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OUR WOR LD<br />

<strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

May 2020


Keeping you connected<br />

when business is anything<br />

but usual.<br />

These days, working toge<strong>the</strong>r is more important than ever. That’s why we’ve been<br />

working around <strong>the</strong> clock during this crisis to maintain network integrity under<br />

unprecedented demand – all to avoid disruption to your business. We’ve launched<br />

six new Command Centers that are enabling <strong>the</strong> fast delivery of increased<br />

bandwidth, new circuits and unified communication services. These centers<br />

will help those now working from home and provide extra support to essential<br />

institutions experiencing significantly higher data and voice traffic.<br />

At AT&T, our network is designed to be resilient and our people are strong. <strong>Our</strong><br />

job is to keep you connected. It’s what we’ve always done. It’s what we’ll always<br />

strive to do.<br />

Learn how else we can help keep your business going at att.com/beprepared<br />

© 2020 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. All marks used herein are <strong>the</strong> property of <strong>the</strong>ir respective owners.


A NEW EUROPE PUBLICATION<br />

OUR WORLD<br />

<strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

Foreword <strong>by</strong> European Health<br />

Commissioner, Stella Kyriakides<br />

In partnership with


The Cover<br />

OUR WOR LD<br />

<strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

May 2020<br />

EDITOR<br />

Nicholas Waller<br />

ASSOCIATE EDITOR<br />

Ariti-Marina Alamanou<br />

EDITION COORDINATORS<br />

Angelis Panopoulos<br />

Vassilis Nanis<br />

RESEARCH & REVIEW<br />

Orestis Vasileiadis<br />

Vassilis Tsimpidaros<br />

LAYOUT & DESIGN<br />

Suman Haque<br />

LOGISTICS & OPERATIONS<br />

Irini Panagopoulou<br />

PUBLISHING PARTNER<br />

Jerry Zagoritis<br />

Cover title: The Wandering Swan<br />

Illustration: Lavrentis Choraitis<br />

Concept: Campaign Lab & New Europe<br />

ISSN number: 2593 - 4163<br />

A publication <strong>by</strong>:<br />

Published <strong>by</strong> Brussels News Agency SPRL<br />

NEW EUROPE<br />

Av. de Tervuren/Tervurenlaan 96, Tel. +32 2 5390039<br />

1040 Brussels, Belgium<br />

Fax +32 2 5390339<br />

info@ourworld.co<br />

© 2020 <strong>Our</strong> <strong>World</strong> all rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form <strong>by</strong> any<br />

means, electronic or o<strong>the</strong>rwise, without express permission. The Publishers accept no liability for third party views published, nor damage caused <strong>by</strong><br />

reading, viewing or using our content. All information is correct at <strong>the</strong> time of going to print, we accept no liabilities for consequent changes.


Editorial<br />

By Nicholas Waller<br />

Managing Editor,<br />

New Europe<br />

In <strong>the</strong> space of just a few weeks, <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 pandemic has plunged much of <strong>the</strong> world<br />

into a state suspended paralysis. The crisis has laid bare just how unprepared we in <strong>the</strong><br />

developed world are in <strong>the</strong> event of a major global catastrophe. If <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 pandemic<br />

has taught us anything, it is that bureaucratic infighting and delays in prudent policymaking<br />

has deadly and economically ruinous consequences.<br />

When <strong>the</strong> first signs of an outbreak began in China in late 2019, <strong>the</strong> earliest warnings were<br />

covered up <strong>by</strong> a paranoid Communist regime intent on keeping <strong>the</strong> world uninformed<br />

about <strong>the</strong> deadly nature of <strong>the</strong> disease. And despite numerous signals, Europe and <strong>the</strong> US<br />

chose not to heed <strong>the</strong> warnings.<br />

While <strong>the</strong> lessons to be learned from <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 pandemic await an in-depth review once<br />

<strong>the</strong> worst phase of <strong>the</strong> crisis passes, <strong>the</strong> world is now left with finding a way to somehow<br />

tame <strong>the</strong> disease while at <strong>the</strong> same time picking up <strong>the</strong> pieces of <strong>the</strong> world’s economies and<br />

forging ahead with a more secure post-pandemic existence.<br />

The world’s democracies must acknowledge <strong>the</strong> disturbing speed <strong>by</strong> which aggressive and<br />

heavy-handed measures were enacted <strong>by</strong> officials in nations with little-to-no-history of<br />

authoritarianism as part of <strong>the</strong>ir efforts to combat <strong>the</strong> spread of <strong>the</strong> virus.<br />

The distinctly Orwellian character of <strong>the</strong> lockdowns, curfews, restrictions on <strong>the</strong> press, public<br />

shaming of those who question <strong>the</strong> authorities, and restrictions on <strong>the</strong> right to assemble<br />

is impossible to ignore. Each of <strong>the</strong> leading nations of <strong>the</strong> free world must come to <strong>the</strong><br />

realisation that once certain inalienable rights are stripped away, it is nearly impossible to<br />

ever recoup what has been forever lost – <strong>the</strong> post-9/11 world taught us that simple but<br />

fundamental lesson.<br />

The reality is that economies will contract, resources will shrink, and governments will<br />

struggle to provide for <strong>the</strong>ir populations. But <strong>by</strong> pooling toge<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> vast manufacturing<br />

and innovative resources that Europe possesses – and working in tandem with its close<br />

allies in <strong>the</strong> US, UK, and Canada – <strong>the</strong> EU can produce and provide its own medical and<br />

telecommunications resources that would help wean itself off its destructive dependence on<br />

China.<br />

By developing a coherent vision of exactly where Europe’s place in <strong>the</strong> post-pandemic world<br />

will be will allow <strong>the</strong> 27 members of <strong>the</strong> bloc to fur<strong>the</strong>r address many of <strong>the</strong> issues that have<br />

dogged <strong>the</strong> EU for <strong>the</strong> past dozen years. What’s paramount is that Europe must find a way<br />

to allow its constituent members to rethink <strong>the</strong>ir notion of sovereignty while at <strong>the</strong> same<br />

time halting <strong>the</strong> growth of an even stronger nativist and xenophobic surge as a result of <strong>the</strong><br />

pandemic.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> Western democracies, <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> pandemic must be followed <strong>by</strong> a renewed<br />

sense of close cooperation, similar to what was seen in <strong>the</strong> years immediately following <strong>the</strong><br />

end of <strong>the</strong> Second <strong>World</strong> War.<br />

We began 2020 <strong>by</strong> marking <strong>the</strong> tenth anniversary of our annual “<strong>Our</strong> <strong>World</strong>” magazine,<br />

where we invite leading minds from <strong>the</strong> political, business, academic, and civil society<br />

world to discuss our future as seen from <strong>the</strong> perspective of our individual and collective<br />

challenges.<br />

None of us could have imagined as recently <strong>the</strong> world would be faced with <strong>the</strong> sort of<br />

calamity that has befallen all of us in <strong>the</strong> months since we published <strong>the</strong> latest edition of <strong>Our</strong><br />

<strong>World</strong>. From <strong>the</strong> very beginning, New Europe has offered entities who actively do good for<br />

our societies <strong>the</strong> opportunity to express <strong>the</strong>ir hopes and ideas in <strong>the</strong> pages of <strong>Our</strong> <strong>World</strong>.<br />

At this critical time in all of our lives, we sincerely hope that <strong>the</strong> thoughts and observations in<br />

this special edition helps bring more clarity for all as we look to <strong>the</strong> future.


OUR WORLD<br />

Foreword<br />

By Stella Kyriakides<br />

European Commissioner<br />

for Health<br />

The COVID19 pandemic has been described <strong>by</strong> many,<br />

including leading health experts, international organisations<br />

and political leaders around <strong>the</strong> world, as <strong>the</strong> greatest<br />

challenge humanity has faced since <strong>the</strong> Second <strong>World</strong> War and<br />

as <strong>the</strong> greatest threat to global public health of our lifetime. It<br />

has become a global health crisis that has transformed life as we<br />

know it. Hundreds of thousands of people around <strong>the</strong> world have<br />

tragically lost <strong>the</strong>ir lives, leaving behind <strong>the</strong>ir families and loved<br />

ones. <strong>Our</strong> healthcare systems have been put under extraordinary<br />

pressure, and we pay tribute to our heroic frontline healthcare<br />

workers, who put <strong>the</strong>mselves at risk every day to save lives and<br />

protect all of us. <strong>Our</strong> economies have suffered considerable losses,<br />

jobs have been lost, and societies have been kept apart because<br />

of social distancing.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> onset of <strong>the</strong> crisis, it was thought that perhaps every<br />

country could face <strong>the</strong>ir own challenges alone. However, it quickly<br />

became apparent that this could not be <strong>the</strong> case. It is clear that to<br />

deal with a multifaceted global crisis, it is necessary and of utmost<br />

importance to have a global response, with communities, regions<br />

and countries coming toge<strong>the</strong>r at all levels as a united team, in<br />

<strong>the</strong> spirit of resilience, toge<strong>the</strong>rness, and above all, solidarity. In<br />

<strong>the</strong> past few weeks, we have seen unprecedented cooperation<br />

across <strong>the</strong> world to address <strong>the</strong> most pressing issues, including<br />

supplies of essential equipment and medicines that our hospitals<br />

require and exceptional economic support measures to mitigate<br />

<strong>the</strong> impact of <strong>the</strong> pandemic on our economies and societies.<br />

Now we stand at a critical phase of our common fight which<br />

will require more global coordination and solidarity than ever.<br />

We must jointly strive to support worldwide efforts to develop,<br />

manufacture, equally distribute and ensure access to safe and<br />

effective treatments and vaccines for all, especially <strong>the</strong> most<br />

vulnerable countries and societies. To do so we will need to pool<br />

resources and expertise from all stakeholders, both public and<br />

private, in a joint effort for <strong>the</strong> public good.<br />

On May 4, <strong>the</strong> EU called on all of <strong>the</strong>m to demonstrate this spirit<br />

of solidarity <strong>by</strong> contributing to a global pledge aimed at closing <strong>the</strong><br />

funding gaps necessary for <strong>the</strong> critical research needed to develop<br />

a cure for <strong>the</strong> virus. This is how we will overcome <strong>the</strong> COVID-19<br />

pandemic. This is <strong>the</strong> fight of our generation. We face it toge<strong>the</strong>r<br />

and we will rise to <strong>the</strong> occasion toge<strong>the</strong>r. This is our fundamental<br />

duty to our citizens.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

5


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

CONTENTS<br />

Editorial .................................................................................... 03<br />

By Nicholas Waller<br />

Managing Editor, New Europe<br />

Foreword.................................................................................... 05<br />

By Stella Kyriakides<br />

European Commissioner for Health<br />

8 LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS &<br />

FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

COVID-19 threatens to bring back unfair and<br />

unequal treatment of working women......................................... 10<br />

By António Guterres<br />

Secretary General of <strong>the</strong> United Nations<br />

Rebuilding <strong>the</strong> European Way of Life in <strong>the</strong> aftermath,<br />

from Achilles’ heel to Achilles’ shield............................................ 12<br />

By Margaritis Schinas<br />

Vice President of The European Commission for Promoting <strong>Our</strong> European Way of Life<br />

FirstNet: Unique U.S. public-private partnership<br />

takes on COVID-19....................................................................... 14<br />

By Jeff McElfresh<br />

CEO, AT&T Communications<br />

Bahrain’s COVID-19 Response....................................................... 16<br />

By Abdulla bin Ahmed Al Khalifa<br />

Chairman, Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies (DERASAT)<br />

Rebuilding society: rural sustainable development<br />

after Covid-19 An opinion, not a myth.......................................... 18<br />

By Shanu SP Hinduja<br />

Chair of Hinduja Bank, Co-Chair of <strong>the</strong> United Nations Global Accelerator and<br />

Professor of Leadership at <strong>the</strong> University of Bolton’s Institute of Management<br />

Behind closed doors: domestic violence amid<br />

<strong>the</strong> COVID-19 pandemic............................................................... 20<br />

By Frances Fitzgerald<br />

Irish member of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament with <strong>the</strong> EPP Group – EPP Group Coordinator of<br />

<strong>the</strong> European Parliament’s Committee on Women’s Rights and Gender Equality<br />

Leadership Reconceptualized:<br />

A Compass for <strong>the</strong> Leaders of <strong>the</strong> New Global Era.......................... 22<br />

By Vassili Apostolopoulos<br />

CEO of <strong>the</strong> A<strong>the</strong>ns Medical Group (AMG) - President of <strong>the</strong> Hellenic Entrepreneurs<br />

Association (EENE)<br />

The Quest for <strong>the</strong> Single Antibody to End<br />

<strong>the</strong> COVID-19 <strong>Pandemic</strong> .............................................................. 24<br />

By Jake Glanville & Aishani Aatresh<br />

Jake Glanville Distributed Bio, CEO & Founding Partner<br />

& Aishani Aatresh Computational Immunoengineering Affiliate at Distributed Bio<br />

Nurses – <strong>the</strong> Heroes at <strong>the</strong> Frontline of Healthcare......................... 26<br />

By Paul de Raeve<br />

Secretary General of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Federation of Nurses Associations<br />

5G: A Backbone for Europe’s Economic Recovery............................ 28<br />

By Afke Schaart<br />

Vice President and Head of Europe, Russia and CIS countries of <strong>the</strong> GSMA - Former<br />

Member of <strong>the</strong> Parliament of <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />

8 POLITICAL ECONOMY<br />

OF A PANDEMIC<br />

The EU in crisis? A pragmatist’s take ............................................ 32<br />

By Antonio López-Istúriz White<br />

Secretary General of <strong>the</strong> European People’s Party – Spanish member of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Parliament with <strong>the</strong> EPP Group<br />

Technology Now! Lessons learned<br />

from COVID19 and What’s Next.................................................... 36<br />

By Eva Kaili<br />

Greek member of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament with <strong>the</strong> S&D Group - Chair for Science and<br />

Technology, STOA - Chair EU40 - Member of OECD Blockchain Advisory Board, WEF EU<br />

Digital Leaders & Digital Currency Gov Consortium, IEEE Center of Extended Intelligence<br />

Advisory Board<br />

Looking for <strong>the</strong> white knight ....................................................... 38<br />

By Daniel Kaddik<br />

Executive Director of <strong>the</strong> European Liberal Forum<br />

China’s Hostage Diplomacy........................................................... 40<br />

By Anna Fotyga<br />

Polish member of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament with <strong>the</strong> ECR Group<br />

Quarantine and/or geopolitical checkmate? .................................. 42<br />

By Lídia Pereira<br />

Portuguese member of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament with <strong>the</strong> EPP Group – President of <strong>the</strong><br />

Youth of <strong>the</strong> European People’s Party<br />

The China Hunt........................................................................... 44<br />

By Witold Jan Waszczykowski<br />

Polish member of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament with <strong>the</strong> ECR Group - Former Minister of<br />

Foreign Affairs<br />

The West must stand confident and<br />

united against <strong>the</strong> Chinese threat................................................. 46<br />

By Mattias Karlsson<br />

Member of <strong>the</strong> Swedish Parliament - Former Leader of <strong>the</strong> Sweden Democrats<br />

The Black Swan of 2020............................................................... 48<br />

By Erol User<br />

President and CEO of User Corporation. Dr User is also a multi-award winning entrepreneur,<br />

veteran businessman, philanthropist, business/financial coach and educator<br />

Reimagining History’s Path........................................................... 50<br />

By Dimitris Valatsas<br />

Chief Economist at Greenmantle<br />

The O<strong>the</strong>r Half............................................................................ 52<br />

By Sabina Ciofu<br />

Head of EU and Trade Policy at techUK<br />

The great lockdown:<br />

a glimpse of a more sustainable future?........................................ 54<br />

By Peter R. Styles<br />

Managing Director, Stratos European Policy Limited<br />

What are <strong>the</strong> Geo-Economic<br />

Impacts of <strong>the</strong> Coronavirus Crisis? ............................................... 56<br />

By Omar Al-Ubaydli<br />

PhD, Researcher at <strong>the</strong> Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies<br />

(Derasat), Non-Resident Fellow at <strong>the</strong> Arab Gulf States Institute, Washington<br />

Fixing <strong>the</strong> Eurozone for <strong>the</strong> next 50-years ..................................... 58<br />

By Juha-Pekka Nurvala<br />

Former Senior Political Advisor for Economic and Social Policy, European People’s Party -<br />

Political Economist, London School of Economics<br />

6 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


CONTENTS<br />

OUR WORLD<br />

Going Viral: COVID-19’s Harsh Lessons........................................... 60<br />

By Mitchell Belfer<br />

President of <strong>the</strong> Euro-Gulf Information Centre (Rome, Italy), Senior Lecturer in<br />

International Relations, Terrorism and Security at <strong>the</strong> Metropolitan University Prague<br />

(Czech Republic) and Editor in Chief of <strong>the</strong> Central European Journal of International and<br />

Security Studies.<br />

A green recovery......................................................................... 62<br />

By Dirk Schoenmaker<br />

Non-Resident Fellow at Bruegel- Professor of Banking and Finance at Rotterdam School<br />

of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam- Research Fellow at <strong>the</strong> Centre for<br />

European Policy Research (CEPR).<br />

8 IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

We need a global solution, a global response<br />

to ensure a better handling of future breakouts............................ 66<br />

By Adrian Delia<br />

Leader of <strong>the</strong> Opposition in Malta & Leader of <strong>the</strong> Nationalist Party<br />

Uzbekistan’s emergence onto <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> stage............................... 68<br />

By Sardor Umurzakov<br />

Deputy Prime-Minister, Minister of Investments & Foreign Trade of Uzbekistan and is also<br />

<strong>the</strong> Co-Chair of <strong>the</strong> Supervisory Board of Europe-Uzbekistan Association for Economic<br />

Cooperation (EUROUZ)<br />

What we can learn from viruses and<br />

our efforts to defeat <strong>the</strong>m........................................................... 70<br />

By Michel Zaffran<br />

Director of Polio Eradication at <strong>World</strong> Health Organization<br />

By Judith Diment<br />

Coordinator of National Advocacy Advisors at Rotary International<br />

Lessons from Australia................................................................. 72<br />

By Hermann Tertsch<br />

Spanish Member of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament with <strong>the</strong> ECR Group<br />

Poland has shown true European Solidarity .................................. 74<br />

By Carlo Fidanza<br />

Italian member of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament with <strong>the</strong> ECR Group<br />

How <strong>the</strong> Nigerian diaspora is helping<br />

in <strong>the</strong> fight against Coronavirus ................................................... 76<br />

By Hon. Abike Dabiri-Erewa<br />

Senior Special Assistant to President of Nigeria, Muhammadu Buhari,<br />

on Diaspora and Foreign Affairs<br />

Germany and <strong>the</strong> future of <strong>the</strong> Union........................................... 78<br />

By Gianni Pittella<br />

Member of <strong>the</strong> Italian Senate, Former Vice President of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament &<br />

former Leader of <strong>the</strong> S&D Group in <strong>the</strong> European Parliament<br />

Stringent social distancing measures are working out.................... 80<br />

By Sophia Kircher<br />

Member of <strong>the</strong> regional Parliament of Tyrol with <strong>the</strong> Austrian People’s Party<br />

Turkey and Covid-19: Stepping into Supply Chains.......................... 82<br />

By Nail Olpak<br />

President of DEiK, Foreign Economic Relations Board of Turkey<br />

8 CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE<br />

& THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

Digital Greece: turning crisis into opportunity................................ 86<br />

By Grigoris Zarifopoulos<br />

Greek Deputy Minister for Digital Governance, responsible for Digital Strategy and for<br />

attracting investment in Digital Technology<br />

Full-service healthcare distributors have proven <strong>the</strong>ir resilience<br />

throughout <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 crisis ensuring continuous service for<br />

European patients ...................................................................... 90<br />

By Monica Derecque Pois<br />

Director General of <strong>the</strong> European Healthcare Distribution Association<br />

What is <strong>the</strong> role of businesses in Europe’s fight against COVID-19,<br />

and in its recovery?..................................................................... 92<br />

By Cybelle Buyck<br />

European Vice President of Legal & Corporate Affairs, AB InBev<br />

The need for a new narrative in tourism is an urgent need!............ 94<br />

By Angela Gerekou<br />

President of <strong>the</strong> Greek National Tourism Organisation<br />

Hauling US Banking Infrastructure ............................................... 96<br />

By Archie Ravishankar<br />

Founder and CEO of Cogni<br />

Take Africa into consideration...................................................... 98<br />

By Nikos Papazoglou<br />

CEO, Pharmex SA<br />

Green Recovery, Energy Transition and Gender Equality:<br />

a triple target for Europe .......................................................... 100<br />

By Daria Nochevnik<br />

Co-Founder Women in Energy, Climate and Sustainability Foundation<br />

International Education and a <strong>Pandemic</strong> Crisis............................. 102<br />

By Patrick van Rooyen<br />

Executive Chairman, GoGlobal Education<br />

Envelopes resist crises............................................................... 104<br />

By Matti Rantanen<br />

Managing Director of <strong>the</strong> European Federation of Envelope Manufacturers<br />

Public Services and Services of General Interest on <strong>the</strong> frontline<br />

against <strong>the</strong> COVID-19................................................................. 106<br />

By Valeria Ronzitti<br />

SGI employers and providers at <strong>the</strong> heart of <strong>the</strong> crisis<br />

8 FINAL WORD<br />

Turning Uncertainty into Opportunity......................................... 108<br />

By Jerry Zagoritis<br />

Founder & CEO of Campaign Lab and <strong>the</strong> Publishing Partner of “<strong>Our</strong> <strong>World</strong>: <strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Pandemic</strong>”<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

7


<strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

Leadership<br />

in Crisis &<br />

Frontline<br />

Heroes


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

COVID-19 Threatens to Bring<br />

Back Unfair and Unequal<br />

Treatment of Working Women<br />

By António Guterres<br />

Early signs are that <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 virus poses a greater direct health risk<br />

to men, and particularly older men. But <strong>the</strong> pandemic is exposing and<br />

exploiting inequalities of all kinds, including gender inequality. In <strong>the</strong> long<br />

term, its impact on women’s health, rights and freedoms could harm us all.<br />

10 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Women are already suffering <strong>the</strong> deadly<br />

impact of lockdowns and quarantines. These<br />

restrictions are essential – but <strong>the</strong>y increase <strong>the</strong><br />

risk of violence towards women trapped with<br />

abusive partners. Recent weeks have seen an<br />

alarming global surge in domestic violence; <strong>the</strong><br />

largest support organization in <strong>the</strong> UK reported<br />

a 700 percent increase in calls. At <strong>the</strong> same<br />

time, support services for women at risk face<br />

cuts and closures.<br />

This was <strong>the</strong> background to my recent<br />

appeal for peace in homes around <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

Since <strong>the</strong>n, more than 143 governments have<br />

committed to supporting women and girls at<br />

risk of violence during <strong>the</strong> pandemic. Every<br />

country can take action <strong>by</strong> moving services<br />

online, expanding domestic violence shelters<br />

and designating <strong>the</strong>m as essential, and<br />

increasing support to frontline organizations.<br />

The United Nations’ partnership with <strong>the</strong><br />

European Union, <strong>the</strong> Spotlight Initiative, is<br />

working with governments in more than 25<br />

countries on <strong>the</strong>se and similar measures, and<br />

stands ready to expand its support.<br />

But <strong>the</strong> threat to women’s rights and<br />

freedoms posed <strong>by</strong> COVID-19 goes far beyond<br />

physical violence. The deep economic downturn<br />

accompanying <strong>the</strong> pandemic is likely to have a<br />

distinctly female face.<br />

The unfair and unequal treatment of<br />

working women is one reason why I went into<br />

politics. In <strong>the</strong> late 1960s, as a student volunteer<br />

doing social work in poor areas of Lisbon, I saw<br />

women in very difficult situations, doing menial<br />

jobs and carrying <strong>the</strong> weight of <strong>the</strong>ir extended<br />

families. I knew this had to change – and I have<br />

seen important change in my lifetime.<br />

But decades later, COVID-19 threatens to<br />

bring back <strong>the</strong>se conditions and worse, for<br />

many women around <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

Women are disproportionately represented<br />

in poorly paid jobs without benefits, as domestic<br />

workers, casual labourers, street vendors, and<br />

in small-scale services like hairdressing. The<br />

International Labour Organization estimates<br />

that nearly 200 million jobs will be lost in <strong>the</strong><br />

next three months alone – many of <strong>the</strong>m in<br />

exactly <strong>the</strong>se sectors.<br />

And just as <strong>the</strong>y are losing <strong>the</strong>ir paid<br />

employment, many women face a huge<br />

increase in care work due to school closures,<br />

overwhelmed health systems, and <strong>the</strong><br />

increased needs of older people.<br />

António<br />

Guterres<br />

Secretary General of<br />

<strong>the</strong> United Nations<br />

And let’s not forget <strong>the</strong> girls who have had<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir education cut short. In some villages<br />

in Sierra Leone, school enrolment rates for<br />

teenage girls fell from 50 to 34 percent after <strong>the</strong><br />

Ebola epidemic, with lifelong implications for<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir wellbeing and that of <strong>the</strong>ir communities<br />

and societies.<br />

Many men, too, are facing job losses and<br />

conflicting demands. But even at <strong>the</strong> best of<br />

times, women do three times as much domestic<br />

work as men.<br />

That means <strong>the</strong>y are more likely to be called<br />

on to look after children if businesses open<br />

while schools remain closed, delaying <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

return to <strong>the</strong> paid labour force.<br />

Entrenched inequality also means that while<br />

women make up seventy percent of healthcare<br />

workers, <strong>the</strong>y are vastly outnumbered <strong>by</strong> men<br />

in healthcare management, and comprise just<br />

one in every ten political leaders worldwide –<br />

which harms us all. We need women at <strong>the</strong> table<br />

when decisions are taken on this pandemic,<br />

to prevent worst-case scenarios like a second<br />

spike in infections, labour shortages, and even<br />

social unrest.<br />

Women in insecure jobs urgently need basic<br />

social protections, from health insurance to<br />

paid sick leave, childcare, income protection<br />

and unemployment benefits. Looking ahead,<br />

measures to stimulate <strong>the</strong> economy, like cash<br />

transfers, credits, loans and bailouts, must be<br />

targeted at women – whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>y are working<br />

full-time in <strong>the</strong> formal economy, as part-time or<br />

seasonal workers in <strong>the</strong> informal economy, or<br />

as entrepreneurs and business owners.<br />

The COVID-19 pandemic has made it clearer<br />

than ever that women’s unpaid domestic<br />

labour is subsidizing both public services and<br />

private profits.<br />

This work must be included in economic<br />

metrics and decision-making. We will all gain<br />

from working arrangements that recognize<br />

people’s caring responsibilities, and from<br />

inclusive economic models that value work in<br />

<strong>the</strong> home.<br />

This pandemic is not only challenging<br />

global health systems, but our commitment<br />

to equality and human dignity.<br />

With women’s interests and rights front<br />

and centre, we can get through this pandemic<br />

faster, and build more equal and resilient<br />

communities and societies that benefit<br />

everyone.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

11


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Rebuilding <strong>the</strong> European Way<br />

of Life in <strong>the</strong> Aftermath: From<br />

Achilles’ Heel to Achilles’ Shield<br />

By Margaritis Schinas<br />

In <strong>the</strong> past few weeks, Europeans have<br />

shown <strong>the</strong>ir resilience, ability to act and<br />

determination to keep our lives on track<br />

whilst mounting a collective response to<br />

<strong>the</strong> coronavirus pandemic. It has been<br />

business in full swing, but not as usual.<br />

Extraordinary and unprecedented<br />

measures – both economic and social<br />

– have been taken. The extremely<br />

restrictive social distancing and<br />

confinement measures are helping to<br />

slow down <strong>the</strong> spread of <strong>the</strong> virus and<br />

give our health systems a chance to cope.<br />

But <strong>the</strong>se measures come at a cost –<br />

to our economies, to <strong>the</strong> functioning<br />

of our single market and to people’s<br />

basic freedoms. The limitation of civic<br />

freedoms and economic development<br />

cannot become <strong>the</strong> norm or it will deeply<br />

compromise <strong>the</strong> future for generations<br />

of Europeans.<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> fight against <strong>the</strong> virus is<br />

still ongoing, it is time we started looking<br />

at <strong>the</strong> ‘what next’. <strong>Our</strong> strategies for<br />

12 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Margaritis<br />

Schinas<br />

Vice President of The<br />

European Commission<br />

for Promoting <strong>Our</strong><br />

European Way of Life<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

lifting <strong>the</strong> restrictive measures must be<br />

coordinated. The virus does not respect<br />

borders meaning uncoordinated measures<br />

will be ineffective. If anything is a matter<br />

of common European interest and where<br />

strong European solidarity is needed, it is<br />

here. <strong>Our</strong> societies are stronger when we<br />

take care of one ano<strong>the</strong>r. Europe is stronger<br />

when we pull toge<strong>the</strong>r. And an absence of<br />

solidarity will forever be our Achilles’ heel.<br />

Whilst <strong>the</strong> timing and exact details<br />

may vary across Member States, we need<br />

a shared operating framework, which<br />

allows coordination across a number of<br />

policy areas. This is why <strong>the</strong> Commission<br />

has presented a Roadmap towards lifting<br />

COVID-19 containment measures. The<br />

Roadmap sets out recommendations<br />

for <strong>the</strong> Member States on how we can<br />

move beyond our initial response to <strong>the</strong><br />

pandemic and restart community life and<br />

<strong>the</strong> economy. Given how much we still do<br />

not know about <strong>the</strong> virus, it is clear that<br />

we must be able to revise our approach in<br />

response to new developments. Limiting<br />

<strong>the</strong> spread of <strong>the</strong> virus will be a battle we<br />

may have to wage many times over.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> common Roadmap must also be<br />

about bringing more solidarity. To win<br />

this battle, we will need to produce more<br />

test-kits, improve treatment protocols<br />

and, ultimately, discover <strong>the</strong> vaccine that<br />

will protect us from <strong>the</strong> virus. This, in turn,<br />

should be widely accessible and affordable<br />

both in Europe and throughout <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

If Europe’s Achilles’ heel is <strong>the</strong> absence<br />

of solidarity, its shield is our immeasurable<br />

resilience. In The Illiad, Achilles’ shield<br />

represents new hope and provides<br />

perspective on <strong>the</strong> ten years of <strong>the</strong> Trojan<br />

war. The shield depicts normal life in<br />

peacetime, symbolising <strong>the</strong> world beyond<br />

<strong>the</strong> battlefield and <strong>the</strong> crucial lesson that<br />

<strong>the</strong> war is only one aspect of existence.<br />

Life as a whole is full of feasts, dances and<br />

new harvests. The shield reminds us that<br />

this too shall pass, and that life has much<br />

more to offer. For me, it reminds me that<br />

Europe’s unique and diverse way of life<br />

must be restored and rebuilt stronger<br />

than before.<br />

Going forward, <strong>the</strong> resilience of our<br />

systems will be essential. First in <strong>the</strong> area<br />

of health but also through <strong>the</strong> use of our<br />

The limitation of<br />

civic freedoms and<br />

economic development<br />

cannot become <strong>the</strong><br />

norm or it will deeply<br />

compromise <strong>the</strong> future<br />

for generations of<br />

Europeans.<br />

industrial, education, employment, security<br />

and economic strategies. The crisis also has<br />

a global dimension: it can only be defeated<br />

through international coordination and<br />

cooperation, to improve our pandemic<br />

preparedness. The EU, as <strong>the</strong> world’s<br />

largest donor and a leading economic<br />

power, intends to be at <strong>the</strong> forefront of<br />

this effort. President von der Leyen has<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore tasked me with organising an<br />

online pledging conference on 4 May, to<br />

accelerate work on diagnostics, treatments<br />

and <strong>the</strong> development of a vaccine.<br />

I have read a great deal of criticism of<br />

<strong>the</strong> collective European response to <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 pandemic. Some of it fair, some<br />

of it exaggerated. All I would ask is that we<br />

not judge our Union <strong>by</strong> how many times it<br />

has faltered but <strong>by</strong> how many times it has<br />

gotten back up again. We can only face up<br />

to this challenge <strong>by</strong> bringing our societies<br />

and democracies toge<strong>the</strong>r, not <strong>by</strong> sowing<br />

division.<br />

Without forgetting those we lost and <strong>the</strong><br />

many still struggling, we must now focus<br />

on rebuilding Europe in <strong>the</strong> aftermath of<br />

<strong>the</strong> pandemic and laying <strong>the</strong> foundations<br />

for later. We will be forever changed <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

events of this year, so let it be for <strong>the</strong> better.<br />

And let us be reminded of our resilience, for<br />

it is our ultimate protection.<br />

13


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

AT&T / FIRSTNET<br />

FirstNet: Unique U.S. Public-Private<br />

Partnership Takes on COVID-19<br />

By Jeff McElfresh<br />

AT&T is proud to operate FirstNet, <strong>the</strong> only nationwide, high-speed broadband communications<br />

platform exclusively for America’s first responders and extended public safety community. From<br />

<strong>the</strong> beginning of <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 pandemic, FirstNet has been instrumental in helping those on <strong>the</strong><br />

frontline coordinate and communicate.<br />

Born in a crisis<br />

FirstNet was born out of an earlier crisis: 9/11. Following <strong>the</strong> attacks on New York City and Washington, D.C.,<br />

firefighters, police, and EMS had difficulty communicating due to heavy demand and incompatible systems.<br />

First response needs to be a unified response. Unfortunately, that wasn’t <strong>the</strong> case in September 2001.<br />

As a result, <strong>the</strong> U.S. Congress created <strong>the</strong> independent First Responder Network Authority, which in 2017<br />

selected AT&T to build and operate a new kind of network. The goal was to provide first responders in all U.S.<br />

jurisdictions dedicated, interoperable and prioritized connections unaffected <strong>by</strong> commercial network traffic.<br />

14 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Now taking on COVID-19<br />

Built to flex and adapt<br />

Since it went into operation in 2018, FirstNet<br />

has proved itself in fires, earthquakes and<br />

storms. Now, it’s supporting <strong>the</strong> frontline heroes<br />

working to keep America safe and get back on<br />

its feet. We see AT&T’s role as giving <strong>the</strong>m close<br />

support, from rolling in temporary cell sites to<br />

embedding our experts in federal and state<br />

emergency operating centers.<br />

In January, we began supporting <strong>the</strong> first<br />

quarantine sites in <strong>the</strong> U.S. Since <strong>the</strong>n, we’ve<br />

continued to deploy equipment, optimize <strong>the</strong><br />

network and supply devices to support public<br />

safety at airports, hospitals, testing centers and<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r essential locations nationwide.<br />

Here are just a few examples of how<br />

we’re helping America’s first responders fight<br />

COVID-19:<br />

• Hard-Hit Cities: In New York City, we stepped<br />

in to provide EMS and o<strong>the</strong>r first responders <strong>the</strong><br />

connectivity <strong>the</strong>y need. We equipped hundreds<br />

of ambulances – from different near<strong>by</strong> towns<br />

and cities – with interoperable, FirstNet-ready<br />

devices. We also deployed a FirstNet portable<br />

cell site and new, temporary in-building<br />

solutions to increase network capacity for first<br />

responders and emergency staff.<br />

• Naval Hospital Ships: We worked to<br />

connect two U.S. Navy hospital ships, <strong>the</strong> USNS<br />

Comfort in New York and <strong>the</strong> USNS Mercy in Los<br />

Angeles. These medical treatment facilities were<br />

sent to alleviate overcrowding in local hospitals.<br />

• Major Medical Centers: At no additional<br />

charge, public safety agencies on FirstNet can<br />

request temporary network equipment for<br />

emergency support. In nor<strong>the</strong>rn California,<br />

for example, we deployed a FirstNet portable<br />

cell site at a medical facility to add capacity for<br />

emergency personnel.<br />

• Testing Facilities: We deployed ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />

