TO NEW BREXIT REALITY
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BUSINESS WITH PERSONALITY<br />
PICCADILLY GOES DARK<br />
WHAT NEXT FOR THE<br />
ICONIC AD SPACE? P24-25<br />
INTERVIEW <strong>TO</strong>P<br />
INVES<strong>TO</strong>R JON<br />
MOUL<strong>TO</strong>N TALKS<br />
<strong>TO</strong> CITY A.M. P11<br />
WIN<br />
A KARMA<br />
HOLIDAY<br />
EVERYDAY<br />
THIS WEEK<br />
STARTS<br />
<strong>TO</strong>MORROW<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017 ISSUE 2,792 CITYAM.COM<br />
FREE<br />
SQUARE MILE WAKES UP<br />
<strong>TO</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>BREXIT</strong> <strong>REALITY</strong><br />
MARK SANDS AND HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />
@MkSands @HayleyLEK<br />
THE CITY is shifting to a new focus on best<br />
possible access to Europe’s Single Market,<br />
rather than pinning hopes on continued<br />
membership of the trading bloc, as it<br />
prepares for the PM to announce a socalled<br />
clean Brexit tomorrow.<br />
In a much anticipated speech, Theresa<br />
May is expected to make clear the UK’s<br />
willingness to quit the Single Market in<br />
order to regain control of the country’s<br />
borders and forge new trade deals.<br />
Sterling dropped further in<br />
expectation of the speech. The pound<br />
was trading around $1.198 in Australia<br />
last night. Some analysts believe the<br />
currency could bounce back if May’s<br />
speech refers to a transitional period, or<br />
reassures markets that the government<br />
will push for free trade and defend the<br />
financial sector. However, analysts at<br />
Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs say<br />
it could sink even lower.<br />
Since the referendum, the City has<br />
warned of the need for continued access<br />
to the Single Market. However, the tone<br />
has shifted in recent months, away from<br />
one which was fighting tooth and nail for<br />
rights like passporting to one that is<br />
more open to other options.<br />
“The fact that we have had Philip<br />
Hammond and David Davis standing<br />
together and talking about the need for<br />
transitional arrangements has done the<br />
politics of Brexit for the City a power of<br />
good,” said Iain Anderson of lobbying<br />
firm Cicero. “That has done an awful lot<br />
to calm nerves, and now a lot of the<br />
conversations are about best possible<br />
access to the Single Market.”<br />
Passporting – a complex set of rights<br />
allowing firms in the UK to do business<br />
in the EEA and vice versa – was<br />
conspicuous by its absence in a financial<br />
and professional services wish-list<br />
published by industry group TheCityUK<br />
last week. The group is also understood<br />
to be carrying out a study into the effects<br />
of regulatory equivalence, which is due<br />
to be published later this month.<br />
“We want maximum access...and<br />
actually a comprehensive free trade<br />
agreement between the UK and the<br />
Single Market may lead to a better<br />
outcome for everybody,” said Shanker<br />
Singham, chairman of the Legatum<br />
Institute Special Trade Commission.<br />
Meanwhile, Allie Renison, head of<br />
Europe and trade policy at the Institute<br />
of Directors, stated firms would have<br />
been “kidding themselves” if they<br />
hadn’t been considering a departure<br />
from the Single Market a possibility.<br />
Chancellor Philip Hammond revealed<br />
yesterday that he is prepared to go all<br />
out to make the UK more attractive to<br />
international business in the event of<br />
unsatisfactory negotiations with the EU.<br />
Hammond used an interview with<br />
German newspaper Welt am Sonntag to<br />
warn: “If we have no access to the<br />
European market, if we are closed off, if<br />
Britain were to leave the European Union<br />
without an agreement on market access,<br />
then we could suffer from economic<br />
damage at least in the short-term.<br />
“In this case, we could be forced to<br />
change our economic model and we will<br />
have to change our model to regain<br />
competitiveness.” Hammond added<br />
“you can be sure we will do whatever we<br />
have to do. The British people are not<br />
going to lie down and say, too bad, we’ve<br />
been wounded. We will change our<br />
model, and we will come back, and we<br />
will be competitively engaged”.<br />
£ CONTINUED ON P4<br />
FTSE 100 ▲ 7,337.81 +45.44 FTSE 250 ▲ 18,371.94 +68.44 DOW ▼ 19,885.73 -5.27 NASDAQ ▲ 5,574.12 +26.63 £/$ ▼ 1.199 -0.017 £/€ ▼ 1.129 -0.016 €/$ ▼ 1.059 -0.002<br />
YOU COULD BE HERE.<br />
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02 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
NI HAO DAVOS Chinese President Xi Jinping expected to be the<br />
star attraction of this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos<br />
THE CITY VIEW<br />
Hammond offers hard<br />
truths to the Germans<br />
WHILE much of the weekend’s focus has been on what<br />
Theresa May could announce in her big Brexit speech<br />
tomorrow, it was her chancellor, Phillip Hammond,<br />
who made one of the more interesting interventions of<br />
the weekend. In an interview with a German newspaper<br />
Hammond poured cold water on the idea that the UK might (as<br />
the interviewer put it) “come to its senses” and decide to remain<br />
in the EU after all. “That is not going to happen,” said<br />
Hammond, adding “those of us...who campaigned to remain in<br />
the EU... have moved on.” This isn’t entirely true, of course: there<br />
are a handful of diehard Remainers who, despite mounting<br />
evidence to the contrary, still believe there is a chance that<br />
somehow the UK will cobble together a deal that keeps us inside<br />
the Single Market, subject to EU law. In truth, these voices are<br />
becoming less and less relevant. Indeed, as Hammond says,<br />
without the UK as a<br />
member the EU will likely<br />
“move in a direction that<br />
will make it less attractive<br />
to people in the UK.”<br />
Hammond even comes<br />
close to sounding like a<br />
proper Brexiteer, warning<br />
that “since the referendum<br />
we have seen on the European side movement away from the UK<br />
positions” and towards “things that are anathema to the UK.”<br />
This is an important point from Hammond, coming as it does<br />
just a day before the Prime Minister finally fleshes out what<br />
kind of relationship she intends to seek with the EU. Hammond<br />
has long been a source of reassurance for those, particularly in<br />
the City, who were uneasy about May’s hardline approach to<br />
immigration. But it seems as if the chancellor and the PM may<br />
at last be on the same page. Downing St has briefed that May’s<br />
speech will present the UK as an outward-looking, global,<br />
trading nation. In his chat with the Germans, Hammond also<br />
stressed that the Leave campaign stood “on a platform to build<br />
free trade agreements...with other countries around the world”<br />
and that “our destiny is an engagement with the wider world.”<br />
With this week set to be a turning point in the UK’s Brexit story,<br />
we must all hope that Hammond’s vision of the future is echoed<br />
by Theresa May.<br />
Follow us on Twitter @cityam<br />
‘Those of us who<br />
campaigned to<br />
remain in the EU<br />
have moved on’<br />
CHINESE Premier Xi Jinping began his two-day state visit to Switzerland yesterday by visiting the House of Parliament<br />
“Bundeshaus” in Bern with Swiss Federal President Doris Leuthard. Jinping will create history tomorrow by becoming the first<br />
Chinese leader to address the World Economic Forum in Davos. He is likely to speak strongly in favour of boosting globalisation.<br />
Take populism seriously,<br />
says Davos boss Schwab<br />
ASHLEY COATES<br />
PRIME minister Theresa May, Chinese<br />
President Xi Jinping, US vice president<br />
Joe Biden and US secretary of state<br />
John Kerry will be among the 3,000<br />
businessmen, politicians and celebrities<br />
at the annual World Economic<br />
Forum this week.<br />
The four-day event in Switzerland<br />
has developed a reputation as a gathering<br />
of the global elite, with as much<br />
interest paid to the parties as the<br />
events programme.<br />
But the forum’s founder, Klaus<br />
Schwab says this year’s session is<br />
aimed squarely towards addressing<br />
the concerns of the disenfranchised.<br />
“It would be soundly unrealistic and<br />
far from realities if we did not integrate<br />
the concerns of populists very<br />
much into our own deliberation”,<br />
Schwab told the Associated Press at<br />
the weekend. “We have to take it<br />
[populism] seriously”.<br />
The organisers of the event in<br />
Switzerland have chosen “responsive<br />
and responsible leadership” as the<br />
theme of the conference, which will<br />
overlap with Donald Trump’s inauguration<br />
on 20 January.<br />
Their programme aims to contend<br />
with issues that last year’s attendees<br />
would barely have thought possible,<br />
with sessions looking at “the post-EU<br />
era” and “politics of fear or rebellion<br />
of the forgotten?”<br />
The major event of the 2017 conference<br />
is the participation of Xi Jinping,<br />
who will become the first Chinese<br />
leader ever to attend Davos.<br />
He is likely to speak against Trump’s<br />
protectionist policies in a session<br />
focusing on “inclusive globalisation”.<br />
The Trump administration is putting<br />
up Anthony Scaramucci, a hedge-fund<br />
manager and key member of the<br />
Trump-Pence transition team.<br />
Theresa May will deliver a speech<br />
billed as a “special address” in Davos,<br />
on Thursday.<br />
Her chancellor Philip Hammond will<br />
give a speech in a session called<br />
“Britain and the EU – the way<br />
forward” on Friday, with a focus on<br />
the challenges of global and EU<br />
migration as well as future growth<br />
and investment strategies.<br />
He will be joined on the stage by<br />
Italy’s Prime Minister, Mario Monti, as<br />
well as Jes Staley, chief executive at<br />
Barclays and Thorold Barker, the Wall<br />
Street Journal’s editor for EMEA.<br />
London mayor Sadiq Khan will be in<br />
Davos discussing the future of the city<br />
after Brexit during a dinner hosted by<br />
Morgan Stanley. Khan is expected to<br />
insist that London remains open to<br />
international investment.<br />
FINANCIAL TIMES THE TIMES THE DAILY TELEGRAPH THE WALL STREET JOURNAL<br />
MORE THAN 100 JAILED FOR<br />
FAKE BP OIL SPILL CLAIMS<br />
More than 100 people have been jailed<br />
for making fraudulent oil spill claims<br />
against BP, highlighting the scale of<br />
fraud the energy group faced as it tried<br />
to contain damage over the US’s largest<br />
environmental disaster in 2010. 311<br />
people had been convicted by last<br />
September, with 102 sent to prison.<br />
LONDON COURT <strong>TO</strong> HEAR<br />
£10BN LEHMAN CLAIM<br />
A £10bn claim by the administrators of<br />
Lehman Brothers’ European operations<br />
will come before London courts today,<br />
more than eight years after the US<br />
investment bank collapsed. The case<br />
pits scores of businesses and thousands<br />
WHAT THE<br />
OTHER<br />
PAPERS SAY<br />
THIS<br />
MORNING<br />
of former Lehman bankers, who claim<br />
they are still owed money, against the<br />
hedge funds and distressed debt<br />
investors that bought the investment<br />
bank’s European bonds after its collapse.<br />
GERMANS <strong>TO</strong> SEIZE TRADE<br />
FROM CITY, SAYS RESEARCH<br />
Deutsche Boerse’s €25bn merger with<br />
the London Stock Exchange will trigger<br />
a huge grab of business by Frankfurt<br />
from the City, a study claims. Research,<br />
which was commissioned by the<br />
German exchange, says the merger will<br />
give Deutsche Boerse the opportunity to<br />
relocate billions of pounds of<br />
derivatives trading from the UK to<br />
Germany.<br />
GIANT AIRSHIP MAKER SET<br />
FOR LIFT-OFF WITH FLOAT<br />
The maker of the world’s largest aircraft,<br />
Hybrid Air Vehicles, is planning a London<br />
flotation as it seeks funds for its plan to<br />
bring about a new dawn for the airship.<br />
MAURITIUS PAYMENT HITS<br />
FUNDSMITH PROFITS<br />
Terry Smith’s investment firm<br />
Fundsmith moved nearly £30m to its<br />
sister company in Mauritius last year,<br />
sending its profits falling sharply despite<br />
a surge in customers attracted to its<br />
investment strategies. Fundsmith<br />
generated a 58 per cent rise in revenues<br />
to £41.6m for the year to March, as more<br />
investors rushed into its trading ideas.<br />
STEEL INDUSTRY WINS<br />
RELIEF FROM GREEN TAXES<br />
The danger of Britain’s steel industry<br />
plunging back into crisis has eased with<br />
the government agreeing further<br />
subsidies that reduce the sector’s<br />
cripplingly high energy bills.<br />
SPACEX LAUNCHES FIRST<br />
ROCKET SINCE EXPLOSION<br />
Space Exploration Technologies<br />
successfully launched its Falcon 9<br />
rocket, rebounding from a catastrophic<br />
accident in September. The trouble-free<br />
liftoff marked a high-stakes pivot for<br />
entrepreneur Elon Musk’s closely held<br />
company.<br />
WANDA GROUP SUFFERS<br />
RARE REVENUE DROP<br />
Dalian Wanda Group – run by China’s<br />
richest man, Wang Jianlin – reported its<br />
first revenue decline in six years, citing a<br />
softening commercial-property market<br />
while shifts into entertainment. Total<br />
revenue dropped 13.9 per cent in 2016<br />
from the year before.
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />
03<br />
US banks forecast for revenue slide<br />
HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />
@HayleyLEK<br />
US EARNINGS season might be about<br />
to prove that not all that glitters is<br />
Goldman, as the investment banking<br />
titan is predicted to announce a<br />
double digit slide in full-year<br />
revenues on Wednesday.<br />
Analysts have also forecast a slump<br />
in revenues for Morgan Stanley,<br />
which reports tomorrow, and<br />
Citigroup, which reports on<br />
Wednesday.<br />
According to a consensus of<br />
analysts by Yahoo Finance, Goldman<br />
Sachs is predicted to announce<br />
revenues of $30.3bn (£24.9bn) for<br />
2016, down 10.3 per cent from<br />
$33.8bn.<br />
Earnings per share for the lender<br />
are predicted to rise to $15.81, up<br />
from $12.14 last year when penalties<br />
for mortgage-backed mis-selling<br />
swiped a chunk from the bank’s<br />
bottom line.<br />
A more modest decline is expected<br />
from Morgan Stanley, with analysts<br />
forecasting revenues for 2016 of<br />
$34.1bn, down 1.2 per cent from<br />
$34.5bn excluding debt valuation<br />
adjustment last year.<br />
Meanwhile, at Citigroup, the<br />
consensus pegs revenues at $70.5bn<br />
for 2016, down 7.4 per cent from<br />
$76.1bn last year.<br />
Goldman Sachs boss Lloyd Blankfein might not be cheery come Wednesday<br />
Law firm sees<br />
floats getting<br />
a lift this year<br />
Trump to seal<br />
UK trade deal<br />
‘very quickly’<br />
MARK SANDS<br />
@MkSands<br />
GLOBAL float activity is expected to<br />
rise by just over 25 per cent in 2017,<br />
before surging onwards in the<br />
following years.<br />
This year will see floats reach<br />
$167bn (£138bn), according to<br />
experts at law firm Baker McKenzie,<br />
up from $133bn in 2016.<br />
Further floats are expected to see<br />
activity dramatically uptick,<br />
reaching $275bn in 2018 and 2019.<br />
“Improved market sentiment and<br />
a number of countries looking to list<br />
state-owned companies to raise<br />
money, particularly in the CEE, CIS,<br />
Middle East and Africa should lead to<br />
a more benign market environment<br />
in 2017 with a real pick up towards<br />
the second half of the year into<br />
2018,” said Koen Vanhaerents, global<br />
head of capital markets at Baker<br />
McKenzie.<br />
Vanhaerents added that the<br />
technology sector will likely be a key<br />
source of activity, with a mooted<br />
initial public offering for teen social<br />
media platform Snapchat likely to<br />
lead the way.<br />
By contrast, acquisition activity is<br />
likely to remain diminished after<br />
slowing last year.<br />
The law firm predicted total M&A<br />
values would droop from $2.8<br />
trillion in 2016 to $2.5 trillion this<br />
year, before slowly recovering.<br />
Baker McKenzie’s global head of<br />
M&A Michael DeFranco said<br />
volatility in the US stock market,<br />
growing concerns about China’s<br />
economic slowdown, and dropping<br />
oil and commodity prices caused<br />
dealmakers to become more<br />
cautious.<br />
“We expect that environment of<br />
uncertainty to continue at least for<br />
the first quarter of this year,”<br />
DeFranco said.<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
US PRESIDENT-ELECT Donald Trump<br />
has said he will move “very quickly”<br />
to secure a new trade deal with the<br />
UK when he comes to office.<br />
“I’m a big fan of the UK, we’re<br />
gonna work very hard to get it done<br />
quickly and done properly. Good for<br />
both sides,” Trump told MP Michael<br />
Gove in an interview with the Times.<br />
Trump, who will be inaugurated as<br />
the 45th US President on Friday, told<br />
prominent Leave campaigner Gove<br />
that Brexit “is going to end up being<br />
a great thing”.<br />
The billionaire tycoon-turnedpolitician<br />
blasted the European<br />
Union as “basically a vehicle for<br />
Germany”, and said Germany’s<br />
dominance of the organisation is<br />
why he thought “the UK was so<br />
smart in getting out”. Trump backed<br />
Brexit in the run-up to the<br />
referendum.<br />
Trump also said the fall in the<br />
value of sterling since the EU<br />
referendum in June is “great”.<br />
Yesterday, former Ukip leader<br />
Nigel Farage predicted the UK could<br />
agree to a trade deal within months<br />
of Trump coming to office.<br />
In an attack on Nato, Trump said<br />
the military alliance was “obsolete”<br />
because it has not defended against<br />
terror attacks, but added that the<br />
organisation is still “very important<br />
to him”.<br />
The President-elect also said he<br />
will offer to end sanctions against<br />
Russia in return for a nuclear arms<br />
reduction deal with President<br />
Vladimir Putin. “They have sanctions<br />
on Russia – let’s see if we can make<br />
some good deals with Russia,” he<br />
said.<br />
Prime Minister Theresa May is set<br />
to visit Trump in Washington DC<br />
next month.<br />
PMI fumes over new Indian proposals<br />
India’s tobacco market is said to be worth $11bn<br />
ADITYA KALRA<br />
PHILIP Morris International is<br />
fighting to keep a toehold in India’s<br />
$11bn (£9.1bn) tobacco market, as the<br />
government considers further<br />
tightening foreign investment rules<br />
in the sector, according to documents<br />
seen by Reuters.<br />
In previously unreported letters<br />
from Philip Morris to the trade<br />
minister and an influential<br />
government think-tank, the US-based<br />
company said the “discriminatory”<br />
and “protectionist” proposals would<br />
represent a blow to its plans to<br />
launch new products and make<br />
further investments in India.<br />
The two letters dated May and<br />
October last year followed local<br />
media reports of a possible change in<br />
government policy. While the<br />
warnings may be part of the firm’s<br />
negotiations, they show the level of<br />
concern the proposals are causing.<br />
“The proposed ban will impact our<br />
future investments in India and also<br />
force a review of our overall<br />
operations, including tobacco crop<br />
purchases,” Martin G King, PMI’s Asia<br />
president, wrote on 13 October to<br />
NITI Aayog, India’s most influential<br />
government think-tank.<br />
Reuters
04 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
Single Market retreat hearing due<br />
next month as Article 50 case looms<br />
HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />
@HayleyLEK<br />
A COURT hearing that could cause a<br />
headache for Prime Minister Theresa<br />
May, as she plans to trigger Article 50,<br />
has been postponed until early<br />
February.<br />
A case brought last year argues the<br />
government cannot leave the Single<br />
Market without triggering Article<br />
127 of the European Economic Area<br />
agreement – and says it must seek<br />
approval from MPs to do so. The<br />
hearing will decide whether or not<br />
the case carries enough clout to go to<br />
a full trial.<br />
It was initially brought by chair of<br />
pressure group British Influence<br />
Peter Wilding and lobbyist Adrian<br />
Yalland.<br />
The merit hearing was due to take<br />
place this week. However, City A.M.<br />
has learned this has now been<br />
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postponed until early February.<br />
Meanwhile, the government’s<br />
legal eagles are bracing themselves<br />
for the outcome of their Article 50<br />
appeal, which was heard by the<br />
Supreme Court justices in December,<br />
after a trio of High Court judges<br />
decided the government must get<br />
the thumbs up from MPs before it<br />
can trigger Article 50.<br />
No official date for the hand down<br />
of the judgment has been given.<br />
HUNT <strong>TO</strong> MAKE A KILLING UK business<br />
co-owned by Jeremy Hunt to fetch £35m<br />
UK HEALTH secretary<br />
Jeremy Hunt could<br />
pick up a £15m<br />
windfall as his<br />
education business<br />
Hotcourses is<br />
expected to be sold in<br />
a deal worth up to<br />
£35m. Hunt and his<br />
business partner Mike<br />
Elms set up the<br />
business in 1996. A<br />
deal with an<br />
Australasian firm with<br />
interests in the<br />
education sector was<br />
close to be signed late<br />
last night, Sky News<br />
reported. Hunt owns<br />
approximately 48 per<br />
cent of the shares.<br />
City buoyed by<br />
Barnier pledge<br />
for special deal<br />
CONTINUED FROM P1<br />
May’s speech comes as a report from<br />
think tank Policy Exchange calls on<br />
her to go public with plans for a socalled<br />
clean Brexit, including departures<br />
from the EU’s trading blocs.<br />
Asked if the City had made peace<br />
with Brexit, report author and economist<br />
Gerard Lyons, a former adviser to<br />
Boris Johnson, echoed the view that<br />
firms had come round to the realities<br />
of quitting the EU.<br />
“A lot of the City wasn’t fully prepared<br />
for the Brexit vote, or at least<br />
had not thought through a strategy if<br />
the country was to vote to leave,”<br />
Lyons said. “But as time has gone on<br />
more and more firms have started to<br />
develop their plan, and they have<br />
started to see things in a new way.”<br />
The City will likely take some comfort<br />
from leaked European parliament<br />
minutes, which cite EU chief Brexit<br />
negotiator Michel Barnier calling for<br />
Europe to maintain a “special” relationship<br />
with the London and the<br />
UK’s financial markets. The comments<br />
echo those made by the Bank<br />
of England governor last week, with<br />
Mark Carney telling the influential<br />
Treasury Select Committee a badly<br />
constructed Brexit deal with no transition<br />
period “would be greater for Europe<br />
than the UK”.<br />
Although a spokesperson for the European<br />
Commission said the minutes<br />
did not “correctly reflect what Barnier<br />
said” and the man himself has since<br />
taken to Twitter to clarify that his<br />
comments were in relation to equivalence<br />
, a source at meeting told the<br />
Guardian, which first published the<br />
news, the minutes were “more or less<br />
accurate”. Also, a report by the Financial<br />
Services Negotiation Forum notes<br />
a clampdown by the ECB could make<br />
it look like it’s trying to build “fortress<br />
Europe”<br />
“The EU should not rush to make a<br />
decision on this topic as a political<br />
backlash to Brexit,” said Anthony<br />
Belchambers, chairman of the honorary<br />
advisory council, FSNForum.<br />
French ex-PM trails in TV debate<br />
with immigration plan panned<br />
RICHARD BALMFORTH<br />
FORMER Prime Minister Manuel Valls,<br />
long tipped to win the left-wing ticket<br />
for France’s presidential election this<br />
spring, trailed his rivals after a debate<br />
last night where his immigration<br />
policies came under fire.<br />
In the televised debate, Valls faced<br />
six other contenders ahead of a<br />
Socialist primary starting on 22<br />
January to pick a candidate who can<br />
keep next May’s presidential poll<br />
from becoming a contest between the<br />
center-right’s Francois Fillon and<br />
Marine Le Pen of the far-right.<br />
The candidate chosen in the<br />
primary’s runoff on 29 January could<br />
also have a crucial impact on the<br />
chances of independent Emmanuel<br />
Macron, a popular former economy<br />
minister whose campaign is rapidly<br />
gaining momentum.<br />
An Elabe poll of 1,053 people of<br />
mixed political views said 29 per cent<br />
found former economy minister<br />
Arnaud Montebourg “more<br />
convincing” than Valls. Reuters
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />
07<br />
Burberry to check in sales boost as<br />
sterling drop attracts more buyers<br />
HELEN CAHILL<br />
@HelCahill<br />
BRITISH fashion house Burberry is<br />
widely expected to report an uplift in<br />
sales this week after the fall in the<br />
value of the pound made its products<br />
more attractive to foreign buyers.<br />
Burberry posts its third quarter<br />
trading update on Wednesday, and<br />
Barclays analysts have predicted the<br />
company will announce a like-for-like<br />
sales increase of two per cent. The<br />
brand has predicted that the<br />
devaluation of sterling could bolster<br />
its annual profits by as much as<br />
£125m.<br />
Chinese sales now make up a<br />
quarter of Burberry’s total sales, and a<br />
recent slowdown in spending in<br />
China has been hitting Burberry<br />
particularly hard.<br />
But it is thought that the luxury<br />
fashion brand will have benefited<br />
from a recent marketing campaign<br />
with Chinese pop star Kris Wu.<br />
There were so many Christmas<br />
trading updates last week — a dozen<br />
retailers published figures last<br />
Thursday — that Shore Capital<br />
analysts released a note complaining<br />
about it.<br />
This week will be less packed, but<br />
there are several retailers reporting,<br />
including Greggs, Pets at Home,<br />
Bonmarche and Halfords.<br />
Burberry is expected to benefit from the impact of last year’s EU referendum<br />
UK high streets<br />
cheery over key<br />
festive period<br />
HELEN CAHILL<br />
@HelCahill<br />
UK HIGH streets have benefited from<br />
the first December rise in footfall for<br />
five years.<br />
Footfall increased 0.8 per cent yearon-year<br />
in December, according to figures<br />
from Springboard and the British<br />
Retail Consortium (BRC), as consumers<br />
sought some festive cheer on<br />
the high street.<br />
However, footfall in retail parks and<br />
shopping centres fell by 0.7 per cent<br />
and 1.9 per cent respectively. This<br />
meant overall footfall in the UK fell<br />
0.2 per cent in December.<br />
Diane Wehrle, marketing and insights<br />
director at Springboard, said<br />
the figures showed that the “supposition<br />
of the death of the high street has<br />
been greatly exaggerated”.<br />
“The shift in consumer demand<br />
from focusing on the purchase of<br />
physical goods to encompass experi-<br />
IPO for Burundi<br />
rare earth miner<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
A BURUNDI-based miner with one of<br />
the world’s highest grade rare earth<br />
deposits is dusting itself off for a<br />
London Stock Exchange listing.<br />
Rainbow Rare Earths plans to float<br />
on the main market in the coming<br />
weeks and wants to raise $7m (£5.7m)<br />
to bring its Gakara project into<br />
production within nine months.<br />
Rainbow already has an offtake<br />
agreement with German metals and<br />
engineering giant ThyssenKrupp.<br />
ences has clearly benefited the high<br />
street. It has been able to transition<br />
quickly by providing an improved<br />
food and beverage offer. This has<br />
helped to bring in much-needed footfall,”<br />
she said.<br />
The news comes after a raft of retailers<br />
reported better-than-expected results<br />
for the Christmas period. Last<br />
week Debenhams said its shift to<br />
beauty had boosted its sales by one<br />
per cent, and Marks and Spencer reported<br />
its first increase in clothing<br />
sales for six years.<br />
However, figures from Barclaycard<br />
suggested that consumer spending in<br />
the high street was flat, despite the<br />
uplift in footfall.<br />
Helen Dickinson, chief executive of<br />
the BRC, said: “Solid festive sales did<br />
not translate into a lift in footfall<br />
above last year as online continues to<br />
grab the lion’s share of growth. E-commerce<br />
accounted for nearly a quarter<br />
of all purchases in December.”<br />
Blue Monday<br />
haunts Brits<br />
JULIAN HARRIS<br />
@hariboconomics<br />
<strong>TO</strong>DAY is 2017’s “blue Monday” – a<br />
term coined by an academic over a<br />
decade ago who sought to calculate<br />
the most depressing day of the year.<br />
By mid-January many Brits are still<br />
two weeks from payday, having been<br />
squeezed by Christmas spending and<br />
bills. Peer-to-peer lender the Money<br />
Platform says that even people<br />
earning over £50,000 per annum get<br />
caught out, with two fifths regularly<br />
busting their monthly budget.
