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8—Vanguard, THURSDAY, MARCH 28, 2019<br />
CONFERENCE:<br />
From left,<br />
Representative of<br />
Director of National<br />
Mathematical Centre,<br />
NMC, Prof. Peter<br />
Onumanyi; Chairman<br />
of Mathematical<br />
Analysis and<br />
Optimization<br />
Research, Prof.<br />
Johnson Olaleru and<br />
Chairman of National<br />
Mathematical Centre<br />
(NMC), G<strong>over</strong>ning<br />
Council, Prof. Buba<br />
Bajoga, during the<br />
6th international<br />
conference on<br />
mathematical analysis<br />
and optimization in<br />
Abuja. Photo: NAN.<br />
Analysts dismiss MPR cut as hasty,<br />
with zero impact on lending<br />
By Babajide<br />
Komolafe<br />
FINANCIAL analysts<br />
have described the<br />
decision by the Central Bank<br />
of Nigeria, CBN, to reduce<br />
the Monetary Policy Rate,<br />
MPR, to 13.5 per cent as a<br />
hasty decision with zero<br />
impact on boosting lending<br />
to businesses.<br />
Contrary to analysts’<br />
projections, CBN on Tuesday,<br />
at the end of its two day bimonthly<br />
Monetary Policy<br />
Committee, MPC, reduced<br />
the Monetary Policy Rate,<br />
MPR, from 14 per cent to 13.5<br />
percent, citing the need to<br />
signal a new direction<br />
towards improved growth.<br />
Analysts, however, opined<br />
that the 50 basis points<br />
reduction in the MPR will<br />
have little or no effect in<br />
boosting lending to the<br />
private sector.<br />
Citing the looming risk to<br />
inflation and the fragile state<br />
of the nation’s economy,<br />
analysts at Vetiva Capital<br />
Management Limited,<br />
described the CBN’s decision<br />
as ‘hasty own goal,’ which<br />
would not lead to increased<br />
lending to the private sector<br />
as envisaged by the CBN.<br />
They said: “The decision<br />
was touted as a key measure<br />
to stimulate the economy by<br />
reducing the cost of<br />
borrowing. Whilst the<br />
decision will have an<br />
immediate impact on<br />
borrowing rates already<br />
benchmarked to the MPR, we<br />
are sceptical of a significant<br />
pass-through to the real<br />
sector as bank lending rates<br />
are notoriously sticky going<br />
down.<br />
"Also, the decision<br />
seemingly ignores the<br />
looming risks to inflation —<br />
an expected increase in<br />
liquidity from the frontloading<br />
of a late 2019 budget, an<br />
increasingly likely review of<br />
the multi-year tariff order,<br />
MYTO, which has an impact<br />
on electricity prices, and most<br />
importantly a looming 67<br />
percent increase in national<br />
minimum wage —all of<br />
which are likely to push<br />
inflation north <strong>for</strong> the rest of<br />
the year.<br />
“Taking a view from recent<br />
history, where the MPC cut<br />
rates by 200 basis points in<br />
2015, be<strong>for</strong>e subsequently<br />
reversing course within the<br />
space of a year, a rate HIKE<br />
might not be far off the cards,<br />
especially given the expected<br />
rise in inflation and the<br />
current fragile state of the<br />
economy.<br />
“Overall, whilst the cut in<br />
the rate is a signal from the<br />
MPC of a stronger progrowth<br />
focus, we believe this<br />
decision is ultimately an own<br />
goal as the rate cut will do<br />
little to stimulate the economy<br />
and has the added<br />
disadvantage of distracting<br />
from its primary objective –<br />
price stability.”<br />
Also commenting, analysts<br />
at Lagos-based Afrinvest Plc<br />
said: “We are not distracted<br />
to believe an easing cycle has<br />
begun; rather, we think policy<br />
stance remains intact<br />
considering global interest<br />
rate development and the<br />
desperation to sustain and<br />
retain flows.<br />
“The CBN can always<br />
resort to Open Market<br />
Operations, OMO, to<br />
achieve the objective of<br />
attracting and retaining<br />
capital flows."<br />
Analysts at Lagos-based<br />
Cowry Assets Management<br />
FGN bonds record N140bn<br />
<strong>over</strong>-subscription<br />
By Emma Ujah,<br />
Abuja Bureau Chief<br />
A<br />
B U J A —<br />
INVESTORS’<br />
appetite <strong>for</strong> the Federal<br />
G<strong>over</strong>nment Bonds have<br />
continued to rise with the<br />
March Auction, conducted<br />
yesterday, recording a<br />
N140 billion <strong>over</strong>subscription.<br />
At the exercise, which<br />
