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BUSINESS WITH PERSONALITY<br />

PICCADILLY GOES DARK<br />

WHAT NEXT FOR THE<br />

ICONIC AD SPACE? P24-25<br />

INTERVIEW <strong>TO</strong>P<br />

INVES<strong>TO</strong>R JON<br />

MOUL<strong>TO</strong>N TALKS<br />

<strong>TO</strong> CITY A.M. P11<br />

WIN<br />

A KARMA<br />

HOLIDAY<br />

EVERYDAY<br />

THIS WEEK<br />

STARTS<br />

<strong>TO</strong>MORROW<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017 ISSUE 2,792 CITYAM.COM<br />

FREE<br />

SQUARE MILE WAKES UP<br />

<strong>TO</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>BREXIT</strong> <strong>REALITY</strong><br />

MARK SANDS AND HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />

@MkSands @HayleyLEK<br />

THE CITY is shifting to a new focus on best<br />

possible access to Europe’s Single Market,<br />

rather than pinning hopes on continued<br />

membership of the trading bloc, as it<br />

prepares for the PM to announce a socalled<br />

clean Brexit tomorrow.<br />

In a much anticipated speech, Theresa<br />

May is expected to make clear the UK’s<br />

willingness to quit the Single Market in<br />

order to regain control of the country’s<br />

borders and forge new trade deals.<br />

Sterling dropped further in<br />

expectation of the speech. The pound<br />

was trading around $1.198 in Australia<br />

last night. Some analysts believe the<br />

currency could bounce back if May’s<br />

speech refers to a transitional period, or<br />

reassures markets that the government<br />

will push for free trade and defend the<br />

financial sector. However, analysts at<br />

Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs say<br />

it could sink even lower.<br />

Since the referendum, the City has<br />

warned of the need for continued access<br />

to the Single Market. However, the tone<br />

has shifted in recent months, away from<br />

one which was fighting tooth and nail for<br />

rights like passporting to one that is<br />

more open to other options.<br />

“The fact that we have had Philip<br />

Hammond and David Davis standing<br />

together and talking about the need for<br />

transitional arrangements has done the<br />

politics of Brexit for the City a power of<br />

good,” said Iain Anderson of lobbying<br />

firm Cicero. “That has done an awful lot<br />

to calm nerves, and now a lot of the<br />

conversations are about best possible<br />

access to the Single Market.”<br />

Passporting – a complex set of rights<br />

allowing firms in the UK to do business<br />

in the EEA and vice versa – was<br />

conspicuous by its absence in a financial<br />

and professional services wish-list<br />

published by industry group TheCityUK<br />

last week. The group is also understood<br />

to be carrying out a study into the effects<br />

of regulatory equivalence, which is due<br />

to be published later this month.<br />

“We want maximum access...and<br />

actually a comprehensive free trade<br />

agreement between the UK and the<br />

Single Market may lead to a better<br />

outcome for everybody,” said Shanker<br />

Singham, chairman of the Legatum<br />

Institute Special Trade Commission.<br />

Meanwhile, Allie Renison, head of<br />

Europe and trade policy at the Institute<br />

of Directors, stated firms would have<br />

been “kidding themselves” if they<br />

hadn’t been considering a departure<br />

from the Single Market a possibility.<br />

Chancellor Philip Hammond revealed<br />

yesterday that he is prepared to go all<br />

out to make the UK more attractive to<br />

international business in the event of<br />

unsatisfactory negotiations with the EU.<br />

Hammond used an interview with<br />

German newspaper Welt am Sonntag to<br />

warn: “If we have no access to the<br />

European market, if we are closed off, if<br />

Britain were to leave the European Union<br />

without an agreement on market access,<br />

then we could suffer from economic<br />

damage at least in the short-term.<br />

“In this case, we could be forced to<br />

change our economic model and we will<br />

have to change our model to regain<br />

competitiveness.” Hammond added<br />

“you can be sure we will do whatever we<br />

have to do. The British people are not<br />

going to lie down and say, too bad, we’ve<br />

been wounded. We will change our<br />

model, and we will come back, and we<br />

will be competitively engaged”.<br />

£ CONTINUED ON P4<br />

FTSE 100 ▲ 7,337.81 +45.44 FTSE 250 ▲ 18,371.94 +68.44 DOW ▼ 19,885.73 -5.27 NASDAQ ▲ 5,574.12 +26.63 £/$ ▼ 1.199 -0.017 £/€ ▼ 1.129 -0.016 €/$ ▼ 1.059 -0.002<br />

YOU COULD BE HERE.<br />

www.karmagroup.com


02 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

NI HAO DAVOS Chinese President Xi Jinping expected to be the<br />

star attraction of this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos<br />

THE CITY VIEW<br />

Hammond offers hard<br />

truths to the Germans<br />

WHILE much of the weekend’s focus has been on what<br />

Theresa May could announce in her big Brexit speech<br />

tomorrow, it was her chancellor, Phillip Hammond,<br />

who made one of the more interesting interventions of<br />

the weekend. In an interview with a German newspaper<br />

Hammond poured cold water on the idea that the UK might (as<br />

the interviewer put it) “come to its senses” and decide to remain<br />

in the EU after all. “That is not going to happen,” said<br />

Hammond, adding “those of us...who campaigned to remain in<br />

the EU... have moved on.” This isn’t entirely true, of course: there<br />

are a handful of diehard Remainers who, despite mounting<br />

evidence to the contrary, still believe there is a chance that<br />

somehow the UK will cobble together a deal that keeps us inside<br />

the Single Market, subject to EU law. In truth, these voices are<br />

becoming less and less relevant. Indeed, as Hammond says,<br />

without the UK as a<br />

member the EU will likely<br />

“move in a direction that<br />

will make it less attractive<br />

to people in the UK.”<br />

Hammond even comes<br />

close to sounding like a<br />

proper Brexiteer, warning<br />

that “since the referendum<br />

we have seen on the European side movement away from the UK<br />

positions” and towards “things that are anathema to the UK.”<br />

This is an important point from Hammond, coming as it does<br />

just a day before the Prime Minister finally fleshes out what<br />

kind of relationship she intends to seek with the EU. Hammond<br />

has long been a source of reassurance for those, particularly in<br />

the City, who were uneasy about May’s hardline approach to<br />

immigration. But it seems as if the chancellor and the PM may<br />

at last be on the same page. Downing St has briefed that May’s<br />

speech will present the UK as an outward-looking, global,<br />

trading nation. In his chat with the Germans, Hammond also<br />

stressed that the Leave campaign stood “on a platform to build<br />

free trade agreements...with other countries around the world”<br />

and that “our destiny is an engagement with the wider world.”<br />

With this week set to be a turning point in the UK’s Brexit story,<br />

we must all hope that Hammond’s vision of the future is echoed<br />

by Theresa May.<br />

Follow us on Twitter @cityam<br />

‘Those of us who<br />

campaigned to<br />

remain in the EU<br />

have moved on’<br />

CHINESE Premier Xi Jinping began his two-day state visit to Switzerland yesterday by visiting the House of Parliament<br />

“Bundeshaus” in Bern with Swiss Federal President Doris Leuthard. Jinping will create history tomorrow by becoming the first<br />

Chinese leader to address the World Economic Forum in Davos. He is likely to speak strongly in favour of boosting globalisation.<br />

Take populism seriously,<br />

says Davos boss Schwab<br />

ASHLEY COATES<br />

PRIME minister Theresa May, Chinese<br />

President Xi Jinping, US vice president<br />

Joe Biden and US secretary of state<br />

John Kerry will be among the 3,000<br />

businessmen, politicians and celebrities<br />

at the annual World Economic<br />

Forum this week.<br />

The four-day event in Switzerland<br />

has developed a reputation as a gathering<br />

of the global elite, with as much<br />

interest paid to the parties as the<br />

events programme.<br />

But the forum’s founder, Klaus<br />

Schwab says this year’s session is<br />

aimed squarely towards addressing<br />

the concerns of the disenfranchised.<br />

“It would be soundly unrealistic and<br />

far from realities if we did not integrate<br />

the concerns of populists very<br />

much into our own deliberation”,<br />

Schwab told the Associated Press at<br />

the weekend. “We have to take it<br />

[populism] seriously”.<br />

The organisers of the event in<br />

Switzerland have chosen “responsive<br />

and responsible leadership” as the<br />

theme of the conference, which will<br />

overlap with Donald Trump’s inauguration<br />

on 20 January.<br />

Their programme aims to contend<br />

with issues that last year’s attendees<br />

would barely have thought possible,<br />

with sessions looking at “the post-EU<br />

era” and “politics of fear or rebellion<br />

of the forgotten?”<br />

The major event of the 2017 conference<br />

is the participation of Xi Jinping,<br />

who will become the first Chinese<br />

leader ever to attend Davos.<br />

He is likely to speak against Trump’s<br />

protectionist policies in a session<br />

focusing on “inclusive globalisation”.<br />

The Trump administration is putting<br />

up Anthony Scaramucci, a hedge-fund<br />

manager and key member of the<br />

Trump-Pence transition team.<br />

Theresa May will deliver a speech<br />

billed as a “special address” in Davos,<br />

on Thursday.<br />

Her chancellor Philip Hammond will<br />

give a speech in a session called<br />

“Britain and the EU – the way<br />

forward” on Friday, with a focus on<br />

the challenges of global and EU<br />

migration as well as future growth<br />

and investment strategies.<br />

He will be joined on the stage by<br />

Italy’s Prime Minister, Mario Monti, as<br />

well as Jes Staley, chief executive at<br />

Barclays and Thorold Barker, the Wall<br />

Street Journal’s editor for EMEA.<br />

London mayor Sadiq Khan will be in<br />

Davos discussing the future of the city<br />

after Brexit during a dinner hosted by<br />

Morgan Stanley. Khan is expected to<br />

insist that London remains open to<br />

international investment.<br />

FINANCIAL TIMES THE TIMES THE DAILY TELEGRAPH THE WALL STREET JOURNAL<br />

MORE THAN 100 JAILED FOR<br />

FAKE BP OIL SPILL CLAIMS<br />

More than 100 people have been jailed<br />

for making fraudulent oil spill claims<br />

against BP, highlighting the scale of<br />

fraud the energy group faced as it tried<br />

to contain damage over the US’s largest<br />

environmental disaster in 2010. 311<br />

people had been convicted by last<br />

September, with 102 sent to prison.<br />

LONDON COURT <strong>TO</strong> HEAR<br />

£10BN LEHMAN CLAIM<br />

A £10bn claim by the administrators of<br />

Lehman Brothers’ European operations<br />

will come before London courts today,<br />

more than eight years after the US<br />

investment bank collapsed. The case<br />

pits scores of businesses and thousands<br />

WHAT THE<br />

OTHER<br />

PAPERS SAY<br />

THIS<br />

MORNING<br />

of former Lehman bankers, who claim<br />

they are still owed money, against the<br />

hedge funds and distressed debt<br />

investors that bought the investment<br />

bank’s European bonds after its collapse.<br />

GERMANS <strong>TO</strong> SEIZE TRADE<br />

FROM CITY, SAYS RESEARCH<br />

Deutsche Boerse’s €25bn merger with<br />

the London Stock Exchange will trigger<br />

a huge grab of business by Frankfurt<br />

from the City, a study claims. Research,<br />

which was commissioned by the<br />

German exchange, says the merger will<br />

give Deutsche Boerse the opportunity to<br />

relocate billions of pounds of<br />

derivatives trading from the UK to<br />

Germany.<br />

GIANT AIRSHIP MAKER SET<br />

FOR LIFT-OFF WITH FLOAT<br />

The maker of the world’s largest aircraft,<br />

Hybrid Air Vehicles, is planning a London<br />

flotation as it seeks funds for its plan to<br />

bring about a new dawn for the airship.<br />

MAURITIUS PAYMENT HITS<br />

FUNDSMITH PROFITS<br />

Terry Smith’s investment firm<br />

Fundsmith moved nearly £30m to its<br />

sister company in Mauritius last year,<br />

sending its profits falling sharply despite<br />

a surge in customers attracted to its<br />

investment strategies. Fundsmith<br />

generated a 58 per cent rise in revenues<br />

to £41.6m for the year to March, as more<br />

investors rushed into its trading ideas.<br />

STEEL INDUSTRY WINS<br />

RELIEF FROM GREEN TAXES<br />

The danger of Britain’s steel industry<br />

plunging back into crisis has eased with<br />

the government agreeing further<br />

subsidies that reduce the sector’s<br />

cripplingly high energy bills.<br />

SPACEX LAUNCHES FIRST<br />

ROCKET SINCE EXPLOSION<br />

Space Exploration Technologies<br />

successfully launched its Falcon 9<br />

rocket, rebounding from a catastrophic<br />

accident in September. The trouble-free<br />

liftoff marked a high-stakes pivot for<br />

entrepreneur Elon Musk’s closely held<br />

company.<br />

WANDA GROUP SUFFERS<br />

RARE REVENUE DROP<br />

Dalian Wanda Group – run by China’s<br />

richest man, Wang Jianlin – reported its<br />

first revenue decline in six years, citing a<br />

softening commercial-property market<br />

while shifts into entertainment. Total<br />

revenue dropped 13.9 per cent in 2016<br />

from the year before.


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />

03<br />

US banks forecast for revenue slide<br />

HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />

@HayleyLEK<br />

US EARNINGS season might be about<br />

to prove that not all that glitters is<br />

Goldman, as the investment banking<br />

titan is predicted to announce a<br />

double digit slide in full-year<br />

revenues on Wednesday.<br />

Analysts have also forecast a slump<br />

in revenues for Morgan Stanley,<br />

which reports tomorrow, and<br />

Citigroup, which reports on<br />

Wednesday.<br />

According to a consensus of<br />

analysts by Yahoo Finance, Goldman<br />

Sachs is predicted to announce<br />

revenues of $30.3bn (£24.9bn) for<br />

2016, down 10.3 per cent from<br />

$33.8bn.<br />

Earnings per share for the lender<br />

are predicted to rise to $15.81, up<br />

from $12.14 last year when penalties<br />

for mortgage-backed mis-selling<br />

swiped a chunk from the bank’s<br />

bottom line.<br />

A more modest decline is expected<br />

from Morgan Stanley, with analysts<br />

forecasting revenues for 2016 of<br />

$34.1bn, down 1.2 per cent from<br />

$34.5bn excluding debt valuation<br />

adjustment last year.<br />

Meanwhile, at Citigroup, the<br />

consensus pegs revenues at $70.5bn<br />

for 2016, down 7.4 per cent from<br />

$76.1bn last year.<br />

Goldman Sachs boss Lloyd Blankfein might not be cheery come Wednesday<br />

Law firm sees<br />

floats getting<br />

a lift this year<br />

Trump to seal<br />

UK trade deal<br />

‘very quickly’<br />

MARK SANDS<br />

@MkSands<br />

GLOBAL float activity is expected to<br />

rise by just over 25 per cent in 2017,<br />

before surging onwards in the<br />

following years.<br />

This year will see floats reach<br />

$167bn (£138bn), according to<br />

experts at law firm Baker McKenzie,<br />

up from $133bn in 2016.<br />

Further floats are expected to see<br />

activity dramatically uptick,<br />

reaching $275bn in 2018 and 2019.<br />

“Improved market sentiment and<br />

a number of countries looking to list<br />

state-owned companies to raise<br />

money, particularly in the CEE, CIS,<br />

Middle East and Africa should lead to<br />

a more benign market environment<br />

in 2017 with a real pick up towards<br />

the second half of the year into<br />

2018,” said Koen Vanhaerents, global<br />

head of capital markets at Baker<br />

McKenzie.<br />

Vanhaerents added that the<br />

technology sector will likely be a key<br />

source of activity, with a mooted<br />

initial public offering for teen social<br />

media platform Snapchat likely to<br />

lead the way.<br />

By contrast, acquisition activity is<br />

likely to remain diminished after<br />

slowing last year.<br />

The law firm predicted total M&A<br />

values would droop from $2.8<br />

trillion in 2016 to $2.5 trillion this<br />

year, before slowly recovering.<br />

Baker McKenzie’s global head of<br />

M&A Michael DeFranco said<br />

volatility in the US stock market,<br />

growing concerns about China’s<br />

economic slowdown, and dropping<br />

oil and commodity prices caused<br />

dealmakers to become more<br />

cautious.<br />

“We expect that environment of<br />

uncertainty to continue at least for<br />

the first quarter of this year,”<br />

DeFranco said.<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

US PRESIDENT-ELECT Donald Trump<br />

has said he will move “very quickly”<br />

to secure a new trade deal with the<br />

UK when he comes to office.<br />

“I’m a big fan of the UK, we’re<br />

gonna work very hard to get it done<br />

quickly and done properly. Good for<br />

both sides,” Trump told MP Michael<br />

Gove in an interview with the Times.<br />

Trump, who will be inaugurated as<br />

the 45th US President on Friday, told<br />

prominent Leave campaigner Gove<br />

that Brexit “is going to end up being<br />

a great thing”.<br />

The billionaire tycoon-turnedpolitician<br />

blasted the European<br />

Union as “basically a vehicle for<br />

Germany”, and said Germany’s<br />

dominance of the organisation is<br />

why he thought “the UK was so<br />

smart in getting out”. Trump backed<br />

Brexit in the run-up to the<br />

referendum.<br />

Trump also said the fall in the<br />

value of sterling since the EU<br />

referendum in June is “great”.<br />

Yesterday, former Ukip leader<br />

Nigel Farage predicted the UK could<br />

agree to a trade deal within months<br />

of Trump coming to office.<br />

In an attack on Nato, Trump said<br />

the military alliance was “obsolete”<br />

because it has not defended against<br />

terror attacks, but added that the<br />

organisation is still “very important<br />

to him”.<br />

The President-elect also said he<br />

will offer to end sanctions against<br />

Russia in return for a nuclear arms<br />

reduction deal with President<br />

Vladimir Putin. “They have sanctions<br />

on Russia – let’s see if we can make<br />

some good deals with Russia,” he<br />

said.<br />

Prime Minister Theresa May is set<br />

to visit Trump in Washington DC<br />

next month.<br />

PMI fumes over new Indian proposals<br />

India’s tobacco market is said to be worth $11bn<br />

ADITYA KALRA<br />

PHILIP Morris International is<br />

fighting to keep a toehold in India’s<br />

$11bn (£9.1bn) tobacco market, as the<br />

government considers further<br />

tightening foreign investment rules<br />

in the sector, according to documents<br />

seen by Reuters.<br />

In previously unreported letters<br />

from Philip Morris to the trade<br />

minister and an influential<br />

government think-tank, the US-based<br />

company said the “discriminatory”<br />

and “protectionist” proposals would<br />

represent a blow to its plans to<br />

launch new products and make<br />

further investments in India.<br />

The two letters dated May and<br />

October last year followed local<br />

media reports of a possible change in<br />

government policy. While the<br />

warnings may be part of the firm’s<br />

negotiations, they show the level of<br />

concern the proposals are causing.<br />

“The proposed ban will impact our<br />

future investments in India and also<br />

force a review of our overall<br />

operations, including tobacco crop<br />

purchases,” Martin G King, PMI’s Asia<br />

president, wrote on 13 October to<br />

NITI Aayog, India’s most influential<br />

government think-tank.<br />

Reuters


04 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

Single Market retreat hearing due<br />

next month as Article 50 case looms<br />

HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />

@HayleyLEK<br />

A COURT hearing that could cause a<br />

headache for Prime Minister Theresa<br />

May, as she plans to trigger Article 50,<br />

has been postponed until early<br />

February.<br />

A case brought last year argues the<br />

government cannot leave the Single<br />

Market without triggering Article<br />

127 of the European Economic Area<br />

agreement – and says it must seek<br />

approval from MPs to do so. The<br />

hearing will decide whether or not<br />

the case carries enough clout to go to<br />

a full trial.<br />

It was initially brought by chair of<br />

pressure group British Influence<br />

Peter Wilding and lobbyist Adrian<br />

Yalland.<br />

The merit hearing was due to take<br />

place this week. However, City A.M.<br />

has learned this has now been<br />

TAKING <strong>TO</strong>UCH SENSOR SOLUTIONS<br />

<strong>TO</strong> GLOBAL DESTINATIONS.<br />

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global ambitions were evident from the day they chose their name.<br />

Working with FedEx Express and its global distribution network, covering<br />

over 220 countries & territories, Visualplanet exports their products to<br />

customers around the world.<br />

FedEx connects you to a world of opportunity.<br />

Learn more at fedex.com/gb/global<br />

postponed until early February.<br />

Meanwhile, the government’s<br />

legal eagles are bracing themselves<br />

for the outcome of their Article 50<br />

appeal, which was heard by the<br />

Supreme Court justices in December,<br />

after a trio of High Court judges<br />

decided the government must get<br />

the thumbs up from MPs before it<br />

can trigger Article 50.<br />

No official date for the hand down<br />

of the judgment has been given.<br />

HUNT <strong>TO</strong> MAKE A KILLING UK business<br />

co-owned by Jeremy Hunt to fetch £35m<br />

UK HEALTH secretary<br />

Jeremy Hunt could<br />

pick up a £15m<br />

windfall as his<br />

education business<br />

Hotcourses is<br />

expected to be sold in<br />

a deal worth up to<br />

£35m. Hunt and his<br />

business partner Mike<br />

Elms set up the<br />

business in 1996. A<br />

deal with an<br />

Australasian firm with<br />

interests in the<br />

education sector was<br />

close to be signed late<br />

last night, Sky News<br />

reported. Hunt owns<br />

approximately 48 per<br />

cent of the shares.<br />

City buoyed by<br />

Barnier pledge<br />

for special deal<br />

CONTINUED FROM P1<br />

May’s speech comes as a report from<br />

think tank Policy Exchange calls on<br />

her to go public with plans for a socalled<br />

clean Brexit, including departures<br />

from the EU’s trading blocs.<br />

Asked if the City had made peace<br />

with Brexit, report author and economist<br />

Gerard Lyons, a former adviser to<br />

Boris Johnson, echoed the view that<br />

firms had come round to the realities<br />

of quitting the EU.<br />

“A lot of the City wasn’t fully prepared<br />

for the Brexit vote, or at least<br />

had not thought through a strategy if<br />

the country was to vote to leave,”<br />

Lyons said. “But as time has gone on<br />

more and more firms have started to<br />

develop their plan, and they have<br />

started to see things in a new way.”<br />

The City will likely take some comfort<br />

from leaked European parliament<br />

minutes, which cite EU chief Brexit<br />

negotiator Michel Barnier calling for<br />

Europe to maintain a “special” relationship<br />

with the London and the<br />

UK’s financial markets. The comments<br />

echo those made by the Bank<br />

of England governor last week, with<br />

Mark Carney telling the influential<br />

Treasury Select Committee a badly<br />

constructed Brexit deal with no transition<br />

period “would be greater for Europe<br />

than the UK”.<br />

Although a spokesperson for the European<br />

Commission said the minutes<br />

did not “correctly reflect what Barnier<br />

said” and the man himself has since<br />

taken to Twitter to clarify that his<br />

comments were in relation to equivalence<br />

, a source at meeting told the<br />

Guardian, which first published the<br />

news, the minutes were “more or less<br />

accurate”. Also, a report by the Financial<br />

Services Negotiation Forum notes<br />

a clampdown by the ECB could make<br />

it look like it’s trying to build “fortress<br />

Europe”<br />

“The EU should not rush to make a<br />

decision on this topic as a political<br />

backlash to Brexit,” said Anthony<br />

Belchambers, chairman of the honorary<br />

advisory council, FSNForum.<br />

French ex-PM trails in TV debate<br />

with immigration plan panned<br />

RICHARD BALMFORTH<br />

FORMER Prime Minister Manuel Valls,<br />

long tipped to win the left-wing ticket<br />

for France’s presidential election this<br />

spring, trailed his rivals after a debate<br />

last night where his immigration<br />

policies came under fire.<br />

In the televised debate, Valls faced<br />

six other contenders ahead of a<br />

Socialist primary starting on 22<br />

January to pick a candidate who can<br />

keep next May’s presidential poll<br />

from becoming a contest between the<br />

center-right’s Francois Fillon and<br />

Marine Le Pen of the far-right.<br />

The candidate chosen in the<br />

primary’s runoff on 29 January could<br />

also have a crucial impact on the<br />

chances of independent Emmanuel<br />

Macron, a popular former economy<br />

minister whose campaign is rapidly<br />

gaining momentum.<br />

An Elabe poll of 1,053 people of<br />

mixed political views said 29 per cent<br />

found former economy minister<br />

Arnaud Montebourg “more<br />

convincing” than Valls. Reuters


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />

07<br />

Burberry to check in sales boost as<br />

sterling drop attracts more buyers<br />

HELEN CAHILL<br />

@HelCahill<br />

BRITISH fashion house Burberry is<br />

widely expected to report an uplift in<br />

sales this week after the fall in the<br />

value of the pound made its products<br />

more attractive to foreign buyers.<br />

Burberry posts its third quarter<br />

trading update on Wednesday, and<br />

Barclays analysts have predicted the<br />

company will announce a like-for-like<br />

sales increase of two per cent. The<br />

brand has predicted that the<br />

devaluation of sterling could bolster<br />

its annual profits by as much as<br />

£125m.<br />

Chinese sales now make up a<br />

quarter of Burberry’s total sales, and a<br />

recent slowdown in spending in<br />

China has been hitting Burberry<br />

particularly hard.<br />

But it is thought that the luxury<br />

fashion brand will have benefited<br />

from a recent marketing campaign<br />

with Chinese pop star Kris Wu.<br />

There were so many Christmas<br />

trading updates last week — a dozen<br />

retailers published figures last<br />

Thursday — that Shore Capital<br />

analysts released a note complaining<br />

about it.<br />

This week will be less packed, but<br />

there are several retailers reporting,<br />

including Greggs, Pets at Home,<br />

Bonmarche and Halfords.<br />

Burberry is expected to benefit from the impact of last year’s EU referendum<br />

UK high streets<br />

cheery over key<br />

festive period<br />

HELEN CAHILL<br />

@HelCahill<br />

UK HIGH streets have benefited from<br />

the first December rise in footfall for<br />

five years.<br />

Footfall increased 0.8 per cent yearon-year<br />

in December, according to figures<br />

from Springboard and the British<br />

Retail Consortium (BRC), as consumers<br />

sought some festive cheer on<br />

the high street.<br />

However, footfall in retail parks and<br />

shopping centres fell by 0.7 per cent<br />

and 1.9 per cent respectively. This<br />

meant overall footfall in the UK fell<br />

0.2 per cent in December.<br />

Diane Wehrle, marketing and insights<br />

director at Springboard, said<br />

the figures showed that the “supposition<br />

of the death of the high street has<br />

been greatly exaggerated”.<br />

“The shift in consumer demand<br />

from focusing on the purchase of<br />

physical goods to encompass experi-<br />

IPO for Burundi<br />

rare earth miner<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

A BURUNDI-based miner with one of<br />

the world’s highest grade rare earth<br />

deposits is dusting itself off for a<br />

London Stock Exchange listing.<br />

Rainbow Rare Earths plans to float<br />

on the main market in the coming<br />

weeks and wants to raise $7m (£5.7m)<br />

to bring its Gakara project into<br />

production within nine months.<br />

Rainbow already has an offtake<br />

agreement with German metals and<br />

engineering giant ThyssenKrupp.<br />

ences has clearly benefited the high<br />

street. It has been able to transition<br />

quickly by providing an improved<br />

food and beverage offer. This has<br />

helped to bring in much-needed footfall,”<br />

she said.<br />

The news comes after a raft of retailers<br />

reported better-than-expected results<br />

for the Christmas period. Last<br />

week Debenhams said its shift to<br />

beauty had boosted its sales by one<br />

per cent, and Marks and Spencer reported<br />

its first increase in clothing<br />

sales for six years.<br />

However, figures from Barclaycard<br />

suggested that consumer spending in<br />

the high street was flat, despite the<br />

uplift in footfall.<br />

Helen Dickinson, chief executive of<br />

the BRC, said: “Solid festive sales did<br />

not translate into a lift in footfall<br />

above last year as online continues to<br />

grab the lion’s share of growth. E-commerce<br />

accounted for nearly a quarter<br />

of all purchases in December.”<br />

Blue Monday<br />

haunts Brits<br />

JULIAN HARRIS<br />

@hariboconomics<br />

<strong>TO</strong>DAY is 2017’s “blue Monday” – a<br />

term coined by an academic over a<br />

decade ago who sought to calculate<br />

the most depressing day of the year.<br />

By mid-January many Brits are still<br />

two weeks from payday, having been<br />

squeezed by Christmas spending and<br />

bills. Peer-to-peer lender the Money<br />

Platform says that even people<br />

earning over £50,000 per annum get<br />

caught out, with two fifths regularly<br />

busting their monthly budget.