2016 changed the world.<br />
Insight to keep you<br />
one step ahead in 2017.<br />
Visit FT.com
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />
09<br />
MAYFAIR GOLD MINE London shopping<br />
hub Burlington Arcade on sale for £400m<br />
Business activity in London gets a<br />
boost as demand for goods grows<br />
ASHLEY COATES<br />
DECEMBER saw the fastest period of<br />
growth in London’s business activity<br />
since January last year, according to a<br />
report by Lloyds Bank.<br />
London’s performance on the<br />
Lloyds Bank purchasing managers’<br />
index (PMI) was up 56.1 points in<br />
December, from 55.3 in November. A<br />
reading greater than 50 signifies<br />
growth in business activity.<br />
Despite the strong figures, London<br />
was behind most other UK regions<br />
for business activity growth in the<br />
same period, falling below the<br />
neighbouring south east region and<br />
below the UK average.<br />
Demand for goods and services<br />
within the capital outpaced other UK<br />
regions, however, representing a<br />
significant factor for the growth of<br />
business activity.<br />
Although employment slowed<br />
down from November onwards, the<br />
fourth quarter proved to be the<br />
strongest for business activity for the<br />
capital since the same period in<br />
2015.<br />
Paul Evans, regional director for<br />
London at Lloyds Bank commercial<br />
banking, said: “A substantial rise in<br />
new work is an encouraging sign of<br />
investment and confidence. The<br />
private sector will be hoping this can<br />
sustain growth across the next year.”<br />
LONDON’S iconic shopping gallery, the Burlington Arcade, has gone on sale, with<br />
industry sources saying it is likely to fetch £400m for its owners Thor Equities and<br />
Meyer Bergman. The two firms purchased it in 2010 for £104m.<br />
Imperial Brands<br />
chief exec could<br />
get bloody nose<br />
Four the record<br />
ALYS KEY<br />
IMPERIAL Brands is in danger of<br />
sparking a shareholder rebellion over<br />
plans to award its chief executive an<br />
£8.5m pay packet.<br />
The Bristol-based tobacco company<br />
proposes to increase CEO Alison<br />
Cooper’s pay packet by up to £3m<br />
more than she received last year, if she<br />
meets targets.<br />
Shareholders will have the chance to<br />
vote on the plan at the annual meeting<br />
in February.<br />
Agencies providing advice to shareholders<br />
are split over the proposal.<br />
While the Institutional Voting Information<br />
Service (IVIS) has issued an<br />
amber warning, advisory service Glass<br />
Lewis will support the plan.<br />
Institution Shareholders (ISS) is expected<br />
to release a recommendation<br />
early this week.<br />
Yesterday the Sunday Times reported<br />
that at least one of Imperial’s<br />
top 10 investors intends to vote<br />
against the pay packet.<br />
If the proposal is met with opposition,<br />
it is likely to be the first of many<br />
shareholder rebellions this year.<br />
BlackRock, one of the world’s largest<br />
fund managers, renewed its opposition<br />
to big bonuses last week by writing<br />
to the chairmen of every company<br />
in the FTSE 350.<br />
The letter says that the firm will<br />
only approve salary rises for directors<br />
if the wages of ordinary employees are<br />
increased proportionally.<br />
BlackRock provided a set of guidelines<br />
to assist companies in reforming<br />
pay policies.<br />
The guidelines reiterated a policy<br />
suggested by Amra Balic, head of<br />
BlackRock’s investment stewardship<br />
team in Europe, the Middle East and<br />
Africa (EMEA) last year.<br />
She told a hearing of MPs that the<br />
firm would consider voting against<br />
electing committee members who<br />
favour large bonuses.<br />
Stock Spirits gets hammered for<br />
its treatment of key investors<br />
ALYS KEY<br />
S<strong>TO</strong>CK Spirits, a London-listed<br />
producer of Polish vodka, has been<br />
criticised by a prominent shareholder<br />
for the board’s “disdainful” treatment<br />
of investors.<br />
Luis Amaral, who owns a 9.7 per<br />
cent stake in the company, said there<br />
had been a lack of transparency in<br />
dealings with shareholders.<br />
He cited cancellation of a planned<br />
investor day and the failure to<br />
disclose Christmas sales figures as<br />
examples of Stock’s poor conduct.<br />
Amaral condemned the lack of<br />
updates on a “root and branch”<br />
review of business in Poland.<br />
He said: “We believe that the<br />
Board must address the disdainful<br />
way that investors and shareholders<br />
in this company continue to be<br />
treated.”<br />
In 2015 the company, which has a<br />
large share of the Central European<br />
market, suffered a 22.3 per cent drop<br />
to €41.7m (£32.5m) in operating<br />
profits after losing ground in Poland.<br />
Voted Financial Services Provider<br />
of the Year for the fourth year in a row<br />
at the 2016 Shares Awards<br />
Switch today at cmcmarkets.co.uk<br />
Spread betting | CFDs | FX | Binaries<br />
Spread betting and CFD trading can result in losses<br />
that exceed your deposits. All trading involves risk.
10 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
BHS administrator slams pensions<br />
lifeboat for its control over retailer<br />
HELEN CAHILL<br />
@HelCahill<br />
THE FIRM originally appointed to<br />
handle BHS’ collapse has criticised<br />
the company’s largest unsecured<br />
creditor for trying to control the<br />
process.<br />
BHS fell into administration in<br />
2016, a year after its former owner<br />
Sir Philip Green sold it to serial<br />
bankrupt Dominic Chappell for £1.<br />
Duff & Phelps was brought in to<br />
handle the administration of BHS.<br />
But when the firm’s independence<br />
from Green was questioned, BHS’<br />
unsecured creditor, the Pension<br />
Protection Fund (PPF), appointed<br />
FRP Advisory as joint administrator.<br />
The PPF also insisted FRP Advisory<br />
become BHS’ liquidators.<br />
It has now emerged that Duff &<br />
Phelps has complained that “one<br />
creditor had control over the entire<br />
process (being the PPF)”.<br />
As BHS’ largest unsecured<br />
creditor, the PPF can out-vote the<br />
other creditors at any creditors’<br />
meeting.<br />
In a letter to Labour MP Frank<br />
Field, Duff & Phelps’ managing<br />
director Phil Duffy said that<br />
handing over to FRP Advisory was<br />
“akin to having one builder start<br />
building a house and another one<br />
finish it”.<br />
Protectionism to<br />
dominate global<br />
deals during 2017<br />
HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />
@HayleyLEK<br />
THIS year could mark a move towards<br />
more protectionist attitudes, with governments<br />
closing the door on countries<br />
they feel give their own firms a raw deal,<br />
a report out today cautions.<br />
Law firm Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer’s<br />
Global Antitrust report highlights<br />
a shift towards protectionism, as<br />
new trade deals begin to take shape following<br />
both Donald Trump’s surprise<br />
election victory and the UK’s vote to depart<br />
the EU last year, along with an increased<br />
willingness of governments to<br />
step in and fiddle with markets they<br />
deem not to be working as they should.<br />
Deirdre Trapp, a partner in the firm’s<br />
antitrust, competition and trade practice,<br />
told City A.M. governments would<br />
increasingly be looking for “reciprocity<br />
between partner countries”.<br />
“In situations where a domestic company<br />
would not have the opportunities<br />
abroad that a company in that third<br />
country wants to try and obtain here, I<br />
think they could face a more sceptical<br />
and critical review now,” Trapp added.<br />
Trump has already said he is less than<br />
impressed with AT&T’s $85bn (£69.8bn)<br />
acquisition of Time Warner, and that he<br />
would be willing to put his foot down to<br />
stop the mega deal going through.<br />
Freshfields added businesses should assess<br />
what risks they will be exposed to<br />
should there suddenly be more pushback<br />
from their global trading partners.
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />
11<br />
One last swansong for dealmaker Moulton<br />
Shruti Tripathi<br />
Chopra talks to<br />
the Better Capital<br />
boss about Brexit -<br />
and his own firm’s<br />
upcoming big exit<br />
BALD, bold and bespectacled,<br />
private equity veteran Jon<br />
Moulton has had more than<br />
his fair share of knocks as<br />
well as high points during a<br />
long career.<br />
He was branded the Christmas<br />
Scrooge in December 2014 when City<br />
Link collapsed into administration<br />
leaving nearly 2,700 jobs at risk.<br />
“We made a very bad decision to go<br />
in,” he admits frankly. “It’s a very difficult<br />
industry to operate in and we<br />
underestimated the magnitude of the<br />
task. We did our best, lost £20m and<br />
moved on.”<br />
So, what is serial dealmaker Moulton<br />
going to buy next? He won’t<br />
divulge details but it will be a<br />
“medium-sized engineer in the UK”<br />
that he will personally buy as he looks<br />
to wind up Better Capital, which he<br />
set up in 2009, next year.<br />
“We prepared to wind down Better<br />
Capital since we started it.<br />
“It did have finite life. People seem<br />
to find this concept rather strange but<br />
it was set up to eventually evaporate.<br />
The original intention was that the<br />
first fund would be dead by about<br />
2018 and it seems likely to achieve<br />
that. We are not raising another turnaround<br />
fund, there’s little available in<br />
the turnaround world anyway.”<br />
Apart from City Link, the other deal<br />
for which Moulton is most known is<br />
his failed attempt to buy MG Rover<br />
which was snapped up by the<br />
“Phoenix Four” and resulted in the<br />
company going bust in 2005.<br />
The worst deal he ever made, according<br />
to him, is actually one that<br />
reaped a lot of money while he was at<br />
Schroder Ventures from 1985 to 1994.<br />
“We funded a company called<br />
Newbridge Networks and sold out<br />
four years later for something like<br />
four times the money it was listed. If I<br />
had waited another year, it would’ve<br />
Jon Moulton says it was always the plan to wind down investment vehicle Better Capital, an end-goal planned for next year<br />
been 72 times the money. That’s the<br />
most expensive decision I’ve ever<br />
made.”<br />
Womenswear retailer Jaeger has<br />
been something of a thorn in his side.<br />
In 2012, Better Capital bought a majority<br />
stake in the brand for £19.5m.<br />
Last year Jaeger closed three stores<br />
including its Regent Street flagship. In<br />
October, it opened a two-floor, 2,000<br />
square feet store on Marylebone High<br />
Street.<br />
Moulton blames the heavy discounting<br />
witnessed on the high street for<br />
the sector’s troubles.<br />
I think defence is<br />
an area which will<br />
be quite buoyant<br />
“Everyone seems to be offering<br />
clothes at minus 70 per cent and that<br />
really is a nuisance because it destroys<br />
the image of your brand, it is hurting<br />
lots of retailers. Even Burberry is not<br />
having an easy time.”<br />
But he still believes in the brand.<br />
“We regularly get approached for<br />
Jaeger, there’s a lot of interest in the<br />
brand,” Moulton declares defiantly<br />
when quizzed on whether the iconic<br />
British brand has lost its place in the<br />
fashion world.<br />
“We don’t see it going into administration<br />
otherwise we wouldn’t be<br />
sitting here. From reducing prices of<br />
the clothes to shutting shops, we’ve<br />
considered all the options you could<br />
imagine.”<br />
In a career spanning over 30 years,<br />
Moulton has of course had his share<br />
of great deals.<br />
“I’ve done quite a few deals where £2<br />
has ended up as very large number.<br />
Last month, Better Capital agreed a<br />
£38m sale of the Walkabout bar chain<br />
to Stonegate Pub Company, the owner<br />
of restaurant giant Slug & Lettuce.<br />
“Probably more visible would be<br />
Parker Pens, the company losing something<br />
like £20m when we bought it<br />
and made £40m when we sold it.”<br />
Ask him about sectors that are set for<br />
ascendency in 2017 and he points towards<br />
the US President-elect’s tenure<br />
at the White House as a key factor. The<br />
defence industry could be a big<br />
winner.<br />
“Trump’s arrival on the world is not<br />
to be underestimated,” Moulton says<br />
gravely. “We are definitely going to see<br />
protectionism but perhaps much more<br />
concern. The fundamental safety of<br />
the world is less than it was. Cold wartype<br />
activities with China and Russia<br />
and even Mexico look entirely possible.<br />
“Trump has very strong views that<br />
Europe should be defending itself. I actually<br />
think defence is an area which<br />
will be really quite buoyant over the<br />
next couple of years as European countries<br />
have to get themselves some<br />
armies.”<br />
Moulton has an answer for every<br />
question under the sun – apart from<br />
what Brexit will look like.<br />
“I don’t have a clue. I don’t think anyone<br />
else has it either. There’s no<br />
chance we’re going to end up with anything<br />
but quite a hard-ish Brexit. What<br />
Mrs May is trying to do at the moment,<br />
I don’t know – not sure she does<br />
either.”<br />
However, he suspects London could<br />
emerge as the winner of Brexit.<br />
“One thing Europe definitely has<br />
done is generate absolutely ludicrous<br />
regulation. If London can attract the<br />
rest of the world to a more sensible system<br />
then that could actually be quite<br />
a big upside. Bear in mind, Europe<br />
doesn’t look very stable at the moment.<br />
London could remain strong<br />
with a stronger regulatory environment<br />
and suck capital and financial<br />
services.”<br />
That brings us to the awkward topic<br />
of Brexit-backing international trade<br />
secretary Liam Fox. In 2011, Fox<br />
resigned from the government following<br />
allegations surrounding the thendefence<br />
secretary’s former flatmate<br />
Adam Werritty.<br />
Moulton was dragged into the story<br />
when it emerged he had given a<br />
£35,000 donation to a charity set up by<br />
Werritty. Moulton passed on all the evidence<br />
of the communication about<br />
the donation to then cabinet secretary<br />
Gus O’Donnell, saying at the time he<br />
felt he’d been “mugged”.<br />
Moulton finds it quite “remarkable”<br />
that “no one seems to actually vet the<br />
reasons he left the cabinet as having<br />
any validity at all now”. He says he hasn’t<br />
forgiven Fox.<br />
And in Moulton’s eyes, Fox is no great<br />
trade secretary either.<br />
“I think he is just a loud voice but I’m<br />
not sure he’s been a very intellectual<br />
voice. I’m not sure how much grasp<br />
he’s got of it. His strengths were historically<br />
US relationships and he certainly<br />
hasn’t got those now.”<br />
So what’s Moulton going to do after<br />
2018?<br />
“I’m going to try and live for a start,”<br />
he says but in the same breath he lists<br />
numerous positions he holds including<br />
chairman of the Channel Islands<br />
Stock Exchange.<br />
“I’m 66 and entitled to take a bit of a<br />
slower view,” he says.
12 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
Has the bond bull<br />
run’s bubble burst?<br />
Jasper Jolly looks at the Trump<br />
effect and other influences that<br />
could shape the bond market in 2017<br />
THE ELECTION of Donald<br />
Trump as US President<br />
shocked the world and<br />
shocked the world’s markets.<br />
Yet that early reaction<br />
quickly morphed into euphoria, as<br />
stock indices in America experienced<br />
huge inflows and hit record highs.<br />
For investors left high and dry as trillions<br />
of dollars drained from safer<br />
fixed income bonds into riskier equities,<br />
the question is whether anything<br />
can stop the Trump train’s progress,<br />
or whether his election and inauguration<br />
this week marks the end of a 30-<br />
year bull run in government bonds.<br />
The flow of $1.7 trillion from bonds<br />
to equities over the course of three<br />
weeks was prompted by markets piecing<br />
together what they learned of the<br />
President elect’s policies on the campaign<br />
trail. Yields, which move inversely<br />
to prices, on the benchmark<br />
US 10-year Treasury rose from below<br />
1.8 per cent before the election to December<br />
highs of over 2.6 per cent.<br />
The massive deficit implied by tax<br />
cuts allied to a trillion-dollar increase<br />
in infrastructure spending led to consensus<br />
expectations of a de facto fiscal<br />
stimulus.<br />
This in turn is expected to raise inflationary<br />
pressure – with the inelegant<br />
moniker Trumpflation – making<br />
bonds less attractive as future income<br />
payments, the so-called coupon, are<br />
worth less in real terms as the currency<br />
depreciates.<br />
What makes the picture even<br />
bleaker for bonds across the globe is<br />
the Federal Reserve tightening of<br />
monetary policy in response to the<br />
threat of higher inflation, as it tries to<br />
reduce the flow of cheap money into<br />
the economy.<br />
“Fundamentally bonds are poor<br />
value,” says Christopher Bailey, European<br />
strategist at asset manager Raymond<br />
James – suggesting some form<br />
of further sell-off is possible. The<br />
chance of yields falling back down<br />
again is “low”, he says.<br />
However, the consensus rush out of<br />
bonds may have been overdone, with<br />
Trump’s chaotic press conference last<br />
week adding to feelings of buyer’s remorse<br />
for the “reflation” trade, which<br />
is based on the expectation of growth<br />
under the new administration.<br />
There were already some stridently<br />
anti-consensus voices out there, saying<br />
bond prices would continue to<br />
rise. HSBC’s global head of fixed income<br />
research, Steven Major, sees US<br />
10-year yields plunging to 1.35 per<br />
cent by the end of 2017 from current<br />
levels of around 2.4 per cent – but<br />
even less contrarian investors have<br />
moderated slightly in recent weeks.<br />
Since 15 December the JP Morgan<br />
Global Aggregate Bond Index has<br />
risen by more than two per cent, as investors<br />
await detail on fiscal stimulus.<br />
John Bilton, global head of multi-asset<br />
strategy at JP Morgan Asset Management,<br />
said: “The idea that we’re in the<br />
middle of a massive rotation [of<br />
money from bonds to equities] is not<br />
something that will necessarily follow<br />
through.”<br />
While the top end of his range on<br />
the US 10-year yield sees a rise to 2.75<br />
per cent in 2017, the level of potential<br />
economic growth is “just not enough<br />
to justify a massive surge in bond<br />
yields,” he says. So yields may not rise<br />
dramatically, and could even fall<br />
slightly.<br />
Joe Brusuelas, New York-based chief<br />
economist for RSM, says: “Investors<br />
should be prepared for some volatility<br />
around the reflation trade.” Trump’s<br />
team has some “very ambitious goals”<br />
on the economy, but there is at least<br />
“broad bipartisan support for modernising<br />
American infrastructure,” he<br />
says.<br />
The risks are by no means limited to<br />
the US. And Trump isn’t the only political<br />
risk around: despite the relative<br />
sizes of Europe’s individual<br />
economies, contagion can carry far.<br />
This was shown spectacularly in<br />
2016 by the Brexit vote, which drove<br />
the US 10-year yield to its record lowest<br />
level below 1.37 per cent two weeks<br />
later. Adverse results in elections this<br />
year in Europe – particularly in<br />
France – still have the potential to endanger<br />
the euro.<br />
Any big threat to the European project<br />
could send investors running for<br />
safe haven cover, even with high US inflation<br />
and interest rates.<br />
The continued Brexit rollercoaster<br />
could also lead to a white-knuckle<br />
year for UK government gilts. “We are<br />
still concerned about the gilt market<br />
going into 2017,” says Bilton.<br />
Yet for all the risks, the consensus is<br />
still firmly in favour of the Trump reflation<br />
narrative to hold and for a rise<br />
in yields over the course of 2017.<br />
“We’ve entered the end stages of the<br />
bull market but it will be some time<br />
before the bull market normalises,”<br />
says Brusuelas.<br />
It may well turn out to be the beginning<br />
of the end of the bond bull run,<br />
but expect a bumpy ride in an era of<br />
radical uncertainty – for fixed income<br />
investors and for the wider world.<br />
US 10-YEAR YIELD OVER 2016<br />
2.8<br />
2.4<br />
2.0<br />
%<br />
China slowdown /<br />
banking wobbles<br />
Brexit vote<br />
Trump's election<br />
1.6<br />
1.2<br />
Mar<br />
May<br />
Jul<br />
Sep Nov 2017
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />
13<br />
THECAPITALIST<br />
Got A Story? Email<br />
thecapitalist@cityam.com<br />
Still happy post referendum<br />
THE REFERENDUM may have made us<br />
more anxious but it has not affected<br />
Britons’ happiness.<br />
Official figures from the Office for<br />
National Statistics (ONS), which measure<br />
the country’s quality of life, show<br />
anxiety was rated at 2.9 out of 10 for<br />
the year to the end of September 2016.<br />
That compares to 2.83 for the same<br />
period a year earlier.<br />
Ratings for how worthwhile people<br />
felt their lives are remained the same<br />
at 7.84 out of 10, as did happiness at<br />
7.48. According to the ONS boffins:<br />
“While it is too early to say why anxiety<br />
ratings have increased slightly and<br />
why life satisfaction, happiness and<br />
worthwhile ratings have levelled off,<br />
we know from our previous research<br />
that factors impacting most on personal<br />
well-being include health, work<br />
situation and relationship status.”<br />
QUOTE OF THE WEEKEND<br />
The second best<br />
legal high after a<br />
marker pen<br />
Carpetright chief<br />
executive Wilf Walsh<br />
on the smell of new<br />
carpet<br />
QUEEN OF THE HIGH STREET Retail guru<br />
Mary Portas out to sort “ridiculous” rates<br />
RETAIL expert Marty Portas is fighting the planned rise in business rates from April.<br />
“With occupational costs tripling from April in some cases, independents will be forced<br />
to shut down and their premises will lie vacant ,” the Portas Agency boss warned.
14 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
Soma Oil & Gas investigation cost<br />
the fraud squad nearly £60,000<br />
HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />
@HayleyLEK<br />
THE FRAUD squad’s investigation into<br />
Soma Oil & Gas set it back almost<br />
£60,000, City A.M. has learned.<br />
Responding to a freedom of<br />
information request, the Serious<br />
Fraud Office (SFO) revealed it spent<br />
£59,912 on its investigation, which<br />
opened in July 2015, following<br />
allegations of corruption.<br />
The figure does not include<br />
permanent staffing costs, as the SFO<br />
does not divide these amounts on a<br />
case-by-case basis for most probes.<br />
“The SFO has concluded, based on<br />
the information and material we<br />
have obtained, that there is<br />
insufficient evidence to provide a<br />
realistic prospect of conviction,” the<br />
SFO said when it announced the end<br />
of the probe, although it added there<br />
had been “reasonable grounds” to<br />
suspect wrongdoing.<br />
Soma, a UK company chaired by<br />
former Tory party leader Lord<br />
Howard, said, when the case was<br />
closed, it welcomed the end of the<br />
probe and “looks forward to<br />
executing its plan to further explore<br />
what is believed to be very<br />
considerable hydrocarbon potential<br />
offshore Somalia in 2017 and<br />
beyond”.<br />
Knight Frank has said it is a “tenants’ market” in the Home Counties’ rental scene<br />
Rents dip in the<br />
Home Counties<br />
as stock grows<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
PRIME rents in the Home Counties fell<br />
0.8 per cent last year as a higher<br />
amount of housing available at the top<br />
end of the market drove down prices,<br />
according to the latest Knight Frank<br />
rental index.<br />
The increase in stock levels in higher<br />
price brackets has been fuelled by<br />
greater uncertainty in the sales market<br />
following a series of tax changes, including<br />
a hike on stamp duty.<br />
“The latest figures show that the<br />
rental market in the Home Counties is<br />
equally affected by the global markets<br />
as prime central London, which is reflected<br />
in the marginal decline in<br />
rents,” said Jemma Scott, partner at<br />
Knight Frank.<br />
“However, the surge in activity in the<br />
last quarter of 2016 and the significant<br />
increase in new tenant registrations<br />
suggest that the gap between available<br />
stock and tenant demand is closing, so<br />
our outlook for 2017 is very positive.”<br />
In the final quarter of the year, prime<br />
rents fell at twice the annual rate, at<br />
1.6 per cent. Knight Frank was instructed<br />
to let 39 per cent more properties<br />
in the same quarter and the<br />
number of market appraisals also rose<br />
45 per cent.<br />
Viewings rose 17 per cent compared<br />
with the final quarter of 2015, while<br />
the number of new prospective tenants<br />
increased by 28 per cent.<br />
Much of the new demand was concentrated<br />
in the sub-£4,000 per month<br />
rental bracket. This section of the market<br />
was also boosted by an increase in<br />
corporate enquires from company executives<br />
moving to the Home Counties<br />
for work over the quarter.<br />
“Already in the first week of trading<br />
for 2017, the sub-£4,000 per month<br />
market remains busy and we have seen<br />
an encouraging number of international<br />
corporate enquiries as families<br />
and businesses plan for relocation to<br />
the UK,” Scott added.<br />
Cross-party MPs set to question<br />
support level for working fathers<br />
MARK SANDS<br />
@MkSands<br />
A PARLIAMENTARY watchdog is to<br />
launch an inquiry into support<br />
available for working fathers.<br />
The Women and Equalities select<br />
committee is calling for evidence<br />
over concerns workplaces are not<br />
providing support to dads.<br />
It comes after the committee<br />
found that take-up for shared<br />
parental leave, introduced in 2015,<br />
is predicted to reach a maximum of<br />
eight per cent.<br />
Committee chair and Conservative<br />
MP Maria Miller said: “Clearly more<br />
needs to be done.<br />
“We are keen to hear views from<br />
individuals as well as organisations<br />
about the changes which they would<br />
like to see.”<br />
Among other matters, the<br />
committee is calling for evidence on<br />
whether employment-related<br />
barriers are preventing fathers from<br />
more equally sharing caring roles, as<br />
well as any examples of best practice.