FirstNet portable cell site to support a drivethru<br />

testing facility in a nor<strong>the</strong>astern state. The<br />

site allowed medical professionals and first<br />

responders to communicate without worrying<br />

about bandwidth once people arrived for testing.<br />

• Logistics Managements: We’ve quickly<br />

expanded bandwidth to support a five-fold<br />

increase in remote Virtual Private Networking<br />

capabilities for <strong>the</strong> U.S. Army Corps of Engineers<br />

as it manages logistics for <strong>the</strong> national COVID-19<br />

response.<br />

We’re determined to deliver <strong>the</strong> best tools<br />

and solutions for <strong>the</strong>se life-saving missions.<br />

That’s why we keep updating FirstNet to meet<br />

public safety’s changing technical needs and<br />

help reduce <strong>the</strong>ir costs:<br />

• We expanded FirstNet to give eligible<br />

first responder agencies free smartphones<br />

for life on unlimited plans. This means law<br />

enforcement, fire and EMS agencies will have<br />

<strong>the</strong> latest tools to complete <strong>the</strong>ir lifesaving<br />

missions.<br />

• We’re also expanding <strong>the</strong> FirstNet app<br />

ecosystem to support our nation’s response to<br />

COVID-19. The FirstNet App Catalog includes<br />

more than 100 highly secure apps for public<br />

safety.<br />

• Through <strong>the</strong> primary service portal for<br />

agencies using FirstNet, public administrators<br />

now have easy access to <strong>the</strong> interactive<br />

coronavirus disease dashboard created <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Center for Systems Science and Engineering at<br />

Johns Hopkins University.<br />

Serving <strong>the</strong> medical community<br />

We also recognize <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong><br />

extended public safety community – which<br />

in a pandemic like this, certainly includes<br />

doctors and nurses caring for patients under<br />

dire conditions.<br />

That’s why we went a step fur<strong>the</strong>r to<br />

support eligible state-licensed nurses and<br />

physicians across <strong>the</strong> U.S. with three months<br />

of free wireless service for a smartphone or<br />

tablet on a FirstNet individual plan.<br />

We also collaborated with a large U.S.<br />

insurance company to expedite our continuing<br />

FirstNet network rollout. This will streamline<br />

access to affordable, high-speed wireless<br />

broadband to promote primary care and<br />

telehealth services in rural and underserved<br />

communities.<br />

As public safety’s network partner serving<br />

all 56 U.S. states and territories, we’re proud to<br />

work alongside <strong>the</strong>se brave men and women<br />

to ensure <strong>the</strong>y have <strong>the</strong> critical connectivity<br />

<strong>the</strong>y need. Throughout <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 crisis<br />

and beyond, it’s an honor to do all we can for<br />

those dedicated to protecting our families and<br />

communities.<br />

Jeff McElfresh<br />

CEO, AT&T<br />

Communications<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

15


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

A Local Contribution to <strong>the</strong> Global <strong>Pandemic</strong>:<br />

Bahrain’s COVID-19 Response<br />

By Abdulla bin Ahmed Al Khalifa<br />

The rapid contagion of COVID-19<br />

caught much of <strong>the</strong> international<br />

community off-guard. With each<br />

passing day we in Bahrain watched with<br />

frozen anticipation as <strong>the</strong> virus jumped<br />

from China to o<strong>the</strong>r parts of Asia, to Europe<br />

and <strong>the</strong>n into our own region. Bahrain is<br />

a small state (765 sq km), <strong>the</strong> sixth most<br />

densely populated in <strong>the</strong> world, and<br />

contagion would be fast and relentless.<br />

Bahrain’s first obligation is to ensure <strong>the</strong><br />

health and safety of its people. An actionplan<br />

went into immediate effect. As early<br />

as 22 January, Bahrain’s Ministry of Health<br />

announced that it would follow <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong><br />

Health Organisation (WHO) guidelines,<br />

start implementing epidemiological<br />

monitoring while taking pre-emptive<br />

measures at Bahrain International Airport.<br />

Bahrain takes healthcare seriously. It<br />

always has.<br />

Bahrain’s Crown Prince, His Royal<br />

Highness Prince Salman bin Hamad Al<br />

Khalifa, with <strong>the</strong> guidance of His Majesty<br />

King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, crafted a<br />

plan to help everyone who calls Bahrain<br />

home—citizens and expatriates alike.<br />

From <strong>the</strong> national airport to o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

points of entry, The Crown Prince directed<br />

<strong>the</strong> Ministry of Health to deploy early<br />

screening devices in a bid to prevent <strong>the</strong><br />

virus from reaching <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. This<br />

required foresight. There was, as yet, no<br />

real indication as to how far <strong>the</strong> virus would<br />

spread or what kind of damage it would<br />

do. Leaving nothing to chance became <strong>the</strong><br />

motto. And so, <strong>the</strong> Ministry of Health began<br />

its precautionary work and streng<strong>the</strong>ned<br />

national capabilities needed for large<br />

scale testing. At this point, COVID-19 was<br />

responsible for only 170 deaths worldwide<br />

and only 82 of <strong>the</strong> 7818 recorded cases<br />

were outside China. There were, as yet,<br />

no cases in Bahrain.<br />

With phase one — prevention and<br />

preparation — underway, <strong>the</strong> next step,<br />

The Crown Prince of Bahrain, Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa during a visit to <strong>the</strong><br />

National Taskforce to Combat COVID-19 operations center<br />

as in any impending emergency, was to<br />

develop a tailor-made Taskforce in order to<br />

quickly and efficiently respond to <strong>the</strong> everevolving<br />

situation. This took <strong>the</strong> form of <strong>the</strong><br />

National Taskforce to Combat COVID-19<br />

with a fully functioning, multi-level, joint<br />

operations centre up and running <strong>by</strong> 13<br />

February. Coordination meetings were<br />

<strong>the</strong>n held to enhance <strong>the</strong> symbiosis of<br />

private and public health institutions and<br />

ensure that Ministry of Health guidelines<br />

were being implemented. It was clear from<br />

<strong>the</strong> start that <strong>the</strong> key to success would be<br />

teamwork: not only teamwork between<br />

government and <strong>the</strong> healthcare sector,<br />

but <strong>by</strong> all segments of society. This was a<br />

struggle that everyone needed to pitch in<br />

to help with.<br />

This teamwork is well reflected in <strong>the</strong><br />

#TeamBahrain which raises awareness<br />

and develops real, functioning collective<br />

efforts as counter-measures against <strong>the</strong><br />

pandemic. Reaching out via social media<br />

and ensuring <strong>the</strong> proper, uninterrupted<br />

flow of information rests at <strong>the</strong> heart of<br />

combating COVID-19. As <strong>the</strong> Minister of<br />

Finance and National Economy, Shaikh<br />

Salman bin Khalifa Al-Khalifa, rightly noted<br />

“We are always very proud of our “Team<br />

Bahrain” approach; which is a seamless<br />

integration of government entities private<br />

enterprise in delivering forward on a vision<br />

has been in place for over 20 years in terms<br />

of diversifying <strong>the</strong> economy and moving<br />

things forward.” #TeamBahrain’s Twitter<br />

and Instagram messaging contributed to<br />

saving lives; it helped people make sense<br />

of <strong>the</strong> dangers and respond in kind. And,<br />

it also helped allay fears and share in <strong>the</strong><br />

many success stories Bahrain has already<br />

witnessed.<br />

From Planning to Deployment<br />

— The Action Plan in Action<br />

No strategy, Clausewitz reminds us,<br />

survives contact with <strong>the</strong> enemy. No matter<br />

<strong>the</strong> planning and preparations, COVID-19<br />

is a stubborn opponent. Inevitably, on<br />

24 February, Bahrain recorded its first<br />

case from an individual returning from<br />

Iran. The action-plan shifted to embrace<br />

both fur<strong>the</strong>r prevention and to detect<br />

and contain <strong>the</strong> virus. Protocols were<br />

activated and <strong>the</strong> testing of persons who<br />

arrived from Iran over <strong>the</strong> previous 30 days<br />

begun. In case isolation and treatment, for<br />

<strong>the</strong> hundreds of people being tested, was<br />

required it was made available. Travel was<br />

suspended to and from Iran, all educational<br />

institutions were closed and public events<br />

were postponed. Self-quarantine became<br />

16 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Prince Salman being briefed at <strong>the</strong> nerve center of <strong>the</strong> National Taskforce to Combat COVID-19 operations Center<br />

mandatory for those that arrived from destinations<br />

where large numbers of cases were recorded.<br />

Mobile testing was launched on 29 February as<br />

a reinforcement measure. By 09 March, Bahrain<br />

had <strong>the</strong> capability of conducting some 3500 tests<br />

a day — HM King Hamad issued Royal Directives<br />

to provide free COVID-19 testing and treatment<br />

for all citizens and residents in Bahrain — and <strong>by</strong><br />

constructing three field hospitals, we managed to<br />

double <strong>the</strong> number of beds available in case <strong>the</strong><br />

situation worsened.<br />

Throughout all this, Prince Salman remained<br />

fully engaged and his visits to <strong>the</strong> National<br />

Taskforce have become a weekly occurrence<br />

that helps boost morale and make important<br />

planning contributions. The early flexible response<br />

adopted <strong>by</strong> Bahrain saved <strong>the</strong> country from a farworse<br />

scenario: community spread was not only<br />

minimised but mitigated within days. As a result, on<br />

19 March, Bahrain became <strong>the</strong> first Arab country<br />

to join <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> Health Organisation’s Solidarity<br />

Trial experiment programme which is a testament<br />

of <strong>the</strong> efforts made <strong>by</strong> Bahrain as a whole.<br />

Public Engagement = Public Safety<br />

Bahrain’s #BeAware campaign is an Arabic,<br />

English and Hindi language public service portal<br />

that emphasises WHO recommendations,<br />

communicates important updates and works in<br />

tandem with #TeamBahrain to make sure that<br />

<strong>the</strong> message is delivered and received. A 24-hour<br />

hotline was also established in 7 languages, with<br />

doctors on call to answer questions and remotely<br />

assess <strong>the</strong> severity of caller symptoms and, if<br />

necessary, arrange for transportation of patients<br />

to <strong>the</strong> correct facilities. There is a mobile app that<br />

keeps <strong>the</strong> public in <strong>the</strong> know and even tracks<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

Abdulla bin<br />

Ahmed Al<br />

Khalifa<br />

Chairman, Bahrain<br />

Center for Strategic,<br />

International and<br />

Energy Studies<br />

(DERASAT)<br />

users to warn <strong>the</strong>m if <strong>the</strong>y have been in contact<br />

with positive cases and our volunteer programme<br />

attracted some 30000 applicants. Bahrain’s public<br />

is aware, it is engaged and, if this crisis has taught<br />

us anything, it is unified in <strong>the</strong> face of adversity.<br />

To date <strong>the</strong>re have been a total of eight<br />

COVID-19 related deaths in Bahrain. Each one<br />

of <strong>the</strong>m is a painful reminder that this pandemic<br />

does not discriminate and that <strong>the</strong>re are no safe<br />

quarters to hide in. However, <strong>the</strong>re is much than<br />

can be done to reduce <strong>the</strong> mortality rates; <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are precautionary steps that may be undertaken<br />

to limit and roll-back COVID-19. Thanks to <strong>the</strong> quick<br />

thinking and energy of Prince Salman, Bahrain’s<br />

cases are few and far apart. The situation is stable.<br />

Even on <strong>the</strong> economic front, <strong>the</strong> economic stimulus<br />

package of 4.3 billion BHD ($11.4 billion USD) has<br />

been earmarked for citizens and businesses,<br />

representing a full 30% percent of Bahrain’s GDP.<br />

This is a massive commitment to cushioning<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic cost to our citizens that COVID-19<br />

produced.<br />

While this is a national solution to this global<br />

problem, it is important to remember that Bahrain<br />

is a microcosm of <strong>the</strong> international community<br />

and people from all walks of life call this Island<br />

home. While Bahrain cannot affect <strong>the</strong> outcome<br />

of COVID-19 on its own, it can make an important<br />

contribution <strong>by</strong> sharing its know-how and<br />

maintaining its transparent, hands-on approach<br />

for combatting this pandemic. How this will all end<br />

remains a mystery. However, as states close down<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir borders <strong>the</strong>y are also opening up <strong>the</strong>ir lines<br />

of communication to share data, expertise and<br />

ensure <strong>the</strong> free-flow of knowledge. We in Bahrain<br />

will continue to make our mark in <strong>the</strong> battle to save<br />

lives and overcome COVID-19.<br />

17


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

Rebuilding Society<br />

Rural Sustainable Development After Covid-19; An Opinion, Not a Myth<br />

By Shanu SP Hinduja<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Shanu<br />

SP Hinduja<br />

Chair of Hinduja<br />

Bank, Co-Chair of<br />

<strong>the</strong> United Nations<br />

Global Accelerator and<br />

Professor of Leadership<br />

at <strong>the</strong> University of<br />

Bolton’s Institute of<br />

Management<br />

After coronavirus, nothing less than<br />

a revolution in rural sustainable<br />

development can prevent ano<strong>the</strong>r crisis.<br />

Like our ancestors, we must learn to heed<br />

<strong>the</strong> call of <strong>the</strong> land, <strong>the</strong> rhythm of <strong>the</strong> seasons,<br />

<strong>the</strong> social bonds that hold us toge<strong>the</strong>r. We must<br />

value <strong>the</strong> farmers, healers and teachers. This<br />

virus has shaken <strong>the</strong> very foundations of our<br />

societies. How we build on those foundations,<br />

though, is up to all of us.<br />

Aid is forthcoming from <strong>the</strong> community of<br />

nations – <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> Bank has already made<br />

$160 billion available to <strong>the</strong> developing world,<br />

<strong>the</strong> IMF is encouraging developing nations to<br />

forgo debt-service payments and instead direct<br />

resources to fighting <strong>the</strong> virus. More will be<br />

needed, but we must also ensure it is deployed<br />

wisely. Aid must serve to develop sustainable<br />

rural economies, ra<strong>the</strong>r than encouraging<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r urban sprawl and overcrowding.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> developing world, progress has long<br />

been tied to <strong>the</strong> success of a handful a megacities,<br />

powering economic growth and acting as<br />

magnets for a formerly largely rural population.<br />

The virus has shown that many of <strong>the</strong>se cities<br />

are unhygienic, often unliveable.<br />

Many of <strong>the</strong> slums and shanty towns of <strong>the</strong><br />

world, like Mumbai’s Dharavi slum, which has<br />

already seen hundreds of cases of Covid-19, are<br />

so densely populated that even staying at home<br />

does not achieve <strong>the</strong> aims of social distancing.<br />

A model that relies on mega-cities powered<br />

<strong>by</strong> cheap labour from <strong>the</strong> slums may survive<br />

<strong>the</strong> virus, but it must not survive <strong>the</strong> effort to<br />

rebuild our economies after <strong>the</strong> pandemic.<br />

Developed economies may be considering<br />

<strong>the</strong> impact of reduced international travel or<br />

greater remote working on GDP. In developing<br />

countries, <strong>by</strong> contrast, both <strong>the</strong> virus and <strong>the</strong><br />

measures governments have rightly taken<br />

to contain it threaten families’ ability to feed<br />

<strong>the</strong>mselves.<br />

To build sustainable, resilient and<br />

harmonious societies, we must begin with <strong>the</strong><br />

food on our tables – where it comes from, how<br />

it reaches us, and what it means to us. No one<br />

18 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

should live with <strong>the</strong> fear that <strong>the</strong>y or<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir family should go hungry. No one<br />

should fear that <strong>the</strong> food and drink <strong>the</strong>y<br />

live on could put <strong>the</strong>ir health in danger.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> gardens of flowers could also<br />

accommodate fruits and vegetables.<br />

The focus in <strong>the</strong> developing world<br />

will soon shift from <strong>the</strong> immediate<br />

public health response to <strong>the</strong> virus,<br />

to how best to support jobs and <strong>the</strong><br />

economy, and to build a sustainable<br />

recovery. Economists warn that <strong>the</strong><br />

collapse in commodity prices, tourism<br />

and remittances is already having<br />

devastating consequences, even before<br />

<strong>the</strong> disease begins to spread and weak<br />

health systems struggle to cope.<br />

In developing countries, <strong>the</strong> virus<br />

poses a genuine threat to food security<br />

through disruption of international<br />

supply chains. The United Nations<br />

Food and Agriculture Organisation<br />

(UN FAO) found that <strong>the</strong> pandemic<br />

will significantly increase risks to food<br />

security and hinder humanitarian<br />

assistance operations. Even before <strong>the</strong><br />

virus struck, at <strong>the</strong> end of 2019, <strong>the</strong><br />

Global Network Against Food Crises<br />

found that 135 million people across<br />

55 countries and territories experienced<br />

acute food insecurity.<br />

Developing skills in farming and<br />

a move towards self-sufficiency in<br />

domestic food production must be at<br />

<strong>the</strong> centre of every country’s plan for a<br />

sustainable recovery. This will require<br />

a reversal of previous trends. UN<br />

research shows that as farming systems<br />

have modernised and intensified, <strong>the</strong><br />

amount of land available for farming<br />

has been growing ever more slowly. On<br />

current trends, arable land will grow at a<br />

rate of 0.4% in countries for which data<br />

is available, despite improvements in<br />

irrigation and farming technology.<br />

Qu Dongyu, Director-General of <strong>the</strong><br />

UN FAO has already called on nations<br />

to ‘streng<strong>the</strong>n local production and<br />

shorten food supply chains’. Noting <strong>the</strong><br />

potential for improved technological<br />

infrastructure to improve agricultural<br />

efficiency, Qu says ‘The crisis opens<br />

an opportunity to accelerate food<br />

system transformation’, ‘New business<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

models are needed. It is <strong>the</strong> time to<br />

speed-up e-commerce in agriculture<br />

and food systems across <strong>the</strong> globe.’ I<br />

have instructed my bank, Hinduja Bank<br />

Switzerland, to develop this field so that<br />

it may become a reality for our clients<br />

across <strong>the</strong> world with India as our<br />

starting point.<br />

This starts with education, which<br />

goes fur<strong>the</strong>r to shape <strong>the</strong> world of <strong>the</strong><br />

future than any o<strong>the</strong>r intervention. The<br />

next generation of workers, political<br />

leaders and opinion formers must be<br />

trained and literate in <strong>the</strong> new priorities<br />

for <strong>the</strong> post-virus world. We must value<br />

agriculture, horticulture, hygiene and<br />

caring skills above all else. That should<br />

be reflected in our children’s curriculum<br />

and educational funding. As Co-Chair of<br />

<strong>the</strong> UN Global Accelerator Programme, I<br />

want to use this platform to encourage<br />

young entrepreneurs to take up <strong>the</strong><br />

mantle in this regard.<br />

National governments will need to<br />

create attractive schemes for students<br />

from different walks of life to want to live<br />

in semi-urban and rural development<br />

areas.<br />

Stories of panic buying in <strong>the</strong> early<br />

stages of <strong>the</strong> pandemic have led us to<br />

consider our food system. In <strong>the</strong> West,<br />

we have become used to just-in-time<br />

supply chains and a rapacious hunger<br />

for choice when it comes to food, with<br />

no regard to seasonality or where<br />

our food comes from. In time we may<br />

come to see this as emblematic of an<br />

era of unsustainable consumption, and<br />

change our ways.<br />

The developing world will leapfrog<br />

<strong>the</strong> West – it must not develop this<br />

unsustainable system, but should<br />

instead be at <strong>the</strong> forefront of creating<br />

an entirely new food system. Food<br />

production will work in harmony with<br />

<strong>the</strong> land and <strong>the</strong> seasons, designed<br />

according to principles of hygiene and<br />

providing employment for new rural<br />

communities. Population density will<br />

decrease, and community nursing<br />

and caring, teachers from our own<br />

communities will be ever more<br />

important.<br />

The role of semi-urban and<br />

rural communities in sustainable<br />

development is not a new agenda. My<br />

own fa<strong>the</strong>r, Mr S. P. Hinduja, was among<br />

<strong>the</strong> first to champion to <strong>the</strong> concept at<br />

<strong>the</strong> UN, and I picked up <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>me when<br />

I addressed <strong>the</strong> UN General Assembly<br />

in 2014. In countries like India, we<br />

urged Governments and development<br />

agencies to build and develop semi<br />

urban and rural communities centred<br />

around <strong>the</strong> family. As we navigate<br />

through <strong>the</strong> crisis, a rural revolution can<br />

point <strong>the</strong> way to a sustainable future.<br />

It is vital that those privileged to gain<br />

international education that <strong>the</strong>y return<br />

to <strong>the</strong>ir communities to help with this<br />

work.<br />

Rural development and lower<br />

population density can be compatible<br />

with continued economic growth and<br />

sustainability. Developing agricultural<br />

infrastructure will create employment<br />

opportunities across <strong>the</strong> skills spectrum<br />

and will sustainably deploy <strong>the</strong> natural<br />

capital of less developed countries. My<br />

fa<strong>the</strong>r’s visionary approach of so many<br />

years ago has today become <strong>the</strong> reality<br />

and <strong>the</strong> truth of our future.<br />

We cannot, however, allow this crisis<br />

to foster a culture of dependence on<br />

international aid in <strong>the</strong> form of handouts.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> past 20 years, under <strong>the</strong> UN’s<br />

Sustainable Development Goals, huge<br />

progress has been made in ensuring<br />

that support for <strong>the</strong> developing world<br />

builds resilience and independence. We<br />

must ensure that <strong>the</strong> world we build<br />

after this pandemic is one in which<br />

developing countries shape <strong>the</strong>ir own<br />

destinies, create economies that reflect<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir own values, and learn <strong>the</strong>ir own<br />

lessons from <strong>the</strong> crisis.<br />

When this virus passes, we will have<br />

<strong>the</strong> opportunity to remake <strong>the</strong> world. As<br />

we all suffer at <strong>the</strong> hands of a common<br />

enemy, we must show compassion for<br />

one ano<strong>the</strong>r – and consider what it is<br />

we value in society. We must call on<br />

national and international leaders to<br />

clear <strong>the</strong>ir minds, listen to nature, and<br />

reflect on what we have learned in this<br />

crisis.<br />

19


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Streets are empty. Shops are shuttered.<br />

Offices are abandoned. Across Europe<br />

a number of weeks ago, buildings of<br />

work and leisure emptied of people and in<br />

parallel, domestic settings filled up. Millions of<br />

Europeans filled up houses and apartments,<br />

taking up residence for 24 hours a day, 7 days<br />

a week.<br />

Coronavirus, COVID-19, has pushed<br />

Europeans behind <strong>the</strong> doors of <strong>the</strong>ir homes<br />

and <strong>the</strong> dynamics of daily life have shifted. In<br />

reality, work to a certain extent has continued,<br />

childcare and care of older persons has<br />

expanded, and <strong>the</strong> monotony of life in<br />

confinement has set in.<br />

However, in addition to <strong>the</strong>se every day<br />

realities, in many European households a<br />

darker phenomenon is being played out,<br />

where women, men and children, are now<br />

locked up in close quarters for an indefinite<br />

amount of time with abusers. For many,<br />

domestic violence is as much a reality of life in<br />

confinement as work, childcare and boredom.<br />

The Istanbul Convention defines<br />

domestic violence as “all acts of physical,<br />

sexual, psychological or economic violence<br />

that occur within <strong>the</strong> family or domestic<br />

unit or between former or current spouses<br />

or partners, whe<strong>the</strong>r or not <strong>the</strong> perpetrator<br />

shares or has shared <strong>the</strong> same residence with<br />

<strong>the</strong> victim”. Domestic violence is played out in<br />

silence, behind closed doors, where nobody<br />

can hear or see. Instances have spiked during<br />

this lockdown period, with major increases<br />

reported in countries across <strong>the</strong> world. There<br />

are two factors that are contributing to this<br />

increase in cases.<br />

The first is that abusers, with more stress<br />

and pressure than normal, are locked into<br />

domestic settings. The OECD assesses that <strong>the</strong><br />

social consequences of COVID-19, such as <strong>the</strong><br />

loss of social interactions, additional stresses<br />

Frances<br />

Fitzgerald<br />

Irish member of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament<br />

with <strong>the</strong> EPP Group – EPP<br />

Group Coordinator of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament’s<br />

Committee on Women’s<br />

Rights and Gender Equality<br />

20 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Behind<br />

Closed<br />

Doors<br />

Domestic Violence Amid<br />

<strong>the</strong> COVID-19 <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

By Frances Fitzgerald<br />

within <strong>the</strong> home and <strong>the</strong> inability to leave <strong>the</strong> home are likely to<br />

be used to justify violence. In addition, as men most frequently<br />

perpetrate domestic violence, it is significantly linked to power<br />

dynamics. In <strong>the</strong>se high-pressure times, violence is likely to be used<br />

as a way for men to reassert authority and control over women in <strong>the</strong><br />

domestic setting, lashing out in frustration at <strong>the</strong> current situation.<br />

The second factor is <strong>the</strong> lack of available support services for<br />

victims. While many meetings and services have moved online<br />

instead of in person, due to close proximity to abusers in <strong>the</strong><br />

household it is very difficult as well as often dangerous for victims<br />

to try to seek support or help through online fora. The consequences<br />

of <strong>the</strong>ir abuser discovering <strong>the</strong>ir efforts to seek help may be grievous.<br />

Toge<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong>se two factors allow <strong>the</strong> circle of violence to continue<br />

unabated, with tensions continuing to rise in <strong>the</strong> household while<br />

victims feel increasingly alone, abandoned and isolated. As politicians,<br />

it is our duty and responsibility to do whatever we can to protect all<br />

of our citizens during this period, not just from COVID-19, but also<br />

from o<strong>the</strong>r dangers that may be hiding within our neighbourhoods<br />

and communities.<br />

I am heartened to see action being taken in many EU Member<br />

States to tackle domestic violence in <strong>the</strong> current climate. In France<br />

for example, clinics have been set up in grocery stores to allow<br />

victims to seek help while <strong>the</strong>y are doing <strong>the</strong>ir shopping. In Spain,<br />

a code word has been circulated to allow women to seek help in<br />

pharmacies. In Ireland, a new campaign has been launched (stillhere.<br />

ie) to remind citizens to be on <strong>the</strong> lookout for domestic violence,<br />

and to provide support to victims. In countries across <strong>the</strong> continent<br />

and indeed across <strong>the</strong> world, funding for domestic violence support<br />

organisations has been offered <strong>by</strong> governments, while <strong>the</strong> attention<br />

of police officers has been drawn to <strong>the</strong> crime, and <strong>the</strong>y have been<br />

advised to be vigilant.<br />

As Minister for Justice in Ireland, in 2017 I brought forward<br />

legislation tackling domestic violence that allows for an immediate<br />

and temporary barring order from <strong>the</strong> home where <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

reasonable grounds to believe <strong>the</strong>re is an immediate risk of<br />

significant harm. Such orders will prove crucial during <strong>the</strong>se weeks.<br />

All of <strong>the</strong>se crucially important measures are aimed at helping<br />

and supporting victims. However, while politicians can put in place<br />

measures to try to tackle domestic violence, it is <strong>the</strong> actions of <strong>the</strong><br />

general public that are needed to combat this scourge. People know<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir neighbours, <strong>the</strong>y hear <strong>the</strong>m more and <strong>the</strong>y see <strong>the</strong>m more,<br />

even just when putting out <strong>the</strong> bins or sitting on <strong>the</strong> balcony. With<br />

technology, we are in touch with family and friends often much more<br />

than we have been in years.<br />

The reality is that <strong>the</strong> greatest action we can take when it comes<br />

to combating domestic violence will be <strong>the</strong> vigilance and attention<br />

paid <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> general public, <strong>by</strong> friends, <strong>by</strong> family and <strong>by</strong> neighbours.<br />

So, while you are checking in with at risk neighbours, while you are<br />

doing grocery shopping for elderly relatives, or even while you are<br />

reading your book and happen to hear something strange from<br />

next door, pause for a moment and pick up <strong>the</strong> phone, just to check<br />

if everything is ok. Because in <strong>the</strong>se times, behind closed doors, it<br />

really is better to be safe than sorry.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

21


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

Leadership Reconceptualized: A Compass<br />

for <strong>the</strong> Leaders of <strong>the</strong> New Global Era<br />

By Vassili Apostolopoulos<br />

The New Era<br />

Deconstructing <strong>the</strong> New Era, is a formidable task.<br />

As I am writing <strong>the</strong>se lines, <strong>the</strong> world has nearly<br />

stopped, with more than 180 countries fighting<br />

<strong>the</strong> Coronavirus, imposing different forms of<br />

social distancing and lockdown measures.<br />

The pandemic of COVID-19 has changed <strong>the</strong><br />

world in ways and to lengths that we can<br />

still not begin to fathom. Economics, politics,<br />

international relations, and governance, on<br />

all levels seem to be fundamentally changing.<br />

The ways in which firms, governments,<br />

international organizations, societies, and<br />

even families and individuals operate will<br />

change forever. Until a fully-fledged and widely<br />

available vaccine alleviates <strong>the</strong> health risk and<br />

contributes to efficiently managing <strong>the</strong> crisis,<br />

social distancing, restrictive measures in work<br />

and travel, fear and insecurity, instability and<br />

uncertainty will be part of our lives. And, even<br />

after <strong>the</strong> vaccine, <strong>the</strong> major global effort of<br />

preventing <strong>the</strong> next pandemic, <strong>by</strong> building a<br />

sustainable early warning system with solid<br />

safeguards and rapid response mechanisms<br />

across <strong>the</strong> globe and within states and societies<br />

will need to become our top priority.<br />

Leadership, Global Governance<br />

& <strong>the</strong> Next <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

pandemic- for which we had been warned a year<br />

in advance, in 2008 and had failed to act. More<br />

systematic global monitoring, early warning<br />

and proactive prevention models, need to be<br />

developed on a global level. Crucial institutions<br />

like <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> Health Organization and <strong>the</strong><br />

United Nations will need to be revamped,<br />

streng<strong>the</strong>ned and upgraded. Shortcomings<br />

in global leadership during <strong>the</strong> COVID-19<br />

pandemic came at a great cost, and a major<br />

global crisis was treated very poorly and highly<br />

unsystematically in some of its most decisive<br />

phases. Leadership cannot be a la carte, and<br />

global cooperation in <strong>the</strong> face of existential<br />

global crises cannot be elective. <strong>Pandemic</strong>s,<br />

climate change, conflicts, resource scarcity, and<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r major crises or challenges that require to<br />

some measure global responses, will need to be<br />

managed differently going forward. If not, <strong>the</strong><br />

next crisis may be one with unthinkable damage<br />

to our world and societies.<br />

Simply put, if we were to have ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />

pandemic in 2022 with a different deadly<br />

virus, could we survive it? And at what cost?<br />

The global political economy and <strong>the</strong> very fabric<br />

of our societies nearly crumbled <strong>the</strong> past two<br />

months. A change of course is inevitable, if we<br />

want to secure <strong>the</strong> future of this world. And<br />

fresh leadership on all levels is direly needed.<br />

Vassili<br />

Apostolopoulos<br />

CEO of <strong>the</strong> A<strong>the</strong>ns<br />

Medical Group<br />

(AMG) - President<br />

of <strong>the</strong> Hellenic<br />

Entrepreneurs<br />

Association (EENE)<br />

Averting <strong>the</strong> next <strong>Pandemic</strong>, is <strong>the</strong> foremost<br />

collective responsibility, for leaders of all<br />

fields; from politicians to doctors, from health<br />

experts to corporate leaders, from researchers<br />

to philanthropists; we all need to contribute<br />

to <strong>the</strong> race for a vaccine, for effective and<br />

accessible cures, but also, to develop <strong>the</strong><br />

action plan which will change <strong>the</strong> habits and<br />

<strong>the</strong> vicious cycles that generate new viruses. In<br />

our interconnected world, where poor hygienic<br />

conditions in a wet market in China, can within<br />

months bring <strong>the</strong> world into a standstill, global<br />

governance undoubtedly requires an overhaul.<br />

The same applies to dealing with <strong>the</strong> root<br />

causes of infectious diseases such as influenzas,<br />

<strong>the</strong> bird flu, and <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> swine flu -<strong>the</strong> previous<br />

The Domestic Dimension:<br />

Health (&) Economics Revisited<br />

For most countries around <strong>the</strong> world, <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 pandemic has been an existential<br />

challenge. The predominant fear has been <strong>the</strong><br />

risk of a collapse of <strong>the</strong> national health systems;<br />

with healthcare seen as a mix of separate and<br />

antagonistic spheres – public health, private<br />

healthcare, supporting infrastructure such as<br />

health units belonging to <strong>the</strong> armed forces, or<br />

<strong>the</strong> police; and very different responses in each<br />

country, even within <strong>the</strong> European Union. For<br />

example Greece, emerged as one of <strong>the</strong> world’s<br />

most exemplary cases of good management<br />

of <strong>the</strong> crisis, when larger states in Europe,<br />

22 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Eurasia and even <strong>the</strong> US, fell short of a<br />

well-coordinated and timely response.<br />

In regions of Italy, for example,<br />

<strong>the</strong> capacity of <strong>the</strong> health systems<br />

was exceeded, with devastating<br />

ramifications. Better and more<br />

comprehensive planning of health<br />

systems will be imperative, and <strong>the</strong><br />

pandemic has catalyzed a multilayered<br />

rethink of <strong>the</strong> complementarity of<br />

public and private healthcare, as well as<br />

<strong>the</strong> decisive investments needed in so<br />

many countries to furnish <strong>the</strong>ir health<br />

systems going forward. Private-public<br />

partnerships, coordinated research and<br />

innovation campaigns, unprecedented<br />

national and international synergies will<br />

need to be part of <strong>the</strong> new compass if<br />

we are to emerge victorious in <strong>the</strong> longgame<br />

too.<br />

Rebuilding our Economies<br />

& <strong>the</strong> New <strong>World</strong> Order<br />

The global political economy has<br />

shifted. The balance of power too. The<br />

world has transitioned to multipolarity<br />

and <strong>the</strong> aftermath of COVID-19 will<br />

inevitably demarcate a new era. Several<br />

pre-existing trends and dynamics – such<br />

as digitization, digital transformation,<br />

e-learning - have been accelerated,<br />

and new have emerged. I wonder<br />

who believes that travel and mobility<br />

will rapidly return to <strong>the</strong> status quo<br />

ante. Or who can now imagine that<br />

all <strong>the</strong>se convenient tele-conference<br />

and e-meeting platforms will simply go<br />

away. So much time, money and energy<br />

is saved. Productivity unlocked. We are<br />

looking at a new normal, not a return to<br />

<strong>the</strong> pre-COVID-19 reality. E-commerce,<br />

greater degrees of energy autonomy, a<br />

rethink of <strong>the</strong> agrofood economy, <strong>the</strong><br />

role of agrotech, better monitoring of<br />

food production globally, <strong>the</strong> degrees<br />

of self-sufficiency, are just a few of <strong>the</strong><br />

dynamics that we will be called upon<br />

to manage in <strong>the</strong> coming months.<br />

The applications of 3D-printing, <strong>the</strong><br />

importance of good internet access, <strong>the</strong><br />

costs of pollution and <strong>the</strong> need for clean<br />

cities, <strong>the</strong> importance of well-organized<br />

states and societies, good hygiene and<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

<strong>the</strong> notions of collective and individual<br />

responsibility are just some thoughts of<br />

what’s now becoming part of today and<br />

cannot be allowed to be lost tomorrow.<br />

In o<strong>the</strong>r words, <strong>the</strong> way now is forward;<br />

and we cannot move forward swiftly<br />

if we are to keep carrying with us <strong>the</strong><br />

burdens of <strong>the</strong> past.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> digital realm, it appears that<br />

globalization will continue to accelerate;<br />

in <strong>the</strong> physical realm, however, <strong>the</strong><br />

return of national borders and different<br />

degrees of isolationism suggest that<br />

globalization as we experienced it before<br />

2020, will change. A new set of rules<br />

must be agreed upon in healthcare,<br />

medical research, sustainability,<br />

<strong>the</strong> food industry, immigration and<br />

environmental policies.<br />

The rise of e-commerce, coupled<br />

with <strong>the</strong> evolution of robotics, will create<br />

new pressing challenges – for real estate<br />

and employment. And <strong>the</strong>se dynamics<br />

that are rapidly unfolding, accelerated<br />

<strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> pandemic, come at a time when<br />

