
The real estate division of the company not only manages the plots and buildings<br />
owned by the company but also some sales points that imply recurring rental<br />
revenues, and makes sales contracts easier in some strategic places in Belgium<br />
and abroad.<br />
Duvel is positioned in the high margin niche market of highly priced speciality<br />
beers. These last few years, the company recorded among the highest margins of<br />
the sector. Indeed, while Interbrew recorded a 5-year average operating margin of<br />
11.3%, Duvel offered an average margin of 21.7%. Without taking into account<br />
the impact of the lower margins in 2001 due to the acquisition of Bernard Brewery<br />
and the consolidation of Freya, the average operating margin of the company is<br />
even higher at 22.4%. Moreover, one should note that Duvel, as required by the<br />
Belgian Gaap, includes excises in its revenues and then deducts them as “other<br />
operating charges” which negatively impacts the margin (in percentage)<br />
compared to IAS where a company must directly deduct excises from revenues.<br />
The difference in margins with its peers shows the very high profitability of Duvel.<br />
Nevertheless the positioning, the size, and the growth of the company can explain<br />
this difference.<br />
Firstly, in terms of positioning, the Duvel brands represents 75% of the revenues<br />
of the company, as shown in the chart above. As Duvel is positioned as a high<br />
fermentation speciality beer, the average pricing of the company’s products is far<br />
above the prices applied by its competitors that have a more balanced portfolio of<br />
brands (lager-premium-speciality).<br />
Secondly, in terms of size, Duvel Moortgat has a very limited market coverage<br />
and is one example of the fragmentation of the whole beer market and of the<br />
Belgian Beer market in particular. We estimate the production of Duvel Moortgat<br />
at 350 khl or less than 2.5% of the sole Belgian beer production, which, according<br />
to CBMC, amounts to 15,039 khl (5,857 khl exported). Although it may seem a<br />
disadvantage, the size of Duvel is clearly one of its key success factors. Indeed,<br />
being mainly (78% - see the chart above) active on the Belgian market, Duvel<br />
enjoys a strong brand recognition (mainly in the Dutch-speaking part of the<br />
country), with powerful distribution channels, implying a limited cost structure and,<br />
hence, strong margins.<br />
25 November 2002 Page 8
Peer group comparison: profitability & production<br />
Market<br />
Cap. 1<br />
(in EUR m)<br />
2001 Beer<br />
Volumes<br />
(in mhl)<br />
2001Total<br />
Income<br />
(in EUR m)<br />
2001<br />
EBITDA<br />
(in EUR m)<br />
2001 Adj.<br />
net profit<br />
(in EUR m)<br />
2001<br />
EBITDA<br />
Margin<br />
DUVEL<br />
2001 Adj.<br />
net profit<br />
Margin<br />
Duvel 89.7 0.35 53.0 15.0 6.61 28.4% 12.5%<br />
Grolsch 339.3 3.1 278.8 58.7 28.6 21.1% 10.3%<br />
Heineken 14,354.3 80.9 9,163.0 1,609.0 715.0 17.6% 7.8%<br />
Interbrew 9,654.8 96.9 7,271.6 1,449.2 706.4 19.9% 9.7%<br />
Source: European Securities Network – Bank Degroof<br />
Finally, in terms of growth. Given its low size, and despite a very strong balance<br />
sheet, it is difficult for the company to exploit significant external growth<br />
opportunities. Moreover the global European beer consumption is clearly not<br />
increasing (see the table below) and we do not expect the company’s growth to<br />
outperform the market as it did in the past. Hence, few investments are required<br />
to support the underlying growth of Duvel. Though the company’s margins<br />
declined in 2001 (Bernard & Freya investments) and are expected to go on<br />
decreasing in 2002 due to the EUR 8.5 m investments in the new bottling system<br />
that will improve the capacity of Duvel Moortgat from around 40,000 bottles/hour<br />
to 55,000 bottles/hour.<br />
Evolution of beer consumption in Europe from 1991 to 2001<br />