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />
15<br />
Top City financier gets his Hands on<br />
£3.5m worth of dividend payouts<br />
ASHLEY COATES<br />
TERRA Firma Capital Partners saw<br />
pre-tax profits in the year to March<br />
2016 fall to £2.4m while revenue<br />
dropped to its lowest since 2012.<br />
The private equity firm, which had<br />
previously ended its dividend<br />
payouts, provided £3.5m in<br />
dividends to Guy Hands, who acts as<br />
the fund’s chairman.<br />
Last year, Hands dropped a lawsuit<br />
that alleged Citigroup misled him<br />
into buying music label EMI in 2007.<br />
Terra Firma’s portfolio includes<br />
one of the UK’s biggest care home<br />
groups, Four Seasons. which looks<br />
after 20,000 residents in 450 homes.<br />
Four Seasons is currently dealing<br />
with a multi-million-pound debt pile<br />
and is negotiating with lenders to<br />
secure its future operations.<br />
The firm’s investments are split<br />
across holdings in a variety of areas,<br />
including renewables and garden<br />
centres. Last year saw the firm sell<br />
Odeon Cinemas to AMC, owned by<br />
China’s wealthiest man Wang<br />
Jianlin. The deal saw Odeon sold for<br />
£921m, making AMC the world’s<br />
largest cinema operator.<br />
Headquartered in London, the<br />
firm has €11bn (£9.7bn) in assets<br />
under management.<br />
The fund also donates 10 per cent<br />
of its profits to charity.<br />
Last year, Hands dropped a lawsuit alleging Citigroup misled him into buying EMI<br />
SCHRODERS TALK<br />
Will ‘value investors’ win in 2017?<br />
An ad,<br />
or something to do on your travels?<br />
We made our choice.<br />
A comeback for ‘value<br />
investing’ may have only<br />
just begun, says David Brett,<br />
Investment Writer<br />
Value investing, the discipline made<br />
famous by the legendary investor<br />
Benjamin Graham in the 1930s<br />
and 1940s, fell out of favour after the<br />
global financial crisis.<br />
Investors have instead preferred to<br />
pay a premium for more dependable<br />
stocks rather than back those unloved<br />
by the market. That trend may be<br />
turning around.<br />
WHAT IS VALUE INVESTING?<br />
Value investing is the art of buying<br />
stocks which trade at a significant<br />
discount to their true value, stocks that<br />
are overlooked without good reason.<br />
Benjamin Graham’s 1949 book, The<br />
Intelligent Investor, is regarded as the<br />
value investor’s bible.<br />
HOW <strong>TO</strong> IDENTIFY GENUINE<br />
VALUE S<strong>TO</strong>CKS<br />
It is not easy, otherwise everyone would<br />
do it. However, a value investment<br />
might display some of these<br />
characteristics: a heavy share price fall<br />
following a negative event, a low<br />
valuation on common measures, such<br />
as price-to-earnings ratio; poor share<br />
price performance compared with<br />
industry peers; or a high dividend yield.<br />
Rigorous analysis is required to<br />
identify true value stocks. Investors<br />
must also beware of value traps – a<br />
value stock but where there is no trigger<br />
for revaluation.<br />
WHAT IS A GROWTH<br />
INVESTMENT?<br />
Growth investing is considered<br />
distinctly different from value. Growth<br />
stocks tend to grow profits faster than<br />
average, with investors happy to pay a<br />
premium. They have been in demand in<br />
recent years amid economic<br />
uncertainty and low rates.<br />
WHAT HAS PERFORMED<br />
BETTER VALUE OR GROWTH?<br />
The chart below shows how value<br />
outperformed growth for most of the<br />
Eighties, Nineties and Noughties. It also<br />
shows the struggle since 2010, with the<br />
longest period of underperformance<br />
since MSCI records began in 1974.<br />
Low interest rates have forced<br />
investors into stocks perceived as the<br />
most stable and with predictable profits<br />
that can maintain dividend payments.<br />
TEN-YEAR ANNUALISED RELATIVE RETURN<br />
6%<br />
MSCI World Value vs MSCI World Growth<br />
5%<br />
4%<br />
3%<br />
2%<br />
1%<br />
0%<br />
-1%<br />
-2%<br />
-3%<br />
-4%<br />
84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16<br />
Source: Schroders. Thomson Reuters Datastream as at 31 December 2016.<br />
SHOULD I INVEST IN VALUE<br />
OR GROWTH SHARES NOW?<br />
History may point to a significant<br />
opportunity in value today. The chart<br />
shows the difference in performance<br />
between value stocks and growth<br />
stocks.<br />
Andrew Williams, a value investment<br />
specialist at Schroders, said: “Look on<br />
the far right hand side of the chart and<br />
there is a small uptick. That is value’s<br />
‘recovery’. While past performance is no<br />
indication of future results, we believe it<br />
will take more than a few months to<br />
unwind the value style’s so-called ‘lost<br />
decade’. Value’s recent recovery is<br />
nascent in the context of history.”<br />
£ Please remember, past performance<br />
is not a guide to future performance and<br />
may not be repeated. The value of<br />
investments and the income from them<br />
may go down as well as up and you<br />
may not get back the amounts<br />
originally invested.<br />
Guess these popular New Year’s resolutions<br />
Better Journeys<br />
Find out all the ways we’re improving your journey at:<br />
southwesttrains.co.uk/BetterJourneys
16 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
HS1 owners mull<br />
sale and bring in<br />
Bank of America<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
THE TWO Canadian pension giants<br />
that own the high-speed railway connecting<br />
London to the Channel Tunnel<br />
have appointed a US investment<br />
bank to explore a sale of the line.<br />
The Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan<br />
and Borealis have brought in Bank of<br />
America Merrill Lynch to handle a<br />
£3.6bn potential sale of the 109km<br />
HS1 line that runs from the capital to<br />
Folkestone in Kent, the Sunday Times<br />
reported.<br />
In December, the funds confirmed<br />
they were exploring strategic options<br />
after receiving “a number of investment<br />
enquiries” about a sale of the<br />
only high-speed line currently operating<br />
in the UK.<br />
Borealis and the Ontario Teachers’<br />
Pension Plan snapped up a 30-year<br />
concession for HS1 in 2010 from thentransport<br />
secretary Philip Hammond<br />
for £2.1bn to operate and manage the<br />
HS1 network. The railway line opened<br />
in 2007.<br />
Together, the pension funds manage<br />
the retirement savings of thousands<br />
of Ontario-based police, teachers, firefighters<br />
and council workers.<br />
Both Eurostar and high-speed Southern<br />
services operate on the line,<br />
which includes four international stations<br />
along its route: St Pancras, Stratford,<br />
Ebbsfleet and Ashford.<br />
HS1 has paid out robust dividends in<br />
the last couple of years, forking out<br />
£55m in 2015 and £200m in 2014,<br />
when it swung into a loss of £113.2m.<br />
Borealis and the Ontario Teachers’<br />
Pension Plan also own stakes in London<br />
City airport, as part of the consortium<br />
that bid in the £2bn takeover in<br />
February.<br />
The UK’s second high-speed rail line,<br />
HS2, is planned to link London with<br />
cities including Birmingham,<br />
Sheffield and Manchester. The first<br />
phase of the £56bn railway is due to<br />
open in December 2026.<br />
HS1, the 109km high speed rail link, connects London to Folkestone in Kent<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
Oil giant set to<br />
shift focus to<br />
subsea services<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
AIM-LISTED petroleum exploration<br />
firm Global Energy Development is<br />
today expected to announce a<br />
turnaround strategy that will<br />
refocus the group on the subsea<br />
oilfield services sector.<br />
The Colombia-focused energy<br />
group will also announce a multimillion-dollar<br />
conditional<br />
agreement to purchase more than<br />
10 offshore subsea service vessels<br />
and other related equipment, City<br />
A.M. understands.<br />
The vessels are currently based in<br />
the Gulf of Mexico, though they are<br />
expected to remain there<br />
indefinitely as the group is targeting<br />
international subsea work.<br />
To bolster the turnaround<br />
strategy, Global Energy<br />
Development will also appoint a<br />
director of operations who has<br />
considerable experience in the<br />
subsea services field.<br />
Global Energy Development listed<br />
on London’s junior market in 2002.<br />
Implementing the new master plan<br />
will be subject to approval from<br />
shareholders at a general meeting,<br />
expected to be held next month,<br />
with the deal completing soon after.<br />
Chinese investors snap up stake in<br />
disruptive aerospace startup Gilo<br />
Venezuela’s hard<br />
currency income falls<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
CHINESE investors have scooped up a<br />
significant minority stake in British<br />
aerospace firm Gilo Industries Group.<br />
The science arm of conglomerate<br />
Kuang-Chi, which is headquartered<br />
in the city of Shenzhen, has bought a<br />
stake in Dorset-based Gilo, Sky News<br />
reported.<br />
The deal is expected to be<br />
announced in Asia today. The size<br />
and value of the investment has not<br />
yet been disclosed.<br />
The commitment to invest in the<br />
UK was a vote of confidence in the<br />
post-Brexit vote economy, a source<br />
told Sky News. The tie-up is thought<br />
to be the first in a series of<br />
investments across UK tech<br />
industries that could include<br />
telecoms and robotics.<br />
Gilo Industries Group was founded<br />
in 2012 by entrepreneur Gilo<br />
Cardozo.<br />
It has been dubbed “the<br />
Disneyland of engineering” for its<br />
wide range of commercial and<br />
recreational aviation products.<br />
The group manufactures jetbackpacks<br />
and rotary engines for<br />
unmanned aeronautical vehicles.<br />
DIEGO ORE AND ALEXANDRA ULMER<br />
VENEZUELA’S hard currency income<br />
fell 60 per cent in 2016 compared with<br />
the previous year, President Nicolas<br />
Maduro said last night, blaming low<br />
oil prices.<br />
The country with the world’s largest<br />
crude reserves receives over 90 percent<br />
of its foreign income from oil,<br />
whose price has fallen since mid-2014,<br />
worsening a recession in the Opec<br />
country.<br />
Venezuelans are struggling amid<br />
shortages of basic food products, spiraling<br />
inflation and a depreciating<br />
currency that has dragged down<br />
monthly minimum wages to below<br />
$10, and violent crime.<br />
Venezuela received $5.29bn (£4.4bn)<br />
in hard currency last year, a far cry<br />
from the $13.32bn in 2015. Reuters
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />
17<br />
Inflation uptick<br />
shows pound dip<br />
impacted prices<br />
ASHLEY COATES<br />
DATA released by the Office for<br />
National Statistics this week is likely<br />
to show an uptick in consumer price<br />
inflation, a sign that the fall in the<br />
value of the pound is having an<br />
impact on prices.<br />
An inflation rate of 1.5 per cent in<br />
the consumer prices index for<br />
December would be a marginal<br />
increase on 1.4 per cent for November,<br />
and 0.9 per cent for October.<br />
This would bring the average rate of<br />
inflation to 0.7 per cent for 2016, after<br />
a flat 2015, and the highest rate<br />
seen since August 2014.<br />
Economists are expecting inflation<br />
to reach the Bank of England’s target<br />
of two per cent soon, and continue to<br />
reach 2.5 per cent by June.<br />
Higher fuel prices are also believed<br />
to have been a reason behind for the<br />
rise, with global oil prices now at an<br />
18-month high.<br />
The RAC recently reported that<br />
prices for petrol and diesel had gone<br />
up by 3p/litre in December to reach<br />
their highest since July 2015.<br />
The British Retail Consortium<br />
pointed out in its December survey<br />
that “the majority of the categories we<br />
monitor, particularly non-food, saw<br />
month-on-month increases in prices,<br />
with clothing and footwear seeing<br />
month-on-month inflation for the<br />
first time in nearly two years”.<br />
Despite having a good fourth quarter,<br />
retail sales are expected to have<br />
softened in December, following<br />
strong performance in the proceeding<br />
two months.<br />
Alan Clarke, an economist at Scotiabank,<br />
had warned that “with headline<br />
average earnings growth down to just<br />
two per cent, real earnings growth<br />
will turn negative”.<br />
“In turn, this is likely to be the main<br />
reason to expect economic growth to<br />
slow, as non-existent real earnings<br />
growth holds back household consumption,”<br />
Clarke added.<br />
The Goring Hotel opened in 1910 and is still run by members of the Goring family<br />
Family-run Goring Hotel back in<br />
the black after record turnover<br />
ALYS KEY<br />
THE GORING Hotel in Belgravia<br />
reported its highest ever turnover in<br />
2016, coming in at more than £14m<br />
with a profit before tax of £2m.<br />
The return to profit will come as a<br />
relief to the hotel. The establishment<br />
reported an operating loss of more<br />
than £590,000 in 2015.<br />
The Goring, which is more than a<br />
century old, is the last hotel in<br />
London that is still run by the same<br />
family who built it.<br />
It has hosted a range of prominent<br />
guests including the Queen Mother<br />
and Lady Randolph Churchill. The<br />
Duchess of Cambridge and her family<br />
were based at the hotel for her<br />
wedding to Prince William.<br />
Firms to fork<br />
out more on<br />
rates than rent<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
A THIRD of London businesses have<br />
said they will be paying more<br />
towards new business rates than<br />
rent next year, according to the<br />
London Chamber of Commerce and<br />
Industry (LCCI).<br />
More than 40 per cent of London<br />
firms were concerned about the<br />
new rate valuation, which will<br />
come into effect on 1 April,<br />
according to an LCCI survey of<br />
more than 500 businesses.<br />
It has been estimated that<br />
London boroughs will be paying<br />
£9.53bn in extra tax over the next<br />
five years due to the changes,<br />
which were re-evaluated in October<br />
for the first time in seven years.<br />
“We said after the announcement<br />
that the revaluation of apparent 40<br />
per cent plus hikes were a huge<br />
blow to London, with our primary<br />
concern being that businesses may<br />
decide to hold back on training,<br />
recruiting or investing in other<br />
areas,” said Colin Stanbridge, chief<br />
executive of LCCI. “These concerns<br />
are borne out in this survey, with<br />
only 18 per cent of businesses<br />
saying that the revaluation is fair.”<br />
Bad commercial property lending<br />
nosedives as banks tighten criteria<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
THE NUMBER of commercial property<br />
loans being written off has<br />
plummeted 63 per cent, falling to its<br />
lowest level since the credit crunch,<br />
according to Bank of England data.<br />
There were £846m worth of writeoffs<br />
in the sector, down from<br />
£2.27bn the previous year, between<br />
October 2015 and the end of the<br />
third quarter of 2016.<br />
Many banks have tightened their<br />
lending criteria to commercial<br />
property developers, according to<br />
peer-to-peer (P2P) property funding<br />
platform Saving Stream.<br />
As banks become more risk averse,<br />
alternative lenders and P2P<br />
platforms could be well-placed to<br />
benefit from the market.<br />
“The risk is that many sensible<br />
property investments and<br />
developments are not able to get<br />
funding from traditional sources,”<br />
said Liam Brooke, co-founder of<br />
Saving Stream. “A good crop of what<br />
are still high quality investment<br />
opportunities need funding, and P2P<br />
investors are taking on that risk that<br />
Basel III has dissuaded banks from<br />
getting involved with.”<br />
City frozen yoghurt chain lays<br />
out tasty plan for global roll-out<br />
FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />
@fwashtell<br />
CITY-BASED frozen yoghurt startup<br />
Sloane Brothers will roll out to new<br />
stores across the UK early this year<br />
and is gearing up to go global in 2018.<br />
The group, which started with a<br />
store on Brick Lane in June 2015, will<br />
open “a number of new locations”<br />
this year and is preparing to respond<br />
to requests from overseas groups that<br />
have asked about franchising.<br />
Last year, the British-sourced froyo<br />
firm crowdsourced ideas for its first<br />
location outside of London and, after<br />
requests to open a store in Nottingham,<br />
launched its second site there in<br />
September.<br />
Sloane Bros is now crowdfunding for<br />
£150,000, which will be put towards<br />
securing the new UK locations,<br />
launching a B2B packaged products<br />
business and setting up financing infrastructure.<br />
Sales are expected to reach over<br />
£350,00 by December, Sloane Bros has<br />
said.
18 MARKETS MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
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To appear in Best of the Brokers, email your research to notes@cityam.com REPORT<br />
FTSE 100 set for<br />
busy week as May<br />
makes key speech<br />
PRIME Minister Theresa May’s<br />
speech tomorrow outlining<br />
her gameplan for Britain’s<br />
exit from the European<br />
Union is expected to have an<br />
impact on both sterling and the FTSE<br />
100 this week.<br />
Today will be dominated by<br />
trading updates from brick<br />
manufacturers Ibstock, investment<br />
manager Ashmore Group and<br />
fashion giant H&M.<br />
Tomorrow will be a busy day for<br />
the market with trading updates<br />
from Greggs, Rio Tinto, Cairn<br />
Energy and Quantum<br />
Pharmaceutical among others.<br />
Trading updates from Game<br />
Digital, Burberry Group, Premier<br />
Foods, JD Wetherspoon and<br />
Ladbrokes will be highlights for<br />
Wednesday.<br />
Thursday will be a big day for<br />
many FTSE firms including<br />
Chemring Group which reveals its<br />
full-year earnings while Royal Mail<br />
Pets at Home, British Land,<br />
Moneysupermarket.com, Halfords,<br />
Alliance Pharma, Pearson, Evraz<br />
and Acacia Mining will publish their<br />
trading updates.<br />
FTSE<br />
7,340<br />
7,300<br />
7,260<br />
7,220<br />
7,337.81<br />
13 Jan<br />
9 Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan<br />
CITY MOVES WHO’S SWITCHING JOBS<br />
LADBROKES CORAL GROUP<br />
123<br />
122<br />
121<br />
120<br />
119<br />
118<br />
P<br />
9 Jan<br />
10 Jan 11 Jan<br />
121<br />
13 Jan<br />
12 Jan 13 Jan<br />
The UK didn’t seem to fancy a flutter over the holiday season, and analysts at Peel<br />
Hunt are predicting that will show up when Ladbrokes Coral releases its trading<br />
statement on Wednesday. However, Peel Hunt would have a wager, reiterating its<br />
“buy” recommendation and 200p target price, while noting that Cheltenham would<br />
be the make or break moment for the newly merged company.<br />
DUNELM GROUP<br />
820<br />
800<br />
780<br />
760<br />
740<br />
720<br />
700<br />
P<br />
13Jan<br />
698<br />
9 Jan<br />
10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan<br />
Dunelm’s trading statement last week left analysts at Canaccord Genuity feeling<br />
mixed. Although they revised their 2017 forecast profit for the retailer down by 12 per<br />
cent, they feel the risks are short-term and the firm still has plenty of chance to take<br />
up more residence in the homewares market. Canaccord has maintained its “buy”<br />
recommendation but lowered its target price from 875p to 820p.<br />
Banks await<br />
Trump arrival<br />
US BANK stocks will stay in favour<br />
with traders as long as earnings<br />
reports this week show an<br />
improving profit outlook while<br />
investors wait to see if US Presidentelect<br />
Donald Trump lives up to his<br />
campaign promises.<br />
Among banks reporting this week<br />
Morgan Stanley is expected to post<br />
results tomorrow followed by<br />
Citibank on Wednesday. BB&T Corp,<br />
KeyCorp and Bank of New York<br />
Mellon all report on Thursday.<br />
Results and guidance from the big<br />
banks scheduled to report this week<br />
ahead could boost the sector,<br />
according to John Praveen, chief<br />
investment strategist at Prudential<br />
International Investments Advisers.<br />
“Results are likely to be good and the<br />
outlook is going to be positive so<br />
there's room for further gains,”<br />
Praveen told Reuters.<br />
The S&P banks index has traded<br />
recently at 13.6 times earnings<br />
estimates for the next 12 months<br />
compared with its five-year average<br />
multiple of about 11 but in line with<br />
the 10-year average of 13.1.<br />
MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL<br />
GROUP<br />
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group<br />
has appointed Nauman Ansari<br />
as an executive director of the<br />
bank’s healthcare finance<br />
business in EMEA. Nauman,<br />
who joins from Morgan<br />
Stanley, brings a wealth of<br />
healthcare and leveraged and<br />
acquisition finance experience<br />
to MUFG. He played a<br />
significant role in a number of transformative<br />
transactions for Shire on the acquisitions of Baxalta,<br />
Dyax Corporation, and Viropharma. Nauman’s<br />
appointment forms a key part of MUFG’s ongoing<br />
strategy to bolster the healthcare finance business as<br />
opportunities in the market grow, with another new<br />
team member due to join over the next few months.<br />
Reporting to Ian Wootton, managing director of the<br />
healthcare division, Nauman’s role will focus on<br />
consolidating and strengthening MUFG’s current<br />
healthcare clients, and building new relationships to<br />
expand the bank’s global network. Prior to his time at<br />
Morgan Stanley, Nauman held senior roles at Bank of<br />
America Merrill Lynch and Lehman Brothers in the UK<br />
and the US. Nauman will be based in London.<br />
BREWIN DOLPHIN<br />
Brewin Dolphin, one of the UK’s largest private client<br />
wealth managers, has appointed Godfrey Cromwell as<br />
a divisional director in the London office. He will be<br />
responsible for developing and maintaining client<br />
relationships, advising on strategic initiatives and<br />
supporting the development of our emerging talent.<br />
Godfrey joins from Barclays Wealth where he was a<br />
private banker for eight years. With a background in<br />
developing UK and international businesses, he will<br />
maintain his role as the chief executive of the British<br />
East-West Centre. He will also maintain his role as a<br />
cross-bench (independent) peer in the House of Lords.<br />
Godfrey’s appointment follows Laura Robin’s<br />
appointment as divisional director in September last<br />
year and Patrick Lance as divisional director in<br />
August – both from JP Morgan.<br />
BNY MELLON<br />
BNY Mellon has appointed Jeff McCarthy as chief<br />
executive officer, exchange traded funds and will<br />
report to Frank LaSalla, chief executive officer of BNY<br />
Mellon’s global structured products and alternative<br />
investment services business. In his new role, Jeff will<br />
lead and execute the long-term strategy to drive<br />
growth in BNY Mellon’s ETF business. He joins from<br />
Nasdaq, where he was vice president and head of<br />
exchange traded product listings and trading. Prior to<br />
this, he was head of global ETF products and co-head<br />
of ETF trading and investor services in Asia Pacific for<br />
Citigroup. Earlier in his career, he was global ETF<br />
product head for Brown Brothers Harriman & Co,<br />
where he created the firm’s global ETF service model.<br />
To appear in CITYMOVES please email your career updates and pictures to citymoves@cityam.com<br />
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20 OPINION MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
FORUM<br />
EDITED BY HARRIET GREEN<br />
Germany is not the answer to<br />
any serious strategic question<br />
GIVEN the nervous<br />
breakdown of America,<br />
epitomised by the election<br />
of know-nothing Donald<br />
Trump as President, it is<br />
altogether understandable and<br />
human that elites are desperately<br />
casting about for a new champion of<br />
western stability. There are precious<br />
few other candidates for the job so,<br />
largely by the process of elimination,<br />
analysts (particularly on the left)<br />
have hit upon Chancellor Angela<br />
Merkel’s Germany as the last, best<br />
hope for the western order.<br />
This would be a laughable thesis if<br />
people were not taking it seriously.<br />
For, in truth, Germany cannot save<br />
either the wider world or Europe. In<br />
fact, it is an open question as to<br />
whether Germany can even save<br />
itself.<br />
In her endless intellectual confusion<br />
over the basic fact that caution<br />
is not the same thing as wisdom, it is<br />
all too easy to point the finger of<br />
blame at Merkel for this. Yet<br />
Germany’s problems, and the weaknesses<br />
that spring from them, are far<br />
more systemic and deep-rooted. A<br />
simple look at the unholy trinity of<br />
crises facing Berlin – the endless<br />
euro crisis, the war in Ukraine, and<br />
the refugee crisis – makes it clear<br />
that Germany is more supplicant<br />
than driving force on the world<br />
stage.<br />
More than the others, it is the euro<br />
crisis that provides the analytical key<br />
to understanding overall German<br />
weakness. The basic problem is psychological<br />
and moral. In Europe,<br />
what is truly going on is the end of<br />
economic life as it has been known.<br />
Europeans simply can no longer<br />
THE CITY of London<br />
Corporation hosted its<br />
annual London Government<br />
Dinner last week. Central to<br />
the event was the topic of<br />
Brexit, in which the London mayor<br />
Sadiq Khan was vocal on how<br />
devolution would play a critical role in<br />
supporting Britain’s capital after<br />
Brexit. The lord mayor’s speech<br />
covered a different but equally<br />
important issue; his focus was to shine<br />
a light on the importance of<br />
apprenticeships in London. Although<br />
the two may at first seem to have little<br />
common ground, there is more<br />
similarity than one might think. Both<br />
are a priority for government and both<br />
have the potential to shape Britain’s<br />
future.<br />
Apprenticeships are a great way to<br />
provide young people with the skills<br />
that employers are looking for, but<br />
there is a more significant purpose<br />
behind them. Currently, there is a disconnect<br />
between the skills needed to<br />
afford the serene, cosseted, not<br />
overly strenuous and very attractive<br />
way of life they have grown used to;<br />
government in European countries<br />
has simply grown unaffordable.<br />
Having bought into the cult of endless<br />
leisure time as an inalienable<br />
right, it is devilishly hard to row back<br />
from this primary sign of decadence.<br />
But almost no-one wants to hear this,<br />
much less do anything about it. To<br />
do so would require a very painful,<br />
immediate retrenchment for millions.<br />
That is human and understandable,<br />
but it is also fatal. For it<br />
means that at present democratic<br />
politics in Europe is being conducted<br />
based on lies.<br />
And lying – beyond the immorality<br />
of it – is a very poor basis for making<br />
sustainable policy, at least in any<br />
open society. With its wilfully ignorant<br />
populace, Germany is the primary<br />
example of how stubborn<br />
self-delusion fuels member states’<br />
approach to Europe.<br />
In essence, to survive, the Eurozone<br />
will either move towards a true federation,<br />
becoming a debt union complete<br />
with fiscal transfers (all done<br />
on largely German terms) or the euro<br />
will cease to exist. As such, Berlin will<br />
be the primary paymaster for such a<br />
new political constellation. As none<br />
of this appeals to much of anyone in<br />
Germany, best not to talk about it.<br />
And so Chancellor Merkel does not.<br />
It is at this point that even the<br />
sleepiest German citizen will wake<br />
up, howling. It is also here that not<br />
levelling with one’s own people<br />
becomes as poor a strategy as it is<br />
immoral. By not making clear what<br />
is really going on, Merkel has been<br />
able to put off an awful lot of<br />
fill important roles in financial<br />
services and the number of people<br />
wanting to work in the sector who<br />
have the necessary skills.<br />
It is important that social backgrounds<br />
should not determine career<br />
success, and it is in everyone’s interest<br />
to level the playing field for the future<br />
workforce. Meritocracy, as opposed to<br />
aristocracy, is key. Offering paid internships,<br />
for example, means a company<br />
can attract young talent from all walks<br />
of life, not just those who can afford to<br />
work for free.<br />
Firms across the Square Mile are<br />
doing their utmost to appeal to young<br />
and promising talent. For example, the<br />
City Business Traineeship, run by brokerage<br />
Citylink, has so far supported<br />
1,400 state school students from some<br />
of London’s most deprived areas into<br />
prestigious paid internships in the City<br />
and Canary Wharf. Last week,<br />
Deutsche Bank – Germany’s largest<br />
bank, which has a big presence in<br />
London and Birmingham –<br />
John<br />
Hulsman<br />
By not making clear<br />
what is really going<br />
on, Merkel has been<br />
able to put off a lot of<br />
unpleasantness<br />
unpleasantness. But to imagine for a<br />
moment that the German people<br />
won’t feel fundamentally lied to once<br />
the cheque for this Kafkaesque party<br />
comes due, is not to be<br />
Machiavellian. Rather, it is to be<br />
hopelessly naïve.<br />
Whatever Germany ultimately<br />
decides to do, there will have to be<br />
sacrifices. And any policy requiring<br />
those sacrifices that is not buttressed<br />
by public support stands no chance<br />
of success. Lying as a way to avoid the<br />
democratic deficit over the European<br />
crisis is not clever.<br />
Meanwhile, Germany, like doomed<br />
passengers on the Titanic, has spotted<br />
the economic iceberg dead<br />
ahead, but has made precious little<br />
effort to right the state’s course. The<br />
demographic problem is especially<br />
stark. The old age dependency ratio –<br />
which evaluates the number of pensioners<br />
in a society versus the working<br />
age population – simply cannot<br />
be wished away. The German ratio<br />
was 34 per cent in 2013, rising to an<br />
economically crippling 52 per cent<br />
by 2030. Over this period of time, the<br />
number of pensioners in Germany<br />
will skyrocket by 5m, even as the<br />
number of workers declines by 6m.<br />
Who is going to pay for those endless<br />
vacations and for the overly generous<br />
social safety net?<br />
The inconvenient truth about<br />
Germany is that it is strategically<br />
pacifist (with laughable defence<br />
capabilities for a serious power),<br />
politically ostrich-like in its stubborn<br />
refusal to even attempt to master<br />
Europe’s many policy crises, and –<br />
worst of all – economically very<br />
much living on borrowed time.<br />
For all these reasons, Germany is<br />
simply not the answer to any serious<br />
strategic question there is.<br />
£ Dr John C Hulsman is senior<br />
columnist at City AM, a life member of<br />
the Council on Foreign Relations, and<br />
president of John C. Hulsman<br />
Enterprises. He can be reached for<br />
corporate speaking and private<br />
briefings at chartwellspeakers.com<br />
Brexit and beginners: Why the City must<br />
step up and support the next generation<br />
Mark<br />
Boleat<br />
announced it would use social media<br />
channels to entice those who might<br />
not have traditionally applied for a<br />
bank job, but that would be well-suited<br />
to the role. Such measures are a must<br />
for financial and professional services<br />
firms: with the exponential rise of digital<br />
and tech, talented youngsters now<br />
have an abundance of job opportunities<br />
in other lines of work.<br />
The City of London Corporation also<br />
recently launched a report on youth<br />
unemployment – a subject which<br />
remains a real challenge in London.<br />
The City’s Business is a guide which<br />
highlights the vital role that City institutions<br />
play in reducing youth unemployment<br />
in London.<br />
While many schools and businesses<br />
are indeed addressing these challenges,<br />
more work must be done to<br />
raise awareness of skilled jobs and<br />
how young people can secure them.<br />
Pupils also need more frequent exposure<br />
to the workplace so they understand<br />
the practical and “real life”<br />
application of their studies. For business<br />
engagement to be meaningful, it<br />
needs to start early, so young people<br />
are aware of future opportunities and<br />
the skills they will need to succeed.<br />
This means not just focusing on academic<br />
achievement, but working with<br />
schools and colleges through mentoring,<br />
careers fairs or workplace taster<br />
sessions to help young people develop<br />
the relevant skills that will give them a<br />
head start.<br />
£ Mark Boleat is chairman of the policy<br />
and resources committee of the City of<br />
London.<br />
DEBATE<br />
Q: As the great<br />
and the good<br />
descend on<br />
Davos, are we<br />
seeing the death<br />
or the dawn of the<br />
global elite?<br />
Alex<br />
Deane<br />
DEATH<br />
It is all too easy to bash the so-called<br />
“global elite” and mock their gatherings.<br />
Those seeking to do good at Davos are at<br />
least trying; if there are real villains, then<br />
they’re to be found among those who<br />
never engage in such things as they feel no<br />
wider responsibility to their fellow man.<br />
But, whether Davosians or not, the<br />
hegemony of the global elite is slipping.<br />
Technology is enabling greater<br />
decentralisation, and facilitating social<br />
conversations that are lateral rather than<br />
top down – and this will only grow as time<br />
passes. Want proof of this trend? If it had<br />
been up to the “elite”, we’d have voted to<br />
stay in the European Union; Donald Trump<br />
wouldn’t be heading for the White House.<br />
In the past, without disseminatory routes<br />
like the internet helping an anti-elite<br />
person to find like minds, those<br />
disagreeing with what they were told<br />
would have found it far harder to<br />
cooperate and collaborate. We are more<br />
likely to say “no” when we think that we<br />
are not alone.<br />
£ Alex Deane is managing director of FTI<br />
Consulting and common councilman in the<br />
City of London.<br />
Dan<br />
Tara<br />
DAWN<br />
This is a dawn of a new type of global elite.<br />
Social networks and enterprise technology<br />
companies now have a place at the table<br />
alongside policymakers and central<br />
bankers. The question is, what does this<br />
addition to the elite mean for the world? For<br />
starters, it’s an indicator that technology is<br />
now not just a “sector”. Rather, it is<br />
beginning to become a facet of life which<br />
underpins everything humans now do, in<br />
the same way money or law does. Given<br />
that the leading minds and thinkers<br />
featured are largely in some way tied to<br />
commercial entities, it will be interesting to<br />
see how they apply this position of<br />
influence. In addition, people like this tend<br />
to be innately wedded to the idea of<br />
speeding up the pace of change in a way<br />
that the traditional global elite might not<br />
have. Mark Zuckerberg is a good example<br />
of the tech elite transcending perceived<br />
roles to shape everything from politics to<br />
quality of life. How this agenda shapes the<br />
pace of the world, and the impact it has on<br />
society, will be fascinating to watch.<br />
£ Dan Tara is executive vice-president of<br />
Positive Technologies.
