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St Mary Redcliffe<br />
Project 450<br />
Business Plan<br />
<strong>Executive</strong> <strong>Summary</strong> Document<br />
Facilities Development Project Board: "Project 450" St Mary - Redcliffe Vision and Purpose I Statement<br />
of Need. D Tyndall (March 2018)<br />
‘The purpose of the project is to enable us to do the things we already do better.<br />
The fundamental questions that arises are.<br />
What is stopping us from getting better at what we do?<br />
This comes down to our need for better facilities, better access to our heritage assets, a better experience for those<br />
who visit and better engagement with those who live around us’<br />
Heritage Business Consulting<br />
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Contents<br />
1 <strong>Executive</strong> <strong>Summary</strong> .................................................................................................................................. 3<br />
2 Market Appraisal ....................................................................................................................................... 4<br />
2.1.1 Potential Visitor Market for <strong>SMR</strong> .............................................................................................. 4<br />
3 Potential Visitor Income Streams for <strong>SMR</strong> ............................................................................................. 5<br />
4 Potential Business Income Streams for <strong>SMR</strong> ......................................................................................... 5<br />
4.1 Proposed new Meeting and Events Space ...................................................................................... 5<br />
4.1.1 Business/Meeting Space Income Scenarios (Based on bookings 30-50 people) ................... 5<br />
4.1.2 Wedding Space Income Scenarios (Max 30 weddings – 50% take up of reception hire) ..... 6<br />
4.1.3 Music Venue Hire ........................................................................................................................ 6<br />
5 Proposed Phasing of Improvements ....................................................................................................... 7<br />
5.1 Phasing Plan ....................................................................................................................................... 7<br />
5.1.1 Phase 0. (Visitor number projection of 50,000). ...................................................................... 7<br />
5.1.2 Phase 1 (Visitor number projection of 60,000) ........................................................................ 7<br />
5.1.3 Phase 2 (Visitor number projection of 80,000) ........................................................................ 8<br />
5.1.4 Phase 3 (Visitor number projection of 100,000) ...................................................................... 8<br />
5.1.5 Phase 4 (Visitor number projection of 120,000) ...................................................................... 8<br />
5.1.6 Phase 5 (Visitor number projection of 140,000) ...................................................................... 8<br />
5.2 Project Phase Timeline .......................................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.<br />
5.3 Projected Income and Expenditure for the six-phase plan .......................................................... 10<br />
5.4 Assumptions for Income & Expenditure Tables ............................................................................. 11<br />
5.4.1 Phase 0 Assumptions ................................................................................................................ 11<br />
5.4.2 Phase 1 Assumptions ................................................................................................................. 11<br />
5.4.3 Phase 2 Assumptions ................................................................................................................. 11<br />
5.4.4 Phase 3 Assumptions ................................................................................................................. 11<br />
5.4.5 Phase 4 Assumptions ................................................................................................................ 12<br />
5.4.6 Phase 5 Assumptions ................................................................................................................. 12<br />