2016 changed the world.<br />

Insight to keep you<br />

one step ahead in 2017.<br />

Visit FT.com


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />

09<br />

MAYFAIR GOLD MINE London shopping<br />

hub Burlington Arcade on sale for £400m<br />

Business activity in London gets a<br />

boost as demand for goods grows<br />

ASHLEY COATES<br />

DECEMBER saw the fastest period of<br />

growth in London’s business activity<br />

since January last year, according to a<br />

report by Lloyds Bank.<br />

London’s performance on the<br />

Lloyds Bank purchasing managers’<br />

index (PMI) was up 56.1 points in<br />

December, from 55.3 in November. A<br />

reading greater than 50 signifies<br />

growth in business activity.<br />

Despite the strong figures, London<br />

was behind most other UK regions<br />

for business activity growth in the<br />

same period, falling below the<br />

neighbouring south east region and<br />

below the UK average.<br />

Demand for goods and services<br />

within the capital outpaced other UK<br />

regions, however, representing a<br />

significant factor for the growth of<br />

business activity.<br />

Although employment slowed<br />

down from November onwards, the<br />

fourth quarter proved to be the<br />

strongest for business activity for the<br />

capital since the same period in<br />

2015.<br />

Paul Evans, regional director for<br />

London at Lloyds Bank commercial<br />

banking, said: “A substantial rise in<br />

new work is an encouraging sign of<br />

investment and confidence. The<br />

private sector will be hoping this can<br />

sustain growth across the next year.”<br />

LONDON’S iconic shopping gallery, the Burlington Arcade, has gone on sale, with<br />

industry sources saying it is likely to fetch £400m for its owners Thor Equities and<br />

Meyer Bergman. The two firms purchased it in 2010 for £104m.<br />

Imperial Brands<br />

chief exec could<br />

get bloody nose<br />

Four the record<br />

ALYS KEY<br />

IMPERIAL Brands is in danger of<br />

sparking a shareholder rebellion over<br />

plans to award its chief executive an<br />

£8.5m pay packet.<br />

The Bristol-based tobacco company<br />

proposes to increase CEO Alison<br />

Cooper’s pay packet by up to £3m<br />

more than she received last year, if she<br />

meets targets.<br />

Shareholders will have the chance to<br />

vote on the plan at the annual meeting<br />

in February.<br />

Agencies providing advice to shareholders<br />

are split over the proposal.<br />

While the Institutional Voting Information<br />

Service (IVIS) has issued an<br />

amber warning, advisory service Glass<br />

Lewis will support the plan.<br />

Institution Shareholders (ISS) is expected<br />

to release a recommendation<br />

early this week.<br />

Yesterday the Sunday Times reported<br />

that at least one of Imperial’s<br />

top 10 investors intends to vote<br />

against the pay packet.<br />

If the proposal is met with opposition,<br />

it is likely to be the first of many<br />

shareholder rebellions this year.<br />

BlackRock, one of the world’s largest<br />

fund managers, renewed its opposition<br />

to big bonuses last week by writing<br />

to the chairmen of every company<br />

in the FTSE 350.<br />

The letter says that the firm will<br />

only approve salary rises for directors<br />

if the wages of ordinary employees are<br />

increased proportionally.<br />

BlackRock provided a set of guidelines<br />

to assist companies in reforming<br />

pay policies.<br />

The guidelines reiterated a policy<br />

suggested by Amra Balic, head of<br />

BlackRock’s investment stewardship<br />

team in Europe, the Middle East and<br />

Africa (EMEA) last year.<br />

She told a hearing of MPs that the<br />

firm would consider voting against<br />

electing committee members who<br />

favour large bonuses.<br />

Stock Spirits gets hammered for<br />

its treatment of key investors<br />

ALYS KEY<br />

S<strong>TO</strong>CK Spirits, a London-listed<br />

producer of Polish vodka, has been<br />

criticised by a prominent shareholder<br />

for the board’s “disdainful” treatment<br />

of investors.<br />

Luis Amaral, who owns a 9.7 per<br />

cent stake in the company, said there<br />

had been a lack of transparency in<br />

dealings with shareholders.<br />

He cited cancellation of a planned<br />

investor day and the failure to<br />

disclose Christmas sales figures as<br />

examples of Stock’s poor conduct.<br />

Amaral condemned the lack of<br />

updates on a “root and branch”<br />

review of business in Poland.<br />

He said: “We believe that the<br />

Board must address the disdainful<br />

way that investors and shareholders<br />

in this company continue to be<br />

treated.”<br />

In 2015 the company, which has a<br />

large share of the Central European<br />

market, suffered a 22.3 per cent drop<br />

to €41.7m (£32.5m) in operating<br />

profits after losing ground in Poland.<br />

Voted Financial Services Provider<br />

of the Year for the fourth year in a row<br />

at the 2016 Shares Awards<br />

Switch today at cmcmarkets.co.uk<br />

Spread betting | CFDs | FX | Binaries<br />

Spread betting and CFD trading can result in losses<br />

that exceed your deposits. All trading involves risk.


10 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

BHS administrator slams pensions<br />

lifeboat for its control over retailer<br />

HELEN CAHILL<br />

@HelCahill<br />

THE FIRM originally appointed to<br />

handle BHS’ collapse has criticised<br />

the company’s largest unsecured<br />

creditor for trying to control the<br />

process.<br />

BHS fell into administration in<br />

2016, a year after its former owner<br />

Sir Philip Green sold it to serial<br />

bankrupt Dominic Chappell for £1.<br />

Duff & Phelps was brought in to<br />

handle the administration of BHS.<br />

But when the firm’s independence<br />

from Green was questioned, BHS’<br />

unsecured creditor, the Pension<br />

Protection Fund (PPF), appointed<br />

FRP Advisory as joint administrator.<br />

The PPF also insisted FRP Advisory<br />

become BHS’ liquidators.<br />

It has now emerged that Duff &<br />

Phelps has complained that “one<br />

creditor had control over the entire<br />

process (being the PPF)”.<br />

As BHS’ largest unsecured<br />

creditor, the PPF can out-vote the<br />

other creditors at any creditors’<br />

meeting.<br />

In a letter to Labour MP Frank<br />

Field, Duff & Phelps’ managing<br />

director Phil Duffy said that<br />

handing over to FRP Advisory was<br />

“akin to having one builder start<br />

building a house and another one<br />

finish it”.<br />

Protectionism to<br />

dominate global<br />

deals during 2017<br />

HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />

@HayleyLEK<br />

THIS year could mark a move towards<br />

more protectionist attitudes, with governments<br />

closing the door on countries<br />

they feel give their own firms a raw deal,<br />

a report out today cautions.<br />

Law firm Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer’s<br />

Global Antitrust report highlights<br />

a shift towards protectionism, as<br />

new trade deals begin to take shape following<br />

both Donald Trump’s surprise<br />

election victory and the UK’s vote to depart<br />

the EU last year, along with an increased<br />

willingness of governments to<br />

step in and fiddle with markets they<br />

deem not to be working as they should.<br />

Deirdre Trapp, a partner in the firm’s<br />

antitrust, competition and trade practice,<br />

told City A.M. governments would<br />

increasingly be looking for “reciprocity<br />

between partner countries”.<br />

“In situations where a domestic company<br />

would not have the opportunities<br />

abroad that a company in that third<br />

country wants to try and obtain here, I<br />

think they could face a more sceptical<br />

and critical review now,” Trapp added.<br />

Trump has already said he is less than<br />

impressed with AT&T’s $85bn (£69.8bn)<br />

acquisition of Time Warner, and that he<br />

would be willing to put his foot down to<br />

stop the mega deal going through.<br />

Freshfields added businesses should assess<br />

what risks they will be exposed to<br />

should there suddenly be more pushback<br />

from their global trading partners.


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />

11<br />

One last swansong for dealmaker Moulton<br />

Shruti Tripathi<br />

Chopra talks to<br />

the Better Capital<br />

boss about Brexit -<br />

and his own firm’s<br />

upcoming big exit<br />

BALD, bold and bespectacled,<br />

private equity veteran Jon<br />

Moulton has had more than<br />

his fair share of knocks as<br />

well as high points during a<br />

long career.<br />

He was branded the Christmas<br />

Scrooge in December 2014 when City<br />

Link collapsed into administration<br />

leaving nearly 2,700 jobs at risk.<br />

“We made a very bad decision to go<br />

in,” he admits frankly. “It’s a very difficult<br />

industry to operate in and we<br />

underestimated the magnitude of the<br />

task. We did our best, lost £20m and<br />

moved on.”<br />

So, what is serial dealmaker Moulton<br />

going to buy next? He won’t<br />

divulge details but it will be a<br />

“medium-sized engineer in the UK”<br />

that he will personally buy as he looks<br />

to wind up Better Capital, which he<br />

set up in 2009, next year.<br />

“We prepared to wind down Better<br />

Capital since we started it.<br />

“It did have finite life. People seem<br />

to find this concept rather strange but<br />

it was set up to eventually evaporate.<br />

The original intention was that the<br />

first fund would be dead by about<br />

2018 and it seems likely to achieve<br />

that. We are not raising another turnaround<br />

fund, there’s little available in<br />

the turnaround world anyway.”<br />

Apart from City Link, the other deal<br />

for which Moulton is most known is<br />

his failed attempt to buy MG Rover<br />

which was snapped up by the<br />

“Phoenix Four” and resulted in the<br />

company going bust in 2005.<br />

The worst deal he ever made, according<br />

to him, is actually one that<br />

reaped a lot of money while he was at<br />

Schroder Ventures from 1985 to 1994.<br />

“We funded a company called<br />

Newbridge Networks and sold out<br />

four years later for something like<br />

four times the money it was listed. If I<br />

had waited another year, it would’ve<br />

Jon Moulton says it was always the plan to wind down investment vehicle Better Capital, an end-goal planned for next year<br />

been 72 times the money. That’s the<br />

most expensive decision I’ve ever<br />

made.”<br />

Womenswear retailer Jaeger has<br />

been something of a thorn in his side.<br />

In 2012, Better Capital bought a majority<br />

stake in the brand for £19.5m.<br />

Last year Jaeger closed three stores<br />

including its Regent Street flagship. In<br />

October, it opened a two-floor, 2,000<br />

square feet store on Marylebone High<br />

Street.<br />

Moulton blames the heavy discounting<br />

witnessed on the high street for<br />

the sector’s troubles.<br />

I think defence is<br />

an area which will<br />

be quite buoyant<br />

“Everyone seems to be offering<br />

clothes at minus 70 per cent and that<br />

really is a nuisance because it destroys<br />

the image of your brand, it is hurting<br />

lots of retailers. Even Burberry is not<br />

having an easy time.”<br />

But he still believes in the brand.<br />

“We regularly get approached for<br />

Jaeger, there’s a lot of interest in the<br />

brand,” Moulton declares defiantly<br />

when quizzed on whether the iconic<br />

British brand has lost its place in the<br />

fashion world.<br />

“We don’t see it going into administration<br />

otherwise we wouldn’t be<br />

sitting here. From reducing prices of<br />

the clothes to shutting shops, we’ve<br />

considered all the options you could<br />

imagine.”<br />

In a career spanning over 30 years,<br />

Moulton has of course had his share<br />

of great deals.<br />

“I’ve done quite a few deals where £2<br />

has ended up as very large number.<br />

Last month, Better Capital agreed a<br />

£38m sale of the Walkabout bar chain<br />

to Stonegate Pub Company, the owner<br />

of restaurant giant Slug & Lettuce.<br />

“Probably more visible would be<br />

Parker Pens, the company losing something<br />

like £20m when we bought it<br />

and made £40m when we sold it.”<br />

Ask him about sectors that are set for<br />

ascendency in 2017 and he points towards<br />

the US President-elect’s tenure<br />

at the White House as a key factor. The<br />

defence industry could be a big<br />

winner.<br />

“Trump’s arrival on the world is not<br />

to be underestimated,” Moulton says<br />

gravely. “We are definitely going to see<br />

protectionism but perhaps much more<br />

concern. The fundamental safety of<br />

the world is less than it was. Cold wartype<br />

activities with China and Russia<br />

and even Mexico look entirely possible.<br />

“Trump has very strong views that<br />

Europe should be defending itself. I actually<br />

think defence is an area which<br />

will be really quite buoyant over the<br />

next couple of years as European countries<br />

have to get themselves some<br />

armies.”<br />

Moulton has an answer for every<br />

question under the sun – apart from<br />

what Brexit will look like.<br />

“I don’t have a clue. I don’t think anyone<br />

else has it either. There’s no<br />

chance we’re going to end up with anything<br />

but quite a hard-ish Brexit. What<br />

Mrs May is trying to do at the moment,<br />

I don’t know – not sure she does<br />

either.”<br />

However, he suspects London could<br />

emerge as the winner of Brexit.<br />

“One thing Europe definitely has<br />

done is generate absolutely ludicrous<br />

regulation. If London can attract the<br />

rest of the world to a more sensible system<br />

then that could actually be quite<br />

a big upside. Bear in mind, Europe<br />

doesn’t look very stable at the moment.<br />

London could remain strong<br />

with a stronger regulatory environment<br />

and suck capital and financial<br />

services.”<br />

That brings us to the awkward topic<br />

of Brexit-backing international trade<br />

secretary Liam Fox. In 2011, Fox<br />

resigned from the government following<br />

allegations surrounding the thendefence<br />

secretary’s former flatmate<br />

Adam Werritty.<br />

Moulton was dragged into the story<br />

when it emerged he had given a<br />

£35,000 donation to a charity set up by<br />

Werritty. Moulton passed on all the evidence<br />

of the communication about<br />

the donation to then cabinet secretary<br />

Gus O’Donnell, saying at the time he<br />

felt he’d been “mugged”.<br />

Moulton finds it quite “remarkable”<br />

that “no one seems to actually vet the<br />

reasons he left the cabinet as having<br />

any validity at all now”. He says he hasn’t<br />

forgiven Fox.<br />

And in Moulton’s eyes, Fox is no great<br />

trade secretary either.<br />

“I think he is just a loud voice but I’m<br />

not sure he’s been a very intellectual<br />

voice. I’m not sure how much grasp<br />

he’s got of it. His strengths were historically<br />

US relationships and he certainly<br />

hasn’t got those now.”<br />

So what’s Moulton going to do after<br />

2018?<br />

“I’m going to try and live for a start,”<br />

he says but in the same breath he lists<br />

numerous positions he holds including<br />

chairman of the Channel Islands<br />

Stock Exchange.<br />

“I’m 66 and entitled to take a bit of a<br />

slower view,” he says.


12 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

Has the bond bull<br />

run’s bubble burst?<br />

Jasper Jolly looks at the Trump<br />

effect and other influences that<br />

could shape the bond market in 2017<br />

THE ELECTION of Donald<br />

Trump as US President<br />

shocked the world and<br />

shocked the world’s markets.<br />

Yet that early reaction<br />

quickly morphed into euphoria, as<br />

stock indices in America experienced<br />

huge inflows and hit record highs.<br />

For investors left high and dry as trillions<br />

of dollars drained from safer<br />

fixed income bonds into riskier equities,<br />

the question is whether anything<br />

can stop the Trump train’s progress,<br />

or whether his election and inauguration<br />

this week marks the end of a 30-<br />

year bull run in government bonds.<br />

The flow of $1.7 trillion from bonds<br />

to equities over the course of three<br />

weeks was prompted by markets piecing<br />

together what they learned of the<br />

President elect’s policies on the campaign<br />

trail. Yields, which move inversely<br />

to prices, on the benchmark<br />

US 10-year Treasury rose from below<br />

1.8 per cent before the election to December<br />

highs of over 2.6 per cent.<br />

The massive deficit implied by tax<br />

cuts allied to a trillion-dollar increase<br />

in infrastructure spending led to consensus<br />

expectations of a de facto fiscal<br />

stimulus.<br />

This in turn is expected to raise inflationary<br />

pressure – with the inelegant<br />

moniker Trumpflation – making<br />

bonds less attractive as future income<br />

payments, the so-called coupon, are<br />

worth less in real terms as the currency<br />

depreciates.<br />

What makes the picture even<br />

bleaker for bonds across the globe is<br />

the Federal Reserve tightening of<br />

monetary policy in response to the<br />

threat of higher inflation, as it tries to<br />

reduce the flow of cheap money into<br />

the economy.<br />

“Fundamentally bonds are poor<br />

value,” says Christopher Bailey, European<br />

strategist at asset manager Raymond<br />

James – suggesting some form<br />

of further sell-off is possible. The<br />

chance of yields falling back down<br />

again is “low”, he says.<br />

However, the consensus rush out of<br />

bonds may have been overdone, with<br />

Trump’s chaotic press conference last<br />

week adding to feelings of buyer’s remorse<br />

for the “reflation” trade, which<br />

is based on the expectation of growth<br />

under the new administration.<br />

There were already some stridently<br />

anti-consensus voices out there, saying<br />

bond prices would continue to<br />

rise. HSBC’s global head of fixed income<br />

research, Steven Major, sees US<br />

10-year yields plunging to 1.35 per<br />

cent by the end of 2017 from current<br />

levels of around 2.4 per cent – but<br />

even less contrarian investors have<br />

moderated slightly in recent weeks.<br />

Since 15 December the JP Morgan<br />

Global Aggregate Bond Index has<br />

risen by more than two per cent, as investors<br />

await detail on fiscal stimulus.<br />

John Bilton, global head of multi-asset<br />

strategy at JP Morgan Asset Management,<br />

said: “The idea that we’re in the<br />

middle of a massive rotation [of<br />

money from bonds to equities] is not<br />

something that will necessarily follow<br />

through.”<br />

While the top end of his range on<br />

the US 10-year yield sees a rise to 2.75<br />

per cent in 2017, the level of potential<br />

economic growth is “just not enough<br />

to justify a massive surge in bond<br />

yields,” he says. So yields may not rise<br />

dramatically, and could even fall<br />

slightly.<br />

Joe Brusuelas, New York-based chief<br />

economist for RSM, says: “Investors<br />

should be prepared for some volatility<br />

around the reflation trade.” Trump’s<br />

team has some “very ambitious goals”<br />

on the economy, but there is at least<br />

“broad bipartisan support for modernising<br />

American infrastructure,” he<br />

says.<br />

The risks are by no means limited to<br />

the US. And Trump isn’t the only political<br />

risk around: despite the relative<br />

sizes of Europe’s individual<br />

economies, contagion can carry far.<br />

This was shown spectacularly in<br />

2016 by the Brexit vote, which drove<br />

the US 10-year yield to its record lowest<br />

level below 1.37 per cent two weeks<br />

later. Adverse results in elections this<br />

year in Europe – particularly in<br />

France – still have the potential to endanger<br />

the euro.<br />

Any big threat to the European project<br />

could send investors running for<br />

safe haven cover, even with high US inflation<br />

and interest rates.<br />

The continued Brexit rollercoaster<br />

could also lead to a white-knuckle<br />

year for UK government gilts. “We are<br />

still concerned about the gilt market<br />

going into 2017,” says Bilton.<br />

Yet for all the risks, the consensus is<br />

still firmly in favour of the Trump reflation<br />

narrative to hold and for a rise<br />

in yields over the course of 2017.<br />

“We’ve entered the end stages of the<br />

bull market but it will be some time<br />

before the bull market normalises,”<br />

says Brusuelas.<br />

It may well turn out to be the beginning<br />

of the end of the bond bull run,<br />

but expect a bumpy ride in an era of<br />

radical uncertainty – for fixed income<br />

investors and for the wider world.<br />

US 10-YEAR YIELD OVER 2016<br />

2.8<br />

2.4<br />

2.0<br />

%<br />

China slowdown /<br />

banking wobbles<br />

Brexit vote<br />

Trump's election<br />

1.6<br />

1.2<br />

Mar<br />

May<br />

Jul<br />

Sep Nov 2017


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />

13<br />

THECAPITALIST<br />

Got A Story? Email<br />

thecapitalist@cityam.com<br />

Still happy post referendum<br />

THE REFERENDUM may have made us<br />

more anxious but it has not affected<br />

Britons’ happiness.<br />

Official figures from the Office for<br />

National Statistics (ONS), which measure<br />

the country’s quality of life, show<br />

anxiety was rated at 2.9 out of 10 for<br />

the year to the end of September 2016.<br />

That compares to 2.83 for the same<br />

period a year earlier.<br />

Ratings for how worthwhile people<br />

felt their lives are remained the same<br />

at 7.84 out of 10, as did happiness at<br />

7.48. According to the ONS boffins:<br />

“While it is too early to say why anxiety<br />

ratings have increased slightly and<br />

why life satisfaction, happiness and<br />

worthwhile ratings have levelled off,<br />

we know from our previous research<br />

that factors impacting most on personal<br />

well-being include health, work<br />

situation and relationship status.”<br />

QUOTE OF THE WEEKEND<br />

The second best<br />

legal high after a<br />

marker pen<br />

Carpetright chief<br />

executive Wilf Walsh<br />

on the smell of new<br />

carpet<br />

QUEEN OF THE HIGH STREET Retail guru<br />

Mary Portas out to sort “ridiculous” rates<br />

RETAIL expert Marty Portas is fighting the planned rise in business rates from April.<br />

“With occupational costs tripling from April in some cases, independents will be forced<br />

to shut down and their premises will lie vacant ,” the Portas Agency boss warned.


14 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

Soma Oil & Gas investigation cost<br />

the fraud squad nearly £60,000<br />

HAYLEY KIR<strong>TO</strong>N<br />

@HayleyLEK<br />

THE FRAUD squad’s investigation into<br />

Soma Oil & Gas set it back almost<br />

£60,000, City A.M. has learned.<br />

Responding to a freedom of<br />

information request, the Serious<br />

Fraud Office (SFO) revealed it spent<br />

£59,912 on its investigation, which<br />

opened in July 2015, following<br />

allegations of corruption.<br />

The figure does not include<br />

permanent staffing costs, as the SFO<br />

does not divide these amounts on a<br />

case-by-case basis for most probes.<br />

“The SFO has concluded, based on<br />

the information and material we<br />

have obtained, that there is<br />

insufficient evidence to provide a<br />

realistic prospect of conviction,” the<br />

SFO said when it announced the end<br />

of the probe, although it added there<br />

had been “reasonable grounds” to<br />

suspect wrongdoing.<br />

Soma, a UK company chaired by<br />

former Tory party leader Lord<br />

Howard, said, when the case was<br />

closed, it welcomed the end of the<br />

probe and “looks forward to<br />

executing its plan to further explore<br />

what is believed to be very<br />

considerable hydrocarbon potential<br />

offshore Somalia in 2017 and<br />

beyond”.<br />

Knight Frank has said it is a “tenants’ market” in the Home Counties’ rental scene<br />

Rents dip in the<br />

Home Counties<br />

as stock grows<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

PRIME rents in the Home Counties fell<br />

0.8 per cent last year as a higher<br />

amount of housing available at the top<br />

end of the market drove down prices,<br />

according to the latest Knight Frank<br />

rental index.<br />

The increase in stock levels in higher<br />

price brackets has been fuelled by<br />

greater uncertainty in the sales market<br />

following a series of tax changes, including<br />

a hike on stamp duty.<br />

“The latest figures show that the<br />

rental market in the Home Counties is<br />

equally affected by the global markets<br />

as prime central London, which is reflected<br />

in the marginal decline in<br />

rents,” said Jemma Scott, partner at<br />

Knight Frank.<br />

“However, the surge in activity in the<br />

last quarter of 2016 and the significant<br />

increase in new tenant registrations<br />

suggest that the gap between available<br />

stock and tenant demand is closing, so<br />

our outlook for 2017 is very positive.”<br />

In the final quarter of the year, prime<br />

rents fell at twice the annual rate, at<br />

1.6 per cent. Knight Frank was instructed<br />

to let 39 per cent more properties<br />

in the same quarter and the<br />

number of market appraisals also rose<br />

45 per cent.<br />

Viewings rose 17 per cent compared<br />

with the final quarter of 2015, while<br />

the number of new prospective tenants<br />

increased by 28 per cent.<br />

Much of the new demand was concentrated<br />

in the sub-£4,000 per month<br />

rental bracket. This section of the market<br />

was also boosted by an increase in<br />

corporate enquires from company executives<br />

moving to the Home Counties<br />

for work over the quarter.<br />

“Already in the first week of trading<br />

for 2017, the sub-£4,000 per month<br />

market remains busy and we have seen<br />

an encouraging number of international<br />

corporate enquiries as families<br />

and businesses plan for relocation to<br />

the UK,” Scott added.<br />

Cross-party MPs set to question<br />

support level for working fathers<br />

MARK SANDS<br />

@MkSands<br />

A PARLIAMENTARY watchdog is to<br />

launch an inquiry into support<br />

available for working fathers.<br />

The Women and Equalities select<br />

committee is calling for evidence<br />

over concerns workplaces are not<br />

providing support to dads.<br />

It comes after the committee<br />

found that take-up for shared<br />

parental leave, introduced in 2015,<br />

is predicted to reach a maximum of<br />

eight per cent.<br />

Committee chair and Conservative<br />

MP Maria Miller said: “Clearly more<br />

needs to be done.<br />

“We are keen to hear views from<br />

individuals as well as organisations<br />

about the changes which they would<br />

like to see.”<br />

Among other matters, the<br />

committee is calling for evidence on<br />

whether employment-related<br />

barriers are preventing fathers from<br />

more equally sharing caring roles, as<br />

well as any examples of best practice.