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
OPINION<br />
21<br />
WE WANT <strong>TO</strong> HEAR YOUR VIEWS › E:theforum@cityam.com COMMENT AT:cityam.com/forum<br />
:@cityam<br />
LETTERS<br />
<strong>TO</strong> THE EDI<strong>TO</strong>R<br />
The shackles of<br />
forecasters<br />
[Re: What Dirty Harry teaches us about<br />
economic forecasters’ Michel Fish moment]<br />
Paul Omerod presents much food for thought<br />
in his article. However, I do have questions on<br />
certain things. Did the Treasury forecast refer<br />
to an immediate recession after the vote or<br />
after Britain left the EU? I was under the<br />
impression it was the latter, which has not yet<br />
happened. I found the continuing spending<br />
after the Brexit vote rational: if sterling was to<br />
fall significantly, as it has already signalled, I<br />
would want to buy what I needed before<br />
prices rose on the back of a weaker pound. So<br />
I was expecting this spending increase.<br />
Monte-Carlo techniques and the increased<br />
availability of powerful computing power<br />
have allowed different large sets of<br />
assumptions and their various possible<br />
resultant paths to be computed, and then<br />
graphed as histograms to illustrate the<br />
different likelihoods of outcomes. These show<br />
the quantified most likely and less likely<br />
results with the diagnostics that give an idea<br />
of reliability (e.g. the Bank of England<br />
produces a fan chart for its forecasts in the<br />
quarterly report). The skill is to glean which<br />
would be reigning under the dynamic, multidimensional<br />
conditions that have occurred<br />
since the forecast. A singular forecaster not<br />
only forecasts the process but attempts to say<br />
which choice economic agents make. The<br />
rationality applied by the forecaster in the<br />
way these agents make choices may not be<br />
the also-valid rationality (and not the<br />
irrationality) applied by the particular<br />
economic agent. As forecasters appear to<br />
apply their particular set of assumptions in<br />
the same way, “groupthink” is indeed a<br />
serious problem.<br />
Kumar Devadasan<br />
BEST OF<br />
TWITTER<br />
Next week the good & the<br />
great will be shooting the<br />
breeze in Davos, talking<br />
meaningless nonsense at<br />
taxpayers/shareholders’<br />
expense!<br />
@truemagic68<br />
There are 65m people living<br />
in the UK: quite enough to<br />
train the requisite number of<br />
engineers, doctors, techies,<br />
nurses, dentists...<br />
@RedHotSquirrel<br />
An historian friend of mine<br />
on Tristram Hunt: “I couldn't<br />
run the V&A, even if I wrote a<br />
mediocre biography of<br />
Engels”.<br />
@nickfthilton<br />
European fishermen have<br />
taken £3.5bn per year worth<br />
of fish out of UK waters since<br />
1983.<br />
@RichardWellings<br />
Disappointed Obama has<br />
ended US visa-free residency<br />
for Cubans fleeing Castro<br />
regime - which remains a<br />
dictatorship.<br />
@danielrhamilton<br />
One in five low-wage men<br />
aged 25 to 55 now work parttime;<br />
up from only 1 in 20<br />
men twenty years ago.<br />
@TheIFS<br />
Why leaders must make the link<br />
between education and profits<br />
THREE thousand of the world’s<br />
most important business<br />
leaders and politicians will<br />
gather together to discuss the<br />
most pressing issues facing the<br />
world this week. The World Economic<br />
Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting in Davos<br />
has long been one of the defining<br />
events of the year and an opportunity<br />
to set the agenda for the global stage.<br />
This year, however, it’s hard to ignore<br />
the difference in mood, brought about<br />
by a new political landscape. The US<br />
election and populist votes in Italy and<br />
UK have revealed a gulf between the<br />
political and business elites and the<br />
working people living outside of major<br />
metropolitan areas. Ordinary citizens<br />
around the world have sent a powerful<br />
message: their concerns about the<br />
impact of globalisation on meaningful<br />
jobs, stagnant wages and open trade and<br />
borders have been overlooked by the<br />
establishment for too long.<br />
It is now clearer than ever before that a<br />
top-down approach to problem-solving<br />
is no longer working. Elites do not speak<br />
the same language as the masses and<br />
are often disconnected from their everyday<br />
lives and problems. The time has<br />
come to re-engage, and listen to their<br />
issues, or risk becoming even more<br />
divided. In the past, global gatherings<br />
were all largely focused on globalisation<br />
and its benefits. Now, they must go<br />
beyond this and put a much-needed<br />
focus on addressing the negative<br />
impacts of globalisation.<br />
Gatherings like Davos must be more<br />
ambitious in bridging the gap between<br />
wealthy and working-class, old and<br />
young, north and south. Too often, the<br />
topics and issues on the agenda at these<br />
types of events are described in the technocratic<br />
language of business that is<br />
neutral and non-committal.<br />
Richard<br />
Attias<br />
Young people make up 50 per cent of<br />
the world’s population, but are underrepresented<br />
in global affairs. This is<br />
something that has concerned me for<br />
some time now, and it is positive, therefore,<br />
that WEF has invited more than<br />
200 millennials from around the world<br />
to participate this year. Let’s hope this<br />
isn’t too little, too late though when it<br />
comes to Davos’s impact in the future.<br />
Harnessing technology will be key to<br />
create direct engagement with young<br />
people. Using sophisticated analysis of<br />
social networks can help young leaders<br />
in Davos expand their reach and play a<br />
more effective role in kickstarting new<br />
initiatives. But there’s still much more<br />
that elite gatherings can do to<br />
encourage better engagement. For<br />
example, why not leverage the power of<br />
virtual reality to immerse conferencegoers<br />
in the real-life situations they are<br />
debating, enabling a more empathetic<br />
and considered response?<br />
Finding innovative solutions for<br />
addressing unemployment, especially<br />
It’s now clearer than<br />
ever before that a<br />
top-down approach<br />
is no longer working<br />
among young people, should also be at<br />
the top of the agenda of every gathering<br />
and institution. Without doubt, it is one<br />
of the greatest challenges facing the<br />
world today and should be top priority<br />
of any leader in any country. It is critical<br />
to improving public health, preventing<br />
terrorism, war and violence, and reducing<br />
inequality.<br />
Governments are debt-ridden, while<br />
many corporations are very profitable.<br />
Yet both are impacted by the challenge<br />
of jobless youth. So why couldn’t corporations<br />
dedicate a percentage of their<br />
profits to support and finance vocational<br />
training programs? Business and government<br />
leaders at Davos can follow the<br />
lead of an innovative partnership<br />
between Unesco and telecommunications<br />
provider Airtel Gabon, which is<br />
training more than 5,000 young<br />
Gabonese men and women to use ICT.<br />
Or the initiative taken by the Misk foundation<br />
in Saudi Arabia to enable 2,000<br />
young people from the region to debate<br />
about the world of tomorrow.<br />
Just as Davos has been effective in the<br />
past in convincing business and government<br />
leaders to take issues such as climate<br />
change more seriously, it must<br />
now use its unique power to shift the<br />
debate on globalisation and address the<br />
rising concerns about things like job<br />
security, wages and border control.<br />
With so many leaders in attendance,<br />
there is no better place to make real<br />
change and begin to bridge the gap<br />
between elites and ordinary people once<br />
and for all.<br />
£ Richard Attias is executive chairman of<br />
nation branding and global<br />
communications consultancy firm Richard<br />
Attias & Associates, and produced the<br />
Annual Meeting of the World Economic<br />
Forum from 1995 to 2008.<br />
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22 FEATURE MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
ENTREPRENEURS<br />
TIME poverty is an issue for<br />
Justine Roberts. I have just 40<br />
minutes on the phone with<br />
the Mumsnet founder and<br />
chief executive to disseminate<br />
a lifetime of achievement: PPE student<br />
at Oxford, a stint in the City, a journalist<br />
with a sports beat and, most recently, a<br />
recipient of a CBE for services to the<br />
economy in the New Year’s Honours list.<br />
“It’s very nice to be recognised and to<br />
be on this list. I’ve recently been watching<br />
The Crown so have become much<br />
more of a royalist than I ever was,” she<br />
chuckles. But Roberts insists that the<br />
honour isn’t her achievement alone. “I<br />
feel very strongly that it’s an award for<br />
all the people who have worked and<br />
helped to create this fantastic community,<br />
and that includes the users and all<br />
the staff. It’s recognition of that really,<br />
it’s not a personal thing, it’s a collective<br />
thing. And you know, we should all feel<br />
proud – we do feel proud.”<br />
The growth Mumsnet has achieved in<br />
the last 17 years may have been a collaborative<br />
effort, but before the 100-strong<br />
team now presiding over the site existed,<br />
Roberts had little but an idea, determination<br />
and guile. “If you have an idea,<br />
you’ve got to really believe in it,” she<br />
says. “It took about eight years for<br />
Mumsnet to really pay salaries to the<br />
people who were putting hours in.”<br />
VALUE OF EXPERIENCE<br />
With such a diverse working repertoire<br />
before the inception of Mumsnet, you<br />
might think Roberts to be something of<br />
a job-hopper, but she believes that,<br />
although a City life – or a life in journalism<br />
– wasn’t for her, it was time well<br />
spent. “I think all experiences prepare<br />
you,” she says. “Every year that you’re<br />
working you’re learning something,<br />
even if it’s learning what you don’t want<br />
to do – and how to get out of it.”<br />
If learning what she didn’t want to do<br />
was ample preparation, Roberts also<br />
thinks that parenthood, not only gave<br />
her the idea for Mumsnet, but prepared<br />
her to enter the world of business. “It<br />
just puts you under a lot of pressure; you<br />
learn negotiating skills, you get frustrated<br />
often and become less selfish – it<br />
makes you think about other things and<br />
other people. I think, in a multitude of<br />
ways, it helps you to multitask. You’ll<br />
probably never be so stretched, busy and<br />
exhausted as when you go through<br />
motherhood.”<br />
NATIVE EVOLUTION<br />
Mumsnet today is a far cry from the parenting<br />
forum Roberts envisioned during<br />
a disastrous family holiday with her<br />
young twins in 2000. Today it’s a manyheaded<br />
beast, a fabric woven into the<br />
digital furniture and more popular than<br />
ever, exceeding 10m users.<br />
“I think we view it as an online community<br />
first and foremost, and what<br />
we’re trying to do is provide solutions<br />
which make that community’s life easier.<br />
That might mean managing a great<br />
forum, or it might mean producing<br />
engaging content, putting on an event,<br />
or writing a book. It’s really just about<br />
developing, producing and offering<br />
things that make parents’ lives easier.”<br />
Over a decade and a half later,<br />
Mumsnet is a lucrative business,<br />
turning over some £7.2m last year. Most<br />
of its revenue comes from display and<br />
programmatic advertising, but more<br />
recently it has pioneered a method of<br />
native advertising that makes the most<br />
of the site’s user base.<br />
“What works best on Mumsnet is talking<br />
‘Mumsnet language,’” says Roberts.<br />
“And the best bits of native content<br />
we’ve done are where brands have really<br />
allowed the community to take the lead.<br />
So very often we’ll package up the best<br />
advice from our forums, rather than put<br />
a load of blurb written by an agency or<br />
parenting guru. The whole point is<br />
MUM’S<br />
THE WORD<br />
Elliott Haworth talks bursting<br />
the filter bubble and managing<br />
a 10m strong community with<br />
Mumsnet’s Justine Roberts<br />
really that you’re no longer broadcasting,<br />
you’re in conversation. So we have a<br />
lot of control over the creative process.”<br />
COMMUNITY<br />
Mumsnet was recently named as one of<br />
Grant Thonton’s Faces of a Vibrant<br />
Economy, which Roberts says she thinks<br />
is “because of the strength of the online<br />
community – that’s what Mumsnet is<br />
all about. It’s recognition for the daily<br />
kindness, time and attention that people<br />
all around the country are giving<br />
each other.”<br />
She refers to the community often,<br />
but how have trends, and the user’s<br />
needs and requirements, changed over<br />
the years? She tells me that “it’s quite<br />
hard to keep up now. You used to be able<br />
to log on and look at a link called ‘last<br />
day’ and read it comfortably in an hour.<br />
But now, you can’t read the last five<br />
minutes in an hour! So it’s faster moving,<br />
a bit noisier, but broadly, people<br />
have the same set of dilemmas.”<br />
Mumsnet has become a space beyond<br />
discussion about parenting, with pockets<br />
like “Pets Corner” and a chicken<br />
keepers’ forum. It’s probably best<br />
known for its occasional forays into politics.<br />
The 2010 election was dubbed the<br />
“Mumsnet Election” following a series<br />
Discussion, in<br />
itself, is something<br />
healthy and worth<br />
preserving<br />
of webchats with the leaders of the<br />
time. But the issues often run deeper<br />
than the pithy rhetorical whims of talking<br />
heads.<br />
DEBATE<br />
The most poignant discussions occur<br />
“when users are presented with a story<br />
that they feel isn’t right; when they feel<br />
something should be done about it. We<br />
probably have the largest forum of parents<br />
with special needs children, for<br />
instance, and I think some of the issues<br />
they have to face are an education for<br />
others. In our daily lives we are fed stuff<br />
by people we know, but on Mumsnet,<br />
it’s a place where you can experience<br />
people living very different lives.”<br />
Browsing the comment section below<br />
a controversial topic bears witness to<br />
the polarity – and occasional cruelty of<br />
the community. But Roberts is an advocate<br />
of free speech, for open discussion<br />
and inclusivity, however virulent, which<br />
is reflected in the laissez faire moderation<br />
on Mumsnet. “We’ve always had a<br />
commitment to open discussion and<br />
even disagreement, she says. “We’re not<br />
a site just for mothers of the right or<br />
left, we’re very much for all mothers.<br />
We believe that people have the right to<br />
say stuff. We ask people to refrain from<br />
personal attacks, and not to break the<br />
law. So you can disagree with someone,<br />
you can say when someone is talking<br />
rubbish, but you can’t really say someone’s…<br />
err, [laughing]<br />
I can’t really say that word, can I?”<br />
FILTER BUBBLE<br />
In the current climate, in which fake<br />
news, identity politics, and filter<br />
bubbles – the idea that social<br />
CV<br />
JUSTINE ROBERTS<br />
Company: Mumsnet<br />
Founded: 2000<br />
Turnover: £7.2m<br />
Staff: 100<br />
Title: Chief executive and founder<br />
Age: 49<br />
Born: London<br />
Lives: London<br />
Studied: PPE, Oxford University<br />
Drinking: I’m quite partial to a really proper<br />
mojito (with tonnes of fresh mint)<br />
Eating: The mint in a proper mojito and a<br />
proper Sunday roast<br />
Reading: Vanity Fair (the book, not the<br />
mag); Drive (Daniel Pink)<br />
Favourite business book: Leaders Eat<br />
Last, by Simon Sinek; The Lean Start Up, by<br />
Eric Ries<br />
Talents: Hand-eye coordination, haggling,<br />
not accepting no for an answer<br />
Heroes: Bill Shankly<br />
First ambition: To play football for<br />
Liverpool<br />
Motto: “There’s more than one way to skin<br />
a cat”.<br />
Most likely to say: Why?<br />
Least likely to say: I’m only coming if I can<br />
wear my Louboutins<br />
Awards: Online Comment Site of the Year<br />
(Editorial Intelligence Comment Awards)<br />
2011 and 2014; Institute of Internal<br />
Communication Communicator of the Year<br />
2014; EY Entrepreneur of the Year London<br />
and South Winner 2016; Appointed<br />
Commander of the Order of the British<br />
Empire (CBE) in the 2017 New Year Honours<br />
for services to the economy<br />
algorithms impair debate through<br />
reflection of self-affirming views – dominate<br />
the news agenda, I ask Roberts<br />
about the importance of debate. “Our<br />
view is there is something valuable in<br />
differing opinions,” she says. “And actually,<br />
in the last year we’ve become even<br />
more of that opinion. There are few<br />
places on the internet where you’re<br />
going to get diverse opinion because of a<br />
very calculated move on the behalf of<br />
the big tech companies to serve you stuff<br />
from the people that you know and who<br />
will say the sort of things you want to<br />
hear. Mumsnet sits outside of that.”<br />
I ask whether Mumsnet is bursting the<br />
filter bubble: “I don’t know if I’d go that<br />
far! But we’re certainly committed to<br />
Mumsnet not being a filter bubble. We<br />
don’t doctor people’s feeds, we don’t disallow<br />
contrary opinion, we don’t overweigh<br />
opinion that isn’t contrary. We<br />
wouldn’t do that because we think in<br />
itself, discussion and debate is something<br />
healthy and worth preserving.<br />
Differing opinion often changes<br />
people’s minds, and how else can you<br />
learn to appreciate a different point of<br />
view if you don’t hear differing opinions?”<br />
PRICE TAG<br />
Most tech companies grow with the<br />
intention of selling, so I ask Roberts if<br />
she would consider an offer. After a<br />
short pause, she tells me “it would be<br />
hard to because this isn’t just a business<br />
– it’s not a conventional one anyway.<br />
It’s a new type of business, and I<br />
would have to feel very comfortable,<br />
that the spirit of the site – putting purpose<br />
before profit – was going to be<br />
maintained.”
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
FEATURE<br />
23<br />
Q&A: How can you finance digital assets?<br />
THE DIGITAL economy has created<br />
myriad new types of<br />
business with different<br />
needs to traditional, bricksand-mortar<br />
firms. And with<br />
new business comes new challenges,<br />
one of which is access to the right sort<br />
of finance. We caught up with Andy<br />
Davies, sales director at LDF, to find<br />
out how the company is evolving<br />
finance to suit this new economy.<br />
What changes have you seen in the<br />
types of businesses approaching you?<br />
We’re certainly seeing an increase in<br />
the number of new, digital businesses<br />
in emerging industries that are looking<br />
for finance, whereas previously, it<br />
was more traditional businesses: manufacturers,<br />
for example – real bricksand-mortar,<br />
asset-based businesses.<br />
What we’re seeing now is a product of<br />
the new economy – far more innovative<br />
businesses: those that are techbased,<br />
and IT firms.<br />
How do the needs of these businesses<br />
differ to traditional asset financing?<br />
If you look at where we fitted in asset<br />
financing in the past, there would be<br />
a specific, tangible purpose that the<br />
funding would be attributed against.<br />
Whether a piece of equipment or a<br />
vehicle, it would be something with a<br />
LDF<br />
COMMENT<br />
Andy<br />
Davies<br />
palpable use or purpose. Now, to<br />
accommodate the digital age, we’re<br />
looking at loan options where it’s a<br />
longer-term, non-tangible type of<br />
spending. More “soft costs” are now<br />
required: marketing, digital marketing,<br />
website development – the types<br />
of things which we would not have<br />
traditionally looked at in the past.<br />
In terms of products, how have you<br />
reacted to the changing market?<br />
Traditional loan products have a specific<br />
purpose attached to them –<br />
that’s how LDF has operated in the<br />
past, and it’s been a fairly standard<br />
approach across the industry. If you<br />
wanted a loan, you would have to<br />
prove exactly what the tangible cost<br />
was going to be – whether it was<br />
£10,000 for refurbishment or £50,000<br />
for a machine – we would need to see<br />
the invoice matching that figure. To<br />
try and counter that, we’re looking at<br />
The new economy requires a different type of finance<br />
new, alternative products. One of<br />
these is a business development loan<br />
which allows us to look at a number<br />
of intangible products such as marketing,<br />
recruitment or development<br />
and, provided the customer has a<br />
story behind what this will mean for<br />
them – how they will benefit from<br />
that cash injection – then we can provide<br />
a loan on that basis. It’s a case of<br />
providing a loan without a tangible<br />
purpose attached to it.<br />
How can your technology make the<br />
process of financing easier?<br />
We have spent, and will continue to<br />
spend, an awful lot of money on trying<br />
to make the customer journey as<br />
simple and straightforward as possible.<br />
How we can make the whole credit<br />
process as slick as possible is a big<br />
part of our evolving business model.<br />
People are now looking at alternative<br />
finance far more than ever<br />
before. I think many look outside<br />
the mainstream banking options,<br />
especially those who are a bit more<br />
tech savvy. Whereas previously, once<br />
they’d been declined by their bank,<br />
that could well have been the end of<br />
their journey – but we are providing<br />
an alternative.<br />
How do you stay at the forefront of<br />
financing in an evolving business<br />
environment?<br />
We’ve invested heavily in a delivery<br />
platform called Lendinghive, which<br />
allows us to look at asset finance via<br />
an easy-to-use digital application<br />
and offer loans within 30 minutes.<br />
As part of future-proofing our own,<br />
and our customers’ businesses for<br />
the growing digital economy, we’ve<br />
invested a lot of money in trying to<br />
ensure that we cater for how the<br />
next generation will look for<br />
finance.<br />
It’s a new direction in business<br />
finance designed specifically for<br />
small to medium-sized companies,<br />
which puts the recipient in control<br />
of a bespoke finance plan. We very<br />
much believe that we’re at the forefront<br />
of how this kind of technology<br />
will work.<br />
WHEN DO YOU<br />
PAY YOURS?<br />
Avoid bank bureaucracy and<br />
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spreading the cost of your tax<br />
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a tax loan from LDF.<br />
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LDF Operations Limited (reg. no 02029122) part of the LDF Group is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority for credit-related regulated activities (including hiring).