was conducted by Debt<br />
Management Office,<br />
DMO, N100 billion bonds<br />
were offered, but investors<br />
staked <strong>over</strong> N240.6 billion.<br />
The <strong>over</strong>-subscription of<br />
the FGN bonds at the<br />
monthly auctions had been<br />
consistent since the<br />
beginning of the 2019 fiscal<br />
year.<br />
A statement by DMO,<br />
yesterday, said it offered<br />
three instruments at the<br />
auction <strong>for</strong> three, seven and<br />
10-year tenors and<br />
subscriptions <strong>for</strong> the three<br />
instruments were in excess<br />
of N148bn <strong>for</strong> competitive<br />
bids.<br />
“Non-competitive bids<br />
valued at N92.6bn were<br />
also received, taking the<br />
total subscriptions across<br />
the 3 tenors to <strong>over</strong><br />
N240.6bn,” it said.<br />
The trend of investors’<br />
preference <strong>for</strong> the longer<br />
tenured instrument<br />
continued, with the 10-year<br />
bond significantly<br />
<strong>over</strong>subscribed with a bidto-c<strong>over</strong><br />
ratio above five.<br />
<strong>All</strong>otments were made to<br />
successful bidders at the<br />
2019 budget: Lawmakers, ministers, others<br />
review N8.827trn budget estimates<br />
By Emman<br />
Ovuakporie<br />
A BUJA—CRITICAL<br />
stakeholders, such as<br />
National Economic Team,<br />
leadership of National<br />
Assembly and a cross<br />
section of the general<br />
public, yesterday,<br />
converged on Abuja to<br />
deliberate on N8.827 trillion<br />
budget estimates <strong>for</strong> 2019<br />
fiscal year.<br />
Speaker of the House of<br />
Representatives, Mr<br />
Yakubu Dogara, on his<br />
part, noted that the public<br />
hearing was aimed at<br />
ensuring active<br />
participation of the<br />
Nigerian public.<br />
Limited gave a similar<br />
opinion. They said: “The<br />
MPC’s decision to cut the<br />
policy rate by 0.50 percent<br />
was engendered by the<br />
feeling of sustainability in the<br />
level of stability of Nigeria’s<br />
macroeconomic indices<br />
which were expected to drive<br />
growth going <strong>for</strong>ward and<br />
the signal by US Fed to leave<br />
Fed rate unchanged in 2019<br />
which was expected to<br />
redirect <strong>for</strong>eign inflows into<br />
emerging and developing<br />
economies like Nigeria.<br />
"We do not expect<br />
significant growth in credit to<br />
private businesses given the<br />
inelastic nature of the<br />
relationship between credit to<br />
private sector and reduction<br />
in MPR.”<br />
rates of 13.5 percent <strong>for</strong> the<br />
five-year, 13.5 percent <strong>for</strong><br />
the seven-year and<br />
13.5percent <strong>for</strong> the 10-year<br />
bonds, which are<br />
considerably lower than the<br />
allotment rates <strong>for</strong> the<br />
February 2019 Auction.<br />
The total amount allotted<br />
to both competitive and<br />
non-competitive bids <strong>for</strong> the<br />
three instruments,<br />
according to the DMO, was<br />
N121.95 billion.<br />
Dogara challenged<br />
ministers to strive towards<br />
achieving 70 per cent<br />
implementation level<br />
against the current 45<br />
percent implementation<br />
level, which he noted was<br />
what is obtainable now.<br />
He noted that the<br />
president has the<br />
constitutional power to<br />
initiate budget proposal,<br />
while the National<br />
Assembly has the power of<br />
appropriation.<br />
He lamented that despite<br />
the late submission of the<br />
budget proposal <strong>over</strong> the<br />
years, the executive has<br />
continued to blame the<br />
Legislature <strong>for</strong> late passage<br />
FAAC shares N619.857bn to<br />
FG, others <strong>for</strong> February<br />
By Emmanuel<br />
Elebeke<br />
ABUJA—AT the end of<br />
its monthly meeting,<br />
yesterday, the Federation<br />
Accounts <strong>All</strong>ocation<br />
Committee, FAAC, shared<br />
N619.857billion to the three<br />
tiers of g<strong>over</strong>nment as<br />
revenue generated <strong>for</strong> the<br />
month of February 2019, but<br />
shared in March 2019.<br />
Acting Accountant<br />
General of the Federation,<br />
AGF, Mohammed Usman ,<br />
who briefed newsmen at the<br />
end of the FAAC meeting in<br />
Abuja, said the amount was<br />
lesser that N505.246 billion<br />
shared in January, which he<br />