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />

15<br />

Top City financier gets his Hands on<br />

£3.5m worth of dividend payouts<br />

ASHLEY COATES<br />

TERRA Firma Capital Partners saw<br />

pre-tax profits in the year to March<br />

2016 fall to £2.4m while revenue<br />

dropped to its lowest since 2012.<br />

The private equity firm, which had<br />

previously ended its dividend<br />

payouts, provided £3.5m in<br />

dividends to Guy Hands, who acts as<br />

the fund’s chairman.<br />

Last year, Hands dropped a lawsuit<br />

that alleged Citigroup misled him<br />

into buying music label EMI in 2007.<br />

Terra Firma’s portfolio includes<br />

one of the UK’s biggest care home<br />

groups, Four Seasons. which looks<br />

after 20,000 residents in 450 homes.<br />

Four Seasons is currently dealing<br />

with a multi-million-pound debt pile<br />

and is negotiating with lenders to<br />

secure its future operations.<br />

The firm’s investments are split<br />

across holdings in a variety of areas,<br />

including renewables and garden<br />

centres. Last year saw the firm sell<br />

Odeon Cinemas to AMC, owned by<br />

China’s wealthiest man Wang<br />

Jianlin. The deal saw Odeon sold for<br />

£921m, making AMC the world’s<br />

largest cinema operator.<br />

Headquartered in London, the<br />

firm has €11bn (£9.7bn) in assets<br />

under management.<br />

The fund also donates 10 per cent<br />

of its profits to charity.<br />

Last year, Hands dropped a lawsuit alleging Citigroup misled him into buying EMI<br />

SCHRODERS TALK<br />

Will ‘value investors’ win in 2017?<br />

An ad,<br />

or something to do on your travels?<br />

We made our choice.<br />

A comeback for ‘value<br />

investing’ may have only<br />

just begun, says David Brett,<br />

Investment Writer<br />

Value investing, the discipline made<br />

famous by the legendary investor<br />

Benjamin Graham in the 1930s<br />

and 1940s, fell out of favour after the<br />

global financial crisis.<br />

Investors have instead preferred to<br />

pay a premium for more dependable<br />

stocks rather than back those unloved<br />

by the market. That trend may be<br />

turning around.<br />

WHAT IS VALUE INVESTING?<br />

Value investing is the art of buying<br />

stocks which trade at a significant<br />

discount to their true value, stocks that<br />

are overlooked without good reason.<br />

Benjamin Graham’s 1949 book, The<br />

Intelligent Investor, is regarded as the<br />

value investor’s bible.<br />

HOW <strong>TO</strong> IDENTIFY GENUINE<br />

VALUE S<strong>TO</strong>CKS<br />

It is not easy, otherwise everyone would<br />

do it. However, a value investment<br />

might display some of these<br />

characteristics: a heavy share price fall<br />

following a negative event, a low<br />

valuation on common measures, such<br />

as price-to-earnings ratio; poor share<br />

price performance compared with<br />

industry peers; or a high dividend yield.<br />

Rigorous analysis is required to<br />

identify true value stocks. Investors<br />

must also beware of value traps – a<br />

value stock but where there is no trigger<br />

for revaluation.<br />

WHAT IS A GROWTH<br />

INVESTMENT?<br />

Growth investing is considered<br />

distinctly different from value. Growth<br />

stocks tend to grow profits faster than<br />

average, with investors happy to pay a<br />

premium. They have been in demand in<br />

recent years amid economic<br />

uncertainty and low rates.<br />

WHAT HAS PERFORMED<br />

BETTER VALUE OR GROWTH?<br />

The chart below shows how value<br />

outperformed growth for most of the<br />

Eighties, Nineties and Noughties. It also<br />

shows the struggle since 2010, with the<br />

longest period of underperformance<br />

since MSCI records began in 1974.<br />

Low interest rates have forced<br />

investors into stocks perceived as the<br />

most stable and with predictable profits<br />

that can maintain dividend payments.<br />

TEN-YEAR ANNUALISED RELATIVE RETURN<br />

6%<br />

MSCI World Value vs MSCI World Growth<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

0%<br />

-1%<br />

-2%<br />

-3%<br />

-4%<br />

84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16<br />

Source: Schroders. Thomson Reuters Datastream as at 31 December 2016.<br />

SHOULD I INVEST IN VALUE<br />

OR GROWTH SHARES NOW?<br />

History may point to a significant<br />

opportunity in value today. The chart<br />

shows the difference in performance<br />

between value stocks and growth<br />

stocks.<br />

Andrew Williams, a value investment<br />

specialist at Schroders, said: “Look on<br />

the far right hand side of the chart and<br />

there is a small uptick. That is value’s<br />

‘recovery’. While past performance is no<br />

indication of future results, we believe it<br />

will take more than a few months to<br />

unwind the value style’s so-called ‘lost<br />

decade’. Value’s recent recovery is<br />

nascent in the context of history.”<br />

£ Please remember, past performance<br />

is not a guide to future performance and<br />

may not be repeated. The value of<br />

investments and the income from them<br />

may go down as well as up and you<br />

may not get back the amounts<br />

originally invested.<br />

Guess these popular New Year’s resolutions<br />

Better Journeys<br />

Find out all the ways we’re improving your journey at:<br />

southwesttrains.co.uk/BetterJourneys


16 <strong>NEW</strong>S MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

HS1 owners mull<br />

sale and bring in<br />

Bank of America<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

THE TWO Canadian pension giants<br />

that own the high-speed railway connecting<br />

London to the Channel Tunnel<br />

have appointed a US investment<br />

bank to explore a sale of the line.<br />

The Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan<br />

and Borealis have brought in Bank of<br />

America Merrill Lynch to handle a<br />

£3.6bn potential sale of the 109km<br />

HS1 line that runs from the capital to<br />

Folkestone in Kent, the Sunday Times<br />

reported.<br />

In December, the funds confirmed<br />

they were exploring strategic options<br />

after receiving “a number of investment<br />

enquiries” about a sale of the<br />

only high-speed line currently operating<br />

in the UK.<br />

Borealis and the Ontario Teachers’<br />

Pension Plan snapped up a 30-year<br />

concession for HS1 in 2010 from thentransport<br />

secretary Philip Hammond<br />

for £2.1bn to operate and manage the<br />

HS1 network. The railway line opened<br />

in 2007.<br />

Together, the pension funds manage<br />

the retirement savings of thousands<br />

of Ontario-based police, teachers, firefighters<br />

and council workers.<br />

Both Eurostar and high-speed Southern<br />

services operate on the line,<br />

which includes four international stations<br />

along its route: St Pancras, Stratford,<br />

Ebbsfleet and Ashford.<br />

HS1 has paid out robust dividends in<br />

the last couple of years, forking out<br />

£55m in 2015 and £200m in 2014,<br />

when it swung into a loss of £113.2m.<br />

Borealis and the Ontario Teachers’<br />

Pension Plan also own stakes in London<br />

City airport, as part of the consortium<br />

that bid in the £2bn takeover in<br />

February.<br />

The UK’s second high-speed rail line,<br />

HS2, is planned to link London with<br />

cities including Birmingham,<br />

Sheffield and Manchester. The first<br />

phase of the £56bn railway is due to<br />

open in December 2026.<br />

HS1, the 109km high speed rail link, connects London to Folkestone in Kent<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

Oil giant set to<br />

shift focus to<br />

subsea services<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

AIM-LISTED petroleum exploration<br />

firm Global Energy Development is<br />

today expected to announce a<br />

turnaround strategy that will<br />

refocus the group on the subsea<br />

oilfield services sector.<br />

The Colombia-focused energy<br />

group will also announce a multimillion-dollar<br />

conditional<br />

agreement to purchase more than<br />

10 offshore subsea service vessels<br />

and other related equipment, City<br />

A.M. understands.<br />

The vessels are currently based in<br />

the Gulf of Mexico, though they are<br />

expected to remain there<br />

indefinitely as the group is targeting<br />

international subsea work.<br />

To bolster the turnaround<br />

strategy, Global Energy<br />

Development will also appoint a<br />

director of operations who has<br />

considerable experience in the<br />

subsea services field.<br />

Global Energy Development listed<br />

on London’s junior market in 2002.<br />

Implementing the new master plan<br />

will be subject to approval from<br />

shareholders at a general meeting,<br />

expected to be held next month,<br />

with the deal completing soon after.<br />

Chinese investors snap up stake in<br />

disruptive aerospace startup Gilo<br />

Venezuela’s hard<br />

currency income falls<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

CHINESE investors have scooped up a<br />

significant minority stake in British<br />

aerospace firm Gilo Industries Group.<br />

The science arm of conglomerate<br />

Kuang-Chi, which is headquartered<br />

in the city of Shenzhen, has bought a<br />

stake in Dorset-based Gilo, Sky News<br />

reported.<br />

The deal is expected to be<br />

announced in Asia today. The size<br />

and value of the investment has not<br />

yet been disclosed.<br />

The commitment to invest in the<br />

UK was a vote of confidence in the<br />

post-Brexit vote economy, a source<br />

told Sky News. The tie-up is thought<br />

to be the first in a series of<br />

investments across UK tech<br />

industries that could include<br />

telecoms and robotics.<br />

Gilo Industries Group was founded<br />

in 2012 by entrepreneur Gilo<br />

Cardozo.<br />

It has been dubbed “the<br />

Disneyland of engineering” for its<br />

wide range of commercial and<br />

recreational aviation products.<br />

The group manufactures jetbackpacks<br />

and rotary engines for<br />

unmanned aeronautical vehicles.<br />

DIEGO ORE AND ALEXANDRA ULMER<br />

VENEZUELA’S hard currency income<br />

fell 60 per cent in 2016 compared with<br />

the previous year, President Nicolas<br />

Maduro said last night, blaming low<br />

oil prices.<br />

The country with the world’s largest<br />

crude reserves receives over 90 percent<br />

of its foreign income from oil,<br />

whose price has fallen since mid-2014,<br />

worsening a recession in the Opec<br />

country.<br />

Venezuelans are struggling amid<br />

shortages of basic food products, spiraling<br />

inflation and a depreciating<br />

currency that has dragged down<br />

monthly minimum wages to below<br />

$10, and violent crime.<br />

Venezuela received $5.29bn (£4.4bn)<br />

in hard currency last year, a far cry<br />

from the $13.32bn in 2015. Reuters


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

<strong>NEW</strong>S<br />

17<br />

Inflation uptick<br />

shows pound dip<br />

impacted prices<br />

ASHLEY COATES<br />

DATA released by the Office for<br />

National Statistics this week is likely<br />

to show an uptick in consumer price<br />

inflation, a sign that the fall in the<br />

value of the pound is having an<br />

impact on prices.<br />

An inflation rate of 1.5 per cent in<br />

the consumer prices index for<br />

December would be a marginal<br />

increase on 1.4 per cent for November,<br />

and 0.9 per cent for October.<br />

This would bring the average rate of<br />

inflation to 0.7 per cent for 2016, after<br />

a flat 2015, and the highest rate<br />

seen since August 2014.<br />

Economists are expecting inflation<br />

to reach the Bank of England’s target<br />

of two per cent soon, and continue to<br />

reach 2.5 per cent by June.<br />

Higher fuel prices are also believed<br />

to have been a reason behind for the<br />

rise, with global oil prices now at an<br />

18-month high.<br />

The RAC recently reported that<br />

prices for petrol and diesel had gone<br />

up by 3p/litre in December to reach<br />

their highest since July 2015.<br />

The British Retail Consortium<br />

pointed out in its December survey<br />

that “the majority of the categories we<br />

monitor, particularly non-food, saw<br />

month-on-month increases in prices,<br />

with clothing and footwear seeing<br />

month-on-month inflation for the<br />

first time in nearly two years”.<br />

Despite having a good fourth quarter,<br />

retail sales are expected to have<br />

softened in December, following<br />

strong performance in the proceeding<br />

two months.<br />

Alan Clarke, an economist at Scotiabank,<br />

had warned that “with headline<br />

average earnings growth down to just<br />

two per cent, real earnings growth<br />

will turn negative”.<br />

“In turn, this is likely to be the main<br />

reason to expect economic growth to<br />

slow, as non-existent real earnings<br />

growth holds back household consumption,”<br />

Clarke added.<br />

The Goring Hotel opened in 1910 and is still run by members of the Goring family<br />

Family-run Goring Hotel back in<br />

the black after record turnover<br />

ALYS KEY<br />

THE GORING Hotel in Belgravia<br />

reported its highest ever turnover in<br />

2016, coming in at more than £14m<br />

with a profit before tax of £2m.<br />

The return to profit will come as a<br />

relief to the hotel. The establishment<br />

reported an operating loss of more<br />

than £590,000 in 2015.<br />

The Goring, which is more than a<br />

century old, is the last hotel in<br />

London that is still run by the same<br />

family who built it.<br />

It has hosted a range of prominent<br />

guests including the Queen Mother<br />

and Lady Randolph Churchill. The<br />

Duchess of Cambridge and her family<br />

were based at the hotel for her<br />

wedding to Prince William.<br />

Firms to fork<br />

out more on<br />

rates than rent<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

A THIRD of London businesses have<br />

said they will be paying more<br />

towards new business rates than<br />

rent next year, according to the<br />

London Chamber of Commerce and<br />

Industry (LCCI).<br />

More than 40 per cent of London<br />

firms were concerned about the<br />

new rate valuation, which will<br />

come into effect on 1 April,<br />

according to an LCCI survey of<br />

more than 500 businesses.<br />

It has been estimated that<br />

London boroughs will be paying<br />

£9.53bn in extra tax over the next<br />

five years due to the changes,<br />

which were re-evaluated in October<br />

for the first time in seven years.<br />

“We said after the announcement<br />

that the revaluation of apparent 40<br />

per cent plus hikes were a huge<br />

blow to London, with our primary<br />

concern being that businesses may<br />

decide to hold back on training,<br />

recruiting or investing in other<br />

areas,” said Colin Stanbridge, chief<br />

executive of LCCI. “These concerns<br />

are borne out in this survey, with<br />

only 18 per cent of businesses<br />

saying that the revaluation is fair.”<br />

Bad commercial property lending<br />

nosedives as banks tighten criteria<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

THE NUMBER of commercial property<br />

loans being written off has<br />

plummeted 63 per cent, falling to its<br />

lowest level since the credit crunch,<br />

according to Bank of England data.<br />

There were £846m worth of writeoffs<br />

in the sector, down from<br />

£2.27bn the previous year, between<br />

October 2015 and the end of the<br />

third quarter of 2016.<br />

Many banks have tightened their<br />

lending criteria to commercial<br />

property developers, according to<br />

peer-to-peer (P2P) property funding<br />

platform Saving Stream.<br />

As banks become more risk averse,<br />

alternative lenders and P2P<br />

platforms could be well-placed to<br />

benefit from the market.<br />

“The risk is that many sensible<br />

property investments and<br />

developments are not able to get<br />

funding from traditional sources,”<br />

said Liam Brooke, co-founder of<br />

Saving Stream. “A good crop of what<br />

are still high quality investment<br />

opportunities need funding, and P2P<br />

investors are taking on that risk that<br />

Basel III has dissuaded banks from<br />

getting involved with.”<br />

City frozen yoghurt chain lays<br />

out tasty plan for global roll-out<br />

FRANCESCA WASHTELL<br />

@fwashtell<br />

CITY-BASED frozen yoghurt startup<br />

Sloane Brothers will roll out to new<br />

stores across the UK early this year<br />

and is gearing up to go global in 2018.<br />

The group, which started with a<br />

store on Brick Lane in June 2015, will<br />

open “a number of new locations”<br />

this year and is preparing to respond<br />

to requests from overseas groups that<br />

have asked about franchising.<br />

Last year, the British-sourced froyo<br />

firm crowdsourced ideas for its first<br />

location outside of London and, after<br />

requests to open a store in Nottingham,<br />

launched its second site there in<br />

September.<br />

Sloane Bros is now crowdfunding for<br />

£150,000, which will be put towards<br />

securing the new UK locations,<br />

launching a B2B packaged products<br />

business and setting up financing infrastructure.<br />

Sales are expected to reach over<br />

£350,00 by December, Sloane Bros has<br />

said.


18 MARKETS MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

CITYDASHBOARD<br />

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LONDON REPORT BEST OF THE BROKERS <strong>NEW</strong> YORK<br />

To appear in Best of the Brokers, email your research to notes@cityam.com REPORT<br />

FTSE 100 set for<br />

busy week as May<br />

makes key speech<br />

PRIME Minister Theresa May’s<br />

speech tomorrow outlining<br />

her gameplan for Britain’s<br />

exit from the European<br />

Union is expected to have an<br />

impact on both sterling and the FTSE<br />

100 this week.<br />

Today will be dominated by<br />

trading updates from brick<br />

manufacturers Ibstock, investment<br />

manager Ashmore Group and<br />

fashion giant H&M.<br />

Tomorrow will be a busy day for<br />

the market with trading updates<br />

from Greggs, Rio Tinto, Cairn<br />

Energy and Quantum<br />

Pharmaceutical among others.<br />

Trading updates from Game<br />

Digital, Burberry Group, Premier<br />

Foods, JD Wetherspoon and<br />

Ladbrokes will be highlights for<br />

Wednesday.<br />

Thursday will be a big day for<br />

many FTSE firms including<br />

Chemring Group which reveals its<br />

full-year earnings while Royal Mail<br />

Pets at Home, British Land,<br />

Moneysupermarket.com, Halfords,<br />

Alliance Pharma, Pearson, Evraz<br />

and Acacia Mining will publish their<br />

trading updates.<br />

FTSE<br />

7,340<br />

7,300<br />

7,260<br />

7,220<br />

7,337.81<br />

13 Jan<br />

9 Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan<br />

CITY MOVES WHO’S SWITCHING JOBS<br />

LADBROKES CORAL GROUP<br />

123<br />

122<br />

121<br />

120<br />

119<br />

118<br />

P<br />

9 Jan<br />

10 Jan 11 Jan<br />

121<br />

13 Jan<br />

12 Jan 13 Jan<br />

The UK didn’t seem to fancy a flutter over the holiday season, and analysts at Peel<br />

Hunt are predicting that will show up when Ladbrokes Coral releases its trading<br />

statement on Wednesday. However, Peel Hunt would have a wager, reiterating its<br />

“buy” recommendation and 200p target price, while noting that Cheltenham would<br />

be the make or break moment for the newly merged company.<br />

DUNELM GROUP<br />

820<br />

800<br />

780<br />

760<br />

740<br />

720<br />

700<br />

P<br />

13Jan<br />

698<br />

9 Jan<br />

10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan<br />

Dunelm’s trading statement last week left analysts at Canaccord Genuity feeling<br />

mixed. Although they revised their 2017 forecast profit for the retailer down by 12 per<br />

cent, they feel the risks are short-term and the firm still has plenty of chance to take<br />

up more residence in the homewares market. Canaccord has maintained its “buy”<br />

recommendation but lowered its target price from 875p to 820p.<br />

Banks await<br />

Trump arrival<br />

US BANK stocks will stay in favour<br />

with traders as long as earnings<br />

reports this week show an<br />

improving profit outlook while<br />

investors wait to see if US Presidentelect<br />

Donald Trump lives up to his<br />

campaign promises.<br />

Among banks reporting this week<br />

Morgan Stanley is expected to post<br />

results tomorrow followed by<br />

Citibank on Wednesday. BB&T Corp,<br />

KeyCorp and Bank of New York<br />

Mellon all report on Thursday.<br />

Results and guidance from the big<br />

banks scheduled to report this week<br />

ahead could boost the sector,<br />

according to John Praveen, chief<br />

investment strategist at Prudential<br />

International Investments Advisers.<br />

“Results are likely to be good and the<br />

outlook is going to be positive so<br />

there's room for further gains,”<br />

Praveen told Reuters.<br />

The S&P banks index has traded<br />

recently at 13.6 times earnings<br />

estimates for the next 12 months<br />

compared with its five-year average<br />

multiple of about 11 but in line with<br />

the 10-year average of 13.1.<br />

MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL<br />

GROUP<br />

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group<br />

has appointed Nauman Ansari<br />

as an executive director of the<br />

bank’s healthcare finance<br />

business in EMEA. Nauman,<br />

who joins from Morgan<br />

Stanley, brings a wealth of<br />

healthcare and leveraged and<br />

acquisition finance experience<br />

to MUFG. He played a<br />

significant role in a number of transformative<br />

transactions for Shire on the acquisitions of Baxalta,<br />

Dyax Corporation, and Viropharma. Nauman’s<br />

appointment forms a key part of MUFG’s ongoing<br />

strategy to bolster the healthcare finance business as<br />

opportunities in the market grow, with another new<br />

team member due to join over the next few months.<br />

Reporting to Ian Wootton, managing director of the<br />

healthcare division, Nauman’s role will focus on<br />

consolidating and strengthening MUFG’s current<br />

healthcare clients, and building new relationships to<br />

expand the bank’s global network. Prior to his time at<br />

Morgan Stanley, Nauman held senior roles at Bank of<br />

America Merrill Lynch and Lehman Brothers in the UK<br />

and the US. Nauman will be based in London.<br />

BREWIN DOLPHIN<br />

Brewin Dolphin, one of the UK’s largest private client<br />

wealth managers, has appointed Godfrey Cromwell as<br />

a divisional director in the London office. He will be<br />

responsible for developing and maintaining client<br />

relationships, advising on strategic initiatives and<br />

supporting the development of our emerging talent.<br />

Godfrey joins from Barclays Wealth where he was a<br />

private banker for eight years. With a background in<br />

developing UK and international businesses, he will<br />

maintain his role as the chief executive of the British<br />

East-West Centre. He will also maintain his role as a<br />

cross-bench (independent) peer in the House of Lords.<br />

Godfrey’s appointment follows Laura Robin’s<br />

appointment as divisional director in September last<br />

year and Patrick Lance as divisional director in<br />

August – both from JP Morgan.<br />

BNY MELLON<br />

BNY Mellon has appointed Jeff McCarthy as chief<br />

executive officer, exchange traded funds and will<br />

report to Frank LaSalla, chief executive officer of BNY<br />

Mellon’s global structured products and alternative<br />

investment services business. In his new role, Jeff will<br />

lead and execute the long-term strategy to drive<br />

growth in BNY Mellon’s ETF business. He joins from<br />

Nasdaq, where he was vice president and head of<br />

exchange traded product listings and trading. Prior to<br />

this, he was head of global ETF products and co-head<br />

of ETF trading and investor services in Asia Pacific for<br />

Citigroup. Earlier in his career, he was global ETF<br />

product head for Brown Brothers Harriman & Co,<br />

where he created the firm’s global ETF service model.<br />

To appear in CITYMOVES please email your career updates and pictures to citymoves@cityam.com<br />

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20 OPINION MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