5.5 Income and expenditure Comparisons ........................................................................................... 13<br />
5.6 <strong>SMR</strong> Reserves .................................................................................................................................... 13<br />
6 Key Milestones and Dates ...................................................................................................................... 14<br />
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1 <strong>Executive</strong> <strong>Summary</strong><br />
The realisation of Project 450 can be achieved through the following proposals;<br />
1. Improve the front of house/visitor welcome<br />
2. Developing a well-trained and diverse volunteer team to help deliver the visitor offer.<br />
3. Increase donations by developing an attractive interpretation and visitor offer so increasing the dwell<br />
time on site.<br />
4. Introduce Heritage Tours<br />
5. Introduce Tower Tours<br />
6. Increase income per visitor head by increasing the café and retail spend per head<br />
7. Introduce new events, business meeting space hire and the wedding reception offer<br />
8. Developing the learning offer<br />
9. Returning the Hogarth to <strong>SMR</strong>.<br />
To achieve these outcomes, it is proposed that <strong>SMR</strong>;<br />
1. Fundraise to underwrite the upfront costs of new staff and interpretation.<br />
2. Start the major fundraising campaign to enable the capital works of the Hogarth visitor centre and the<br />
business and events centre.<br />
3. Employ the necessary trained staff to deliver the outcomes. (Business, catering and events manager (1.0<br />
FTE), Visitor services manager (1.0 FTE), Education officer (0.5 FTE), Volunteer manager (0.5 FTE) and a<br />
Curatorial officer (1.0 FTE).<br />
4. Adopt a phased approach to the project (six phase approach) over a 7.5 yr period. This phasing will<br />
include phasing of the employment of the staff as they are required to fulfil the projections in the income<br />
tables. Each member of staff will be employed 6 months prior to the start of the income realisation<br />
created from their posts.<br />
5. The Visitor services manager will co-ordinate the heritage visitor offer and front of house services.<br />
6. Introduce Heritage and Tower tours manned by volunteer staff and trained by the Volunteer manager.<br />
7. Develop the learning offer through the Education officer<br />
8. Enhance the retail offer from Phase 1 increasing the revenue from the church shop significantly by the<br />
end of the first year of Phase 1.<br />
9. Open the business and event centre in Phase 2 which will incorporate business meetings (room hire) and<br />
weddings. This will be co-ordinated by the Business, Catering and Events manager.<br />
10. Host 6 music events per annum in the church which will be co-ordinated by the Business, Catering and<br />
Events manager<br />
11. Open the Hogarth visitor centre in Phase 3 when the visitor centre income will start to be realised. The<br />
Curatorial officer will be employed to co-ordinate this and develop an exciting temporary exhibition<br />
offer.<br />
12. Move the café into the Hogarth centre on opening to realise the full café income potential.<br />
Assumptions and projections from the six-phase plan<br />
1. Visitor numbers will rise from 45,000 (present number) to a potential 140,000 by the end of phase 5.<br />
2. The visitor economy income will be dependent on visitor numbers whilst the business and event income<br />
has not been calculated using visitor numbers but as a set figure.<br />
3. Phase 0 (six-month start-up phase) will run at a loss to <strong>SMR</strong> as the church starts the employment process<br />
as it develops its offer. Only a modest 5000 visitor number rise is projected during this six-month period.<br />
4. From the end of Phase 1 onwards projected income minus expenditure levels will rise significantly.<br />
5. <strong>SMR</strong> reserves will build year on year to a final reserve figure of £1.1 million by the end of Phase 5.<br />
6. The business model does not factor in any external funding at this stage. Options are currently being<br />
investigated.<br />
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2 Market Appraisal<br />
If recent trends continue, the population of Bristol is projected to increase by 103,100 people over the 25-year<br />
period (2014-2039) to a total population of 545,600 by 2039. This increase of 23.3% is higher than the 16.5%<br />
increase for England<br />
