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Vanguard, THURSDAY, APRIL 11, 2019 — 21<br />
IMF ranks Nigeria 2nd worst <strong>on</strong> use<br />
of Sovereign Wealth<br />
....Ghana emerges sec<strong>on</strong>d best<br />
Stories by Emeka Anaeto,<br />
Emma Ujah & Peter Egwuatu in<br />
Washingt<strong>on</strong><br />
The<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
M<strong>on</strong>etary Fund, IMF,<br />
yesterday, in its Fiscal M<strong>on</strong>itor<br />
report released at the <strong>on</strong>going<br />
Spring Meetings of the World<br />
Bank and IMF in Washingt<strong>on</strong>,<br />
United <strong>State</strong>s of America, has<br />
ranked Nigeria as the sec<strong>on</strong>d<br />
worst country in the world in the<br />
use of Sovereign Wealth funds.<br />
This is even as the Fund<br />
advised the federal government<br />
to embark <strong>on</strong> tax reforms while<br />
using other fiscal policy<br />
instruments to complement the<br />
m<strong>on</strong>etary policy in order to<br />
enhance ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth<br />
amidst growing protest by<br />
Nigerians over proposed<br />
increase in Value Added Tax, VAT.<br />
The IMF Fiscal M<strong>on</strong>itor report<br />
showed that Nigeria beat <strong>on</strong>ly<br />
Qatar in the 33 country ranking<br />
where Ghana Sovereign Wealth<br />
Fund came sec<strong>on</strong>d <strong>on</strong> the top<br />
performers after Columbia.<br />
The Fund explained that the<br />
index was compiled using the<br />
corporate governance and<br />
transparency scores of the<br />
sovereign wealth funds and the<br />
size of assets as a percentage of<br />
2016 GDP of the countries<br />
c<strong>on</strong>sidered.<br />
The Report stated: “It is critical<br />
to develop a str<strong>on</strong>g instituti<strong>on</strong>al<br />
framework to manage these<br />
resources—including good<br />
management of the financial<br />
assets kept in sovereign wealth<br />
funds—and to ensure that<br />
proceeds are appropriately spent.<br />
“The governance challenges of<br />
commodity –rich countries – that<br />
is, the management of public<br />
assets- call for ensuring a high<br />
degree of transparency and<br />
accountability in the explorati<strong>on</strong><br />
of such resources. Countries<br />
should develop framework that<br />
limits discreti<strong>on</strong>, given the high<br />
risk of abuse and allow for heavy<br />
scrutiny.”<br />
Meanwhile, Director, Fiscal<br />
Affair Department of the IMF, Mr<br />
Vitor Gaspar, yesterday, said that<br />
tax reform is a major issue in<br />
Nigeria and must be given<br />
adequate attenti<strong>on</strong>.<br />
He said: “Nigeria can use<br />
excise tax and also give tax<br />
incentives and exempti<strong>on</strong> to<br />
enhance ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth. Fiscal<br />
policy should tread carefully to<br />
balance growth and sustainability<br />
objectives.”<br />
He advocated for inclusive and<br />
growth-friendly budget recompositi<strong>on</strong><br />
to upgrade tax,<br />
social spending, and active<br />
labour market policies, as well as<br />
investment in infrastructure for<br />
better public service delivery.”<br />
While commenting <strong>on</strong> global<br />
fiscal policy, he said: “Over the<br />
past decade, fiscal policy has<br />
focused primarily <strong>on</strong><br />
macroec<strong>on</strong>omic stabilizati<strong>on</strong> in<br />
resp<strong>on</strong>se to shocks, notably the<br />
global financial crisis. Less<br />
emphasis has been placed <strong>on</strong><br />
reforms to foster l<strong>on</strong>g-term<br />
inclusive growth by adapting to<br />
changing demographics,<br />
advancing technology, and<br />
deepening global integrati<strong>on</strong>.“ In<br />
many countries, public and private<br />
... says Nigeria’s debt-to-GDP ratio is risky<br />
The<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
M<strong>on</strong>etary Fund, IMF,<br />
said yesterday that Nigeria’s<br />
Debt-to-GDP ratio though<br />
good but risky and cannot be<br />
guaranteed going forward.<br />
Debt-GDP ratio compares<br />
the size of a country’s debt<br />
to its ec<strong>on</strong>omy with a view<br />
to determining the<br />
sustainability of the debt<br />
profile as well as the<br />
vulnerability of the ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />
to creditors and repayment<br />
obligati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />
The ratio which stood at<br />