24 FEATURE MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
MARKETING<br />
WHEN THE<br />
LIGHTS GO OUT<br />
PICCADILLY<br />
SPECIAL<br />
As we bid farewell to<br />
the Piccadilly Circus<br />
patchwork, Elliott<br />
Haworth<br />
remembers its<br />
history and looks to<br />
its future<br />
ON ONLY a handful of occasions<br />
in its 100-year history<br />
has the hotchpotch of billboards<br />
at Piccadilly Circus<br />
been intentionally switched<br />
off during peacetime. Most famously,<br />
when Winston Churchill died, and<br />
later, Princess Diana. The advertising<br />
space, recognisable the world round, is<br />
symbolic of the national mood; it wears<br />
black when we mourn.<br />
But today, minus the iniquity of<br />
tragedy or war, the power to the<br />
patchwork Circus will cease. Decades<br />
of retrofitting will be replaced with a<br />
single screen, beaming new messages<br />
onto the streets below.<br />
Tim Bleakley, chief executive of<br />
Ocean Outdoor, the agency which<br />
organises the advertising on the<br />
board, understands the magnitude of<br />
altering a landmark. “It has this<br />
magnetism around it, I’d argue it’s the<br />
most famous advertising in the<br />
world,” he says. “Piccadilly’s iconism is<br />
linked to its longevity. The board has<br />
evolved not just as London has; it’s<br />
been there as the world has evolved<br />
around it.”<br />
Supplanting something as<br />
significant as the advertising at<br />
Piccadilly Circus, albeit temporarily, is<br />
an unenviable task. The last time all<br />
the lights were out for any sustained<br />
period was from 1939 to 1949, when<br />
Churchill ordered the blackout to<br />
muddle the logistics of the Nazi<br />
bombing raids blitzing the city. Since<br />
then, other than the charity<br />
campaigns London Lights Out and<br />
Earth Day, the display has barely<br />
jittered. Vasiliki Arvaniti, portfolio<br />
manager at Land Securities, which has<br />
owned the Piccadilly Circus site since<br />
the seventies, says that the lights will<br />
be off for approximately nine months.<br />
“What we’re doing is quite significant<br />
work, we have to take down the<br />
existing six screens, and the<br />
structures which hold them and<br />
replace it with a whole new structure,<br />
which is why it’s taking so long. It’s<br />
never been done to this scale before.”<br />
<strong>NEW</strong> TECH<br />
The new curved, ultra-high definition<br />
4K resolution screen aims to<br />
futureproof the space, while retaining<br />
the familiar patchwork aesthetic. The<br />
screen being installed – one of the<br />
biggest in the world – will cover some<br />
790 square metres, making it bigger<br />
than a full-sized tennis court (670<br />
square metres). It will also be one of<br />
the most technically advanced in the<br />
world, offering live video streaming,<br />
lifestyle updates such as weather and<br />
sports results, and real-time social<br />
media feeds, ensuring the space stays<br />
at the forefront of innovation, while<br />
offering new opportunities for brands<br />
and advertisers.<br />
The challenge is replacing the<br />
patchwork while retaining the<br />
identity for which it is loved<br />
Piccadilly’s<br />
magnetism is<br />
linked to its<br />
longevity<br />
One such innovation is localised<br />
wifi which, when combined with the<br />
ability to update the brand message in<br />
real time, provides the capability to<br />
alter adverts based on consumers<br />
within the area. “It’s fast,” says<br />
Bleakley. “Coca-Cola, for example, can<br />
log on at any given moment, see a<br />
large group of Spanish tourists and<br />
change the copy of the ad from ‘hello,’<br />
to ‘buenos dias.’ There will be car<br />
recognition, so, if it’s a car brand<br />
advertising, it can serve ads based on<br />
the vehicles passing by. For those<br />
brands, it’s an exclusive tech club.<br />
They’ll be members of a world first.”
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
FEATURE<br />
25<br />
PICCADILLY LIGHTS: A TIMELINE<br />
£ 1908 First permanent electrical<br />
advertisement, using incandescent bulbs, is<br />
installed by Perrier.<br />
£ 1923 Within 15 years, electric billboards<br />
dominate the Monico Cafe and London<br />
Pavilion – brands from Bovril to Schweppes<br />
appear using neon lights, to the disdain of<br />
architectural societies. Guinness Time<br />
becomes a permanent fixture for several<br />
decades.<br />
£ 1939 Winston Churchill orders the<br />
blackout to confuse Nazi bombers: the<br />
Piccadilly Lights remain black for a decade.<br />
£ 1955 Coca-Cola takes its spot, which<br />
remains to this day, and will retain its<br />
residency when the new screen is installed.<br />
1953<br />
£ 1965 The lights are switched off as a mark<br />
of respect during Churchill’s funeral.<br />
£ 1978 Japanese technology company<br />
Sanyo erects its famous red and white sign,<br />
which stayed until 2011, when the boards<br />
were upgraded to LED for the London<br />
Olympics.<br />
£ 1986 Advertising is removed from London<br />
Pavilion as part of renovations.<br />
£ 1997 The lights are switched off for the<br />
funeral of the Princess of Wales.<br />
£ 2002 Yoko Ono pays a reported £150,000<br />
to display John Lennon lyrics: “Imagine all<br />
the people, living life in peace,” following the<br />
9/11 attacks.<br />
£ 2007 Paul Atherton’s short film “The Ballet<br />
of Change,” exploring the history of the<br />
Circus, premieres on Coca-Cola’s LED ad<br />
space.<br />
£ 2009 Coca-Cola switches its advert off as<br />
part of WWF’s Earth Hour.<br />
£ 2011 Lights emblazoned with poetry from<br />
across the British Isles as part of National<br />
Poetry Day.<br />
£ 2017 Piccadilly Lights switched off for nine<br />
months to remove old screens and replace<br />
them with one giant curved screen.<br />
1936<br />
1945<br />
1936<br />
1961<br />
1993<br />
HERITAGE<br />
Of course, replacing the lights with a<br />
giant screen risks losing the<br />
patchwork that has adorned the site<br />
for so long – and made it the<br />
landmark we know today. Graham<br />
Hinton, chairman of the History of<br />
Advertising Trust, says that, while an<br />
upgrade is inevitable, he heeds a<br />
warning. “Like any property that the<br />
public warms to, has affection for and<br />
knows well, to some extent, you<br />
tamper with it at your own risk. It’s<br />
achieved iconic status, and I think the<br />
patchwork is really important to it. If<br />
you look at the first pictures, it hasn’t<br />
changed – it’s always been that way. At<br />
what point does a medium lose its<br />
appeal because you adapt it to take<br />
advantage of modern technology?”<br />
Retaining a sense of history is on the<br />
lips of everyone involved in the<br />
project, says Arvaniti. “We’ve worked<br />
very closely with Westminster City<br />
Council to arrive at a proposal, she<br />
says. “What we will deliver is change<br />
that makes a big enough difference to<br />
ensure that the site continues to lead<br />
the way in terms of out of home<br />
advertising, while not changing its<br />
essence and heritage.”<br />
The way they hope to achieve this is<br />
through segmentation of the giant<br />
screen – replacing the patchwork,<br />
while retaining its spirit. The screen<br />
will be split into six sections<br />
ordinarily, periodically rotating brands<br />
in 30 minute loops, whereafter one<br />
brand will take full control of the<br />
entire screen.<br />
SPECIAL<br />
But what makes it so special?<br />
Landmarks tend to be buildings or<br />
icons – red phoneboxes and<br />
Buckingham Palace. It is, after all, just<br />
a board of adverts.<br />
A succinct answer that rings true<br />
today came in 1926. CJ Lytle, general<br />
manager of the Borough Billposting<br />
Company, wrote in Modern<br />
Advertising: “it is not too much to say<br />
the Piccadilly attracts thousands of<br />
sightseers every night for the avowed<br />
purpose of witnessing for themselves<br />
the mechanical wonders of the<br />
flashing signs. And they are all<br />
absorbing the commercial messages<br />
that are signalled to them.”<br />
Clearly, the board has grown up<br />
since then, but its appeal is<br />
undimmed. “It’s a very magical thing<br />
It’s evolved as the<br />
medium has<br />
evolved, and will<br />
continue to do so<br />
to go and see,” says Hinton. “The<br />
concentration and brightness of the<br />
images; the location in itself. Piccadilly<br />
is a pretty extraordinary place in<br />
London. It’s the hub of the West End,<br />
bringing everything together with<br />
these extraordinary brands and<br />
messages occupying the biggest space<br />
in the most exciting way. It sort of all<br />
works together.”<br />
The Circus is known the world<br />
over – monumental as a tourist<br />
attraction, irreplacable as an<br />
advertising behemoth – reaching over<br />
100m consumers per year, and setting<br />
a global standard in out-of-home. “It’s<br />
always been the centre of the change<br />
in the out of home medium,” says<br />
Bleakley. “It was the first site to be<br />
illuminated, the first to have neon, the<br />
first to be replaced with digital LED.<br />
It’s evolved as the medium has<br />
evolved, and will continue to do so.”<br />
HIS<strong>TO</strong>RY<br />
At present, six screens advertise<br />
brands at Piccadilly. The most famous,<br />
Coca-Cola, has held a permanent<br />
residency on the board for 62 years,<br />
and will continue to do so, according<br />
to Aedamar Howlett, marketing<br />
director of Coca-Cola Great Britain and<br />
Ireland. “There are only a handful of<br />
advertising spaces in the world that<br />
are as iconic and unique as the<br />
Piccadilly Lights,” he said.<br />
Despite its obvious staying power,<br />
Coca-Cola’s presence is a fairly recent<br />
addition to the boards’ history.<br />
Illuminated lettering attached to the<br />
facades of prominent buildings<br />
appears to have started in 1890 –<br />
although advertisers had filled the<br />
space with posters and static ads for<br />
some time. The first permanent,<br />
illuminated electrical advertisement<br />
from Perrier, using incandescent<br />
bulbs, appeared in 1908. It wasn’t until<br />
1923, that, like Dylan, Piccadilly went<br />
fully electric, with neon lights and<br />
moving signs replacing the original<br />
incarnation.<br />
It’s hard to imagine a brand like<br />
Bovril advertising on Piccadilly now,<br />
but the meat extract producer had the<br />
first neon sign to grace the famous<br />
facade. The neon lights, utilised by<br />
over 50 brands across several decades,<br />
from Cinzano to Guinness; Kodak to<br />
McDonald’s, remained for some<br />
decades, upgraded at the pace<br />
technology allowed. The last neon<br />
light, owned by Sanyo, was removed in<br />
2011 following a request to replace it<br />
with a more modern LED screen<br />
before the 2012 Olympics.<br />
“We’re replacing very cumbersome<br />
technology of varying age and quality,”<br />
says Bleakley. “Every screen is different<br />
and some will be outdated soon; this is<br />
a way of creating uniformity when we<br />
have the chance.”<br />
It’s not well known, but on two<br />
occasions in its life, the Piccadilly<br />
Lights have faced opposition that<br />
brought their future into question.<br />
Following a number of complaints<br />
from architects, in 1900 the London<br />
County Council made byelaws<br />
“prohibiting the exhibition of flash<br />
lights... so as to be visible from any<br />
street and to cause danger to the<br />
traffic therein.” The complainants<br />
insisted they were a “disfigurement to<br />
the Metropolis and a nuisance.” The<br />
council had wanted to impose a<br />
complete prohibition, which would<br />
have put a stop to all intermittently<br />
illuminated advertising in London.<br />
But Adland fought back, and won.<br />
The second was a proposition by one<br />
Lord Holford in 1962. He wanted to<br />
redevelop the area, replacing the<br />
buildings upon which the lights are<br />
fixed with three octagonal towers and<br />
an elevated pedestrian concourse<br />
linking the buildings around the<br />
perimeter of the Circus. It became<br />
known as The Holford Plan, spawning<br />
the reactionary short film, “Goodbye,<br />
Piccadilly.”<br />
Thankfully – for the sake of<br />
longevity, and developing an icon –<br />
neither plan was ever seen through.<br />
And in the autumn, when works are<br />
completed, we can instead say, “Hello<br />
Piccadilly,” and welcome it to the<br />
future.
Gold.............................................................1190.35 -14.70<br />
Silver ..............................................................16.76 -0.15<br />
Brent Crude....................................................56.01 -0.45<br />
Krugerrand..................................................1195.10 -6.90<br />
Palladium....................................................755.00 -6.00<br />
Platinum.....................................................990.00 10.00<br />
Tin Cash Official........................................21100.00 -50.00<br />
Lead Cash Official ......................................2165.00 0.00<br />
Zinc Cash Official ......................................2690.00 0.00<br />
Copper Cash Official...................................5751.00 109.00<br />
Aluminium Cash Official ............................1787.00 39.00<br />
Nickel Cash Official....................................9975.00 -465.00<br />
Aluminium Alloy Cash Official...................1535.00 0.00<br />
Cocoa Futures.............................................2213.00 -17.00<br />
Coffee 'C' Futures .........................................149.03 -0.70<br />
Feed Wheat Futures ....................................148.25 1.60<br />
Soybeans Futures Continuation Contract..1044.25 -2.00<br />
AB INBEV..........................................................99.61 0.60 119.60 92.13<br />
ADIDAS N ........................................................147.95 1.95 160.30 82.65<br />
AIR LIQUIDE ....................................................104.95 0.75 106.55 85.96<br />
AIRBUS GROUP ................................................65.64 0.95 66.05 48.07<br />
ALLIANZ RG ....................................................160.80 1.60 162.00 118.35<br />
ASML HLDG RG................................................108.55 2.00 108.10 70.54<br />
AXA ..................................................................24.35 0.43 25.05 16.11<br />
BANCO SANTANDER ............................................5.15 0.09 5.19 3.15<br />
BASF N.............................................................89.06 0.88 89.47 56.01<br />
BAYER N ..........................................................101.65 1.65 112.00 83.45<br />
BBVA ..................................................................6.24 0.12 6.70 4.43<br />
BMW..................................................................87.81 0.35 91.76 63.38<br />
BNP PARIBAS-A-...............................................62.16 1.61 63.06 35.27<br />
CRH PLC .............................................................15.16 -0.23 16.93 12.81<br />
DAIMLER N ........................................................71.33 0.54 73.23 50.83<br />
DANONE ...........................................................60.53 -0.26 70.53 57.49<br />
DEUTSCHE BANK N.............................................18.15 0.70 20.58 9.90<br />
DEUTSCHE POST N.............................................31.69 0.28 31.95 19.55<br />
DEUTSCHE TELEKOM N ......................................16.36 0.12 16.64 13.54<br />
E.ON N .................................................................7.17 0.00 8.97 5.99<br />
ENEL....................................................................4.16 0.03 4.24 3.33<br />
ENGIE ................................................................11.67 -0.07 15.21 11.22<br />
ENI ....................................................................15.67 0.21 15.92 10.93<br />
ESSILOR INTL....................................................102.10 0.30 124.55 93.41<br />
FRESENIUS........................................................73.33 0.70 74.99 52.39<br />
IBERDROLA ........................................................6.07 0.01 6.32 4.60<br />
INDITEX ............................................................31.93 0.31 33.47 26.60<br />
ING GROUP........................................................13.78 0.28 14.05 8.30<br />
INTESA SANPAOLO..............................................2.47 0.04 2.95 1.52<br />
KON AH DEL......................................................19.69 0.38 23.03 17.89<br />
L'OREAL............................................................171.45 1.05 177.90 142.65<br />
LVMH...............................................................188.95 2.40 187.25 130.55<br />
MUENCH RUECKVERS N...................................179.65 3.10 187.35 140.90<br />
NOKIA ................................................................4.50 0.10 6.83 3.66<br />
ORANGE............................................................14.99 0.21 16.67 12.38<br />
ROY.PHILIPS .....................................................28.88 0.30 29.45 20.05<br />
SAFRAN ............................................................67.65 0.44 69.89 48.87<br />
SAINT GOBAIN .................................................45.60 0.41 45.25 31.47<br />
SANOFI .............................................................78.07 1.53 79.07 62.50<br />
SAP ...................................................................84.18 0.60 84.65 64.62<br />
SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC ........................................67.85 0.55 67.74 45.32<br />
SIEMENS N.......................................................116.40 0.35 118.45 79.23<br />
SOCIETE GENERALE...........................................47.48 1.60 49.38 25.00<br />
TELEFONICA........................................................9.22 0.06 9.92 7.15<br />
<strong>TO</strong>TAL ...............................................................48.85 0.15 49.50 33.28<br />
UNIBAIL-RODAMCO ..........................................221.15 -0.95 252.95 203.10<br />
UNILEVER CERT ................................................39.08 0.21 43.11 36.22<br />
VINCI ................................................................65.72 0.21 69.80 49.93<br />
VIVENDI.............................................................18.27 0.50 20.32 14.87<br />
VOLKSWAGEN VZ ............................................149.55 2.25 152.15 92.70<br />
Price Chg High Low<br />
EU SHARES<br />
3M RG..............................................................177.39 -0.05 182.27 134.64<br />
ABBVIE RG........................................................61.99 0.71 68.12 51.60<br />
ALPHABET-A ..................................................830.94 1.41 839.00 672.66<br />
ALPHABET-C...................................................807.88 1.52 816.68 663.06<br />
ALTRIA GROUP RG ............................................67.58 0.07 70.15 56.15<br />
AMAZON.COM RG .............................................817.14 3.50 847.21 474.00<br />
AMERICAN EXPRESS RG ...................................76.62 -0.26 78.00 50.27<br />
AMGEN RG.......................................................156.12 0.76 176.85 133.64<br />
APPLE .............................................................119.04 -0.21 119.93 89.47<br />
AT&T RG...........................................................40.96 -0.05 43.89 33.43<br />
BANK OF AMERICA RG ......................................23.01 0.09 23.41 10.99<br />
BERKSHIRE HATHAWY-B.................................161.90 0.49 167.25 123.55<br />
BOEING CO RG.................................................158.83 0.54 160.07 102.10<br />
CATERPILLAR ...................................................94.48 0.49 97.40 56.36<br />
CHEVRON ........................................................116.38 0.22 119.00 75.33<br />
CISCO SYSTEMS.................................................30.07 0.03 31.95 22.46<br />
CITIGROUP .......................................................59.63 0.40 61.63 34.52<br />
COCA-COLA CO.................................................40.88 -0.07 47.13 39.88<br />
COMCAST-A.......................................................72.77 1.35 71.76 52.34<br />
DU PONT NEMOURS&CO ..................................73.60 -0.51 75.86 50.71<br />
EXXON MOBIL...................................................86.35 0.01 95.55 71.55<br />
FACEBOOK-A...................................................128.34 1.72 133.50 89.37<br />
GENERAL ELECTRIC............................................31.36 -0.03 33.00 27.10<br />
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP ..............................244.30 0.46 247.77 138.20<br />
HOME DEPOT ..................................................135.04 -0.03 139.00 109.62<br />
IBM..................................................................167.34 -0.61 169.95 116.90<br />
INTEL................................................................36.79 0.08 38.36 27.68<br />
JOHNSON & JOHNSON ....................................114.60 -0.02 126.07 94.28<br />
JPMORGAN CHASE...........................................86.70 0.46 88.17 52.50<br />
MASTERCARD-A .............................................108.70 -0.01 109.40 78.52<br />
MCDONALD'S...................................................121.50 -0.60 131.96 110.33<br />
MEDTRONIC......................................................75.09 -0.02 89.27 69.35<br />
MERCK .............................................................62.34 0.13 65.46 47.97<br />
MICROSOFT ......................................................62.70 0.09 64.10 48.04<br />
NIKE -B-...........................................................52.92 0.52 65.44 49.01<br />
ORACLE ............................................................39.26 0.06 42.00 33.13<br />
PEPSICO...........................................................101.55 -0.29 110.94 93.25<br />
PFIZER..............................................................32.52 -0.08 37.39 28.25<br />
PHILIP MRRS INT .............................................90.40 -0.11 104.20 84.46<br />
PROCTER&GAMBLE...........................................84.01 0.17 90.33 74.46<br />
SCHLUMBERGER...............................................84.82 -0.51 87.00 59.60<br />
THE KRAFT HEINZ.............................................87.03 -0.39 90.54 68.18<br />
TRAVLR COMP ..................................................117.05 0.30 123.09 101.23<br />
TWITTER............................................................17.25 -0.13 25.25 13.73<br />
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP ..................................161.80 -0.56 164.00 107.79<br />
UTD TECHNOLOGIES.........................................110.22 -0.60 112.83 83.39<br />
VERIZON COMM ...............................................52.55 -0.13 56.95 43.79<br />
VISA-A...............................................................81.17 -0.20 83.96 66.12<br />
WAL-MART S<strong>TO</strong>RES ...........................................67.13 -0.84 75.19 60.20<br />
WALT DISNEY-DISNEY ....................................108.06 0.53 109.49 86.25<br />
WELLS FARGO ...................................................55.31 0.81 58.02 43.55<br />
COMMODITIES<br />
CREDIT & RATES<br />
BoE IR Overnight.........................................0.250 0.00<br />
BoE IR 7 days..............................................0.250 0.00<br />
BoE IR 1 month ...........................................0.250 0.00<br />
BoE IR 3 months.........................................0.250 0.00<br />
BoE IR 6 months.........................................0.250 0.00<br />
LIBOR Euro - overnight ...............................-0.411 0.00<br />
LIBOR Euro - 12 months.............................-0.095 0.00<br />
LIBOR USD - overnight ................................0.693 0.00<br />
LIBOR USD - 12 months ................................1.698 -0.01<br />
Halifax mortgage rate ................................3.990 0.00<br />
Euro Base Rate ...........................................0.000 0.00<br />
Finance house base rate .............................1.000 0.00<br />
US Fed funds.................................................0.66 0.00<br />
US long bond yield .......................................2.99 -0.02<br />
Euro Euribor ...............................................-0.379 0.00<br />
The vix index.................................................11.23 -0.31<br />
The baltic dry index ..................................910.00 18.00<br />
Markit iBoxx EUR ......................................226.58 -0.41<br />
Markit iBoxx GBP........................................312.67 -2.07<br />
Markit iTraxx................................................69.84 -0.40<br />
Price Chg High Low<br />
US SHARES<br />
€/$ 1.0604 0.0008<br />
€/£ 0.8839 0.0111<br />
€/¥ 121.16 0.5480<br />
/€ 1.1308 0.0148<br />
/$ 1.1990 0.0167<br />
/¥ 136.99 2.4310<br />
BAE Systems . . . . . . . . .611.5 -6.0 618.0 459.7<br />
Cobham . . . . . . . . . . . . .138.2 1.2 234.4 127.5<br />
Meggitt . . . . . . . . . . . . .445.2 0.3 482.0 346.5<br />
QinetiQ Group . . . . . . . .262.9 2.4 266.0 212.0<br />
Rolls-Royce Holdi . . . . .661.5 -15.5 831.0 512.5<br />