Beer consumption<br />
('000 hl) 1991 … 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />
10Y<br />
Growth<br />
5Y<br />
Growth<br />
Austria 9,661 … 9,185 9,145 8,736 8,807 8,762 8,627 -10.7% -6.1%<br />
Belgium 11,113 … 10,284 10,243 10,011 10,203 10,064 10,060 -9.5% -2.2%<br />
Danmark 6,490 … 6,363 6,165 5,707 5,561 5,452 5,282 -18.6% -17.0%<br />
Finland 4,276 … 4,074 4,170 4,084 4,087 4,024 4,085 -4.5% 0.3%<br />
France 22,880 … 23,133 21,655 22,663 22,833 21,420 21,331 -6.8% -7.8%<br />
Germany 113,871 … 107,987 107,679 104,550 104,629 103,055 100,850 -11.4% -6.6%<br />
Greece 3,787 … 3,885 3,940 4,211 4,355 4,284 4,181 10.4% 7.6%<br />
Ireland 4,335 … 5,196 5,406 5,592 5,699 5,594 5,625 29.8% 8.3%<br />
Italia 13,010 … 13,758 14,535 15,501 15,500 16,289 16,694 28.3% 21.3%<br />
Luxembourg 443 … 469 466 453 474 472 445 0.5% -5.1%<br />
Netherlands 13,639 … 13,276 13,475 13,225 13,309 13,129 12,922 -5.3% -2.7%<br />
Portugal 6,635 … 6,136 6,318 6,494 6,420 6,456 6,276 -5.4% 2.3%<br />
Spain 27,587 … 26,199 26,238 26,417 27,772 28,976 30,850 11.8% 17.8%<br />
Sweden 5,244 … 5,228 5,459 5,077 5,258 5,011 4,896 -6.6% -6.4%<br />
United Kingdom 63,038 … 59,894 61,114 58,835 58,917 57,007 58,234 -7.6% -2.8%<br />
EU 306,009 295,067 296,008 291,556 293,824 289,995 290,358 -5.1% -1.6%<br />
Norway 2,209 … 2,299 2,330 2,203 2,305 2,327 2,290 3.7% -0.4%<br />
Switzerland 4,845 … 4,305 4,249 4,277 4,212 4,195 4,141 -14.5% -3.8%<br />
TOTAL 313,063 301,671 302,587 298,036 300,341 296,517 296,789 -5.2% -1.6%<br />
Source: CBMC, Bank Degroof<br />
1 As of 19-Nov-02<br />
25 November 2002 Page 9
DUVEL<br />
For the FY02, we expect the operating income of Duvel Moortgat to grow by 8.0%<br />
from EUR 52.95 m to EUR 57.18 m. This growth can mainly be explained by price<br />
increases of the Duvel brand product and scope changes. Compared to 1H02, we<br />
expect a slight increase in operating income of 1.3% during 2H02.<br />
For the 2002-2006 period, we expect the revenues to grow at a compound<br />
average growth rate of 4.1%, significantly below the 8.01% revenues CAGR<br />
realised for the 1998-2002 period. This growth, is equally realised through prices<br />
(in Europe) and volumes (in the Czech Republic) increases.<br />
During the first half of this year, the margins of the company suffered a lot from<br />
the integration of Bernard and the investment in the bottling system. We do not<br />
expect margins to increase significantly during the second half of this year as<br />
those investments are still not up-and-running. Therefore, we expect an operating<br />
profit for the FY02 of EUR 9.81 m down by 1.0% vs. the same period last year.<br />
On the long run, we expect the operating margin to reach 21.4%, slightly below its<br />
5-year average.<br />
We expect the bottom line to be impacted by non-cash extraordinary charges of<br />
EUR 1.03 m (mainly on Ommegang) and the net current result for the FY02 to<br />
stand at EUR 6.4 m or 1.21 per entitled share.<br />
The main evolution expected for the FY03 is the tax rate change in Belgium from<br />
40.17% to 33.99%. This has a direct positive impact of 10% on Duvel’s net<br />
current profit. The stable raw materials prices (Duvel has a 3-year contract on raw<br />
materials), the expected increase in revenues by 4.0%, the fact that the new<br />
bottling system will be up-and-running in 2003 and the above mentioned lower tax<br />
rate lead our 2003 EPS to amount to EUR 1.46.<br />
With an expected gearing close to 1% by the end of the current fiscal year and a<br />
strong positive cash flow, Duvel is in a solid financial position in order to face<br />
future investments. Among those, a EUR 5 m investment in new crates is<br />
expected by 2005-2006.<br />
With such a niche on the Belgian market and such a small size, Duvel may well<br />
be seen as an “easy” potential target for the sector’s heavy weights.<br />
Nevertheless, we do not see the family selling at the current price and believe that<br />
