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Monthly Presentation Oct 2018

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Aug-12<br />

<strong>Oct</strong>-12<br />

Dec-12<br />

Feb-13<br />

Apr-13<br />

Jun-13<br />

Aug-13<br />

<strong>Oct</strong>-13<br />

Dec-13<br />

Feb-14<br />

Apr-14<br />

Jun-14<br />

Aug-14<br />

<strong>Oct</strong>-14<br />

Dec-14<br />

Feb-15<br />

Apr-15<br />

Jun-15<br />

Aug-15<br />

<strong>Oct</strong>-15<br />

Dec-15<br />

Feb-16<br />

Apr-16<br />

Jun-16<br />

Aug-16<br />

<strong>Oct</strong>-16<br />

Dec-16<br />

Feb-17<br />

Apr-17<br />

Jun-17<br />

Aug-17<br />

<strong>Oct</strong>-17<br />

Dec-17<br />

Feb-18<br />

Apr-18<br />

Jun-18<br />

Aug-18<br />

CPI Inflation: Dipping Below MPC’s Medium Term<br />

Target Of 4.0% After A Gap Of 10 Months<br />

12.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

6.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

CPI<br />

Core CPI<br />

5.90%<br />

3.70%<br />

• The CPI inflation moderated to a 10-month low 3.7% in August <strong>2018</strong> (+3.3% in August 2017) from 4.2% in July <strong>2018</strong> (+2.4% in July 2017)<br />

• The core-CPI inflation displayed a broad-based easing to 5.9% in August <strong>2018</strong> from 6.3% in July <strong>2018</strong>.<br />

• The inflation for food and beverages eased to a 13-month low 0.9% in August <strong>2018</strong> (+2.0% in August 2017) from 1.7% in July <strong>2018</strong> (+0.4% in<br />

July 2017), led by a substantial drop in inflation for perishables<br />

• The urban CPI inflation eased mildly to a 10-month low print of 4.0% in August <strong>2018</strong> from 4.3% in July <strong>2018</strong><br />

• The rural CPI inflation softened sharply to a 10-month low 3.4% in August <strong>2018</strong> from 4.1% in July <strong>2018</strong><br />

Source: MOSPI, ICRA<br />

Source: MOSPI, ICRA<br />

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