Senior . . . . . . . . . . . . . .193.0 1.0 242.0 171.6<br />
Ultra Electronics . . . . . .1931.0 -13.0 2030.0 1595.0<br />
GKN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .341.3 2.4 343.8 248.6<br />
Aldermore Group . . . . .218.2 -0.7 238.5 104.8<br />
Barclays . . . . . . . . . . . . .235.3 3.0 239.0 127.2<br />
BGEO Group . . . . . . . . .2787.0 -12.0 3379.0 1570.0<br />
CYBG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .288.3 -1.0 302.2 182.8<br />
HSBC Holdings . . . . . . .678.0 4.8 681.3 416.2<br />
Lloyds Banking Gr . . . . .66.0 0.0 73.7 47.6<br />
Metro Bank . . . . . . . . .3132.0 2.0 3356.0 1623.0<br />
Royal Bank of Sco . . . . .221.1 2.6 277.0 148.9<br />
Shawbrook Group . . . .254.3 -0.7 325.0 132.0<br />
Standard Chartere . . . . .718.5 15.3 718.5 386.7<br />
Virgin Money Hold . . . .324.8 2.2 381.5 205.0<br />
Barr (A.G.) . . . . . . . . . . .511.0 6.0 614.5 455.3<br />
Britvic . . . . . . . . . . . . . .586.0 5.0 732.5 523.5<br />
Coca-Cola HBC AG . . .1802.0 8.0 1840.0 1265.0<br />
Diageo . . . . . . . . . . . . .2197.5 21.0 2268.0 1745.0<br />
Croda Internation . . . .3338.0 15.0 3669.0 2663.7<br />
Elementis . . . . . . . . . . .272.2 4.2 279.4 180.6<br />
Johnson Matthey . . . .3248.0 28.0 3540.0 2230.0<br />
Synthomer . . . . . . . . . .379.5 -0.9 388.4 275.1<br />
Victrex plc . . . . . . . . . .1982.0 31.0 1989.0 1367.0<br />
AO World . . . . . . . . . . . .158.5 -3.8 189.3 120.5<br />
Auto Trader Group . . . .397.2 -2.8 424.1 313.8<br />
B&M European Valu . . .304.7 3.8 311.0 232.5<br />
Brown (N.) Group . . . . .209.8 0.3 362.1 160.4<br />
Card Factory . . . . . . . . .252.3 4.0 381.0 242.5<br />
Convatec Group . . . . . .239.7 -1.3 255.5 225.0<br />
Debenhams . . . . . . . . . .56.6 -0.8 81.6 51.4<br />
Dignity . . . . . . . . . . . .2473.0 -22.0 2871.0 2227.0<br />
Dixons Carphone . . . . .350.9 4.1 476.5 281.6<br />
Dunelm Group . . . . . . .698.0 -44.0 1018.0 692.4<br />
Halfords Group . . . . . . .351.7 3.2 449.1 305.6<br />
Inchcape . . . . . . . . . . . .728.5 7.5 754.0 581.0<br />
JD Sports Fashion . . . . .355.0 5.0 356.7 206.2<br />
Just Eat . . . . . . . . . . . . . .517.5 -12.5 599.5 329.1<br />
Kingfisher . . . . . . . . . . .353.0 8.8 386.2 306.7<br />
Marks & Spencer G . . . .339.1 -5.8 446.1 285.2<br />
Next . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4042.0 9.0 7020.0 4032.0<br />
Pets at Home Grou . . . .240.9 2.6 285.0 211.5<br />
Saga . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .194.5 0.6 225.9 173.9<br />
Sports Direct Int . . . . . .284.7 -2.8 425.1 252.2<br />
Ted Baker . . . . . . . . . .2925.0 25.0 3092.0 2124.0<br />
WH Smith . . . . . . . . . .1579.0 -2.0 1878.0 1447.0<br />
Balfour Beatty . . . . . . . .267.7 2.2 295.1 190.8<br />
CRH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2878.0 45.0 2895.0 1637.0<br />
Galliford Try . . . . . . . . .1349.0 7.0 1498.0 785.0<br />
Ibstock . . . . . . . . . . . . . .186.2 1.9 223.7 114.7<br />
Keller Group . . . . . . . . .842.5 1.0 1024.0 644.5<br />
Kier Group . . . . . . . . . .1401.0 -2.0 1433.0 932.0<br />
Marshalls . . . . . . . . . . . .285.2 2.0 357.3 206.5<br />
Polypipe Group . . . . . . .334.7 3.7 352.0 221.5<br />
Drax Group . . . . . . . . . .380.3 -0.7 385.1 207.6<br />
SSE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1553.0 6.0 1628.0 1321.0<br />
Halma . . . . . . . . . . . . . .940.0 0.0 1126.0 773.5<br />
Morgan Advanced M . .290.0 1.2 305.5 192.3<br />
Renishaw . . . . . . . . . .2705.0 10.0 2930.0 1600.0<br />
Spectris . . . . . . . . . . . .2441.0 3.0 2481.0 1442.0<br />
Aberforth Smaller . . . .1113.0 4.0 1120.0 849.0<br />
Alliance Trust . . . . . . . .658.5 5.0 659.5 450.8<br />
Bankers Inv Trust . . . . .714.0 -1.0 720.0 522.0<br />
BH Macro Ltd. GBP . . .2095.0 -1.0 2134.0 1875.0<br />
British Empire Tr . . . . .660.5 2.5 665.0 412.0<br />
Caledonia Investm . . .2761.0 10.0 2765.0 2112.0<br />
City of London In . . . . . .413.9 1.6 415.2 341.5<br />
Edinburgh Inv Tru . . . . .719.0 -3.5 739.5 620.0<br />
Electra Private E . . . . .4651.0 -94.0 4852.0 3300.0<br />
Fidelity China Sp . . . . . .181.0 2.8 198.2 110.5<br />
Fidelity European . . . . .189.5 0.4 191.0 151.2<br />
Finsbury Growth & . . . .663.5 4.5 676.0 532.5<br />
Foreign and Colon . . . .553.5 4.0 556.0 391.2<br />
GCP Infrastructur . . . . . .124.3 0.1 134.8 114.8<br />
Genesis Emerging . . . .620.0 7.0 644.0 408.5<br />
Greencoat UK Wind . . . .119.3 -0.3 119.9 101.1<br />
HarbourVest Globa . . .1188.0 -7.0 1197.0 853.0<br />
HICL Infrastructu . . . . . .162.6 1.1 185.1 150.4<br />
International Pub . . . . .152.8 0.0 162.6 139.0<br />
John Laing Infras . . . . . .132.2 -0.5 140.4 114.2<br />
JPMorgan American . . .372.2 4.0 375.9 245.9<br />
JPMorgan Emerging . .706.5 2.5 765.0 483.0<br />
JPMorgan Indian I . . . .628.0 8.5 690.0 434.8<br />
Mercantile Invest . . . . .1730.0 1.0 1743.0 1375.0<br />
Monks Inv Trust . . . . . .602.5 9.0 604.0 361.1<br />
Murray Internatio . . . . .1155.0 -7.0 1188.0 742.5<br />
NB Global Floatin . . . . . .97.4 0.4 97.7 84.6<br />
P2P Global Invest . . . . .806.0 2.0 980.0 730.0<br />
Perpetual Income . . . . .371.3 -0.2 400.7 332.0<br />
Personal Assets T . . .39480.0 80.040500.034170.0<br />
Polar Capital Tec . . . . . .882.0 11.0 887.0 503.5<br />
RIT Capital Partn . . . . .1847.0 10.0 1885.0 1512.0<br />
Riverstone Energy . . .1344.0 12.0 1355.0 720.0<br />
Scottish Inv Trus . . . . . .794.5 3.5 804.0 544.5<br />
Scottish Mortgage . . . .343.8 4.8 345.4 220.6<br />
Temple Bar Inv Tr . . . .1250.0 -6.0 1262.0 940.0<br />
Templeton Emergin . . .619.5 2.0 624.5 371.5<br />
The Renewables In . . . .109.2 0.2 110.2 90.3<br />
TR Property Inv T . . . . .297.0 0.2 321.0 241.7<br />
Witan Inv Trust . . . . . . .920.0 7.5 921.4 683.0<br />
Woodford Patient . . . . .92.3 -1.1 100.8 81.0<br />
Worldwide Healthc . . .2181.0 0.0 2281.0 1596.0<br />
3i Group . . . . . . . . . . . .725.0 7.5 729.0 389.8<br />
3i Infrastructure . . . . . . .187.5 0.2 200.0 166.5<br />
Aberdeen Asset Ma . . . .271.3 2.8 348.6 209.3<br />
Allied Minds . . . . . . . . . .422.1 -5.9 479.4 267.0<br />
Arrow Global Grou . . . .305.5 1.8 310.0 178.3<br />
Ashmore Group . . . . . .283.5 2.9 375.5 196.4<br />
Brewin Dolphin Ho . . . .308.0 1.3 309.4 210.2<br />
Charles Taylor . . . . . . . .224.0 5.0 327.5 219.0<br />
City of London In . . . . .350.0 -2.5 400.1 285.0<br />
Close Brothers Gr . . . .1450.0 12.0 1477.0 989.5<br />
CMC Markets . . . . . . . . . .119.6 -0.4 290.8 94.6<br />
Hargreaves Lansdo . . .1277.0 4.0 1389.0 1056.0<br />
Henderson Group . . . . .239.0 0.1 277.2 195.0<br />
IG Group Holdings . . . .530.5 4.5 959.5 450.7<br />
Intermediate Capi . . . .708.0 3.0 719.5 454.2<br />
International Per . . . . . .172.0 8.2 341.2 160.6<br />
Investec . . . . . . . . . . . .566.5 8.5 568.0 402.7<br />
IP Group . . . . . . . . . . . . .177.5 -1.3 200.0 120.4<br />
John Laing Group . . . . .268.0 -0.5 281.5 200.0<br />
Jupiter Fund Mana . . . .416.9 0.9 453.9 328.9<br />
Liontrust Asset M . . . . . .391.1 -7.3 402.0 235.0<br />
LMS Capital . . . . . . . . . . .54.5 0.0 72.0 54.0<br />
London Finance & . . . . .42.8 0.0 46.0 34.0<br />
London Stock Exch . . .2933.0 -1.0 2953.0 2123.0<br />
Man Group . . . . . . . . . . .126.7 1.9 162.6 107.3<br />
OneSavings Bank . . . . .333.1 1.6 358.7 176.2<br />
Paragon Group Of . . . .408.8 0.3 417.0 227.4<br />
Provident Financi . . . .2844.0 -5.0 3328.0 2164.0<br />
Rathbone Brothers . .2028.0 15.0 2356.0 1590.0<br />
Real Estate Credi . . . . . .163.4 0.9 174.0 143.0<br />
Record . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37.0 0.5 37.5 22.1<br />
S&U . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2175.0 -17.5 2610.0 1992.5<br />
Sanne Group . . . . . . . .604.0 -3.0 637.0 320.0<br />
Schroders . . . . . . . . . .3047.0 39.0 3054.0 2049.0<br />
SVG Capital . . . . . . . . . .710.0 -1.0 720.0 446.3<br />
TP ICAP . . . . . . . . . . . . .452.0 1.4 467.4 275.0<br />
VPC Specialty Len . . . . . .78.3 -0.4 96.1 70.5<br />
Walker Crips Grou . . . . .40.0 0.0 49.5 38.5<br />
BT Group . . . . . . . . . . . .391.8 -0.3 496.0 346.7<br />
TalkTalk Telecom . . . . .168.4 2.8 272.8 152.5<br />
Telecom Plus . . . . . . . .1246.0 10.0 1251.0 815.5<br />
Booker Group . . . . . . . .186.7 1.2 187.3 149.4<br />
Greggs . . . . . . . . . . . . . .977.5 -0.5 1196.0 884.0<br />
Morrison (Wm) Sup . . .241.9 2.9 246.0 153.9<br />
Ocado Group . . . . . . . . .267.1 -1.6 349.0 208.1<br />
Sainsbury (J) . . . . . . . .264.6 4.8 292.5 214.6<br />
SSP Group . . . . . . . . . . .396.3 4.4 397.8 264.0<br />
Tesco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .206.0 -0.1 218.7 147.4<br />
UDG Healthcare Pu . . .660.0 -2.0 689.5 500.5<br />
Associated Britis . . . . .2580.0 4.0 3458.0 2350.0<br />
Cranswick . . . . . . . . . .2407.0 -11.0 2538.0 1890.0<br />
Dairy Crest Group . . . . .635.5 1.0 690.0 504.5<br />
Greencore Group . . . . . .247.0 -0.5 322.7 218.9<br />
Tate & Lyle . . . . . . . . . .694.5 3.5 807.0 535.5<br />
Unilever . . . . . . . . . . . .3383.0 12.0 3763.5 2798.5<br />
Mondi . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1768.0 26.0 1775.0 1124.0<br />
Centrica . . . . . . . . . . . . .230.2 3.2 242.0 183.6<br />
National Grid . . . . . . . .956.9 6.3 1130.5 891.5<br />
Pennon Group . . . . . . .776.5 -32.5 945.5 763.0<br />
Severn Trent . . . . . . . .2215.0 3.0 2509.0 2024.0<br />
United Utilities . . . . . .890.0 -6.0 1039.0 854.5<br />
RPC Group . . . . . . . . . .1065.0 -5.0 1079.0 653.0<br />
Smith (DS) . . . . . . . . . .434.7 -0.4 440.1 331.2<br />
Smiths Group . . . . . . .1526.0 18.0 1538.0 863.5<br />
Smurfit Kappa Gro . . .2129.0 -24.0 2273.0 1584.0<br />
Vesuvius . . . . . . . . . . . .422.0 8.7 422.2 270.6<br />
Price Chg High Low<br />
Assura . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .56.5 0.5 60.3 49.4<br />
Mediclinic Intern . . . . . .792.0 1.0 1168.0 685.0<br />
NMC Health . . . . . . . . .1600.0 2.0 1655.0 750.0<br />
Smith & Nephew . . . . .1236.0 17.0 1310.0 1051.0<br />
Spire Healthcare . . . . . .314.9 6.6 400.0 297.5<br />
Barratt Developme . . . .516.0 18.0 611.0 332.6<br />
Bellway . . . . . . . . . . . .2612.0 31.0 2810.0 1689.0<br />
Berkeley Group Ho . .2909.0 27.0 3607.0 2270.0<br />
Bovis Homes Group . . .840.0 14.5 1024.0 627.0<br />
Countryside Prope . . . .238.7 3.4 278.5 173.2<br />
Crest Nicholson H . . . . .515.0 9.0 604.0 335.0<br />
McCarthy & Stone . . . . .164.2 -2.0 287.0 140.3<br />
Persimmon . . . . . . . . .1997.0 27.0 2219.0 1289.0<br />
Reckitt Benckiser . . . .6845.0 -3.0 7692.0 5847.0<br />
Redrow . . . . . . . . . . . . .452.7 4.0 455.0 275.6<br />
Taylor Wimpey . . . . . . .172.6 1.5 210.3 115.8<br />
Bodycote . . . . . . . . . . .640.5 10.5 653.5 499.0<br />
Hill & Smith Hold . . . . .1186.0 1.0 1253.0 735.5<br />
IMI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1096.0 12.0 1129.0 742.0<br />
Rotork . . . . . . . . . . . . . .266.0 1.8 267.4 152.7<br />
Old Mutual . . . . . . . . . . .212.5 1.1 225.5 149.4<br />
Phoenix Group Hol . . . .741.5 -6.0 802.4 611.5<br />
Prudential . . . . . . . . . .1612.5 22.5 1649.0 1087.0<br />
St James's Place . . . . .1085.0 26.0 1089.0 716.0<br />
Standard Life . . . . . . . . .357.1 3.3 378.8 262.1<br />
4Imprint Group . . . . . .1879.0 59.0 1900.0 1140.0<br />
Ascential . . . . . . . . . . . .291.4 9.5 297.9 200.0<br />
Bloomsbury Publis . . . .165.3 -0.8 178.5 144.3<br />
Centaur Media . . . . . . . .43.0 0.0 67.8 33.8<br />
Entertainment One . . . .232.5 -1.4 255.0 130.0<br />
Euromoney Institu . . . .1170.0 -5.0 1207.0 852.5<br />
Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13.0 -0.1 14.4 7.9<br />
Haynes Publishing . . . .124.0 0.0 128.5 99.0<br />
Informa . . . . . . . . . . . . .693.5 2.0 697.5 538.6<br />
ITE Group . . . . . . . . . . . .158.3 0.8 176.0 128.8<br />
ITV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .208.6 5.6 270.5 154.0<br />
Johnston Press . . . . . . . .16.6 -0.4 47.0 8.0<br />
Moneysupermarket. . .296.2 3.6 351.2 233.5<br />
Pearson . . . . . . . . . . . . .817.0 4.0 975.0 657.5<br />
Relx plc . . . . . . . . . . . .1464.0 3.0 1502.0 1126.0<br />
Rightmove . . . . . . . . .4045.0 45.0 4302.0 3173.0<br />
Sky . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .992.0 1.5 1097.0 750.5<br />
STV Group . . . . . . . . . . .362.0 7.0 505.0 304.0<br />
Tarsus Group . . . . . . . . .284.5 3.0 289.0 217.3<br />
Spirax-Sarco Engi . . . .4359.0 8.0 4669.0 2725.0<br />
Weir Group . . . . . . . . .2033.0 32.0 2034.0 787.5<br />
Evraz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .225.9 -2.3 273.0 56.2<br />
Ferrexpo . . . . . . . . . . . . .131.4 -3.6 151.0 15.8<br />
BBA Aviation . . . . . . . . .285.9 0.9 286.9 150.2<br />
Clarkson . . . . . . . . . . .2224.0 -17.0 2499.0 1691.0<br />
Fisher (James) & . . . . .1575.0 -29.0 1679.0 942.0<br />
Royal Mail . . . . . . . . . . .447.4 1.6 541.0 413.3<br />
Admiral Group . . . . . . .1774.0 17.0 2260.0 1611.0<br />
Beazley . . . . . . . . . . . . .384.0 -0.8 405.1 320.0<br />
Direct Line Insur . . . . . .348.6 1.9 409.6 333.3<br />
esure Group . . . . . . . . .200.9 4.0 304.6 188.9<br />
Hastings Group Ho . . . .232.0 -3.3 247.4 149.8<br />
Hiscox Limited (D . . . .1009.0 -7.0 1097.0 900.5<br />
Jardine Lloyd Tho . . . . .995.5 -2.0 1048.0 778.0<br />
Lancashire Holdin . . . .693.0 -3.0 758.0 518.5<br />
RSA Insurance Gro . . . .580.5 2.5 586.0 373.2<br />
Aviva . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .489.1 7.4 495.4 346.2<br />
JRP Group . . . . . . . . . . .139.8 -1.4 160.0 86.0<br />
Legal & General G . . . . .248.7 2.7 252.2 165.0<br />
Trinity Mirror . . . . . . . . . .99.3 3.0 168.3 73.5<br />
UBM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .739.0 12.0 746.5 491.0<br />
WPP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1888.0 20.0 1890.0 1338.0<br />
Zoopla Property G . . . .346.0 0.0 354.8 199.3<br />
Acacia Mining . . . . . . . .418.2 -2.4 599.0 161.2<br />
Anglo American . . . . .1329.5 19.0 1343.5 221.1<br />
Antofagasta . . . . . . . . .725.0 3.5 774.5 346.1<br />
BHP Billiton . . . . . . . . .1454.5 16.5 1460.5 580.9<br />
Centamin (DI) . . . . . . . .150.8 -0.4 180.0 61.8<br />
Fresnillo . . . . . . . . . . . .1413.0 -9.0 2008.0 640.5<br />
Glencore . . . . . . . . . . . .316.7 4.2 318.5 71.2<br />
Hochschild Mining . . . .235.8 4.7 313.7 39.5<br />
Kaz Minerals . . . . . . . . .425.5 -5.6 431.1 87.8<br />
Petra Diamonds Lt . . . . .158.1 -0.4 171.6 69.0<br />
Polymetal Interna . . . .923.0 -14.0 1190.0 523.5<br />
Randgold Resource . .6710.0 -85.0 9715.0 4229.0<br />
Rio Tinto . . . . . . . . . . . .3417.5 13.0 3453.0 1577.5<br />
Vedanta Resources . . .1016.0 14.0 1016.0 205.8<br />
Inmarsat . . . . . . . . . . . .712.5 1.0 1116.0 680.0<br />
Vodafone Group . . . . . .214.7 0.4 239.7 190.5<br />
BP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .518.0 2.6 521.2 310.3<br />
Cairn Energy . . . . . . . . .242.4 2.3 243.0 127.2<br />
Nostrum Oil & Gas . . . . .457.7 -21.1 501.5 203.0<br />
Royal Dutch Shell . . . .2281.5 -1.0 2295.0 1266.0<br />
Royal Dutch Shell . . . .2377.5 1.5 2389.0 1277.5<br />
Tullow Oil . . . . . . . . . . . .315.6 -3.6 333.6 118.2<br />
Amec Foster Wheel . . .482.5 -4.8 619.5 327.6<br />
Hunting . . . . . . . . . . . . .624.5 -13.0 640.0 239.8<br />
Petrofac Ltd. . . . . . . . . .941.5 2.5 982.0 663.0<br />
Wood Group (John) . . .887.0 9.5 894.5 548.5<br />
Burberry Group . . . . . .1611.0 36.0 1613.0 1041.0<br />
PZ Cussons . . . . . . . . . .338.6 -1.2 372.6 249.3<br />
Supergroup . . . . . . . . .1686.0 -19.0 1744.0 1184.0<br />
AstraZeneca . . . . . . . .4609.0 53.5 5220.0 3774.0<br />
BTG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .605.0 11.5 728.0 557.0<br />
Dechra Pharmaceut . .1368.0 3.0 1418.0 975.0<br />
Genus . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1783.0 53.0 2042.0 1282.0<br />
GlaxoSmithKline . . . . .1585.5 19.5 1722.5 1345.5<br />
Hikma Pharmaceuti . .1896.0 37.0 2676.0 1624.0<br />
Indivior . . . . . . . . . . . . .309.2 7.0 369.0 130.8<br />
Shire Plc . . . . . . . . . . . .4661.5 106.5 5323.0 3480.0<br />
Vectura Group . . . . . . . .142.3 2.5 180.0 126.8<br />
Capital & Countie . . . . .275.8 -6.8 387.3 263.1<br />
CLS Holdings . . . . . . . .1529.0 -1.0 1700.0 1163.0<br />
Daejan Holdings . . . .6250.0 250.0 6335.0 4411.0<br />
F&C Commercial Pr . . . .135.7 0.2 138.4 102.1<br />
Grainger . . . . . . . . . . . .238.6 -1.1 248.5 193.1<br />
Kennedy Wilson Eu . . .945.0 -5.0 1202.0 888.5<br />
NewRiver REIT . . . . . . .334.0 -2.0 345.3 269.0<br />
Safestore Holding . . . . .345.5 2.6 400.5 311.9<br />
Savills . . . . . . . . . . . . . .782.0 -3.0 850.5 548.5<br />
St. Modwen Proper . . . .315.5 0.2 396.3 222.2<br />
UK Commercial Pro . . . .83.6 0.1 87.2 65.0<br />
Unite Group . . . . . . . . .603.0 2.5 663.5 543.5<br />
Big Yellow Group . . . . . .714.5 6.5 886.5 635.0<br />
British Land Comp . . . .618.0 -4.0 762.5 544.5<br />
Derwent London . . . .2622.0 -10.0 3430.0 2257.0<br />
Great Portland Es . . . . .642.5 -6.5 798.0 536.0<br />
Hammerson . . . . . . . . .564.0 -3.0 602.5 468.6<br />
Hansteen Holdings . . . .112.0 0.1 119.8 95.4<br />
Intu Properties . . . . . . .278.8 0.6 319.4 255.7<br />
Land Securities G . . . .1020.0 -4.0 1202.0 910.0<br />
LondonMetric Prop . . . .151.3 -1.7 166.8 134.9<br />
Redefine Internat . . . . . .39.7 0.7 48.1 36.3<br />
SEGRO . . . . . . . . . . . . . .469.6 -0.7 473.2 370.5<br />
Shaftesbury . . . . . . . . . .911.5 1.5 994.5 813.0<br />
Tritax Big Box Re . . . . . .139.7 -0.8 147.1 113.9<br />
Workspace Group . . . . .764.0 2.5 874.0 577.0<br />
Aveva Group . . . . . . . .1944.0 12.0 2051.0 1237.0<br />
Computacenter . . . . . .795.0 -3.0 860.0 678.0<br />
Fidessa Group . . . . . . .2319.0 36.0 2596.0 1771.0<br />
Micro Focus Inter . . . . .2157.0 10.0 2267.0 1308.0<br />
Playtech . . . . . . . . . . . .848.0 12.0 946.5 710.5<br />
Sage Group . . . . . . . . . .674.5 9.5 756.0 544.5<br />
Softcat . . . . . . . . . . . . . .297.8 2.1 383.0 280.0<br />
Sophos Group . . . . . . . .276.3 1.4 278.3 175.0<br />
AA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .273.6 -1.3 307.3 209.9<br />
Aggreko . . . . . . . . . . . . .987.5 6.0 1286.0 765.0<br />
Ashtead Group . . . . . .1600.0 4.0 1644.0 769.0<br />
Atkins (WS) . . . . . . . . .1490.0 29.0 1713.0 1158.0<br />
Babcock Internati . . . . .954.0 7.5 1105.0 854.0<br />
Berendsen . . . . . . . . . . .874.5 3.0 1355.0 774.5<br />
Bunzl . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2136.0 9.0 2436.0 1735.0<br />
Capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .515.5 -3.5 1175.0 452.4<br />
Carillion . . . . . . . . . . . . .237.7 4.2 305.4 221.4<br />
DCC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6120.0 5.0 7220.0 4779.0<br />
Diploma . . . . . . . . . . . .1033.0 0.0 1054.0 630.0<br />
Electrocomponents . . .484.6 1.5 495.9 204.0<br />
Essentra . . . . . . . . . . . .453.6 6.3 891.0 382.9<br />
Experian . . . . . . . . . . .1601.0 4.0 1607.0 1073.0<br />
G4S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .245.6 1.9 251.0 164.0<br />
Grafton Group Uni . . . .586.0 45.5 752.0 440.0<br />
Hays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .157.0 -0.5 161.0 94.0<br />
Homeserve . . . . . . . . . .618.0 -3.0 630.0 363.2<br />
Howden Joinery Gr . . . .381.0 3.5 510.5 341.1<br />
Intertek Group . . . . . .3547.0 -3.0 3727.0 2628.0<br />
Mitie Group . . . . . . . . . .213.9 1.1 294.1 180.4<br />
Pagegroup . . . . . . . . . .426.0 -3.6 435.7 264.9<br />
PayPoint . . . . . . . . . . . .961.5 3.0 1168.0 720.0<br />
Paysafe Group . . . . . . .390.0 -5.0 469.2 305.7<br />
Rentokil Initial . . . . . . .224.6 0.6 235.5 150.0<br />
Serco Group . . . . . . . . . .146.7 0.2 148.3 76.8<br />
SIG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .108.9 15.1 149.0 87.2<br />
Travis Perkins . . . . . . .1465.0 43.0 1964.0 1313.0<br />
Wolseley . . . . . . . . . .4996.0 12.0 5025.0 3230.0<br />
Worldpay Group . . . . . .292.6 4.3 313.0 255.9<br />
British American . . . .4729.5 24.5 5042.0 3565.0<br />
Imperial Brands . . . . .3590.0 -11.5 4139.0 3345.0<br />
Carnival . . . . . . . . . . . .4242.0 27.0 4314.0 2957.0<br />
Cineworld Group . . . . . .583.5 -3.0 605.0 457.0<br />
Compass Group . . . . .1460.0 -6.0 1548.0 1088.0<br />
Domino's Pizza Gr . . . . .379.8 2.0 396.9 285.3<br />
easyJet . . . . . . . . . . . .1036.0 0.0 1642.0 873.5<br />
FirstGroup . . . . . . . . . . .102.9 -0.2 114.5 80.8<br />
Go-Ahead Group . . . .2229.0 -4.0 2673.0 1790.0<br />
Greene King . . . . . . . . . .715.5 9.5 906.0 663.5<br />
GVC Holdings . . . . . . . . .619.0 4.0 769.0 421.5<br />
InterContinental . . . .3759.0 16.0 3782.4 2192.8<br />
International Con . . . . .488.7 9.5 565.0 343.9<br />
Ladbrokes Coral G . . . . .121.0 2.0 162.0 106.1<br />
Marston's . . . . . . . . . . . .136.6 2.5 162.4 129.7<br />
Merlin Entertainm . . . .479.0 6.9 490.2 379.8<br />
Millennium & Copt . . . .468.5 2.1 483.1 366.4<br />
Mitchells & Butle . . . . . .264.7 4.5 299.4 217.5<br />
National Express . . . . .344.1 0.4 376.5 275.6<br />
Paddy Power Betfa . .8645.0 -95.0 14275.0 7895.0<br />
Rank Group . . . . . . . . . .192.0 3.0 283.7 186.8<br />
Restaurant Group . . . . .344.9 2.9 562.5 256.9<br />
Stagecoach Group . . . . .213.1 0.0 278.4 196.0<br />
Thomas Cook Group . . .86.6 1.0 109.7 54.7<br />
TUI AG Reg Shs (D . . . .1141.0 17.0 1236.0 844.5<br />
Wetherspoon (J.D. . . . .894.0 3.0 952.0 609.0<br />
Whitbread . . . . . . . . .4093.0 56.0 4356.0 3391.0<br />
William Hill . . . . . . . . . .286.1 1.2 410.4 246.9<br />
Wizz Air Holdings . . . .1807.0 8.0 1995.0 1415.0<br />
4D Pharma . . . . . . . . . .705.0 2.5 1012.5 635.0<br />
Abcam . . . . . . . . . . . . . .818.5 17.5 901.0 580.0<br />
Advanced Medical . . . .213.3 2.3 235.0 154.3<br />
Amerisur Resource . . . . .29.3 0.0 33.0 17.3<br />
Arbuthnot Banking . .1450.0 0.0 1717.0 1265.0<br />
ASOS . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5473.0 105.0 5512.0 2595.0<br />
BNN Technology . . . . . .125.3 2.5 168.0 35.5<br />
Brooks Macdonald . . .1986.0 -24.0 2033.9 1400.0<br />
Camellia . . . . . . . . . .10650.0 55.5 10895.0 7510.0<br />
Clinigen Group . . . . . . .815.5 13.5 815.5 492.8<br />
Conviviality . . . . . . . . . .233.5 4.8 239.3 168.0<br />
CVS Group . . . . . . . . . .1085.0 35.0 1103.0 646.0<br />
Dart Group . . . . . . . . . .495.0 5.0 676.5 358.5<br />
EMIS Group . . . . . . . . . .955.0 18.5 1155.0 807.0<br />
Faroe Petroleum . . . . . .101.5 1.3 105.0 43.5<br />
Fevertree Drinks . . . . . .1111.0 2.0 1139.0 527.0<br />
First Derivatives . . . . .2149.0 -14.0 2218.0 1462.0<br />
Gamma Communicati .483.0 -3.1 528.0 365.3<br />
GB Group . . . . . . . . . . . .295.3 4.8 349.0 215.0<br />
Gemfields . . . . . . . . . . . .49.5 -0.3 56.0 31.5<br />
Gooch & Housego . . . .1077.5 -2.0 1115.0 834.0<br />
Hotel Chocolat Gr . . . . .295.0 5.0 302.5 169.5<br />
Hurricane Energy . . . . . .49.8 0.8 52.8 9.4<br />
Iomart Group . . . . . . . .304.8 11.0 314.0 214.0<br />
James Halstead . . . . . . .497.3 0.3 505.0 379.0<br />
Johnson Service G . . . .109.0 1.3 114.8 85.0<br />
Keywords Studios . . . . .510.0 -7.0 532.5 197.0<br />
M&C Saatchi . . . . . . . . . .371.0 -2.5 380.0 282.8<br />
M. P. Evans Group . . . . .635.0 0.0 700.0 371.8<br />
Mulberry Group . . . . .1085.0 -5.0 1150.0 948.0<br />
Nichols . . . . . . . . . . . . .1571.0 1.0 1665.0 1119.0<br />
Numis Corporation . . . .242.0 0.0 250.0 180.5<br />
Pan African Resou . . . . . .15.8 -0.3 24.3 8.4<br />
Patisserie Holdin . . . . . .316.0 -3.5 395.0 257.3<br />
Polar Capital Hol . . . . . .335.5 1.5 421.5 270.0<br />
Purplebricks Grou . . . . .157.5 7.3 175.0 73.0<br />
Redde . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .157.3 1.8 206.5 138.5<br />
Renew Holdings . . . . . .438.0 1.0 457.3 295.3<br />
RWS Holdings . . . . . . . .349.0 -11.5 360.5 188.0<br />
Scapa Group . . . . . . . . .339.3 10.8 339.8 179.3<br />
Sirius Minerals . . . . . . . . .18.5 0.0 45.5 10.8<br />
Smart Metering Sy . . . .578.0 -2.5 609.0 320.9<br />
Solgold . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28.0 -0.8 29.4 1.6<br />
Sound Energy . . . . . . . . .75.0 0.5 97.0 15.4<br />
Staffline Group . . . . . . .935.5 34.5 1398.0 748.5<br />
Telford Homes . . . . . . .329.8 6.8 391.3 262.0<br />
Telit Communicati . . . .293.3 11.5 294.8 178.3<br />
Thorpe (F.W.) . . . . . . . .302.5 2.5 325.0 200.0<br />
Watkin Jones . . . . . . . . .117.8 0.3 124.0 100.3<br />
Young & Co's Brew . . .1332.0 -0.5 1350.5 1075.0<br />
Young & Co's Brew . . . .990.0 -10.0 1065.0 792.5<br />
SIG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .108.9 16.1<br />
Grafton Group Unit . . . . . . . . . .586.0 8.4<br />
International Pers . . . . . . . . . . . .172.0 5.0<br />
Daejan Holdings . . . . . . . . . . .6250.0 4.2<br />
Barratt Developmen . . . . . . . . .516.0 3.6<br />
Ascential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .291.4 3.4<br />
Genus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1783.0 3.1<br />
Travis Perkins . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1465.0 3.0<br />
ITV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .208.6 2.8<br />
Kingfisher . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .353.0 2.6<br />
Dunelm Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . .698.0 -5.9<br />
Nostrum Oil & Gas . . . . . . . . . . .457.7 -4.4<br />
Pennon Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . .776.5 -4.0<br />
Ferrexpo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .131.4 -2.7<br />