FORUM<br />

EDITED BY HARRIET GREEN<br />

Germany is not the answer to<br />

any serious strategic question<br />

GIVEN the nervous<br />

breakdown of America,<br />

epitomised by the election<br />

of know-nothing Donald<br />

Trump as President, it is<br />

altogether understandable and<br />

human that elites are desperately<br />

casting about for a new champion of<br />

western stability. There are precious<br />

few other candidates for the job so,<br />

largely by the process of elimination,<br />

analysts (particularly on the left)<br />

have hit upon Chancellor Angela<br />

Merkel’s Germany as the last, best<br />

hope for the western order.<br />

This would be a laughable thesis if<br />

people were not taking it seriously.<br />

For, in truth, Germany cannot save<br />

either the wider world or Europe. In<br />

fact, it is an open question as to<br />

whether Germany can even save<br />

itself.<br />

In her endless intellectual confusion<br />

over the basic fact that caution<br />

is not the same thing as wisdom, it is<br />

all too easy to point the finger of<br />

blame at Merkel for this. Yet<br />

Germany’s problems, and the weaknesses<br />

that spring from them, are far<br />

more systemic and deep-rooted. A<br />

simple look at the unholy trinity of<br />

crises facing Berlin – the endless<br />

euro crisis, the war in Ukraine, and<br />

the refugee crisis – makes it clear<br />

that Germany is more supplicant<br />

than driving force on the world<br />

stage.<br />

More than the others, it is the euro<br />

crisis that provides the analytical key<br />

to understanding overall German<br />

weakness. The basic problem is psychological<br />

and moral. In Europe,<br />

what is truly going on is the end of<br />

economic life as it has been known.<br />

Europeans simply can no longer<br />

THE CITY of London<br />

Corporation hosted its<br />

annual London Government<br />

Dinner last week. Central to<br />

the event was the topic of<br />

Brexit, in which the London mayor<br />

Sadiq Khan was vocal on how<br />

devolution would play a critical role in<br />

supporting Britain’s capital after<br />

Brexit. The lord mayor’s speech<br />

covered a different but equally<br />

important issue; his focus was to shine<br />

a light on the importance of<br />

apprenticeships in London. Although<br />

the two may at first seem to have little<br />

common ground, there is more<br />

similarity than one might think. Both<br />

are a priority for government and both<br />

have the potential to shape Britain’s<br />

future.<br />

Apprenticeships are a great way to<br />

provide young people with the skills<br />

that employers are looking for, but<br />

there is a more significant purpose<br />

behind them. Currently, there is a disconnect<br />

between the skills needed to<br />

afford the serene, cosseted, not<br />

overly strenuous and very attractive<br />

way of life they have grown used to;<br />

government in European countries<br />

has simply grown unaffordable.<br />

Having bought into the cult of endless<br />

leisure time as an inalienable<br />

right, it is devilishly hard to row back<br />

from this primary sign of decadence.<br />

But almost no-one wants to hear this,<br />

much less do anything about it. To<br />

do so would require a very painful,<br />

immediate retrenchment for millions.<br />

That is human and understandable,<br />

but it is also fatal. For it<br />

means that at present democratic<br />

politics in Europe is being conducted<br />

based on lies.<br />

And lying – beyond the immorality<br />

of it – is a very poor basis for making<br />

sustainable policy, at least in any<br />

open society. With its wilfully ignorant<br />

populace, Germany is the primary<br />

example of how stubborn<br />

self-delusion fuels member states’<br />

approach to Europe.<br />

In essence, to survive, the Eurozone<br />

will either move towards a true federation,<br />

becoming a debt union complete<br />

with fiscal transfers (all done<br />

on largely German terms) or the euro<br />

will cease to exist. As such, Berlin will<br />

be the primary paymaster for such a<br />

new political constellation. As none<br />

of this appeals to much of anyone in<br />

Germany, best not to talk about it.<br />

And so Chancellor Merkel does not.<br />

It is at this point that even the<br />

sleepiest German citizen will wake<br />

up, howling. It is also here that not<br />

levelling with one’s own people<br />

becomes as poor a strategy as it is<br />

immoral. By not making clear what<br />

is really going on, Merkel has been<br />

able to put off an awful lot of<br />

fill important roles in financial<br />

services and the number of people<br />

wanting to work in the sector who<br />

have the necessary skills.<br />

It is important that social backgrounds<br />

should not determine career<br />

success, and it is in everyone’s interest<br />

to level the playing field for the future<br />

workforce. Meritocracy, as opposed to<br />

aristocracy, is key. Offering paid internships,<br />

for example, means a company<br />

can attract young talent from all walks<br />

of life, not just those who can afford to<br />

work for free.<br />

Firms across the Square Mile are<br />

doing their utmost to appeal to young<br />

and promising talent. For example, the<br />

City Business Traineeship, run by brokerage<br />

Citylink, has so far supported<br />

1,400 state school students from some<br />

of London’s most deprived areas into<br />

prestigious paid internships in the City<br />

and Canary Wharf. Last week,<br />

Deutsche Bank – Germany’s largest<br />

bank, which has a big presence in<br />

London and Birmingham –<br />

John<br />

Hulsman<br />

By not making clear<br />

what is really going<br />

on, Merkel has been<br />

able to put off a lot of<br />

unpleasantness<br />

unpleasantness. But to imagine for a<br />

moment that the German people<br />

won’t feel fundamentally lied to once<br />

the cheque for this Kafkaesque party<br />

comes due, is not to be<br />

Machiavellian. Rather, it is to be<br />

hopelessly naïve.<br />

Whatever Germany ultimately<br />

decides to do, there will have to be<br />

sacrifices. And any policy requiring<br />

those sacrifices that is not buttressed<br />

by public support stands no chance<br />

of success. Lying as a way to avoid the<br />

democratic deficit over the European<br />

crisis is not clever.<br />

Meanwhile, Germany, like doomed<br />

passengers on the Titanic, has spotted<br />

the economic iceberg dead<br />

ahead, but has made precious little<br />

effort to right the state’s course. The<br />

demographic problem is especially<br />

stark. The old age dependency ratio –<br />

which evaluates the number of pensioners<br />

in a society versus the working<br />

age population – simply cannot<br />

be wished away. The German ratio<br />

was 34 per cent in 2013, rising to an<br />

economically crippling 52 per cent<br />

by 2030. Over this period of time, the<br />

number of pensioners in Germany<br />

will skyrocket by 5m, even as the<br />

number of workers declines by 6m.<br />

Who is going to pay for those endless<br />

vacations and for the overly generous<br />

social safety net?<br />

The inconvenient truth about<br />

Germany is that it is strategically<br />

pacifist (with laughable defence<br />

capabilities for a serious power),<br />

politically ostrich-like in its stubborn<br />

refusal to even attempt to master<br />

Europe’s many policy crises, and –<br />

worst of all – economically very<br />

much living on borrowed time.<br />

For all these reasons, Germany is<br />

simply not the answer to any serious<br />

strategic question there is.<br />

£ Dr John C Hulsman is senior<br />

columnist at City AM, a life member of<br />

the Council on Foreign Relations, and<br />

president of John C. Hulsman<br />

Enterprises. He can be reached for<br />

corporate speaking and private<br />

briefings at chartwellspeakers.com<br />

Brexit and beginners: Why the City must<br />

step up and support the next generation<br />

Mark<br />

Boleat<br />

announced it would use social media<br />

channels to entice those who might<br />

not have traditionally applied for a<br />

bank job, but that would be well-suited<br />

to the role. Such measures are a must<br />

for financial and professional services<br />

firms: with the exponential rise of digital<br />

and tech, talented youngsters now<br />

have an abundance of job opportunities<br />

in other lines of work.<br />

The City of London Corporation also<br />

recently launched a report on youth<br />

unemployment – a subject which<br />

remains a real challenge in London.<br />

The City’s Business is a guide which<br />

highlights the vital role that City institutions<br />

play in reducing youth unemployment<br />

in London.<br />

While many schools and businesses<br />

are indeed addressing these challenges,<br />

more work must be done to<br />

raise awareness of skilled jobs and<br />

how young people can secure them.<br />

Pupils also need more frequent exposure<br />

to the workplace so they understand<br />

the practical and “real life”<br />

application of their studies. For business<br />

engagement to be meaningful, it<br />

needs to start early, so young people<br />

are aware of future opportunities and<br />

the skills they will need to succeed.<br />

This means not just focusing on academic<br />

achievement, but working with<br />

schools and colleges through mentoring,<br />

careers fairs or workplace taster<br />

sessions to help young people develop<br />

the relevant skills that will give them a<br />

head start.<br />

£ Mark Boleat is chairman of the policy<br />

and resources committee of the City of<br />

London.<br />

DEBATE<br />

Q: As the great<br />

and the good<br />

descend on<br />

Davos, are we<br />

seeing the death<br />

or the dawn of the<br />

global elite?<br />

Alex<br />

Deane<br />

DEATH<br />

It is all too easy to bash the so-called<br />

“global elite” and mock their gatherings.<br />

Those seeking to do good at Davos are at<br />

least trying; if there are real villains, then<br />

they’re to be found among those who<br />

never engage in such things as they feel no<br />

wider responsibility to their fellow man.<br />

But, whether Davosians or not, the<br />

hegemony of the global elite is slipping.<br />

Technology is enabling greater<br />

decentralisation, and facilitating social<br />

conversations that are lateral rather than<br />

top down – and this will only grow as time<br />

passes. Want proof of this trend? If it had<br />

been up to the “elite”, we’d have voted to<br />

stay in the European Union; Donald Trump<br />

wouldn’t be heading for the White House.<br />

In the past, without disseminatory routes<br />

like the internet helping an anti-elite<br />

person to find like minds, those<br />

disagreeing with what they were told<br />

would have found it far harder to<br />

cooperate and collaborate. We are more<br />

likely to say “no” when we think that we<br />

are not alone.<br />

£ Alex Deane is managing director of FTI<br />

Consulting and common councilman in the<br />

City of London.<br />

Dan<br />

Tara<br />

DAWN<br />

This is a dawn of a new type of global elite.<br />

Social networks and enterprise technology<br />

companies now have a place at the table<br />

alongside policymakers and central<br />

bankers. The question is, what does this<br />

addition to the elite mean for the world? For<br />

starters, it’s an indicator that technology is<br />

now not just a “sector”. Rather, it is<br />

beginning to become a facet of life which<br />

underpins everything humans now do, in<br />

the same way money or law does. Given<br />

that the leading minds and thinkers<br />

featured are largely in some way tied to<br />

commercial entities, it will be interesting to<br />

see how they apply this position of<br />

influence. In addition, people like this tend<br />

to be innately wedded to the idea of<br />

speeding up the pace of change in a way<br />

that the traditional global elite might not<br />

have. Mark Zuckerberg is a good example<br />

of the tech elite transcending perceived<br />

roles to shape everything from politics to<br />

quality of life. How this agenda shapes the<br />

pace of the world, and the impact it has on<br />

society, will be fascinating to watch.<br />

£ Dan Tara is executive vice-president of<br />

Positive Technologies.


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

OPINION<br />

21<br />

WE WANT <strong>TO</strong> HEAR YOUR VIEWS › E:theforum@cityam.com COMMENT AT:cityam.com/forum<br />

:@cityam<br />

LETTERS<br />

<strong>TO</strong> THE EDI<strong>TO</strong>R<br />

The shackles of<br />

forecasters<br />

[Re: What Dirty Harry teaches us about<br />

economic forecasters’ Michel Fish moment]<br />

Paul Omerod presents much food for thought<br />

in his article. However, I do have questions on<br />

certain things. Did the Treasury forecast refer<br />

to an immediate recession after the vote or<br />

after Britain left the EU? I was under the<br />

impression it was the latter, which has not yet<br />

happened. I found the continuing spending<br />

after the Brexit vote rational: if sterling was to<br />

fall significantly, as it has already signalled, I<br />

would want to buy what I needed before<br />

prices rose on the back of a weaker pound. So<br />

I was expecting this spending increase.<br />

Monte-Carlo techniques and the increased<br />

availability of powerful computing power<br />

have allowed different large sets of<br />

assumptions and their various possible<br />

resultant paths to be computed, and then<br />

graphed as histograms to illustrate the<br />

different likelihoods of outcomes. These show<br />

the quantified most likely and less likely<br />

results with the diagnostics that give an idea<br />

of reliability (e.g. the Bank of England<br />

produces a fan chart for its forecasts in the<br />

quarterly report). The skill is to glean which<br />

would be reigning under the dynamic, multidimensional<br />

conditions that have occurred<br />

since the forecast. A singular forecaster not<br />

only forecasts the process but attempts to say<br />

which choice economic agents make. The<br />

rationality applied by the forecaster in the<br />

way these agents make choices may not be<br />

the also-valid rationality (and not the<br />

irrationality) applied by the particular<br />

economic agent. As forecasters appear to<br />

apply their particular set of assumptions in<br />

the same way, “groupthink” is indeed a<br />

serious problem.<br />

Kumar Devadasan<br />

BEST OF<br />

TWITTER<br />

Next week the good & the<br />

great will be shooting the<br />

breeze in Davos, talking<br />

meaningless nonsense at<br />

taxpayers/shareholders’<br />

expense!<br />

@truemagic68<br />

There are 65m people living<br />

in the UK: quite enough to<br />

train the requisite number of<br />

engineers, doctors, techies,<br />

nurses, dentists...<br />

@RedHotSquirrel<br />

An historian friend of mine<br />

on Tristram Hunt: “I couldn't<br />

run the V&A, even if I wrote a<br />

mediocre biography of<br />

Engels”.<br />

@nickfthilton<br />

European fishermen have<br />

taken £3.5bn per year worth<br />

of fish out of UK waters since<br />

1983.<br />

@RichardWellings<br />

Disappointed Obama has<br />

ended US visa-free residency<br />

for Cubans fleeing Castro<br />

regime - which remains a<br />

dictatorship.<br />

@danielrhamilton<br />

One in five low-wage men<br />

aged 25 to 55 now work parttime;<br />

up from only 1 in 20<br />

men twenty years ago.<br />

@TheIFS<br />

Why leaders must make the link<br />

between education and profits<br />

THREE thousand of the world’s<br />

most important business<br />

leaders and politicians will<br />

gather together to discuss the<br />

most pressing issues facing the<br />

world this week. The World Economic<br />

Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting in Davos<br />

has long been one of the defining<br />

events of the year and an opportunity<br />

to set the agenda for the global stage.<br />

This year, however, it’s hard to ignore<br />

the difference in mood, brought about<br />

by a new political landscape. The US<br />

election and populist votes in Italy and<br />

UK have revealed a gulf between the<br />

political and business elites and the<br />

working people living outside of major<br />

metropolitan areas. Ordinary citizens<br />

around the world have sent a powerful<br />

message: their concerns about the<br />

impact of globalisation on meaningful<br />

jobs, stagnant wages and open trade and<br />

borders have been overlooked by the<br />

establishment for too long.<br />

It is now clearer than ever before that a<br />

top-down approach to problem-solving<br />

is no longer working. Elites do not speak<br />

the same language as the masses and<br />

are often disconnected from their everyday<br />

lives and problems. The time has<br />

come to re-engage, and listen to their<br />

issues, or risk becoming even more<br />

divided. In the past, global gatherings<br />

were all largely focused on globalisation<br />

and its benefits. Now, they must go<br />

beyond this and put a much-needed<br />

focus on addressing the negative<br />

impacts of globalisation.<br />

Gatherings like Davos must be more<br />

ambitious in bridging the gap between<br />

wealthy and working-class, old and<br />

young, north and south. Too often, the<br />

topics and issues on the agenda at these<br />

types of events are described in the technocratic<br />

language of business that is<br />

neutral and non-committal.<br />

Richard<br />

Attias<br />

Young people make up 50 per cent of<br />

the world’s population, but are underrepresented<br />

in global affairs. This is<br />

something that has concerned me for<br />

some time now, and it is positive, therefore,<br />

that WEF has invited more than<br />

200 millennials from around the world<br />

to participate this year. Let’s hope this<br />

isn’t too little, too late though when it<br />

comes to Davos’s impact in the future.<br />

Harnessing technology will be key to<br />

create direct engagement with young<br />

people. Using sophisticated analysis of<br />

social networks can help young leaders<br />

in Davos expand their reach and play a<br />

more effective role in kickstarting new<br />

initiatives. But there’s still much more<br />

that elite gatherings can do to<br />

encourage better engagement. For<br />

example, why not leverage the power of<br />

virtual reality to immerse conferencegoers<br />

in the real-life situations they are<br />

debating, enabling a more empathetic<br />

and considered response?<br />

Finding innovative solutions for<br />

addressing unemployment, especially<br />

It’s now clearer than<br />

ever before that a<br />

top-down approach<br />

is no longer working<br />

among young people, should also be at<br />

the top of the agenda of every gathering<br />

and institution. Without doubt, it is one<br />

of the greatest challenges facing the<br />

world today and should be top priority<br />

of any leader in any country. It is critical<br />

to improving public health, preventing<br />

terrorism, war and violence, and reducing<br />

inequality.<br />

Governments are debt-ridden, while<br />

many corporations are very profitable.<br />

Yet both are impacted by the challenge<br />

of jobless youth. So why couldn’t corporations<br />

dedicate a percentage of their<br />

profits to support and finance vocational<br />

training programs? Business and government<br />

leaders at Davos can follow the<br />

lead of an innovative partnership<br />

between Unesco and telecommunications<br />

provider Airtel Gabon, which is<br />

training more than 5,000 young<br />

Gabonese men and women to use ICT.<br />

Or the initiative taken by the Misk foundation<br />

in Saudi Arabia to enable 2,000<br />

young people from the region to debate<br />

about the world of tomorrow.<br />

Just as Davos has been effective in the<br />

past in convincing business and government<br />

leaders to take issues such as climate<br />

change more seriously, it must<br />

now use its unique power to shift the<br />

debate on globalisation and address the<br />

rising concerns about things like job<br />

security, wages and border control.<br />

With so many leaders in attendance,<br />

there is no better place to make real<br />

change and begin to bridge the gap<br />

between elites and ordinary people once<br />

and for all.<br />

£ Richard Attias is executive chairman of<br />

nation branding and global<br />

communications consultancy firm Richard<br />

Attias & Associates, and produced the<br />

Annual Meeting of the World Economic<br />

Forum from 1995 to 2008.<br />

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22 FEATURE MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

ENTREPRENEURS<br />

TIME poverty is an issue for<br />

Justine Roberts. I have just 40<br />

minutes on the phone with<br />

the Mumsnet founder and<br />

chief executive to disseminate<br />

a lifetime of achievement: PPE student<br />

at Oxford, a stint in the City, a journalist<br />

with a sports beat and, most recently, a<br />

recipient of a CBE for services to the<br />

economy in the New Year’s Honours list.<br />

“It’s very nice to be recognised and to<br />

be on this list. I’ve recently been watching<br />

The Crown so have become much<br />

more of a royalist than I ever was,” she<br />

chuckles. But Roberts insists that the<br />

honour isn’t her achievement alone. “I<br />

feel very strongly that it’s an award for<br />

all the people who have worked and<br />

helped to create this fantastic community,<br />

and that includes the users and all<br />

the staff. It’s recognition of that really,<br />

it’s not a personal thing, it’s a collective<br />

thing. And you know, we should all feel<br />

proud – we do feel proud.”<br />

The growth Mumsnet has achieved in<br />

the last 17 years may have been a collaborative<br />

effort, but before the 100-strong<br />

team now presiding over the site existed,<br />

Roberts had little but an idea, determination<br />

and guile. “If you have an idea,<br />

you’ve got to really believe in it,” she<br />

says. “It took about eight years for<br />

Mumsnet to really pay salaries to the<br />

people who were putting hours in.”<br />

VALUE OF EXPERIENCE<br />

With such a diverse working repertoire<br />

before the inception of Mumsnet, you<br />

might think Roberts to be something of<br />

a job-hopper, but she believes that,<br />

although a City life – or a life in journalism<br />

– wasn’t for her, it was time well<br />

spent. “I think all experiences prepare<br />

you,” she says. “Every year that you’re<br />

working you’re learning something,<br />

even if it’s learning what you don’t want<br />

to do – and how to get out of it.”<br />

If learning what she didn’t want to do<br />

was ample preparation, Roberts also<br />

thinks that parenthood, not only gave<br />

her the idea for Mumsnet, but prepared<br />

her to enter the world of business. “It<br />

just puts you under a lot of pressure; you<br />

learn negotiating skills, you get frustrated<br />

often and become less selfish – it<br />

makes you think about other things and<br />

other people. I think, in a multitude of<br />

ways, it helps you to multitask. You’ll<br />

probably never be so stretched, busy and<br />

exhausted as when you go through<br />

motherhood.”<br />

NATIVE EVOLUTION<br />

Mumsnet today is a far cry from the parenting<br />

forum Roberts envisioned during<br />

a disastrous family holiday with her<br />

young twins in 2000. Today it’s a manyheaded<br />

beast, a fabric woven into the<br />

digital furniture and more popular than<br />

ever, exceeding 10m users.<br />

“I think we view it as an online community<br />

first and foremost, and what<br />

we’re trying to do is provide solutions<br />

which make that community’s life easier.<br />

That might mean managing a great<br />

forum, or it might mean producing<br />

engaging content, putting on an event,<br />

or writing a book. It’s really just about<br />

developing, producing and offering<br />

things that make parents’ lives easier.”<br />

Over a decade and a half later,<br />

Mumsnet is a lucrative business,<br />

turning over some £7.2m last year. Most<br />

of its revenue comes from display and<br />

programmatic advertising, but more<br />

recently it has pioneered a method of<br />

native advertising that makes the most<br />

of the site’s user base.<br />

“What works best on Mumsnet is talking<br />

‘Mumsnet language,’” says Roberts.<br />

“And the best bits of native content<br />

we’ve done are where brands have really<br />

allowed the community to take the lead.<br />

So very often we’ll package up the best<br />

advice from our forums, rather than put<br />

a load of blurb written by an agency or<br />

parenting guru. The whole point is<br />

MUM’S<br />

THE WORD<br />

Elliott Haworth talks bursting<br />

the filter bubble and managing<br />

a 10m strong community with<br />

Mumsnet’s Justine Roberts<br />

really that you’re no longer broadcasting,<br />

you’re in conversation. So we have a<br />

lot of control over the creative process.”<br />

COMMUNITY<br />

Mumsnet was recently named as one of<br />

Grant Thonton’s Faces of a Vibrant<br />

Economy, which Roberts says she thinks<br />

is “because of the strength of the online<br />

community – that’s what Mumsnet is<br />

all about. It’s recognition for the daily<br />

kindness, time and attention that people<br />

all around the country are giving<br />

each other.”<br />

She refers to the community often,<br />

but how have trends, and the user’s<br />

needs and requirements, changed over<br />

the years? She tells me that “it’s quite<br />

hard to keep up now. You used to be able<br />

to log on and look at a link called ‘last<br />

day’ and read it comfortably in an hour.<br />

But now, you can’t read the last five<br />

minutes in an hour! So it’s faster moving,<br />

a bit noisier, but broadly, people<br />

have the same set of dilemmas.”<br />

Mumsnet has become a space beyond<br />

discussion about parenting, with pockets<br />

like “Pets Corner” and a chicken<br />

keepers’ forum. It’s probably best<br />

known for its occasional forays into politics.<br />

The 2010 election was dubbed the<br />

“Mumsnet Election” following a series<br />

Discussion, in<br />

itself, is something<br />

healthy and worth<br />

preserving<br />

of webchats with the leaders of the<br />

time. But the issues often run deeper<br />

than the pithy rhetorical whims of talking<br />

heads.<br />

DEBATE<br />

The most poignant discussions occur<br />

“when users are presented with a story<br />

that they feel isn’t right; when they feel<br />

something should be done about it. We<br />

probably have the largest forum of parents<br />

with special needs children, for<br />

instance, and I think some of the issues<br />

they have to face are an education for<br />

others. In our daily lives we are fed stuff<br />

by people we know, but on Mumsnet,<br />

it’s a place where you can experience<br />

people living very different lives.”<br />

Browsing the comment section below<br />

a controversial topic bears witness to<br />

the polarity – and occasional cruelty of<br />

the community. But Roberts is an advocate<br />

of free speech, for open discussion<br />

and inclusivity, however virulent, which<br />

is reflected in the laissez faire moderation<br />

on Mumsnet. “We’ve always had a<br />

commitment to open discussion and<br />

even disagreement, she says. “We’re not<br />

a site just for mothers of the right or<br />

left, we’re very much for all mothers.<br />

We believe that people have the right to<br />

say stuff. We ask people to refrain from<br />

personal attacks, and not to break the<br />

law. So you can disagree with someone,<br />

you can say when someone is talking<br />

rubbish, but you can’t really say someone’s…<br />

err, [laughing]<br />

I can’t really say that word, can I?”<br />

FILTER BUBBLE<br />

In the current climate, in which fake<br />

news, identity politics, and filter<br />

bubbles – the idea that social<br />

CV<br />

JUSTINE ROBERTS<br />

Company: Mumsnet<br />

Founded: 2000<br />

Turnover: £7.2m<br />

Staff: 100<br />

Title: Chief executive and founder<br />

Age: 49<br />

Born: London<br />

Lives: London<br />

Studied: PPE, Oxford University<br />

Drinking: I’m quite partial to a really proper<br />

mojito (with tonnes of fresh mint)<br />

Eating: The mint in a proper mojito and a<br />

proper Sunday roast<br />

Reading: Vanity Fair (the book, not the<br />

mag); Drive (Daniel Pink)<br />

Favourite business book: Leaders Eat<br />

Last, by Simon Sinek; The Lean Start Up, by<br />

Eric Ries<br />

Talents: Hand-eye coordination, haggling,<br />

not accepting no for an answer<br />

Heroes: Bill Shankly<br />

First ambition: To play football for<br />

Liverpool<br />

Motto: “There’s more than one way to skin<br />

a cat”.<br />

Most likely to say: Why?<br />

Least likely to say: I’m only coming if I can<br />

wear my Louboutins<br />

Awards: Online Comment Site of the Year<br />

(Editorial Intelligence Comment Awards)<br />

2011 and 2014; Institute of Internal<br />

Communication Communicator of the Year<br />

2014; EY Entrepreneur of the Year London<br />

and South Winner 2016; Appointed<br />

Commander of the Order of the British<br />

Empire (CBE) in the 2017 New Year Honours<br />

for services to the economy<br />

algorithms impair debate through<br />

reflection of self-affirming views – dominate<br />

the news agenda, I ask Roberts<br />

about the importance of debate. “Our<br />

view is there is something valuable in<br />

differing opinions,” she says. “And actually,<br />

in the last year we’ve become even<br />

more of that opinion. There are few<br />

places on the internet where you’re<br />

going to get diverse opinion because of a<br />

very calculated move on the behalf of<br />

the big tech companies to serve you stuff<br />

from the people that you know and who<br />

will say the sort of things you want to<br />

hear. Mumsnet sits outside of that.”<br />

I ask whether Mumsnet is bursting the<br />

filter bubble: “I don’t know if I’d go that<br />

far! But we’re certainly committed to<br />

Mumsnet not being a filter bubble. We<br />

don’t doctor people’s feeds, we don’t disallow<br />

contrary opinion, we don’t overweigh<br />

opinion that isn’t contrary. We<br />

wouldn’t do that because we think in<br />

itself, discussion and debate is something<br />

healthy and worth preserving.<br />

Differing opinion often changes<br />

people’s minds, and how else can you<br />

learn to appreciate a different point of<br />

view if you don’t hear differing opinions?”<br />

PRICE TAG<br />

Most tech companies grow with the<br />

intention of selling, so I ask Roberts if<br />

she would consider an offer. After a<br />

short pause, she tells me “it would be<br />

hard to because this isn’t just a business<br />

– it’s not a conventional one anyway.<br />

It’s a new type of business, and I<br />

would have to feel very comfortable,<br />

that the spirit of the site – putting purpose<br />

before profit – was going to be<br />

maintained.”


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

FEATURE<br />

23<br />

Q&A: How can you finance digital assets?<br />

THE DIGITAL economy has created<br />

myriad new types of<br />

business with different<br />

needs to traditional, bricksand-mortar<br />

firms. And with<br />

new business comes new challenges,<br />

one of which is access to the right sort<br />

of finance. We caught up with Andy<br />

Davies, sales director at LDF, to find<br />

out how the company is evolving<br />

finance to suit this new economy.<br />

What changes have you seen in the<br />

types of businesses approaching you?<br />

We’re certainly seeing an increase in<br />

the number of new, digital businesses<br />

in emerging industries that are looking<br />

for finance, whereas previously, it<br />

was more traditional businesses: manufacturers,<br />

for example – real bricksand-mortar,<br />

asset-based businesses.<br />

What we’re seeing now is a product of<br />

the new economy – far more innovative<br />

businesses: those that are techbased,<br />

and IT firms.<br />

How do the needs of these businesses<br />

differ to traditional asset financing?<br />

If you look at where we fitted in asset<br />

financing in the past, there would be<br />

a specific, tangible purpose that the<br />

funding would be attributed against.<br />

Whether a piece of equipment or a<br />

vehicle, it would be something with a<br />

LDF<br />

COMMENT<br />

Andy<br />

Davies<br />

palpable use or purpose. Now, to<br />

accommodate the digital age, we’re<br />

looking at loan options where it’s a<br />

longer-term, non-tangible type of<br />

spending. More “soft costs” are now<br />

required: marketing, digital marketing,<br />

website development – the types<br />

of things which we would not have<br />

traditionally looked at in the past.<br />

In terms of products, how have you<br />

reacted to the changing market?<br />

Traditional loan products have a specific<br />

purpose attached to them –<br />

that’s how LDF has operated in the<br />

past, and it’s been a fairly standard<br />

approach across the industry. If you<br />

wanted a loan, you would have to<br />

prove exactly what the tangible cost<br />

was going to be – whether it was<br />

£10,000 for refurbishment or £50,000<br />

for a machine – we would need to see<br />

the invoice matching that figure. To<br />

try and counter that, we’re looking at<br />

The new economy requires a different type of finance<br />

new, alternative products. One of<br />

these is a business development loan<br />

which allows us to look at a number<br />

of intangible products such as marketing,<br />

recruitment or development<br />

and, provided the customer has a<br />

story behind what this will mean for<br />

them – how they will benefit from<br />

that cash injection – then we can provide<br />

a loan on that basis. It’s a case of<br />

providing a loan without a tangible<br />

purpose attached to it.<br />

How can your technology make the<br />

process of financing easier?<br />

We have spent, and will continue to<br />

spend, an awful lot of money on trying<br />

to make the customer journey as<br />

simple and straightforward as possible.<br />

How we can make the whole credit<br />

process as slick as possible is a big<br />

part of our evolving business model.<br />

People are now looking at alternative<br />

finance far more than ever<br />

before. I think many look outside<br />

the mainstream banking options,<br />

especially those who are a bit more<br />

tech savvy. Whereas previously, once<br />

they’d been declined by their bank,<br />

that could well have been the end of<br />

their journey – but we are providing<br />

an alternative.<br />

How do you stay at the forefront of<br />

financing in an evolving business<br />

environment?<br />

We’ve invested heavily in a delivery<br />

platform called Lendinghive, which<br />

allows us to look at asset finance via<br />

an easy-to-use digital application<br />

and offer loans within 30 minutes.<br />

As part of future-proofing our own,<br />

and our customers’ businesses for<br />

the growing digital economy, we’ve<br />

invested a lot of money in trying to<br />

ensure that we cater for how the<br />

next generation will look for<br />

finance.<br />

It’s a new direction in business<br />

finance designed specifically for<br />

small to medium-sized companies,<br />

which puts the recipient in control<br />

of a bespoke finance plan. We very<br />

much believe that we’re at the forefront<br />

of how this kind of technology<br />

will work.<br />

WHEN DO YOU<br />

PAY YOURS?<br />

Avoid bank bureaucracy and<br />

<br />

spreading the cost of your tax<br />

<br />

a tax loan from LDF.<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Colette Stroud, Family Law<br />

/5<br />

<br />

lender on Feefo<br />

0333 014 2111 | ldf.co.uk/cityam<br />

LDF Operations Limited (reg. no 02029122) part of the LDF Group is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority for credit-related regulated activities (including hiring).