2.1.1 Potential Visitor Market for <strong>SMR</strong><br />
Clearly Bristol is a popular destination for both domestic and international visitors with a total of a 22M visitor<br />
market (which includes the local Bristol population). This provides a healthy market and future trends would<br />
indicate that, at worst, this will stabilise in 2019.<br />
In order to calculate a potential market penetration rate other comparator Bristol destinations have been<br />
identified and appear in the table below;<br />
Attraction Visitor Numbers % Penetration Rate<br />
Bristol Cathedral 275,000 1.23<br />
SS Great Britain 396,000 1.77<br />
MShed 546,000 2.44<br />
Bristol Museum 467,000 2.09<br />
Watershed 165,000 0.74<br />
Bristol Zoo 545,000 2.44<br />
At Bristol 304,000 1.36<br />
St Mary’s Redcliffe – Visitor Potential (2017 Data)<br />
Market penetration rate<br />
Forecast Attendance<br />
Market segment Market size Low Medium High Low Medium High<br />
Bristol residents 442,500 4% 5% 6% 17,700 22,125 26,550<br />
Wider Bristol<br />
population<br />
617,000 2% 3% 4% 12,340 18,510 24,680<br />
Bristolian Families 82800 3% 4% 5% 2,484 3,312 4,140<br />
Primary & Secondary<br />
Schools<br />
Tourists – day<br />
visitors<br />
Tourists – overnight<br />
stay<br />
60,000 2% 3% 4% 1,200 1,800 2,400<br />
18,529,000 0.50% 0.60% 0.70% 92,645 111,174 129,703<br />
2,690,000 0.50% 0.60% 0.70% 13,450 16,140 18,830<br />
Total Visitors 22,421,300 139,819 173,061 206,303<br />
<strong>SMR</strong> Penetration<br />
Rate of Total Market<br />
0.624 0.772 0.920<br />
<strong>SMR</strong> currently has around 45,000 visitors giving it a 0.2% penetration rate. The quality of the heritage and the size<br />
of the attraction would indicate with the right offer in place this could raise to a conservative 0.6% in the future<br />
equating to circa 140,000 visitors per annum. This is a significant increase from current levels and has the<br />
potential to drive a significant increase in earned income in the future.<br />
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3 Potential Visitor Income Streams for <strong>SMR</strong><br />
Analysing a number of comparator heritage sites there are a number of ways in which <strong>SMR</strong>, with the right<br />
heritage offer, could increase income from visitors. It is assumed in this narrative that charging entry to the<br />
church will not take place.<br />
Options are as follows<br />
1. Donations - Develop an attractive interpretation and visitor offer. Increasing the dwell time on site<br />
and the ease with which people can give money (electronically)<br />
2. Introduce Heritage Tours<br />
3. Introduce Tower Tours<br />
4. Increase income per head by increasing the café and retail spend per head<br />
5. Developing the Learning offer<br />
6. Returning the Hogarth to <strong>SMR</strong> and develop a vibrant temporary exhibition programme.<br />
7. Improve the front of house/visitor welcome<br />
8. Developing a well-trained and diverse volunteer team to help deliver the visitor offer.<br />
4 Potential Business Income Streams for <strong>SMR</strong><br />
4.1 Proposed new Meeting and Events Space<br />
There are proposals for a new build construction to be erected within the south side of the main church. The<br />
proposal is for this building to provide high quality meeting space as well as a wedding venue. The proposed<br />
capacity for Events/ Functions will be 136 sqm which should accommodate<br />
• Round Tables – 64, , Max 100 – conference style<br />
• Board Room Style – circa 50<br />
• Lecture Room Style – circa 100 – 125<br />
There is also the intention for the space to be available for community use<br />
4.1.1 Business/Meeting Space Income Scenarios (Based on bookings 30-50 people)<br />
Occupancy Rates (Based on 450<br />
days/annum)<br />
10% 20% 30% 40%<br />
Day Rate £425 £425 £425 £425<br />
Income<br />
Turnover £10,625<br />
£21,450<br />
£31,875<br />
£42,500<br />
25 days<br />
50 days<br />
75 Days<br />
100 Days<br />
Catering Profit share<br />
£870 £1750 £2625 £3500<br />
35 people/day @£10/head/10%<br />
Total Income £11,495 £23,000 £34,500 £46,000<br />
Expenditure<br />
Management/Marketing & Admin<br />
(10%)<br />
£1150 £2300 £3450 £4600<br />
Total Profit £10,345 £20,700 £31,050 £41,400<br />
Mean Profit Point: £25,873<br />
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4.1.2 Wedding Space Income Scenarios (Max 30 weddings – 50% take up of reception hire)<br />
Wedding statistics for the UK<br />
• 53 wedding venues in Bristol<br />