<strong>the</strong> preventive measures imposed have<br />

affected close to 3 billion professionals<br />

(or 81% of <strong>the</strong> global workforce<br />

according to <strong>the</strong> ILO), and when<br />

unemployment is rising exponentially in<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

some of <strong>the</strong> world’s leading economies<br />

(e.g. US and UK).<br />

Corporate leaders who acted fast<br />

in response to <strong>the</strong> pandemic, placing<br />

corporate social responsibility and <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

patriotic responsibility above all else, will<br />

most likely find a warmer embrace <strong>by</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> public in <strong>the</strong> new era, rewarded for<br />

putting health before profits and human<br />

life before balance sheets. The need for<br />

fresh leadership from businesses will<br />

once again be pivotal, in rescuing <strong>the</strong><br />

economy and ensuring a rapid recovery.<br />

Most countries are looking at a massive<br />

recession in 2020, anywhere between<br />

5-15% of GDP. Innovation, new business<br />

strategies, new revenue models, more<br />

circular business ecosystems, more<br />

sustainable projects and investments,<br />

cleaner and greener will have to be part<br />

of <strong>the</strong> new compass. More furnished<br />

and safer supply chains, comprehensive<br />

global agro-food standards, upgraded<br />

monitoring, empowered international<br />

organizations and more powerful,<br />

responsible states. Not because it is<br />

<strong>the</strong> right thing to do. Not out of ethical<br />

commitments to future generations.<br />

But because we all know now, that our<br />

very survival depends on it.<br />

23


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

The Quest for<br />

<strong>the</strong> Single<br />

Antibody to End<br />

<strong>the</strong> COVID-19<br />

<strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

By Jake Glanville & Aishani Aatresh<br />

Dr. Jake<br />

Glanville and<br />

Aishani<br />

Aatresh<br />

Jake Glanville<br />

Distributed Bio, CEO &<br />

Founding Partner<br />

& Aishani Aatresh<br />

Computational<br />

Immunoengineering<br />

Affiliate at Distributed<br />

Bio<br />

The Beginning<br />

Although it may now feel like an<br />

entirely distant past, just three short<br />

months ago on January 22, Netflix<br />

released <strong>Pandemic</strong>: How to Prevent an<br />

Outbreak.<br />

Over a year prior, our company<br />

Distributed Bio was tapped for this<br />

docuseries because of our work on<br />

broad-spectrum vaccine technologies<br />

for influenza (spearheaded <strong>by</strong> team<br />

lead Sarah Ives) that was eventually<br />

awarded a Gates Grand Challenge<br />

Award for “Ending <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

Threat.” That Wednesday in January,<br />

<strong>the</strong> company watched <strong>the</strong> first three<br />

episodes toge<strong>the</strong>r in a rented <strong>the</strong>ater,<br />

<strong>the</strong> screening marked <strong>by</strong> Jake’s joking<br />

that no one would see <strong>the</strong> series due<br />

to <strong>the</strong> sheer number of titles of Netflix.<br />

But in a turn of events that can<br />

only be termed a spooky coincidence,<br />

a novel coronavirus was spreading<br />

exponentially and <strong>the</strong> world was on its<br />

way to a pandemic. On January 23, <strong>the</strong><br />

central government of China ordered a<br />

lockdown in Wuhan and o<strong>the</strong>r localities<br />

of <strong>the</strong> Hubei province, effectively<br />

quarantining 57 million people. Over<br />

<strong>the</strong> next few weeks, SARS-CoV-2 became<br />

seemingly <strong>the</strong> only thing <strong>the</strong> world could<br />

talk about — and <strong>Pandemic</strong> became one<br />

of <strong>the</strong> most popular titles on Netflix.<br />

Life at Distributed Bio began to<br />

move at a breakneck pace right after <strong>the</strong><br />

quarantine order in China. On January<br />

27, Jake flew to Washington, D.C. with his<br />

wife Erin and ba<strong>by</strong> daughter Seraphine<br />

to attend <strong>the</strong> American Society for<br />

Microbiology Biothreats conference<br />

and meet with DARPA (<strong>the</strong> Defense<br />

Advanced Research Projects Agency,<br />

an agency within <strong>the</strong> Department of<br />

Defense) and BARDA (<strong>the</strong> Biomedical<br />

Advanced Research and Development<br />

Authority, an office of <strong>the</strong> Department<br />

of Health and Human Services).<br />

Dr. Anthony Fauci, Director of<br />

<strong>the</strong> National Institute of Allergy and<br />

Infectious Disease and now-member<br />

of <strong>the</strong> White House Coronavirus Task<br />

Force, was also in attendance. He<br />

remarked that <strong>the</strong> virus was likely no<br />

longer containable.<br />

He was not shaking hands.<br />

The BARDA meeting ended up being<br />

canceled, while <strong>the</strong> DARPA meeting still<br />

stood for <strong>the</strong> following day but just to<br />

discuss <strong>the</strong> novel coronavirus. Jake<br />

retreated from <strong>the</strong> conference and<br />

returned with a plan to engineer new<br />

medicines for <strong>the</strong> virus. When Jake, Dr.<br />

David Gangemi (Director of Virology),<br />

and Stephanie Wisner (a new team<br />

member working with Centivax, <strong>the</strong><br />

spinout <strong>the</strong>rapeutics company from<br />

Distributed Bio) eventually met with<br />

DARPA, <strong>the</strong> agency expressed interest<br />

— but <strong>the</strong>y had already given funding<br />

away. Regardless, Jake decided to<br />

proceed, contacting Shahrad Daraeikia<br />

and Jack Wang at Distributed Bio to<br />

spearhead <strong>the</strong> effort to rapidly generate<br />

a neutralizing monoclonal antibody<br />

against <strong>the</strong> viral coat protein <strong>by</strong> evolving<br />

a panel of known neutralizing antibodies<br />

against SARS, a cousin of SARS-CoV-2.<br />

(Antibodies are proteins that serve<br />

as <strong>the</strong> soldiers of <strong>the</strong> body’s immune<br />

system that fight various pathogens<br />

in a highly specific, lock-and-key-esque<br />

relationship.)<br />

The following week, he and Sarah<br />

flew to <strong>the</strong> Gates Foundation in Seattle,<br />

Washington to meet o<strong>the</strong>r awardees<br />

of <strong>the</strong> “End <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong> Threat”<br />

Grand Challenge award. Over <strong>the</strong> next<br />

five weeks, Shahrad and Jack ran <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 program as a side project;<br />

<strong>the</strong> disease continued to progress<br />

alarmingly — in Wuhan, <strong>the</strong>n Europe,<br />

and <strong>the</strong>n Seattle and New York.<br />

On March 11, <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> Health<br />

Organization declared COVID-19 a<br />

pandemic.<br />

Moments of Truth<br />

By March 16, six counties around<br />

<strong>the</strong> San Francisco Bay Area were given<br />

a stay-at-home order, bringing Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

California (and, eventually, <strong>the</strong> entire<br />

state) to a screeching halt. A COVID-19<br />

case had been reported at Audentes, a<br />

company that shares <strong>the</strong> building with<br />

Distributed Bio, so both its sites had<br />

to be scrubbed. <strong>Our</strong> employees were<br />

growing increasingly concerned, as<br />

24 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

many were starting to learn of second or third-degree exposure to<br />

known cases. The COVID-19 project was progressing to demand<br />

more time and more people, just as <strong>the</strong> ability to wield more of<br />

ei<strong>the</strong>r was quickly diminishing. Over <strong>the</strong> course of <strong>the</strong> day, Jake<br />

talked to employees about discussing <strong>the</strong>ir willingness and level of<br />

comfort to come in on a voluntary basis to work on <strong>the</strong> COVID-19<br />

with <strong>the</strong>ir families.<br />

That night, he went home feeling defeated, not knowing<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r or not <strong>the</strong> effort was dead in <strong>the</strong> water. However, that<br />

question was answered just <strong>the</strong> next morning: Jake woke up to<br />

an army, <strong>the</strong> whole team engaged and ready to be <strong>the</strong> David to<br />

<strong>the</strong> Goliath of COVID-19.<br />

This rallying cry took <strong>the</strong> fight to <strong>the</strong> next level. We designed<br />

an ultra-accelerated strategy to engineer and identify <strong>the</strong> optimal<br />

antibodies for <strong>the</strong>rapeutics candidates, <strong>the</strong> entire company<br />

working on just this one project given health constraints — a<br />

remarkable experience for <strong>the</strong> team. We began working in<br />

shifts, days and nights and weekdays and weekends, braving<br />

engineering hiccups and supply chain interruptions in addition<br />

to <strong>the</strong> pandemic itself.<br />

On March 30th, that resilience and streamlined efficiency<br />

paid off. We had official confirmation that we had succeeded<br />

and generated hundreds of hits with high-quality antibodies<br />

against <strong>the</strong> virus (with multiple extremely high-affinity, picomolar<br />

binders). Over <strong>the</strong> past month, we have filtered through <strong>the</strong>se<br />

candidate molecules, identified our leads, and sent <strong>the</strong>m across<br />

<strong>the</strong> world for o<strong>the</strong>r groups to run neutralization and in-vivo<br />

studies or utilize for diagnostic tests.<br />

The Road Ahead<br />

However, <strong>the</strong> fight is far from over. <strong>Our</strong> mission is to engineer<br />

medicines that matter at a price <strong>the</strong> world can afford. The specific<br />

goal with COVID-19 is two-fold: one, produce a medicine that<br />

would end <strong>the</strong> pandemic this fall <strong>by</strong> providing treatments in<br />

hospitals for those who are already sick — something a vaccine<br />

cannot do — and offering short-term immunity as a prophylactic<br />

for <strong>the</strong> healthcare workers and o<strong>the</strong>rs at <strong>the</strong> front lines, and two,<br />

to produce a broad-spectrum antibody so we never have to worry<br />

about an outbreak from <strong>the</strong> coronavirus family ever again. But<br />

while it is scientifically demanding to engineer medicines that<br />

matter at such an accelerated pace, it is also a major financial<br />

challenge.<br />

Distributed Bio has never taken venture capital money<br />

and is entirely self-funded, but <strong>the</strong> expenses of scaling up<br />

manufacturing and clinical trials run in <strong>the</strong> many hundreds of<br />

millions of dollars. We are actively working on expediting <strong>the</strong><br />

process and acquiring funding from a variety of sources that don’t<br />

require us to compromise on our mission, but we are running<br />

into bureaucracies on a variety of avenues that are a challenge<br />

in a difficult time of crisis. At <strong>the</strong> same time, in part due to <strong>the</strong><br />

release of <strong>Pandemic</strong>, we have attracted media attention from a<br />

variety of high-profile outlets ranging from The New York Times<br />

and MIT Technology Review to CNBC, MSNBC, and Fox, and we<br />

have built a strong grassroots support network that has become<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

an invaluable part of this journey.<br />

Although we’re just out of <strong>the</strong> discovery phase of <strong>the</strong> drug<br />

development process, a few exceedingly clear ideas have<br />

emerged over our work of <strong>the</strong> last few weeks that will certainly<br />

continue to unfold over <strong>the</strong> coming months.<br />

First, our computationally guided immunoengineering<br />

platforms meant that a team of 30 people — and really 3<br />

people for <strong>the</strong> first 6 weeks — completed engineering as fast as<br />

pharmaceutical companies with over $100 million of government<br />

financial support to engineering effective antibodies <strong>the</strong> fastest. If<br />

this shows nothing else, it demonstrates <strong>the</strong> emerging power of<br />

new technologies and, in <strong>the</strong> words of anthropologist Margaret<br />

Mead, to “[n]ever doubt that a small group of thoughtful,<br />

committed citizens can change <strong>the</strong> world; indeed, it’s <strong>the</strong> only<br />

thing that ever has.”<br />

Second, it highlights how crucial it is that our goals are not<br />

myopic. As with a universal influenza vaccine and universal<br />

antivenom, we have set out to treat not only <strong>the</strong> current crisis,<br />

but also to target <strong>the</strong> SARS-CoV-3, SARS-CoV-4, and any future<br />

coronavirus threat that will ever attempt to plague humanity<br />

again <strong>by</strong> generating broad-spectrum anti-coronavirus antibodies.<br />

While extreme social distancing as a non-pharmaceutical<br />

intervention has proven vital to reduce death rates and keep<br />

healthcare systems above water, its socioeconomic impacts have<br />

been devastating. National and international shutdowns cannot<br />

be <strong>the</strong> answer for every pandemic or sub-wave of a pandemic.<br />

As a scientific community, we need to look to <strong>the</strong> future and<br />

ensure that we are solving <strong>the</strong> forever war against all versions of<br />

coronavirus, and as a global community, we need to fund those<br />

solutions in order to be prepared and able to act quickly.<br />

Finally, our unique position compared to large venture-backed<br />

organizations of being an underdog, but one with extensive media<br />

exposure and global grassroots support, creates for us a better<br />

chance of an extra-financial objective of creating a permanently<br />

more healthy society. Science to create medicines is invaluable,<br />

but <strong>the</strong> people who receive <strong>the</strong> medicines should be <strong>the</strong> “why”<br />

behind <strong>the</strong> entire scientific system. The flexibility afforded <strong>by</strong><br />

our financial structure as well as <strong>the</strong> strategic collaboration it<br />

necessitates enables us to address some of <strong>the</strong> fundamental<br />

limitations of pharma and traditional funding that do not reward<br />

medicines that shrink <strong>the</strong>ir own markets, price out patients from<br />

lifesaving medicines, and fail to reach major segments of <strong>the</strong><br />

global population.<br />

The COVID-19 pandemic is just <strong>the</strong> beginning. If we approach<br />

<strong>the</strong> next few months <strong>the</strong> right way and mobilize <strong>the</strong> international<br />

community, <strong>the</strong> crisis of this pandemic can be all but over <strong>by</strong> fall<br />

through <strong>the</strong> right combination of testing, contacting tracing, and<br />

just one successful clinically proven antibody <strong>the</strong>rapeutic. And<br />

if we continue charging ahead, it will also be just <strong>the</strong> beginning<br />

of <strong>the</strong> fight for a pathogen-free humanity — engineering broadspectrum<br />

medicines for <strong>the</strong> world to ensure that <strong>the</strong> next possible<br />

pandemic and every single one after that will never be anything<br />

more than a mild outbreak.<br />

Stay healthy, and stay safe.<br />

25


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

Nurses – The Heroes at <strong>the</strong><br />

Frontline of Healthcare<br />

By Paul de Raeve<br />

When health crisis occurs, <strong>the</strong><br />

nursing profession is always<br />

at <strong>the</strong> frontline working for<br />

citizens and patients. This has been part<br />

of <strong>the</strong> European history since <strong>the</strong> time<br />

of Florence Nightingale. In times of war<br />

and pandemics, when <strong>the</strong> population<br />

needs healing and support, <strong>the</strong> nurses<br />

are at <strong>the</strong> frontline day and night.<br />

All of <strong>the</strong>se are <strong>the</strong> reality in <strong>the</strong><br />

present time too, in which <strong>the</strong> ongoing<br />

COVID19 pandemic is greatly impacting<br />

EU citizens life. Many EU countries have<br />

put <strong>the</strong>ir populations in lockdown for<br />

a few weeks already, with very few<br />

exceptions. The soundest are <strong>the</strong> nurses<br />

and <strong>the</strong> healthcare professionals,<br />

who still need to go to work, often<br />

unprotected and untrained on <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 disease. Locked citizens have<br />

expressed <strong>the</strong>ir appreciation to <strong>the</strong><br />

frontline nursing workforce, <strong>by</strong> signing,<br />

<strong>by</strong> applauding, and even donating<br />

funds. Nurses’ holistic and altruistic<br />

approach to healthcare made respectful<br />

and even admirable to citizens.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> current context, nurses<br />

are labelled as “heroes” <strong>by</strong> citizens<br />

and stakeholders precisely because<br />

of <strong>the</strong> conditions in which <strong>the</strong>y are<br />

approaching <strong>the</strong>ir frontline nursing care.<br />

When citizens get infected <strong>by</strong> COVID-19<br />

disease and need hospitalisation, all<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir human interaction for a period<br />

of time will be reduced and nurses are<br />

central to human dignity, ensuring a<br />

quick and efficient recovery. This is<br />

nursing care. However, in doing so,<br />

<strong>the</strong> lack of protective equipment and<br />

knowledge exposing frontline to get<br />

infected, and even to bring <strong>the</strong> disease<br />

back to <strong>the</strong>ir families when <strong>the</strong>y go<br />

home, is a huge concern to nurses, as<br />

<strong>the</strong>y are <strong>the</strong> ones touching <strong>the</strong> patients,<br />

washing <strong>the</strong> patients, providing <strong>the</strong><br />

most complex care needed. For some<br />

patients who die from <strong>the</strong> disease,<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are cases of nurses who have set<br />

videocalls with <strong>the</strong>ir relatives so <strong>the</strong>y<br />

could say good<strong>by</strong>e. There are cases of<br />

nurses sleeping at healthcare facilities,<br />

to make sure that <strong>the</strong>y do not spread<br />

<strong>the</strong> disease to <strong>the</strong>ir families. For all of<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

<strong>the</strong>se, <strong>the</strong> population rightly identifies<br />

nurses as “heroes”.<br />

But let’s be realistic!<br />

The COVID-19 outbreak has proved<br />

<strong>the</strong> need of a holistic and integrated<br />

approach. The outbreak occurred in a<br />

context in which most EU healthcare<br />

systems were already under heavy<br />

pressure due to already existing<br />

26 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Paul de Raeve<br />

Secretary General<br />

of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Federation of Nurses<br />

Associations<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

challenges: <strong>the</strong> rise in life expectancy, <strong>the</strong><br />

ageing population, <strong>the</strong> growing number<br />

of people living with comorbidities and<br />

chronic diseases, etc. As a result, some<br />

already existing structural weaknesses<br />

have now deepened.<br />

And nurses were still recovering from<br />

<strong>the</strong> aftermath of <strong>the</strong> economic crisis of<br />

2008, which negatively influenced <strong>the</strong><br />

nursing workforce. Covid19 has shown<br />

that Europe’s healthcare systems need<br />

to be streng<strong>the</strong>ned to be better prepared<br />

to future possible scenarios such as<br />

<strong>the</strong> current pandemic. Sufficient and<br />

safe workforce staffing levels are key<br />

for <strong>the</strong> right functioning of healthcare<br />

ecosystems. Healthcare systems were<br />

dramatically understaffed with highly<br />

qualified general care nurses (DIR55)<br />

and to alleviate <strong>the</strong> situation, several EU<br />

countries have introduced emergency<br />

measures such as hiring back retired<br />

healthcare professionals or introducing<br />

student nurses as assistants. Of course,<br />

<strong>the</strong>se measures are not taken without a<br />

risk.<br />

Due to <strong>the</strong>ir involvement, European<br />

nurses expect <strong>the</strong> EU and national leaders<br />

to be involved to <strong>the</strong> same extent, and<br />

to take concrete and immediate actions<br />

to support <strong>the</strong>m, <strong>the</strong> “heroes” of <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 pandemic. EU institutions,<br />

governments and all health stakeholders<br />

should immediately take concrete actions:<br />

Support <strong>the</strong> EU health workforce,<br />

in particular <strong>the</strong> nursing workforce, to<br />

respond to <strong>the</strong> challenges of Infectious<br />

Diseases of High Consequences (IDHC)<br />

without compromising its safety and<br />

wellbeing, through coordinating and<br />

building capacity in <strong>the</strong> nursing workforce,<br />

providing fur<strong>the</strong>r access to vital education<br />

and training that includes opportunities<br />

for regular drills on donning and doffing<br />

PPE, and assuring <strong>the</strong> provision of<br />

adequate resources and support for a<br />

safe working environment.<br />

The ongoing pandemic proved <strong>the</strong><br />

European Commission that its structures<br />

were not prepared to protect <strong>the</strong><br />

health workforce. At <strong>the</strong> national level,<br />

protection and testing devices were<br />

insufficient and, in some cases, not even<br />

available. This translated into avoidable<br />

risks for <strong>the</strong> nursing workforce, who had<br />

to approach <strong>the</strong> frontline unprotected<br />

and sometimes unprepared, often with<br />

deadly consequences.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, co-creating and codesigning<br />

with frontline nurses fitfor-purpose<br />

political decision-making<br />

processes and policies for IDHC<br />

preparedness is a must. This is a challenge<br />

for <strong>the</strong> European Commission as <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

only counterparts are <strong>the</strong> Member<br />

States and sometimes academics who<br />

<strong>the</strong>y ask for advice, but not frontline<br />

healthcare professionals. Healthcare<br />

professionals, in particular nurses, are<br />

often kept out of <strong>the</strong> decision-making<br />

equation, making political actions often<br />

unfit-for-purpose. This accounts for <strong>the</strong><br />

lack of pragmatism in <strong>the</strong> decision taken<br />

<strong>by</strong> national governments in handling <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 crisis.<br />

The new coronavirus outbreak proves<br />

that more EU support to <strong>the</strong> frontline is<br />

needed when emergencies emerge. EU<br />

citizens need EU policies that protect<br />

frontline staff from working overtime and<br />

of being continuously understaffed.<br />

The nursing workforce will need to be<br />

better equipped to be able to handle <strong>the</strong><br />

next pandemic. The COVID-19 outbreak<br />

is having an unforeseen impact across all<br />

EU countries, and it is affecting all layers<br />

of society.<br />

In sum, EU institutions, national<br />

governments, and all health stakeholders,<br />

need to make sure that <strong>the</strong> nursing<br />

workforce is approaching <strong>the</strong> frontline<br />

with <strong>the</strong> right equipment, training, and<br />

staffing levels. And that should be done<br />

not only for <strong>the</strong>m, but for <strong>the</strong> interest of<br />

EU citizens and patients too.<br />

The European Commission continues<br />

being a stakeholder with whom <strong>the</strong><br />

nursing profession engages in constant<br />

dialogue, but a new area of cooperation<br />

has arisen coordinating actions to tackle<br />

<strong>the</strong> health crisis with <strong>the</strong> EU Member<br />

States. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> EFN continues being<br />

engaged with all interested EU and health<br />

stakeholders to do what is best for <strong>the</strong><br />

frontline nursing profession across <strong>the</strong> EU<br />

and Europe, and in doing so, maximising<br />

<strong>the</strong> health outcomes of patients affected<br />

<strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 disease.<br />

27


LEADERSHIP IN CRISIS & FRONTLINE HEROES<br />

5G: A Backbone for Europe’s<br />

Economic Recovery<br />

By Afke Schaart<br />

Afke Schaart<br />

Vice President and<br />

Head of Europe,<br />

Russia and CIS<br />

countries of <strong>the</strong> GSMA<br />

- Former Member of<br />

<strong>the</strong> Parliament of <strong>the</strong><br />

Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />

One of <strong>the</strong> biggest strengths<br />

of <strong>the</strong> GSMA is our ability to<br />

convene 110,000 people from<br />

90 countries for <strong>the</strong> annual Mobile<br />

<strong>World</strong> Congress in Barcelona – suddenly<br />

became a challenge in <strong>the</strong> face of a fastmoving<br />

new virus, COVID-19. We were<br />

forced to cancel <strong>the</strong> trade show on<br />

February 12, when many still said <strong>the</strong>re<br />

was no reason to fear.<br />

Leadership in crisis takes guts.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> weeks that followed, we have<br />

cancelled o<strong>the</strong>r global events, examined<br />

priorities and realigned resources to<br />

help meet unprecedented challenges<br />

confronting <strong>the</strong> mobile communications<br />

industry and political leaders.<br />

One of our first actions was to<br />

coordinate <strong>the</strong> sharing of aggregated<br />

and anonymised mobile data between<br />

Europe’s largest telecom operators and<br />

<strong>the</strong> European Commission to help track<br />

COVID-19 and determine where medical<br />

equipment is needed.<br />

In April, we published our new<br />

Privacy Principles for COVID-19 to<br />

promote best practice for handling<br />

mobile data to fight <strong>the</strong> spread of <strong>the</strong><br />

virus. Recognising <strong>the</strong> urgency with<br />

which governments must act, <strong>the</strong><br />

guidelines provide a tool to address <strong>the</strong><br />

privacy issues that must be considered<br />

to ensure public trust.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> strength – more than 200<br />

mobile network operators in Europe<br />

and 750 globally – remains crucial in<br />

an economic and political environment<br />

responding to demands and concerns in<br />

an evolving situation. The GSMA is more<br />

committed than ever to governance of a<br />

digital world based on common values<br />

that underpin <strong>the</strong> single market.<br />

As a non-profit association, <strong>the</strong><br />

GSMA works across industries to align<br />

best practices around AI and technology<br />

standards for electronic SIM cards,<br />

for example. We coordinate industry<br />

working groups to combat cyber<br />

threats, and to promote <strong>the</strong> adoption<br />

of international safety guidelines for<br />

electromagnetic exposure.<br />

That work has an urgent sense of<br />

28 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

purpose in this crisis: Cybercrime has spiked and critical<br />

network infrastructure has come under attack. Arsonists<br />

have set fire to more than 80 telecoms antennas in eight<br />

European countries and scores of frontline engineers have<br />

been harassed <strong>by</strong> people who believed conspiracy <strong>the</strong>ories<br />

and false claims linking 5G technology to COVID-19.<br />

In our fight against <strong>the</strong> surge in misinformation and fake<br />

news on social media, we shared evidence of <strong>the</strong> damage<br />

The mobile industry needs<br />

a united voice because<br />

decisions made in <strong>the</strong><br />

coming months around<br />

rules for digital services,<br />

AI and competition,<br />

for example, will have<br />

profound consequences<br />

for businesses and citizens<br />

throughout Europe.<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

to telecom networks with policymakers and international<br />

organisations. Following an independent review, <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>World</strong> Health Organization, added 5G to its Myths Buster<br />

webpage about false causes and cures. The International<br />

Telecommunication Union also issued a statement confirming<br />

that <strong>the</strong>re is no scientific link between 5G and COVID-19. We<br />

continue to work across institutions and with news media<br />

to dispel public fears contrary to science and decades of<br />

research.<br />

Social distancing is <strong>the</strong> new normal but, we continue to<br />

work closely in <strong>the</strong> regions and encourage our communities<br />

to come toge<strong>the</strong>r in this crisis. The mobile industry needs a<br />

united voice because decisions made in <strong>the</strong> coming months<br />

around rules for digital services, AI and competition, for<br />

example, will have profound consequences for businesses<br />

and citizens throughout Europe.<br />

Living and working in lockdown conditions underscores<br />

<strong>the</strong> critical importance of our connectivity. Video conference<br />

calls on 5G networks, which have data speeds up to 10-times<br />

faster than current 4G networks, would eliminate <strong>the</strong> gaps<br />

and “Oh, sorry, you go first” overlaps in conversations.<br />

We are convinced that 5G will be a backbone for Europe’s<br />

economic recovery and drive <strong>the</strong> shift to greener vertical<br />

industries. Edge computing, data, artificial intelligence will<br />

be <strong>the</strong> building blocks of <strong>the</strong> new economy.<br />

Before this health crisis, <strong>the</strong> digital economy was<br />

expected to add 1.1 percentage points to <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Union’s annual economic growth and to boost GDP <strong>by</strong><br />

over 14% <strong>by</strong> 2030, according to <strong>the</strong> European Commission’s<br />

estimates. That would have meant €2 trillion of GDP <strong>by</strong><br />

2030, roughly equal to Italy’s gross domestic production<br />

last year.<br />

We know governments are under enormous financial<br />

strain and will need to prioritise funding for <strong>the</strong>ir healthcare<br />

systems, small businesses and unemployed workers. We will<br />

need to find innovative solutions for <strong>the</strong> €500 million in private<br />

and public investments needed to build a 5G infrastructure<br />

that can turbo-charge <strong>the</strong> region’s growth.<br />

Leading conversations about digital change is central to<br />

<strong>the</strong> GSMA. In a crisis, those conversations are often about<br />

innovation and adaptation. New models for success are born.<br />

And <strong>the</strong>re will be no better place to share those success<br />

stories than in Barcelona at <strong>the</strong> Mobile <strong>World</strong> Congress in<br />

2021.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

29


A TRUSTED PARTNER OF DOCTORS AND PHARMACISTS<br />

FOUNDED IN 1969 BY PAPAZOGLOU BROS<br />

PHARMEX SA IS A LEADING COMPANY, SUPPLYING BOTH THE GREEK AND THE AFRICAN MARKETS<br />

WITH PHARMACEUTICAL AND COSMETIC PRODUCTS OF ITS OWN PRODUCTION,<br />

THROUGH THE COMPANY’S FACILITIES LOCATED IN ATHENS,GREECE AND LUSAKA, ZAMBIA


<strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

Political<br />

Economy of<br />

a <strong>Pandemic</strong>


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

The EU in Crisis?<br />

A Pragmatist’s Take<br />

By Antonio López-Istúriz White<br />

32 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Antonio López-<br />

Istúriz White<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Secretary General of<br />

<strong>the</strong> European People’s<br />

Party – Spanish<br />

member of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament<br />

with <strong>the</strong> EPP Group<br />

The European Union has always been both<br />

a topic and <strong>the</strong> subject of polarisation. On<br />

<strong>the</strong> one hand is <strong>the</strong> supposedly idealistic<br />

pro-EU camp, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> supposedly<br />

egoistic Eurosceptics. For sixty years, thus have<br />

we framed <strong>the</strong> debate — a debate which has<br />

ironically led to even fur<strong>the</strong>r, deeper polarisation<br />

and ultimately to underperformance on <strong>the</strong> part<br />

of all stakeholders, national as well as European,<br />

in times of crisis.<br />

After more than twenty years living and<br />

breathing this European debate, I am convinced<br />

we must change <strong>the</strong> narrative. The EU is not a<br />

matter of ei<strong>the</strong>r love or hate; it exists because<br />

we need it. We needed it after <strong>the</strong> Second <strong>World</strong><br />

War; and we need it today, more than ever. I<br />

might be Spanish, but <strong>the</strong> stereotype of being<br />

overly emotional does not apply in my case. In<br />

<strong>the</strong>se crucial days for <strong>the</strong> European project, what<br />

makes me advocate even more enthusiastically<br />

for <strong>the</strong> EU is reason. Make no mistake: I am no<br />

devil’s advocate. Just a humble pragmatist.<br />

I see <strong>the</strong> traditional enemies of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

project being joined today <strong>by</strong> a new group of<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

33


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

critics in a spiral of attacks against a weak<br />

and imperfect Union. Because democracy,<br />

since <strong>the</strong> times of <strong>the</strong> A<strong>the</strong>nians or<br />

<strong>the</strong> downfall of <strong>the</strong> Roman Republic,<br />

has always been weak and imperfect.<br />

Weak against <strong>the</strong> propaganda machine<br />

of autocrats, imperfect vis-à-vis <strong>the</strong><br />

ostensible promises of messianic rule:<br />

an easy target for egocentric politicians<br />

able to accede to leadership but unable<br />

to actually lead, and in constant need of<br />

a scapegoat.<br />

I do not blame colleagues who, amidst<br />

<strong>the</strong> current crisis, suggest that China or<br />

Russia are showing greater solidarity than<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU itself. They suffer from <strong>the</strong> stress<br />

created <strong>by</strong> this pandemic, and from <strong>the</strong><br />

lack of European leadership in comparison<br />

with <strong>the</strong> concrete actions, however<br />

insidious, which we are witnessing in<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r corners of <strong>the</strong> world. Let’s face <strong>the</strong><br />

uncomfortable truth: <strong>the</strong> only way for<br />

democracy to survive is for leaders to step<br />

up in times of need. Unfortunately I do not<br />

see today a Pericles, Churchill or de Gaulle.<br />

“So <strong>the</strong>n what?” an anxious Twitter<br />

follower might ask. Now enters <strong>the</strong><br />

pragmatist (not to be confused with<br />

<strong>the</strong> bureaucrat!): someone who deep<br />

in his heart knows, like millions of o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

Europeans, that this imperfect Union, this<br />

artificial construct created <strong>by</strong> its Founders<br />

and still in ever-evolving process of<br />

creation, is <strong>the</strong> only shield protecting us<br />

from having Putin or <strong>the</strong> idolised leader<br />

of <strong>the</strong> Chinese Communist Party held<br />

aloft as a paragon of perfection. So what<br />

can we do to protect and promote our<br />

democracies and our European Union?<br />

First, we must humbly admit our<br />

mistakes. Looking back, we can detect<br />

two recent warning signs. The first was<br />

<strong>the</strong> refusal, <strong>by</strong> a significant number<br />

of European citizens, of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Constitution; <strong>the</strong> second is <strong>the</strong> bad blood<br />

which has remained in many parts of<br />

our society after <strong>the</strong> financial crisis. I am<br />

convinced that European citizens want<br />

us to concentrate on solving <strong>the</strong>ir real<br />

problems ra<strong>the</strong>r than fixate on <strong>the</strong> details<br />

of a possible European senate or whe<strong>the</strong>r<br />

or when <strong>the</strong> EU might become a happy<br />

federation. Let’s leave <strong>the</strong>se big dreams<br />

to <strong>the</strong> next generation — a generation I<br />

am confident will be capable of achieving<br />

<strong>the</strong>m — and concentrate instead, in <strong>the</strong><br />

here and now, on filling <strong>the</strong> fissures in <strong>the</strong><br />

very hull of our ship. We all know <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are many of <strong>the</strong>m, <strong>the</strong> lack of coordination<br />

in health emergencies being one of <strong>the</strong><br />

most tragic and prominent examples.<br />

(Ah! Had Member States only listened to<br />

Michel Barnier in 2006 when he proposed<br />

a European initiative to response to<br />

emergencies such as pandemics . . .)<br />

Secondly, we must be ambitious in real<br />

and concrete things. Like many o<strong>the</strong>rs in<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU institutions, I am often weary of<br />

<strong>the</strong> reality that so many of our citizens are<br />

unaware of <strong>the</strong> good work we are doing.<br />

This is because <strong>the</strong> European Council,<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU’s only non-transparent body, is<br />

<strong>the</strong> one really calling <strong>the</strong> shots. I am tired<br />

of secret meetings <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> EU’s real power<br />

players — i.e. our national governments:<br />

meetings in which bad decisions are<br />

blamed on <strong>the</strong> EU while good ones result<br />

in praise for visionary national leaders<br />

who in turn fail to ever mention <strong>the</strong> EU<br />

in <strong>the</strong>ir subsequent ’’war reports’’ to <strong>the</strong><br />

press. Enough of this! When a new bridge<br />

is built in a small town, when EU citizens<br />

are no longer burdened <strong>by</strong> roaming<br />

fees, or when funds arrive to relieve <strong>the</strong><br />

consequences of a critical pandemic: all<br />

this is thanks to <strong>the</strong> EU. But <strong>the</strong> fact is<br />

not recognised <strong>by</strong> some governments,<br />

interested only in convincing <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

electorates of <strong>the</strong>ir own ability to defend<br />

<strong>the</strong> national interest against imaginary<br />

usurpation and racketeering taking place<br />

in Brussels.<br />

Thirdly, we must be transparent and<br />

accountable. Those European countries<br />

which will be transparent in managing <strong>the</strong><br />

coronavirus pandemic will also be <strong>the</strong> first<br />

to overcome <strong>the</strong> economic and social crisis<br />

ahead. In 1918 it was American soldiers<br />

who brought <strong>the</strong> so-called ‘’Spanish flu’’ to<br />

<strong>the</strong> battlefields of Europe, causing millions<br />

of deaths worldwide. Why did it come to<br />

be known as Spanish flu? Because Spain,<br />

a neutral country at <strong>the</strong> time, was alone in<br />

not counting deaths from <strong>the</strong> disease as<br />

casualties of war. The transparency that<br />

spawned such an ironic misnomer also<br />

gave to Spain a credibility it took o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries some time to regain.<br />

After more than<br />

twenty years living and<br />

breathing this European<br />

debate, I am convinced<br />

we must change <strong>the</strong><br />

narrative. The EU is not<br />

a matter of ei<strong>the</strong>r love<br />

or hate; it exists because<br />

we need it. We needed it<br />

after <strong>the</strong> Second <strong>World</strong><br />

War; and we need it<br />

today, more than ever.<br />

In our current context, it is not<br />

European institutions which must be<br />

more transparent in <strong>the</strong>ir approach —<br />

<strong>the</strong>y already are. Where transparency is<br />

lacking is on <strong>the</strong> part of some Member<br />

State governments. The deficiency<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore lies among members of <strong>the</strong><br />

