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Monthly Presentation Oct 2018

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How September <strong>2018</strong> Unfolded<br />

• USD 6.4bn has gone out<br />

of Indian debt market in<br />

FY19 compared to<br />

inflow of USD 18.5bn in<br />

FY18<br />

• CPI declined to a 10-<br />

month low 3.7% in<br />

August <strong>2018</strong>, lower than<br />

MPC’s medium-term<br />

target of 4.0%<br />

• Bond market yields rise<br />

on account of<br />

depreciating rupee and<br />

increasing Brent crude<br />

prices<br />

• Brent Oil Has Biggest<br />

<strong>2018</strong> gain in September<br />

as Iran sanctions rattle<br />

market at ~$83 per<br />

barrel<br />

FII Demand<br />

Weakens<br />

CPI Drops<br />

Yield Sharpens<br />

Brent Crude<br />

Climbs<br />

• At $17.4 billion, India’s<br />

trade deficit in August<br />

has eased from a near<br />

five-year high of $18.02<br />

billion in July.<br />

Trade Deficit<br />

Widening<br />

• In six months to<br />

September, the rupee<br />

depreciated 4.09% to<br />

close at 72.49 against<br />

the US dollar.<br />

Falling Rupee<br />

• The Reserve Bank of<br />

India bought 100 billion<br />

rupees of bonds on 27th<br />

Sept’18. This was also<br />

the fifth such auction by<br />

RBI in this fiscal.<br />

RBI Infuses<br />

Liquidity<br />

• US Fed raised interest<br />

rates by 25bps from 2%<br />

to 2.25%. This is the<br />

eighth time the Fed has<br />

hiked the rate since<br />

2015.<br />

Fed Rate Hike<br />

52<br />

Data as of September <strong>2018</strong>, Source: News Media, ICRA

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