there is more potential speculative attraction in an MBO (the family is active in the<br />
company) as the free float only stands at 21%.<br />
Half Year results (EUR m) 1H01 2H01 1H02 2H02(e) Growth Growth FY02(e)<br />
y-o-y h-o-h<br />
Operating income 25.87 27.08 28.41 28.77 6.2% 1.3% 57.18<br />
Turnover 25.28 26.37 27.56 28.32 7.4% 2.7% 55.89<br />
Operating profit 4.95 4.96 4.88 4.93 -0.5% 1.1% 9.81<br />
Margin 19.2% 18.3% 17.2% 17.1% 17.2%<br />
Pre-tax current results 4.77 5.50 4.64 5.16 -6.2% 11.3% 9.80<br />
Margin 18.4% 20.3% 16.3% 17.9% 17.1%<br />
Extraordinary items -0.38 -0.61 -0.65 -0.38 -1.03<br />
Income tax 2.04 2.04 1.74 1.94 3.68<br />
Results consolidated by the equity method 0.00 -0.09 0.12 0.12 0.23<br />
Net profit 2.36 2.76 2.37 2.96 7.3% 25.1% 5.33<br />
25 November 2002 Page 10
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Consolidated income statement (EUR m) 2000 2001 2002(e) 2003(e) 2004(e)<br />
Operating income 49.63 52.95 57.18 59.52 62.43<br />
Turnover 48.75 51.66 55.89 58.23 61.13<br />
EBITDA (as <strong>report</strong>ed) 14.92 15.04 15.43 16.76 18.19<br />
Margin 30.1% 28.4% 27.0% 28.2% 29.1%<br />
Operating profit 9.67 9.91 9.81 10.87 12.25<br />
Margin 19.5% 18.7% 17.2% 18.3% 19.6%<br />
EBIT¹ (as <strong>report</strong>ed) 10.08 10.26 10.24 11.30 12.68<br />
Margin 20.3% 19.4% 17.9% 19.0% 20.3%<br />
Pre-tax current results 10.28 10.28 9.80 10.87 12.48<br />
Margin 20.7% 19.4% 17.1% 18.3% 20.0%<br />
Extraordinary items 0.49 -0.99 -1.03 0.00 0.00<br />
Income tax 4.42 4.08 3.68 3.84 4.39<br />
Results consolidated by the equity method 0.00 -0.09 0.23 0.24 0.24<br />
Net profit 6.34 5.12 5.33 7.27 8.33<br />
Group's net profit 6.36 5.17 5.33 7.27 8.33<br />
Group's net current profit¹ 6.60 6.61 6.37 7.70 8.76<br />
Group's net current cash flow 11.91 11.72 11.96 13.52 14.63<br />
EPS¹ 1.24 1.26 1.21 1.46 1.67<br />
CFPS 2.23 2.23 2.27 2.57 2.78<br />
¹ Before goodwill amortization<br />
Consolidated cash flow statement (EUR m) 2000 2001 2002(e) 2003(e) 2004(e)<br />
Net financial debt at year start -13.51 -9.02 -3.10 0.49 -3.27<br />
Net profit (total) 6.34 5.12 5.33 7.27 8.33<br />
Amortisation of goodwill 0.46 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.43<br />
Depreciation 4.90 4.76 5.16 5.39 5.44<br />
Others deprec. & non-cash items -0.03 0.02 1.05 0.07 0.07<br />
Change in working capital -4.35 -0.63 -0.79 0.20 -0.47<br />
Cash generated by operations 7.32 9.67 11.18 13.36 13.81<br />
Net capital expenditure 9.22 12.27 12.26 7.16 6.89<br />
Distribution of profit 2.14 2.40 2.51 2.44 3.08<br />
Change in equity & impact of changes in -0.45 -0.92 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
scope of consolidation & translation adjust.<br />
Increase in net financial debt 4.49 5.92 3.59 -3.76 -3.83<br />
Net financial debt at year end -9.02 -3.10 0.49 -3.27 -7.11<br />
Total equity (year end) 43.92 47.20 50.09 54.27 58.23<br />
Gearing -20.5% -6.6% 1.0% -6.0% -12.2%<br />
25 November 2002 Page 11
DUVEL<br />
Consolidated balance sheet (EUR m) 2000 2001 2002(e) 2003(e) 2004(e)<br />
Long term assets 27.73 36.16 41.73 43.01 43.98<br />
Tangibles & Intangibles 25.28 32.28 38.93 40.21 41.18<br />
Financial Assets 2.38 3.82 2.80 2.80 2.80<br />
Long Term Receivables 0.06 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Current assets 38.15 31.64 38.07 41.14 44.79<br />
Inventories 2.25 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.5<br />
Accounts Receivable 14.61 15.7 17.1 17.2 18.0<br />
Cash and equivalent 20.81 13.4 18.2 21.0 23.7<br />
Prepayments and Accrued Income 0.48 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6<br />
Total assets 65.88 67.80 79.81 84.15 88.77<br />
Shareholder's equity 43.80 47.21 50.09 54.28 58.23<br />
Share capital 12.65 12.65 12.65 12.65 12.65<br />
Reserves 31.11 34.53 37.41 41.60 45.55<br />
Capital grants 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03<br />
Minority interest 0.12 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01<br />