Council, a body which has not received<br />

a mandate on behalf of <strong>the</strong> entire<br />

European population. This is why we<br />

must again insist on a discussion of<br />

<strong>the</strong> Spitzenkandidat: a directly elected<br />

European leader, directly accountable to<br />

all European citizens. A leader who can<br />

take decisions at European level — and<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore a leader who is responsible for<br />

taking <strong>the</strong> lead and who can thus be held<br />

accountable for his or her actions. A leader<br />

elected <strong>by</strong> and for <strong>the</strong> European people.<br />

We must surely focus now on <strong>the</strong><br />

immediate crisis at hand. But it will<br />

soon be time to return our attention to<br />

<strong>the</strong> future of Europe. To what kind of<br />

Europe we want and need. For though<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU is imperfect, make no mistake: it<br />

is a necessity. And it will be this crucial<br />

discussion which will allow us to overcome<br />

<strong>the</strong> current problems of transparency,<br />

accountability and coordination, and<br />

which will enable us to more efficiently<br />

prepare for future crises. But this is just<br />

<strong>the</strong> view of a pragmatist.<br />

34 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

Technology Now! Lessons learned<br />

from COVID19 and What’s Next<br />

By Eva Kaili<br />

2020 is a survival-mode year. <strong>Our</strong><br />

reality has more similarities to <strong>the</strong><br />

movie Contagion, than anyone<br />

would have ever imagined. Still, being in<br />

<strong>the</strong> middle of a pandemic, it is not <strong>the</strong> best<br />

time to reach conclusions as we have to<br />

deal with many uncertainties, at least until<br />

we have a promising treatment. However,<br />

it is of paramount importance to reflect on<br />

what has been done and what should have<br />

been done in a different way, in order to<br />

mitigate <strong>the</strong> risks and smooth <strong>the</strong> negative<br />

consequences of an emergency.<br />

Working in <strong>the</strong> field of emerging and<br />

exponential technologies for so many<br />

years, I find myself wondering why we had<br />

to go through such a pandemic to realize<br />

<strong>the</strong> potential of science and <strong>the</strong> tools we<br />

already have available but we do not use.<br />

What if we had adopted a more radical view<br />

in <strong>the</strong> margin of technological exploration,<br />

and a more aggressive position in policies<br />

that accelerate <strong>the</strong> technology transfer<br />

from <strong>the</strong> lab to <strong>the</strong> market? Then perhaps<br />

<strong>the</strong> current macroeconomic shock would<br />

have been less deep and potentially less<br />

lethal.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> world has been transformed;<br />

global challenges need common<br />

responses, and decentralized tailormade<br />

solutions. In <strong>the</strong> digital era social<br />

platforms empower communities, and<br />

now more than ever we feel closer to each<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r although we are in “house isolation”<br />

and “physical distancing”, since we face<br />

a common health threat that makes no<br />

exceptions or discriminations, and has no<br />

borders.<br />

It is already proven that <strong>the</strong> businesses<br />

and public organizations that have digital<br />

capabilities and, most importantly,<br />

digitalized processes are significantly<br />

more resilient and agile in <strong>the</strong>ir responses<br />

to <strong>the</strong> shifts in <strong>the</strong> demand and supply<br />

curves, meaning higher efficiency in <strong>the</strong><br />

preservation of both <strong>the</strong>ir value and<br />

supply chains. Even more dramatically,<br />

public organizations with strong capacity<br />

to collect and leverage big data analytics<br />

where much more effective to tame <strong>the</strong><br />

pandemic dynamics, act decisively where<br />

<strong>the</strong> need really was, and ensure socially<br />

responsible behavior.<br />

We do not know <strong>the</strong> exact social,<br />

organizational, financial and economic<br />

consequences of <strong>the</strong> pandemic. We<br />

know, though, for sure, that <strong>the</strong> effect<br />

will be significant and most likely we are<br />

entering into a “new normality”. The shape<br />

of this “new normality” will be determined<br />

<strong>by</strong> our understanding of <strong>the</strong> very notion<br />

of safety. Safety in terms of <strong>the</strong> forms of<br />

human action and collaboration, in terms<br />

of decision making procedures, in terms<br />

of trusted systems, in terms of privacy<br />

linked with social responsibility, in terms<br />

of institutionalizing crowd-sourcing in<br />

scientific research processes in order<br />

thousands of people to work toge<strong>the</strong>r on<br />

urgent solutions, in terms of strength of<br />

<strong>the</strong> supply chains and in terms of demand<br />

management in times of emergencies.<br />

The first reflection from <strong>the</strong> crisis is<br />

that we learned – in a violent way – <strong>the</strong><br />

difference between digitization and<br />

digitalization. Having in place digital<br />

capacity and tools – or being digitized –<br />

does not mean that we are safe. We need<br />

to have also procedures in place and an<br />

operational capability to merge <strong>the</strong>se<br />

procedures with digital tools – or to be<br />

digitalized.<br />

The second reflection is that decision<br />

making without strong big data analytics<br />

is very weak. This means that we need<br />

public organizations – especially health<br />

related organizations, to have capabilities<br />

to collect data and analyze, with deep<br />

and reinforced learning techniques, high<br />

36 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

quality of data. This means that we need to<br />

create reliable data governance methods<br />

with strong but agile privacy safeguards, to<br />

ensure high quality and robust algorithmic<br />

decision making to help health authorities in<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir work, to prevent <strong>the</strong> collapse of supply<br />

chains for vital instruments and inventories<br />

and to ensure a high quality monitoring of<br />

<strong>the</strong> emergency, in a level of granularity that<br />

is operationally optimal.<br />

The third reflection is about <strong>the</strong> way<br />

we work. I have already made a comment<br />

on <strong>the</strong> need to design procedures. It is not<br />

as complicated as it sounds though. At<br />

<strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> day, we all work ei<strong>the</strong>r on<br />

repetitive tasks, most likely without <strong>the</strong><br />

need of collaboration, or on creative tasks,<br />

that we need “studio” types of work so as to<br />

ensure collaboration. Every “teleconference”<br />

type of work can be easily replicated with<br />

simple digital technologies in <strong>the</strong>se two ways<br />

of work. The important here is to be able<br />

to visualize <strong>the</strong> contributions we make as<br />

individuals in a group effort. In this simple<br />

architecture we can resolve comparatively<br />

easily <strong>the</strong> problem of “scale”. This allows us<br />

to enter in a new era of crowdsourcing which<br />

is vital when many “brains” should work on<br />

one critical solution, especially in <strong>the</strong> fields<br />

of biomedicine and pharmaceuticals, and<br />

when significant public money is involved<br />

and <strong>the</strong> “patenting” is neutralized. EU<br />

should develop this capacity with secure<br />

procedures and in collaboration with o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

non-EU governments.<br />

The fourth reflection is about <strong>the</strong> optimal<br />

use of budget for R&D and <strong>the</strong> acceleration<br />

of tech transfer, especially in moments of<br />

emergency. EU traditionally has very weak<br />

tech transfer capacity. It funds, rightfully,<br />

long-run research projects that <strong>the</strong> market<br />

fails to support, but <strong>the</strong> patents it produces<br />

are few and <strong>the</strong> number of marketable<br />

products is disappointing. At <strong>the</strong> same time,<br />

many of <strong>the</strong> technological projects funded<br />

<strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> EU budget lack clear KPIs making <strong>the</strong><br />

speed of technological adoption very slow.<br />

The current pandemic forces us to think<br />

systematically about <strong>the</strong>se issues.<br />

It is in <strong>the</strong> center of <strong>the</strong> work of STOA<br />

in <strong>the</strong> European Parliament to speed up all<br />

<strong>the</strong> four areas of concern that I stressed,<br />

to define priorities, procedures and<br />

evaluation standards. We need to prepare<br />

Eva Kaili<br />

Greek member of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament<br />

with <strong>the</strong> S&D Group -<br />

Chair for Science and<br />

Technology, STOA -<br />

Chair EU40 - Member<br />

of OECD Blockchain<br />

Advisory Board, WEF<br />

EU Digital Leaders &<br />

Digital Currency Gov<br />

Consortium, IEEE<br />

Center of Extended<br />

Intelligence Advisory<br />

Board<br />

<strong>the</strong> ground for standards that are based on<br />

our European values and could be adopted<br />

globally.<br />

To conclude, <strong>the</strong> COVID19 emergency<br />

has changed <strong>the</strong> priorities of <strong>the</strong> EU<br />

budget in <strong>the</strong> era of “new normality”, and<br />

<strong>the</strong> digital transformation is higher on <strong>the</strong><br />

agenda, including a new paradigm of R&D<br />

in <strong>the</strong> fields of biotechnology and health<br />

management. O<strong>the</strong>r priorities like <strong>the</strong> so<br />

called, “Green Deal” should be integral in<br />

a new paradigm of sustainable economy,<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r than a distinct endeavor. Similarly,<br />

exponential technologies like AI, blockchain,<br />

big data, cyber-security, hyper-performance<br />

computing or edge computing, should be<br />

aggressively promoted not in isolation but<br />

in convergence with each o<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

I am convinced that Technology is a<br />

significant part of any solution related to <strong>the</strong><br />

health and quality of life of <strong>the</strong> Europeans,<br />

<strong>the</strong> agility and resilience of <strong>the</strong>ir jobs, <strong>the</strong><br />

prospect of <strong>the</strong>ir welfare and wealth in <strong>the</strong><br />

post-crisis period, <strong>the</strong> coherence of our<br />

society and our role in <strong>the</strong> global economy<br />

in <strong>the</strong> post-crisis years. We only need to act<br />

toge<strong>the</strong>r and be smart on it.<br />

37


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Looking for <strong>the</strong> White Knight<br />

By Daniel Kaddik<br />

A<br />

crisis can be a great eye-opener<br />

showing how much of what we<br />

believe is true. In recent memory,<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU has seen four major disruptions<br />

- <strong>the</strong> financial crisis, <strong>the</strong> migration crisis,<br />

Brexit, and now <strong>the</strong> Coronavirus. Those<br />

instances have shown severe flaws in<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU’s institutional architecture, in <strong>the</strong><br />

resilience of <strong>the</strong> member states, and in our<br />

ability to find joint solutions to challenges.<br />

Conventional wisdom suggests that <strong>the</strong>se<br />

chains of events are akin to black swans –<br />

<strong>the</strong> culmination and result of which could<br />

not have been foreseen. Is this true or<br />

were those accidents waiting to happen?<br />

What kind of leadership do we need now,<br />

when things are beginning to go awry?<br />

Especially in times of crisis, <strong>the</strong> role<br />

of leaders is to give a sense of direction,<br />

take decisive action, and not merely react<br />

to unfolding events. This is ever more<br />

important in a world where information<br />

flows faster than ever before, where<br />

people strive to make sense not only of<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir own lives but of global questions.<br />

Hence, <strong>the</strong> remedy is <strong>the</strong> opposite of <strong>the</strong><br />

usual trend in many European countries,<br />

where it appears that politicians are<br />

reacting to headlines or even tweets.<br />

Instead of setting <strong>the</strong> agenda, <strong>the</strong>y are<br />

driven <strong>by</strong> it, pushed <strong>by</strong> a perceived wave of<br />

opinions. But unlike elections, governing<br />

should not be a popularity contest.<br />

While an increase in information<br />

has bred uncertainty among citizens,<br />

many elementary fears have re-emerged<br />

38 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Daniel Kaddik<br />

Executive Director of<br />

<strong>the</strong> European Liberal<br />

Forum<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

during <strong>the</strong> Corona crisis. After all, it is a<br />

question of life or death at worst, and a<br />

question of economic survival at best.<br />

Some national governments are exploiting<br />

this to streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong>ir position in an<br />

unprecedented way and at <strong>the</strong> expense of<br />

democracy. Hungarian Prime Minister Victor<br />

Orbán has been given quasi-authoritarian<br />

powers <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> parliament for an unlimited<br />

time, and <strong>the</strong> Polish ruling party is pushing<br />

through presidential elections in May,<br />

while <strong>the</strong> ban of electoral rallies hinders<br />

opposition candidates.<br />

In stock markets, <strong>the</strong> bidder in a hostile<br />

takeover is called a “black knight”, an<br />

analogy that might be fitting here in <strong>the</strong><br />

context of democracies. Especially when<br />

democratic institutions are marginalised out<br />

of “necessity” and for <strong>the</strong> sake of “efficiency”.<br />

The question remains as to who makes <strong>the</strong><br />

counteroffer as <strong>the</strong> “white knight” and what<br />

<strong>the</strong>y can do to avoid <strong>the</strong> trap of crisis and<br />

<strong>the</strong> temptation of opportunity.<br />

Everywhere across Europe, people<br />

have largely supported and followed <strong>the</strong><br />

measures introduced <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> executives.<br />

They seem to be willing to cede <strong>the</strong>ir civil<br />

liberties in lockdowns that have been widely<br />

imposed. One can witness rising approval<br />

ratings for governments regardless of <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

track record in <strong>the</strong> fight against <strong>the</strong> virus<br />

and regardless of whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>y can be<br />

classified as “populist” or not. The positive<br />

side effect of this is that <strong>the</strong>re is currently<br />

less support for populists that are in<br />

opposition. However, this phenomenon<br />

should not be taken for granted and can<br />

only be sustained if governments can limit<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic and societal damage caused<br />

<strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> virus. O<strong>the</strong>rwise, we will see populist<br />

forces on <strong>the</strong> left and right on steroids at a<br />

time when hardships for citizens become<br />

overburdening.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> EU, <strong>the</strong> current crisis is doubtlessly<br />

existential. Corona has struck <strong>the</strong> core of <strong>the</strong><br />

EU’s economic project, <strong>the</strong> Single Market,<br />

like an earthquake. National governments<br />

responded <strong>by</strong> taking unilateral measures.<br />

Within a few weeks, border controls were<br />

reinstated across <strong>the</strong> Schengen area, <strong>the</strong><br />

free movement of persons was restricted,<br />

and supply chains crumbled.<br />

Despite <strong>the</strong> attack on <strong>the</strong> de facto core<br />

of European integration, European leaders<br />

have not been able to identify a way out of<br />

<strong>the</strong> crisis yet. The visionary approach needed<br />

for <strong>the</strong> EU to stick toge<strong>the</strong>r must connect<br />

<strong>the</strong> different strands of individual measures<br />

to a bigger whole. This is especially important,<br />

as <strong>the</strong>re is a considerable risk that<br />

diverse national reactions to <strong>the</strong> crisis will<br />

increase divergence in <strong>the</strong> Euro area. In <strong>the</strong><br />

past, national decisions were often taken<br />

without considering <strong>the</strong> cross-border impact.<br />

The same is already happening in this<br />

crisis, which poses <strong>the</strong> tremendous risk that<br />

countries which are already strong could assume<br />

a dominating position after <strong>the</strong> crisis.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> same time, it is useless to lament a<br />

lack of support for measures that would turn<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU upside down. Nobody can expect<br />

from <strong>the</strong> frugal governments of Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

Europe to throw <strong>the</strong>ir principles overboard<br />

from one day to ano<strong>the</strong>r. Leadership<br />

means exploiting what is possible, trying to<br />

do <strong>the</strong> impossible, but not attempting <strong>the</strong><br />

illusionary.<br />

The EU now needs a clear roadmap<br />

for reconstruction. It is of little importance<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r it is called <strong>the</strong> Marshall Plan or <strong>the</strong><br />

Michel Plan. But it is vital to act decisively<br />

and quickly. The roadmap also needs builtin<br />

flexibility; it must avoid centralisation and<br />

respect <strong>the</strong> principle of subsidiarity. Surely<br />

<strong>the</strong> unemployment reinsurance SURE can<br />

have a sunset clause in five years, giving<br />

member states <strong>the</strong> chance to opt-out.<br />

Beyond that, <strong>the</strong> EU’s remedy cannot be just<br />

patching up holes – it is time to finally decide<br />

what <strong>the</strong> EU should look like in <strong>the</strong> future.<br />

It is hard to lead if you do not know where<br />

you are going. Perhaps <strong>the</strong> Conference on<br />

<strong>the</strong> Future of Europe could be a first – albeit<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r late – step in this direction, if it does<br />

not end up as a mere communication tool.<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> reputation of <strong>the</strong> EU and<br />

of intra-European cooperation has already<br />

been damaged considerably in Italy and<br />

Spain, it is not too late. Is <strong>the</strong>re a white knight<br />

in sight? The fragmented polycentricity of<br />

power between <strong>the</strong> European Commission,<br />

<strong>the</strong> European Council and <strong>the</strong> Franco-<br />

German tandem makes it seem unlikely<br />

that a single white knight will be found.<br />

But European cooperation could itself still<br />

be <strong>the</strong> white knight for all member states,<br />

especially those most hit <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> Coronavirus<br />

pandemic.<br />

39


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

China’s Hostage Diplomacy<br />

By Anna Fotyga<br />

As <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 crisis continues,<br />

policy makers wonder what sort<br />

of world we shall inherit once<br />

it’s over. There is no doubt we should<br />

change our approach when dealing with<br />

<strong>the</strong> Peoples Republic of China. We have<br />

to focus in particular on means of tackling<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir use of diplomatic extortion via so<br />

called ‘hostage diplomacy’.<br />

The actions of <strong>the</strong> Chinese<br />

Communist Party, in <strong>the</strong> lead up to this<br />

global epidemic, are well documented:<br />

from <strong>the</strong> lies about <strong>the</strong> official figures,<br />

camouflaging evidences and silencing<br />

of whistle-blowers, to <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong>y<br />

simply didn’t act swiftly enough to halt <strong>the</strong><br />

spread around <strong>the</strong> rest of <strong>the</strong> world. Such<br />

attitude is well known to me, a person<br />

from Central Europe, and reminds me<br />

<strong>the</strong> way <strong>the</strong> Soviet communists tried<br />

to cover up <strong>the</strong> Cherno<strong>by</strong>l disaster.<br />

Such mismanagement is inescapable<br />

in a Communist system, staffed <strong>by</strong> ‘Yes<br />

Men’ who’s first instinct is to lie and deny<br />

any problems as <strong>the</strong>y have nei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong><br />

courage nor competency to move quickly<br />

in tackling disasters.<br />

Over-dependence on <strong>the</strong> PRC has<br />

proven to be a strategic blunder on <strong>the</strong><br />

part of Western countries. My very first<br />

initiative at <strong>the</strong> beginning of this term as<br />

a Member of <strong>the</strong> European Parliament<br />

was to draw attention of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Commission to <strong>the</strong> problem. In my<br />

intervention I pointed out that more<br />

than 60% of <strong>the</strong> active ingredients in<br />

40 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Anna Fotyga<br />

Polish member of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament<br />

with <strong>the</strong> ECR Group<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

medicines are produced outside <strong>the</strong> EU,<br />

mainly in China, and <strong>the</strong>se critical supplies<br />

are increasingly exposed to risk. Recent<br />

events have proved that critical sectors of<br />

our economies can no longer be dependent<br />

on <strong>the</strong> red Chinese dragon. It is clear that an<br />

economic realignment is needed – including<br />

looking for friendlier and more reliable<br />

trading partners.<br />

The Western <strong>World</strong> is starting to realise<br />

that for too long <strong>the</strong>y have given <strong>the</strong><br />

Peoples Republic of China <strong>the</strong> benefit of <strong>the</strong><br />

doubt, and <strong>the</strong> Communists have abused it.<br />

Perhaps <strong>the</strong> worst case of this is <strong>the</strong> issue of<br />

<strong>the</strong> status of <strong>the</strong> Republic of China (Taiwan).<br />

Moreover, <strong>the</strong> last year has shown that Beijing’s<br />

bullying tactics against its neighbours<br />

are now being deployed worldwide, also<br />

against <strong>the</strong> West, which has continued to<br />

approach <strong>the</strong> issue with a great deal of ambiguity.<br />

Whilst formally recognising <strong>the</strong> ‘One<br />

China Policy’, many Western countries still<br />

maintain unofficial offices of representation<br />

in Taipei. Likewise, <strong>the</strong> Taiwanese government<br />

maintains offices in most countries<br />

around <strong>the</strong> world. These quasi-diplomatic<br />

links have laid out a path for more formal<br />

arrangements in <strong>the</strong> future.<br />

Although full recognition of Taiwanese<br />

independence for many practical reasons<br />

is a long way off, economic cooperation<br />

could easily be enhanced. Taiwan not only<br />

shares our democratic values, but also has<br />

a stable industrial base from which to build<br />

on. Enhancing trade relations between <strong>the</strong><br />

West and Taiwan would serve to reduce<br />

dependence on Communist China and<br />

uphold economic links with this part of<br />

<strong>the</strong> world. Equally, <strong>the</strong>re are some areas<br />

in which official recognition of Taiwan<br />

could be beneficial to both parties, such as<br />

giving <strong>the</strong> island its own seat on <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong><br />

Health Organisation. This could perhaps<br />

be a term for <strong>the</strong> United States to begin<br />

refunding <strong>the</strong> WHO, after President Trump<br />

pulled American financial support from <strong>the</strong><br />

institution last week.<br />

A cross-party letter recently circulated<br />

around <strong>the</strong> European Parliament in<br />

Brussels has gained support of more than<br />

100 Members spanning across Europe. It<br />

calls for recognition of Taiwan <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> WHO,<br />

a move that is particularly important in<br />

<strong>the</strong>se challenging times.<br />

On a larger scale, China has applied <strong>the</strong><br />

same diplomatic extortion to international<br />

politics with Taiwan. Any attempt to<br />

recognise Taiwan is met with economic<br />

threats. Many smaller countries in Latin<br />

America and <strong>the</strong> Pacific Islands have<br />

faced tough sanctions for <strong>the</strong>ir continued<br />

recognition of Taiwan. Last year both Kiribati<br />

and <strong>the</strong> Solomon Islands severed ties<br />

with Taiwan amidst mounting diplomatic<br />

pressure from China.<br />

The same has already started to<br />

happen in Africa. As it stands, Eswatini is<br />

<strong>the</strong> only country in Africa that continues<br />

to recognise Taiwan’s independence. As a<br />

result <strong>the</strong>y have found <strong>the</strong>mselves under<br />

increased pressure – including economic<br />

threats. O<strong>the</strong>r countries in Africa have<br />

accepted China’s demands and as a result,<br />

have been rewarded in kind. Whilst China<br />

in <strong>the</strong> beginning used soft diplomacy –<br />

such as seemingly reasonable loans for<br />

infrastructure projects – many states have<br />

found <strong>the</strong>mselves in debt and without<br />

<strong>the</strong> promised infrastructure. This strategy<br />

used <strong>by</strong> China to lure underdeveloped<br />

African countries has even its own name:<br />

“debt-trap diplomacy”. I am convinced<br />

that Africa, like Taiwan, could benefit from<br />

a Western boycott of China. With supply<br />

chains adjusting to move manufacturing<br />

jobs from mainland China to friendlier<br />

countries in West Africa or South East Asia.<br />

China isn’t only holding <strong>the</strong> Island of<br />

Taiwan hostage. For more than a year <strong>the</strong><br />

PRC holds in prison actual hostages from<br />

Canada, on charges of endangering state<br />

security. This is widely seen as an attempt<br />

to use ‘hostage diplomacy’ to force <strong>the</strong><br />

release of a Chinese telecommunications<br />

executive who was arrested in Canada.<br />

Moreover, Beijing has inflicted an economic<br />

punishment on Canadians, putting in a<br />

hopeless situation companies which have<br />

become solely dependent on Chinese<br />

market or <strong>the</strong> PRC’s industrial base.<br />

Economic and geopolitical strategies<br />

should be open for review due to our<br />

dependency on China. Europe must keep<br />

alternative options on <strong>the</strong> table. We cannot<br />

allow freedom of our citizens, security of<br />

our societies, prosperity of our companies<br />

and sovereign policies of our states become<br />

China’s hostages.<br />

41


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

Quarantine<br />

and/or<br />

Geopolitical<br />

Checkmate?<br />

By Lídia Pereira<br />

The COVID-19 pandemic is not yet over<br />

and <strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

crisis resulting from <strong>the</strong> confinement<br />

measures that States had to adopt is still<br />

unknown. However, <strong>the</strong> economic forecasts that<br />

have been released and <strong>the</strong> political speeches<br />

from different political leaders, allow us to<br />

anticipate a post-crisis period with profound<br />

repercussions on <strong>the</strong> international order. The<br />

current crisis revealed <strong>the</strong> dangers of excessive<br />

dependence on foreign distribution chains,<br />

particularly, in strategic areas. For instance,<br />

medical and personal protective equipment (PPE) are strategic<br />

products, but <strong>the</strong>ir production is mostly based in China.<br />

China has become <strong>the</strong> factory of <strong>the</strong> world while Europe<br />

has become a museum of world history. Fortunately, <strong>the</strong><br />

European Commission has already started discussing about<br />

<strong>the</strong> reindustrialization of Europe, as well as <strong>the</strong> importance of<br />

protecting strategic industries from being acquired <strong>by</strong> foreign<br />

countries.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> past few weeks, China has emerged as a “global hero”<br />

around <strong>the</strong>ir response to <strong>the</strong> Covid19 pandemic. It’s clear that<br />

beneath this, <strong>the</strong>re is significant suspicion about <strong>the</strong> motivations<br />

underpinning Beijing’s international solidarity, accelerating <strong>the</strong><br />

need for Western countries to reckon with <strong>the</strong>ir relationship with<br />

China and examine what role China will play in a much-altered<br />

post-COVID19 world order.<br />

Peace and conflict studies have shown that success in<br />

post-conflict relations is more likely when parties feel equally<br />

victimised. There cannot be “winners” and “losers”. In <strong>the</strong> current<br />

scenario, <strong>the</strong> perception being nurtured <strong>by</strong> China as <strong>the</strong> best<br />

example of leadership in managing this crisis, with a low mortality<br />

rate, contrasts greatly with <strong>the</strong> difficulties and disproportionate<br />

number of deaths in Europe and <strong>the</strong> USA. China might want to<br />

wash its image, due to <strong>the</strong>ir negligent attempts to control <strong>the</strong><br />

epidemic domestically without informing <strong>the</strong> world. And in<br />

doing so, <strong>the</strong>y are assuming <strong>the</strong> role of a “winner”, anticipating a<br />

favourable post-crisis geopolitical re-order.<br />

It is clear that <strong>the</strong> world will emerge from <strong>the</strong> pandemic into<br />

a much-altered global economic order too. Western countries<br />

will face a prolonged recession. Europe, in particular, will have<br />

to reassess its priorities in terms of public investment, economic<br />

recovery, social protection and <strong>the</strong>ir health systems. And yet,<br />

while <strong>the</strong> GDP of <strong>the</strong> EU and US will fall, China’s economy is<br />

projected to continue growing at roughly 1%. The dramatic spike<br />

in unemployment levels on both sides of <strong>the</strong> Atlantic also does<br />

not appear to have been replicated in China, who have emerged<br />

from <strong>the</strong> crisis with only a 1% increase in <strong>the</strong>ir figures.<br />

Globalization will not come to an end, but it will rise again<br />

at <strong>the</strong> expense of new dynamics, influences and leaderships.<br />

We must be aware that <strong>the</strong> transition phase represents a great<br />

geopolitical challenge. Member States will have to streng<strong>the</strong>n<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir health systems and will need to increase <strong>the</strong>ir budgets in<br />

social areas. Education, scientific research, or defense may end up<br />

being overlooked. This might bring serious repercussions, mainly<br />

in <strong>the</strong> ability to compete technologically and in <strong>the</strong> commitments<br />

42 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Lídia Pereira<br />

Portuguese member<br />

of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Parliament with <strong>the</strong><br />

EPP Group – President<br />

of <strong>the</strong> Youth of <strong>the</strong><br />

European People’s<br />

Party<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

made, for example, between NATO member<br />

countries.<br />

Overall, <strong>the</strong> circumstances sound very<br />

alarming. The solidarity and support provided<br />

<strong>by</strong> China to countries most affected <strong>by</strong><br />

coronavirus will impact how <strong>the</strong> Chinese<br />

leadership is perceived internationally. Whe<strong>the</strong>r<br />

it’s <strong>the</strong> shipment of large quantities of PPE or <strong>the</strong><br />

deployment of medical professionals overseas,<br />

<strong>the</strong> country’s COVID altruism is inherently linked<br />

to <strong>the</strong> Beijing government’s long-term strategic<br />

objectives. China, under <strong>the</strong> tight control of its<br />

Communist Party, is a state with authoritarian<br />

international aspirations. When this pandemic<br />

ends, <strong>the</strong> failure of <strong>the</strong> US to lead <strong>the</strong><br />

international fight against COVID19 will reinforce<br />

China’s position as <strong>the</strong> international reference<br />

point, <strong>the</strong> global power which delivered at this<br />

time of need, with little attention paid to its<br />

culpability for <strong>the</strong> dissemination of <strong>the</strong> disease.<br />

America’s retreat has created a vacuum which<br />

China intends to fill.<br />

In that respect, China has much to gain<br />

through <strong>the</strong>se grand gestures of solidarity. This<br />

is why Europeans must distinguish between what<br />

is genuine “solidarity” and what is <strong>the</strong> cynical<br />

opportunism of an authoritarian regime seeking<br />

to ameliorate its image and expand its sphere<br />

of influence. About half a year ago, Ursula von<br />

der Leyen was criticized for trying to designate<br />

a Commissioner “to protect <strong>the</strong> European way<br />

of life”. That portfolio changed its name to<br />

“Promoting <strong>the</strong> European Way of Life”. However,<br />

facing <strong>the</strong> global influence of an authoritarian<br />

regime, protecting our principles and values has<br />

never been more important.<br />

The US and Europe have survived <strong>the</strong><br />

greatest wars and crises of modern times<br />

<strong>by</strong> working toge<strong>the</strong>r. To avoid unfavourable<br />

geopolitical imbalances, this time cannot be any<br />

different. Ultimately, <strong>the</strong> future when <strong>the</strong> world<br />

will brea<strong>the</strong> again without masks will judge <strong>the</strong><br />

success and effectiveness of democracies over<br />

authoritarian regimes.<br />

43


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

The China Hunt<br />

By Witold Jan Waszczykowski<br />

The ongoing debate on <strong>the</strong><br />

coronavirus crisis is bound to<br />

include an investigation into <strong>the</strong><br />

causes of <strong>the</strong> pandemic and all factors<br />

that played a part in its spread. However,<br />

are we not driving ourselves into a<br />

witch-hunt? After all, Europe is now full<br />

of phrases about <strong>the</strong> spirit of solidarity<br />

in <strong>the</strong> fight against <strong>the</strong> pandemic and<br />

<strong>the</strong> upcoming economic crisis.<br />

Theories about <strong>the</strong> origin of <strong>the</strong><br />

virus have been multiplying and, so<br />

far, <strong>the</strong>y include bats, pangolins and<br />

shady labs in Wuhan. They all lead to<br />

China. Certain politicians went as far as<br />

using <strong>the</strong> term “<strong>the</strong> Chinese virus.” On a<br />

side note, <strong>the</strong> French helped build <strong>the</strong><br />

Wuhan laboratories.<br />

It is justified to be suspicious<br />

of Beijing. China has been facing<br />

widespread accusations of downplaying<br />

<strong>the</strong> scale of <strong>the</strong> outbreak and<br />

hiding its origins. Reports of Chinese<br />

misinformation have featured on<br />

numerous media platforms. Beijing<br />

has even been blamed for taking<br />

advantage of <strong>the</strong> pandemic in order to<br />

push its geopolitical agenda <strong>by</strong> linking<br />

it to Chinese aid. China is not without<br />

fault when it comes to COVID-19. On<br />

<strong>the</strong> international stage, <strong>the</strong> Chinese are<br />

no angels ei<strong>the</strong>r. After all, <strong>the</strong> Middle<br />

Kingdom is <strong>the</strong> world’s second largest<br />

44 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Witold Jan<br />

Waszczykowski<br />

Polish member of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament<br />

with <strong>the</strong> ECR Group<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

economy and as such, it aggressively<br />

pursues its national interest. China’s<br />

recent history is also full of dark pages.<br />

These include <strong>the</strong> brutal crushing of <strong>the</strong><br />

Tiananmen protests in 1989, ongoing<br />

suppression of Hong Kong’s democratic<br />

aspirations and processes and open<br />

hostility towards Taiwan.<br />

On <strong>the</strong> flipside, is <strong>the</strong> Western <strong>World</strong><br />

without blame? In recent weeks, a<br />

number of politicians agreed we were<br />

not prepared for <strong>the</strong> cataclysm. In recent<br />

days, Ursula von der Leyen and Josep<br />

Borrell apologized for our mistakes in<br />

<strong>the</strong> European Parliament’s Hemicycle. We<br />

have all been beating ourselves up about<br />

<strong>the</strong> lack of means to fight <strong>the</strong> pandemic<br />

and shortages in PPE and basic medicines.<br />

Years ago, we decided to deindustrialize<br />

and move our production to China. Part<br />

of it was considered dirty, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r part<br />

- uneconomical. The price we are paying<br />

now is <strong>the</strong> consequence of our own<br />

choices.<br />

Even though China’s actions have<br />

met justified criticism, are we not taking<br />

it too far, especially in comparison to our<br />

behaviour towards Russia? The very same<br />

Russia that resorted to military means in<br />

order to prevent <strong>the</strong> collapse of <strong>the</strong> USSR.<br />

The very same Russia that violently dealt<br />

with Chechnya, invaded Georgia and<br />

Ukraine. Yet, we still tend to strive for best<br />

possible relations with Moscow, falling just<br />

slightly short of downright appeasement.<br />

We open up our economies to Russia.<br />

The Kremlin is <strong>the</strong> reason our defence<br />

systems are excessively transparent. All<br />

this in hope of shaping <strong>the</strong> Russian Bear<br />

into something similar to our Western<br />

model. So far, our track record has been<br />

mediocre in this regard. In consequence,<br />

lack of determination and choosing shortterm<br />

wins over strategic interests are to<br />

blame.<br />

Therefore, are we not creating an<br />

artificial and distant rival instead of<br />

finding a way to deal with <strong>the</strong> immediate<br />

one? Are we not burying our heads in<br />

<strong>the</strong> sand, pretending that <strong>the</strong> Russian<br />

problem is not <strong>the</strong>re and replacing it with<br />

<strong>the</strong> imagined Chinese threat?<br />

China is a remarkable economy and a<br />

nuclear power. Beijing makes its presence<br />

Today, we should<br />

embrace <strong>the</strong> fact that<br />

Beijing has not been<br />

trying to copy-paste<br />

Moscow’s actions<br />

towards <strong>the</strong> West.<br />

In consequence,<br />

perhaps we should<br />

consider rewarding<br />

it with a milder<br />

approach than our<br />

treatment of <strong>the</strong><br />

USSR?<br />

known in distant corners of <strong>the</strong> world<br />

<strong>by</strong> investing in harbours, airports or<br />

communication networks. In o<strong>the</strong>r words,<br />

trading outposts. We have reasons to<br />

believe that <strong>the</strong>se outposts may be used<br />

to exert political influence, perhaps even<br />

military power.<br />

The USSR was an influential<br />

superpower too. It used far more<br />

aggressive and far bloodier methods to<br />

secure its interests, which were motivated<br />

ideologically <strong>by</strong> Communism. However,<br />

<strong>the</strong> West did not go to war with Moscow.<br />

The Free <strong>World</strong> employed a wide range<br />

of non-military means and let <strong>the</strong> Evil<br />

Empire implode. As mentioned above,<br />

our attempts to pacify Russia’s aggressive<br />

tendencies have fallen short of our<br />

expectations. We did, however, manage<br />

to put a dent in Moscow’s ambitions.<br />

Today, we should embrace <strong>the</strong> fact that<br />

Beijing has not been trying to copy-paste<br />

Moscow’s actions towards <strong>the</strong> West. In<br />

consequence, perhaps we should consider<br />

rewarding it with a milder approach than<br />

our treatment of <strong>the</strong> USSR?<br />

45


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

The West Must Stand<br />

Confident and United<br />

Against <strong>the</strong> Chinese<br />

Threat<br />

By Mattias Karlsson<br />

With great power comes great<br />

responsibility. No government on<br />

Earth have established a stronger and<br />

more totalitarian control over its society than <strong>the</strong><br />

Chinese Communist Party. No o<strong>the</strong>r government<br />

holds its citizens in a tighter grip. With totalitarian<br />

and draconian powers, <strong>the</strong> Chinese Communist<br />

Party must be held responsible for its handling of<br />

<strong>the</strong> COVID-19 virus and <strong>the</strong> damage it has done<br />

to <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

Mahatma Ghandi once said that ”The<br />

greatness of a nation and its moral progress can<br />

be judged <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> way its animals are treated”. If<br />

Ghandi was right <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> greatness of communist<br />

China is far less than its economic and military<br />

power suggests.<br />

In 2002 <strong>the</strong> Chinese SARS-virus spread fear<br />

around <strong>the</strong> world and killed people in 37 different<br />

46 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Mattias<br />

Karlsson<br />

Member of <strong>the</strong><br />

Swedish Parliament -<br />

Former Leader of <strong>the</strong><br />

Sweden Democrats<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

countries. The SARS-virus most likely<br />

originated in <strong>the</strong> Chinese wet-markets<br />

where live animals are being kept, sold and<br />

butchered in <strong>the</strong> most horrific, inhumane<br />

ways.<br />

Yet, <strong>by</strong> all accounts, <strong>the</strong> Chinese<br />

Communist Party did not take sufficient<br />

action to stop <strong>the</strong>se practices.<br />

In 2007, microbiologists in Hong Kong<br />

alarmingly reported that <strong>the</strong> way <strong>the</strong><br />

Chinese handled wild animals in <strong>the</strong>ir wet<br />

markets is “a ticking time-bomb”.<br />

Still, <strong>the</strong> Chinese Communist Party did<br />

not listen and refused to take action.<br />

When <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 virus broke out<br />

in Wuhan <strong>the</strong> CCP’s initial reaction was to<br />

ignore it as if nothing had happened. The<br />

second reaction was to silence anyone<br />

who choose not to. Several of <strong>the</strong> initial<br />

whistleblowers were persecuted <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

