Monthly Report – December 2016
CII%20BCG%20Growth%20Index_January%202017_CII
CII%20BCG%20Growth%20Index_January%202017_CII
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Welders<br />
Demand drivers growth hit historic lows - future growth<br />
dependent on uptick in infra, real estate and auto sectors<br />
Automotive Real estate Infrastructure<br />
• Automotive sales de-grew ~ 19% for<br />
Dec'16 <strong>–</strong> highest in last 16 years<br />
• With rural demand drying up, 2W<br />
faced the brunt of de-monetization -<br />
sales fall by 22%<br />
• PV and CV saw sales declining by -<br />
1% and -5% respectively<br />
• Players cut down production to adapt<br />
to the falling sales <strong>–</strong> production fell<br />
by 22%<br />
• Industry awaiting budgetary<br />
proposals to boost consumer<br />
demand<br />
• De-monetisation adversely effected<br />
the residential real estate market<br />
• New launches and sales fell in 15% -<br />
80% range for Q4CY<strong>2016</strong> across<br />
Tier 1 cities<br />
• Commercial space remains stable<br />
with improving vacancy levels<br />
• PM announced interest subvention of<br />
3% - 4% for low income housing<br />
• SBI, HDFC and ICICI cut base rates<br />
by 50-90 bps and other banks are<br />
following suit<br />
• Industry hopeful of renewed demand<br />
on back of falling interest rates and<br />
govt's push on housing<br />
• $10 billion to be spent over next five<br />
years for developing airport<br />
infrastructure<br />
• Infrastructure output growth<br />
decelerated to 4.9% for Nov'16<br />
following 6.6% growth in Oct'16<br />
• Infrastructure credit deployment<br />
declined to 8% for Nov'16<br />
• Railways spent Rs 12,000 crs during<br />
the year on new lines - going slow<br />
on further investments due to fund<br />
constraints and mounting loses<br />
• Road laying not picking up with<br />
highway construction pace at<br />
513km/month for 7MFY2017 against<br />
FY<strong>2016</strong>'s 502km/month<br />
• Private investment in infrastructure to<br />
be limited - govt. spend needed for<br />
rejuvenating infra space<br />
Source: Infrastructureindia.gov.in, SIAM, press runs, analyst reports<br />
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