21.1 percent early last year<br />
was projected to reach 25<br />
percent at full year 2018. But<br />
the Fund indicated that the<br />
range is already risky and<br />
cannot be guaranteed.<br />
The Fund also harped <strong>on</strong><br />
the use of the funds<br />
borrowed saying that the<br />
channelling of the fund to<br />
productive sectors is<br />
necessary to achieve<br />
significant impact <strong>on</strong> the<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omy.<br />
Tobias Adrian, Financial<br />
Counsellor & Director of<br />
M<strong>on</strong>etary & Capital Markets<br />
Development of IMF, at a<br />
press briefing <strong>on</strong> “Global<br />
Financial Stability Report” at<br />
the <strong>on</strong>going World Bank/<br />
Christine Lagarde, IMF's<br />
Managing Director<br />
IMF 2019 Spring Meeting in<br />
Washingt<strong>on</strong> DC, USA,<br />
stated: “Nigeria’s borrowing<br />
to GDP is still low but we<br />
cannot guarantee the risk<br />
going forward given the<br />
global ec<strong>on</strong>omic downturn.<br />
The prudent use of the<br />
m<strong>on</strong>ey borrowed is<br />
significant to improving the<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omy.”<br />
While commenting <strong>on</strong> the<br />
global ec<strong>on</strong>omy, he stated<br />
that political and policy<br />
risks, such as an escalati<strong>on</strong><br />
of trade tensi<strong>on</strong>s or a nodeal<br />
Brexit, could affect<br />
market sentiment and lead to<br />
a spike in risk aversi<strong>on</strong>.<br />
He advised that amid<br />
rising downside risks to<br />
global growth, policymakers<br />
should aim to avoid a<br />
sharper ec<strong>on</strong>omic slowdown,<br />
while keeping financial<br />
vulnerabilities in check.<br />
“Policymakers should<br />
clearly communicate any<br />
reassessment of the<br />
m<strong>on</strong>etary policy stance that<br />
reflects either changes in the<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omic outlook or risks<br />
surrounding the outlook.<br />
This will help avoid<br />
unnecessary swings in<br />
financial markets or unduly<br />
compressed market volatility.<br />
David Malpass, World Bank<br />
President<br />
“In countries with high or<br />
rising<br />
financial<br />
vulnerabilities, policymakers<br />
should proactively deploy<br />
prudential tools or expand<br />
their macro prudential<br />
toolkits where needed. These<br />
countries would benefit from<br />
activating or tightening<br />
broad-based macro<br />
prudential measures, such as<br />
countercyclical capital<br />
buffers, to increase the<br />
financial system’s<br />
resilience.<br />
“Efforts should also focus<br />
<strong>on</strong> developing prudential<br />
tools to address rising<br />
corporate debt from n<strong>on</strong>bank<br />
financial intermediaries and<br />
maturity and liquidity<br />
mismatches in the n<strong>on</strong>bank<br />
sector.<br />
“Regulators should also<br />
ensure that more<br />
comprehensive stress tests<br />
(that include macro-financial<br />
feedback effects) are<br />
c<strong>on</strong>ducted for banks and<br />
n<strong>on</strong>bank lenders.<br />
“Emerging market<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omies should ensure<br />
resilience against foreign<br />
portfolio outflows by<br />
reducing excessive external<br />
liabilities, cutting reliance <strong>on</strong><br />
short-term debt, and<br />
maintaining adequate fiscal<br />
and foreign exchange reserve<br />
buffers.”<br />
Future outlook<br />
Adrian further stated:<br />
“Looking ahead, there is a risk<br />
that positive investor<br />
sentiment could deteriorate<br />
abruptly, leading to a sharp<br />
tightening of financial<br />
c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s.<br />
“This will have a larger<br />
effect <strong>on</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omies with<br />
weaker fundamentals, greater<br />
financial vulnerabilities, and<br />
less policy space to resp<strong>on</strong>d<br />
to shocks.<br />
“Possible triggers include<br />
the following: A sharper-thanexpected<br />
growth slowdown<br />
could lead to tighter financial<br />
c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s as risk asset prices<br />
fall, reflecting a weaker<br />
outlook for corporate<br />
earnings, even as policies<br />
turn more accommodative.<br />
“An unexpected shift to a less<br />
dovish outlook for m<strong>on</strong>etary<br />
policy in advanced ec<strong>on</strong>omies<br />
could trigger a reprising in<br />