CCP and have since disappeared.<br />

A study from <strong>the</strong> University of<br />

Southampton recently showed that if<br />

Chinese authorities had reacted only three<br />

weeks earlier, transmission of COVID-19<br />

could have been reduced <strong>by</strong> 95 per<br />

percent.<br />

The responsibility for <strong>the</strong> deaths<br />

and <strong>the</strong> suffering that we currently are<br />

experiencing in <strong>the</strong> West hence falls<br />

heavily on <strong>the</strong> Chinese Communist Party.<br />

The Corona virus, however, is only <strong>the</strong><br />

latest in a long line of human suffering<br />

that <strong>the</strong> totalitarian CCP has caused since<br />

it grabbed power in 1949.<br />

We are now <strong>the</strong> ones to make a choice.<br />

How <strong>the</strong> West manages to respond to<br />

<strong>the</strong> grab for world domination from this<br />

bloodstained totalitarian regime will<br />

determine <strong>the</strong> future for our children<br />

and grandchildren as well as <strong>the</strong> fate<br />

of our civilization built on freedom and<br />

democracy. We also cannot allow <strong>the</strong> leftwing<br />

forces in our own countries to divide<br />

and weaken our societys from within.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> civilization and <strong>the</strong> values for which<br />

it stands are at stake. In <strong>the</strong>se testing<br />

times, if we are to stand a chance, we must<br />

rediscover and streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> roots of our<br />

civilization, our self-confidence, and our<br />

old alliances.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

47


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

The Black Swan of 2020<br />

By Dr Erol User<br />

The coronavirus pandemic is <strong>the</strong> black swan of 2020,<br />

leading financial markets into a level of decline not<br />

seen since <strong>the</strong> recession of 1987.<br />

According to <strong>the</strong> United Nations, COVID-19 has cost<br />

<strong>the</strong> global economy $50 billion just in exports in February<br />

alone. A recent Bloomberg estimate sees <strong>the</strong> cumulative<br />

damage to <strong>the</strong> entire global economy coming in at around<br />

$2.7 trillion.<br />

We’ve experienced one of <strong>the</strong> most severe stock market<br />

crashes in modern times. The current sell-of has been one<br />

of <strong>the</strong> sharpest in since <strong>the</strong> 1929 stock market crash.<br />

GOODS<br />

In April, Chinese manufacturing activity dropped to alltime<br />

lows. This is certain to affect <strong>the</strong> nations that China’s<br />

imports intermediate goods - those that are used in <strong>the</strong><br />

production of o<strong>the</strong>r finished products and can range from<br />

hard and soft commodities such as metals and soy beans,<br />

through to plastics used in manufacturing and active<br />

pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) used in <strong>the</strong> production of<br />

drugs, all <strong>the</strong> way to finished car engines and LED screens<br />

– significantly dropped.<br />

According to <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> Bank, China imports <strong>the</strong> largest<br />

amount of its intermediate goods from South Korea, Japan,<br />

<strong>the</strong> United States, and “o<strong>the</strong>r” Asian states. Additionally,<br />

it exports <strong>the</strong> biggest volume of intermediate goods to<br />

<strong>the</strong> United States, Vietnam, South Korea, and India. The<br />

coronavirus is already affecting <strong>the</strong>se deeply intertwined<br />

trade relationships and is almost certain to have a farreaching<br />

influence on entire supply chains and final<br />

markets for a wide variety of finished goods.<br />

We’re also seeing <strong>the</strong> first signs of nations hunkering<br />

down to protect <strong>the</strong>ir own best interests. India’s restriction<br />

of pharmaceutical exports is a perfect example of this.<br />

CRUDE OIL<br />

It was widely expected that coronavirus would cause<br />

a big shock to global oil markets and now we’ve seen<br />

historic drops in both <strong>the</strong> stock and energy markets, all<br />

in just a couple of weeks.<br />

It will potentially have immense consequences that hurt<br />

many areas of <strong>the</strong> global petroleum industry, but <strong>the</strong>re are<br />

also likely to be far broader geopolitical effects. For one,<br />

this could be <strong>the</strong> event that breaks <strong>the</strong> US shale oil industry.<br />

It’s widely known that American shale firms are highly overleveraged<br />

and unable to maintain profitability at oil prices<br />

below $40 per barrel. We could be looking at <strong>the</strong> end of this<br />

recent period of American energy self-sufficiency, which<br />

is problematic to say <strong>the</strong> least. The interconnections and<br />

possible implications are seemingly endless.<br />

S&P500<br />

The S&P dropped 30% in less than 3 weeks. Recently we<br />

have seen what looks like a pronounced correction, with<br />

48 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Dr Erol User<br />

President and CEO<br />

of User Corporation.<br />

Dr User is also a<br />

multi-award winning<br />

entrepreneur,<br />

veteran businessman,<br />

philanthropist,<br />

business/financial<br />

coach and educator<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

its biggest weekly gain since 1974 as <strong>the</strong><br />

Federal Reserve delivered ano<strong>the</strong>r wave of<br />

stimulus to cushion <strong>the</strong> economic impact<br />

from <strong>the</strong> Covid-19 pandemic, but we could<br />

be witnessing <strong>the</strong> beginning of something<br />

worse yet.<br />

BITCOIN<br />

However, blockchain may still have a chance<br />

to flourish during <strong>the</strong>se times of crisis.<br />

The recent COVID-19 outbreak is an<br />

event at risk of a so-called “black swan”<br />

tail because it is an anomalous value. it is<br />

necessary to recognize <strong>the</strong> ability of Bitcoin<br />

(BTC) to hedge <strong>the</strong> risk of <strong>the</strong> stock market,<br />

in fact, some economists and researchers<br />

refer to Bitcoin as “digital gold” and exposed<br />

to tail-risk only within <strong>the</strong> cryptocurrency<br />

markets, but it is not exposed to tail-risk<br />

compared to o<strong>the</strong>r asset markets, such as<br />

equity markets or gold.<br />

Thinking positive of blockchain to Turn<br />

Crisis into Opportunity!<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

49


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

Reimagining History’s Path<br />

By Dimitris Valatsas<br />

Dimitris<br />

Valatsas<br />

Chief Economist at<br />

Greenmantle<br />

There should be no doubt:<br />

COVID-19 will leave all our societies<br />

poorer and more uncertain about<br />

<strong>the</strong> future—all economic policy can<br />

do and should do will be to mitigate<br />

and spread out <strong>the</strong>se costs. But<br />

perhaps <strong>the</strong> pandemic will also<br />

leave us wiser about <strong>the</strong> choices we<br />

make as citizens and consumers.<br />

In Laurent Binet’s latest alternate<br />

history novel, Civilizations, pandemics<br />

are used as a device that propel <strong>the</strong><br />

narrative forward. It is antibodies that<br />

allow <strong>the</strong> Incas to survive <strong>the</strong>ir first<br />

encounter with Western seafarers—<br />

and when <strong>the</strong> book’s heroes Miguel<br />

de Cervantes and Domenikos<br />

Theotokopoulos find <strong>the</strong>mselves<br />

imprisoned in Mexico-occupied<br />

Bordeaux, it is <strong>the</strong> advent of “<strong>the</strong> pest”<br />

that allows <strong>the</strong>m to escape. In history,<br />

both real and imagined, pandemics<br />

act as a Deus ex Machina: <strong>the</strong>y halt all<br />

activity on <strong>the</strong> set and drastically move<br />

<strong>the</strong> plot away from its prior determined<br />

course.<br />

And so it is with COVID-19 and <strong>the</strong><br />

political economy of <strong>the</strong> West. With<br />

<strong>the</strong> pandemic’s arrival, most of human<br />

activity ceased, with no regard to <strong>the</strong><br />

economic costs of <strong>the</strong> suspension.<br />

What is astonishing from a policy<br />

perspective is that almost nowhere<br />

was this perceived or resolved as a<br />

trade-off: with slightly varying degrees<br />

of hesitation, total shutdowns were<br />

imposed regardless of <strong>the</strong> cultural and<br />

state characteristics of each country or<br />

jurisdiction.<br />

Equally unimportant has been <strong>the</strong><br />

ideological orientation of <strong>the</strong> party in<br />

power in each state. The governments in<br />

Spain and <strong>the</strong> UK, for example, despite<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir radically different ideological<br />

composition, have deployed essentially<br />

<strong>the</strong> same public health measures with<br />

<strong>the</strong> same economic costs. And <strong>the</strong> same<br />

holds true of <strong>the</strong> measures currently<br />

being devised to help <strong>the</strong> economy:<br />

right- and left-wing governments alike<br />

are presiding over <strong>the</strong> largest expansion<br />

of <strong>the</strong> state in generations with equal<br />

degrees of urgency. Even in Washington,<br />

DC, decades of polarization over <strong>the</strong><br />

extent to which <strong>the</strong> state should support<br />

its citizens have been swept aside <strong>by</strong> a<br />

bold bipartisan effort to socialize <strong>the</strong><br />

costs of <strong>the</strong> pandemic.<br />

Indeed, with little ideological<br />

colouring, <strong>the</strong> main differentiating factor<br />

for governments has been competence.<br />

In a future religious history of <strong>the</strong> world,<br />

COVID-19 might well be seen as divine<br />

punishment for those countries that<br />

elected incompetent populists to high<br />

office. They have almost invariably been<br />

slower to recognize <strong>the</strong> danger faced <strong>by</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ir populations—and even when <strong>the</strong>y<br />

do, <strong>the</strong>y are hesitant to follow scientific<br />

advice and engage in quarrels with<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir own local authorities. Contrast<br />

this, for example, with <strong>the</strong> post-populist<br />

administration of Kyriakos Mitsotakis in<br />

Greece, where early and decisive action<br />

meant Greece has one of <strong>the</strong> lowest<br />

50 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

fatality rates in <strong>the</strong> European Union.<br />

Perhaps most encouragingly, COVID-19 has brought forth<br />

bold political action, especially in Europe. The same Eurogroup<br />

that last autumn demoted a proposed Euro Area budget to a<br />

puny budgetary instrument worth €17BN (~0.15% of GDP) last<br />

month agreed to more than €500BN of common measures to<br />

combat <strong>the</strong> impact of <strong>the</strong> virus. The same leaders who a few<br />

months ago were haggling over fractions of percentage points<br />

of GDP in <strong>the</strong> EU budget are now telling <strong>the</strong> Commission to<br />

start thinking in trillions.<br />

Of course, all of this has come at tremendous human and<br />

economic cost. The most tragic impact is being felt today,<br />

<strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> families of thousands of victims. But <strong>the</strong> social and<br />

economic scars of <strong>the</strong> lockdowns will be with us for a long<br />

time: unemployment, an increase in domestic violence,<br />

and a heavy mental health burden will continue to impact<br />

us for a long time to come. Finally, <strong>the</strong> enormous fiscal and<br />

monetary costs to cover <strong>the</strong> necessary relief efforts will bear<br />

on taxpayers and savers for most of <strong>the</strong> decade.<br />

There should be no doubt: COVID-19 will leave all our<br />

societies poorer and more uncertain about <strong>the</strong> future—all<br />

economic policy can do and should do will be to mitigate<br />

and spread out <strong>the</strong>se costs. But perhaps <strong>the</strong> pandemic will<br />

also leave us wiser about <strong>the</strong> choices we make as citizens<br />

and consumers.<br />

The expedience of populism has been shown to be a very<br />

expensive option indeed when exposed to a real crisis. A<br />

fixation on moral hazard and individual responsibility has<br />

proven a poor policy guide to combatting a societal challenge,<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r in U.S. healthcare or EU fiscal policy.<br />

None<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> crisis has also revealed <strong>the</strong> resilience<br />

of Western political systems. <strong>Our</strong> democracies have been<br />

just as effective as authoritarian regimes in shutting down<br />

contagion—and done so without abandoning <strong>the</strong> civil and<br />

personal liberties at <strong>the</strong>ir core. The social contract of trust<br />

between citizens and government, <strong>the</strong> subject of so many<br />

obituaries in recent years, has proven a powerful keeper of<br />

<strong>the</strong> peace.<br />

As it does in Binet’s novel, <strong>the</strong> current pandemic has wiped<br />

<strong>the</strong> slate clean: it forces us to rethink our policy preferences<br />

anew, unburdened <strong>by</strong> path dependence. As <strong>the</strong> past few<br />

weeks have shown, reducing greenhouse gas emissions<br />

and providing an economic safety net are not as politically<br />

impossible as we thought. Like <strong>the</strong> great French author, <strong>the</strong><br />

current crisis allows us to reimagine history’s path—perhaps<br />

toward a more humane and more sustainable future.<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

51


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

The O<strong>the</strong>r Half<br />

By Sabina Ciofu<br />

Sabina Ciofu<br />

Head of EU and Trade<br />

Policy at techUK<br />

Writing this on my laptop in <strong>the</strong> comfort<br />

of my living room, my challenges in this<br />

bizarre age of lockdown have nothing<br />

to do with survival, keeping a job or feeding a<br />

family. You, because you are reading this – for<br />

which I am grateful – are fairly tech savvy, have a<br />

reasonable internet connection and some spare<br />

time. Life is definitely not ideal, but <strong>the</strong> worst parts<br />

for <strong>the</strong> lucky ones among us who have not been<br />

directly affected <strong>by</strong> this terrible disease are <strong>the</strong><br />

nuisance of confinement, too much screen time<br />

and perhaps some mild anxiety.<br />

Technology has allowed some of us to carry<br />

on productive work, home-school and entertain<br />

children, connect with family and friends and get<br />

deliveries to our door step. It has allowed us to<br />

exercise, for cheap or free, and check out <strong>the</strong> latest<br />

videos, movies and recipes – all a few clicks away.<br />

The internet speed has kept up with all of us, <strong>the</strong><br />

cloud infrastructure also.<br />

Not only that, but trends in emerging and<br />

transformative tech have accelerated. 3D printers<br />

have provided bits and pieces of personal protective<br />

equipment when global markets ran out of it.<br />

Edge computing models can be used to monitor<br />

traffic flows and large ga<strong>the</strong>rings to accurately<br />

convey real-time information for authorities. And<br />

<strong>the</strong> advanced adoption of technology to power<br />

computer simulations of protein folding is helping<br />

scientists combat COVID-19, <strong>by</strong> providing a 3D<br />

molecular structure of <strong>the</strong> coronavirus.<br />

And looking forward, as governments are<br />

discussing and planning for exit strategies, it is<br />

increasingly acknowledged that <strong>the</strong> more digital an<br />

economy, <strong>the</strong> better and faster it will recover. The<br />

same goes for businesses. The more digitalised a<br />

company’s processes are, <strong>the</strong> easier it will move<br />

through this crisis and recover after. And <strong>the</strong> same<br />

goes for us. The more tech savvy you are, <strong>the</strong> less<br />

of <strong>the</strong> economic burn you’ll feel as we come out<br />

of <strong>the</strong> emergency.<br />

So where does that leave <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r half?<br />

But 50% of <strong>the</strong> world population is not online.<br />

That is roughly 3.6 billion people. The digital divide<br />

– and <strong>the</strong> fact that income and home internet<br />

access are correlated – explains much of <strong>the</strong><br />

inequality we observe in people’s ability to selfisolate.<br />

Poorer people are both at higher risk of<br />

getting <strong>the</strong> virus and likely to face <strong>the</strong> worst of <strong>the</strong><br />

pandemic’s economic consequences.<br />

Countries around <strong>the</strong> world have to deal with a<br />

fine balancing act of protecting <strong>the</strong>ir citizens from<br />

<strong>the</strong> virus while also trying to limit <strong>the</strong> financial hit.<br />

Developing nations have an even higher mountain<br />

to climb. Ten African states have no ventilators<br />

at all. In Uganda, <strong>the</strong>re are only 55 intensive care<br />

beds for 43 million citizens, while Bangladesh has<br />

just 1,100 ICU beds for a population of more than<br />

160 million. Transformative technology is all but<br />

a dream in many places.<br />

And if that feels a bit too far from home, in<br />

Europe only about a half of rural households<br />

have access to high-speed broadband. Remote<br />

working, home schooling, online consultations?<br />

Not for <strong>the</strong>m. And even in households with<br />

internet access, that is not automatically enough<br />

for families to make best use of online offerings.<br />

The lack of digital skills prevents whole chunks<br />

of society from benefitting from <strong>the</strong> available<br />

52 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

technology. Plus, children of essential workers often have to<br />

take extra responsibilities at home that limit <strong>the</strong>ir availability<br />

for online education.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> US, even if access to technology has increased<br />

dramatically, lower-income parents put <strong>the</strong>ir children in front<br />

of screens for nearly twice as long each day as richer parents.<br />

The tech sector has stepped up to <strong>the</strong> challenge. Through its<br />

Airband Initiative, combining new TV White Spaces technology<br />

with existing wireless solutions, Microsoft has demonstrated<br />

that lower cost solutions exist to deliver broadband quickly and<br />

efficiently to underserved areas. In Singapore, Visa has partnered<br />

with a local organisation to promote digital inclusion for senior<br />

citizens, who have high levels of knowledge about available apps<br />

but don’t actually use <strong>the</strong>m. And in <strong>the</strong> UK, Lloyds Banking Group<br />

and <strong>the</strong> Good Things Foundation have created a funding network<br />

of 100 centres who will support learners to improve <strong>the</strong>ir digital<br />

and financial literacy skills. techUK has also been working with<br />

an Industry Coalition to support <strong>the</strong> Department for Education in<br />

<strong>the</strong> UK in providing vulnerable and disadvantaged young people<br />

with digital devices and online learning to support <strong>the</strong>ir remote<br />

education.<br />

Yet, it’s fair to say it will take a lot more than individual<br />

corporate initiatives to close that enlarging gap as we move<br />

into <strong>the</strong> post-COVID world. It will take governments to realise<br />

that “my country first” is not a sustainable policy choice in <strong>the</strong><br />

long term. Turning our back to <strong>the</strong> most vulnerable countries<br />

and communities in a global pandemic will not make us safer,<br />

healthier or better off.<br />

It will also take civil society to put pressure where it’s needed.<br />

It will take <strong>the</strong> scientific community to inform on <strong>the</strong> best ways<br />

of levelling up. It will take journalists to investigate and reveal <strong>the</strong><br />

worst impacts of this crisis. And ultimately it will take everyone,<br />

including those of us in lockdown bubbles of online yoga classes<br />

and fresh food deliveries, to recognise that we have a collective<br />

responsibility to help out in rebuilding our communities.<br />

There will be serious impacts of this crisis way beyond <strong>the</strong><br />

current health emergency. Only this past week, <strong>the</strong> UN is warning<br />

of severe famine threatening large parts of <strong>the</strong> world population.<br />

Severe poverty across <strong>the</strong> globe is rising, as economies slow<br />

down. And <strong>the</strong> people that kept us alive and safe through this<br />

crisis, <strong>the</strong> frontline workers, <strong>the</strong> cashiers, <strong>the</strong> delivery drivers,<br />

deserve a lot more than <strong>the</strong> Twitter thank yous. You clapped<br />

and I clapped, but <strong>the</strong> real test will be seeking long-term change<br />

when we are on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r side of this.<br />

1<br />

Nber.org/papers/w26982<br />

2<br />

https://www.commonsensemedia.org/research/<strong>the</strong>-common-sense-census-media-use-<strong>by</strong>-kids-age-zero-to-eight-2017<br />

3<br />

https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/corporate-responsibility/airband<br />

4<br />

https://www.finextra.com/pressarticle/76498/visa-forms-partnership-to-promote-digital-inclusion-for-seniors-in-singapore<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

53


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

The Great Lockdown: A Glimpse<br />

of a More Sustainable Future?<br />

By Peter R. Styles<br />

Peter R. Styles<br />

Managing Director,<br />

Stratos European<br />

Policy Limited -<br />

Principal Consultant,<br />

Stratos Energy<br />

Consulting - Executive<br />

Vice Chair, European<br />

Federation of Energy<br />

Traders<br />

We all feel (or have felt) frustration at <strong>the</strong> interruption of our<br />

regular work routine, our chosen leisure pursuits, our social<br />

round, our holiday plans during <strong>the</strong> social confinement<br />

induced <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> Covid-19 pandemic . Many employees and selfemployed<br />

people round <strong>the</strong> world have been denied <strong>the</strong> opportunity<br />

to work and earn. Some have endured harm to <strong>the</strong>ir physical or<br />

mental health. However, if we look past our personal circumstances,<br />

<strong>the</strong> period of lockdown and isolation does offer a good moment<br />

to rethink and reshape our ways of living, working, travelling and<br />

consuming. Some of <strong>the</strong> short term adaptations we are forced to<br />

make now give us a clue as to <strong>the</strong> long term, systemic changes citizens<br />

and governments could embrace. Such changes would contribute<br />

hugely to an eventually carbon neutral economy, be good for <strong>the</strong><br />

environment more broadly and benefit society.<br />

We currently experience not only disruption<br />

but also interesting changes of behaviour during<br />

<strong>the</strong> Covid-19 induced lockdown and deepening<br />

economic downturn. We are replacing<br />

many physical business meetings and much<br />

business travel with teleconferences and video<br />

conferences. Information intensive services<br />

such as education, banking and government are<br />

largely delivered online. Even exercise classes,<br />

cookery instruction, concerts, plays and medical<br />

consultations are portrayed and conducted via<br />

a screen and loudspeaker or headphones.<br />

Which changes will stick? Which changes<br />

should government, including local government,<br />

encourage to persist?<br />

On <strong>the</strong> assumption some adaptations we<br />

have recently undertaken will endure, or at least<br />

that <strong>the</strong>ir endurance could be facilitated, we<br />

may now contemplate previously unimagined<br />

opportunities for doing things differently on<br />

a permanent basis. Here are two types of<br />

revolution which businesses, institutions and<br />

policymakers could evaluate, with carbon<br />

neutrality, environmental benefits (especially<br />

for air quality) and cost efficiency in mind:<br />

1. A new approach to space in<br />

office, retail and educational<br />

buildings<br />

The lockdowns imposed during <strong>the</strong> Covid-19<br />

outbreak have shown us that increased<br />

home working and home study are not only<br />

feasible but also convenient, less stressful<br />

and potentially more productive. We begin to<br />

witness <strong>the</strong> digital era’s equivalent of a rapid<br />

mass literacy programme – now in <strong>the</strong> shape of<br />

a giant, hands-on training programme in how<br />

to use IT. We should profit permanently from<br />

this human capital windfall – if only managers<br />

will appreciate its magnitude and tolerate <strong>the</strong><br />

“loss of control” on <strong>the</strong>ir part, which <strong>the</strong>y may<br />

perceive it to entail.<br />

If many of us can work for a lot of <strong>the</strong> time<br />

efficiently from home and order our purchases<br />

through home or mobile internet enabled<br />

devices, are all <strong>the</strong> buildings currently used for<br />

offices, education and shops going to be needed<br />

in future?<br />

Take <strong>the</strong> example of local government<br />

offices. Is <strong>the</strong>re scope for municipal authorities<br />

sell off <strong>the</strong>ir buildings or <strong>the</strong>ir land for affordable<br />

54 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

housing close to city centres, divert<br />

<strong>the</strong> proceeds to much needed public<br />

works and social assistance and occupy<br />

a minimum of office space elsewhere<br />

for hot desking? In many towns empty<br />

floors of buildings above shops, or<br />

indeed shops <strong>the</strong>mselves, are already<br />

available at discounted prices. In some<br />

cases <strong>the</strong> council will already own those<br />

premises?<br />

Lots of commercial office space<br />

too will not be required, if desk jobs<br />

continue to be performed from home,<br />

or on a rotational, part time attendance<br />

basis. This office space, much of it<br />

located close to <strong>the</strong> urban centres and<br />

to public transport, could <strong>the</strong>n be turned<br />

into flats or redeveloped for housing.<br />

Such dwellings could substitute for flats<br />

and small houses, often pushed out to<br />

greenfield sites with no sustainable<br />

infrastructure in <strong>the</strong> countryside. The<br />

reduced carbon footprint of <strong>the</strong> urban<br />

dwellers would be an added benefit,<br />

on top of <strong>the</strong> avoided environmental<br />

impact of greenfield construction.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> city where I live, Canterbury<br />

in England, we may also wonder why<br />

we need such a huge footprint of<br />

educational buildings, even if tens of<br />

thousands of undergraduates and<br />

schoolchildren study here, coming from<br />

all over <strong>the</strong> district, indeed many from<br />

all over <strong>the</strong> world. Now that we know<br />

pupils and students could for much of<br />

<strong>the</strong> academic year work online from<br />

home or shared space (once social<br />

distancing is relaxed) <strong>the</strong>re is enormous<br />

scope to utilise <strong>the</strong>se buildings more<br />

productively or to convert <strong>the</strong>m. Do<br />

we need big lecture <strong>the</strong>atres anymore?<br />

Could students in different faculties or<br />

different institutions share teaching<br />

space and libraries? Or rotate in <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

physical attendance between weeks,<br />

seasons or even periods of <strong>the</strong> day?<br />

2. Reducing travel and<br />

staggering and varying<br />

travel times<br />

We are seeing during lockdown such<br />

profound changes in patterns of<br />

human activity socially, economically<br />

and workwise, that I think we must<br />

also reflect on <strong>the</strong> implications for<br />

travel needs, and even <strong>the</strong> justification<br />

for travel (especially at set times) in <strong>the</strong><br />

future.<br />

One way in which remote working<br />

may boost productivity is <strong>by</strong> making<br />

it cheaper for businesses to scale up<br />

geographically, and in reducing <strong>the</strong><br />

wasted time and <strong>the</strong> stress involved in<br />

employees travelling to a communal<br />

place of work. Most deskbound workers<br />

have been empowered during this crisis<br />

to forget <strong>the</strong> congestion <strong>the</strong>y normally<br />

encounter in pursuit of <strong>the</strong>ir daily duties.<br />

Similarly, students and schoolchildren<br />

and <strong>the</strong>ir parents have not been obliged<br />

over this period to compete with o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

commuters for road space or a seat on<br />

<strong>the</strong> train or bus.<br />

Even food shopping is of necessity<br />

more evenly spaced over <strong>the</strong> day, in<br />

keeping with <strong>the</strong> social distancing<br />

enforced in supermarkets, farm shops<br />

and corner shops alike. Meanwhile<br />

shopping for most o<strong>the</strong>r items has<br />

been driven online, and thus requires<br />

only journeys to multiple residential<br />

destinations <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> same delivery<br />

vehicle, ra<strong>the</strong>r than multiple trips<br />

to shops <strong>by</strong> individual drivers and<br />

passengers.<br />

So, given a free choice, why would<br />

citizens, whe<strong>the</strong>r as managers,<br />

employees, freelancers, teachers,<br />

students or shoppers ever again<br />

wish to subject <strong>the</strong>mselves to <strong>the</strong><br />

deprivations of a morning, afternoon<br />

or evening “rush hour”? Might we<br />

conclude that a core component of a<br />

future sustainable transport system,<br />

in addition to modal shift, must be a<br />

reduction in <strong>the</strong> incidence of journeys,<br />

especially journeys <strong>by</strong> car at times of<br />

historic congestion? If we can all do<br />

our work and procure <strong>the</strong> supplies we<br />

need without filling town centre or out<br />

of town car parks, think of <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

potential for releasing land for housing<br />

within existing conurbations and near<br />

to existing public transport facilities.<br />

Finally, under <strong>the</strong> sustainable<br />

transport heading, we might reflect on<br />

implications of a revolution in <strong>the</strong> place<br />

and timing of our work and studies on<br />

our leisure and holiday travel habits.<br />

Would most visits to friends, family<br />

members and tourist attractions still<br />

need to be restricted to weekends?<br />

Must family seaside and overseas<br />

holidays be crammed into traditional<br />

school holidays? If all <strong>the</strong> trips involved<br />

were more evenly spaced out across<br />

<strong>the</strong> day, across <strong>the</strong> week and across<br />

seasons, while private travel for work<br />

and shopping would have diminished,<br />

does our society really need to plan<br />

for incessant extension and widening<br />

of motorways and additions of airport<br />

capacity?<br />

Thus, could we not, in place of<br />

enhanced public spending on grand<br />

physical transport projects and<br />

expansion of road networks, invest<br />

more in IT training and building faster,<br />

higher capacity broadband networks?<br />

Beyond repurposing our building<br />

stock, reducing <strong>the</strong> need for new<br />

construction and rethinking our<br />

travel patterns, fur<strong>the</strong>r opportunities<br />

for reducing carbon footprints,<br />

environmental improvement and<br />

societal reform arise from learnings<br />

during <strong>the</strong> lockdown period. Briefly,<br />

<strong>the</strong>se include:<br />

• A reduction in our overall<br />

consumption of goods, especially cars,<br />

clo<strong>the</strong>s and household items<br />

• Fostering local and shorter supply<br />

chains<br />

• Zero waste business and<br />

household models – for example<br />

<strong>by</strong> incentivising re-use and repair of<br />

products, introducing “pay to get rid of”<br />

mechanisms and mandating recycling<br />

of separable commodities<br />

• Offsetting <strong>the</strong> lower wholesale<br />

price of petroleum, natural gas and<br />

petroleum derivatives <strong>by</strong> raising carbon<br />

taxes on retail hydrocarbon products<br />

and/or expansion of carbon emissions<br />

trading systems into new sectors of <strong>the</strong><br />

economy.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

All views expressed in this article are personal to <strong>the</strong> author and are not to be attributed to<br />

any of <strong>the</strong> clients he advises nor to any association he represents.<br />

55


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

What are <strong>the</strong> Geo-Economic<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Impacts of <strong>the</strong> Coronavirus Crisis?<br />

Most people have heard of<br />

<strong>the</strong> Black Death, a pandemic<br />

that killed a third of Europe’s<br />

population in <strong>the</strong> 14th century, and<br />

entire treatises have been written<br />

about its profound impact on <strong>the</strong><br />

economy and society. Yet before 2020,<br />

most had not heard of <strong>the</strong> Spanish Flu<br />

pandemic of 1918-1920—which killed<br />

almost as many as <strong>the</strong> Black Death—as<br />

its lasting effect on <strong>the</strong> world was much<br />

less significant.<br />

One hundred years from now, will<br />

<strong>the</strong> coronavirus be a largely forgotten<br />

episode like <strong>the</strong> Spanish Flu, or will it—<br />

like <strong>the</strong> Black Death—be remembered<br />

<strong>by</strong> all as a pivotal event in human<br />

history?<br />

We remain at an early stage in<br />

<strong>the</strong> pandemic, making it difficult to<br />

predict <strong>the</strong> long-term consequences<br />

with any degree of confidence; and<br />

analysis is made harder <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> hysteria<br />

propagated <strong>by</strong> traditional and social<br />

forms of media. Yet <strong>the</strong>re remain clues<br />

that suggest that important long-term<br />

changes may well take root in <strong>the</strong> virus’<br />

wake.<br />

First is <strong>the</strong> deglobalization trend<br />

that started in earnest following <strong>the</strong><br />

global financial crisis of 2008. Many<br />

in advanced countries, especially<br />

those from low-income groups, have<br />

come to perceive global economic<br />

integration—known as globalization—<br />

as a threat to <strong>the</strong>ir livelihoods, and to<br />

56 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Omar<br />

Al-Ubaydli<br />

PhD, Researcher at<br />

<strong>the</strong> Bahrain Center for<br />

Strategic, International<br />

and Energy Studies<br />

(Derasat), Non-Resident<br />

Fellow at <strong>the</strong> Arab<br />

Gulf States Institute,<br />

Washington<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir sense of identity. This has created<br />

political pressure in favor of restrictions<br />

such as tariffs and migration quotas, and<br />

has been a key part of <strong>the</strong> platform of<br />

politicians such as Donald Trump and<br />

Boris Johnson.<br />

While not a cause of this deglobalization<br />

trend, <strong>the</strong> coronavirus is<br />

likely to accelerate it, as <strong>the</strong> pandemic<br />

has exposed some of <strong>the</strong> risks associated<br />

with high levels of economic integration.<br />

In particular, supply chains have been<br />

disrupted, and <strong>the</strong> livelihoods of those<br />

dependent upon global trade threatened.<br />

Consequently, even French President<br />

Emmanuel Macron—a staunch defender<br />

of globalization and multilateralism—has<br />

affirmed <strong>the</strong> need for France to become<br />

self-sufficient in <strong>the</strong> production of certain<br />

strategically-important goods, such as<br />

basic medical equipment.<br />

Second is a change in <strong>the</strong> structure<br />

of <strong>the</strong> economy, with certain industries<br />

contracting permanently, and o<strong>the</strong>rs<br />

expanding in <strong>the</strong>ir place. Aviation is under<br />

serious threat, due to <strong>the</strong> abundance of<br />

potentially long-lasting travel restrictions;<br />

as are sectors where <strong>the</strong> business model<br />

requires people being in close physical<br />

proximity: restaurants, brick-and-mortar<br />

retail, and professional sport are but a<br />

few examples. In contrast, e-commerce,<br />

logistics, and digital home entertainment<br />

are all emergent winners, as reflected in<br />

<strong>the</strong> rising share price of companies such<br />

as Zoom, Amazon, and Netflix while<br />

aggregate market indices are tumbling.<br />

The transition is unlikely to be smooth,<br />

since sectors such as aviation and<br />

traditional retail employ millions, while<br />

e-commerce and digital entertainment<br />

are predicated on much lower levels of<br />

human inputs. There is a genuine fear<br />

of a protracted period of structural<br />

unemployment as <strong>the</strong> economy adjusts,<br />

bringing with it social and political<br />

instability, as well as hardship for millions<br />

of job seekers. Fearful governments may<br />

well double down on <strong>the</strong>ir deglobalization<br />

policies in response to <strong>the</strong> pressure,<br />

exacerbating <strong>the</strong> worldwide deterioration<br />

in international relations and respect for<br />

international law.<br />

Finally, <strong>the</strong> fiscal stimulus packages<br />

that have been launched to counter <strong>the</strong><br />

coronavirus’s economic damage are not<br />

cheap, and <strong>the</strong>y come at a time when<br />

many advanced economies have debt to<br />

GDP levels that exceed 100%, figures that<br />

are more commonly seen <strong>by</strong> countries<br />

in a state of war. These debt levels will<br />

rise several notches thanks to <strong>the</strong> outlays,<br />

accentuating <strong>the</strong> slowdown in economic<br />

growth among advanced economies that<br />

started in <strong>the</strong> 1970s, as investors start<br />

to wonder how <strong>the</strong> money will ever be<br />

repaid.<br />

None of <strong>the</strong> solutions are palatable:<br />

higher taxes, inflation, and default each<br />

come with <strong>the</strong>ir own selection of ills;<br />

but <strong>the</strong>y all share in common <strong>the</strong> likely<br />

reinforcement of isolationist tendencies,<br />

as populations close rank and start to<br />

blame foreigners for <strong>the</strong>ir problems. The<br />

alarming rise of populist leaders across<br />

all parts of <strong>the</strong> European Union confirms<br />

that politicians are only too happy to<br />

indulge such xenophobic tendencies, and<br />

in fact, many are delighted to lead from<br />

<strong>the</strong> front.<br />

By <strong>the</strong> time 2030 comes along, <strong>the</strong><br />

supposed end date of <strong>the</strong> implementation<br />

period of <strong>the</strong> sustainable development<br />

goals (SDGs), global geo-politics could<br />

be highly strained. In that case, <strong>the</strong><br />

coronavirus must take its share in <strong>the</strong><br />

blame, as it has given countries that<br />

have grown distrustful of each o<strong>the</strong>r an<br />

additional excuse to close doors ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

than open <strong>the</strong>m.<br />

Something coincidentally similar<br />

happened following <strong>the</strong> Spanish Flu,<br />

as <strong>the</strong> interwar era witnessed rising<br />

protectionism and beggar-thy-neighbor<br />

trade policies. Tragically, <strong>the</strong> conclusion<br />

was <strong>the</strong> second world war, and 80<br />

million deaths, but in its wake came one<br />

of <strong>the</strong> golden eras of global prosperity,<br />

with living standards rising, inequality<br />

decreasing, and peace reigning, as<br />

humans saw <strong>the</strong> folly of <strong>the</strong>ir ways. Let us<br />

hope that <strong>the</strong> middle of <strong>the</strong> 21st century<br />

brings ano<strong>the</strong>r golden era, without <strong>the</strong><br />

need for <strong>the</strong> death and destruction of a<br />

world war to remind us all; or, as Mahatma<br />

Gandhi once quipped: “Whenever you are<br />

confronted with an opponent. Conquer<br />

him with love.”<br />

57


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

Fixing <strong>the</strong> Eurozone for <strong>the</strong> Next 50 Years<br />