• Average spend of a wedding is circa £25,000<br />
• Average spend on a venue. £4000<br />
• Average spend on catering £3800<br />
• Average guests to a wedding circa 90<br />
Currently <strong>SMR</strong> conducts circa 12 wedding ceremonies per year although maximum capacity is just over 60 per<br />
annum. <strong>SMR</strong>’s ideal market will be for those couples requiring a church wedding with the reception held within<br />
the same location. It is unlikely that couples being married at an alternative church will want to have the<br />
reception at <strong>SMR</strong> and those wanting to have a wedding outside the church environment would wish to have the<br />
reception at <strong>SMR</strong>. The new facility can cater for the average size of wedding (90) however larger groups could<br />
be catered for with larger marquee offer with the surrounding grounds<br />
Based on the above the table below estimates income based in scenarios ranging from 5-15 wedding receptions<br />
per annum<br />
Number of wedding<br />
receptions per annum<br />
Venue Hire (£2500 per<br />
wedding)<br />
Catering Profit share (10%)<br />
5 10 15<br />
£12,500 £25,000 £37,500<br />
£1575 £3150 £4725<br />
90 Guests @£35/head X No of<br />
weddings/10%<br />
Total Income £14,075 £28,150 £42,225<br />
Management/Marketing &<br />
Admin (10%)<br />
£1408 £2815 £4223<br />
Mean Profit Point: £24,668<br />
4.1.3 Music Venue Hire<br />
The church has the potential to be used more as an important concert venue within Bristol. Although <strong>SMR</strong> would<br />
not want to take on the risk of concert promotion it could effectively hire out the space to a third party<br />
promoter. Discussions with Colston Hall would indicate that <strong>SMR</strong> could charge a flat hire fee of £2k per event.<br />
These would need to be booked and managed. The business plan models six per annum.<br />
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5 Proposed Phasing of Improvements<br />
5.1 Phasing Plan<br />
It would be sensible to put into place a structured phasing of improvements for <strong>SMR</strong> development. This would<br />
ensure a steady revenue increase whilst ensuring deliverability/sustainability of the different elements and<br />
revenue streams. Phasing would allow for recruitment and training of the relevant staff with a minimum of<br />
disruption to the day to day functions of the church. Once recruited the key staff members can help to drive<br />
through the relevant changes.<br />
It is proposed that a six-phase approach is adopted with each phase being on-going when the next phase is<br />
undertaken so building up a multifactored approach to the <strong>SMR</strong> offer.<br />
The visitor income projections of the plan are very much driven on the basis of an increase of visitor numbers<br />
year on year which can be achieved with an improved and enhanced experience within the church itself and<br />
effective marketing of the offer.<br />
The business and events space is not driven specifically by an increase in visitor numbers but may be influenced<br />
by this as the increased footfall within the church will raise public awareness of the added business and events<br />
offer.<br />
5.1.1 Phase 0. (Visitor number projection of 50,000).<br />
Phase 0 is to be considered a setting up phase. Only a very modest projected rise in visitor numbers are<br />
envisaged during this 6-month period (5000 increase). During this time the church will appoint and train the<br />
relevant staff to enable Phase 1 to be successful. This phase assumes no rise in donations with the current<br />
donation average of £0.34 being in place.<br />
Phase 0 activity will include<br />
• Appointment of the visitor services manager (1.0 FTE) to enhance the visitor experience and drive up<br />
visitor numbers<br />
• Appointment of the volunteer manager(0.5FTE) to train and manage volunteers.<br />
• A small marketing budget allocation to start the marketing strategy for the church.<br />
The church funds would need to support this set up phase as there would be a considerable outlay to appoint<br />
these staff members whilst no increase in income is expected. External funding options are being considered.<br />
These appointments are key to allow the visitor number rise in Phase 1<br />
5.1.2 Phase 1 (Visitor number projection of 60,000)<br />
This is a 36-month period which will very much concentrate of an improvement to the existing church offer. The<br />
new business/meeting and event space building can be in the process of construction during this phase in<br />