24 FEATURE MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

MARKETING<br />

WHEN THE<br />

LIGHTS GO OUT<br />

PICCADILLY<br />

SPECIAL<br />

As we bid farewell to<br />

the Piccadilly Circus<br />

patchwork, Elliott<br />

Haworth<br />

remembers its<br />

history and looks to<br />

its future<br />

ON ONLY a handful of occasions<br />

in its 100-year history<br />

has the hotchpotch of billboards<br />

at Piccadilly Circus<br />

been intentionally switched<br />

off during peacetime. Most famously,<br />

when Winston Churchill died, and<br />

later, Princess Diana. The advertising<br />

space, recognisable the world round, is<br />

symbolic of the national mood; it wears<br />

black when we mourn.<br />

But today, minus the iniquity of<br />

tragedy or war, the power to the<br />

patchwork Circus will cease. Decades<br />

of retrofitting will be replaced with a<br />

single screen, beaming new messages<br />

onto the streets below.<br />

Tim Bleakley, chief executive of<br />

Ocean Outdoor, the agency which<br />

organises the advertising on the<br />

board, understands the magnitude of<br />

altering a landmark. “It has this<br />

magnetism around it, I’d argue it’s the<br />

most famous advertising in the<br />

world,” he says. “Piccadilly’s iconism is<br />

linked to its longevity. The board has<br />

evolved not just as London has; it’s<br />

been there as the world has evolved<br />

around it.”<br />

Supplanting something as<br />

significant as the advertising at<br />

Piccadilly Circus, albeit temporarily, is<br />

an unenviable task. The last time all<br />

the lights were out for any sustained<br />

period was from 1939 to 1949, when<br />

Churchill ordered the blackout to<br />

muddle the logistics of the Nazi<br />

bombing raids blitzing the city. Since<br />

then, other than the charity<br />

campaigns London Lights Out and<br />

Earth Day, the display has barely<br />

jittered. Vasiliki Arvaniti, portfolio<br />

manager at Land Securities, which has<br />

owned the Piccadilly Circus site since<br />

the seventies, says that the lights will<br />

be off for approximately nine months.<br />

“What we’re doing is quite significant<br />

work, we have to take down the<br />

existing six screens, and the<br />

structures which hold them and<br />

replace it with a whole new structure,<br />

which is why it’s taking so long. It’s<br />

never been done to this scale before.”<br />

<strong>NEW</strong> TECH<br />

The new curved, ultra-high definition<br />

4K resolution screen aims to<br />

futureproof the space, while retaining<br />

the familiar patchwork aesthetic. The<br />

screen being installed – one of the<br />

biggest in the world – will cover some<br />

790 square metres, making it bigger<br />

than a full-sized tennis court (670<br />

square metres). It will also be one of<br />

the most technically advanced in the<br />

world, offering live video streaming,<br />

lifestyle updates such as weather and<br />

sports results, and real-time social<br />

media feeds, ensuring the space stays<br />

at the forefront of innovation, while<br />

offering new opportunities for brands<br />

and advertisers.<br />

The challenge is replacing the<br />

patchwork while retaining the<br />

identity for which it is loved<br />

Piccadilly’s<br />

magnetism is<br />

linked to its<br />

longevity<br />

One such innovation is localised<br />

wifi which, when combined with the<br />

ability to update the brand message in<br />

real time, provides the capability to<br />

alter adverts based on consumers<br />

within the area. “It’s fast,” says<br />

Bleakley. “Coca-Cola, for example, can<br />

log on at any given moment, see a<br />

large group of Spanish tourists and<br />

change the copy of the ad from ‘hello,’<br />

to ‘buenos dias.’ There will be car<br />

recognition, so, if it’s a car brand<br />

advertising, it can serve ads based on<br />

the vehicles passing by. For those<br />

brands, it’s an exclusive tech club.<br />

They’ll be members of a world first.”


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

FEATURE<br />

25<br />

PICCADILLY LIGHTS: A TIMELINE<br />

£ 1908 First permanent electrical<br />

advertisement, using incandescent bulbs, is<br />

installed by Perrier.<br />

£ 1923 Within 15 years, electric billboards<br />

dominate the Monico Cafe and London<br />

Pavilion – brands from Bovril to Schweppes<br />

appear using neon lights, to the disdain of<br />

architectural societies. Guinness Time<br />

becomes a permanent fixture for several<br />

decades.<br />

£ 1939 Winston Churchill orders the<br />

blackout to confuse Nazi bombers: the<br />

Piccadilly Lights remain black for a decade.<br />

£ 1955 Coca-Cola takes its spot, which<br />

remains to this day, and will retain its<br />

residency when the new screen is installed.<br />

1953<br />

£ 1965 The lights are switched off as a mark<br />

of respect during Churchill’s funeral.<br />

£ 1978 Japanese technology company<br />

Sanyo erects its famous red and white sign,<br />

which stayed until 2011, when the boards<br />

were upgraded to LED for the London<br />

Olympics.<br />

£ 1986 Advertising is removed from London<br />

Pavilion as part of renovations.<br />

£ 1997 The lights are switched off for the<br />

funeral of the Princess of Wales.<br />

£ 2002 Yoko Ono pays a reported £150,000<br />

to display John Lennon lyrics: “Imagine all<br />

the people, living life in peace,” following the<br />

9/11 attacks.<br />

£ 2007 Paul Atherton’s short film “The Ballet<br />

of Change,” exploring the history of the<br />

Circus, premieres on Coca-Cola’s LED ad<br />

space.<br />

£ 2009 Coca-Cola switches its advert off as<br />

part of WWF’s Earth Hour.<br />

£ 2011 Lights emblazoned with poetry from<br />

across the British Isles as part of National<br />

Poetry Day.<br />

£ 2017 Piccadilly Lights switched off for nine<br />

months to remove old screens and replace<br />

them with one giant curved screen.<br />

1936<br />

1945<br />

1936<br />

1961<br />

1993<br />

HERITAGE<br />

Of course, replacing the lights with a<br />

giant screen risks losing the<br />

patchwork that has adorned the site<br />

for so long – and made it the<br />

landmark we know today. Graham<br />

Hinton, chairman of the History of<br />

Advertising Trust, says that, while an<br />

upgrade is inevitable, he heeds a<br />

warning. “Like any property that the<br />

public warms to, has affection for and<br />

knows well, to some extent, you<br />

tamper with it at your own risk. It’s<br />

achieved iconic status, and I think the<br />

patchwork is really important to it. If<br />

you look at the first pictures, it hasn’t<br />

changed – it’s always been that way. At<br />

what point does a medium lose its<br />

appeal because you adapt it to take<br />

advantage of modern technology?”<br />

Retaining a sense of history is on the<br />

lips of everyone involved in the<br />

project, says Arvaniti. “We’ve worked<br />

very closely with Westminster City<br />

Council to arrive at a proposal, she<br />

says. “What we will deliver is change<br />

that makes a big enough difference to<br />

ensure that the site continues to lead<br />

the way in terms of out of home<br />

advertising, while not changing its<br />

essence and heritage.”<br />

The way they hope to achieve this is<br />

through segmentation of the giant<br />

screen – replacing the patchwork,<br />

while retaining its spirit. The screen<br />

will be split into six sections<br />

ordinarily, periodically rotating brands<br />

in 30 minute loops, whereafter one<br />

brand will take full control of the<br />

entire screen.<br />

SPECIAL<br />

But what makes it so special?<br />

Landmarks tend to be buildings or<br />

icons – red phoneboxes and<br />

Buckingham Palace. It is, after all, just<br />

a board of adverts.<br />

A succinct answer that rings true<br />

today came in 1926. CJ Lytle, general<br />

manager of the Borough Billposting<br />

Company, wrote in Modern<br />

Advertising: “it is not too much to say<br />

the Piccadilly attracts thousands of<br />

sightseers every night for the avowed<br />

purpose of witnessing for themselves<br />

the mechanical wonders of the<br />

flashing signs. And they are all<br />

absorbing the commercial messages<br />

that are signalled to them.”<br />

Clearly, the board has grown up<br />

since then, but its appeal is<br />

undimmed. “It’s a very magical thing<br />

It’s evolved as the<br />

medium has<br />

evolved, and will<br />

continue to do so<br />

to go and see,” says Hinton. “The<br />

concentration and brightness of the<br />

images; the location in itself. Piccadilly<br />

is a pretty extraordinary place in<br />

London. It’s the hub of the West End,<br />

bringing everything together with<br />

these extraordinary brands and<br />

messages occupying the biggest space<br />

in the most exciting way. It sort of all<br />

works together.”<br />

The Circus is known the world<br />

over – monumental as a tourist<br />

attraction, irreplacable as an<br />

advertising behemoth – reaching over<br />

100m consumers per year, and setting<br />

a global standard in out-of-home. “It’s<br />

always been the centre of the change<br />

in the out of home medium,” says<br />

Bleakley. “It was the first site to be<br />

illuminated, the first to have neon, the<br />

first to be replaced with digital LED.<br />

It’s evolved as the medium has<br />

evolved, and will continue to do so.”<br />

HIS<strong>TO</strong>RY<br />

At present, six screens advertise<br />

brands at Piccadilly. The most famous,<br />

Coca-Cola, has held a permanent<br />

residency on the board for 62 years,<br />

and will continue to do so, according<br />

to Aedamar Howlett, marketing<br />

director of Coca-Cola Great Britain and<br />

Ireland. “There are only a handful of<br />

advertising spaces in the world that<br />

are as iconic and unique as the<br />

Piccadilly Lights,” he said.<br />

Despite its obvious staying power,<br />

Coca-Cola’s presence is a fairly recent<br />

addition to the boards’ history.<br />

Illuminated lettering attached to the<br />

facades of prominent buildings<br />

appears to have started in 1890 –<br />

although advertisers had filled the<br />

space with posters and static ads for<br />

some time. The first permanent,<br />

illuminated electrical advertisement<br />

from Perrier, using incandescent<br />

bulbs, appeared in 1908. It wasn’t until<br />

1923, that, like Dylan, Piccadilly went<br />

fully electric, with neon lights and<br />

moving signs replacing the original<br />

incarnation.<br />

It’s hard to imagine a brand like<br />

Bovril advertising on Piccadilly now,<br />

but the meat extract producer had the<br />

first neon sign to grace the famous<br />

facade. The neon lights, utilised by<br />

over 50 brands across several decades,<br />

from Cinzano to Guinness; Kodak to<br />

McDonald’s, remained for some<br />

decades, upgraded at the pace<br />

technology allowed. The last neon<br />

light, owned by Sanyo, was removed in<br />

2011 following a request to replace it<br />

with a more modern LED screen<br />

before the 2012 Olympics.<br />

“We’re replacing very cumbersome<br />

technology of varying age and quality,”<br />

says Bleakley. “Every screen is different<br />

and some will be outdated soon; this is<br />

a way of creating uniformity when we<br />

have the chance.”<br />

It’s not well known, but on two<br />

occasions in its life, the Piccadilly<br />

Lights have faced opposition that<br />

brought their future into question.<br />

Following a number of complaints<br />

from architects, in 1900 the London<br />

County Council made byelaws<br />

“prohibiting the exhibition of flash<br />

lights... so as to be visible from any<br />

street and to cause danger to the<br />

traffic therein.” The complainants<br />

insisted they were a “disfigurement to<br />

the Metropolis and a nuisance.” The<br />

council had wanted to impose a<br />

complete prohibition, which would<br />

have put a stop to all intermittently<br />

illuminated advertising in London.<br />

But Adland fought back, and won.<br />

The second was a proposition by one<br />

Lord Holford in 1962. He wanted to<br />

redevelop the area, replacing the<br />

buildings upon which the lights are<br />

fixed with three octagonal towers and<br />

an elevated pedestrian concourse<br />

linking the buildings around the<br />

perimeter of the Circus. It became<br />

known as The Holford Plan, spawning<br />

the reactionary short film, “Goodbye,<br />

Piccadilly.”<br />

Thankfully – for the sake of<br />

longevity, and developing an icon –<br />

neither plan was ever seen through.<br />

And in the autumn, when works are<br />

completed, we can instead say, “Hello<br />

Piccadilly,” and welcome it to the<br />

future.


Gold.............................................................1190.35 -14.70<br />

Silver ..............................................................16.76 -0.15<br />

Brent Crude....................................................56.01 -0.45<br />

Krugerrand..................................................1195.10 -6.90<br />

Palladium....................................................755.00 -6.00<br />

Platinum.....................................................990.00 10.00<br />

Tin Cash Official........................................21100.00 -50.00<br />

Lead Cash Official ......................................2165.00 0.00<br />

Zinc Cash Official ......................................2690.00 0.00<br />

Copper Cash Official...................................5751.00 109.00<br />

Aluminium Cash Official ............................1787.00 39.00<br />

Nickel Cash Official....................................9975.00 -465.00<br />

Aluminium Alloy Cash Official...................1535.00 0.00<br />

Cocoa Futures.............................................2213.00 -17.00<br />

Coffee 'C' Futures .........................................149.03 -0.70<br />

Feed Wheat Futures ....................................148.25 1.60<br />

Soybeans Futures Continuation Contract..1044.25 -2.00<br />

AB INBEV..........................................................99.61 0.60 119.60 92.13<br />

ADIDAS N ........................................................147.95 1.95 160.30 82.65<br />

AIR LIQUIDE ....................................................104.95 0.75 106.55 85.96<br />

AIRBUS GROUP ................................................65.64 0.95 66.05 48.07<br />

ALLIANZ RG ....................................................160.80 1.60 162.00 118.35<br />

ASML HLDG RG................................................108.55 2.00 108.10 70.54<br />

AXA ..................................................................24.35 0.43 25.05 16.11<br />

BANCO SANTANDER ............................................5.15 0.09 5.19 3.15<br />

BASF N.............................................................89.06 0.88 89.47 56.01<br />

BAYER N ..........................................................101.65 1.65 112.00 83.45<br />

BBVA ..................................................................6.24 0.12 6.70 4.43<br />

BMW..................................................................87.81 0.35 91.76 63.38<br />

BNP PARIBAS-A-...............................................62.16 1.61 63.06 35.27<br />

CRH PLC .............................................................15.16 -0.23 16.93 12.81<br />

DAIMLER N ........................................................71.33 0.54 73.23 50.83<br />

DANONE ...........................................................60.53 -0.26 70.53 57.49<br />

DEUTSCHE BANK N.............................................18.15 0.70 20.58 9.90<br />

DEUTSCHE POST N.............................................31.69 0.28 31.95 19.55<br />

DEUTSCHE TELEKOM N ......................................16.36 0.12 16.64 13.54<br />

E.ON N .................................................................7.17 0.00 8.97 5.99<br />

ENEL....................................................................4.16 0.03 4.24 3.33<br />

ENGIE ................................................................11.67 -0.07 15.21 11.22<br />

ENI ....................................................................15.67 0.21 15.92 10.93<br />

ESSILOR INTL....................................................102.10 0.30 124.55 93.41<br />

FRESENIUS........................................................73.33 0.70 74.99 52.39<br />

IBERDROLA ........................................................6.07 0.01 6.32 4.60<br />

INDITEX ............................................................31.93 0.31 33.47 26.60<br />

ING GROUP........................................................13.78 0.28 14.05 8.30<br />

INTESA SANPAOLO..............................................2.47 0.04 2.95 1.52<br />

KON AH DEL......................................................19.69 0.38 23.03 17.89<br />

L'OREAL............................................................171.45 1.05 177.90 142.65<br />

LVMH...............................................................188.95 2.40 187.25 130.55<br />

MUENCH RUECKVERS N...................................179.65 3.10 187.35 140.90<br />

NOKIA ................................................................4.50 0.10 6.83 3.66<br />

ORANGE............................................................14.99 0.21 16.67 12.38<br />

ROY.PHILIPS .....................................................28.88 0.30 29.45 20.05<br />

SAFRAN ............................................................67.65 0.44 69.89 48.87<br />

SAINT GOBAIN .................................................45.60 0.41 45.25 31.47<br />

SANOFI .............................................................78.07 1.53 79.07 62.50<br />

SAP ...................................................................84.18 0.60 84.65 64.62<br />

SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC ........................................67.85 0.55 67.74 45.32<br />

SIEMENS N.......................................................116.40 0.35 118.45 79.23<br />

SOCIETE GENERALE...........................................47.48 1.60 49.38 25.00<br />

TELEFONICA........................................................9.22 0.06 9.92 7.15<br />

<strong>TO</strong>TAL ...............................................................48.85 0.15 49.50 33.28<br />

UNIBAIL-RODAMCO ..........................................221.15 -0.95 252.95 203.10<br />

UNILEVER CERT ................................................39.08 0.21 43.11 36.22<br />

VINCI ................................................................65.72 0.21 69.80 49.93<br />

VIVENDI.............................................................18.27 0.50 20.32 14.87<br />

VOLKSWAGEN VZ ............................................149.55 2.25 152.15 92.70<br />

Price Chg High Low<br />

EU SHARES<br />

3M RG..............................................................177.39 -0.05 182.27 134.64<br />

ABBVIE RG........................................................61.99 0.71 68.12 51.60<br />

ALPHABET-A ..................................................830.94 1.41 839.00 672.66<br />

ALPHABET-C...................................................807.88 1.52 816.68 663.06<br />

ALTRIA GROUP RG ............................................67.58 0.07 70.15 56.15<br />

AMAZON.COM RG .............................................817.14 3.50 847.21 474.00<br />

AMERICAN EXPRESS RG ...................................76.62 -0.26 78.00 50.27<br />

AMGEN RG.......................................................156.12 0.76 176.85 133.64<br />

APPLE .............................................................119.04 -0.21 119.93 89.47<br />

AT&T RG...........................................................40.96 -0.05 43.89 33.43<br />

BANK OF AMERICA RG ......................................23.01 0.09 23.41 10.99<br />

BERKSHIRE HATHAWY-B.................................161.90 0.49 167.25 123.55<br />

BOEING CO RG.................................................158.83 0.54 160.07 102.10<br />

CATERPILLAR ...................................................94.48 0.49 97.40 56.36<br />

CHEVRON ........................................................116.38 0.22 119.00 75.33<br />

CISCO SYSTEMS.................................................30.07 0.03 31.95 22.46<br />

CITIGROUP .......................................................59.63 0.40 61.63 34.52<br />

COCA-COLA CO.................................................40.88 -0.07 47.13 39.88<br />

COMCAST-A.......................................................72.77 1.35 71.76 52.34<br />

DU PONT NEMOURS&CO ..................................73.60 -0.51 75.86 50.71<br />

EXXON MOBIL...................................................86.35 0.01 95.55 71.55<br />

FACEBOOK-A...................................................128.34 1.72 133.50 89.37<br />

GENERAL ELECTRIC............................................31.36 -0.03 33.00 27.10<br />

GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP ..............................244.30 0.46 247.77 138.20<br />

HOME DEPOT ..................................................135.04 -0.03 139.00 109.62<br />

IBM..................................................................167.34 -0.61 169.95 116.90<br />

INTEL................................................................36.79 0.08 38.36 27.68<br />

JOHNSON & JOHNSON ....................................114.60 -0.02 126.07 94.28<br />

JPMORGAN CHASE...........................................86.70 0.46 88.17 52.50<br />

MASTERCARD-A .............................................108.70 -0.01 109.40 78.52<br />

MCDONALD'S...................................................121.50 -0.60 131.96 110.33<br />

MEDTRONIC......................................................75.09 -0.02 89.27 69.35<br />

MERCK .............................................................62.34 0.13 65.46 47.97<br />

MICROSOFT ......................................................62.70 0.09 64.10 48.04<br />

NIKE -B-...........................................................52.92 0.52 65.44 49.01<br />

ORACLE ............................................................39.26 0.06 42.00 33.13<br />

PEPSICO...........................................................101.55 -0.29 110.94 93.25<br />

PFIZER..............................................................32.52 -0.08 37.39 28.25<br />

PHILIP MRRS INT .............................................90.40 -0.11 104.20 84.46<br />

PROCTER&GAMBLE...........................................84.01 0.17 90.33 74.46<br />

SCHLUMBERGER...............................................84.82 -0.51 87.00 59.60<br />

THE KRAFT HEINZ.............................................87.03 -0.39 90.54 68.18<br />

TRAVLR COMP ..................................................117.05 0.30 123.09 101.23<br />

TWITTER............................................................17.25 -0.13 25.25 13.73<br />

UNITEDHEALTH GROUP ..................................161.80 -0.56 164.00 107.79<br />

UTD TECHNOLOGIES.........................................110.22 -0.60 112.83 83.39<br />

VERIZON COMM ...............................................52.55 -0.13 56.95 43.79<br />

VISA-A...............................................................81.17 -0.20 83.96 66.12<br />

WAL-MART S<strong>TO</strong>RES ...........................................67.13 -0.84 75.19 60.20<br />

WALT DISNEY-DISNEY ....................................108.06 0.53 109.49 86.25<br />

WELLS FARGO ...................................................55.31 0.81 58.02 43.55<br />

COMMODITIES<br />

CREDIT & RATES<br />

BoE IR Overnight.........................................0.250 0.00<br />

BoE IR 7 days..............................................0.250 0.00<br />

BoE IR 1 month ...........................................0.250 0.00<br />

BoE IR 3 months.........................................0.250 0.00<br />

BoE IR 6 months.........................................0.250 0.00<br />

LIBOR Euro - overnight ...............................-0.411 0.00<br />

LIBOR Euro - 12 months.............................-0.095 0.00<br />

LIBOR USD - overnight ................................0.693 0.00<br />

LIBOR USD - 12 months ................................1.698 -0.01<br />

Halifax mortgage rate ................................3.990 0.00<br />

Euro Base Rate ...........................................0.000 0.00<br />

Finance house base rate .............................1.000 0.00<br />

US Fed funds.................................................0.66 0.00<br />

US long bond yield .......................................2.99 -0.02<br />

Euro Euribor ...............................................-0.379 0.00<br />

The vix index.................................................11.23 -0.31<br />

The baltic dry index ..................................910.00 18.00<br />

Markit iBoxx EUR ......................................226.58 -0.41<br />

Markit iBoxx GBP........................................312.67 -2.07<br />

Markit iTraxx................................................69.84 -0.40<br />

Price Chg High Low<br />

US SHARES<br />

€/$ 1.0604 0.0008<br />

€/£ 0.8839 0.0111<br />

€/¥ 121.16 0.5480<br />

/€ 1.1308 0.0148<br />

/$ 1.1990 0.0167<br />

/¥ 136.99 2.4310<br />

BAE Systems . . . . . . . . .611.5 -6.0 618.0 459.7<br />

Cobham . . . . . . . . . . . . .138.2 1.2 234.4 127.5<br />

Meggitt . . . . . . . . . . . . .445.2 0.3 482.0 346.5<br />

QinetiQ Group . . . . . . . .262.9 2.4 266.0 212.0<br />

Rolls-Royce Holdi . . . . .661.5 -15.5 831.0 512.5<br />

Senior . . . . . . . . . . . . . .193.0 1.0 242.0 171.6<br />

Ultra Electronics . . . . . .1931.0 -13.0 2030.0 1595.0<br />

GKN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .341.3 2.4 343.8 248.6<br />

Aldermore Group . . . . .218.2 -0.7 238.5 104.8<br />

Barclays . . . . . . . . . . . . .235.3 3.0 239.0 127.2<br />

BGEO Group . . . . . . . . .2787.0 -12.0 3379.0 1570.0<br />

CYBG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .288.3 -1.0 302.2 182.8<br />

HSBC Holdings . . . . . . .678.0 4.8 681.3 416.2<br />

Lloyds Banking Gr . . . . .66.0 0.0 73.7 47.6<br />

Metro Bank . . . . . . . . .3132.0 2.0 3356.0 1623.0<br />

Royal Bank of Sco . . . . .221.1 2.6 277.0 148.9<br />

Shawbrook Group . . . .254.3 -0.7 325.0 132.0<br />

Standard Chartere . . . . .718.5 15.3 718.5 386.7<br />

Virgin Money Hold . . . .324.8 2.2 381.5 205.0<br />

Barr (A.G.) . . . . . . . . . . .511.0 6.0 614.5 455.3<br />

Britvic . . . . . . . . . . . . . .586.0 5.0 732.5 523.5<br />

Coca-Cola HBC AG . . .1802.0 8.0 1840.0 1265.0<br />

Diageo . . . . . . . . . . . . .2197.5 21.0 2268.0 1745.0<br />

Croda Internation . . . .3338.0 15.0 3669.0 2663.7<br />

Elementis . . . . . . . . . . .272.2 4.2 279.4 180.6<br />

Johnson Matthey . . . .3248.0 28.0 3540.0 2230.0<br />

Synthomer . . . . . . . . . .379.5 -0.9 388.4 275.1<br />

Victrex plc . . . . . . . . . .1982.0 31.0 1989.0 1367.0<br />

AO World . . . . . . . . . . . .158.5 -3.8 189.3 120.5<br />

Auto Trader Group . . . .397.2 -2.8 424.1 313.8<br />

B&M European Valu . . .304.7 3.8 311.0 232.5<br />

Brown (N.) Group . . . . .209.8 0.3 362.1 160.4<br />

Card Factory . . . . . . . . .252.3 4.0 381.0 242.5<br />

Convatec Group . . . . . .239.7 -1.3 255.5 225.0<br />

Debenhams . . . . . . . . . .56.6 -0.8 81.6 51.4<br />

Dignity . . . . . . . . . . . .2473.0 -22.0 2871.0 2227.0<br />

Dixons Carphone . . . . .350.9 4.1 476.5 281.6<br />

Dunelm Group . . . . . . .698.0 -44.0 1018.0 692.4<br />

Halfords Group . . . . . . .351.7 3.2 449.1 305.6<br />

Inchcape . . . . . . . . . . . .728.5 7.5 754.0 581.0<br />

JD Sports Fashion . . . . .355.0 5.0 356.7 206.2<br />

Just Eat . . . . . . . . . . . . . .517.5 -12.5 599.5 329.1<br />

Kingfisher . . . . . . . . . . .353.0 8.8 386.2 306.7<br />

Marks & Spencer G . . . .339.1 -5.8 446.1 285.2<br />

Next . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4042.0 9.0 7020.0 4032.0<br />