By Juha-Pekka Nurvala<br />

Juha-Pekka<br />

Nurvala<br />

Former Senior Political<br />

Advisor for Economic<br />

and Social Policy,<br />

European People’s<br />

Party - Political<br />

Economist, London<br />

School of Economics<br />

Covid-19 has exposed <strong>the</strong> rational<br />

dysfunction at <strong>the</strong> heart of<br />

European decision making. It is<br />

perfectly rational for Finance Ministers<br />

such as Hoekstra (EPP - NL) and Kulmuni<br />

(RE - FI) to resist measures which are<br />

economically sound yet counter-intuitive<br />

politically. For <strong>the</strong>m, a recovery fund<br />

and common crisis measures comes<br />

with immediate political cost and only<br />

long-term economic benefits for <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

countries.<br />

A European Recovery Fund is an<br />

economically sound proposition; it is<br />

however clear that we won’t solve this<br />

crisis <strong>by</strong> relying on issuing more debt as<br />

most Euro countries have already high<br />

debt to GDP ratios. If countries are left<br />

to deal with <strong>the</strong> Covid crisis on <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

own, we can expect debt to GDP ratios<br />

to increase in line with <strong>the</strong> previous crisis,<br />

if not considerably more.<br />

The strawman argument of<br />

mutualising existing debt is nei<strong>the</strong>r on<br />

<strong>the</strong> table, nor helpful or desired as a<br />

policy in general. We must understand<br />

that this isn’t a “normal” crisis.<br />

Like generals fighting <strong>the</strong> previous<br />

war, we have politicians arguing<br />

mistakenly about <strong>the</strong> previous crisis.<br />

They are acting individually in a rational<br />

way, but unfortunately, collectively<br />

undermining our economy.<br />

This moment calls for political leaders<br />

who are strong and committed enough<br />

to state: “I do not care only about <strong>the</strong><br />

wellbeing of my national citizens. I care<br />

about <strong>the</strong> wellbeing of all Europeans.”<br />

Unfortunately, it seems that we are<br />

not mature enough to understand our<br />

interests geopolitically. Yet once again,<br />

many countries fall back to narrowly<br />

professing <strong>the</strong>ir own excellence over<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir immediate neighbours and natural<br />

allies, with whom <strong>the</strong>y share <strong>the</strong> most.<br />

Failure to act decisively, will cause<br />

irreparable human suffering in all EU<br />

countries ei<strong>the</strong>r directly or indirectly.<br />

Economically weakened and bitterly<br />

divided Europe will succumb to being<br />

a wholly irrelevant global player,<br />

divided between those who lean more<br />

towards <strong>the</strong> US, Russia or China. The<br />

consequences of an economic collapse<br />

may drive more countries to follow<br />

Hungary in abandoning <strong>the</strong> principles<br />

of democracy.<br />

200.<br />

180.<br />

160.<br />

140.<br />

120.<br />

100.<br />

80.<br />

60.<br />

40.<br />

20.<br />

0.<br />

Belgium<br />

Czechia<br />

Germany<br />

Estonia<br />

Ireland<br />

Greece<br />

Spain<br />

France<br />

Italy<br />

Debt/GDP ratio<br />

Cyprus<br />

THERE IS HOPE<br />

Bizarre as it might seem, however,<br />

now is <strong>the</strong> moment to fix <strong>the</strong> Eurozone for<br />

<strong>the</strong> next 50 years while simultaneously<br />

easing <strong>the</strong> current economic crisis.<br />

The previous economic crisis started<br />

<strong>the</strong> process of turning <strong>the</strong> ECB into <strong>the</strong><br />

rightfully formidable global monetary<br />

actor it is. Now, it will need to take<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r steps to complete its evolution<br />

and assert that it will do what it takes<br />

to defend <strong>the</strong> Eurozone, without<br />

limitations.<br />

The eurozone design is<br />

fundamentally unstable. The original<br />

designers relied on <strong>the</strong> explicit idea<br />

that necessary, yet politically difficult<br />

decisions, would be forced through <strong>by</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> need to survive in a crisis.<br />

That failed in <strong>the</strong> previous crisis <strong>by</strong><br />

making <strong>the</strong> crisis longer and deeper<br />

and likely <strong>the</strong> same will happen with <strong>the</strong><br />

current crisis. In <strong>the</strong> previous crisis, <strong>the</strong><br />

EU’s common actions were too little, too<br />

slow and too late.<br />

This is no time for despair but for<br />

creativity, within <strong>the</strong> confines of <strong>the</strong><br />

Treaties. Any solution must be such that<br />

short-term political interests do not clash<br />

with long-term economics, because<br />

politics always trumps economics.<br />

Latvia<br />

2007 2019<br />

Lithuania<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Malta<br />

Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />

Austria<br />

Por tug al<br />

Slovenia<br />

Slovakia<br />

Finland<br />

58 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

DO THE UNTHINKABLE<br />

– DIRECT FINANCING BY ECB<br />

As previously shown, debt to GDP ratios are<br />

already high, and it is doubtful that EU countries<br />

can implement necessary economic support<br />

programmes while tax receipts dramatically fall, and<br />

expenses increase. Austerity would be <strong>the</strong> worst<br />

possible policy to enact in <strong>the</strong> current situation<br />

economically, socially, politically and geo-politically.<br />

It would hurt <strong>the</strong> most vulnerable people and<br />

reduce demand dramatically in <strong>the</strong> short-term, while<br />

destroying our long-term growth potential. We need<br />

to accept <strong>the</strong> unconventional nature of this crisis<br />

and <strong>the</strong> severe fiscal restrictions. Therefore, we<br />

must pursue policies that we would not normally<br />

even consider. The first measure to allow countries<br />

to support <strong>the</strong> people, would be for <strong>the</strong> ECB to<br />

reinterpret its treaty mandate, and fund Eurozone<br />

countries directly to avoid lost decades. It is a highly<br />

unusual measure but so is <strong>the</strong> situation.<br />

Five-year inflation futures are at around 1% and<br />

demand is dramatically dropping, meaning that<br />

<strong>the</strong>re is a good amount of space before inflation<br />

would become an issue.<br />

The second step is for <strong>the</strong> ECB to effectively<br />

forgive a proportionally equal amount of Member<br />

States’ sovereign bonds that are held <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> ECB. This<br />

could be done <strong>by</strong> extending ECB-held bonds payment<br />

terms until 2120 or <strong>by</strong> explicitly writing down <strong>the</strong><br />

bonds, as a negative balance sheet would not be an<br />

issue for <strong>the</strong> ECB. The alternative would be issuing<br />

perpetual bonds as part of <strong>the</strong> Recovery Fund.<br />

This move would create breathing space<br />

for public investments to boost demand. The<br />

alternative, tax cuts, would barely impact demand<br />

in this current situation.<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

FIXING EUROZONE FOR THE NEXT 50 YEARS<br />

After those two immediate steps to avoid economic<br />

and social calamity in Europe, we must also take<br />

decisions to address <strong>the</strong> long-term structural<br />

problems in <strong>the</strong> Eurozone. Effectively, most of <strong>the</strong><br />

toxic economic and political dynamics could be<br />

solved through two decisions.<br />

Notably we must impose a risk-weighting on<br />

sovereign bonds and drastically cut <strong>the</strong> ability of<br />

banks to hold any single country’s sovereign debts<br />

<strong>by</strong> reforming large exposure rules.<br />

These two decisions would cut <strong>the</strong> link between<br />

banks and sovereigns and ban banks overtly holding<br />

<strong>the</strong> bonds of <strong>the</strong> country of <strong>the</strong>ir domiciliation. This<br />

change would mean that if a country would find<br />

<strong>the</strong>mselves in economic trouble due to bad politics<br />

and economics, <strong>the</strong>re is no need to bail <strong>the</strong>m out<br />

because contagion to o<strong>the</strong>r countries or to <strong>the</strong> real<br />

economy would be drastically reduced.<br />

In such a circumstance, <strong>the</strong> country would go<br />

through debt restructuring and <strong>the</strong> EU would not<br />

need to impose any rules on a maximum debt to<br />

GDP ratio. The EU’s economic rules are criticised<br />

rightfully for being economically illiterate and<br />

politically toxic. Let’s give <strong>the</strong> responsibility for sound<br />

public economics back to <strong>the</strong> capitals so <strong>the</strong>y cannot<br />

shift blame for <strong>the</strong>ir irresponsible ideas to anyone<br />

else again. By combining short-term measures with<br />

long-term measures, we could also remove moral<br />

hazard from <strong>the</strong> equation.<br />

We need a sound and healthy Eurozone, which<br />

is a source of strength instead of political division for<br />

our continent to be relevant. But maybe even more,<br />

we need to mature and expand our understanding<br />

of our collective interests from narrow national to<br />

geopolitical definitions.<br />

59


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Going Viral: COVID-19’s<br />

Harsh Lessons<br />

By Mitchell Belfer<br />

When <strong>the</strong> history of COVID-19<br />

is written, its authors will not<br />

only judge <strong>the</strong> process of<br />

contagion, mortality rates and economic<br />

paralyses; <strong>the</strong>y will also account for <strong>the</strong><br />

triple crises of trust, governance and<br />

globalism. Many assumptions have<br />

simply been shattered while o<strong>the</strong>rs —<br />

such as suicidal dependency — have<br />

been confirmed. It may be in vogue to<br />

debate whe<strong>the</strong>r or not COVID-19 is eradefining;<br />

if it is a watershed moment that<br />

will change <strong>the</strong> trajectory of history, but<br />

this is all speculation. Instead of focusing<br />

on some distant, ill-defined future, it is<br />

important to deal with <strong>the</strong> here and now:<br />

what went wrong and what is being done<br />

to correct it?<br />

COVID-19 has evolved from a virus<br />

into a way of thinking. It entered <strong>the</strong> public<br />

lexicon as synonymous with quarantine,<br />

social distancing and lockdown. It has been<br />

used to empower some, disempower<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rs, spread fear and confusion. It has<br />

poisoned debate and placed obstacles<br />

in front of collective solutions. In some<br />

places, like Iran, COVID-19 is deployed to<br />

galvanise governing cliques <strong>by</strong> deflecting<br />

responsibility—usually to archnemeses<br />

and foreigners. The radical right in <strong>the</strong> US<br />

60 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Mitchell Belfer<br />

President of <strong>the</strong><br />

Euro-Gulf Information<br />

Centre (Rome, Italy),<br />

Senior Lecturer in<br />

International Relations,<br />

Terrorism and Security<br />

at <strong>the</strong> Metropolitan<br />

University Prague<br />

(Czech Republic) and<br />

Editor in Chief of <strong>the</strong><br />

Central European<br />

Journal of International<br />

and Security Studies.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

and Europe have been similarly energised.<br />

All in all, COVID-19 is a health condition that<br />

affects human and political bodies.<br />

In Europe, this is compounded <strong>by</strong> a<br />

crisis of trust. Trust in public information,<br />

trust in government strategies and trust in<br />

allies, are all waning. If <strong>the</strong> polls are correct,<br />

Italians now have a fairly unfavourable<br />

view of <strong>the</strong> EU and Germany because of<br />

<strong>the</strong> misperception that nei<strong>the</strong>r did enough<br />

to help it in its darkest hours. This is, of<br />

course, erroneous, but without a sustained<br />

corrective information blitz, it has anchored<br />

in <strong>the</strong> public eye. Piranhas will, of course,<br />

exploit <strong>the</strong> information gaps. China — in a<br />

bid to rehabilitate its public image — has<br />

gone on a charm offensive, so-called mask<br />

diplomacy, delivering protective gear while<br />

disseminating confused narratives as to<br />

<strong>the</strong> root causes of <strong>the</strong> pandemic. Similarly,<br />

questions as to <strong>the</strong> lack of preparation<br />

and <strong>the</strong> unwanted dependency on China<br />

and India for vital medicines and medical<br />

equipment has many asking how something<br />

as central as healthcare could be hollowed<br />

<strong>by</strong> neglect and corruption.<br />

There are always exceptions to <strong>the</strong> rule,<br />

but in this case, few and far apart—at least<br />

in Europe. O<strong>the</strong>r regions have fared better<br />

in rapidly responding, keeping abreast<br />

of <strong>the</strong> situation, ensuring that adequate<br />

supplies and information reached <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

citizens. For instance, <strong>the</strong> states of <strong>the</strong><br />

Arab Gulf and East Asia were much better<br />

prepared, and equipped, to handle a<br />

pandemic like COVID-19—it shows in <strong>the</strong><br />

numbers. A sample from both regions<br />

is illustrative. As of 24 April, Singapore’s<br />

coronavirus deaths were 12, South Korea<br />

240, Japan 328 and in <strong>the</strong> Gulf, Bahrain 8,<br />

Saudi Arabia 127 and <strong>the</strong> UAE 64. So what<br />

happened? Why, for instance, has Italy lost<br />

nearly 26000 people, Spain 23000, France<br />

22000 and <strong>the</strong> UK 20000?<br />

The answer may be found in <strong>the</strong><br />

relationship between governance<br />

and globalism. For all <strong>the</strong> promise of<br />

globalisation, <strong>the</strong> interconnectivity,<br />

transboundary networks, free flow of<br />

goods, services and ideas, most people’s<br />

needs are still serviced <strong>by</strong> local actors and<br />

flavoured with local spice. Often, where<br />

trust in government is high, citizens accept<br />

certain limitations for <strong>the</strong> collective good.<br />

They follow national decrees not because<br />

of <strong>the</strong> risk of fines or o<strong>the</strong>r sanctions but<br />

because <strong>the</strong>y feel an individual sense of<br />

responsibility towards <strong>the</strong>ir state. The<br />

rewards are a more comprehensive<br />

approach for confronting <strong>the</strong> pandemic. In<br />

<strong>the</strong> cases of Singapore, Bahrain and Sweden<br />

this took <strong>the</strong> form of state sponsored<br />

testing, <strong>the</strong> construction of coronavirus<br />

only medical facilities and important<br />

information campaigns that explain policy<br />

choices and provide contingency support.<br />

Task Forces were formed and assumed<br />

responsibility for implementation. Trust is<br />

key so when <strong>the</strong> Task Force asks people to<br />

self-quarantine, to accept lockdowns and<br />

separation from loved ones, people follow<br />

instructions because <strong>the</strong>y trust <strong>the</strong> motives.<br />

In places where trust is low, decrees are<br />

met with scepticism and rejection and case<br />

numbers are reflective.<br />

COVID-19 may be a global crisis, but<br />

it is being fought on <strong>the</strong> local level. Each<br />

state must do its part to ensure that o<strong>the</strong>rs<br />

— proximate or not — do not suffer as a<br />

result of ill-informed policy choices. This<br />

means learning <strong>the</strong> lessons of o<strong>the</strong>rs…and<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are plenty of lessons to be learned.<br />

The German experience teaches that precrisis<br />

intensive care units need to include<br />

advanced respiratory capabilities, in <strong>the</strong><br />

UAE attention was paid to early warning<br />

and disinfection, Singapore was about<br />

speed and effective quarantine, Bahrain’s<br />

strategy rested on information being<br />

quickly transformed into policy coupled<br />

with testing, testing, testing while Sweden<br />

adopted early social distancing and relied<br />

on its well-equipped medical services as<br />

it races towards ‘herd immunity.’ This is<br />

a snapshot. Lessons abound as long as<br />

people are interested in learning <strong>the</strong>m.<br />

Hindsight, <strong>the</strong>y say, is 20:20. So far,<br />

our 2020 has been a transcendental<br />

experience. Friedrich Nietzsche spoke of<br />

<strong>the</strong> first law of war being ‘what does not kill<br />

you makes you stronger.’ COVID-19 nei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

kills nor impairs <strong>the</strong> overwhelming majority<br />

of those who contract it and has <strong>the</strong> ability<br />

of streng<strong>the</strong>ning <strong>Our</strong> <strong>World</strong> through <strong>the</strong><br />

turning of two keys: towards enhanced<br />

communication and collaboration between<br />

states, scientists, civilians. We have <strong>the</strong><br />

tools, now we need <strong>the</strong> thinking.<br />

61


POLITICAL ECONOMY OF A PANDEMIC<br />

A Green Recovery<br />

By Dirk Schoenmaker<br />

Dirk<br />

Schoenmaker<br />

Non-Resident<br />

Fellow at Bruegel-<br />

Professor of Banking<br />

and Finance at<br />

Rotterdam School<br />

of Management,<br />

Erasmus University<br />

Rotterdam- Research<br />

Fellow at <strong>the</strong> Centre<br />

for European Policy<br />

Research (CEPR).<br />

Government policy faces various<br />

challenges. Before <strong>the</strong> COVID-19<br />

outbreak, <strong>the</strong> European Union<br />

set ambitious targets to reduce carbon<br />

emissions. Now in <strong>the</strong> midst of <strong>the</strong> pandemic,<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU has temporarily lifted state-aid rules<br />

allowing governments to steer companies<br />

through <strong>the</strong> crisis and to minimise job losses<br />

using public money. This column suggests<br />

combining <strong>the</strong>se policies <strong>by</strong> attaching green<br />

conditions to state aid. In that way, we can<br />

aim for a green recovery.<br />

Governments have multiple goals<br />

including economic growth, social<br />

inclusion and environmental preservation<br />

(Schoenmaker, 2020). The COVID-19<br />

pandemic has had a sharp negative impact on<br />

<strong>the</strong> economic and social fronts (deteriorating<br />

health, reduced income and job losses). By<br />

contrast, environmental performance is<br />

ironically improving, as carbon emissions<br />

and materials use decline because of<br />

reduced production and transport during <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 lockdowns. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> precrisis<br />

levels of environmental degradation are<br />

likely to return when <strong>the</strong> lockdowns are lifted<br />

and economic growth resumes.<br />

But it doesn’t have to be this way.<br />

Governments, in particular in Europe with <strong>the</strong><br />

Green Deal, have been working on <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

and circular transition in <strong>the</strong> medium term.<br />

By attaching green conditions when granting<br />

state aid and guarantees during <strong>the</strong> COVID-19<br />

crisis, governments could push companies to<br />

accelerate <strong>the</strong> adoption of low-carbon and<br />

circular technologies after <strong>the</strong> crisis is over,<br />

and thus aim for a green recovery.<br />

The European Commission (2020a) has<br />

temporarily lifted state-aid control rules to<br />

ensure that <strong>the</strong> disruptions caused <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 pandemic do not undermine <strong>the</strong><br />

economic viability of companies. State aid<br />

can take <strong>the</strong> form of wage subsidies, tax and<br />

social contributions relief, financial support,<br />

and loans and guarantees via banks. By limiting<br />

unnecessary company failures and job<br />

losses, <strong>the</strong> Commission aims rightly for a swift<br />

economic recovery after <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 pandemic<br />

is ended. Meanwhile, several countries<br />

have pledged large state-aid packages to steer<br />

companies through <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 crisis.<br />

Green state aid<br />

Both economic and environmental viability<br />

are important for companies’ survival in <strong>the</strong><br />

long run. Green conditions for companies<br />

that receive state aid will change <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

business models. It will also affect market<br />

outcomes. To allow <strong>the</strong> smooth functioning<br />

of <strong>the</strong> internal market, we suggest <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

that <strong>the</strong> Commission designs and monitors<br />

green conditions as part of <strong>the</strong>ir temporary<br />

framework for state aid measures during <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 pandemic (European Commission,<br />

2020a).<br />

The green conditions can be based on<br />

<strong>the</strong> Green Deal targets to reduce carbon<br />

emissions in 2030 <strong>by</strong> at least 50% and in 2050<br />

<strong>by</strong> 100% (ie carbon neutrality), compared<br />

with 1990 (European Commission, 2019).<br />

In addition, new targets are set for <strong>the</strong><br />

design of sustainable products and circular<br />

production processes to reduce <strong>the</strong> use of<br />

virgin materials in <strong>the</strong> new Circular Economy<br />

Action Plan (European Commission, 2020b).<br />

When granting state aid, governments should<br />

require companies to implement <strong>the</strong>se<br />

reduction targets for carbon emissions and<br />

materials usage in <strong>the</strong>ir business models after<br />

<strong>the</strong> crisis. In this way, state aid expenditures<br />

will not only promote <strong>the</strong> economic viability<br />

of companies, but also <strong>the</strong>ir environmental<br />

viability. This will accelerate <strong>the</strong> adoption of<br />

low-carbon and circular technologies.<br />

Companies are struggling for survival<br />

and need to receive <strong>the</strong> state aid quickly.<br />

To reduce <strong>the</strong> upfront administrative<br />

burden, governments can choose to apply<br />

a light green test when granting <strong>the</strong> state<br />

aid, combined with a tougher green test ex<br />

post. If a company breaches <strong>the</strong> agreed<br />

green conditions, <strong>the</strong> state aid would have<br />

to be partly or fully repaid, depending on<br />

<strong>the</strong> severity of <strong>the</strong> breach. We also propose<br />

to target key sectors that are carbon- and<br />

material-intensive to keep bureaucracy to a<br />

minimum.<br />

The following sectors have relatively high<br />

carbon and material footprints (Schoenmaker<br />

and Schramade, 2019):<br />

• Transportation: road, air and water<br />

transport are predominantly fossil-fuel driven;<br />

• Manufacturing: many manufacturers<br />

still employ energy- and material-intensive<br />

technologies;<br />

• Construction: many builders still use nonrecyclable<br />

and energy-intensive materials,<br />

such as cement;<br />

62 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

• Energy: <strong>the</strong> shift from fossil-fuels to renewable energy is<br />

very gradual.<br />

Examples<br />

An earlier example of state aid with green conditions was <strong>the</strong><br />

support for <strong>the</strong> American car industry during <strong>the</strong> Global Financial<br />

Crisis. President Obama (2009) granted large sums of state aid to<br />

General Motors on <strong>the</strong> condition that <strong>the</strong> company accelerated<br />

<strong>the</strong> development of an electric car. General Motors now has<br />

several electric cars in its range.<br />

Current examples include state aid to <strong>the</strong> severely affected<br />

airline and travel industries. Airlines could be requested to<br />

speed up investment in carbon-efficient aircraft after <strong>the</strong> crisis,<br />

while airline manufacturers could be requested to speed up<br />

<strong>the</strong> development of such carbon-efficient and carbon-neutral<br />

aircraft. Travel companies, such as TUI, which received €1.8 billion<br />

in state aid from Germany, could be asked to reduce <strong>the</strong>ir carbon<br />

footprints <strong>by</strong> 50% <strong>by</strong> 2030. They can achieve such reductions <strong>by</strong><br />

offering <strong>the</strong>ir clients more carbon-efficient air travel and greater<br />

usage of train travel.<br />

Banks can set similar green conditions when extending<br />

loans to <strong>the</strong>ir borrowers in <strong>the</strong>se sectors (with or without public<br />

guarantee) during <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 crisis. The underlying arguments<br />

are <strong>the</strong> same: economically and environmentally viable<br />

companies carry a lower credit risk. Leading banks already have<br />

experience with applying green lending criteria (Schoenmaker<br />

and Schramade, 2019).<br />

From old to new sectors<br />

Some high-carbon companies and sectors might find it difficult<br />

to adapt to <strong>the</strong> new low-carbon and circular environment.<br />

These companies or sectors (such as <strong>the</strong> fossil-fuel sector) are<br />

reminiscent of <strong>the</strong> European textile and shipping sectors in <strong>the</strong><br />

1990s. These sectors received state aid, which only delayed <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

disappearance. To avoid repeating <strong>the</strong>se mistakes, governments<br />

should not provide state aid or guarantees to sectors that are<br />

economically or environmentally not viable in <strong>the</strong> medium term.<br />

In <strong>the</strong>se cases, governments must use <strong>the</strong>ir resources to<br />

retrain <strong>the</strong> workers. While <strong>the</strong> kneejerk reaction of governments<br />

is often to help <strong>the</strong> business that is in trouble and/or to protect<br />

<strong>the</strong> jobs involved, it is better to focus on helping <strong>the</strong> people –<br />

retraining and finding new employment – and changing <strong>the</strong><br />

system. The Danish labour market, for example, is known for<br />

its high level of flexibility when hiring, social welfare system and<br />

active employment policies. Toge<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong>se three components<br />

constitute what is known as <strong>the</strong> ‘Flexicurity Model’ (Jespersen et<br />

al, 2008).<br />

There is also a direct role for governments <strong>the</strong>mselves in<br />

sectors that rely heavily on public investment and/or planning<br />

procedures, including <strong>the</strong> energy, transport and building sectors.<br />

Birol (2020) proposed to speed up <strong>the</strong> energy transition <strong>by</strong><br />

putting clean energy jobs at <strong>the</strong> heart of stimulus packages.<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r opportunities would be to expand public transit systems,<br />

including a European network of high-speed trains, and<br />

stimulating circular construction practices, which also require<br />

newly trained workers. Retraining efforts can also be (partly)<br />

directed to <strong>the</strong>se areas.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

To speed up recovery after <strong>the</strong> Global Financial Crisis, several<br />

countries shortened planning procedures to advance large<br />

building and infrastructure projects. Accordingly, governments<br />

can speed up <strong>the</strong> planning and execution of renewable energy<br />

projects (both power generation and distribution), public<br />

transport projects (replacing road and air travel) and circular<br />

building projects.<br />

Governments are rightly compiling state aid packages to<br />

promote a swift recovery after <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 pandemic is ended.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> four recommendations to foster a green recovery are:<br />

• Apply green conditions to state aid for companies in sectors<br />

with high carbon and/or material footprints;<br />

• Apply similar green conditions to new and extended bank<br />

loans (with or without public guarantees) to <strong>the</strong>se sectors;<br />

• Refuse state aid for companies and sectors that are not<br />

able or willing to adopt low-carbon and circular technologies,<br />

and retrain <strong>the</strong>ir workers for new employment;<br />

• Speed up planning procedures for renewable energy, public<br />

transit and circular building projects and infrastructures.<br />

References<br />

Birol, F. (2020), ‘How to make <strong>the</strong> economic recovery from<br />

coronavirus an environmentally sustainable one’, Prospect, 24<br />

March.<br />

European Commission (2019), ‘The European Green<br />

Deal’, Communication from <strong>the</strong> Commission to <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Parliament and <strong>the</strong> European Council, COM(2019) 640 final,<br />

Brussels.<br />

European Commission (2020a), ‘Temporary Framework<br />

for State aid measures to support <strong>the</strong> economy in <strong>the</strong> current<br />

COVID-19 outbreak’, Communication from <strong>the</strong> Commission,<br />

COM(2020) 1863 final, Brussels.<br />

European Commission (2020b), ‘A new Circular Economy<br />

Action Plan For a cleaner and more competitive Europe’,<br />

Communication from <strong>the</strong> Commission, COM(2020) 98 final,<br />

Brussels.<br />

Jespersen, S., J. Munch, and L. Skipper (2008), ‘Costs and<br />

benefits of Danish active labour market programmes’, Labour<br />

Economics, 15(5): 859-884.<br />

Obama, B. (2009), ‘Remarks <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> President on <strong>the</strong> American<br />

Automotive Industry’, Transcript of Press Conference, 30 March,<br />

Washington DC. Available at: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.<br />

gov/<strong>the</strong>-press-office/remarks-president-american-automotiveindustry-33009.<br />

Schoenmaker, D. and W. Schramade (2019), Principles of<br />

Sustainable Finance, Oxford University Press, Oxford.<br />

Schoenmaker, D. (2020), ‘The Caring Economy: Balancing<br />

Profit and Impact’, Working Paper. Available at: https://papers.<br />

ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3567026<br />

Republishing and referencing<br />

Bruegel considers itself a public good and takes no institutional<br />

standpoint. Anyone is free to republish and/or quote this post<br />

without prior consent. Please provide a full reference, clearly<br />

stating Bruegel and <strong>the</strong> relevant author as <strong>the</strong> source, and include<br />

a prominent hyperlink to <strong>the</strong> original post.<br />

A version of this article has been published <strong>by</strong> bruegel.org on April 6, 2020<br />

Original link: https://www.bruegel.org/2020/04/a-green-recovery/<br />

63


<strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

Impact<br />

of a Global<br />

Problem


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

We Need a Global Solution,<br />

a Global Response to Ensure a Better<br />

Handling of Future Breakouts<br />

By Adrian Delia<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Since <strong>the</strong> turn of <strong>the</strong> century, humankind went<br />

through three seismic events: <strong>the</strong> attack on<br />

<strong>the</strong> Twin Towers in New York on September<br />

11, 2001; <strong>the</strong> 2008 collapse of Lehman Bro<strong>the</strong>rs that<br />

triggered <strong>the</strong> worst financial crisis in living memory;<br />

and <strong>the</strong> ongoing Coronavirus pandemic.<br />

The attack on <strong>the</strong> Twin Towers was a politically<br />

motivated event with economic undertones, mainly<br />

on <strong>the</strong> travel and tourism sectors. The emergence of<br />

low-cost travel and <strong>the</strong> radical overhaul of security<br />

measures in airports are two factors that know <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

origin to that fateful day. The September 11 attacks<br />

66 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

also resulted in major wars, political upheaval<br />

and unrest in different parts of <strong>the</strong> globe. It<br />

resulted in a sustained increase in terrorist<br />

attacks.<br />

The collapse of Lehman Bro<strong>the</strong>rs was<br />

an economic event with immense social<br />

undertones. Six million jobs were lost in <strong>the</strong><br />

United States pushing up unemployment <strong>by</strong><br />

10%. The impact was so massive that it was felt<br />

around <strong>the</strong> world. Greece and o<strong>the</strong>r countries<br />

were pushed towards financial ruin.<br />

We are now living through <strong>the</strong> third major<br />

crisis. It is too early to determine what <strong>the</strong><br />

repercussions of COVID-19 are going to be. It<br />

is said, however, that <strong>the</strong> world’s economy is<br />

going to take a huge knock with IMF pointing<br />

to a possible meltdown equal to <strong>the</strong> Great<br />

Depression.<br />

We are starting to see some light at <strong>the</strong> end<br />

of <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 tunnel. Moving forward, we<br />

should look at how <strong>the</strong> world reacted to <strong>the</strong><br />

two previous seismic events. What lessons can<br />

we learn from <strong>the</strong> aftermath of <strong>the</strong> previous<br />

two events?<br />

The first important lesson is that change of<br />

this magnitude is irreversible. Life will never<br />

be <strong>the</strong> same again. We are heading towards a<br />

new norm. It is a new norm that will redefine<br />

how we live, interact and do business. <strong>Our</strong><br />

businesses have to adapt to <strong>the</strong>se new norms.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> process, <strong>the</strong>re will be winners and losers.<br />

The second lesson is that global events<br />

require global solutions. A global solution is<br />

one that is arrived at with <strong>the</strong> involvement of<br />

every nation and benefits every nation. Nonglobal<br />

solutions, that is solutions that put <strong>the</strong><br />

interest of one country or a group of countries<br />

interests over <strong>the</strong> interests of <strong>the</strong> rest, will<br />

simply create new problems and move <strong>the</strong><br />

international community away from <strong>the</strong> elusive<br />

goal of universal peace and security.<br />

The third lesson is that solutions cannot<br />

be based simply on economic or financial<br />

considerations. Socio-political considerations<br />

are, at <strong>the</strong> very least, equally important as are<br />

environmental considerations. The root of<br />

political unrest is hunger and poverty as a result<br />

of environmental degradation. Political unrest<br />

is fuelling terrorism, war, irregular migration<br />

which, in turn, creates more widespread<br />

political unrest. If we are to break this cycle, we<br />

need holistic solutions. Trying to stop irregular<br />

migration without attacking <strong>the</strong> root cause of<br />

<strong>the</strong> problem will not work.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

Adrian Delia<br />

Leader of <strong>the</strong><br />

Opposition in Malta<br />

& Leader of <strong>the</strong><br />

Nationalist Party<br />

If we want to transform <strong>the</strong> current<br />

Coronavirus challenge into an opportunity, we<br />

can and should learn from <strong>the</strong>se experiences<br />

and apply <strong>the</strong>m as we go forward. From now<br />

on, we are going to be conditioned <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

threat of pandemics. We <strong>the</strong>refore need a<br />

global solution, a global response to ensure<br />

a better handling of future breakouts. The<br />

solution should cater to various aspects of <strong>the</strong><br />

problem. How can we improve our health care<br />

systems to deal with such emergencies? How<br />

can we streng<strong>the</strong>n our financial and economic<br />

institutions to lessen <strong>the</strong> impact on jobs and<br />

businesses? How can we speed up <strong>the</strong> process<br />

of identifying cures and vaccines? How can we<br />

improve life in lockdown situations, to limit<br />

stress on segments of <strong>the</strong> population and on<br />

businesses? How can we improve mankind’s<br />

immunity system? These are <strong>the</strong> kind of<br />

questions that need to be asked and tackled<br />

<strong>by</strong> communities, at a national level but most<br />

of all globally.<br />

There is also ano<strong>the</strong>r essential dimension<br />

that is particular to this crisis. Coronavirus<br />

has effectively reduced pollution globally.<br />

The extent of this reduction has not yet been<br />

calculated but <strong>the</strong> severe reduction in travel<br />

<strong>by</strong> air, car and o<strong>the</strong>r modes of transport<br />

has resulted in a decrease in pollution and<br />

greenhouse gas emissions across continents<br />

and countries. It is impossible, certainly in <strong>the</strong><br />

short run, to sustain this level of reduction in<br />

pollution once economic activity returns to <strong>the</strong><br />

new normal. However, now that we know that it<br />

is possible for <strong>the</strong> world to function differently,<br />

can we make it our aim, our goal, to seriously<br />

tackle <strong>the</strong> Sword of Damocles that has been<br />

hanging over our collective heads for <strong>the</strong> past<br />

decades? I am referring, of course, to global<br />

warming. The change was forced on us. We<br />

need to make part of that change permanent.<br />

We need it to ensure our survival and <strong>the</strong><br />

survival of o<strong>the</strong>r species on this planet.<br />

Change is never easy, more so when it<br />

comes in <strong>the</strong> form of a pandemic. But we can,<br />

indeed we must take away positives from<br />

a negative. This is ano<strong>the</strong>r chapter in <strong>the</strong><br />

evolution of humankind. It is a chapter that<br />

will continue in <strong>the</strong> years to come. Let us be<br />

prepared for it. Let us not fear it but use it to<br />

better ourselves. Let this calamity bind us and<br />

forge us closer toge<strong>the</strong>r. For this is <strong>the</strong> most<br />

important lesson of all. Toge<strong>the</strong>r makes us<br />

stronger.<br />

67


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

Uzbekistan’s Emergence<br />

onto <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> Stage<br />

By Sardor Umurzakov<br />

Sardor<br />

Umurzakov<br />

Deputy Prime-<br />

Minister, Minister<br />

of Investments &<br />

Foreign Trade of<br />

Uzbekistan and is also<br />

<strong>the</strong> Co-Chair of <strong>the</strong><br />

Supervisory Board of<br />

Europe-Uzbekistan<br />

Association for<br />

Economic Cooperation<br />

(EUROUZ)<br />

The past three years, a monumental shift<br />

has been rapidly happening in Uzbekistan.<br />

A shift that has today touched upon every<br />

single aspect of life in country and every single<br />

person in it. An economic opening under President<br />

Shavkat Mirziyoyev, after years of economic<br />

stagnation, coupled with a generational shift,<br />

which is now shaping <strong>the</strong> future of possibly <strong>the</strong><br />

entire Central Asian region. The opportunities<br />

for co-operation, investments and trade are now<br />

<strong>the</strong>re for <strong>the</strong> taking.<br />

Parliamentary elections that took place in<br />

December 2019 returned a new parliament that is<br />

younger, fresher and more gender-balanced than<br />

ever before. For <strong>the</strong> first time, women-members<br />

reached <strong>the</strong> 30 percent quota of seats that had<br />

long been constitutionally promised <strong>the</strong>m. The<br />

upshot is an energised policymaking sphere in<br />

Uzbekistan that reflects younger generations’<br />

hunger for change. Over 65% of Uzbekistan’s 34<br />

million-strong population today, is under 30 years<br />

of age. The average-aged member in our newly<br />

elected parliament was just a teenager when <strong>the</strong><br />

Soviet Union disintegrated in 1991. Their fading<br />

memories of <strong>the</strong> past have helped to sweep away<br />

old orthodoxies and build a new consensus for<br />

managing <strong>the</strong> economy and our social relations:<br />

one that is more tolerant and open to <strong>the</strong> entire<br />

world.<br />

Young people growing up in Uzbekistan’s<br />

cities today have more opportunities to succeed<br />

than ever before, through education, jobs in<br />

industries that did not even exist in <strong>the</strong> country<br />

only a few years ago and most importantly, <strong>the</strong><br />

freedom to express <strong>the</strong>mselves. Access to <strong>the</strong><br />

internet, extensive interactions on social media<br />

and exposure to modern globalised culture have<br />

made young people in <strong>the</strong> country feel more<br />

connected to <strong>the</strong> world. The recent surge in<br />

international tourism into Uzbekistan shows that<br />

<strong>the</strong> world is also interested in Uzbekistan. The<br />

cities of Bukhara, Samarkand & Khiva, jewels of <strong>the</strong><br />

ancient Silk Road trading routes, are welcoming<br />

global travellers in numbers never seen in <strong>the</strong> past.<br />

Today, <strong>the</strong> visa-free entry regime is extended to<br />

nationals of 85 counties with additional citizens of<br />

77 benefiting from a simplified e-visa procedure.<br />

When President Mirziyoyev came to power<br />

in December 2016, he pledged to create an<br />

inclusive and diversified economy, <strong>by</strong> liberalising<br />

<strong>the</strong> country’s social, political and economic makeup.<br />

Reforms to tackle gender inequality and boost<br />

women’s participation in <strong>the</strong> economy were a key<br />

priority area for unlocking future growth. Today<br />

<strong>the</strong> chairperson of Uzbekistan’s upper chamber<br />

of Parliament is a woman. In 2019, even before<br />

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<strong>the</strong> parliamentary election, we saw some<br />

impressive legislative achievements to<br />

address gender discrimination & ensure<br />

equal rights in <strong>the</strong> workplace as well as<br />

a separate law to tackle gender-based<br />

violence and domestic abuse against<br />

women.<br />

In just over three short years, media<br />

and political freedoms have seen a<br />

previously unprecedented expansion. An<br />

ecosystem of domestic Uzbek and Russianlanguage<br />

media outlets is flourishing,<br />

and foreign media organisations that<br />

previously had trouble getting licences to<br />

operate in <strong>the</strong> country, are now welcomed.<br />

International calls for <strong>the</strong> release of<br />

political prisoners and <strong>the</strong> closure of<br />

prisons of <strong>the</strong> past have been met,<br />

while recent improvements to religious<br />

protections have been commended <strong>by</strong><br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