anticipation of opening during phase 2. Phase 1 activity would include<br />
• Appointment of the events and business manager at the 6 month point of phase 1. This will allow for<br />
training and give sufficient time for the events and business side of the offer to be developed before the<br />
opening of the business/event space in Phase 2. This will ensure that this space will be fully utilised from<br />
the opening.<br />
• Improvement of the catering offer. The social aspect of the catering operator will be maintained.<br />
However, there will be a requirement to review and diversify the menu to suit local needs and market the<br />
catering facilities. Some investment will be needed to improve signage to the present café.<br />
• Improvement of the retail offer. This will involve looking at stock held and adequately manning the shop<br />
area with suitable trained volunteers.<br />
• Introduction of tower and heritage tours manned by suitably trained and knowledgeable volunteers.<br />
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• Design and installation of new church-based interpretation and welcome point/donation places to<br />
encourage an uplift in donations.<br />
5.1.3 Phase 2 (Visitor number projection of 80,000)<br />
This phase would see the business and events development side of <strong>SMR</strong> launched with the opening of the new<br />
business/ event space. During this phase the Hogarth and Visitor centre can be under construction in<br />
anticipation of opening during phase 3.<br />
All of Phase 1 activities would be on-going during phase 2 and would be enhanced by the opening of the new<br />
business/event space.<br />
Phase 2 activity would include<br />
• Appointment of the Education offer (0.5FTE) 6 months into this phase to develop the education/school<br />
tours.<br />
• Open new business and events building.<br />
• Start business and wedding events service.<br />
• Start music events.<br />
• Appoint curatorial manager (1.0FTE) 6 months into this phase in preparation of the opening of the for<br />
the Hogarth visitor centre.<br />
During Phase 2 the Hogarth/ visitor centre would be under construction in anticipation of opening during phase 3<br />
5.1.4 Phase 3 (Visitor number projection of 100,000)<br />
This phase would see the opening of the Hogarth and visitor centre. The centre would house;<br />
• The Hogarth Painting<br />
• A temporary exhibition centre<br />
• New and improved café and restaurant facilities<br />
5.1.5 Phase 4 (Visitor number projection of 120,000)<br />
This phase would see all areas of the new build open and running with visitor numbers increased to around<br />
120,000.<br />
The new Hogarth centre would have an on-going temporary exhibition program and lecture series managed by<br />
the curatorial manager.<br />
5.1.6 Phase 5 (Visitor number projection of 140,000)<br />
This is the final phase of the business plan. The marketing budget would be increased by 50% to publicise the new<br />
facilities and maximise visitor numbers.<br />
This would be a consolidation phase building visitor numbers through the increased marketing budget and<br />
strategy to the maximum of 140,000.<br />
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5.2 Combined Capital & Business Plan Timeline
ID Task Name Duration<br />
1 CAPITAL PROGRAMME 1351 days?<br />
2 Develop Design to RIBA Stage 3 86 days?<br />
3 Submit Planning and consultation Process 393 days?<br />
4 RIBA Stage 4 Designs 111 days?<br />
5 Tender process 65 days?<br />
6 Appoint Main Contractor 18 days<br />
7 Mobilisation and initial Archaeology 1 day?<br />
8 Construction Programme 545 days<br />
9 Launch New Business & Events Space 0 days<br />
10 Launch new Visitor/Hogarth Centre 0 days<br />
11<br />
12 FUNDRAISING PROGRAMME 505 days?<br />
13 Start Major Campaign 505 days?<br />
14 NLHF - Submit Project Enquiry (Phase 01 +02) Funding 1 day<br />
15 Prepare and Submit Full Application 65 days?<br />
16 NLHF Grant Awarded 0 days<br />
17 Permission to Start 21 days?<br />
18<br />
19 BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME 70 days?<br />
20 Phase 0 - Setting up phase 70 days?<br />
21 Visitor Services Manager - Start up Period 70 days<br />
22 Volunteer manager - Start up period 70 days?<br />
23 Phase 1 - Improve existing church offer 734 days<br />
24 Appoint Events & Business Manager 60 days<br />
25 Improve existing catering offer 65 days<br />
26 Access Improvements to Tower 390 days<br />
27 Improve retail offer 734 days<br />