Pets at Home Grou . . . .240.9 2.6 285.0 211.5<br />

Saga . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .194.5 0.6 225.9 173.9<br />

Sports Direct Int . . . . . .284.7 -2.8 425.1 252.2<br />

Ted Baker . . . . . . . . . .2925.0 25.0 3092.0 2124.0<br />

WH Smith . . . . . . . . . .1579.0 -2.0 1878.0 1447.0<br />

Balfour Beatty . . . . . . . .267.7 2.2 295.1 190.8<br />

CRH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2878.0 45.0 2895.0 1637.0<br />

Galliford Try . . . . . . . . .1349.0 7.0 1498.0 785.0<br />

Ibstock . . . . . . . . . . . . . .186.2 1.9 223.7 114.7<br />

Keller Group . . . . . . . . .842.5 1.0 1024.0 644.5<br />

Kier Group . . . . . . . . . .1401.0 -2.0 1433.0 932.0<br />

Marshalls . . . . . . . . . . . .285.2 2.0 357.3 206.5<br />

Polypipe Group . . . . . . .334.7 3.7 352.0 221.5<br />

Drax Group . . . . . . . . . .380.3 -0.7 385.1 207.6<br />

SSE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1553.0 6.0 1628.0 1321.0<br />

Halma . . . . . . . . . . . . . .940.0 0.0 1126.0 773.5<br />

Morgan Advanced M . .290.0 1.2 305.5 192.3<br />

Renishaw . . . . . . . . . .2705.0 10.0 2930.0 1600.0<br />

Spectris . . . . . . . . . . . .2441.0 3.0 2481.0 1442.0<br />

Aberforth Smaller . . . .1113.0 4.0 1120.0 849.0<br />

Alliance Trust . . . . . . . .658.5 5.0 659.5 450.8<br />

Bankers Inv Trust . . . . .714.0 -1.0 720.0 522.0<br />

BH Macro Ltd. GBP . . .2095.0 -1.0 2134.0 1875.0<br />

British Empire Tr . . . . .660.5 2.5 665.0 412.0<br />

Caledonia Investm . . .2761.0 10.0 2765.0 2112.0<br />

City of London In . . . . . .413.9 1.6 415.2 341.5<br />

Edinburgh Inv Tru . . . . .719.0 -3.5 739.5 620.0<br />

Electra Private E . . . . .4651.0 -94.0 4852.0 3300.0<br />

Fidelity China Sp . . . . . .181.0 2.8 198.2 110.5<br />

Fidelity European . . . . .189.5 0.4 191.0 151.2<br />

Finsbury Growth & . . . .663.5 4.5 676.0 532.5<br />

Foreign and Colon . . . .553.5 4.0 556.0 391.2<br />

GCP Infrastructur . . . . . .124.3 0.1 134.8 114.8<br />

Genesis Emerging . . . .620.0 7.0 644.0 408.5<br />

Greencoat UK Wind . . . .119.3 -0.3 119.9 101.1<br />

HarbourVest Globa . . .1188.0 -7.0 1197.0 853.0<br />

HICL Infrastructu . . . . . .162.6 1.1 185.1 150.4<br />

International Pub . . . . .152.8 0.0 162.6 139.0<br />

John Laing Infras . . . . . .132.2 -0.5 140.4 114.2<br />

JPMorgan American . . .372.2 4.0 375.9 245.9<br />

JPMorgan Emerging . .706.5 2.5 765.0 483.0<br />

JPMorgan Indian I . . . .628.0 8.5 690.0 434.8<br />

Mercantile Invest . . . . .1730.0 1.0 1743.0 1375.0<br />

Monks Inv Trust . . . . . .602.5 9.0 604.0 361.1<br />

Murray Internatio . . . . .1155.0 -7.0 1188.0 742.5<br />

NB Global Floatin . . . . . .97.4 0.4 97.7 84.6<br />

P2P Global Invest . . . . .806.0 2.0 980.0 730.0<br />

Perpetual Income . . . . .371.3 -0.2 400.7 332.0<br />

Personal Assets T . . .39480.0 80.040500.034170.0<br />

Polar Capital Tec . . . . . .882.0 11.0 887.0 503.5<br />

RIT Capital Partn . . . . .1847.0 10.0 1885.0 1512.0<br />

Riverstone Energy . . .1344.0 12.0 1355.0 720.0<br />

Scottish Inv Trus . . . . . .794.5 3.5 804.0 544.5<br />

Scottish Mortgage . . . .343.8 4.8 345.4 220.6<br />

Temple Bar Inv Tr . . . .1250.0 -6.0 1262.0 940.0<br />

Templeton Emergin . . .619.5 2.0 624.5 371.5<br />

The Renewables In . . . .109.2 0.2 110.2 90.3<br />

TR Property Inv T . . . . .297.0 0.2 321.0 241.7<br />

Witan Inv Trust . . . . . . .920.0 7.5 921.4 683.0<br />

Woodford Patient . . . . .92.3 -1.1 100.8 81.0<br />

Worldwide Healthc . . .2181.0 0.0 2281.0 1596.0<br />

3i Group . . . . . . . . . . . .725.0 7.5 729.0 389.8<br />

3i Infrastructure . . . . . . .187.5 0.2 200.0 166.5<br />

Aberdeen Asset Ma . . . .271.3 2.8 348.6 209.3<br />

Allied Minds . . . . . . . . . .422.1 -5.9 479.4 267.0<br />

Arrow Global Grou . . . .305.5 1.8 310.0 178.3<br />

Ashmore Group . . . . . .283.5 2.9 375.5 196.4<br />

Brewin Dolphin Ho . . . .308.0 1.3 309.4 210.2<br />

Charles Taylor . . . . . . . .224.0 5.0 327.5 219.0<br />

City of London In . . . . .350.0 -2.5 400.1 285.0<br />

Close Brothers Gr . . . .1450.0 12.0 1477.0 989.5<br />

CMC Markets . . . . . . . . . .119.6 -0.4 290.8 94.6<br />

Hargreaves Lansdo . . .1277.0 4.0 1389.0 1056.0<br />

Henderson Group . . . . .239.0 0.1 277.2 195.0<br />

IG Group Holdings . . . .530.5 4.5 959.5 450.7<br />

Intermediate Capi . . . .708.0 3.0 719.5 454.2<br />

International Per . . . . . .172.0 8.2 341.2 160.6<br />

Investec . . . . . . . . . . . .566.5 8.5 568.0 402.7<br />

IP Group . . . . . . . . . . . . .177.5 -1.3 200.0 120.4<br />

John Laing Group . . . . .268.0 -0.5 281.5 200.0<br />

Jupiter Fund Mana . . . .416.9 0.9 453.9 328.9<br />

Liontrust Asset M . . . . . .391.1 -7.3 402.0 235.0<br />

LMS Capital . . . . . . . . . . .54.5 0.0 72.0 54.0<br />

London Finance & . . . . .42.8 0.0 46.0 34.0<br />

London Stock Exch . . .2933.0 -1.0 2953.0 2123.0<br />

Man Group . . . . . . . . . . .126.7 1.9 162.6 107.3<br />

OneSavings Bank . . . . .333.1 1.6 358.7 176.2<br />

Paragon Group Of . . . .408.8 0.3 417.0 227.4<br />

Provident Financi . . . .2844.0 -5.0 3328.0 2164.0<br />

Rathbone Brothers . .2028.0 15.0 2356.0 1590.0<br />

Real Estate Credi . . . . . .163.4 0.9 174.0 143.0<br />

Record . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37.0 0.5 37.5 22.1<br />

S&U . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2175.0 -17.5 2610.0 1992.5<br />

Sanne Group . . . . . . . .604.0 -3.0 637.0 320.0<br />

Schroders . . . . . . . . . .3047.0 39.0 3054.0 2049.0<br />

SVG Capital . . . . . . . . . .710.0 -1.0 720.0 446.3<br />

TP ICAP . . . . . . . . . . . . .452.0 1.4 467.4 275.0<br />

VPC Specialty Len . . . . . .78.3 -0.4 96.1 70.5<br />

Walker Crips Grou . . . . .40.0 0.0 49.5 38.5<br />

BT Group . . . . . . . . . . . .391.8 -0.3 496.0 346.7<br />

TalkTalk Telecom . . . . .168.4 2.8 272.8 152.5<br />

Telecom Plus . . . . . . . .1246.0 10.0 1251.0 815.5<br />

Booker Group . . . . . . . .186.7 1.2 187.3 149.4<br />

Greggs . . . . . . . . . . . . . .977.5 -0.5 1196.0 884.0<br />

Morrison (Wm) Sup . . .241.9 2.9 246.0 153.9<br />

Ocado Group . . . . . . . . .267.1 -1.6 349.0 208.1<br />

Sainsbury (J) . . . . . . . .264.6 4.8 292.5 214.6<br />

SSP Group . . . . . . . . . . .396.3 4.4 397.8 264.0<br />

Tesco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .206.0 -0.1 218.7 147.4<br />

UDG Healthcare Pu . . .660.0 -2.0 689.5 500.5<br />

Associated Britis . . . . .2580.0 4.0 3458.0 2350.0<br />

Cranswick . . . . . . . . . .2407.0 -11.0 2538.0 1890.0<br />

Dairy Crest Group . . . . .635.5 1.0 690.0 504.5<br />

Greencore Group . . . . . .247.0 -0.5 322.7 218.9<br />

Tate & Lyle . . . . . . . . . .694.5 3.5 807.0 535.5<br />

Unilever . . . . . . . . . . . .3383.0 12.0 3763.5 2798.5<br />

Mondi . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1768.0 26.0 1775.0 1124.0<br />

Centrica . . . . . . . . . . . . .230.2 3.2 242.0 183.6<br />

National Grid . . . . . . . .956.9 6.3 1130.5 891.5<br />

Pennon Group . . . . . . .776.5 -32.5 945.5 763.0<br />

Severn Trent . . . . . . . .2215.0 3.0 2509.0 2024.0<br />

United Utilities . . . . . .890.0 -6.0 1039.0 854.5<br />

RPC Group . . . . . . . . . .1065.0 -5.0 1079.0 653.0<br />

Smith (DS) . . . . . . . . . .434.7 -0.4 440.1 331.2<br />

Smiths Group . . . . . . .1526.0 18.0 1538.0 863.5<br />

Smurfit Kappa Gro . . .2129.0 -24.0 2273.0 1584.0<br />

Vesuvius . . . . . . . . . . . .422.0 8.7 422.2 270.6<br />

Price Chg High Low<br />

Assura . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .56.5 0.5 60.3 49.4<br />

Mediclinic Intern . . . . . .792.0 1.0 1168.0 685.0<br />

NMC Health . . . . . . . . .1600.0 2.0 1655.0 750.0<br />

Smith & Nephew . . . . .1236.0 17.0 1310.0 1051.0<br />

Spire Healthcare . . . . . .314.9 6.6 400.0 297.5<br />

Barratt Developme . . . .516.0 18.0 611.0 332.6<br />

Bellway . . . . . . . . . . . .2612.0 31.0 2810.0 1689.0<br />

Berkeley Group Ho . .2909.0 27.0 3607.0 2270.0<br />

Bovis Homes Group . . .840.0 14.5 1024.0 627.0<br />

Countryside Prope . . . .238.7 3.4 278.5 173.2<br />

Crest Nicholson H . . . . .515.0 9.0 604.0 335.0<br />

McCarthy & Stone . . . . .164.2 -2.0 287.0 140.3<br />

Persimmon . . . . . . . . .1997.0 27.0 2219.0 1289.0<br />

Reckitt Benckiser . . . .6845.0 -3.0 7692.0 5847.0<br />

Redrow . . . . . . . . . . . . .452.7 4.0 455.0 275.6<br />

Taylor Wimpey . . . . . . .172.6 1.5 210.3 115.8<br />

Bodycote . . . . . . . . . . .640.5 10.5 653.5 499.0<br />

Hill & Smith Hold . . . . .1186.0 1.0 1253.0 735.5<br />

IMI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1096.0 12.0 1129.0 742.0<br />

Rotork . . . . . . . . . . . . . .266.0 1.8 267.4 152.7<br />

Old Mutual . . . . . . . . . . .212.5 1.1 225.5 149.4<br />

Phoenix Group Hol . . . .741.5 -6.0 802.4 611.5<br />

Prudential . . . . . . . . . .1612.5 22.5 1649.0 1087.0<br />

St James's Place . . . . .1085.0 26.0 1089.0 716.0<br />

Standard Life . . . . . . . . .357.1 3.3 378.8 262.1<br />

4Imprint Group . . . . . .1879.0 59.0 1900.0 1140.0<br />

Ascential . . . . . . . . . . . .291.4 9.5 297.9 200.0<br />

Bloomsbury Publis . . . .165.3 -0.8 178.5 144.3<br />

Centaur Media . . . . . . . .43.0 0.0 67.8 33.8<br />

Entertainment One . . . .232.5 -1.4 255.0 130.0<br />

Euromoney Institu . . . .1170.0 -5.0 1207.0 852.5<br />

Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13.0 -0.1 14.4 7.9<br />

Haynes Publishing . . . .124.0 0.0 128.5 99.0<br />

Informa . . . . . . . . . . . . .693.5 2.0 697.5 538.6<br />

ITE Group . . . . . . . . . . . .158.3 0.8 176.0 128.8<br />

ITV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .208.6 5.6 270.5 154.0<br />

Johnston Press . . . . . . . .16.6 -0.4 47.0 8.0<br />

Moneysupermarket. . .296.2 3.6 351.2 233.5<br />

Pearson . . . . . . . . . . . . .817.0 4.0 975.0 657.5<br />

Relx plc . . . . . . . . . . . .1464.0 3.0 1502.0 1126.0<br />

Rightmove . . . . . . . . .4045.0 45.0 4302.0 3173.0<br />

Sky . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .992.0 1.5 1097.0 750.5<br />

STV Group . . . . . . . . . . .362.0 7.0 505.0 304.0<br />

Tarsus Group . . . . . . . . .284.5 3.0 289.0 217.3<br />

Spirax-Sarco Engi . . . .4359.0 8.0 4669.0 2725.0<br />

Weir Group . . . . . . . . .2033.0 32.0 2034.0 787.5<br />

Evraz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .225.9 -2.3 273.0 56.2<br />

Ferrexpo . . . . . . . . . . . . .131.4 -3.6 151.0 15.8<br />

BBA Aviation . . . . . . . . .285.9 0.9 286.9 150.2<br />

Clarkson . . . . . . . . . . .2224.0 -17.0 2499.0 1691.0<br />

Fisher (James) & . . . . .1575.0 -29.0 1679.0 942.0<br />

Royal Mail . . . . . . . . . . .447.4 1.6 541.0 413.3<br />

Admiral Group . . . . . . .1774.0 17.0 2260.0 1611.0<br />

Beazley . . . . . . . . . . . . .384.0 -0.8 405.1 320.0<br />

Direct Line Insur . . . . . .348.6 1.9 409.6 333.3<br />

esure Group . . . . . . . . .200.9 4.0 304.6 188.9<br />

Hastings Group Ho . . . .232.0 -3.3 247.4 149.8<br />

Hiscox Limited (D . . . .1009.0 -7.0 1097.0 900.5<br />

Jardine Lloyd Tho . . . . .995.5 -2.0 1048.0 778.0<br />

Lancashire Holdin . . . .693.0 -3.0 758.0 518.5<br />

RSA Insurance Gro . . . .580.5 2.5 586.0 373.2<br />

Aviva . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .489.1 7.4 495.4 346.2<br />

JRP Group . . . . . . . . . . .139.8 -1.4 160.0 86.0<br />

Legal & General G . . . . .248.7 2.7 252.2 165.0<br />

Trinity Mirror . . . . . . . . . .99.3 3.0 168.3 73.5<br />

UBM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .739.0 12.0 746.5 491.0<br />

WPP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1888.0 20.0 1890.0 1338.0<br />

Zoopla Property G . . . .346.0 0.0 354.8 199.3<br />

Acacia Mining . . . . . . . .418.2 -2.4 599.0 161.2<br />

Anglo American . . . . .1329.5 19.0 1343.5 221.1<br />

Antofagasta . . . . . . . . .725.0 3.5 774.5 346.1<br />

BHP Billiton . . . . . . . . .1454.5 16.5 1460.5 580.9<br />

Centamin (DI) . . . . . . . .150.8 -0.4 180.0 61.8<br />

Fresnillo . . . . . . . . . . . .1413.0 -9.0 2008.0 640.5<br />

Glencore . . . . . . . . . . . .316.7 4.2 318.5 71.2<br />

Hochschild Mining . . . .235.8 4.7 313.7 39.5<br />

Kaz Minerals . . . . . . . . .425.5 -5.6 431.1 87.8<br />

Petra Diamonds Lt . . . . .158.1 -0.4 171.6 69.0<br />

Polymetal Interna . . . .923.0 -14.0 1190.0 523.5<br />

Randgold Resource . .6710.0 -85.0 9715.0 4229.0<br />

Rio Tinto . . . . . . . . . . . .3417.5 13.0 3453.0 1577.5<br />

Vedanta Resources . . .1016.0 14.0 1016.0 205.8<br />

Inmarsat . . . . . . . . . . . .712.5 1.0 1116.0 680.0<br />

Vodafone Group . . . . . .214.7 0.4 239.7 190.5<br />

BP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .518.0 2.6 521.2 310.3<br />

Cairn Energy . . . . . . . . .242.4 2.3 243.0 127.2<br />

Nostrum Oil & Gas . . . . .457.7 -21.1 501.5 203.0<br />

Royal Dutch Shell . . . .2281.5 -1.0 2295.0 1266.0<br />

Royal Dutch Shell . . . .2377.5 1.5 2389.0 1277.5<br />

Tullow Oil . . . . . . . . . . . .315.6 -3.6 333.6 118.2<br />

Amec Foster Wheel . . .482.5 -4.8 619.5 327.6<br />

Hunting . . . . . . . . . . . . .624.5 -13.0 640.0 239.8<br />

Petrofac Ltd. . . . . . . . . .941.5 2.5 982.0 663.0<br />

Wood Group (John) . . .887.0 9.5 894.5 548.5<br />

Burberry Group . . . . . .1611.0 36.0 1613.0 1041.0<br />

PZ Cussons . . . . . . . . . .338.6 -1.2 372.6 249.3<br />

Supergroup . . . . . . . . .1686.0 -19.0 1744.0 1184.0<br />

AstraZeneca . . . . . . . .4609.0 53.5 5220.0 3774.0<br />

BTG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .605.0 11.5 728.0 557.0<br />

Dechra Pharmaceut . .1368.0 3.0 1418.0 975.0<br />

Genus . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1783.0 53.0 2042.0 1282.0<br />

GlaxoSmithKline . . . . .1585.5 19.5 1722.5 1345.5<br />

Hikma Pharmaceuti . .1896.0 37.0 2676.0 1624.0<br />

Indivior . . . . . . . . . . . . .309.2 7.0 369.0 130.8<br />

Shire Plc . . . . . . . . . . . .4661.5 106.5 5323.0 3480.0<br />

Vectura Group . . . . . . . .142.3 2.5 180.0 126.8<br />

Capital & Countie . . . . .275.8 -6.8 387.3 263.1<br />

CLS Holdings . . . . . . . .1529.0 -1.0 1700.0 1163.0<br />

Daejan Holdings . . . .6250.0 250.0 6335.0 4411.0<br />

F&C Commercial Pr . . . .135.7 0.2 138.4 102.1<br />

Grainger . . . . . . . . . . . .238.6 -1.1 248.5 193.1<br />

Kennedy Wilson Eu . . .945.0 -5.0 1202.0 888.5<br />

NewRiver REIT . . . . . . .334.0 -2.0 345.3 269.0<br />

Safestore Holding . . . . .345.5 2.6 400.5 311.9<br />

Savills . . . . . . . . . . . . . .782.0 -3.0 850.5 548.5<br />

St. Modwen Proper . . . .315.5 0.2 396.3 222.2<br />

UK Commercial Pro . . . .83.6 0.1 87.2 65.0<br />

Unite Group . . . . . . . . .603.0 2.5 663.5 543.5<br />

Big Yellow Group . . . . . .714.5 6.5 886.5 635.0<br />

British Land Comp . . . .618.0 -4.0 762.5 544.5<br />

Derwent London . . . .2622.0 -10.0 3430.0 2257.0<br />

Great Portland Es . . . . .642.5 -6.5 798.0 536.0<br />

Hammerson . . . . . . . . .564.0 -3.0 602.5 468.6<br />

Hansteen Holdings . . . .112.0 0.1 119.8 95.4<br />

Intu Properties . . . . . . .278.8 0.6 319.4 255.7<br />

Land Securities G . . . .1020.0 -4.0 1202.0 910.0<br />

LondonMetric Prop . . . .151.3 -1.7 166.8 134.9<br />

Redefine Internat . . . . . .39.7 0.7 48.1 36.3<br />

SEGRO . . . . . . . . . . . . . .469.6 -0.7 473.2 370.5<br />

Shaftesbury . . . . . . . . . .911.5 1.5 994.5 813.0<br />

Tritax Big Box Re . . . . . .139.7 -0.8 147.1 113.9<br />

Workspace Group . . . . .764.0 2.5 874.0 577.0<br />

Aveva Group . . . . . . . .1944.0 12.0 2051.0 1237.0<br />

Computacenter . . . . . .795.0 -3.0 860.0 678.0<br />

Fidessa Group . . . . . . .2319.0 36.0 2596.0 1771.0<br />

Micro Focus Inter . . . . .2157.0 10.0 2267.0 1308.0<br />

Playtech . . . . . . . . . . . .848.0 12.0 946.5 710.5<br />

Sage Group . . . . . . . . . .674.5 9.5 756.0 544.5<br />

Softcat . . . . . . . . . . . . . .297.8 2.1 383.0 280.0<br />

Sophos Group . . . . . . . .276.3 1.4 278.3 175.0<br />

AA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .273.6 -1.3 307.3 209.9<br />

Aggreko . . . . . . . . . . . . .987.5 6.0 1286.0 765.0<br />

Ashtead Group . . . . . .1600.0 4.0 1644.0 769.0<br />

Atkins (WS) . . . . . . . . .1490.0 29.0 1713.0 1158.0<br />

Babcock Internati . . . . .954.0 7.5 1105.0 854.0<br />

Berendsen . . . . . . . . . . .874.5 3.0 1355.0 774.5<br />

Bunzl . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2136.0 9.0 2436.0 1735.0<br />

Capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .515.5 -3.5 1175.0 452.4<br />

Carillion . . . . . . . . . . . . .237.7 4.2 305.4 221.4<br />

DCC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6120.0 5.0 7220.0 4779.0<br />

Diploma . . . . . . . . . . . .1033.0 0.0 1054.0 630.0<br />

Electrocomponents . . .484.6 1.5 495.9 204.0<br />

Essentra . . . . . . . . . . . .453.6 6.3 891.0 382.9<br />

Experian . . . . . . . . . . .1601.0 4.0 1607.0 1073.0<br />

G4S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .245.6 1.9 251.0 164.0<br />

Grafton Group Uni . . . .586.0 45.5 752.0 440.0<br />

Hays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .157.0 -0.5 161.0 94.0<br />

Homeserve . . . . . . . . . .618.0 -3.0 630.0 363.2<br />

Howden Joinery Gr . . . .381.0 3.5 510.5 341.1<br />

Intertek Group . . . . . .3547.0 -3.0 3727.0 2628.0<br />

Mitie Group . . . . . . . . . .213.9 1.1 294.1 180.4<br />

Pagegroup . . . . . . . . . .426.0 -3.6 435.7 264.9<br />

PayPoint . . . . . . . . . . . .961.5 3.0 1168.0 720.0<br />

Paysafe Group . . . . . . .390.0 -5.0 469.2 305.7<br />

Rentokil Initial . . . . . . .224.6 0.6 235.5 150.0<br />

Serco Group . . . . . . . . . .146.7 0.2 148.3 76.8<br />

SIG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .108.9 15.1 149.0 87.2<br />

Travis Perkins . . . . . . .1465.0 43.0 1964.0 1313.0<br />

Wolseley . . . . . . . . . .4996.0 12.0 5025.0 3230.0<br />

Worldpay Group . . . . . .292.6 4.3 313.0 255.9<br />

British American . . . .4729.5 24.5 5042.0 3565.0<br />

Imperial Brands . . . . .3590.0 -11.5 4139.0 3345.0<br />

Carnival . . . . . . . . . . . .4242.0 27.0 4314.0 2957.0<br />

Cineworld Group . . . . . .583.5 -3.0 605.0 457.0<br />

Compass Group . . . . .1460.0 -6.0 1548.0 1088.0<br />

Domino's Pizza Gr . . . . .379.8 2.0 396.9 285.3<br />

easyJet . . . . . . . . . . . .1036.0 0.0 1642.0 873.5<br />

FirstGroup . . . . . . . . . . .102.9 -0.2 114.5 80.8<br />

Go-Ahead Group . . . .2229.0 -4.0 2673.0 1790.0<br />

Greene King . . . . . . . . . .715.5 9.5 906.0 663.5<br />

GVC Holdings . . . . . . . . .619.0 4.0 769.0 421.5<br />

InterContinental . . . .3759.0 16.0 3782.4 2192.8<br />

International Con . . . . .488.7 9.5 565.0 343.9<br />

Ladbrokes Coral G . . . . .121.0 2.0 162.0 106.1<br />

Marston's . . . . . . . . . . . .136.6 2.5 162.4 129.7<br />

Merlin Entertainm . . . .479.0 6.9 490.2 379.8<br />

Millennium & Copt . . . .468.5 2.1 483.1 366.4<br />

Mitchells & Butle . . . . . .264.7 4.5 299.4 217.5<br />

National Express . . . . .344.1 0.4 376.5 275.6<br />

Paddy Power Betfa . .8645.0 -95.0 14275.0 7895.0<br />

Rank Group . . . . . . . . . .192.0 3.0 283.7 186.8<br />

Restaurant Group . . . . .344.9 2.9 562.5 256.9<br />

Stagecoach Group . . . . .213.1 0.0 278.4 196.0<br />

Thomas Cook Group . . .86.6 1.0 109.7 54.7<br />

TUI AG Reg Shs (D . . . .1141.0 17.0 1236.0 844.5<br />

Wetherspoon (J.D. . . . .894.0 3.0 952.0 609.0<br />

Whitbread . . . . . . . . .4093.0 56.0 4356.0 3391.0<br />

William Hill . . . . . . . . . .286.1 1.2 410.4 246.9<br />

Wizz Air Holdings . . . .1807.0 8.0 1995.0 1415.0<br />

4D Pharma . . . . . . . . . .705.0 2.5 1012.5 635.0<br />

Abcam . . . . . . . . . . . . . .818.5 17.5 901.0 580.0<br />

Advanced Medical . . . .213.3 2.3 235.0 154.3<br />

Amerisur Resource . . . . .29.3 0.0 33.0 17.3<br />

Arbuthnot Banking . .1450.0 0.0 1717.0 1265.0<br />

ASOS . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5473.0 105.0 5512.0 2595.0<br />

