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2013 Spring

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The Cyclical Nature Of The Property Market<br />

Along with other forms of investment; it is widely recognised that property follows a predictable cycle.<br />

The property cycle, if unimpeded, has thee recognised recurring phases of boom, bust, and recovery;<br />

this is a consistent cycle which can be accurately assessed. The property cycle must have a ‘free market’<br />

where ownership is attainable by citizens without significant Government restrictions, or any form of<br />

ownership.<br />

Boom<br />

When the Boom phase<br />

commences, most people<br />

don’t think it will last because<br />

they do not have the context<br />

of understanding the property<br />

cycle. It is not until prices have<br />

increased to a noticeable level<br />

that the number of buyers start to<br />

overcome the number of sellers,<br />

this margin increases rapidly as<br />

prices are pushed higher in the<br />

fierce completion, culminating in<br />

a final and short spike in values<br />

just before a collapse. There are<br />

number of factors that fester the<br />

right environment for a boom,<br />

these factors start well before<br />

the boom and some expire<br />

during the boom. These are the<br />

signs that the astute investors in<br />

property pick up and make their<br />

decisions whether to buy, sell or<br />

hold.<br />

4

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