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The Two European Hydrological Cycles:

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British Isles & NW<br />

Europe experience<br />

floods in summer &<br />

dry cold winters<br />

Summer drought<br />

followed by winter<br />

floods in Southwestern<br />

Europe &<br />

Northern Africa<br />

(+ ?) Perturbation<br />

to the NAO (North<br />

Atlantic Oscillation)<br />

Perturbations (?)<br />

to extra-tropical<br />

depressions &<br />

hurricanes, in<br />

the Western<br />

Atlantic South-<br />

Eastern USA<br />

Increased salty<br />

outflow to<br />

Atlantic<br />

� LAND-USE &<br />

SURFACE<br />

CHANGES<br />

Mud floods<br />

Augmented<br />

soil erosion<br />

Torrential rains over<br />

areas surrounding the<br />

Mediterranean<br />

increase in autumnwinter-spring<br />

Condensation<br />

nuclei<br />

transported<br />

across Atlantic<br />

to Caribbean<br />

Alter the MOISTURE�,<br />

HEAT�, & pollutants�<br />

added to seabreezes<br />

Loss of summer storms.<br />

Drought increases over<br />

coastal mountains and<br />

other inland areas<br />

Changes the evaporation─precipitation<br />

balance in the western basin. Salinity<br />

increases in the Mediterranean Sea<br />

Heterogeneous<br />

reactions in<br />

shallow clouds:<br />

sulphatation<br />

and nitrification<br />

of Saharan dust<br />

Combined greenhouse<br />

heating additionally<br />

increases the Sea<br />

Surface Temperature by<br />

the end of summer<br />

African routes:<br />

central and/or<br />

Southern Atlas<br />

(with vertical<br />

recirculations)<br />

* EVAPORATION<br />

FROM SEA<br />

+ Pollution Effects<br />

(e.g., nucleation)<br />

Cloud Condensation<br />

Level rises above<br />

coastal mountains<br />

Non-precipitated H 2O vapour<br />

& pollutants (O 3) follow the<br />

return flows aloft, and pile<br />

up in a system of layers, 4.5<br />

to 5.5 km deep, over the sea<br />

Aged airmass advected<br />

to other regions, in part<br />

(daily), or in toto (every<br />

� 3 to 10 days) �<br />

<strong>European</strong><br />

route-Vb tracks<br />

Summer floods<br />

in Central<br />

Europe: 1997,<br />

2002, 2005, ...

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