28 Introduce Tower Tours & Heritage Tours 171 days<br />
29 Design & Install new interpretation & welcome 282 days<br />
30 Appoint Education Officer 60 days<br />
31 Phase 2 - Develop business & events 260 days<br />
32 Open new business & events building 260 days<br />
33 Start business & wedding events service 260 days<br />
34 Appoint Curatorial Manager for Hogarth & visitor centre 60 days<br />
35 Phase 3 - Hogarth & Visitor Centre 803 days?<br />
36 Open Hogarth & new visitor centre 260 days?<br />
37 Launch temporary exhibition centre 260 days<br />
38 Launch new education offer 260 days?<br />
39 Launch new café/restaurant & Hogarth./visitor centre 260 days<br />
40 Phase 4 260 days<br />
41 Increase marketing budget by 50% 260 days<br />
42 Launch new lecture series 260 days<br />
43 Phase 5 - Consolidation Phase 283 days<br />
44 Build visitor numbers to 140,000 283 days<br />
<strong>SMR</strong><br />
Capital & Business Milestone<br />
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027<br />
tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr tr<br />
25/10<br />
01/06<br />
03/06<br />
<strong>SMR</strong> - Phasing Programme 11.03.19.mpp Page 1
5.3 Projected Income and Expenditure for the six-phase plan<br />
Phase 0 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5<br />
Phase 1 Breakdown<br />
Jan-June 2020 July 2020-May 2023 June 2023-May 2024 June 2024-May 2025 June 2025-May2026 June 2026-May2027 Year1 Year2 Year3<br />
6months 36months 12months 12months 12months 12months<br />
Income<br />
Donations £17,500 £180,000 £80,000 £100,000 £120,000 £140,000 £60,000 £60,000 £60,000<br />
Heritage Tours £0 £57,150 £25,400 £31,750 £38,100 £44,450 £19,050 £19,050 £19,050<br />
Tower Tours £0 £57,150 £25,400 £31,750 £38,100 £44,450 £19,050 £19,050 £19,050<br />
Café Income £1,000 £6,000 £2,000 £150,000 £180,000 £210,000 £2,000 £2,000 £2,000<br />
Retail Income £3,000 £270,000 £120,000 £150,000 £180,000 £210,000 £90,000 £90,000 £90,000<br />
Schools income £30,000 £30,000 £30,000<br />
Business Economy<br />
Meeting Rooms<br />
Meeting Room Hire £31,875 £31,875 £31,875 £31,875<br />
Profit Share on Meeting Room Catering £2,625 £2,625 £2,625 £2,625<br />
Wedding Events<br />
Wedding Event Hire £25,000 £25,000 £25,000 £25,000<br />
Profit Share on Wedding Catering £3,150 £3,150 £3,150 £3,150<br />
Hogarth Visitor Centre Income £100,000 £120,000 £140,000<br />
Music Events £12,000 £12,000 £12,000 £12,000<br />
Total Income £21,500 £570,300 £327,450 £668,150 £780,850 £893,550 Total Income £190,100 £190,100 £190,100<br />
Expenditure<br />
Visitor Economy<br />
Heritage Tours Printing Costs £159 £1,143 £508 £635 £762 £889 £381 £381 £381<br />
Tower Tour Printing Costs £159 £1,143 £508 £635 £762 £889 £381 £381 £381<br />
Heritage Tour Guide Costs £2/tour attendee £0 £22,860 £10,160 £12,700 £15,240 £17,780 £7,620 £7,620 £7,620<br />
Heritage Tour Guide Costs £2/tour attendee £0 £22,860 £10,160 £12,700 £15,240 £17,780 £7,620 £7,620 £7,620<br />
School visits £2,625 £2,625 £2,625<br />
Staffing<br />
Visitor & Retail Services Manager 1FTE £17,500 £105,000 £35,000 £35,000 £35,000 £35,000 £35,000 £35,000 £35,000<br />
Volunteer Manager 0.5FTE £8,750 £52,500 £17,500 £17,500 £17,500 £17,500 £17,500 £17,500 £17,500<br />
Events and Business Manager- 1.0 FTE £17,500 £35,000 £35,000 £35,000 £35,000 £17,500<br />
Education officer 0.5FTE £8,750 £17,500 £17,500 £17,500<br />
Curatorial Officer £17,500 £35,000 £35,000 £35,000<br />
Café Expenditure<br />
Food £45,000 £54,000 £63,000<br />
Staff £52,500 £63,000 £73,500<br />
Other costs £1,000 £6,000 £2,000 £15,000 £18,000 £21,000 £2,000 £2,000 £2,000<br />
Retail Expenditure<br />
Costs of services and supplies £9,000 £108,000 £48,000 £60,000 £72,000 £84,000 £36,000 £36,000 £36,000<br />
Business Expenditure<br />
Meeting Room - Admin & Service Costs- 10% of Turnover £3,188 £3,188 £3,188 £3,188<br />
Wedding Room Costs- Admin & Service Costs- 10% of Turnover £2,500 £2,500 £2,500 £2,500<br />
Maintenance & Service Costs of Meeting & Events Space £10,000 £10,000 £10,000 £10,000<br />
Hogarth Visitor Centre<br />
Management and Running costs £20,000 £20,000 £20,000<br />
Security £5,000 £5,000 £5,000<br />
Temporary Exhibition Budget £30,000 £30,000 £30,000<br />
Marketing £5,000 £60,000 £20,000 £20,000 £20,000 £30,000 £20,000 £20,000 £20,000<br />
Total Expenditure £41,568 £397,006 £220,774 £432,483 £472,317 £522,151 Total Expenditure £126,502 £126,502 £144,002<br />
Total Income minus expenditure -£20,068 £173,294 £106,677 £235,668 £308,534 £371,400 Income -expenditure £63,598 £63,598 £46,098<br />