Capital & Counties . . . . . . . . . . .275.8 -2.4<br />
Just Eat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .517.5 -2.4<br />
AO World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .158.5 -2.3<br />
Rolls-Royce Holdin . . . . . . . . . . .661.5 -2.3<br />
Hunting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .624.5 -2.0<br />
Electra Private Eq . . . . . . . . . . .4651.0 -2.0<br />
Risers<br />
Fallers<br />
MAIN CHANGES UK 350<br />
Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low<br />
Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low<br />
GILTS<br />
http://corporate.webfg.com<br />
mailto:<br />
globaltechsales@webfg.com<br />
%<br />
%<br />
AU<strong>TO</strong>MOBILES & PARTS<br />
AEROSPACE & DEFENCE<br />
BANKS<br />
BEVERAGES<br />
CHEMICALS<br />
ELECTRICITY<br />
ELECTRONIC & ELECTRICAL EQ.<br />
EQUITY INVESTMENT INSTRUM.<br />
FINANCIAL SERVICES<br />
FIXED LINE TELECOMS<br />
FOOD & DRUG RETAILERS<br />
FOOD PRODUCERS<br />
FORESTRY & PAPER<br />
GAS, WATER & MULTIUTILITIES<br />
GENERAL INDUSTRIALS<br />
HEALTH CARE EQUIPMETN & S.<br />
OIL & GAS PRODUCERS<br />
OIL EQUIPMENT & SERVICES<br />
PERSONAL GOODS<br />
PHARMACEUTICALS & BIOTECH<br />
REAL ESTATE INVEST. & SERV.<br />
REAL ESTATE INVEST. TRUSTS<br />
SUPPORT SERVICES<br />
<strong>TO</strong>BACCO<br />
TRAVEL & LEISURE<br />
AIM 50<br />
Tsy 1.250 17 . . . . . . .103.98 -0.05 105.4 103.6<br />
Tsy 8.750 17 . . . . . . .105.33 -0.09 113.6 105.3<br />
Tsy 5.000 18 . . . . . .105.48 -0.07 110.0 105.4<br />
Tsy 4.500 19 . . . . . .109.29 -0.08 112.7 109.3<br />
Tsy 3.750 19 . . . . . . .109.32 -0.12 111.7 109.3<br />
Tsy 4.750 20 . . . . . . .113.85 -0.15 117.1 113.8<br />
Tsy 2.500 20 . . . . . .372.73 -0.19 374.3 357.7<br />
Tsy 8.000 21 . . . . . . .132.59 -0.21 138.2 132.5<br />
Tsy 4.000 22 . . . . . .116.89 -0.27 121.3 116.3<br />
Tsy 1.875 22 . . . . . . .128.02 -0.33 129.8 119.8<br />
Tsy 2.250 23 . . . . . .108.53 -0.43 113.6 105.3<br />
Tsy 0.125 24 . . . . . . . .118.16 -0.45 120.3 107.7<br />
Tsy 2.500 24 . . . . . .368.98 -0.40 374.5 337.4<br />
Tsy 5.000 25 . . . . . .130.04 -0.52 138.1 128.5<br />
Tsy 4.250 27 . . . . . .128.08 -0.68 138.3 125.2<br />
Tsy 1.250 27 . . . . . . .137.69 -0.55 142.5 124.6<br />
Tsy 6.000 28 . . . . . .149.17 -0.72 161.8 146.8<br />
Tsy 4.125 30 . . . . . . .368.77 -0.58 382.1 328.9<br />
Tsy 4.750 30 . . . . . .138.27 -0.82 153.0 133.8<br />
Tsy 4.250 32 . . . . . . .133.57 -0.91 148.9 127.9<br />
Tsy 1.250 32 . . . . . . .154.13 -0.80 162.2 135.8<br />
Tsy 0.125 36 . . . . . . . .141.21 -1.01 150.0 119.5<br />
Tsy 4.250 36 . . . . . . .137.38 -1.07 155.7 129.6<br />
Tsy 4.750 38 . . . . . .149.65 -1.18 170.9 140.2<br />
Tsy 0.625 40 . . . . . .163.44 -1.10 175.2 136.4<br />
Tsy 4.500 42 . . . . . .150.74 -1.30 174.5 139.3<br />
Tsy 3.500 45 . . . . . . .131.49 -1.46 154.6 120.2<br />
Tsy 4.250 46 . . . . . .150.61 -1.45 177.1 138.3<br />
Tsy 4.025 49 . . . . . .155.76 -1.60 185.4 141.9<br />
Tsy 0.500 50 . . . . . .189.38 -1.48 208.3 149.4<br />
Tsy 0.250 52 . . . . . .184.97 -1.60 205.0 142.9<br />
WORLD INDICES<br />
FTSE 100. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7337.81 45.44 0.62<br />
FTSE 250 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18371.94 68.44 0.37<br />
FTSE All-Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3971.69 22.70 0.57<br />
FTSE AIM All-Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . 873.94 3.65 0.42<br />
S&P 500 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2274.64 4.20 0.18<br />
Dow Jones I.A. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19885.73 -5.27 -0.03<br />
Nasdaq Composite . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5574.12 26.63 0.48<br />
Xetra DAX . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11629.18 108.14 0.94<br />
CAC 40 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4922.49 58.52 1.20<br />
Swiss Market Index . . . . . . . . . . . . 8452.19 77.17 0.92<br />
ISEQ Overall Index. . . . . . . . . . . . . 6658.95 53.76 0.81<br />
FTSEurofirst 300 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1447.22 13.80 0.96<br />
Hang Seng . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22937.38 108.36 0.47<br />
Shanghai Composite . . . . . . . . . . . 3112.76 -6.52 -0.21<br />
Straits Times . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3025.07 32.07 1.07<br />
ASX All Ordinaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5776.80 -44.80 -0.77<br />
Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg<br />
LIFE INSURANCE<br />
MOBILE TELECOMS<br />
INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING<br />
MEDIA<br />
MINING<br />
SOFTWARE & COMPUTER SERV.<br />
HHOLD GDS & HOME CONSTR.<br />
NON LIFE INSURANCE<br />
INDUSTRIAL TRANSPORTATION<br />
FTSE 100<br />
7337.81<br />
45.44<br />
FTSE 250<br />
18371.94<br />
68.44<br />
FTSE ALL SHARE<br />
3971.69<br />
22.70<br />
DOW JONES<br />
19885.73<br />
5.27<br />
NASDAQ<br />
5574.12<br />
26.63<br />
S&P 500<br />
2274.64<br />
4.20<br />
BATS UK 100<br />
12384.92<br />
57.29<br />
BATS UK 250<br />
16704.40<br />
39.95<br />
CONSTRUCTION & MATERIALS<br />
GENERAL RETAILERS<br />
INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING<br />
Rise | Shine<br />
CITY A.M. MORNING UPDATE<br />
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CITYAM.COM<br />
26 MARKETS MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017
CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
FEATURE<br />
27<br />
CURRENCY TRANSFERS<br />
ADVERTISEMENT FEATURE<br />
HOW COULD AN INTEREST<br />
RATE RISE IN THE US AFFECT<br />
YOUR INTERNATIONAL<br />
TRANSFER?<br />
Find out how a currency<br />
specialist could help you<br />
Although 2016 is a year that will<br />
be remembered for its surprises,<br />
it is about to close on a relatively<br />
predictable economic<br />
event. Despite the fact that the<br />
14 Dec US interest rate rise was widely<br />
anticipated, it is no less significant. It<br />
marks just the second time the Federal<br />
Reserve (Fed) has raised interest rates<br />
since the financial crisis - meaning the<br />
central bank’s confidence in the<br />
strength of the US economy is growing.<br />
Other announcements also helped<br />
buoy confidence. The Fed alluded to<br />
the possibility of another three rate<br />
hikes to come in 2017, while around the<br />
same time positive manufacturing data<br />
gave a boost to economic data. As a<br />
result of this wave of enthusiasm, the<br />
US Dollar flexed its might: the Euro fell<br />
to a 14-year low against the Dollar while<br />
in the space of a day the Dollar rose<br />
almost 2.5pc against the Pound.<br />
So does this imply a lean Christmas<br />
for the Pound? Not necessarily. At the<br />
time of writing, the Pound has ended<br />
the year with a slight resurgence<br />
against the Euro: since 1 November it<br />
has gone from its low around 1.11 in<br />
October to 1.19, taking it safely off its<br />
end of 2008 low when sterling got close<br />
to parity with the Euro.<br />
Against the Dollar a more sluggish<br />
recovery looked to be on track until the<br />
Fed’s announcement. However, putting<br />
it into context, Sterling is still very close<br />
to the bottom of its 10-year range<br />
against the US Dollar.<br />
Overall, we would do well to remember<br />
that a stronger US economy could<br />
be viewed as a beacon of light in what<br />
at times feels like a world of gloomy<br />
news flow. And what the UK economy<br />
could do with right now is more certainty.<br />
It is hard to know which way<br />
Sterling will go against these two major<br />
currencies from here, and much will<br />
hinge on Donald Trump’s policy as he<br />
heads for office in the New Year – especially<br />
for the Pound’s relationship with<br />
the Dollar. Meanwhile, election outcomes<br />
in key European nations such as<br />
Germany, France and Holland also have<br />
the potential to cause sharp movements<br />
between the Pound and the<br />
Euro.<br />
What it does remind us is that if making<br />
an international transfer is on the<br />
cards, it may be a good idea to consider<br />
your options. Not only do the exchange<br />
rates on offer vary considerably<br />
between providers, but there might be<br />
some things you can do to insulate<br />
your transfer from sharp adverse<br />
exchange rate movements. Using a<br />
foreign specialist is one of them, which<br />
is why City A.M. has teamed with<br />
moneycorp, to bring our readers the<br />
City A.M. International Payments<br />
service. So, what does the service offer<br />
our readers?<br />
COMPETITIVE EXCHANGE RATES<br />
With moneycorp, City A.M. readers<br />
can access exchange rates that are up<br />
to 4 per cent* better than they would<br />
receive from their high-street bank.<br />
moneycorp’s transfer fees are also<br />
WHAT OUR<br />
CUS<strong>TO</strong>MERS SAY<br />
City A.M. reader Stephen Tanner<br />
recently sold a property in the UK to<br />
fund a property purchase in France.<br />
“Having sold an investment property in<br />
the UK I needed to exchange the<br />
proceeds into euros and transfer it<br />
across the Channel to purchase a house<br />
in France, before making regular<br />
smaller payments to cover on-going<br />
costs. Moneycorp first came to my<br />
attention after reading about City A.M.<br />
International Payments in one of their<br />
publications. Not only did the service<br />
enable me to make the most of my<br />
initial €550,000 transfer by providing<br />
me with a more competitive exchange<br />
rate than my bank, the Regular<br />
Payment Plan facility offers a secure,<br />
flexible, efficient and cost-effective<br />
means of making repeat currency<br />
exchange and subsequent transfers.<br />
Furthermore, the service is fully<br />
automated which keeps me updated at<br />
each stage of the transaction process.<br />
This ability to future buy currency is<br />
extremely convenient and one not<br />
offered by my bank.<br />
typically much cheaper. While banks<br />
commonly charge between £20-£40<br />
every time you make an international<br />
payment, City A.M. International<br />
Payments online transfers are FREE or<br />
up to a maximum of £15 over the<br />
telephone.<br />
GUIDANCE ON YOUR TRANSFER AND<br />
CURRENCY MARKETS<br />
Each reader receives a dedicated personal<br />
account manager who is on hand<br />
to provide currency market and<br />
transfer guidance whenever it is needed.<br />
This could mean help setting up a<br />
‘forward contract’ which enables you to<br />
lock in today’s exchange rate for up to<br />
two years, so you can protect against<br />
any subsequent rate movements that<br />
might impact the value of your transfer.<br />
(Forward contracts require a<br />
deposit.)<br />
MAKE PAYMENTS ANYTIME, FROM<br />
ANYWHERE<br />
The service also means you can do<br />
everything online. That’s buy or sell<br />
currency, carry out transfers and manage<br />
your payments anytime, from anywhere<br />
in the world at the click of a<br />
button or the swipe of a device.<br />
MAKE THOSE REGULAR PAYMENTS<br />
EASIER<br />
moneycorp’s Regular Payment Plan<br />
takes the hassle out of arranging regular<br />
overseas transfers. You can set up<br />
repeat payments at any interval,<br />
whether weekly, monthly, or even irreg-<br />
KEY BENEFITS<br />
£ Competitive exchange rates, saving<br />
up to 4 per cent on your transfer<br />
£ Safe and secure: moneycorp is<br />
authorised and regulated by the<br />
Financial Conduct Authority<br />
£ Expert guidance from a personal<br />
account manager<br />
£ Fast and easy to use online system<br />
available 24/7<br />
ularly. Because you have the option to<br />
fix the rate, you can set it up so that you<br />
know how much money is leaving your<br />
account each time and budget ahead<br />
confidently.<br />
moneycorp has been in the foreign<br />
exchange business since 1979. moneycorp<br />
is a trading name of TTT<br />
Moneycorp Ltd which is authorised and<br />
regulated by the Financial Conduct<br />
Authority for the provision of payment<br />
services and all customer funds are<br />
safeguarded in segregated client<br />
accounts.<br />
**Based on an exchange rate comparison<br />
taken on 4th December 2016 between HSBC,<br />
RBS, Lloyds and moneycorp.<br />
For competitive rates and the<br />
exclusive City A.M. offer of<br />
free online transfers, call free<br />
on 0808 115 3718
28 LIFE&STYLE MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
TRAVEL<br />
French settlers brought their pet monkeys<br />
to the Caribbean islands of St.<br />
Kitts and Nevis in the 17th century.<br />
Soon after they promptly escaped and<br />
began multiplying (the monkeys, not<br />
the French), wreaking simian havoc wherever<br />
they went. The marauding apes now<br />
outnumber humans and routinely devastate<br />
crops in dawn raids, munching their way<br />
through entire fields of produce and stripping<br />
trees of fruit.<br />
A boisterous guide on the St. Kitts Scenic<br />
Railway joked that every visitor to the island<br />
gets a free monkey to take home, whether<br />
they want one or not. Nevertheless, as maligned<br />
as these pests are, the tourists adore<br />
them. Imagine watching somebody chase a<br />
greasy pigeon around Trafalgar Square,<br />
laughing and trying to take its picture, and<br />
you begin to understand what it must be<br />
like to live on this tiny West Indies island.<br />
Nevis is one of those paradise islands that<br />
repeatedly forces you to take stock of absolutely<br />
everything in your life. It is the<br />
metaphorical monkey in the carry-on, leaping<br />
out when you least expect it and taking<br />
several minutes and a couple of air hostesses<br />
to contain. Turn any corner on this five mile<br />
wide island and you’ll be slapped in the retinas<br />
by the ridiculous natural beauty of this<br />
part of the planet. Nevis is a lush green cone<br />
rising from the navy-teal seam between Atlantic<br />
and Caribbean waters, a “potentially<br />
active” volcano around which dirt roads<br />
wind like dusty brown ribbons. Clichéd as it<br />
is, it’s as if you’ve tumbled into an impossibly<br />
picturesque postcard.<br />
Somewhere on this postcard is Paradise<br />
Beach Nevis, where the constant presence of<br />
monkeys is felt not in their<br />
long-term agricultural impact<br />
on the island,<br />
but in their shortterm<br />
perviness. Each<br />
morning a family of<br />
them would watch<br />
me intently from a<br />
nearby tree as I<br />
scrubbed myself<br />
clean in the outdoor<br />
shower – my<br />
own unwitting<br />
peep show for<br />
the invasive locals.<br />
Some<br />
dirt<br />
doesn’t<br />
wash off.<br />
Watch<br />
the sun<br />
dip<br />
below<br />
the<br />
The perfect<br />
cure for the<br />
winter blues...<br />
Steve Hogarty enjoys tropical<br />
luxury on the twin paradise<br />
islands of St Kitts and Nevis<br />
Sunset over the Caribbean Sea, as seen<br />
from a villa terrace at Paradise Beach<br />
The Killer Bee is the<br />
island’s most infamous<br />
cocktail, a rum punch<br />
that’s renowned for<br />
inspiring those who<br />
sample it to take off all<br />
their clothes and run<br />
into the ocean<br />
horizon from your private pool at Paradise<br />
Beach and try to muster a single stressful<br />
thought. You cannot. Things matter so little<br />
here, reality is so all-encompassingly perfect,<br />
that you feel at risk of losing your physical<br />
form and floating away on the breeze like a<br />
really good smell. You’ll turn to your partner<br />
and, in a knowingly understated way, say<br />
“well this is sort of alright isn’t it?” between<br />
three and four hundred times during your<br />
stay. Being anywhere else now feels like<br />
some kind of cruel hell.<br />
Paradise Beach comprises seven luxurious<br />
and secluded villas on a small private strip<br />
of the coast. The beach bar is permanently<br />
staffed, even if you’re the only guests there,<br />
just in case you happen to wander down in<br />
search of a rum punch.<br />
A friendly concierge attends to your every<br />
need, arranging your groceries, summoning<br />
the in-house chef to cook for you and calling<br />
the local taxi driver (the no-nonsense Tin-<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
Tin, whose car smells like the fish soup<br />
lunches he eats every day) when you decide<br />
to wander out. They’ll give you a walking<br />
tour of the island, sharing its history –<br />
which is largely sugar plantation based –<br />
and advise you on local spots to eat and<br />
drink.<br />
The Killer Bee is the island’s most infamous<br />
cocktail, a rum punch that’s<br />
renowned for inspiring those who sample it<br />
to take off all their clothes and run into the<br />
ocean, often never to return. At Sunshine’s –<br />
one of those bustling, saltwater-beaten old<br />
beach huts held together by flags, red paint<br />
and high spirits – they mix it behind the bar<br />
to protect the recipe (and perhaps their licence<br />
too, as the drink is rumoured to contain<br />
bootleg rum smuggled in from the next<br />
island).<br />
If chugging hooch in a shed isn’t your bag,<br />
the island’s only wine cellar is to be found<br />
in the more sophisticated Coconut Grove.<br />
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CITYAM.COM<br />
MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
LIFE&STYLE<br />
29<br />
: @city_am<br />
:@cityamlife<br />
NEED <strong>TO</strong><br />
KNOW<br />
Paradise Beach<br />
is currently<br />
offering seven<br />
nights for the<br />
price of five in<br />
three and four<br />
bedroom villas<br />
until 30 April<br />
2017.<br />
It’s in this beachside enclave that you’ll find<br />
one of the very few pieces of beef available<br />
on the island too, imported from the US for<br />
homesick travellers. The island’s traditional<br />
cuisine is naturally more focused on daily<br />
catches of grouper, snapper and lionfish.<br />
The latter is an invasive species threatening<br />
the local ecosystem, so you’re encouraged to<br />
wolf down as much as you can. There are<br />
even festivals dedicated to coming up with<br />
new and inventive ways to prepare it.<br />
The highly awarded Coconut Grove is run<br />
by US-born and France-raised Gary Colt, a<br />
round-the-world skipper. When I tell him<br />
where we’ve come from, he fondly recalls<br />
his prized boat moored back in St. Katharine<br />
Docks. Many of the restaurateurs and hoteliers<br />
I spoke to seem vaguely restless here,<br />
driven to cabin fever by the island’s oppressively<br />
blissful pace. Paradise can be an unwitting<br />
prison for adventurous<br />
entrepreneurs, doomed to live out their days<br />
surrounded by unparalleled beauty, and to<br />
envy the likes of me showing up to chase the<br />
monkeys and then fly away again.<br />
As far as problems go, I can think of worse.<br />
Nevis is about as scenic and exclusive as<br />
Caribbean island retreats get, the more luxurious<br />
offshoot of the popular St. Kitts, and<br />
obscure enough a spot that most people mispronounce<br />
its name (it sounds like “Beavis”,<br />
rather than like the Scottish mountain). We<br />
were in good company here too. The Canadian<br />
prime minister had been the last person<br />
to stay in our villa at Paradise Beach,<br />
spending New Year’s Eve on the beach with<br />
his family.<br />
To think that the same monkeys that<br />
watched me shower had also watched Justin<br />
Trudeau brought me a great sense of peace<br />
and fulfilment. A shared experience captured<br />
in simian eyes – a profound unity of<br />
soapy men – now forever a part of this island’s<br />
continuing story.<br />
For more info<br />
visit paradise<br />
beachnevis.com<br />
Tropic Breeze<br />
offers a week’s<br />
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basis with<br />
a total saving<br />
of £2,500 per<br />
villa. Prices<br />
include return<br />
flights from<br />
London Gatwick<br />
to St Kitts on<br />
British Airways,<br />
private transfers<br />
from St Kitts to<br />
Nevis plus, taxes<br />
and service<br />
charges plus,<br />
two free nights<br />
and a concierge<br />
and on-call<br />
butler service.<br />
A short boat ride will take you to the more populated St Kitts, where you can ride the<br />
Scenic Railway and learn more about sugar plantations than you thought possible<br />
Hop to 5 Islands<br />
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30 FEATURE MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
OFFICE POLITICSASK THE EXPERT<br />
Every month, business etiquette experts at Debrett’s<br />
will seek to solve your professional dilemmas<br />
Q:<br />
Most of my day is spent in useless meetings and my<br />
colleagues seem blind to the fact that we’d all be more<br />
productive if we weren’t staring at each other in a room. I have<br />
just been promoted and I want to know what can I do to ensure<br />
the meetings that I lead are actually effective.<br />
WE ALL seem to spend a<br />
disproportionate<br />
amount of our time in<br />
meetings and, more<br />
often than not, they are<br />
something of an unhelpful habit<br />
rather than a necessity. You can be<br />
reasonably confident that no-one in<br />
attendance is clamouring for more,<br />
and on that basis you should declare<br />
your aim to make meetings shorter,<br />
less frequent and more productive.<br />
You should also state that you need<br />
everyone’s help. Doing so may make<br />
it the first agenda item with which<br />
everyone is fully engaged!<br />
You need to change a few habits,<br />
and assuming that you have an agenda,<br />
then the easiest thing to do is to<br />
establish a clear outcome for every<br />
agenda item. Then, at the end of each<br />
meeting, allocate a few minutes to<br />
review how you did against your own<br />
objectives. This way, you will focus<br />
the collaborative energy and intellect<br />
of the group in order to make<br />
changes to your meetings culture.<br />
As part of the process, you should<br />
SEND US YOUR<br />
QUESTIONS OR<br />
DILEMMAS<br />
For the chance to have<br />
your question answered by<br />
the Office Politics Expert,<br />
please email enquiries@<br />
debretts.co.uk<br />
For information on Debrett’s business<br />
coaching courses for both recent<br />
graduates and high-flying executives, visit<br />
www.debretts.com/training-academy<br />
look at what your meetings are currently<br />
used for. All too frequently<br />
they become opportunities to tell<br />
people things, rather than actually<br />
discuss them. Why get people into a<br />
room just to tell them things they<br />
could read in an email? It is healthy<br />
to get people into the habit of sharing<br />
information in advance so that the<br />
meeting can be used exclusively for<br />
discussion.<br />
It is also interesting to reflect on the<br />
fact that meetings are rarely used for<br />
persuading and inspiring people<br />
(when was the last time you were<br />
inspired in a meeting, honestly?) and,<br />
given that inspiration is rarely conveyed<br />
over email, a meeting is the<br />
best opportunity. This doesn’t mean<br />
that every meeting must be launched<br />
with an inspiring or motivational<br />
speech (although it is great if that<br />
does happen occasionally). If every<br />
agenda point addresses an issue that<br />
is important to the group, and it is<br />
expressed as a question that needs an<br />
answer, you will find that people<br />
want to be engaged.<br />
This leads to the next point. As part<br />
of your shake-up, you should also<br />
question who should attend the<br />
meeting. There is a great principle<br />
that attendance can be cut down to<br />
those whose perspectives are relevant<br />
to the subject matter and that everyone<br />
at the table should have a speaking<br />
part. Put simply, if someone can’t<br />
contribute, they should not be there.<br />
A recent article in the Wall Street<br />
Journal suggests that, if decisions are<br />
needed, then a maximum of seven<br />
people at the table is ideal. Every person<br />
beyond that number reduces the<br />
potential of making a sound decision<br />
by 10 per cent.<br />
One of your challenges will be to<br />
ensure that everyone does contribute.<br />
There are some simple guidelines<br />
that will help you achieve this. First<br />
and foremost, you must create time<br />
and space for people to speak, knowing<br />
that they will not be interrupted.<br />
In addition, everyone must sign-up to<br />
the idea that the best meetings are<br />
not competitions for air time and<br />
that everyone’s perspective is valuable.<br />
The great thing about taking<br />
this approach is that you will hear<br />
from everyone, not just the loudest in<br />
the room. This may upset the status<br />
quo temporarily, but people quickly<br />
realise the benefit.<br />
Every meeting should conclude<br />
with suggestions for the agenda next<br />
time, followed swiftly by a collective<br />
review on how you did versus your<br />
objectives. This should ensure that<br />
meetings under your leadership continue<br />
to evolve and improve.<br />
£ Rupert Wesson is The Academy<br />
director at Debrett’s.