<strong>the</strong> USCIRF. The International Labour<br />

Organization has also confirmed that<br />

Uzbekistan has totally eradicated systemic<br />

child labour in its cotton industry.<br />

Although much more remains to<br />

be done in coming years, significant<br />

progress towards greater freedom and<br />

transparency is crystal clear. Uzbekistan’s<br />

direction of travel is firmly established<br />

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and relentlessly led forward <strong>by</strong> President<br />

Shavkat Mirziyoyev.<br />

Economic reforms, meanwhile, have<br />

sparked a rush of business activity in <strong>the</strong><br />

country. The scaling back of regulations,<br />

simplification of taxation and <strong>the</strong> breakup<br />

of state monopolies have incentivised<br />

a wave of business creation. Young<br />

entrepreneurs, many of whom are<br />

women, are leading <strong>the</strong> charge.<br />

While working closely with all key<br />

IFI’s on economic & structural reforms in<br />

<strong>the</strong> country, we are strongly focused on<br />

securing international investment to help<br />

modernise Uzbekistan’s key industries,<br />

especially agriculture & textile production,<br />

which remain key growth objectives for<br />

<strong>the</strong> economy. With a youthful population<br />

and an abundance of arable land as well<br />

as high-quality added value potential, <strong>the</strong>y<br />

have all <strong>the</strong> ingredients for rapid & longterm<br />

growth.<br />

The lifting of capital and currency<br />

controls, and wider market reforms,<br />

have piqued <strong>the</strong> interest of international<br />

investors. Efforts to streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> rule<br />

of law and provide legal guarantees for<br />

foreign investors, led <strong>by</strong> a British-educated<br />

justice minister, have sent a clear signal to<br />

<strong>the</strong> West that Uzbekistan means business.<br />

As Uzbekistan expands its horizons,<br />

building platforms and networks between<br />

Uzbek companies and international<br />

partners is essential. The establishment<br />

of <strong>the</strong> Europe-Uzbekistan Association<br />

for Economic Cooperation (EUROUZ) in<br />

Brussels – an organisation I co-chair on<br />

<strong>the</strong> Uzbekistan side – is one such initiative<br />

that aims to build closer economic<br />

relationships & mutual understanding<br />

between Europe and Uzbekistan. The<br />

message from organisations like EUROUZ<br />

is clear: <strong>the</strong> country is open and attractive<br />

for business.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> time being, in <strong>the</strong> face of <strong>the</strong><br />

coronavirus, <strong>the</strong> health and wellbeing of<br />

Uzbekistan’s people takes precedence<br />

over all economic concerns. Lockdown<br />

measures enacted as soon as first<br />

COVID-19 cases emerged, have helped<br />

to quickly curtail its spread. But while <strong>the</strong><br />

pandemic may have tested Uzbekistan’s<br />

growth, it has not dampened our desire<br />

for change. As economic activity rebounds<br />

in <strong>the</strong> third and fourth quarters of this<br />

year, <strong>the</strong> case for accelerating political<br />

and economic reforms will only have<br />

grown stronger. What is clear to see is<br />

that young people in Uzbekistan, men<br />

and women, are connected to bring our<br />

country to its future. Europe should seize<br />

<strong>the</strong> moment and look eastward. Toge<strong>the</strong>r<br />

with Uzbekistan it can lead <strong>the</strong> way to a<br />

more prosperous and stable future for<br />

Eurasia and beyond.<br />

69


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

What We Can Learn<br />

from Viruses and <strong>Our</strong><br />

Efforts to Defeat Them<br />

Michel Zaffran<br />

& Judith Diment<br />

Michel Zaffran:<br />

Director of Polio<br />

Eradication at <strong>World</strong><br />

Health Organization<br />

Judith Diment:<br />

Coordinator of<br />

National Advocacy<br />

Advisors at Rotary<br />

International<br />

COVID-19 is not <strong>the</strong> first pandemic to<br />

wreak havoc on a massive scale. The<br />

2003 SARS pandemic shocked <strong>the</strong> world,<br />

and o<strong>the</strong>r international outbreaks, such<br />

as polio and Ebola, have changed <strong>the</strong><br />

way we think about public health. But<br />

COVID-19, with its global scope and<br />

rapid spread, has upended our way of<br />

life.<br />

We have both <strong>the</strong> capacity and<br />

expertise to take on public health<br />

emergencies, and enhance our<br />

preparation against future threats. A<br />

case in point is <strong>the</strong> clear, comprehensive<br />

strategy deployed against poliovirus.<br />

Like COVID-19, polio meets <strong>the</strong> WHO<br />

criteria for a public health emergency of<br />

international concern. Like COVID-19,<br />

polio once terrorized communities<br />

around <strong>the</strong> world – until effective<br />

vaccines were developed.<br />

In 1985 Rotary International, a<br />

global volunteer service organization,<br />

decided to fight polio. This led to <strong>the</strong><br />

launch of a global effort, <strong>the</strong> Global Polio<br />

Eradication Initiative (GPEI) consisting of<br />

Rotary International, <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> Health<br />

Organization, U.S. Centers for Disease<br />

Control and Prevention, and UNICEF (<strong>the</strong><br />

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and<br />

Gavi, <strong>the</strong> Vaccine Alliance, later joined<br />

<strong>the</strong> partnership).<br />

When <strong>the</strong> GPEI formed in 1988,<br />

<strong>the</strong>re were 350,000 polio cases a year<br />

in 125 countries. Today <strong>the</strong> effort<br />

has resulted in a 99.9% reduction in<br />

cases. Today, only two countries in <strong>the</strong><br />

world continue to report cases of wild<br />

poliovirus (Pakistan and Afghanistan).<br />

Almost 19 million people are walking<br />

today because <strong>the</strong>y were immunized<br />

and 1.5 million polio-related deaths<br />

have been averted since 1988.<br />

The polio experience has a unique<br />

capacity to contribute to <strong>the</strong> COVID-19<br />

pandemic response, particularly in<br />

countries with fragile health systems.<br />

The GPEI is <strong>the</strong>refore placing <strong>the</strong><br />

infrastructure built to eradicate polio at<br />

70 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

<strong>the</strong> service of <strong>the</strong> fight against COVID.<br />

Three key strategies have carried us to<br />

<strong>the</strong> brink of eradicating a human disease<br />

for only <strong>the</strong> second time in history.<br />

First, <strong>the</strong> deployment of community<br />

health care workers has been instrumental.<br />

Many of <strong>the</strong>se health workers are women,<br />

as <strong>the</strong>y are trusted to enter households<br />

and have <strong>the</strong> interactions with mo<strong>the</strong>rs<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

and children necessary to deliver primary<br />

healthcare services. Thousands of polio<br />

workers are now working to trace contacts<br />

and educate communities in response to<br />

COVID-19.<br />

Second, <strong>the</strong> logistics of eradicating<br />

global public health threats like COVID<br />

requires effective coordination. The<br />

development of Emergency Operations<br />

Centers (EOCs) has enabled governments<br />

to form <strong>the</strong> public health equivalent of a<br />

sophisticated ‘situation room’, and make<br />

decisions and assessments based on<br />

sound evidence provided in real time.<br />

Many polio EOCs are in active use to<br />

coordinate <strong>the</strong> COVID response.<br />

Third, a sophisticated surveillance<br />

network, identifying victims, tracing<br />

contacts, and monitoring <strong>the</strong> environment<br />

for poliovirus, enables <strong>the</strong> initiative to<br />

rapidly increase immunity in places where<br />

<strong>the</strong> virus is circulating.<br />

Borrowing from <strong>the</strong> polio program’s<br />

contact tracing tactics, <strong>the</strong> GPEI helped<br />

stop <strong>the</strong> Ebola outbreak in Nigeria in 2014<br />

and a yellow fever outbreak in 2018, and<br />

is now identifying individuals with--and<br />

stopping <strong>the</strong> spread of--COVID-19.<br />

While responding to COVID-19, <strong>the</strong><br />

GPEI will take every step possible to<br />

continue protecting children and avoid<br />

a resurgence of polio. We will continue<br />

to streng<strong>the</strong>n immunization in at-risk<br />

areas, maintain our vaccine supply so<br />

that campaigns can begin without delay as<br />

soon as it is safe and sustain surveillance<br />

to detect <strong>the</strong> poliovirus. The EU should be<br />

proud of <strong>the</strong> US$283 million it has invested<br />

in polio eradication since 1988 (plus an<br />

additional US$2.6 billion invested <strong>by</strong> EU<br />

member states including <strong>the</strong> UK), support<br />

which now offers value-added capacity for<br />

<strong>the</strong> COVID-19 response.<br />

It is vital that <strong>the</strong> EU continues to<br />

invest in <strong>the</strong> GPEI infrastructure, as it will<br />

enhance our ability to pre-empt, ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

than react to, future disease outbreaks.<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> GPEI has <strong>the</strong> advantage<br />

of a proven vaccine against polio, we<br />

can still learn from its methods, both in<br />

containing <strong>the</strong> spread of COVID-19 and in<br />

enhancing public immunity once a vaccine<br />

is discovered.<br />

As <strong>the</strong> EU and member states work to<br />

address <strong>the</strong> crisis, let’s remember that <strong>the</strong><br />

day will come again when planes, boats,<br />

trains and cars will carry people around<br />

<strong>the</strong> world, and viruses will travel with<br />

<strong>the</strong>m. The EU’s continued investment in<br />

<strong>the</strong> resources and infrastructure already<br />

in place will serve well in protecting us as<br />

a global community.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

71


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

Lessons from Australia<br />

By Hermann Tertsch<br />

Hermann<br />

Tertsch<br />

Spanish Member<br />

of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Parliament with <strong>the</strong><br />

ECR Group<br />

Europe and <strong>the</strong> US need <strong>the</strong><br />

Australian experience of <strong>the</strong><br />

Chinese threat.<br />

Europe, <strong>the</strong> United States and<br />

Australia have shared a common enemy<br />

for decades now, but unlike Australians<br />

most of <strong>the</strong> societies and governments<br />

in <strong>the</strong> Western <strong>World</strong> have lived ignoring<br />

this fact. Especially in Europe <strong>the</strong>re has<br />

been a very dangerous tendency of<br />

seeing all big foreign powers in <strong>the</strong> same<br />

light as neutral commercial partners. If<br />

<strong>the</strong>re had to be some suspicion it would<br />

always be directed towards USA ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

than to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r powers such as China.<br />

For decades, Europeans who felt <strong>the</strong>y<br />

were far enough in geographic terms<br />

but close enough in commercial ones,<br />

have ignored <strong>the</strong> warnings coming<br />

from our close cousins in <strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

Hemisphere about <strong>the</strong> threat that<br />

Communist China poses to <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

Perhaps because we are not in <strong>the</strong><br />

immediate line of sight we chose not to<br />

listen, or perhaps more likely, because<br />

we made <strong>the</strong> decision to turn a blind<br />

eye in order to continue feeding our<br />

appetite for cheap Chinese goods. We<br />

allowed our own dependence on China<br />

to cloud our vision when it came to our<br />

relationship with <strong>the</strong>m.<br />

Now Europe is finally waking up<br />

to <strong>the</strong> threat of China. The gross<br />

misconduct of <strong>the</strong> Chinese regime with<br />

<strong>the</strong> coronavirus and its catastrophic<br />

effects on <strong>the</strong> whole world has sent<br />

a profound shock round <strong>the</strong> global<br />

community. And despite <strong>the</strong> permanent<br />

waves of Chinese propaganda coming<br />

from official sources and its enormous<br />

network in <strong>the</strong> western world to obscure<br />

<strong>the</strong> genesis and fur<strong>the</strong>r development<br />

of <strong>the</strong> pandemic in Wuhan, Europeans<br />

are becoming aware of <strong>the</strong> necessity of<br />

profound changes in <strong>the</strong> relationship<br />

with China. We had almost forgotten,<br />

that our enormous commercial partner<br />

is a communist regime. Beijing’s<br />

obscurantist behaviour reminds<br />

everybody of this crucial fact.<br />

Now that we are aware of <strong>the</strong> urgent<br />

necessity to refocus our relationship<br />

with China, Europe has a lot to learn<br />

from Australia. We must ensure that we<br />

work closer than ever before with our<br />

allies in Australia and New Zealand. To<br />

learn from <strong>the</strong>m and build toge<strong>the</strong>r new<br />

ways of approaching this relation with a<br />

growingly expansionist and aggressive<br />

regime. A quarter of a century ago many<br />

thought that increasing wealth would<br />

bring in China a growing openness and<br />

an evolution towards a more tolerant<br />

and flexible regime and an opening<br />

for democracy and respect for human<br />

rights. Today we can say <strong>the</strong>se prospects<br />

have failed utterly.<br />

It is important in times like this<br />

for <strong>the</strong> democracies of <strong>the</strong> world to<br />

stand toge<strong>the</strong>r and defend our way<br />

of life. We need a thorough rethinking<br />

of our relations to Beijing from <strong>the</strong><br />

common ground of democratic states<br />

and free societies. China not only<br />

poses an economic threat, but an<br />

existential one to our belief in freedom<br />

and democracy. As well as exporting<br />

goods and finances, <strong>the</strong> Chinese are<br />

exporting <strong>the</strong>ir totalitarian model of<br />

government around <strong>the</strong> world. Offering<br />

an alternative to democracy, not only in<br />

developing countries. We need to join<br />

forces in order to make <strong>the</strong> case for<br />

democracy and free markets in <strong>the</strong>se<br />

places.<br />

This would also serve in <strong>the</strong> interest<br />

of both Europeans and Australians as it<br />

would create new markets to export too,<br />

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STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

and new opportunities to buy goods. Australia,<br />

unlike Europe, has a dependence on exports<br />

to China as well as imports. The EU could help<br />

alleviate some of that pressure <strong>by</strong> fast tracking<br />

<strong>the</strong> free trade agreement being negotiated<br />

between <strong>the</strong> two parties.<br />

By doing so <strong>the</strong> EU would prove two things<br />

– first that it is still serious about free trade with<br />

third countries, something that confidence in<br />

has fallen. And secondly, it would show that<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU was serious about ending China’s hold<br />

on <strong>the</strong> global market.<br />

Possible avenues for deepening <strong>the</strong><br />

relationship between Australia and Europe<br />

could include joint military exercises with NATO<br />

in <strong>the</strong> Pacific. NATO and Australia are already<br />

closely cooperating on cyber security. We face a<br />

new cold war against China, and we must make<br />

sure that <strong>the</strong> Western world does whatever it<br />

can to support its members.<br />

But economic and military alliances aren’t<br />

enough, like <strong>the</strong> Cold War, we must be winning<br />

<strong>the</strong> war of ideas as well. Throughout <strong>the</strong> Cold<br />

War, I worked as a journalist covering <strong>the</strong><br />

Eastern Bloc. I saw first-hand <strong>the</strong> brutality of<br />

<strong>the</strong> Soviet Regime and what Communism did<br />

for <strong>the</strong> people of Eastern Europe. The Cold War<br />

was not won on battle fields but in <strong>the</strong> hearts<br />

of <strong>the</strong> people and <strong>the</strong>ir will for freedom much<br />

mobilized first <strong>the</strong> polish workers, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong><br />

whole central and eastern Europe.<br />

We are facing a similar foe again today.<br />

The Chinese communist party, like <strong>the</strong> Soviet<br />

Union before it, has committed and commits<br />

permanently infinite crimes against its own<br />

people. From <strong>the</strong> use re-education camps in <strong>the</strong><br />

North West of <strong>the</strong> country, to mass surveillance<br />

on a scale unprecedented anywhere else in <strong>the</strong><br />

world.<br />

And just like <strong>the</strong> USSR before it, <strong>the</strong><br />

Chinese Communists most powerful weapon<br />

is misinformation. In <strong>the</strong> same way <strong>the</strong> Soviet<br />

Union tried to cover up <strong>the</strong> Cherno<strong>by</strong>l disaster,<br />

China is today covering up what happened in<br />

Wuhan. Whilst <strong>the</strong>y continue to insist that only<br />

3,000 died, <strong>the</strong> reality is much closer to 40,000.<br />

And just as <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union used to use<br />

support to its satellites as a cover for <strong>the</strong><br />

suppression of civil liberties, <strong>the</strong> Chinese are<br />

today trying to buy off western governments<br />

and western media with foreign aid. However,<br />

this propaganda has already backfired in<br />

many cases. In my own country, Spain, <strong>the</strong><br />

Chinese provided both face masks and testing<br />

equipment that didn’t work – at a loss to <strong>the</strong><br />

taxpayer. The same has happened all across<br />

Europe, and yet at home <strong>the</strong> Chinese are<br />

portraying it as a success. Australia has faced<br />

similar battles against Chinese propaganda in<br />

<strong>the</strong> past – and perhaps this is where Europe<br />

could learn more.<br />

When this crisis is finally over, we will all<br />

emerge into a totally different world. And my<br />

hope is that both Australia and Europe, in a firm<br />

alliance along with <strong>the</strong> United States, will finally<br />

start to hold China to account. And will have<br />

a common reinforced defence for contention<br />

that forces <strong>the</strong> Chinese regime to reform for <strong>the</strong><br />

better or at least contention in its ambitions.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

73


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Poland has Shown True<br />

European Solidarity<br />

By Carlo Fidanza<br />

74 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Carlo Fidanza<br />

Italian member of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament<br />

with <strong>the</strong> ECR Group<br />

The current global health crisis, brought about <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> spread of coronavirus<br />

has taken a heavy toll on Europe, especially on my own home country<br />

of Italy. So far, some 20,000 people have tragically lost <strong>the</strong>ir lives to<br />

COVID-19. Up and down <strong>the</strong> country, people mourn <strong>the</strong> loss of <strong>the</strong>ir mo<strong>the</strong>rs,<br />

fa<strong>the</strong>rs, grandparents, and in some limited tragic cases, <strong>the</strong>ir children. Perhaps<br />

at this point we can see a light at <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> tunnel and we know that we will<br />

finally overcome this crisis.<br />

No-one chose to fight this disease, and yet thanks to <strong>the</strong> criminal negligence of<br />

<strong>the</strong> Chinese Communist Party, we are forced to. However, we have taken comfort<br />

in knowing that we are not fighting this totally alone. We, here in Italy, are glad to<br />

know that we can count of <strong>the</strong> support of our friends in Poland.<br />

Since <strong>the</strong> start of this crisis, <strong>the</strong> Polish government and people have sent us<br />

a great deal of support. We are thankful for <strong>the</strong> Polish doctors who came and<br />

supported us in Lombardy, specifically in <strong>the</strong> field hospital in Brescia, to treat our<br />

sick. We are also thankful for <strong>the</strong> aid that has been sent in <strong>the</strong> form of medicine<br />

and protective equipment including 20,000 litres of disinfectant.<br />

It is in times like <strong>the</strong>se that we value solidarity between nation states across<br />

Europe and will need to streng<strong>the</strong>n those bonds fur<strong>the</strong>r when it comes to<br />

repairing <strong>the</strong> damage done to <strong>the</strong> economy after this. And even more so when<br />

it comes to standing toge<strong>the</strong>r on <strong>the</strong> world stage in defending our way of life from<br />

<strong>the</strong> growing external threats including those posed <strong>by</strong> China itself.<br />

And I can say this in full awareness because <strong>the</strong> Italian government was one<br />

<strong>the</strong> first EU and NATO countries to sign <strong>the</strong> MoU on <strong>the</strong> new Silk Road with <strong>the</strong><br />

Chinese presidency. And one of <strong>the</strong> most convinced in developing 5G technology,<br />

regardless of security and sovereignty issues.<br />

When all is said and done, both Poland and Italy must stand toge<strong>the</strong>r against<br />

<strong>the</strong>se growing threats. We must be sure to send a clear message to <strong>the</strong> Chinese<br />

that this crisis has not divided us and that we will not allow <strong>the</strong>ir negligence to go<br />

unanswered. This virus started because <strong>the</strong>ir communist party lied to <strong>the</strong> world,<br />

and because <strong>the</strong>y failed to act.<br />

Through <strong>the</strong> support sent <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> Polish government we have already started<br />

to send that message of unity. The support that <strong>the</strong> Polish government has<br />

offered <strong>the</strong> Italian people will not be forgotten. You have <strong>the</strong> appreciation of an<br />

entire nation.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

75


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

How <strong>the</strong> Nigerian Diaspora<br />

is Helping in <strong>the</strong> Fight<br />

Against Coronavirus<br />

By Hon. Abike Dabiri-Erewa<br />

The scale of <strong>the</strong> coronavirus<br />

outbreak is unlike anything that<br />

any global citizen has witnessed<br />

before, and it has warranted a response<br />

of equal measure.<br />

The virus has now spread to almost<br />

every corner of <strong>the</strong> globe, including to my<br />

country of Nigeria.<br />

The global response has touched<br />

us too. Earlier this month, we received<br />

a €50 million contribution towards our<br />

COVID-19 response from <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Union. We were heartened that, even at<br />

a time of great suffering for many of its<br />

own members, <strong>the</strong> EU remembered its<br />

friends and allies across <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

The number of Nigerians infected<br />

remains low compared to some nations.<br />

But already we have lost too many<br />

Nigerians to this cruel illness – including<br />

our President’s Chief of Staff, Abba Kyari.<br />

Nigeria grieves with his family at this time<br />

of great sadness. We grieve with all <strong>the</strong><br />

families across our country who have<br />

suffered, and will suffer, loss, at <strong>the</strong> hands<br />

of this pandemic.<br />

As leaders, it is incumbent on us to be<br />

honest that <strong>the</strong>re will be difficult times<br />

ahead. But we must also find <strong>the</strong> reasons<br />

to be hopeful. In Nigeria, I see plenty –<br />

particularly in <strong>the</strong> way in which our people<br />

have responded to <strong>the</strong> crisis.<br />

There is a spirit that never dies within<br />

<strong>the</strong> Nigerian people, a hopeful spirit that<br />

comes alive during times of struggle and<br />

hardship.<br />

Nigerians are resilient. When faced<br />

with struggles we respond <strong>by</strong> working<br />

hard, finding innovative solutions and<br />

supporting each o<strong>the</strong>r. Since coronavirus<br />

arrived in our country, inspiring stories<br />

have emerged of engineers fixing<br />

ventilators free of charge, and of designers<br />

using <strong>the</strong>ir talents to encourage Nigerians<br />

to protect <strong>the</strong>mselves and o<strong>the</strong>rs with face<br />

masks.<br />

We also have a secret weapon in our<br />

fight against coronavirus. The Nigerian<br />

diaspora.<br />

In my role as Chairman and CEO<br />

of Nigerians in Diaspora Commission<br />

(NIDCOM) I know better than most <strong>the</strong><br />

wealth of human and physical resources<br />

our diaspora provides to our country –<br />

76 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

never more than at times of crisis.<br />

Whilst we may be physically isolated,<br />

conversely, Nigeria and its diaspora have<br />

been brought closer than ever - <strong>by</strong> our<br />

shared culture, our shared values and our<br />

shared struggles. When all this is over, it<br />

will be more imperative than ever before<br />

that Nigerians at home and Nigerians in<br />

<strong>the</strong> diaspora work toge<strong>the</strong>r for <strong>the</strong> greater<br />

good of <strong>the</strong> nation.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> time of writing, we have<br />

tragically lost twenty-five prominent<br />

Nigerians in <strong>the</strong> diaspora. Many of <strong>the</strong><br />

members of our diaspora community are<br />

professionals in <strong>the</strong> diaspora have been<br />

welcomed home to fight on <strong>the</strong> front<br />

line. O<strong>the</strong>rs who wished to return have<br />

been prevented from doing so <strong>by</strong> travel<br />

restrictions, but like true Nigerians have<br />

found creative solutions to help <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

compatriots.<br />

The Association of Nigerian Physicians<br />

in <strong>the</strong> Americas are introducing<br />

‘telemedicine’ - long-distance coronavirus<br />

consultations for patients in Nigeria –<br />

especially designed for those who live in<br />

areas where medical access is limited, or<br />

practices have closed down.<br />

Hon. Abike<br />

Dabiri-Erewa<br />

Senior Special<br />

Assistant to<br />

President of Nigeria,<br />

Muhammadu Buhari,<br />

on Diaspora and<br />

Foreign Affairs<br />

healthcare workers. The United Kingdom<br />

benefits to <strong>the</strong> tune of 6,770 Nigerian<br />

nationals working in <strong>the</strong> National Health<br />

Service (NHS). Some have given <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

lives in this fight, including Dr Alfa Saadu<br />

who dedicated his career to <strong>the</strong> NHS.<br />

His passion and commitment embodied<br />

<strong>the</strong> Nigerian spirit. O<strong>the</strong>r medical<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Members of <strong>the</strong> diaspora who do<br />

not belong to <strong>the</strong> medical profession<br />

have used <strong>the</strong>ir resources to provide<br />

communities with protective health<br />

equipment and support local businesses.<br />

In Abia State, members of <strong>the</strong> diaspora<br />

have placed bulk orders for personal<br />

protective equipment to be delivered to<br />

communities back home. The orders are<br />

produced <strong>by</strong> local tailors who, supported<br />

<strong>by</strong> Federal Government schemes, have<br />

so far produced 200,000 face masks and<br />

3,000 overalls.<br />

NIDCOM is overseeing a ‘Diaspora<br />

Support Initiative’ which is collecting<br />

funds to provide lifesaving medical<br />

equipment and treatment for COVID-19<br />

patients in Nigeria, and will help prepare<br />

our country fur<strong>the</strong>r for its ongoing fight<br />

against <strong>the</strong> virus. In Nigeria, we have been<br />

overwhelmed <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> spirit that has brought<br />

communities toge<strong>the</strong>r in response to <strong>the</strong><br />

virus. And we are heartened to know that<br />

this is being replicated across <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

When this difficult period in our<br />

history has passed, we will not forget how<br />

so many have suffered at <strong>the</strong> hands of<br />

this unforgiving illness. But we must also<br />

not forget <strong>the</strong> way in which people came<br />

toge<strong>the</strong>r to create a global response quite<br />

unlike any o<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

In Nigeria, we will remember our secret<br />

weapon in <strong>the</strong> fight against coronavirus<br />

and we will remember <strong>the</strong> shared spirit<br />

between country and <strong>the</strong> diaspora.<br />

We hope that <strong>the</strong> diaspora will<br />

remember that, even when <strong>the</strong> crisis<br />

brings us toge<strong>the</strong>r has passed, wherever<br />

<strong>the</strong>y find <strong>the</strong>mselves, Nigeria will always<br />

be home.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

77


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

Germany and <strong>the</strong> Future of <strong>the</strong> Union<br />

By Gianni Pittella<br />

In 1919 John Maynard Keynes wrote<br />

a book entitled: ‘The economic<br />

consequences of peace’ with which<br />

he contended with <strong>the</strong> governments of<br />

<strong>the</strong> United States, England and France,<br />

guilty – for him - of having imposed too<br />

harsh conditions on Germany in <strong>the</strong><br />

Versailles Conference.<br />

The British economist, not very<br />

famous at <strong>the</strong> time, had participated<br />

alongside <strong>the</strong> British Chancellor in <strong>the</strong><br />

peace conference but, embittered <strong>by</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> results, abandoned <strong>the</strong> work in<br />

controversy.<br />

Keynes argued that despite <strong>the</strong><br />

German responsibilities in triggering<br />

<strong>the</strong> world conflict, <strong>the</strong> winning powers<br />

would have had <strong>the</strong> opportunity to<br />

forgive <strong>the</strong>ir war debts and, indeed,<br />

especially on <strong>the</strong> American side, to<br />

prepare a ‘credit program’ for Germany<br />

and <strong>the</strong> Post-war Europe.<br />

We know perfectly how it went<br />

and how, at <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> Second<br />

<strong>World</strong> War, Its advice was followed in<br />

retrospect.<br />

Today Germany has <strong>the</strong> future of <strong>the</strong><br />

Union in its hands.<br />

I write it without rhetorical emphasis<br />

and with absolute realism with<br />

respect to <strong>the</strong> German leadership and<br />

leadership-related responsibilities.<br />

Germany, too big for <strong>the</strong> old<br />

continent, too small for <strong>the</strong> world, can<br />

decide whe<strong>the</strong>r to become a bulwark of<br />

democracy and <strong>the</strong> integration of <strong>the</strong><br />

European community, or protagonist<br />

of its dissolution and <strong>the</strong> acceleration<br />

of <strong>the</strong> already clear prodromes of<br />

democratic decay of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

community.<br />

More than being involved in “games”<br />

78 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Germany, too big for <strong>the</strong> old continent, too<br />

small for <strong>the</strong> world, can decide whe<strong>the</strong>r to<br />

become a bulwark of democracy and <strong>the</strong><br />

integration of <strong>the</strong> European community,<br />

or protagonist of its dissolution and<br />

<strong>the</strong> acceleration of <strong>the</strong> already clear<br />

prodromes of democratic decay of <strong>the</strong><br />

European community.<br />

Gianni Pittella<br />

Member of <strong>the</strong> Italian<br />

Senate, Former Vice<br />

President of <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament<br />

& former Leader of<br />

<strong>the</strong> S&D Group in <strong>the</strong><br />

European Parliament<br />

of credits and debts, Calvinist or compassionate approaches, progressive<br />

or conservative positions, <strong>the</strong> democratic system is at stake. Put in test <strong>by</strong><br />

three elements and one temptation.<br />

The three elements are <strong>the</strong> social precariousness that will result from<br />

<strong>the</strong> dramatic economic crisis at <strong>the</strong> gates, <strong>the</strong> pervasiveness of digital<br />

control of <strong>the</strong> masses, <strong>the</strong> affirmation in <strong>the</strong> heart of Europe of an incipient<br />

dictatorship such as Orban.<br />

The temptation is constituted <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> experiment of English isolationism<br />

whose exit from <strong>the</strong> Union, although simpler because it is not conditioned<br />

<strong>by</strong> monetary affiliation, however, represents <strong>the</strong> demonstration that it is<br />

not impossible to get out of a union that is no longer adequate.<br />

So, let me explain better.<br />

If Germany does not push for an economic recovery plan based on a<br />

common debt guaranteed <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> EU, <strong>the</strong> most affected Member States<br />

will be left only with minimal and ungenerous solutions. The increased<br />

unemployment in <strong>the</strong>se Member States will results in a dramatic crisis.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> history of people, in particular in <strong>the</strong> history of European people,<br />

dramatic crisis have always found solutions that are incompatible with<br />

democracy.<br />

We are facing a new course.<br />

In this new course, it will not be enough to suspend <strong>the</strong> fiscal compact<br />

for a few years, but it will be necessary to overcome it. It will not be enough<br />

to prepare public subsidies, but it will be necessary to rediscover <strong>the</strong> role<br />

of <strong>the</strong> state in <strong>the</strong> economy. If it were to be done, it will not be enough<br />

to issue bonds for health expenses, but a European health authority will<br />

be needed.<br />

And I could go on and on.<br />

Ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> leading states of <strong>the</strong> Union, and Germany in <strong>the</strong> lead, can<br />

plan with responsibility and foresight this new course or we will be crushed<br />

<strong>by</strong> history.<br />

History will mark <strong>the</strong> return to <strong>the</strong> borders, to a merely intergovernmental<br />

Europe, to a widespread risk of emptying <strong>the</strong> institutions of democracy.<br />

It is time for Germany to assume <strong>the</strong> burden of driving, o<strong>the</strong>rwise<br />

its historic compulsion to repeat will condemn <strong>the</strong> entire continent to<br />

irrelevance and stagnation.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

79


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

Stringent Social Distancing<br />

Measures are Working out<br />

How <strong>the</strong> severely hit province of Tyrol made it to decrease infection rate to 0<br />

By Sophia Kircher<br />

On <strong>the</strong> 27th of February <strong>the</strong> <strong>World</strong> Health Organisation<br />

said that no country should make <strong>the</strong> fatal mistake<br />

of assuming it will be spared <strong>the</strong> coronavirus. The<br />

coronavirus started in China, found its way to Europe and<br />

also to <strong>the</strong> province of Tyrol (Austria). All of us know what has<br />

happened since <strong>the</strong> end of February – COVID-19 has been<br />

spreading across <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

Tyrol, known as “The heart of <strong>the</strong> Alps”, got severely hit<br />

<strong>by</strong> COVID-19. There are two main reasons for this. First of<br />

all, Tyrol borders Italy, which suffers from highest infection<br />

rates. Secondly, it’s <strong>the</strong> strong focus on international tourism<br />

with 50 Mio. overnight stays per year. With 61 overnight stays<br />

per inhabitant Tyrol is among world´s top countries in terms<br />

of this ratio.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> end of February, <strong>the</strong> province, with a total of 751<br />