BNN Technology . . . . . .125.3 2.5 168.0 35.5<br />

Brooks Macdonald . . .1986.0 -24.0 2033.9 1400.0<br />

Camellia . . . . . . . . . .10650.0 55.5 10895.0 7510.0<br />

Clinigen Group . . . . . . .815.5 13.5 815.5 492.8<br />

Conviviality . . . . . . . . . .233.5 4.8 239.3 168.0<br />

CVS Group . . . . . . . . . .1085.0 35.0 1103.0 646.0<br />

Dart Group . . . . . . . . . .495.0 5.0 676.5 358.5<br />

EMIS Group . . . . . . . . . .955.0 18.5 1155.0 807.0<br />

Faroe Petroleum . . . . . .101.5 1.3 105.0 43.5<br />

Fevertree Drinks . . . . . .1111.0 2.0 1139.0 527.0<br />

First Derivatives . . . . .2149.0 -14.0 2218.0 1462.0<br />

Gamma Communicati .483.0 -3.1 528.0 365.3<br />

GB Group . . . . . . . . . . . .295.3 4.8 349.0 215.0<br />

Gemfields . . . . . . . . . . . .49.5 -0.3 56.0 31.5<br />

Gooch & Housego . . . .1077.5 -2.0 1115.0 834.0<br />

Hotel Chocolat Gr . . . . .295.0 5.0 302.5 169.5<br />

Hurricane Energy . . . . . .49.8 0.8 52.8 9.4<br />

Iomart Group . . . . . . . .304.8 11.0 314.0 214.0<br />

James Halstead . . . . . . .497.3 0.3 505.0 379.0<br />

Johnson Service G . . . .109.0 1.3 114.8 85.0<br />

Keywords Studios . . . . .510.0 -7.0 532.5 197.0<br />

M&C Saatchi . . . . . . . . . .371.0 -2.5 380.0 282.8<br />

M. P. Evans Group . . . . .635.0 0.0 700.0 371.8<br />

Mulberry Group . . . . .1085.0 -5.0 1150.0 948.0<br />

Nichols . . . . . . . . . . . . .1571.0 1.0 1665.0 1119.0<br />

Numis Corporation . . . .242.0 0.0 250.0 180.5<br />

Pan African Resou . . . . . .15.8 -0.3 24.3 8.4<br />

Patisserie Holdin . . . . . .316.0 -3.5 395.0 257.3<br />

Polar Capital Hol . . . . . .335.5 1.5 421.5 270.0<br />

Purplebricks Grou . . . . .157.5 7.3 175.0 73.0<br />

Redde . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .157.3 1.8 206.5 138.5<br />

Renew Holdings . . . . . .438.0 1.0 457.3 295.3<br />

RWS Holdings . . . . . . . .349.0 -11.5 360.5 188.0<br />

Scapa Group . . . . . . . . .339.3 10.8 339.8 179.3<br />

Sirius Minerals . . . . . . . . .18.5 0.0 45.5 10.8<br />

Smart Metering Sy . . . .578.0 -2.5 609.0 320.9<br />

Solgold . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28.0 -0.8 29.4 1.6<br />

Sound Energy . . . . . . . . .75.0 0.5 97.0 15.4<br />

Staffline Group . . . . . . .935.5 34.5 1398.0 748.5<br />

Telford Homes . . . . . . .329.8 6.8 391.3 262.0<br />

Telit Communicati . . . .293.3 11.5 294.8 178.3<br />

Thorpe (F.W.) . . . . . . . .302.5 2.5 325.0 200.0<br />

Watkin Jones . . . . . . . . .117.8 0.3 124.0 100.3<br />

Young & Co's Brew . . .1332.0 -0.5 1350.5 1075.0<br />

Young & Co's Brew . . . .990.0 -10.0 1065.0 792.5<br />

SIG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .108.9 16.1<br />

Grafton Group Unit . . . . . . . . . .586.0 8.4<br />

International Pers . . . . . . . . . . . .172.0 5.0<br />

Daejan Holdings . . . . . . . . . . .6250.0 4.2<br />

Barratt Developmen . . . . . . . . .516.0 3.6<br />

Ascential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .291.4 3.4<br />

Genus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1783.0 3.1<br />

Travis Perkins . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1465.0 3.0<br />

ITV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .208.6 2.8<br />

Kingfisher . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .353.0 2.6<br />

Dunelm Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . .698.0 -5.9<br />

Nostrum Oil & Gas . . . . . . . . . . .457.7 -4.4<br />

Pennon Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . .776.5 -4.0<br />

Ferrexpo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .131.4 -2.7<br />

Capital & Counties . . . . . . . . . . .275.8 -2.4<br />

Just Eat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .517.5 -2.4<br />

AO World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .158.5 -2.3<br />

Rolls-Royce Holdin . . . . . . . . . . .661.5 -2.3<br />

Hunting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .624.5 -2.0<br />

Electra Private Eq . . . . . . . . . . .4651.0 -2.0<br />

Risers<br />

Fallers<br />

MAIN CHANGES UK 350<br />

Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low<br />

Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low<br />

GILTS<br />

http://corporate.webfg.com<br />

mailto:<br />

globaltechsales@webfg.com<br />

%<br />

%<br />

AU<strong>TO</strong>MOBILES & PARTS<br />

AEROSPACE & DEFENCE<br />

BANKS<br />

BEVERAGES<br />

CHEMICALS<br />

ELECTRICITY<br />

ELECTRONIC & ELECTRICAL EQ.<br />

EQUITY INVESTMENT INSTRUM.<br />

FINANCIAL SERVICES<br />

FIXED LINE TELECOMS<br />

FOOD & DRUG RETAILERS<br />

FOOD PRODUCERS<br />

FORESTRY & PAPER<br />

GAS, WATER & MULTIUTILITIES<br />

GENERAL INDUSTRIALS<br />

HEALTH CARE EQUIPMETN & S.<br />

OIL & GAS PRODUCERS<br />

OIL EQUIPMENT & SERVICES<br />

PERSONAL GOODS<br />

PHARMACEUTICALS & BIOTECH<br />

REAL ESTATE INVEST. & SERV.<br />

REAL ESTATE INVEST. TRUSTS<br />

SUPPORT SERVICES<br />

<strong>TO</strong>BACCO<br />

TRAVEL & LEISURE<br />

AIM 50<br />

Tsy 1.250 17 . . . . . . .103.98 -0.05 105.4 103.6<br />

Tsy 8.750 17 . . . . . . .105.33 -0.09 113.6 105.3<br />

Tsy 5.000 18 . . . . . .105.48 -0.07 110.0 105.4<br />

Tsy 4.500 19 . . . . . .109.29 -0.08 112.7 109.3<br />

Tsy 3.750 19 . . . . . . .109.32 -0.12 111.7 109.3<br />

Tsy 4.750 20 . . . . . . .113.85 -0.15 117.1 113.8<br />

Tsy 2.500 20 . . . . . .372.73 -0.19 374.3 357.7<br />

Tsy 8.000 21 . . . . . . .132.59 -0.21 138.2 132.5<br />

Tsy 4.000 22 . . . . . .116.89 -0.27 121.3 116.3<br />

Tsy 1.875 22 . . . . . . .128.02 -0.33 129.8 119.8<br />

Tsy 2.250 23 . . . . . .108.53 -0.43 113.6 105.3<br />

Tsy 0.125 24 . . . . . . . .118.16 -0.45 120.3 107.7<br />

Tsy 2.500 24 . . . . . .368.98 -0.40 374.5 337.4<br />

Tsy 5.000 25 . . . . . .130.04 -0.52 138.1 128.5<br />

Tsy 4.250 27 . . . . . .128.08 -0.68 138.3 125.2<br />

Tsy 1.250 27 . . . . . . .137.69 -0.55 142.5 124.6<br />

Tsy 6.000 28 . . . . . .149.17 -0.72 161.8 146.8<br />

Tsy 4.125 30 . . . . . . .368.77 -0.58 382.1 328.9<br />

Tsy 4.750 30 . . . . . .138.27 -0.82 153.0 133.8<br />

Tsy 4.250 32 . . . . . . .133.57 -0.91 148.9 127.9<br />

Tsy 1.250 32 . . . . . . .154.13 -0.80 162.2 135.8<br />

Tsy 0.125 36 . . . . . . . .141.21 -1.01 150.0 119.5<br />

Tsy 4.250 36 . . . . . . .137.38 -1.07 155.7 129.6<br />

Tsy 4.750 38 . . . . . .149.65 -1.18 170.9 140.2<br />

Tsy 0.625 40 . . . . . .163.44 -1.10 175.2 136.4<br />

Tsy 4.500 42 . . . . . .150.74 -1.30 174.5 139.3<br />

Tsy 3.500 45 . . . . . . .131.49 -1.46 154.6 120.2<br />

Tsy 4.250 46 . . . . . .150.61 -1.45 177.1 138.3<br />

Tsy 4.025 49 . . . . . .155.76 -1.60 185.4 141.9<br />

Tsy 0.500 50 . . . . . .189.38 -1.48 208.3 149.4<br />

Tsy 0.250 52 . . . . . .184.97 -1.60 205.0 142.9<br />

WORLD INDICES<br />

FTSE 100. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7337.81 45.44 0.62<br />

FTSE 250 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18371.94 68.44 0.37<br />

FTSE All-Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3971.69 22.70 0.57<br />

FTSE AIM All-Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . 873.94 3.65 0.42<br />

S&P 500 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2274.64 4.20 0.18<br />

Dow Jones I.A. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19885.73 -5.27 -0.03<br />

Nasdaq Composite . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5574.12 26.63 0.48<br />

Xetra DAX . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11629.18 108.14 0.94<br />

CAC 40 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4922.49 58.52 1.20<br />

Swiss Market Index . . . . . . . . . . . . 8452.19 77.17 0.92<br />

ISEQ Overall Index. . . . . . . . . . . . . 6658.95 53.76 0.81<br />

FTSEurofirst 300 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1447.22 13.80 0.96<br />

Hang Seng . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22937.38 108.36 0.47<br />

Shanghai Composite . . . . . . . . . . . 3112.76 -6.52 -0.21<br />

Straits Times . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3025.07 32.07 1.07<br />

ASX All Ordinaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5776.80 -44.80 -0.77<br />

Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg<br />

LIFE INSURANCE<br />

MOBILE TELECOMS<br />

INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING<br />

MEDIA<br />

MINING<br />

SOFTWARE & COMPUTER SERV.<br />

HHOLD GDS & HOME CONSTR.<br />

NON LIFE INSURANCE<br />

INDUSTRIAL TRANSPORTATION<br />

FTSE 100<br />

7337.81<br />

45.44<br />

FTSE 250<br />

18371.94<br />

68.44<br />

FTSE ALL SHARE<br />

3971.69<br />

22.70<br />

DOW JONES<br />

19885.73<br />

5.27<br />

NASDAQ<br />

5574.12<br />

26.63<br />

S&P 500<br />

2274.64<br />

4.20<br />

BATS UK 100<br />

12384.92<br />

57.29<br />

BATS UK 250<br />

16704.40<br />

39.95<br />

CONSTRUCTION & MATERIALS<br />

GENERAL RETAILERS<br />

INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING<br />

Rise | Shine<br />

CITY A.M. MORNING UPDATE<br />

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CITYAM.COM<br />

26 MARKETS MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017


CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

FEATURE<br />

27<br />

CURRENCY TRANSFERS<br />

ADVERTISEMENT FEATURE<br />

HOW COULD AN INTEREST<br />

RATE RISE IN THE US AFFECT<br />

YOUR INTERNATIONAL<br />

TRANSFER?<br />

Find out how a currency<br />

specialist could help you<br />

Although 2016 is a year that will<br />

be remembered for its surprises,<br />

it is about to close on a relatively<br />

predictable economic<br />

event. Despite the fact that the<br />

14 Dec US interest rate rise was widely<br />

anticipated, it is no less significant. It<br />

marks just the second time the Federal<br />

Reserve (Fed) has raised interest rates<br />

since the financial crisis - meaning the<br />

central bank’s confidence in the<br />

strength of the US economy is growing.<br />

Other announcements also helped<br />

buoy confidence. The Fed alluded to<br />

the possibility of another three rate<br />

hikes to come in 2017, while around the<br />

same time positive manufacturing data<br />

gave a boost to economic data. As a<br />

result of this wave of enthusiasm, the<br />

US Dollar flexed its might: the Euro fell<br />

to a 14-year low against the Dollar while<br />

in the space of a day the Dollar rose<br />

almost 2.5pc against the Pound.<br />

So does this imply a lean Christmas<br />

for the Pound? Not necessarily. At the<br />

time of writing, the Pound has ended<br />

the year with a slight resurgence<br />

against the Euro: since 1 November it<br />

has gone from its low around 1.11 in<br />

October to 1.19, taking it safely off its<br />

end of 2008 low when sterling got close<br />

to parity with the Euro.<br />

Against the Dollar a more sluggish<br />

recovery looked to be on track until the<br />

Fed’s announcement. However, putting<br />

it into context, Sterling is still very close<br />

to the bottom of its 10-year range<br />

against the US Dollar.<br />

Overall, we would do well to remember<br />

that a stronger US economy could<br />

be viewed as a beacon of light in what<br />

at times feels like a world of gloomy<br />

news flow. And what the UK economy<br />

could do with right now is more certainty.<br />

It is hard to know which way<br />

Sterling will go against these two major<br />

currencies from here, and much will<br />

hinge on Donald Trump’s policy as he<br />

heads for office in the New Year – especially<br />

for the Pound’s relationship with<br />

the Dollar. Meanwhile, election outcomes<br />

in key European nations such as<br />

Germany, France and Holland also have<br />

the potential to cause sharp movements<br />

between the Pound and the<br />

Euro.<br />

What it does remind us is that if making<br />

an international transfer is on the<br />

cards, it may be a good idea to consider<br />

your options. Not only do the exchange<br />

rates on offer vary considerably<br />

between providers, but there might be<br />

some things you can do to insulate<br />

your transfer from sharp adverse<br />

exchange rate movements. Using a<br />

foreign specialist is one of them, which<br />

is why City A.M. has teamed with<br />

moneycorp, to bring our readers the<br />

City A.M. International Payments<br />

service. So, what does the service offer<br />

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COMPETITIVE EXCHANGE RATES<br />

With moneycorp, City A.M. readers<br />

can access exchange rates that are up<br />

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receive from their high-street bank.<br />

moneycorp’s transfer fees are also<br />

WHAT OUR<br />

CUS<strong>TO</strong>MERS SAY<br />

City A.M. reader Stephen Tanner<br />

recently sold a property in the UK to<br />

fund a property purchase in France.<br />

“Having sold an investment property in<br />

the UK I needed to exchange the<br />

proceeds into euros and transfer it<br />

across the Channel to purchase a house<br />

in France, before making regular<br />

smaller payments to cover on-going<br />

costs. Moneycorp first came to my<br />

attention after reading about City A.M.<br />

International Payments in one of their<br />

publications. Not only did the service<br />

enable me to make the most of my<br />

initial €550,000 transfer by providing<br />

me with a more competitive exchange<br />

rate than my bank, the Regular<br />

Payment Plan facility offers a secure,<br />

flexible, efficient and cost-effective<br />

means of making repeat currency<br />

exchange and subsequent transfers.<br />

Furthermore, the service is fully<br />

automated which keeps me updated at<br />

each stage of the transaction process.<br />

This ability to future buy currency is<br />

extremely convenient and one not<br />

offered by my bank.<br />

typically much cheaper. While banks<br />

commonly charge between £20-£40<br />

every time you make an international<br />

payment, City A.M. International<br />

Payments online transfers are FREE or<br />

up to a maximum of £15 over the<br />

telephone.<br />

GUIDANCE ON YOUR TRANSFER AND<br />

CURRENCY MARKETS<br />

Each reader receives a dedicated personal<br />

account manager who is on hand<br />

to provide currency market and<br />

transfer guidance whenever it is needed.<br />

This could mean help setting up a<br />

‘forward contract’ which enables you to<br />

lock in today’s exchange rate for up to<br />

two years, so you can protect against<br />

any subsequent rate movements that<br />

might impact the value of your transfer.<br />

(Forward contracts require a<br />

deposit.)<br />

MAKE PAYMENTS ANYTIME, FROM<br />

ANYWHERE<br />

The service also means you can do<br />

everything online. That’s buy or sell<br />

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MAKE THOSE REGULAR PAYMENTS<br />

EASIER<br />

moneycorp’s Regular Payment Plan<br />

takes the hassle out of arranging regular<br />

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KEY BENEFITS<br />

£ Competitive exchange rates, saving<br />

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£ Safe and secure: moneycorp is<br />

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£ Expert guidance from a personal<br />

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£ Fast and easy to use online system<br />

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ularly. Because you have the option to<br />

fix the rate, you can set it up so that you<br />

know how much money is leaving your<br />

account each time and budget ahead<br />

confidently.<br />

moneycorp has been in the foreign<br />

exchange business since 1979. moneycorp<br />

is a trading name of TTT<br />

Moneycorp Ltd which is authorised and<br />

regulated by the Financial Conduct<br />

Authority for the provision of payment<br />

services and all customer funds are<br />

safeguarded in segregated client<br />

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**Based on an exchange rate comparison<br />

taken on 4th December 2016 between HSBC,<br />

RBS, Lloyds and moneycorp.<br />

For competitive rates and the<br />

exclusive City A.M. offer of<br />

free online transfers, call free<br />

on 0808 115 3718


28 LIFE&STYLE MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

TRAVEL<br />

French settlers brought their pet monkeys<br />

to the Caribbean islands of St.<br />

Kitts and Nevis in the 17th century.<br />

Soon after they promptly escaped and<br />

began multiplying (the monkeys, not<br />

the French), wreaking simian havoc wherever<br />

they went. The marauding apes now<br />

outnumber humans and routinely devastate<br />

crops in dawn raids, munching their way<br />

through entire fields of produce and stripping<br />

trees of fruit.<br />

A boisterous guide on the St. Kitts Scenic<br />

Railway joked that every visitor to the island<br />

gets a free monkey to take home, whether<br />

they want one or not. Nevertheless, as maligned<br />

as these pests are, the tourists adore<br />

them. Imagine watching somebody chase a<br />

greasy pigeon around Trafalgar Square,<br />

laughing and trying to take its picture, and<br />

you begin to understand what it must be<br />

like to live on this tiny West Indies island.<br />

Nevis is one of those paradise islands that<br />

repeatedly forces you to take stock of absolutely<br />

everything in your life. It is the<br />

metaphorical monkey in the carry-on, leaping<br />

out when you least expect it and taking<br />

several minutes and a couple of air hostesses<br />

to contain. Turn any corner on this five mile<br />

wide island and you’ll be slapped in the retinas<br />

by the ridiculous natural beauty of this<br />

part of the planet. Nevis is a lush green cone<br />

rising from the navy-teal seam between Atlantic<br />

and Caribbean waters, a “potentially<br />

active” volcano around which dirt roads<br />

wind like dusty brown ribbons. Clichéd as it<br />

is, it’s as if you’ve tumbled into an impossibly<br />

picturesque postcard.<br />

Somewhere on this postcard is Paradise<br />

Beach Nevis, where the constant presence of<br />

monkeys is felt not in their<br />

long-term agricultural impact<br />

on the island,<br />

but in their shortterm<br />

perviness. Each<br />

morning a family of<br />

them would watch<br />

me intently from a<br />

nearby tree as I<br />

scrubbed myself<br />

clean in the outdoor<br />

shower – my<br />

own unwitting<br />

peep show for<br />

the invasive locals.<br />

Some<br />

dirt<br />

doesn’t<br />

wash off.<br />

Watch<br />

the sun<br />

dip<br />

below<br />

the<br />

The perfect<br />

cure for the<br />

winter blues...<br />

Steve Hogarty enjoys tropical<br />

luxury on the twin paradise<br />

islands of St Kitts and Nevis<br />

Sunset over the Caribbean Sea, as seen<br />

from a villa terrace at Paradise Beach<br />

The Killer Bee is the<br />

island’s most infamous<br />

cocktail, a rum punch<br />

that’s renowned for<br />

inspiring those who<br />

sample it to take off all<br />

their clothes and run<br />

into the ocean<br />

horizon from your private pool at Paradise<br />

Beach and try to muster a single stressful<br />

thought. You cannot. Things matter so little<br />

here, reality is so all-encompassingly perfect,<br />

that you feel at risk of losing your physical<br />

form and floating away on the breeze like a<br />

really good smell. You’ll turn to your partner<br />

and, in a knowingly understated way, say<br />

“well this is sort of alright isn’t it?” between<br />

three and four hundred times during your<br />

stay. Being anywhere else now feels like<br />

some kind of cruel hell.<br />

Paradise Beach comprises seven luxurious<br />

and secluded villas on a small private strip<br />

of the coast. The beach bar is permanently<br />

staffed, even if you’re the only guests there,<br />

just in case you happen to wander down in<br />

search of a rum punch.<br />

A friendly concierge attends to your every<br />

need, arranging your groceries, summoning<br />

the in-house chef to cook for you and calling<br />

the local taxi driver (the no-nonsense Tin-<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

Tin, whose car smells like the fish soup<br />

lunches he eats every day) when you decide<br />

to wander out. They’ll give you a walking<br />

tour of the island, sharing its history –<br />

which is largely sugar plantation based –<br />

and advise you on local spots to eat and<br />

drink.<br />

The Killer Bee is the island’s most infamous<br />

cocktail, a rum punch that’s<br />

renowned for inspiring those who sample it<br />

to take off all their clothes and run into the<br />

ocean, often never to return. At Sunshine’s –<br />

one of those bustling, saltwater-beaten old<br />

beach huts held together by flags, red paint<br />

and high spirits – they mix it behind the bar<br />

to protect the recipe (and perhaps their licence<br />

too, as the drink is rumoured to contain<br />

bootleg rum smuggled in from the next<br />

island).<br />

If chugging hooch in a shed isn’t your bag,<br />

the island’s only wine cellar is to be found<br />

in the more sophisticated Coconut Grove.<br />

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CITYAM.COM<br />

MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

LIFE&STYLE<br />

29<br />

: @city_am<br />

:@cityamlife<br />

NEED <strong>TO</strong><br />

KNOW<br />

Paradise Beach<br />

is currently<br />

offering seven<br />

nights for the<br />

price of five in<br />

three and four<br />

bedroom villas<br />

until 30 April<br />

2017.<br />

It’s in this beachside enclave that you’ll find<br />

one of the very few pieces of beef available<br />

on the island too, imported from the US for<br />

homesick travellers. The island’s traditional<br />

cuisine is naturally more focused on daily<br />

catches of grouper, snapper and lionfish.<br />

The latter is an invasive species threatening<br />

the local ecosystem, so you’re encouraged to<br />

wolf down as much as you can. There are<br />

even festivals dedicated to coming up with<br />

new and inventive ways to prepare it.<br />

The highly awarded Coconut Grove is run<br />

by US-born and France-raised Gary Colt, a<br />

round-the-world skipper. When I tell him<br />

where we’ve come from, he fondly recalls<br />

his prized boat moored back in St. Katharine<br />

Docks. Many of the restaurateurs and hoteliers<br />

I spoke to seem vaguely restless here,<br />

driven to cabin fever by the island’s oppressively<br />

blissful pace. Paradise can be an unwitting<br />

prison for adventurous<br />

entrepreneurs, doomed to live out their days<br />

surrounded by unparalleled beauty, and to<br />

envy the likes of me showing up to chase the<br />

monkeys and then fly away again.<br />

As far as problems go, I can think of worse.<br />

Nevis is about as scenic and exclusive as<br />

Caribbean island retreats get, the more luxurious<br />

offshoot of the popular St. Kitts, and<br />

obscure enough a spot that most people mispronounce<br />

its name (it sounds like “Beavis”,<br />

rather than like the Scottish mountain). We<br />

were in good company here too. The Canadian<br />

prime minister had been the last person<br />

to stay in our villa at Paradise Beach,<br />

spending New Year’s Eve on the beach with<br />

his family.<br />

To think that the same monkeys that<br />

watched me shower had also watched Justin<br />

Trudeau brought me a great sense of peace<br />

and fulfilment. A shared experience captured<br />

in simian eyes – a profound unity of<br />

soapy men – now forever a part of this island’s<br />

continuing story.<br />

For more info<br />

visit paradise<br />

beachnevis.com<br />

Tropic Breeze<br />

offers a week’s<br />

stay in April from<br />

£1,620pp, based<br />

on six sharing a<br />

three-bedroom<br />

villa on a roomonly<br />

basis with<br />

a total saving<br />

of £2,500 per<br />

villa. Prices<br />

include return<br />

flights from<br />

London Gatwick<br />

to St Kitts on<br />

British Airways,<br />

private transfers<br />

from St Kitts to<br />

Nevis plus, taxes<br />

and service<br />

charges plus,<br />

two free nights<br />

and a concierge<br />

and on-call<br />

butler service.<br />

A short boat ride will take you to the more populated St Kitts, where you can ride the<br />

Scenic Railway and learn more about sugar plantations than you thought possible<br />

Hop to 5 Islands<br />

and make memories<br />

you'll treasure forever!<br />

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Search ‘Guernsey Memories’<br />

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30 FEATURE MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

OFFICE POLITICSASK THE EXPERT<br />

Every month, business etiquette experts at Debrett’s<br />

will seek to solve your professional dilemmas<br />

Q:<br />

Most of my day is spent in useless meetings and my<br />

colleagues seem blind to the fact that we’d all be more<br />

productive if we weren’t staring at each other in a room. I have<br />

just been promoted and I want to know what can I do to ensure<br />

the meetings that I lead are actually effective.<br />

WE ALL seem to spend a<br />

disproportionate<br />

amount of our time in<br />

meetings and, more<br />

often than not, they are<br />

something of an unhelpful habit<br />

rather than a necessity. You can be<br />

reasonably confident that no-one in<br />

attendance is clamouring for more,<br />

and on that basis you should declare<br />

your aim to make meetings shorter,<br />

less frequent and more productive.<br />

You should also state that you need<br />

everyone’s help. Doing so may make<br />

it the first agenda item with which<br />

everyone is fully engaged!<br />

You need to change a few habits,<br />

and assuming that you have an agenda,<br />

then the easiest thing to do is to<br />

establish a clear outcome for every<br />

agenda item. Then, at the end of each<br />

meeting, allocate a few minutes to<br />

review how you did against your own<br />

objectives. This way, you will focus<br />

the collaborative energy and intellect<br />

of the group in order to make<br />

changes to your meetings culture.<br />

As part of the process, you should<br />

SEND US YOUR<br />

QUESTIONS OR<br />

DILEMMAS<br />

For the chance to have<br />

your question answered by<br />

the Office Politics Expert,<br />

please email enquiries@<br />

debretts.co.uk<br />

For information on Debrett’s business<br />

coaching courses for both recent<br />

graduates and high-flying executives, visit<br />

www.debretts.com/training-academy<br />

look at what your meetings are currently<br />

used for. All too frequently<br />

they become opportunities to tell<br />

people things, rather than actually<br />

discuss them. Why get people into a<br />

room just to tell them things they<br />

could read in an email? It is healthy<br />

to get people into the habit of sharing<br />

information in advance so that the<br />

meeting can be used exclusively for<br />

discussion.<br />

It is also interesting to reflect on the<br />

fact that meetings are rarely used for<br />

persuading and inspiring people<br />

(when was the last time you were<br />

inspired in a meeting, honestly?) and,<br />

given that inspiration is rarely conveyed<br />

over email, a meeting is the<br />

best opportunity. This doesn’t mean<br />

that every meeting must be launched<br />

with an inspiring or motivational<br />

speech (although it is great if that<br />

does happen occasionally). If every<br />

agenda point addresses an issue that<br />

is important to the group, and it is<br />

expressed as a question that needs an<br />

answer, you will find that people<br />

want to be engaged.<br />

This leads to the next point. As part<br />

of your shake-up, you should also<br />

question who should attend the<br />

meeting. There is a great principle<br />

that attendance can be cut down to<br />

those whose perspectives are relevant<br />

to the subject matter and that everyone<br />

at the table should have a speaking<br />

part. Put simply, if someone can’t<br />

contribute, they should not be there.<br />

A recent article in the Wall Street<br />

Journal suggests that, if decisions are<br />

needed, then a maximum of seven<br />

people at the table is ideal. Every person<br />

beyond that number reduces the<br />

potential of making a sound decision<br />

by 10 per cent.<br />

One of your challenges will be to<br />

ensure that everyone does contribute.<br />

There are some simple guidelines<br />

that will help you achieve this. First<br />

and foremost, you must create time<br />

and space for people to speak, knowing<br />

that they will not be interrupted.<br />

In addition, everyone must sign-up to<br />

the idea that the best meetings are<br />

not competitions for air time and<br />

that everyone’s perspective is valuable.<br />

The great thing about taking<br />

this approach is that you will hear<br />

from everyone, not just the loudest in<br />

the room. This may upset the status<br />

quo temporarily, but people quickly<br />

realise the benefit.<br />

Every meeting should conclude<br />

with suggestions for the agenda next<br />

time, followed swiftly by a collective<br />

review on how you did versus your<br />

objectives. This should ensure that<br />

meetings under your leadership continue<br />

to evolve and improve.<br />

£ Rupert Wesson is The Academy<br />

director at Debrett’s.