CITYAM.COM MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017 SPORT 31<br />
RUGBY UNION<br />
Last-gasp Sarries seal place in quarter-finals<br />
ROSS MCLEAN<br />
@rossmcleanRMAC<br />
SARACENS boss Mark McCall praised<br />
his side’s doggedness after a last-gasp<br />
Chris Ashton try snatched a dramatic<br />
22-22 draw with Scarlets and sealed<br />
their passage to the European<br />
Champions Cup quarter-finals.<br />
Ashton crossed the line for the<br />
second time with the final play of<br />
the game and Owen Farrell duly<br />
FOOTBALL<br />
Man City come unstuck at Toffees<br />
FRANK DALLERES<br />
@frankdalleres<br />
MANCHESTER City manager Pep<br />
Guardiola admits his team may be<br />
out of the title race after he suffered<br />
the heaviest league defeat of his glittering<br />
career at Everton on Sunday.<br />
Striker Romelu Lukaku and winger<br />
Kevin Mirallas put the Toffees in control<br />
before young midfielder Tom<br />
Davies and £11m debutant Ademola<br />
Lookman added gloss to the scoreline.<br />
It left City fifth in the Premier<br />
League, 10 points behind runaway<br />
leaders Chelsea, and prompted<br />
Guardiola to suggest that second<br />
place is the best they can hope for in<br />
his first season.<br />
“Ten points is a lot of points. The second<br />
one [Tottenham] is three points.<br />
We have to see,” said the former Bayern<br />
Munich and Barcelona coach.<br />
“I told my players the last month<br />
‘forget about the table, focus on the<br />
next game and try to do our best to<br />
win the games’.<br />
“At the end of the season we are<br />
going to evaluate how our level and<br />
performance was – how was the<br />
coach, how was the players – and<br />
after we are going to decide.”<br />
Everton manager Ronald Koeman,<br />
meanwhile, savoured an ideal after-<br />
GOLF<br />
Storm beats McIlroy in South<br />
Africa to end 10-year drought<br />
FRANK DALLERES<br />
@frankdalleres<br />
FORGOTTEN man Graeme Storm<br />
completed his remarkable<br />
turnaround in fortunes over the<br />
last three months by beating world<br />
No2 Rory McIlroy to the South<br />
African Open on Sunday.<br />
Storm looked to have missed out<br />
on his tour card by the slimmest of<br />
margins when he bogeyed the last<br />
at the Portugal Masters in October,<br />
only to be granted a reprieve when<br />
American Patrick Reed freed up a<br />
place by declining his exemption.<br />
The Englishman took full<br />
advantage in his first tournament<br />
of 2017, seeing off McIlroy at the<br />
converted, after Wales centre Scott<br />
Williams appeared to have set<br />
Scarlets on course for victory with a<br />
second-half touchdown.<br />
The draw ended Scarlets’ hopes of<br />
reaching the last eight, while<br />
reigning champions Saracens failed<br />
to set a tournament record of 14<br />
successive wins.<br />
“From a performance point of<br />
view, there were a lot of things we<br />
didn’t do well today,” said McCall.<br />
Guardiola admits title bid is in tatters<br />
after Everton run up landmark victory<br />
PREMIER LEAGUE<br />
EVER<strong>TO</strong>N 4<br />
MANCHESTER CITY 0<br />
noon, although they remain seven<br />
points behind sixth-placed Manchester<br />
United.<br />
“You cannot plan a game like this,”<br />
said Koeman. “It is always difficult<br />
against City because they play great<br />
football, but the second half was perfect<br />
in every aspect. We scored at the<br />
right time in the first half and then to<br />
score straight after half-time made it<br />
very difficult for them.”<br />
City posed the greater threat in the<br />
first half hour but Raheem Sterling<br />
and David Silva were both thwarted<br />
by Everton goalkeeper Joel Robles before<br />
the hosts grabbed the opening<br />
goal.<br />
The dynamic Davies intercepted a<br />
City pass out of defence and fed Mirallas,<br />
whose cut-back allowed Lukaku to<br />
plant a first-time finish past a wrongfooted<br />
Claudio Bravo.<br />
Davies cleared a Bacary Sagna<br />
header off the line just before the<br />
break and Everton compounded their<br />
advantage immediately after the interval<br />
when Ross Barkley fed Mirallas<br />
to sweep low past Bravo.<br />
Guardiola threw on attacking reinforcements<br />
but it was the home side<br />
who struck again 11 minutes from<br />
time, 18-year-old Davies capping a buccaneering<br />
70-yard run with a delicate<br />
dinked finish.<br />
Substitute Lookman, 19, a January<br />
signing from League One Charlton<br />
who was playing Sunday league football<br />
three years ago, drove an opportunistic<br />
fourth between Bravo’s legs<br />
deep into injury time.<br />
third hole of a play-off to claim his<br />
first European Tour title for almost<br />
10 years.<br />
“I can’t quite believe it,” said the<br />
38-year-old. “This is a dream come<br />
true, especially after what<br />
happened to me last year. I have<br />
been to hell and back. It has been<br />
an absolute rollercoaster over the<br />
last year and a half.”<br />
Storm took a three-shot lead into<br />
the final day and finished with a<br />
one-under-par round of 71 to leave<br />
him on 18 under par. McIlroy’s 68<br />
forced a play-off, but while Storm<br />
parred all the extra holes, the<br />
Northern Irishman succumbed at<br />
the third. England’s Jordan L<br />
Smith, 24, finished in third place.<br />
“We made more mistakes than we<br />
wanted. But we find a way to be<br />
resilient, hang in there and give<br />
ourselves a chance. To find a way to<br />
get two points out of it is a good<br />
achievement.”<br />
Scarlets held a 9-5 half-time lead as<br />
three Dan Jones penalties cancelled<br />
out wing Nathan Earle’s try for the<br />
visitors, only for Toulon-bound<br />
Ashton to cross the line and fire<br />
Saracens into the ascendency nine<br />
IN BRIEF<br />
MELBOURNE VIC<strong>TO</strong>RY SEES<br />
PAKISTAN LEVEL SERIES<br />
£ CRICKET: Pakistan recorded their<br />
first one-day victory on Australian soil<br />
for 12 years to level the series at 1-1<br />
with three games of the five-match<br />
series to play. Seamer Mohammad<br />
Amir claimed 3-47 as Pakistan<br />
dismissed Australia for 220. In reply,<br />
stand-in skipper Mohammad Hafeez<br />
top scored with 72, while Shoaib Malik<br />
struck 42 not out, as Pakistan won by<br />
six wickets with 2.2 overs to spare.<br />
O’SULLIVAN RIDES LUCK <strong>TO</strong><br />
SEAL MASTERS PROGRESS<br />
£ SNOOKER: Defending champion<br />
Ronnie O’Sullivan survived a scare<br />
before reaching the Masters quarterfinal<br />
with a 6-5 over China’s Liang<br />
Wenbo yesterday. World No11 Wenbo<br />
recovered from 4-2 down to lead 5-4<br />
but missed the final black in the 10th<br />
which would have settled the tie.<br />
O’Sullivan amassed 121 in the deciding<br />
frame to seal victory.<br />
minutes after the re-start.<br />
Williams pierced a gaping hole in<br />
the Saracens defence moments later<br />
to restore the home side’s advantage<br />
before Ashton’s late intervention and<br />
the boot of Farrell shattered the<br />
Welsh outfit. Saracens boast a fivepoint<br />
lead over second-placed Toulon<br />
in their pool and remain on course<br />
for a home quarter-final, while the<br />
two European heavyweights meet at<br />
Allianz Park on Saturday.<br />
Davies (right) capped a dynamic display with Everton’s third goal<br />
LIVERPOOL’S MANE SCORES<br />
AS SENEGAL WIN OPENER<br />
£ FOOTBALL: Liverpool’s Sadio Mane<br />
converted a 10th minute penalty as<br />
Senegal began their Africa Cup of<br />
Nations campaign with a 2-0 victory<br />
over Tunisia yesterday. Mane scored<br />
after West Ham’s Cheikhou Kouyate<br />
had been felled in the penalty area,<br />
while Kara Mbodji added a second with<br />
a powerful header. Victory sent Senegal<br />
to the top of Group B after Algeria drew<br />
2-2 with Zimbabwe.<br />
DURRANT BEATS NOPPERT<br />
<strong>TO</strong> CLAIM FIRST BDO TITLE<br />
£ DARTS: England’s Glen Durrant<br />
claimed his maiden BDO World Darts<br />
Championship title after a 7-3 victory<br />
over Holland’s Danny Noppert last<br />
night. Durrant said: “In 1989, I watched<br />
a match between Eric Bristow and<br />
Jocky Wilson that inspired me to pick<br />
up a set of darts. Now, thanks to hard<br />
work, determination and Teesside<br />
steel, I am world champion.”<br />
RESULTS<br />
FOOTBALL<br />
PREMIER LEAGUE<br />
Everton ...................(1) 4 Man City ....................(0) 0<br />
Lukaku 34<br />
Mirallas 47<br />
Davies 79<br />
Lookman 90 Att: 39,588<br />
Man Utd .................(0) 1 Liverpool ....................(1) 1<br />
Ibrahimovic 84<br />
Milner 27 (pen)<br />
Att: 75,276<br />
P W D L F A GD Pts<br />
Chelsea............................21 17 1 3 45 15 30 52<br />
Tottenham .....................21 13 6 2 43 14 29 45<br />
Liverpool ........................21 13 6 2 49 24 25 45<br />
Arsenal............................21 13 5 3 48 22 26 44<br />
Man City .........................21 13 3 5 41 26 15 42<br />
Man Utd .........................21 11 7 3 32 20 12 40<br />
Everton ...........................21 9 6 6 32 23 9 33<br />
West Brom....................21 8 5 8 28 28 0 29<br />
Stoke ................................21 7 6 8 27 33 -6 27<br />
Burnley ............................21 8 2 11 23 31 -8 26<br />
Bournemouth ..............21 7 4 10 30 37 -7 25<br />
West Ham .....................21 7 4 10 26 35 -9 25<br />
Southamptn .................21 6 6 9 19 26 -7 24<br />
Watford ..........................21 6 5 10 23 36 -13 23<br />
Leicester .........................21 5 6 10 24 34 -10 21<br />
Middlesbro’ ...................21 4 8 9 17 22 -5 20<br />
Crystal Pal .....................21 4 4 13 30 40 -10 16<br />
Hull ....................................21 4 4 13 20 45 -25 16<br />
Sunderland ...................21 4 3 14 20 40 -20 15<br />
Swansea .........................21 4 3 14 23 49 -26 15<br />
AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS GROUP B<br />
Algeria ....................(1) 2 Zimbabwe .................(2) 2<br />
Mahrez 13, 82 Mahachi 17<br />
Mushekwi 29 (pen)<br />
Tunisia ...................(0) 0 Senegal ......................(2) 2<br />
Mane 10 (pen)<br />
Mbodji 30<br />
P W D L F A GD Pts<br />
Senegal .............................1 1 0 0 2 0 2 3<br />
Algeria ..............................1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1<br />
Zimbabwe........................1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1<br />
Tunisia ...............................1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0<br />
BASKETBALL<br />
BBL CUP FINAL: Newcastle 91 Glasgow 83.<br />
CRICKET<br />
FIRST ONE DAY INTERNATIONAL—England v India<br />
(Pune): England 350-7 (50.0 overs; J E Root 78, J J Roy<br />
73, B A Stokes 62). India 356-7 (48.1 overs; V Kohli 122, K<br />
M Jadhav 120). India beat England by 3 wickets.<br />
FIRST TEST MATCH—Bangladesh v New Zealand<br />
(Wellington): Bangladesh 595-8dec. (152.0 overs; Shakib<br />
Al Hasan 217, Mushfiqur Rahim 159, Mominul Haque 64,<br />
Tamim Iqbal 56, Sabbir Rahman 54no; N Wagner 4-151)<br />
and 89-5 (18.3 overs). New Zealand 539 (148.2 overs; T W<br />
M Latham 177, M J Santner 73, H M Nicholls 53, K S<br />
Williamson 53).<br />
SECOND ONE DAY INTERNATIONAL—Australia v<br />
Pakistan (Melbourne): Australia 220 (48.2 overs; S P D<br />
Smith 60). Pakistan 221-4 (47.4 overs; Mohammad Hafeez<br />
72). Pakistan beat Australia by 6 wickets.<br />
DARTS<br />
BDO WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP (The Lakeside Complex,<br />
Frimley Green, Surrey)—Final: G Durrant (Eng) bt D<br />
Noppert (Ned) 7-3.<br />
GOLF<br />
BMW SA OPEN (Johannesburg)—Final Rnd (Gbr & Irl<br />
unless stated, par 72): 270 G Storm 69 63 67 71 (Storm<br />
won at 3rd play-off hole), R McIlroy 67 68 67 68, 271 J<br />
Smith 67 68 68 68, 273 D Burmester (Rsa) 67 70 67 69,<br />
274 T Aiken (Rsa) 67 70 68 69, T Fisher Jnr (Rsa) 66 68<br />
71 69, 275 J Stalter (Fra) 69 70 65 71, P Uihlein (USA) 70<br />
64 70 71, D Drysdale 70 65 71 69, A Bjork (Swe) 68 71 68<br />
68, M Korhonen (Fin) 72 66 67 70, E Molinari (Ita) 71 70<br />
63 71, 276 J Morrison 70 72 66 68, 277 R S Johnson<br />
(Swe) 69 70 66 72, L Canter 69 66 71 71, J Winther (Den)<br />
69 70 70 68, G King 73 68 66 70, 278 T Lewis 72 71 69<br />
66, J Fahrbring (Swe) 68 71 71 68, J Van Zyl (Rsa) 71 65<br />
68 74.<br />
RUGBY UNION<br />
EUROPEAN CHAMPIONS CUP POOL 3<br />
Scarlets .............................22 Saracens ..........................22<br />
Toulon ................................27 Sale ................................... 12<br />
P W D L B F A Pts<br />
Saracens ................................5 4 1 0 2 171 84 20<br />
Toulon ......................................5 3 0 2 3 117 90 15<br />
Scarlets...................................5 2 1 2 0 118 129 10<br />
Sale ...........................................5 0 0 5 0 41 144 0<br />
POOL 5<br />
Bordeaux-Begles................6 Clermont Auvergne ..........9<br />
Exeter .................................31 Ulster ................................ 19<br />
P W D L B F A Pts<br />
Clermont Auvergne ..........5 4 0 1 5 163 105 21<br />
Exeter ......................................5 2 0 3 3 84 98 11<br />
Bordeaux-Begles ...............5 2 0 3 2 92 98 10<br />
Ulster .......................................5 2 0 3 1 109 147 9<br />
EUROPEAN CHALLENGE CUP POOL 2<br />
Ospreys .............................47 Lyon Olympique................. 7<br />
P W D L B F A Pts<br />
Ospreys ...................................5 5 0 0 5 253 30 25<br />
Lyon Olympique ..................5 2 0 3 3 130 151 11<br />
Newcastle ..............................5 2 0 3 3 137 154 11<br />
Grenoble .................................5 1 0 4 1 61 246 5<br />
SNOOKER<br />
DAFABET MASTERS (Alexandra Palace, London)—1st<br />
rnd: R O’Sullivan (Eng) bt L Wenbo (Chn) 6-5.<br />
<strong>TO</strong>DAY’S DIARY<br />
Africa Cup Of Nations Group C<br />
Congo DR v Morocco (7pm) ..........................................................................<br />
Ivory Coast v Togo (4pm) ..............................................................................<br />
CRICKET<br />
First Test Match—day 5 of 5: New Zealand v<br />
Bangladesh (Wellington, 22).<br />
SNOOKER<br />
Dafabet Masters 2017 (Alexandra Palace).<br />
TENNIS<br />
Australian Open (Melbourne, Australia).
32 SPORT MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />
SPORT<br />
FOOTBALL<br />
Tempers flare<br />
as Klopp and<br />
Jose clash<br />
PREMIER LEAGUE<br />
MANCHESTER UNITED 1<br />
LIVERPOOL 1<br />
ROSS MCLEAN<br />
@rossmcleanRMAC<br />
LIVERPOOL boss Jurgen Klopp accused<br />
Manchester United counterpart Jose<br />
Mourinho of attempting to coerce referee<br />
Michael Oliver into showing Roberto<br />
Firmino a red card as tensions sizzled<br />
during yesterday's draw.<br />
Firmino was booked for shoving Ander<br />
Herrera after the forward reacted angrily<br />
to the Spaniard pulling his shirt as the<br />
visitors looked to counter-attack in the<br />
dying embers of a pulsating clash.<br />
Both managers, who became embroiled<br />
in a heated touchline exchange,<br />
ultimately had to settle for a point as<br />
Zlatan Ibrahimovic headed an 84thminute<br />
leveller after James Milner had<br />
clinically dispatched a first-half penalty.<br />
The draw ended United’s nine-match<br />
winning streak and left them sixth in the<br />
table, four points adrift of a Champions<br />
League spot, while Liverpool returned to<br />
third and lie seven points behind leaders<br />
Chelsea.<br />
“He [Mourinho] wanted the minimum<br />
of a yellow card, I don’t know,” said<br />
Klopp. “I think the ref whistled before<br />
anything else happened.<br />
“Roberto is a footballer from head to<br />
toe and he wanted to stay in the game. He<br />
could have passed the ball but that was a<br />
yellow card for Herrera and nothing else.<br />
“In the end it was a yellow card for the<br />
guy who wanted to play football. It would<br />
have been even worse if someone wants<br />
to see it again and all that stuff. We [him<br />
and Mourinho] could not have the same<br />
opinion in this moment.”<br />
Mourinho denied he was trying to lobby<br />
for Firmino’s dismissal. He said: “He<br />
[Klopp] thought I was asking for his<br />
player to be sent off, I wasn’t. There was<br />
no problem at all.”<br />
Klopp also denounced United for an<br />
inhospitable welcome, adding: “I read the<br />
programme notes and it is the first time<br />
that there was nothing about ‘welcome<br />
to Liverpool’ or something like this.<br />
“Then I wanted a coffee and in the can<br />
was only tea. It’s started already, yeah?<br />
It’s all okay. It’s football.”<br />
Mourinho, meanwhile, whose side was<br />
chastised for adopting supposedly ultradefensive<br />
tactics during the goalless draw<br />
in the reverse fixture at Anfield in<br />
October, was happy to point the finger of<br />
negativity in Klopp’s direction.<br />
“We changed the qualities of our game<br />
and went to a more direct approach<br />
because Liverpool were defending with<br />
so many bodies behind the ball,” added<br />
the Portuguese.<br />
Liverpool opened the scoring on 27<br />
minutes when Milner converted a spotkick<br />
after Paul Pogba inexplicably<br />
handled as he challenged Dejan Lovren.<br />
But United levelled with six minutes<br />
remaining as Ibrahimovic stooped to<br />
divert an Antonio Valencia cross over<br />
goalkeeper Simon Mignolet after<br />
Marouane Fellaini’s initial flick had<br />
ricocheted off the post.<br />
<strong>TO</strong>P SIX<br />
TEAM PLD W D L F A PTS<br />
Chelsea 21 17 1 3 45 15 52<br />
Tottenham 21 13 6 2 43 14 45<br />
Liverpool 21 13 6 2 49 24 45<br />
Arsenal 21 13 5 3 48 22 44<br />
Man City 21 13 3 5 41 26 42<br />
Man Utd 21 11 7 3 32 20 40<br />
CITYAM.COM<br />
PEP’S GOODISON NIGHTMARE Guardiola<br />
admits City title bid in tatters after<br />
landmark Everton victory PAGE 31<br />
Jose Mourinho and Jurgen Klopp exchanged words<br />
TENNIS<br />
In-form Konta<br />
coy on Aussie<br />
Open chances<br />
FRANK DALLERES<br />
@frankdalleres<br />
BRITAIN’S Johanna Konta has<br />
played down her status as Britain’s<br />
most credible female grand slam<br />
contender since Virginia Wade as<br />
she prepares to begin her<br />
Australian Open campaign tonight.<br />
Konta goes into the year’s first<br />
major tournament at a career-high<br />
ranking of ninth in the world and<br />
buoyed by a string of fine<br />
performances already this month.<br />
The 25-year-old reached the last<br />
four in Shenzhen and then topped<br />
that in Sydney last week, winning<br />
the title without dropping a set and<br />
blitzing world No3 Agnieszka<br />
Radwanska in the final.<br />
“I’m definitely very pleased with<br />
the level I played but we all know<br />
that it’s not a given. It doesn’t<br />
decide how you will do in the next<br />
event,” said Konta.<br />
“I’m taking it as a positive from<br />
the week itself, but I’m looking to<br />
work hard here again and really try<br />
to do the best that I can.”<br />
Konta, who was born in Sydney<br />
and moved to Eastbourne as a<br />
teenager, starts her tournament in<br />
the early hours of Tuesday against<br />
Belgian Kirsten Flipkens, who won<br />
their only previous clash.<br />
“I’m looking forward to the<br />
opportunity to play her again,” she<br />
added. “She is a great player. She’s a<br />
Wimbledon semi-finalist. She’s<br />
been around the tour for a long<br />
time and that’s no accident.”<br />
Wade was the last British woman<br />
to win a grand slam singles title, in<br />
1977 at Wimbledon. She also won<br />
the Australian Open in 1972.<br />
RECORD PRIZES ON OFFER<br />
Tennis stars will do battle for the second<br />
largest pay-cheque in the sport’s history<br />
at the Australian Open. A men’s and<br />
women’s singles champion prize of<br />
AUS$3.7m (£2.2m) is the most generous<br />
ever offered at the tournament and<br />
second in size only to last year’s US Open.<br />
This year’s winners will bank AUS$300,000<br />
more than Novak Djokovic and Angelique<br />
Kerber took home 12 months ago.<br />
CRICKET<br />
Morgan questions batting as Kohli inspires India victory<br />
ROSS MCLEAN<br />
@rossmcleanRMAC<br />
ENGLAND skipper Eoin Morgan<br />
blamed a below-par batting<br />
performance as his side succumbed to<br />
a three-wicket defeat in their opening<br />
one-day clash against India in Pune<br />
yesterday.<br />
The tourists’ total of 350-7,<br />
England’s record tally against India<br />
and their ninth highest of all time,<br />
proved insufficient as a Virat Kohli<br />
masterclass and destructive century<br />
from Kedar Jadhav proved decisive.<br />
Kohli and Jadhav shared a 200-run<br />
stand as India completed the jointfourth<br />
best run chase in history,<br />
winning with 11 deliveries to spare,<br />
which looked an unlikely prospect<br />
after they were reduced to 63-4.<br />
Batsman Joe Root earlier top<br />
scored for England with 78,<br />
while opener Jason Roy hit 73<br />
and all-rounder Ben Stokes a<br />
40-ball 62 as England piled on<br />
115 runs in the final 10 overs<br />
of their innings, although it<br />
was not enough for victory or<br />
Morgan.<br />
“Our batting effort wasn’t<br />
our best – it summarised the<br />
conditions here where the pitch is<br />
good and the boundaries are<br />
small,” said Morgan. “You<br />
don’t know what a good<br />
score is.<br />
“It hurts more because<br />
we had them 63-4. That’s<br />
what hurts the most.<br />
Even though Kohli<br />
was still in we were<br />
right into the<br />
middle order. Our<br />
plan was to get<br />
Kohli off strike and<br />
we certainly didn’t<br />
expect Jadhav to<br />
Kohli top scored for India<br />
with a knock of 122<br />
play like that.<br />
“We bowled brilliantly early on<br />
but our hope is that as our bowlers<br />
become more experienced they can<br />
come up with good enough skills.”<br />
India captain Kohli, meanwhile,<br />
whose 17th second-innings hundred<br />
equalled the record of the great<br />
Sachin Tendulkar, only in 136 fewer<br />
knocks, admitted that he felt<br />
England would wobble as India<br />
turned up the heat in their run<br />
chase.<br />
“The moment he came to the<br />
crease, Jadhav started hitting the ball<br />
really well,” said Kohli, who top<br />
scored for India with 122. “I said, ‘if<br />
we get to 150 here, they will press<br />
the panic button – watch’.”<br />
England surged into the<br />
ascendency early in India’s reply as<br />
Yorkshire’s David Willey removed<br />
India openers Shikhar Dhawan and<br />
KL Rahul in quick succession and<br />
Yuvraj Singh and MS Dhoni also fell<br />
cheaply.<br />
But they ultimately had no answer<br />
to expert chaser Kohli and Jadhav,<br />
who scorched a 65-ball ton on his<br />
home ground and finished with 120,<br />
as India secured a 1-0 lead in the<br />
three-match showdown. The next<br />
one-day tussle takes place in Cuttack<br />
on Thursday.