attributed to the persistent<br />
shut down of oil<br />
installations within the<br />
month under review.<br />
The AGF also disclosed<br />
that the balance in the<br />
Excess Crude Account,<br />
ECA, currently stands at<br />
$183m, which is less than<br />
$249 billion recorded in the<br />
previous month by $66<br />
of the budget.<br />
He said: “We are all aware<br />
of the importance of a well<strong>for</strong>mulated<br />
budget <strong>for</strong><br />
effective service delivery by<br />
g<strong>over</strong>nment. Indeed, the<br />
budget represents the main<br />
bond between the<br />
g<strong>over</strong>nment and the people.<br />
“Today’s exercise <strong>for</strong>ms a<br />
very important segment in<br />
the making of the<br />
Appropriation Act by the<br />
National Assembly. This<br />
interactive session is in line<br />
with the constitutional<br />
responsibilities and<br />
Legislative Agenda of the<br />
National Assembly which is<br />
aimed at making the budget<br />
process more inclusive and<br />
transparent."<br />
million.<br />
A communiqué at the<br />
end of the meeting<br />
indicates that from the<br />
N619.857 billion, the<br />
Federal G<strong>over</strong>nment<br />
received N2223.157bn, the<br />
states received<br />
N113.188bn, Local<br />
G<strong>over</strong>nment Councils<br />
received N187.263 bn.<br />
The oil producing states<br />
received N45bn as 13 per<br />
cent derivation revenue<br />
and the Revenue<br />
Generating Agencies<br />
received N9.725 billion as<br />
cost of revenue collection.<br />
Meanwhile, <strong>for</strong> the<br />
February 2019, the gross<br />
revenue of N478.434 bn<br />
was received in the month<br />
of February 2019. This is<br />
lower than the N505.246 bn<br />
received in the previous<br />
month by N26.812bn.<br />
The gross revenue from<br />
Value Added Tax, VAT, was<br />
N96.389bn as against<br />
N104.468bn distributed in<br />
the previous month,<br />
resulting in a decrease of<br />
N8.079 billion.<br />
Dokpesi narrates ordeal<br />
in Immigration custody<br />
By Dirisu<br />
Yakubu<br />
A BUJA—MEDIA<br />
mogul and founding<br />
chairman of African<br />
Independent Television,<br />
AIT, Chief Raymond<br />
Dokpesi, has blamed the<br />
President Muhammadu<br />
Buhari-led administration<br />
<strong>for</strong> his ordeal in the hands<br />
of the nation’s security<br />
agencies.<br />
Dokpesi who was,<br />
yesterday, invited <strong>for</strong><br />
questioning by Nigeria<br />
Immigration Service, NIS,<br />
disclosed this to newsmen<br />
after spending about three<br />
hours at the NIS<br />
headquarters in Abuja.<br />
According to him,<br />
“definitely, if I had brought<br />
my passport today, they<br />
would have impounded it,<br />
that is what it is. There are<br />
no two ways about it, but<br />
the passport is with the<br />
court. But even if they<br />
decide to do so, like I said,<br />
the passport is a property<br />
of the Federal Republic of<br />
Nigeria, so they can<br />
request <strong>for</strong> it.<br />
“I just returned from a<br />
medical trip <strong>over</strong>seas on<br />
March 22, 2019 when I<br />
was arrested <strong>for</strong> between<br />
50 to 55 minutes at the<br />
airport. I was told that they<br />
had instructions from above<br />
to arrest me on my return<br />
but after a few phone calls<br />
and contacts, the<br />
Immigration officer at the<br />
airport told me that he had<br />
instructions from above<br />
that I could leave and he<br />
gave me back my passport<br />
and told me that I should<br />
go, that they would reach<br />
me subsequently.<br />
“On Monday, I received<br />
new in<strong>for</strong>mation and in<br />
line with the normal<br />
process, I returned my<br />
passport to the Federal<br />
High Court since I<br />
travelled under a judicial<br />
approval or permission. So<br />
I returned the passport and<br />
gave notice that I might go<br />
<strong>for</strong> a medical check up so<br />
that they will ensure that<br />
the operation was<br />
successful and that all the<br />
organs and everything are<br />
properly healed. "<br />
Dokpesi who was<br />
interrogated <strong>for</strong> two and a<br />
half hours at the<br />
Comptroller General’s<br />
Investigation Department<br />
and allowed to go home<br />
about 3:10p.m., said he had<br />
a feeling he would be<br />
invited again.