CITYAM.COM MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017 SPORT 31<br />

RUGBY UNION<br />

Last-gasp Sarries seal place in quarter-finals<br />

ROSS MCLEAN<br />

@rossmcleanRMAC<br />

SARACENS boss Mark McCall praised<br />

his side’s doggedness after a last-gasp<br />

Chris Ashton try snatched a dramatic<br />

22-22 draw with Scarlets and sealed<br />

their passage to the European<br />

Champions Cup quarter-finals.<br />

Ashton crossed the line for the<br />

second time with the final play of<br />

the game and Owen Farrell duly<br />

FOOTBALL<br />

Man City come unstuck at Toffees<br />

FRANK DALLERES<br />

@frankdalleres<br />

MANCHESTER City manager Pep<br />

Guardiola admits his team may be<br />

out of the title race after he suffered<br />

the heaviest league defeat of his glittering<br />

career at Everton on Sunday.<br />

Striker Romelu Lukaku and winger<br />

Kevin Mirallas put the Toffees in control<br />

before young midfielder Tom<br />

Davies and £11m debutant Ademola<br />

Lookman added gloss to the scoreline.<br />

It left City fifth in the Premier<br />

League, 10 points behind runaway<br />

leaders Chelsea, and prompted<br />

Guardiola to suggest that second<br />

place is the best they can hope for in<br />

his first season.<br />

“Ten points is a lot of points. The second<br />

one [Tottenham] is three points.<br />

We have to see,” said the former Bayern<br />

Munich and Barcelona coach.<br />

“I told my players the last month<br />

‘forget about the table, focus on the<br />

next game and try to do our best to<br />

win the games’.<br />

“At the end of the season we are<br />

going to evaluate how our level and<br />

performance was – how was the<br />

coach, how was the players – and<br />

after we are going to decide.”<br />

Everton manager Ronald Koeman,<br />

meanwhile, savoured an ideal after-<br />

GOLF<br />

Storm beats McIlroy in South<br />

Africa to end 10-year drought<br />

FRANK DALLERES<br />

@frankdalleres<br />

FORGOTTEN man Graeme Storm<br />

completed his remarkable<br />

turnaround in fortunes over the<br />

last three months by beating world<br />

No2 Rory McIlroy to the South<br />

African Open on Sunday.<br />

Storm looked to have missed out<br />

on his tour card by the slimmest of<br />

margins when he bogeyed the last<br />

at the Portugal Masters in October,<br />

only to be granted a reprieve when<br />

American Patrick Reed freed up a<br />

place by declining his exemption.<br />

The Englishman took full<br />

advantage in his first tournament<br />

of 2017, seeing off McIlroy at the<br />

converted, after Wales centre Scott<br />

Williams appeared to have set<br />

Scarlets on course for victory with a<br />

second-half touchdown.<br />

The draw ended Scarlets’ hopes of<br />

reaching the last eight, while<br />

reigning champions Saracens failed<br />

to set a tournament record of 14<br />

successive wins.<br />

“From a performance point of<br />

view, there were a lot of things we<br />

didn’t do well today,” said McCall.<br />

Guardiola admits title bid is in tatters<br />

after Everton run up landmark victory<br />

PREMIER LEAGUE<br />

EVER<strong>TO</strong>N 4<br />

MANCHESTER CITY 0<br />

noon, although they remain seven<br />

points behind sixth-placed Manchester<br />

United.<br />

“You cannot plan a game like this,”<br />

said Koeman. “It is always difficult<br />

against City because they play great<br />

football, but the second half was perfect<br />

in every aspect. We scored at the<br />

right time in the first half and then to<br />

score straight after half-time made it<br />

very difficult for them.”<br />

City posed the greater threat in the<br />

first half hour but Raheem Sterling<br />

and David Silva were both thwarted<br />

by Everton goalkeeper Joel Robles before<br />

the hosts grabbed the opening<br />

goal.<br />

The dynamic Davies intercepted a<br />

City pass out of defence and fed Mirallas,<br />

whose cut-back allowed Lukaku to<br />

plant a first-time finish past a wrongfooted<br />

Claudio Bravo.<br />

Davies cleared a Bacary Sagna<br />

header off the line just before the<br />

break and Everton compounded their<br />

advantage immediately after the interval<br />

when Ross Barkley fed Mirallas<br />

to sweep low past Bravo.<br />

Guardiola threw on attacking reinforcements<br />

but it was the home side<br />

who struck again 11 minutes from<br />

time, 18-year-old Davies capping a buccaneering<br />

70-yard run with a delicate<br />

dinked finish.<br />

Substitute Lookman, 19, a January<br />

signing from League One Charlton<br />

who was playing Sunday league football<br />

three years ago, drove an opportunistic<br />

fourth between Bravo’s legs<br />

deep into injury time.<br />

third hole of a play-off to claim his<br />

first European Tour title for almost<br />

10 years.<br />

“I can’t quite believe it,” said the<br />

38-year-old. “This is a dream come<br />

true, especially after what<br />

happened to me last year. I have<br />

been to hell and back. It has been<br />

an absolute rollercoaster over the<br />

last year and a half.”<br />

Storm took a three-shot lead into<br />

the final day and finished with a<br />

one-under-par round of 71 to leave<br />

him on 18 under par. McIlroy’s 68<br />

forced a play-off, but while Storm<br />

parred all the extra holes, the<br />

Northern Irishman succumbed at<br />

the third. England’s Jordan L<br />

Smith, 24, finished in third place.<br />

“We made more mistakes than we<br />

wanted. But we find a way to be<br />

resilient, hang in there and give<br />

ourselves a chance. To find a way to<br />

get two points out of it is a good<br />

achievement.”<br />

Scarlets held a 9-5 half-time lead as<br />

three Dan Jones penalties cancelled<br />

out wing Nathan Earle’s try for the<br />

visitors, only for Toulon-bound<br />

Ashton to cross the line and fire<br />

Saracens into the ascendency nine<br />

IN BRIEF<br />

MELBOURNE VIC<strong>TO</strong>RY SEES<br />

PAKISTAN LEVEL SERIES<br />

£ CRICKET: Pakistan recorded their<br />

first one-day victory on Australian soil<br />

for 12 years to level the series at 1-1<br />

with three games of the five-match<br />

series to play. Seamer Mohammad<br />

Amir claimed 3-47 as Pakistan<br />

dismissed Australia for 220. In reply,<br />

stand-in skipper Mohammad Hafeez<br />

top scored with 72, while Shoaib Malik<br />

struck 42 not out, as Pakistan won by<br />

six wickets with 2.2 overs to spare.<br />

O’SULLIVAN RIDES LUCK <strong>TO</strong><br />

SEAL MASTERS PROGRESS<br />

£ SNOOKER: Defending champion<br />

Ronnie O’Sullivan survived a scare<br />

before reaching the Masters quarterfinal<br />

with a 6-5 over China’s Liang<br />

Wenbo yesterday. World No11 Wenbo<br />

recovered from 4-2 down to lead 5-4<br />

but missed the final black in the 10th<br />

which would have settled the tie.<br />

O’Sullivan amassed 121 in the deciding<br />

frame to seal victory.<br />

minutes after the re-start.<br />

Williams pierced a gaping hole in<br />

the Saracens defence moments later<br />

to restore the home side’s advantage<br />

before Ashton’s late intervention and<br />

the boot of Farrell shattered the<br />

Welsh outfit. Saracens boast a fivepoint<br />

lead over second-placed Toulon<br />

in their pool and remain on course<br />

for a home quarter-final, while the<br />

two European heavyweights meet at<br />

Allianz Park on Saturday.<br />

Davies (right) capped a dynamic display with Everton’s third goal<br />

LIVERPOOL’S MANE SCORES<br />

AS SENEGAL WIN OPENER<br />

£ FOOTBALL: Liverpool’s Sadio Mane<br />

converted a 10th minute penalty as<br />

Senegal began their Africa Cup of<br />

Nations campaign with a 2-0 victory<br />

over Tunisia yesterday. Mane scored<br />

after West Ham’s Cheikhou Kouyate<br />

had been felled in the penalty area,<br />

while Kara Mbodji added a second with<br />

a powerful header. Victory sent Senegal<br />

to the top of Group B after Algeria drew<br />

2-2 with Zimbabwe.<br />

DURRANT BEATS NOPPERT<br />

<strong>TO</strong> CLAIM FIRST BDO TITLE<br />

£ DARTS: England’s Glen Durrant<br />

claimed his maiden BDO World Darts<br />

Championship title after a 7-3 victory<br />

over Holland’s Danny Noppert last<br />

night. Durrant said: “In 1989, I watched<br />

a match between Eric Bristow and<br />

Jocky Wilson that inspired me to pick<br />

up a set of darts. Now, thanks to hard<br />

work, determination and Teesside<br />

steel, I am world champion.”<br />

RESULTS<br />

FOOTBALL<br />

PREMIER LEAGUE<br />

Everton ...................(1) 4 Man City ....................(0) 0<br />

Lukaku 34<br />

Mirallas 47<br />

Davies 79<br />

Lookman 90 Att: 39,588<br />

Man Utd .................(0) 1 Liverpool ....................(1) 1<br />

Ibrahimovic 84<br />

Milner 27 (pen)<br />

Att: 75,276<br />

P W D L F A GD Pts<br />

Chelsea............................21 17 1 3 45 15 30 52<br />

Tottenham .....................21 13 6 2 43 14 29 45<br />

Liverpool ........................21 13 6 2 49 24 25 45<br />

Arsenal............................21 13 5 3 48 22 26 44<br />

Man City .........................21 13 3 5 41 26 15 42<br />

Man Utd .........................21 11 7 3 32 20 12 40<br />

Everton ...........................21 9 6 6 32 23 9 33<br />

West Brom....................21 8 5 8 28 28 0 29<br />

Stoke ................................21 7 6 8 27 33 -6 27<br />

Burnley ............................21 8 2 11 23 31 -8 26<br />

Bournemouth ..............21 7 4 10 30 37 -7 25<br />

West Ham .....................21 7 4 10 26 35 -9 25<br />

Southamptn .................21 6 6 9 19 26 -7 24<br />

Watford ..........................21 6 5 10 23 36 -13 23<br />

Leicester .........................21 5 6 10 24 34 -10 21<br />

Middlesbro’ ...................21 4 8 9 17 22 -5 20<br />

Crystal Pal .....................21 4 4 13 30 40 -10 16<br />

Hull ....................................21 4 4 13 20 45 -25 16<br />

Sunderland ...................21 4 3 14 20 40 -20 15<br />

Swansea .........................21 4 3 14 23 49 -26 15<br />

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS GROUP B<br />

Algeria ....................(1) 2 Zimbabwe .................(2) 2<br />

Mahrez 13, 82 Mahachi 17<br />

Mushekwi 29 (pen)<br />

Tunisia ...................(0) 0 Senegal ......................(2) 2<br />

Mane 10 (pen)<br />

Mbodji 30<br />

P W D L F A GD Pts<br />

Senegal .............................1 1 0 0 2 0 2 3<br />

Algeria ..............................1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1<br />

Zimbabwe........................1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1<br />

Tunisia ...............................1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0<br />

BASKETBALL<br />

BBL CUP FINAL: Newcastle 91 Glasgow 83.<br />

CRICKET<br />

FIRST ONE DAY INTERNATIONAL—England v India<br />

(Pune): England 350-7 (50.0 overs; J E Root 78, J J Roy<br />

73, B A Stokes 62). India 356-7 (48.1 overs; V Kohli 122, K<br />

M Jadhav 120). India beat England by 3 wickets.<br />

FIRST TEST MATCH—Bangladesh v New Zealand<br />

(Wellington): Bangladesh 595-8dec. (152.0 overs; Shakib<br />

Al Hasan 217, Mushfiqur Rahim 159, Mominul Haque 64,<br />

Tamim Iqbal 56, Sabbir Rahman 54no; N Wagner 4-151)<br />

and 89-5 (18.3 overs). New Zealand 539 (148.2 overs; T W<br />

M Latham 177, M J Santner 73, H M Nicholls 53, K S<br />

Williamson 53).<br />

SECOND ONE DAY INTERNATIONAL—Australia v<br />

Pakistan (Melbourne): Australia 220 (48.2 overs; S P D<br />

Smith 60). Pakistan 221-4 (47.4 overs; Mohammad Hafeez<br />

72). Pakistan beat Australia by 6 wickets.<br />

DARTS<br />

BDO WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP (The Lakeside Complex,<br />

Frimley Green, Surrey)—Final: G Durrant (Eng) bt D<br />

Noppert (Ned) 7-3.<br />

GOLF<br />

BMW SA OPEN (Johannesburg)—Final Rnd (Gbr & Irl<br />

unless stated, par 72): 270 G Storm 69 63 67 71 (Storm<br />

won at 3rd play-off hole), R McIlroy 67 68 67 68, 271 J<br />

Smith 67 68 68 68, 273 D Burmester (Rsa) 67 70 67 69,<br />

274 T Aiken (Rsa) 67 70 68 69, T Fisher Jnr (Rsa) 66 68<br />

71 69, 275 J Stalter (Fra) 69 70 65 71, P Uihlein (USA) 70<br />

64 70 71, D Drysdale 70 65 71 69, A Bjork (Swe) 68 71 68<br />

68, M Korhonen (Fin) 72 66 67 70, E Molinari (Ita) 71 70<br />

63 71, 276 J Morrison 70 72 66 68, 277 R S Johnson<br />

(Swe) 69 70 66 72, L Canter 69 66 71 71, J Winther (Den)<br />

69 70 70 68, G King 73 68 66 70, 278 T Lewis 72 71 69<br />

66, J Fahrbring (Swe) 68 71 71 68, J Van Zyl (Rsa) 71 65<br />

68 74.<br />

RUGBY UNION<br />

EUROPEAN CHAMPIONS CUP POOL 3<br />

Scarlets .............................22 Saracens ..........................22<br />

Toulon ................................27 Sale ................................... 12<br />

P W D L B F A Pts<br />

Saracens ................................5 4 1 0 2 171 84 20<br />

Toulon ......................................5 3 0 2 3 117 90 15<br />

Scarlets...................................5 2 1 2 0 118 129 10<br />

Sale ...........................................5 0 0 5 0 41 144 0<br />

POOL 5<br />

Bordeaux-Begles................6 Clermont Auvergne ..........9<br />

Exeter .................................31 Ulster ................................ 19<br />

P W D L B F A Pts<br />

Clermont Auvergne ..........5 4 0 1 5 163 105 21<br />

Exeter ......................................5 2 0 3 3 84 98 11<br />

Bordeaux-Begles ...............5 2 0 3 2 92 98 10<br />

Ulster .......................................5 2 0 3 1 109 147 9<br />

EUROPEAN CHALLENGE CUP POOL 2<br />

Ospreys .............................47 Lyon Olympique................. 7<br />

P W D L B F A Pts<br />

Ospreys ...................................5 5 0 0 5 253 30 25<br />

Lyon Olympique ..................5 2 0 3 3 130 151 11<br />

Newcastle ..............................5 2 0 3 3 137 154 11<br />

Grenoble .................................5 1 0 4 1 61 246 5<br />

SNOOKER<br />

DAFABET MASTERS (Alexandra Palace, London)—1st<br />

rnd: R O’Sullivan (Eng) bt L Wenbo (Chn) 6-5.<br />

<strong>TO</strong>DAY’S DIARY<br />

Africa Cup Of Nations Group C<br />

Congo DR v Morocco (7pm) ..........................................................................<br />

Ivory Coast v Togo (4pm) ..............................................................................<br />

CRICKET<br />

First Test Match—day 5 of 5: New Zealand v<br />

Bangladesh (Wellington, 22).<br />

SNOOKER<br />

Dafabet Masters 2017 (Alexandra Palace).<br />

TENNIS<br />

Australian Open (Melbourne, Australia).


32 SPORT MONDAY 16 JANUARY 2017<br />

SPORT<br />

FOOTBALL<br />

Tempers flare<br />

as Klopp and<br />

Jose clash<br />

PREMIER LEAGUE<br />

MANCHESTER UNITED 1<br />

LIVERPOOL 1<br />

ROSS MCLEAN<br />

@rossmcleanRMAC<br />

LIVERPOOL boss Jurgen Klopp accused<br />

Manchester United counterpart Jose<br />

Mourinho of attempting to coerce referee<br />

Michael Oliver into showing Roberto<br />

Firmino a red card as tensions sizzled<br />

during yesterday's draw.<br />

Firmino was booked for shoving Ander<br />

Herrera after the forward reacted angrily<br />

to the Spaniard pulling his shirt as the<br />

visitors looked to counter-attack in the<br />

dying embers of a pulsating clash.<br />

Both managers, who became embroiled<br />

in a heated touchline exchange,<br />

ultimately had to settle for a point as<br />

Zlatan Ibrahimovic headed an 84thminute<br />

leveller after James Milner had<br />

clinically dispatched a first-half penalty.<br />

The draw ended United’s nine-match<br />

winning streak and left them sixth in the<br />

table, four points adrift of a Champions<br />

League spot, while Liverpool returned to<br />

third and lie seven points behind leaders<br />

Chelsea.<br />

“He [Mourinho] wanted the minimum<br />

of a yellow card, I don’t know,” said<br />

Klopp. “I think the ref whistled before<br />

anything else happened.<br />

“Roberto is a footballer from head to<br />

toe and he wanted to stay in the game. He<br />

could have passed the ball but that was a<br />

yellow card for Herrera and nothing else.<br />

“In the end it was a yellow card for the<br />

guy who wanted to play football. It would<br />

have been even worse if someone wants<br />

to see it again and all that stuff. We [him<br />

and Mourinho] could not have the same<br />

opinion in this moment.”<br />

Mourinho denied he was trying to lobby<br />

for Firmino’s dismissal. He said: “He<br />

[Klopp] thought I was asking for his<br />

player to be sent off, I wasn’t. There was<br />

no problem at all.”<br />

Klopp also denounced United for an<br />

inhospitable welcome, adding: “I read the<br />

programme notes and it is the first time<br />

that there was nothing about ‘welcome<br />

to Liverpool’ or something like this.<br />

“Then I wanted a coffee and in the can<br />

was only tea. It’s started already, yeah?<br />

It’s all okay. It’s football.”<br />

Mourinho, meanwhile, whose side was<br />

chastised for adopting supposedly ultradefensive<br />

tactics during the goalless draw<br />

in the reverse fixture at Anfield in<br />

October, was happy to point the finger of<br />

negativity in Klopp’s direction.<br />

“We changed the qualities of our game<br />

and went to a more direct approach<br />

because Liverpool were defending with<br />

so many bodies behind the ball,” added<br />

the Portuguese.<br />

Liverpool opened the scoring on 27<br />

minutes when Milner converted a spotkick<br />

after Paul Pogba inexplicably<br />

handled as he challenged Dejan Lovren.<br />

But United levelled with six minutes<br />

remaining as Ibrahimovic stooped to<br />

divert an Antonio Valencia cross over<br />

goalkeeper Simon Mignolet after<br />

Marouane Fellaini’s initial flick had<br />

ricocheted off the post.<br />

<strong>TO</strong>P SIX<br />

TEAM PLD W D L F A PTS<br />

Chelsea 21 17 1 3 45 15 52<br />

Tottenham 21 13 6 2 43 14 45<br />

Liverpool 21 13 6 2 49 24 45<br />

Arsenal 21 13 5 3 48 22 44<br />

Man City 21 13 3 5 41 26 42<br />

Man Utd 21 11 7 3 32 20 40<br />

CITYAM.COM<br />

PEP’S GOODISON NIGHTMARE Guardiola<br />

admits City title bid in tatters after<br />

landmark Everton victory PAGE 31<br />

Jose Mourinho and Jurgen Klopp exchanged words<br />

TENNIS<br />

In-form Konta<br />

coy on Aussie<br />

Open chances<br />

FRANK DALLERES<br />

@frankdalleres<br />

BRITAIN’S Johanna Konta has<br />

played down her status as Britain’s<br />

most credible female grand slam<br />

contender since Virginia Wade as<br />

she prepares to begin her<br />

Australian Open campaign tonight.<br />

Konta goes into the year’s first<br />

major tournament at a career-high<br />

ranking of ninth in the world and<br />

buoyed by a string of fine<br />

performances already this month.<br />

The 25-year-old reached the last<br />

four in Shenzhen and then topped<br />

that in Sydney last week, winning<br />

the title without dropping a set and<br />

blitzing world No3 Agnieszka<br />

Radwanska in the final.<br />

“I’m definitely very pleased with<br />

the level I played but we all know<br />

that it’s not a given. It doesn’t<br />

decide how you will do in the next<br />

event,” said Konta.<br />

“I’m taking it as a positive from<br />

the week itself, but I’m looking to<br />

work hard here again and really try<br />

to do the best that I can.”<br />

Konta, who was born in Sydney<br />

and moved to Eastbourne as a<br />

teenager, starts her tournament in<br />

the early hours of Tuesday against<br />

Belgian Kirsten Flipkens, who won<br />

their only previous clash.<br />

“I’m looking forward to the<br />

opportunity to play her again,” she<br />

added. “She is a great player. She’s a<br />

Wimbledon semi-finalist. She’s<br />

been around the tour for a long<br />

time and that’s no accident.”<br />

Wade was the last British woman<br />

to win a grand slam singles title, in<br />

1977 at Wimbledon. She also won<br />

the Australian Open in 1972.<br />

RECORD PRIZES ON OFFER<br />

Tennis stars will do battle for the second<br />

largest pay-cheque in the sport’s history<br />

at the Australian Open. A men’s and<br />

women’s singles champion prize of<br />

AUS$3.7m (£2.2m) is the most generous<br />

ever offered at the tournament and<br />

second in size only to last year’s US Open.<br />

This year’s winners will bank AUS$300,000<br />

more than Novak Djokovic and Angelique<br />

Kerber took home 12 months ago.<br />

CRICKET<br />

Morgan questions batting as Kohli inspires India victory<br />

ROSS MCLEAN<br />

@rossmcleanRMAC<br />

ENGLAND skipper Eoin Morgan<br />

blamed a below-par batting<br />

performance as his side succumbed to<br />

a three-wicket defeat in their opening<br />

one-day clash against India in Pune<br />

yesterday.<br />

The tourists’ total of 350-7,<br />

England’s record tally against India<br />

and their ninth highest of all time,<br />

proved insufficient as a Virat Kohli<br />

masterclass and destructive century<br />

from Kedar Jadhav proved decisive.<br />

Kohli and Jadhav shared a 200-run<br />

stand as India completed the jointfourth<br />

best run chase in history,<br />

winning with 11 deliveries to spare,<br />

which looked an unlikely prospect<br />

after they were reduced to 63-4.<br />

Batsman Joe Root earlier top<br />

scored for England with 78,<br />

while opener Jason Roy hit 73<br />

and all-rounder Ben Stokes a<br />

40-ball 62 as England piled on<br />

115 runs in the final 10 overs<br />

of their innings, although it<br />

was not enough for victory or<br />

Morgan.<br />

“Our batting effort wasn’t<br />

our best – it summarised the<br />

conditions here where the pitch is<br />

good and the boundaries are<br />

small,” said Morgan. “You<br />

don’t know what a good<br />

score is.<br />

“It hurts more because<br />

we had them 63-4. That’s<br />

what hurts the most.<br />

Even though Kohli<br />

was still in we were<br />

right into the<br />

middle order. Our<br />

plan was to get<br />

Kohli off strike and<br />

we certainly didn’t<br />

expect Jadhav to<br />

Kohli top scored for India<br />

with a knock of 122<br />

play like that.<br />

“We bowled brilliantly early on<br />

but our hope is that as our bowlers<br />

become more experienced they can<br />

come up with good enough skills.”<br />

India captain Kohli, meanwhile,<br />

whose 17th second-innings hundred<br />

equalled the record of the great<br />

Sachin Tendulkar, only in 136 fewer<br />

knocks, admitted that he felt<br />

England would wobble as India<br />

turned up the heat in their run<br />

chase.<br />

“The moment he came to the<br />

crease, Jadhav started hitting the ball<br />

really well,” said Kohli, who top<br />

scored for India with 122. “I said, ‘if<br />

we get to 150 here, they will press<br />

the panic button – watch’.”<br />

England surged into the<br />

ascendency early in India’s reply as<br />

Yorkshire’s David Willey removed<br />

India openers Shikhar Dhawan and<br />

KL Rahul in quick succession and<br />

Yuvraj Singh and MS Dhoni also fell<br />

cheaply.<br />

But they ultimately had no answer<br />

to expert chaser Kohli and Jadhav,<br />

who scorched a 65-ball ton on his<br />

home ground and finished with 120,<br />

as India secured a 1-0 lead in the<br />

three-match showdown. The next<br />

one-day tussle takes place in Cuttack<br />

on Thursday.

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