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Monthly Report – December 2016

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Welders<br />

Demand drivers growth hit historic lows - future growth<br />

dependent on uptick in infra, real estate and auto sectors<br />

Automotive Real estate Infrastructure<br />

• Automotive sales de-grew ~ 19% for<br />

Dec'16 <strong>–</strong> highest in last 16 years<br />

• With rural demand drying up, 2W<br />

faced the brunt of de-monetization -<br />

sales fall by 22%<br />

• PV and CV saw sales declining by -<br />

1% and -5% respectively<br />

• Players cut down production to adapt<br />

to the falling sales <strong>–</strong> production fell<br />

by 22%<br />

• Industry awaiting budgetary<br />

proposals to boost consumer<br />

demand<br />

• De-monetisation adversely effected<br />

the residential real estate market<br />

• New launches and sales fell in 15% -<br />

80% range for Q4CY<strong>2016</strong> across<br />

Tier 1 cities<br />

• Commercial space remains stable<br />

with improving vacancy levels<br />

• PM announced interest subvention of<br />

3% - 4% for low income housing<br />

• SBI, HDFC and ICICI cut base rates<br />

by 50-90 bps and other banks are<br />

following suit<br />

• Industry hopeful of renewed demand<br />

on back of falling interest rates and<br />

govt's push on housing<br />

• $10 billion to be spent over next five<br />

years for developing airport<br />

infrastructure<br />

• Infrastructure output growth<br />

decelerated to 4.9% for Nov'16<br />

following 6.6% growth in Oct'16<br />

• Infrastructure credit deployment<br />

declined to 8% for Nov'16<br />

• Railways spent Rs 12,000 crs during<br />

the year on new lines - going slow<br />

on further investments due to fund<br />

constraints and mounting loses<br />

• Road laying not picking up with<br />

highway construction pace at<br />

513km/month for 7MFY2017 against<br />

FY<strong>2016</strong>'s 502km/month<br />

• Private investment in infrastructure to<br />

be limited - govt. spend needed for<br />

rejuvenating infra space<br />

Source: Infrastructureindia.gov.in, SIAM, press runs, analyst reports<br />

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