markets, especially if<br />
investors realize that they<br />
have taken too benign a view<br />
<strong>on</strong> the m<strong>on</strong>etary policy<br />
stance.”<br />
debt hover near historical peaks,<br />
l<strong>on</strong>g-term growth and<br />
development prospects are<br />
uninspiring, and inequality<br />
remains striking. With global<br />
growth slowing and uncertainty<br />
rising, fiscal policy should prepare<br />
for possible downturns—balancing<br />
growth and sustainability<br />
objectives—while also putting<br />
more emphasis <strong>on</strong> reforms to adapt<br />
to a fast-changing global ec<strong>on</strong>omy.”<br />
DBN disburses N31bn to MSMEs,<br />
gets World Bank’s backing<br />
Development Bank of<br />
Nigeria (DBN) disbursed<br />
N31 billi<strong>on</strong> to Micro Small and<br />
Medium Enterprises (MSMEs)<br />
in the country in its first full year<br />
of operati<strong>on</strong> in 2018.<br />
Managing Director of the<br />
bank, Mr. T<strong>on</strong>y Okpanachi,<br />
disclosed this at the <strong>on</strong>-going<br />
Spring Meetings of the<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al M<strong>on</strong>etary Fund<br />
(IMF) and the World Bank in<br />
Washingt<strong>on</strong> DC, USA.<br />
He said DBN has changed the<br />
landscape of MSMEs funding<br />
in the country with its innovative<br />
lending and focus <strong>on</strong> l<strong>on</strong>g-term<br />
loans to that sector of the<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omy. In a presentati<strong>on</strong> to a<br />
team of the World Bank Group<br />
and internati<strong>on</strong>al investors <strong>on</strong><br />
the achievements of DBN and<br />
its plans for the future,<br />
Okpanachi said that his team<br />
was working assiduously to<br />
achieve a disbursement level of<br />
about N100 billi<strong>on</strong> at the end of<br />
this year, which could be scaled<br />
up to N389 billi<strong>on</strong> at the end of<br />
2023, when the bank marks five<br />
years in active lending<br />
operati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />
According to him, the<br />
Partnering Finance Instituti<strong>on</strong>s<br />
(PFIs) had grown from two in<br />
2017, when DBN started<br />
operati<strong>on</strong>s to 22 at the end of<br />
2018, adding that the target for<br />
2019 was to raise the number of<br />
PFIs to 30.<br />
Okpanachi stated: “Financial<br />
sustainability is our key focus<br />
from first day with steady profits<br />
in the last two years and a robust<br />
projecti<strong>on</strong> for 2019 and<br />
bey<strong>on</strong>d.”<br />
He told the investors and<br />
stakeholders that the bank had<br />
taken risk management<br />
seriously in its frameworks and<br />
policies and had recorded zero<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-Performing Loans, NPL, so<br />
far.<br />
Watch China<br />
loans, IMF warns<br />
Nigeria, others<br />
The<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
M<strong>on</strong>etary Fund (IMF) has<br />
warned Nigeria and other African<br />
countries to be wary of Chinese<br />
loans, saying that the terms of the<br />
loans were not in c<strong>on</strong>formity with<br />
Paris Club arrangements.<br />
The Financial Counselor and<br />
Director, M<strong>on</strong>etary and Capital<br />
Markets Department of the<br />
Fund , Mr. Tobias Adrian, gave<br />
the warning at the <strong>on</strong>-going IMF/<br />
World Bank Spring Meeting in<br />
Washingt<strong>on</strong> DC, yesterday.<br />
Resp<strong>on</strong>ding to a questi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong><br />
China’s inveatme ts in Africa, he<br />
said, “capital flows in general and<br />
This includes capital flows from<br />
Chi a are of course important for<br />
development <strong>on</strong> the <strong>on</strong>e hand.<br />
“On the other hand, what is very<br />
important in those lending<br />
arrangements are the terms of the<br />
loans and we urge countries to<br />
make sure that when they borrow<br />
from abroad, that the terms are<br />
favourable for the.vpeeower<br />
“In particular, we tend to<br />
recommend that loans to cou tries<br />
should be so forming to Paris Club<br />
arrangements. And that is not<br />
always the case in the case of<br />
loans from China.”<br />
The Director, added that IMF<br />
was focusing <strong>on</strong> governance<br />
issues in Africa where<br />
transparency has been a major<br />
development problem for a l<strong>on</strong>g<br />
time.