Reserves -£20,068 £153,226 £259,903 £495,570 £804,104 £1,175,503 Reserves £43,530 £107,128 £153,226<br />
Notes<br />
Phase 1,2,3 Café income shown as £2000/annum which is current<br />
revenue<br />
Phase 4 shows Café in Hogarth visitor centre and income increased<br />
Music venue -based on 6 events per year at £2000 per event<br />
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5.4 Assumptions for Income & Expenditure Tables<br />
5.4.1 Phase 0 Assumptions<br />
• 6-month phase<br />
• Modest increase in visitor numbers from present figures (5000 increase).<br />
Income<br />
Expenditure<br />
No increase in café income<br />
Visitor services manager employed<br />
Increase in retail income<br />
Volunteer manager employed<br />
Small marketing budget included<br />
5.4.2 Phase 1 Assumptions<br />
• 36-month phase<br />
• Increase in visitor numbers to 60,000<br />
Income<br />
No increase in café income<br />
Increase in retail income<br />
5.4.3 Phase 2 Assumptions<br />
• 12-month phase<br />
• Increase in visitor numbers to 80,000<br />
• New business centre opens<br />
Expenditure<br />
Visitor services manager employed<br />
Volunteer manager employed<br />
Business, catering & events manager employed 6<br />
months from the end of this phase.<br />
Cost for tours included<br />
Marketing budget increased<br />
Income<br />
Expenditure<br />
No increase in café income<br />
Visitor services manager employed<br />
Increase in retail income<br />
Volunteer manager employed<br />
6 music events/annum planned Business, catering & events manager employed<br />
Business & event income<br />
Education officer employed 6 months into phase<br />
Curatorial officer employed 6 months into phase<br />
Cost for tours included<br />
Maintenance of business centre included<br />
Marketing budget constant<br />
5.4.4 Phase 3 Assumptions<br />
• 12-month phase<br />
• Increase in visitor numbers to 100,000<br />
• Hogarth visitor centre opens<br />
Income<br />
Expenditure<br />
Increase in café income<br />
Visitor services manager employed<br />
Increase in retail income<br />
Volunteer manager employed<br />
6 music events/annum planned Business, catering & events manager employed<br />
Business & event income<br />
Education officer employed<br />
Hogarth visitor centre income<br />
Curatorial officer employed<br />
Schools income<br />
Cost for tours included<br />
Increase in café expenditure<br />
Maintenance of business centre<br />
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Maintenance of Hogarth centre<br />
Marketing budget constant<br />
5.4.5 Phase 4 Assumptions<br />
• 12-month phase<br />
• Increase in visitor numbers to 120,000<br />
Income<br />
Expenditure<br />
Increase in café income<br />
Visitor services manager employed<br />
Increase in retail income<br />
Volunteer manager employed<br />
6 music events/annum planned Business, catering & events manager employed<br />
Business & event income<br />
Education officer employed<br />
Hogarth visitor centre income<br />
Curatorial officer employed<br />
Schools income<br />
Cost for tours included<br />
Increase in café expenditure<br />
Maintenance of business centre<br />
Maintenance of Hogarth centre<br />
Marketing budget constant<br />
5.4.6 Phase 5 Assumptions<br />
• 12-month phase<br />
• Increase in visitor numbers to 140,000<br />
Income<br />
Expenditure<br />
Increase in café income<br />
Visitor services manager employed<br />
Increase in retail income<br />
Volunteer manager employed<br />
6 music events/annum planned Business, catering & events manager employed<br />
Business & event income<br />
Education officer employed<br />
Hogarth visitor centre income<br />
Curatorial officer employed<br />
Schools income<br />
Cost for tours included<br />
Increase in café expenditure<br />
Maintenance of business centre<br />
Maintenance of Hogarth centre<br />
Marketing budget increased<br />
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5.5 Income and expenditure Comparisons<br />
I N C O M E V S E X P E N D I T U R E<br />
Income<br />
Expenditure<br />
£1,000,000<br />
£893,550<br />
£780,850<br />
£800,000<br />
£668,150<br />
£570,300<br />
£600,000<br />
£472,317 £522,151<br />
£397,006<br />
£432,483<br />
£400,000<br />
£327,450<br />
£220,774<br />
£200,000<br />
£21,500£41,568<br />
£0<br />
Phase 0 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5<br />
Income £21,500 £570,300 £327,450 £668,150 £780,850 £893,550<br />
