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Treatment of Sex Offenders

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310<br />

P. Lussier<br />

& Rice, 2007 ; Lussier & Healey, 2009 ; Prentky & Lee, 2007 ; Thornton, 2006 ;<br />

Wollert, 2006 ; Wollert, Cramer, Waggoner, Skelton, & Vess, 2010 ). Empirical<br />

studies have consistently shown showed an inverse significant relationship between<br />

the age at release and sexual recidivism. In fact, a meta-analysis conducted with a<br />

large sample <strong>of</strong> sex <strong>of</strong>fenders showed that the correlation <strong>of</strong> the individual’s age at<br />

release was in the low 10s for sexual recidivism and in the mid 20s for nonsexual<br />

violent recidivism (Hanson & Bussière, 1998 ). These results suggest that the age<br />

effect might be more pronounced for violent re<strong>of</strong>fending compared with other<br />

types <strong>of</strong> re<strong>of</strong>fending which may have to do with the lower base rate <strong>of</strong> sexual<br />

recidivism. Looking more closely at these findings, results show that young adults<br />

in their early 20s represent the group most likely to sexually re<strong>of</strong>fend after their<br />

release. In fact, researchers generally include items reflecting the <strong>of</strong>fender’s age at<br />

the time <strong>of</strong> assessment in risk assessment instrument to assess the risk <strong>of</strong> sexual<br />

recidivism (e.g., Quinsey et al., 1998 ; Hanson & Thornton, 2000 ). However, these<br />

actuarial instruments differ as to the cut<strong>of</strong>f age at which the risk is considered to be<br />

higher (i.e., being less than 25, 27, 30 years age, etc.). Research has also shown that<br />

older <strong>of</strong>fenders present a very low risk <strong>of</strong> sexual re<strong>of</strong>fending. <strong>Offenders</strong> in their 50s<br />

show a significant decline in risk <strong>of</strong> re<strong>of</strong>fending compared with <strong>of</strong>fenders in their<br />

20s and 30s (Barbaree et al., 2003 ). In fact, data indicated that sexual recidivism<br />

rates are as low as 2 % over a 5-year period for <strong>of</strong>fenders aged 60 and older<br />

(Hanson, 2006 ; Thornton, 2006 ; Lussier & Healey, 2009 ). Indeed, longitudinal<br />

studies have demonstrated that the risk <strong>of</strong> sexual recidivism decreases steadily as<br />

the <strong>of</strong>fender’s age increases from the time <strong>of</strong> his release (Barbaree et al., 2003 ;<br />

Barbaree et al., 2007 ). The linear decrease was found for sexual (Barbaree et al.,<br />

2003 ; Hanson, 2002 ; Lussier & Healey, 2009 ; Thornton, 2006 ; Prentky & Lee,<br />

2007 ) and violent re<strong>of</strong>fending (including sexual <strong>of</strong>fenses) (e.g., Fazel, Sjöstedt,<br />

Långström, & Grann, 2006 ).<br />

Although a downward linear trend appears to characterize the risk <strong>of</strong> re<strong>of</strong>fending<br />

as the <strong>of</strong>fender’s age at release increases, other findings suggest that the age–sexual<br />

recidivism relationship is more complex. Researchers generally agree on the recidivism<br />

rates <strong>of</strong> the younger adult <strong>of</strong>fenders and older <strong>of</strong>fenders, but there is controversy<br />

about the age effect occurring for other <strong>of</strong>fenders. Three main points have<br />

been at the core <strong>of</strong> the debate about the link between aging and re<strong>of</strong>fending in adult<br />

<strong>of</strong>fenders: (a) identification <strong>of</strong> the age at which the risk <strong>of</strong> re<strong>of</strong>fending peaks; (b)<br />

how to best represent the trend in risk <strong>of</strong> re<strong>of</strong>fending between the youngest and the<br />

oldest group; and (c) the possibility <strong>of</strong> differential age–crime curves <strong>of</strong> re<strong>of</strong>fending.<br />

One hypothesis states that, when excluding the youngest and oldest group <strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong>fenders,<br />

age at release and the risk <strong>of</strong> sexual recidivism might be best represented by a<br />

plateau. Thornton ( 2006 ) argued that the inverse correlation revealed in previous<br />

studies may have been the result <strong>of</strong> the differential re<strong>of</strong>fending rates <strong>of</strong> the youngest<br />

and oldest age groups, rather than a steadily declining risk <strong>of</strong> re<strong>of</strong>fending. In that<br />

regard, one study presented sample statistics suggesting a plateau between the early<br />

20s and the 60s + age groups (Langan, Schmitt, & Durose, 2003 ). No statistical<br />

analyses were reported between the groups, thus limiting possible conclusions for<br />

that hypothesis. Another hypothesis suggests there might be a curvilinear relation-

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