Long term liabilities 10.05 9.10 15.84 15.74 16.09<br />
Provision for risks and charges 0.92 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.82<br />
Other liabilities >1 year 9.13 5.80 15.11 14.36 13.40<br />
Current liabilities 11.91 11.50 13.88 14.13 14.45<br />
Financial debt 2.66 1.95 3.54 3.37 3.14<br />
Trade debt 4.92 4.40 4.76 4.96 5.21<br />
Advance received 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
taxes & remunerations 1.33 1.89 2.05 2.13 2.24<br />
Other amounts payable 2.61 2.64 2.85 2.97 3.12<br />
Accrued charges and deferred income 0.40 0.62 0.67 0.70 0.73<br />
Total liabilities 65.88 67.80 79.81 84.15 88.77<br />
Financial calendar<br />
April 28, 2003 AGM<br />
25 November 2002 Page 12
DUVEL<br />
Institutional sales team<br />
Damien Crispiels +32 2 287 96 97 damien.crispiels@degroof.be<br />
Bart Beullens +32 2 287 91 80 bart.beullens@degroof.be<br />
Eric Debeaud +32 2 287 96 05 eric.debeaud@degroof.be<br />
Hugues de Crozes* +32 2 287 93 24 hugues.decrozes@degroof.be<br />
Peter Deknopper +32 2 287 91 22 peter.deknopper@degroof.be<br />
Laurence de Ryckman +32 2 287 95 80 laurence.deryckman@degroof.be<br />
Germain Dupont +32 2 287 93 23 germain.dupont@degroof.be<br />
Daniel Jeger +32 2 287 93 33 daniel.jeger@degroof.be<br />
Jean-Marc Michelet +32 2 287 96 01 jeanmarc.michelet@degroof.be<br />
Peter Rysselaere +32 2 287 97 46 peter.rysselaere@degroof.be<br />
Stéphane Van Nimmen* +32 2 287 97 72 stephane.vannimmen@degroof.be<br />
* delegate agent<br />
Brokerage team for institutional investors<br />
John Paladino +32 2 287 96 40 john.paladino@degroof.be<br />
Tanguy del Marmol +32 2 287 96 13 tanguy.delmarmol@degroof.be<br />
Patrick Nisot +32 2 287 97 62 patrick.nisot@degroof.be<br />
Robin Podevyn +32 2 287 91 82 robin.podevyn@degroof.be<br />
Christian Saint-Jean +32 2 287 97 80 christian.saintjean@degroof.be<br />
Brokerage services for professional clients<br />
Joël Crevecoeur +32 2 287 96 23 joel.crevecoeur@degroof.be<br />
Mohamed Abalhossain +32 2 287 95 10 mohamed.abalhossain@degroof.be<br />
Frédéric Lebrun +32 2 287 96 18 frederic.lebrun@degroof.be<br />
Olivier Van Peel +32 2 287 91 88 olivier.vanpeel@degroof.be<br />
EUROPEAN SECURITIES NETWORK<br />
BELGIUM Bank Degroof / FRANCE CIC Securities / GERMANY Bankgesellschaft Berlin<br />
GREECE Egnatia Securities / IRELAND NCB Stockbrokers / ITALY Banca Akros<br />
NETHERLANDS F. van Lanschot Bankiers / PORTUGAL Caixa Valores<br />
SPAIN Caja Madrid Bolsa / U.K. Teather & Greenwood<br />
All opinions and projections expressed in this document constitute the judgement of Bank Degroof as of the date of their publication and are subject to change<br />
without notice. Bank Degroof and/or any of its subsidiaries may hold long/short positions in the securities referred to herein including derivative instruments<br />
related to the latter or may have business relations with the companies discussed herein. This material is intended for the information of the recipient only and<br />
does not constitute an offer to subscribe or purchase any securities.<br />
Although they are based on data which is presumed to be reliable and all while reasonable care has been taken to ensure they are derived from sources<br />
which are reliable, Bank Degroof has not independently verified such data and takes no responsibility as to their accuracy or completeness and accepts no<br />
liability for loss arising from the use of the opinions expressed in this document.<br />
Local laws and regulations may restrict the distribution of this document in other jurisdictions. Persons who enter in possession of this document should inform<br />
themselves about and observe any such restrictions. All information presented in this document is, unless otherwise specified, under copyright of Bank<br />
Degroof. No part of this publication may be copied or redistributed to other persons or firms without the written consent of Bank Degroof.<br />
25 November 2002 Page 13