Expenditure £41,568 £397,006 £220,774 £432,483 £472,317 £522,151<br />
Income minus expenditure<br />
£173,294<br />
£235,668<br />
£308,534<br />
£371,400<br />
£106,677<br />
-£20,068<br />
Phase 0 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5<br />
Series1 -£20,068 £173,294 £106,677 £235,668 £308,534 £371,400<br />
5.6 <strong>SMR</strong> Reserves<br />
Reserves<br />
£1,400,000<br />
£1,200,000<br />
£1,175,503<br />
£1,000,000<br />
£804,104<br />
£800,000<br />
£600,000<br />
£495,570<br />
£400,000<br />
£259,903<br />
£153,226<br />
£200,000<br />
-£20,068<br />
£0<br />
-£200,000<br />
Phase 0 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5<br />
Series1 -£20,068 £153,226 £259,903 £495,570 £804,104 £1,175,503<br />
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6 Key Milestones and Dates<br />
These key milestone dates have been projected combining the capital work program and the<br />
business plan phasing.<br />
Year Dates Milestones<br />
2019 March 2019 Instruct Purcell to develop plans to RIBA stage 3<br />
Start fundraising campaign<br />
April 2019<br />
August 2019<br />
October 2019<br />
Submit Project Enquiry Form for application to<br />
NLHF to improve interpretation offer and heritage<br />
offer. (£250k)<br />
Submit planning application<br />
Submit full NHLF application<br />
NHLF grant awarded<br />
November 2019<br />
Advertise for visitor service manager (1.0FTE)<br />
Advertise for volunteer manager(0.5FTE)<br />
2020 Jan 2020- June 2020 Phase 0 of business plan<br />
• Employee visitor services manager<br />
• Employ Volunteer manager<br />
• Interpretation design<br />
• Improve access to tower<br />
July 2020-Dec 2020 Start of Phase 1 of business plan<br />
• Review retail offer<br />
• Review front of house welcome & donation<br />
point<br />
• Interpretation improvements launched<br />
• Train volunteers<br />
• Start Heritage tours & tower tours.<br />
• Start marketing<br />
2021 Jan 2021-Dec2021 Phase 1 of business plan continues<br />
• Improve retail offer<br />
• Improve front of house welcome &<br />
donation point<br />
• On-going Heritage tours & tower tours<br />
• Continue marketing<br />
Feb 2021<br />
Obtain planning permission and DAC approval<br />
Feb 2021<br />
Review point of fundraising<br />
August 2021<br />
Complete detailed design process<br />
September 2021<br />
Start tender process -2 batches if fundraising<br />
December 2021<br />
Appoint main contractor<br />
2022 Jan 2022-Dec2022 Phase 1 of business plan continues<br />
• Ongoing Heritage tours & tower tours<br />
• Continue marketing<br />
February 2022<br />
Mobilisation and initial archaeological survey<br />
March 2022<br />
Start on site<br />
October 2022 • Advertise for Business, Catering & Events<br />
Manager<br />
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December 2022 • Employ Business, Catering & Events<br />
Manager<br />
2023 Jan2023-May2023 Phase 1 of business plan continues.<br />
• Bookings for new business centre start to<br />
be taken in preparation for Phase 2<br />
• Marketing of new business centre on-going<br />
June 2023<br />
New business & events centre opens<br />
November 2023<br />
Advertise for Education Officer (o.5 FTE)<br />
Advertise for curatorial Officer(1.0FTE)<br />
June 2023-Dec 2023 Phase 2 of business plan starts<br />
• 3 music events delivered<br />
• Business centre meeting rooms occupied<br />
• 5 weddings delivered<br />
December 2023<br />
Employ Education Officer<br />
Employ Curatorial Officer<br />
2024 Jan 2024-May 2024 Phase 2 continues<br />
• Education Officer co-ordinates uplift in<br />
school visits<br />
• Curatorial Officer prepares for Hogarth<br />
centre opening<br />
• 3 music events delivered<br />
• Business centre meeting rooms occupied<br />
• 5 weddings delivered<br />
June 2024<br />
Hogarth Centre opens<br />
Phase 3 of business plan starts<br />
June 2024-December 2024 Phase 3 of business plan continues<br />
• Café relocated to Hogarth centre<br />
• Hogarth centre income starts<br />
• School visit uplift realised<br />
2025 Jan 2025-June 2025 Phase 3 of business plan continues<br />
June 2025-December 2025<br />
Phase 4 of business plan starts<br />
• All buildings fully operational<br />
2026 Jan 2026-May 2026 Phase 4 of business plan continues<br />
• All buildings fully operational<br />
May 2026-December 2026 Phase 5 of business Plan starts<br />
• Consolidation phase<br />
2027 Jan 2026-May 2027 Phase 5 of business plan continues<br />
• Consolidation phase<br />
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