140 inhabitants, counted two COVID-19 infected persons – a<br />

24-year-old couple who travelled from <strong>the</strong> area of Bergamo<br />

to Innsbruck. Two weeks later <strong>the</strong> provincial authorities<br />

80 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Sophia Kircher<br />

Member of <strong>the</strong><br />

regional Parliament of<br />

Tyrol with <strong>the</strong> Austrian<br />

People’s Party<br />

got informed that several Icelandic tourists<br />

were infected with <strong>the</strong> virus during <strong>the</strong>ir stay<br />

in Ischgl (Tyrol). Due to this information <strong>the</strong><br />

local authorities asked everybody showing<br />

flu-like symptoms to get tested for corona.<br />

A barkeeper got tested positive on March<br />

7th. That day immediate measures were<br />

implemented. Three days later all bars in<br />

Ischgl were closed and on March 13th all skiing<br />

areas in <strong>the</strong> “Paznaun valley”, where Ischgl<br />

is located, were shut down. On March 15th<br />

all skiing areas in <strong>the</strong> province of Tyrol were<br />

closed as well. Taking in consideration that ski<br />

tourism is one of <strong>the</strong> biggest economic drivers<br />

in Tyrol, this decision was a hard cut for <strong>the</strong><br />

province, but it was absolutely necessary. Today<br />

it is easy to blame <strong>the</strong> government of Tyrol for<br />

not acting sooner. However, <strong>the</strong> outbreak of<br />

<strong>the</strong> virus was completely new for all countries<br />

and regions around <strong>the</strong> globe. There were<br />

no experiences of combatting <strong>the</strong> COVID-19<br />

pandemic and all decisions made were based<br />

on <strong>the</strong> recommendations of leading medical<br />

experts. At <strong>the</strong> beginning of March data was<br />

lacking and many details about COVID-19 were<br />

not known. With <strong>the</strong> knowledge we possess<br />

today some decisions would have been made<br />

earlier or differently. Therefore, it is necessary<br />

to evaluate all steps made – in Tyrol, in Austria,<br />

in Europe and around <strong>the</strong> globe. We need to<br />

build on <strong>the</strong> lessons learned from COVID-19 to<br />

be better prepared for <strong>the</strong> future. The search<br />

for a scapegoat does not change <strong>the</strong> current<br />

situation. Now it is important that we fight<br />

toge<strong>the</strong>r against COVID-19 <strong>by</strong> collaborating<br />

on a vaccine. It needs to be our common goal<br />

to prevent hospitals from collapsing and open<br />

borders and all businesses again.<br />

Thanks to restrictive measures <strong>the</strong><br />

healthcare system did not collapse in Tyrol<br />

and hospitals could take care of intensive care<br />

patients from Italy (e.g. South Tyrol). With this<br />

step Tyrol eased <strong>the</strong> pressure on <strong>the</strong> South<br />

Tyrolian health system. This was a small but<br />

important contribution in terms of European<br />

solidarity. Especially at <strong>the</strong> beginning of <strong>the</strong><br />

crises we experienced a lack of this solidarity as<br />

countries blamed each o<strong>the</strong>r for spreading <strong>the</strong><br />

virus and not reacting fast enough. Although,<br />

from <strong>the</strong> beginning on, <strong>the</strong>re was a tremendous<br />

solidarity among <strong>the</strong> society in Tyrol. Many<br />

people lent a hand to those who are elderly or<br />

disabled. Moreover, people have started buying<br />

regional products to support local businesses.<br />

Tyrol´s economy has come to a standstill<br />

after <strong>the</strong> government closed all non-essential<br />

businesses. Only grocery stores, medical<br />

facilities, post offices and banks remained<br />

open. The province has experienced a massive<br />

rise in unemployment. The unemployment<br />

rate increased <strong>by</strong> 199% compared to <strong>the</strong><br />

same month in <strong>the</strong> previous year and has hit<br />

a historic high since WW II. To get companies<br />

through this difficult time, <strong>the</strong> national and<br />

provincial government filled a crises fund with<br />

approximately € 38 Billion. With state money<br />

<strong>the</strong> government tries to keep companies alive<br />

so that economy can be restarted after <strong>the</strong><br />

crises. Several measures such as <strong>the</strong> extension<br />

of “short-term work” and granting generous<br />

credit assistance were set to protect jobs.<br />

Since mid-March Austrians are not<br />

supposed to leave <strong>the</strong>ir homes except going<br />

to <strong>the</strong> supermarket or <strong>the</strong> pharmacy, going to<br />

work, if working from home is not possible and<br />

to check on housebound people.<br />

In order to stop <strong>the</strong> spread of <strong>the</strong> virus <strong>the</strong><br />

government of Tyrol set stricter regulations<br />

and put <strong>the</strong> entire province in quarantine for<br />

at least three weeks and some municipalities<br />

for more than 6 weeks. Wearing face masks<br />

got compulsory in all supermarkets <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

beginning of April and got extended to public<br />

transport. The fast and restrictive reactions<br />

and physical distancing have led to a steady<br />

decline. The drastic measures gave Austria <strong>the</strong><br />

opportunity to get out of <strong>the</strong> crisis more quickly<br />

and measures have got gradually eased since<br />

<strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> Easter holiday. Austria was <strong>the</strong><br />

first country in Europe to ease its lockdown<br />

against <strong>the</strong> pandemic. The slow return to<br />

normality began on April 14th. Small shops and<br />

garden centers reopened under restrictions<br />

such as wearing masks and keeping distance.<br />

As of May 1st o<strong>the</strong>r business such as hair<br />

salons will be allowed to reopen and <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

a possibility that restaurants and cafes would<br />

be allowed to start operating again in mid-May.<br />

On April 19th, for <strong>the</strong> first time since <strong>the</strong><br />

beginning of March, no new infection was<br />

reported in Tyrol, although 743 people were<br />

tested that day. Out of approximately 43.000<br />

tested people in Tyrol 3.339 got a positive<br />

test result. The numbers are strong evidence<br />

that stringent social distancing measures are<br />

working.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

81


IMPACT OF A GLOBAL PROBLEM<br />

Turkey and Covid-19:<br />

Stepping into Supply Chains<br />

By Nail Olpak<br />

Businesses all have contingency plans and procedures<br />

in place to manage crises of various sorts when <strong>the</strong>y<br />

arise. But in truth, no amount of planning could have<br />

prepared us for <strong>the</strong> sucker-punch dealt <strong>by</strong> Coronavirus and<br />

<strong>the</strong> subsequent social distancing measures, rightly and<br />

necessarily instituted to protect people and save lives.<br />

With whole sectors of <strong>the</strong> economy on hold and global<br />

supply chains suffering disruption, <strong>the</strong> true test for all of us<br />

comes now: how will we bounce back from <strong>the</strong> unexpected?<br />

The answer, so far, has been quietly promising.<br />

In my role as President of DEiK, Turkey’s Foreign Economic<br />

Relations Board, I hear first-hand how constraints on <strong>the</strong><br />

movement of people, goods and services during this crisis<br />

are taking a heavy toll on businesses. <strong>Our</strong> membership makes<br />

up <strong>the</strong> majority of Turkey’s top businesses and despite <strong>the</strong><br />

quietly promising outlook for <strong>the</strong> future, many are feeling<br />

<strong>the</strong> squeeze right now.<br />

Industrial output has been hit hard <strong>by</strong> sagging demand in<br />

Europe and delays for intermediary parts. As <strong>the</strong> world’s sixth<br />

most popular tourist destination, Turkey’s tourism sector,<br />

which accounts for around one tenth of our national GDP,<br />

has taken a beating. Airlines, hotels, restaurants and many<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rs look likely to suffer greatly during <strong>the</strong> crucial summer<br />

months as international visitors stay put.<br />

And yet, while it’s easy to paint a gloomy picture of <strong>the</strong><br />

economic situation, we have cause to take great pride in how<br />

businesses have responded to <strong>the</strong> crisis so far.<br />

As global supply chains have run into virus-related<br />

blockages, businesses around <strong>the</strong> world have moved swiftly<br />

to release <strong>the</strong>m. When China’s factories were paralysed <strong>by</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> virus in <strong>the</strong> early months of this year and its textiles<br />

manufacturers were unable to service all <strong>the</strong>ir orders, Turkish<br />

businesses stepped in to supply major European clothing<br />

brands. Agility brings rewards: our textiles manufacturers<br />

secured an estimated $2 billion worth of orders in <strong>the</strong> process.<br />

We have seen <strong>the</strong> private sector display an incredible<br />

capacity for adaptation as <strong>the</strong> crisis has thrown up previously<br />

unthinkable demands. With <strong>the</strong> world scrambling to produce<br />

<strong>the</strong> necessary medical equipment for treating coronavirus,<br />

businesses have rushed to help. From US automobile to<br />

defence and electronics manufacturers here in Turkey, a wide<br />

sweep of industries has shifted <strong>the</strong>ir production to making<br />

life-saving ventilators and personal protective equipment.<br />

Businesses are answering <strong>the</strong> calls of governments to join<br />

<strong>the</strong> fight, and <strong>the</strong>ir capacity for innovation has been a game<br />

changer.<br />

Initiatives like <strong>the</strong>se shows how <strong>the</strong> private and public<br />

sectors can work toge<strong>the</strong>r to confront <strong>the</strong> challenges we face.<br />

And it’s impossible to ignore how governments have risen<br />

to <strong>the</strong> occasion. As <strong>the</strong> insurer of last resort, unprecedented<br />

crises like this one call for governments to step in and provide<br />

support for businesses and help keep as many people in<br />

work as possible.<br />

Coronavirus is a leveller; it touches all of us and it requires<br />

a unified effort to defeat it. Almost all major economies,<br />

Turkey’s included, are likely to experience contractions in GDP<br />

in <strong>the</strong> second quarter of this year. And <strong>the</strong> old adage remains,<br />

82 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Nail Olpak<br />

President of DEiK,<br />

Foreign Economic<br />

Relations Board of<br />

Turkey<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

global problems require global solutions.<br />

Some of <strong>the</strong> inspiring stories of cooperation between<br />

businesses during <strong>the</strong> crisis, demonstrate what can be<br />

achieved when we are all reading from <strong>the</strong> same page<br />

and confronting a common enemy.<br />

Dialogue is now more important than ever, if<br />

businesses, governments and civil society are to<br />

continue <strong>the</strong>ir collective effort. I know organisations like<br />

my own have taken on a renewed sense of importance.<br />

DEiK is helping Turkish businesses to communicate with<br />

and support each o<strong>the</strong>r as <strong>the</strong>y navigate <strong>the</strong> crisis, while<br />

also ensuring <strong>the</strong>y speak as one on <strong>the</strong> global stage.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

We must make no illusions of <strong>the</strong> scale of <strong>the</strong> crisis<br />

we face. But <strong>the</strong> signs are <strong>the</strong>re, in <strong>the</strong> myriad tales<br />

of ingenuity and cooperation during this crisis, that<br />

businesses are rising to <strong>the</strong> challenge of coronavirus.<br />

We are still in <strong>the</strong> earlier stages of this global pandemic,<br />

but I believe <strong>the</strong>re is cause for cautious optimism that<br />

we will wea<strong>the</strong>r this storm.<br />

When we do come out <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r side, I only hope that<br />

<strong>the</strong> spirit of toge<strong>the</strong>rness that is carrying us through this<br />

crisis endures. One of <strong>the</strong> many lessons to be learned<br />

from this crisis is that we are greater than <strong>the</strong> sum of<br />

our parts. We must not forget it.<br />

83


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<strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong><br />

Critical<br />

Infrastructure<br />

& The Future<br />

of Business


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

Digital Greece: Turning<br />

Crisis into Opportunity<br />

By Grigoris Zarifopoulos<br />

86 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

In his 1959 speech, John F. Kennedy famously said: “When written in Chinese,<br />

<strong>the</strong> word ‘crisis’ is composed of two characters - one represents danger and<br />

one opportunity”. Even though today it is widely recognized that this is not<br />

<strong>the</strong> correct interpretation of <strong>the</strong> Chinese characters, JFK’s quote about crisis<br />

giving birth to opportunity is more relevant than ever.<br />

It is definitely relevant for Greece, a country that has ever been lagging far<br />

behind <strong>the</strong> rest of European countries in digital governance and overall use of<br />

technology, ranking 25th out of <strong>the</strong> 27 EU countries on EU’s Digital Economy<br />

and Society Index (DESI), for 2019. Modernizing <strong>the</strong> state through <strong>the</strong> use of<br />

technology has been at <strong>the</strong> very top of <strong>the</strong> new Greek government’s agenda<br />

ever since it took office following <strong>the</strong> July 7th, 2019, national election. The newly<br />

formed Ministry of Digital Governance put toge<strong>the</strong>r a comprehensive strategic<br />

Grigoris<br />

Zarifopoulos<br />

Greek Deputy<br />

Minister for Digital<br />

Governance,<br />

responsible for Digital<br />

Strategy and for<br />

attracting investment<br />

in Digital Technology<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

87


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

plan (incorporated in <strong>the</strong>, so called,<br />

Bible of Digital Transformation), to<br />

digitize <strong>the</strong> public sector, provide online<br />

services to Greek citizens, streng<strong>the</strong>n<br />

<strong>the</strong> population’s digital literacy and<br />

incorporate innovative technologies in<br />

all sectors of <strong>the</strong> Greek economy.<br />

Plato is credited for coining <strong>the</strong><br />

phrase, “Necessity is <strong>the</strong> mo<strong>the</strong>r of<br />

invention” - <strong>the</strong> Covid19 pandemic acted<br />

as <strong>the</strong> forcing mechanism to accelerate<br />

innovation in Greece, leading to rapid<br />

advances in digital governance. Faced<br />

with an unprecedented crisis, <strong>the</strong><br />

Greek government fast realized that<br />

technology, if applied effectively, could<br />

provide immediate solutions to help<br />

manage <strong>the</strong> problem at hand. From <strong>the</strong><br />

very onset of <strong>the</strong> crisis, digital means<br />

were used for citizens to declare <strong>the</strong><br />

reasons for leaving <strong>the</strong>ir home and<br />

gov.gr was introduced, 3 months earlier<br />

than originally planned, to help citizens<br />

complete necessary transactions with<br />

<strong>the</strong> state remotely. This new platform<br />

now acts as a single digital gateway<br />

to more than 500 services, including<br />

some new, high volume ones, of <strong>the</strong><br />

likes of citizen’s solemn declaration and<br />

authorization/power of attorney. In less<br />

than a month, more than 150,000 of<br />

just <strong>the</strong>se two services were completed<br />

online, saving citizens and enterprises<br />

precious productive time while keeping<br />

<strong>the</strong>m safe at base. Similarly, many forms<br />

required <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> public sector, whe<strong>the</strong>r<br />

related to Health, Education, Justice or<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r aspects of citizens’ interaction<br />

with <strong>the</strong> state, can now be accessed<br />

online with <strong>the</strong> relevant procedures<br />

completed digitally.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> same time, a teleconferencing<br />

platform was introduced to allow public<br />

servants to work from home, as well<br />

as online digital learning and virtual<br />

classroom tools were made available to<br />

allow for public schools and universities<br />

to continue <strong>the</strong>ir operation remotely.<br />

Moreover, a new digital service was<br />

introduced allowing patients to receive<br />

drug prescriptions on <strong>the</strong>ir cell phone,<br />

without having to physically visit <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

doctor. This was critical for chronically<br />

Technology has become an ally<br />

not just to battle but also to help<br />

survive Covid19. Technology has<br />

become an integral part of Greek<br />

people’s everyday life, a positive<br />

side effect of <strong>the</strong> pandemic.<br />

ill patients to minimize unnecessary<br />

exposure during <strong>the</strong> Covid19 pandemic.<br />

As a result, more than 500,000 drug<br />

prescriptions have been implemented<br />

digitally to date in Greece. Last but not<br />

least, telemedicine solutions, providing<br />

consultation to Covid19 patients as well<br />

as psychological support to citizens,<br />

have also been implemented at scale<br />

as a response to <strong>the</strong> health crisis.<br />

Technology has become an ally not<br />

just to battle but also to help survive<br />

Covid 19. Technology has become<br />

an integral part of Greek people’s<br />

everyday life, a positive side effect of<br />

<strong>the</strong> pandemic.<br />

As President Kennedy suggested,<br />

out of crises can emerge amazing<br />

opportunities. But, for this to happen,<br />

traditional approaches need to<br />

be questioned and challenged. As<br />

incentives and motives change under<br />

pressure, new working structures<br />

emerge or become even more relevant.<br />

Ever since last summer, <strong>the</strong> Greek<br />

Ministry of Digital Governance has been<br />

focusing on completing many smaller<br />

scale ICT projects ra<strong>the</strong>r than few, large<br />

scale ones, to drive <strong>the</strong> country’s digital<br />

transformation. These smaller scale<br />

ICT projects require dedicated, fully<br />

accountable working teams embracing<br />

agile design and implementation<br />

techniques. Under crisis, <strong>the</strong>se<br />

flexible structures and methodologies<br />

have become <strong>the</strong> new operational<br />

norm, effectively adapting to <strong>the</strong> new<br />

circumstances and producing fast timeto-market<br />

results.<br />

More importantly, <strong>the</strong> new approach<br />

places citizens at <strong>the</strong> forefront. It is a<br />

people-centric approach that aims to<br />

serve <strong>the</strong> citizens’ needs ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

<strong>the</strong> public sector’s ones.<br />

The modernization of <strong>the</strong> Greek<br />

public sector, as well as <strong>the</strong> incorporation<br />

of technology in all aspects of <strong>the</strong> Greek<br />

economy shall continue even after <strong>the</strong><br />

crisis is over. Fur<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong>ir immediate<br />

contributions during <strong>the</strong> pandemic, <strong>the</strong><br />

digital tools and processes put in place<br />

have also contributed in a very important<br />

mentality shift: e-government has<br />

increased citizen trust in government<br />

and public administration. We still have<br />

a long way to go. Moving forward, we<br />

need to capitalize on this invaluable<br />

legacy.<br />

88 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

Full-service Healthcare Distributors have Proven<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir Resilience Throughout <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 Crisis<br />

Ensuring Continuous Service for European Patients<br />

By Monica Derecque Pois<br />

Monica<br />

Derecque Pois<br />

Director General<br />

of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Healthcare<br />

Distribution<br />

Association<br />

Over <strong>the</strong> past number of weeks during<br />

<strong>the</strong> ongoing COVID-19 crisis, fullservice<br />

healthcare distributors have<br />

proven time and time again <strong>the</strong>ir efficiency in<br />

ensuring <strong>the</strong> continuous supply of medicines.<br />

Full-service healthcare distributors<br />

typically work out of sight, yet <strong>the</strong>y are<br />

indispensable and crucial components<br />

of healthcare systems. Patients trust that<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir local pharmacy and o<strong>the</strong>r healthcare<br />

institutions will have <strong>the</strong> correct medicine in<br />

<strong>the</strong> exact quantity and at <strong>the</strong> precise time<br />

needed. They rely on full-service healthcare<br />

distributors to continuously provide a rapid,<br />

safe and manufacturer independent supply<br />

of products, including life-saving medicines,<br />

to <strong>the</strong> sites of healthcare provision.<br />

This could not be truer under <strong>the</strong> current<br />

circumstances. More than ever, healthcare<br />

systems rely on full-service healthcare<br />

distributors, to ensure <strong>the</strong> safe and efficient<br />

delivery of medicines and medical devices<br />

to patients, not only for <strong>the</strong> treatment of<br />

COVID-19.<br />

The COVID-19 outbreak has sent<br />

healthcare systems into a whirlwind of<br />

uncertainties and unprecedented difficulties.<br />

Healthcare professionals in primary and<br />

secondary care settings had to cope with<br />

<strong>the</strong> enormous surge in patients needing<br />

assistance and treatment to a disease still<br />

unpredictable in its development.<br />

Healthcare professionals, toge<strong>the</strong>r with<br />

pharmaceutical manufacturers and fullservice<br />

healthcare distributors have been<br />

at <strong>the</strong> forefront of <strong>the</strong> fight against <strong>the</strong><br />

disease. Full-service healthcare distributors<br />

responded efficiently and effectively to<br />

confront <strong>the</strong> challenges in <strong>the</strong> fight <strong>by</strong> relying<br />

on an established and proven distribution<br />

infrastructure and network.<br />

Across Europe, <strong>the</strong> outbreak presented our<br />

sector with immense challenges due to <strong>the</strong> farreaching<br />

effects of <strong>the</strong> virus, examples include:<br />

- The application of border controls <strong>by</strong><br />

EU Member States considerably impacted<br />

<strong>the</strong> transport of medicines from <strong>the</strong><br />

manufacturing sites and storage hubs to<br />

<strong>the</strong> dispensing outlets. The creation of “green<br />

lanes” implemented at <strong>the</strong> urge of supply<br />

chain stakeholders proved very helpful.<br />

- The imposition of quarantine measures<br />

<strong>by</strong> national authorities have rendered access<br />

to restricted/quarantined areas (“red zones”)<br />

very difficult, where patients needed <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

medicines most urgently. Since full-service<br />

healthcare distributors have been recognised<br />

as critical infrastructure, quarantined areas<br />

can be accessed without fur<strong>the</strong>r delays.<br />

- Full-service healthcare distributors<br />

are concerned about recently introduced<br />

export bans of certain Active Pharmaceutical<br />

Ingredients (APIs) <strong>by</strong> countries such as India.<br />

The impact of such measures could be felt<br />

widely in a few months’ time and increase<br />

<strong>the</strong> already existing problem of medicine<br />

shortages.<br />

- Export restrictions imposed <strong>by</strong> EU<br />

Member States for medicines and medical<br />

devices lead to disruptions of supply chains<br />

in <strong>the</strong> EU, as no country is self-sufficient in<br />

terms of its medicine consumption. Thanks<br />

to <strong>the</strong> timely and clear guidance from <strong>the</strong><br />

European Commission many restrictions<br />

have already been lifted.<br />

- Full-service healthcare distributors need<br />

to maintain high staffing levels and services<br />

to be able to supply medicines to patients.<br />

While doing so, <strong>the</strong>y take all measures<br />

to ensure <strong>the</strong> safety of <strong>the</strong>ir employees.<br />

However, warehouse workers and drivers<br />

of full-service healthcare distributors today<br />

remain without <strong>the</strong> promised Personal<br />

Protections Equipment (PPE) to adequately<br />

protect <strong>the</strong>mselves and <strong>the</strong>ir colleagues. This<br />

continues to be a source of frustration for<br />

full-service healthcare distributors and raises<br />

<strong>the</strong> level of anxiety for workers.<br />

90 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

In order to respond to aforementioned obstacles as<br />

well as to future threats from <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 crisis, fullservice<br />

healthcare distributors have developed coordinated<br />

contingency plans to allow for <strong>the</strong> rapid deployment of<br />

measures at short notice. Overall, our sector has proven its<br />

resilience in keeping <strong>the</strong> value chain efficiently working - even<br />

under <strong>the</strong> most difficult circumstances.<br />

GIRP, <strong>the</strong> European Healthcare Distribution Association,<br />

is actively engaging with European institutions and national<br />

governments to highlight <strong>the</strong> availability and willingness of<br />

<strong>the</strong> full-service healthcare distribution sector to support<br />

healthcare systems deal with <strong>the</strong> continuing challenges<br />

and future needs. Full-service healthcare distributors have<br />

well-established distribution infrastructure in every country<br />

in Europe that can ensure <strong>the</strong> appropriate and equitable<br />

distribution of products to all points of dispense. This includes<br />

<strong>the</strong> fair distribution of masks, gloves, antigen, antibody tests<br />

and, in <strong>the</strong> future, a life-saving vaccine.<br />

As an association, GIRP has been working with partners<br />

such as <strong>the</strong> European Commission, European Medicines<br />

Agency, pharmacy and pharmaceutical manufacturing<br />

trade bodies to identify and mitigate possible impediments<br />

to <strong>the</strong> safe and secure distribution of increased volumes of<br />

medicines.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

Examples of GIRP’s engagement include:<br />

- Formal governmental recognition of <strong>the</strong> crucial role being<br />

played <strong>by</strong> full-service healthcare distributors in tackling <strong>the</strong><br />

COVID-19 pandemic. The recognition <strong>by</strong> governments of fullservice<br />

healthcare distributor staff as key workers, which allows<br />

warehouse workers and drivers to move around with a special<br />

permission to be able to deliver medicines to patients in need;<br />

- Calling for greater access to PPE and eventually to COVID-19<br />

antigen and antibody testing.<br />

The priority of <strong>the</strong> GIRP remains <strong>the</strong> safe and secure<br />

distribution of medicines, which in itself is predicated on <strong>the</strong><br />

safety of full-service healthcare distribution staff, such as gaining<br />

access to PPE.<br />

About GIRP<br />

GIRP, <strong>the</strong> European Healthcare Distribution Association, is<br />

<strong>the</strong> umbrella organisation for full-service healthcare distributors<br />

in Europe. It represents <strong>the</strong> national associations of over 750<br />

pharmaceutical wholesalers serving 34 European countries,<br />

as well as major international and pan-European healthcare<br />

distribution companies. GIRP members employ over 140,000<br />

people and distribute around 15 billion packs of medicines as<br />

well as a wide range of healthcare products per year. As <strong>the</strong><br />

vital link in healthcare, <strong>the</strong>y are committed to developing and<br />

providing innovative and efficient healthcare products and<br />

services to improve health and wellbeing of patients across<br />

91


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

What is <strong>the</strong> Role of Businesses in Europe’s<br />

Fight Against COVID-19, and in its Recovery?<br />

By Cybelle Buyck<br />

As a brewer with a European heritage that dates back<br />

600 years to <strong>the</strong> Den Hoorn Stella Artois brewery<br />

in Leuven, Belgium, our role has long been to bring<br />

people toge<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

Yet this role took on a different meaning with <strong>the</strong> arrival<br />

of COVID-19. As governments across Europe undertook<br />

necessary measures to contain <strong>the</strong> spread of <strong>the</strong> virus, we saw<br />

industries change <strong>the</strong>ir way of working, <strong>the</strong> bars, restaurants<br />

and cafes where people ga<strong>the</strong>r closed and populations urged<br />

to stay at home, self-isolate and socially distance.<br />

In this vastly changed reality, we reassembled quickly to<br />

answer new questions: firstly, how can we keep our 7,500<br />

people across 18 breweries and offices in EU member states<br />

safe and healthy? How can we support our customers who are<br />

also dealing with this new landscape? How can we help our<br />

communities, and how can we still bring people toge<strong>the</strong>r at<br />

a distance? And finally, how can we ensure a lasting, healthy<br />

recovery?<br />

Ensuring <strong>the</strong> health and safety of our<br />

people<br />

From <strong>the</strong> outset of this crisis, our top priority as a business has<br />

been protecting our colleagues and ensuring <strong>the</strong>ir health and<br />

safety. As a global company we were able to use important<br />

learnings from our China and South Korea business as we<br />

shifted everyone who could work from home to remote<br />

working and put in enhanced hygiene and safety measures<br />

at our breweries. These included arranging production lines<br />

and cantines to take social distancing into account, increasing<br />

cleaning cycles and putting in voluntary temperature checks<br />

at our brewery entrances.<br />

As many businesses now understand, we also have a duty<br />

of care for our people’s mental, as well as physical, health.<br />

We recognize how unprecedented <strong>the</strong> current situation is<br />

and <strong>the</strong> rapid adaptations our people are making. We’re<br />

listening to feedback each and every week and providing<br />

new trainings for our teams – from daily physical exercise<br />

sessions and webinars on wellbeing to virtual happy hours<br />

and inspirational sessions every Friday, called Beer Talk,<br />

where we invite an external speaker to talk to our teams<br />

over Zoom.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> people are our greatest strength and in <strong>the</strong>se times,<br />

I’ve been humbled to watch <strong>the</strong>m rally to support each o<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

We are proud of <strong>the</strong>ir resilience and commitment of our<br />

people and know that we are in this toge<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

Supporting <strong>the</strong> long-term success of our<br />

partners<br />

As restaurants, bars and pubs across Europe closed <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

doors, we knew that <strong>the</strong> partners we supply our beers to,<br />

would be struggling financially. <strong>Our</strong> teams worked at speed<br />

to devise, design and develop a new platform that would<br />

enable consumers to buy a voucher for <strong>the</strong>ir local bar, which<br />

we would match, giving <strong>the</strong>se outlets much-needed income<br />

now, and people could redeem <strong>the</strong>se once <strong>the</strong>ir bar reopens.<br />

This platform went live in a matter of days, called ‘Café<br />

Courage’ in Belgium, and has rolled out since in <strong>the</strong> UK, France<br />

and Italy, raising over half a million euros for participating<br />

bars and pubs.<br />

We’re also working with our customers to give deferred<br />

rent payments, free tap cleaning services and keg restocks<br />

with fresh beer to support a fast recovery for <strong>the</strong> sector when<br />

social distancing measures begin to ease.<br />

Helping our communities in need<br />

A responsible business must also go beyond <strong>the</strong>ir own<br />

people, operations and business partners.<br />

Although beers such as Leffe and Stella are globallyrecognized<br />

brands, beer is a very local product. 95% of our<br />

beers are locally sourced, locally grown, locally brewed. We as<br />

a company are deeply-rooted in <strong>the</strong> communities in which we<br />

operate and <strong>the</strong>refore we are in a unique position to support<br />

<strong>the</strong>m and to be a part of <strong>the</strong> solution.<br />

As European governments and public health bodies<br />

began implementing measures to combat <strong>the</strong> spread of<br />

Covid-19, public demand for hand sanitizers and disinfectant<br />

increased dramatically. As <strong>the</strong>se products are alcohol-based,<br />

we were able to step in to help.<br />

Turning our efforts from brewing with barley and hops<br />

to producing biocides was a different challenge, but one that<br />

we rose to given <strong>the</strong> situation. We partnered with companies<br />

with expertise in this area to produce over 120,000 litres of<br />

ready-to-use disinfectant alcohol and hand sanitizers, using<br />

<strong>the</strong> surplus alcohol from our alcohol-free beers, like Jupiler<br />

0.0, Leffe 0,0 and Beck’s Blue. These were delivered to crisis-<br />

92 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

Cybelle Buyck<br />

European Vice<br />

President of Legal &<br />

Corporate Affairs, AB<br />

InBev<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

coordination teams and governments across<br />

Europe to distribute for free to hospitals and<br />

frontline services that needed it most.<br />

Alongside shifting production to hand<br />

sanitizers, disinfectant liquids and gels,<br />

we’ve donated a million alcohol-free beers<br />

to frontline health workers and donated our<br />

billboard space to public health campaigns <strong>by</strong><br />

FIFA and WHO.<br />

I have always believed that our company can<br />

only exist with support and partnership from our<br />

communities. In times of crisis, this role becomes<br />

even clearer.<br />

Building a lasting recovery<br />

Although uncertainty remains, we know<br />

that with our people, our partners and our<br />

communities we will emerge from this, and<br />

emerge stronger toge<strong>the</strong>r. Yet, what will <strong>the</strong><br />

o<strong>the</strong>r side look like and how can we learn from<br />

this experience to build a better, safer, cleaner<br />

recovery?<br />

As a business, we have long advocated <strong>the</strong><br />

importance of long-term, sustainable growth.<br />

The fight against COVID-19 has given us<br />

important food for thought on how quickly we<br />

can collaborate, connect and change behaviours<br />

and actions when needed. What could we<br />

achieve toge<strong>the</strong>r if we applied this mindset,<br />

focus on fast solutions and partnership between<br />

governments, institutions and businesses to <strong>the</strong><br />

difficult questions we will now face?<br />

While we must continue to prioritise public<br />

health and accelerating progress towards<br />

a vaccine, an economic, environmental and<br />

societal recovery needs to be taken into account.<br />

Here we believe <strong>the</strong>re is a great opportunity<br />

for <strong>the</strong> European Union to lead <strong>the</strong> way in<br />

developing a sustainable future <strong>by</strong> encouraging<br />

green investments. Policy makers should look to<br />

incentivise and reward first-mover companies so<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rs follow this lead, generating unstoppable<br />

momentum towards carbon neutrality. We<br />

believe that this progressive approach will not<br />

only lead to lasting environmental benefits, but<br />

will also create growth and employment.<br />

We know that <strong>the</strong> next few months will<br />

bring challenges and as a business deeplyrooted<br />

in Europe, we are here to support<br />

a smart recovery that is built to last for our<br />

future generations.<br />

93


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

A New Narrative in Tourism<br />

is an Urgent Necessity<br />

By Angela Gerekou<br />

Interdependence is <strong>the</strong> main feature<br />

of our economy and especially when it<br />

comes to a small country like Greece,<br />

with a weak economy, which should be<br />

developed in an international economic<br />

and geopolitical environment, which<br />

is uncertain, turbulent and ruthlessly<br />

competitive.<br />

The recovery that we are all<br />

discussing at some point of course soon<br />

shall return to world tourism, although<br />

it is not possible to be determined<br />

exactly on <strong>the</strong> basis of previous crises,<br />

and especially this one that has very<br />

special features.<br />

I recently read in a study <strong>by</strong> Ipsos<br />

Opinion that only 4% of consumers<br />

believe that brands need to stop<br />

advertising, but <strong>the</strong>y emphasize that<br />

<strong>the</strong> approach and <strong>the</strong> content need to<br />

change.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> same study, I note that <strong>the</strong><br />

issue of “health safety” (safety protocols)<br />

is now perhaps <strong>the</strong> most important<br />

request of potential visitors in general.<br />

It is important for all of us to point<br />

out and congratulate <strong>the</strong> coordinated<br />

efforts of <strong>the</strong> Greek government, but<br />

also <strong>the</strong> response of all of us, because<br />

it is particularly important that all <strong>the</strong><br />

94 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Angela<br />

Gerekou<br />

President of <strong>the</strong> Greek<br />

National Tourism<br />

Organisation<br />

necessary measures were taken in time<br />

to reduce <strong>the</strong> spread of <strong>the</strong> virus.<br />

Till today, our country has shown a<br />

sense of responsibility and seriousness<br />

in <strong>the</strong> European and international<br />

environment, which will “receive” it in<br />

<strong>the</strong> near future, as long as it continues to<br />

move at <strong>the</strong> same pace as planned and it<br />

is important that we all continue toge<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

The government’s priority continues to<br />

be on delaying, containing and preparing<br />

<strong>the</strong> country to minimize serious illness<br />

and economic disruption. We must all<br />

do our part to prevent transmission of<br />

COVID-19 and I ask that you all follow <strong>the</strong><br />

advice of <strong>the</strong> Government’s health officer.<br />

We need to be more prepared and<br />

united now than ever before, as we still<br />

have a long way to run and we are heading<br />

for uncharted areas.<br />

We are also working on ways to<br />

support businesses and organizations<br />

affected <strong>the</strong> most <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> restrictions<br />

on travel and ga<strong>the</strong>rings. I am speaking<br />

with my Cabinet colleagues daily and <strong>the</strong><br />

Ministry of Tourism so to be well informed<br />

of impacts to people and businesses in<br />

<strong>the</strong> tourist sector.<br />

It is also important to broaden and<br />

maintain <strong>the</strong> production business and<br />

<strong>the</strong> wider economy until <strong>the</strong> crisis is<br />

normalised, and it must be <strong>the</strong> main<br />

concern of <strong>the</strong> state.<br />

The structure and scope of economic<br />

policy decisions at <strong>the</strong> European level is<br />

a crucial contributor to this.<br />

In this important period I also believe<br />

that we should work decisively and<br />

smartly, because this is for all of us. It is a<br />

restart in every respect.<br />

Tourism plays an important role<br />

in safeguarding and protecting local<br />

heritage. Now is a good time to focus<br />

on engaging local communities to<br />

document <strong>the</strong> unique history and culture<br />

of <strong>the</strong> destination and ensure that it is<br />

safeguarded for future generations and<br />

shared with visitors.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> experience extends to exhibit<br />

design and interpretation for museums<br />

and visitor attractions using state of <strong>the</strong><br />

art technologies to enhance <strong>the</strong> visitor<br />

experience. This is <strong>the</strong> best way to add<br />

quality to <strong>the</strong> new era in tourism, products<br />

and services, unlocking <strong>the</strong> potentials of<br />

special interest tourism fields.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, promoting sustainable<br />

practices in <strong>the</strong> entire circle of <strong>the</strong> tourism<br />

industry is a guarantee that Greek tourism<br />

can be essential to <strong>the</strong> country’s effort for<br />

development.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> main focus is to communicate<br />

and interpret <strong>the</strong> significance of <strong>the</strong><br />

environment, promote minimal impact<br />

practices, ensure <strong>the</strong> sustainability of<br />

<strong>the</strong> natural and cultural environment,<br />

and motivate visiting tourists to evaluate<br />

<strong>the</strong> quality of life in relation to larger<br />

ecological or cultural concerns.<br />

Greece, first of all, is an idea, and is on<br />

<strong>the</strong> list with <strong>the</strong> most beautiful countries<br />

in <strong>the</strong> world and we ought to keep it that<br />

way.<br />

Every event teaches and evolves us,<br />

so we keep in touch with our people, we<br />

communicate, and for whatever concerns<br />

us technology is <strong>the</strong> tool. This means we<br />

do not lose contact.<br />

It is a period of knowledge,<br />

development, strength to feed ourselves<br />

spiritually, mentally, physically, and a<br />

good time to foster collaborations and<br />

cultivate relationships that interest us.<br />

Everything goes through its own cycle<br />

and we must act wisely and reprogramme<br />

and stay focus on our target so that we<br />

can recognize our inner strength and<br />

calmness and use it positively in any<br />

uncertain scenarios.<br />

We ought first of all to ourselves and<br />

our children, to discover <strong>the</strong> hidden<br />

blessing that is hiding here and to find<br />

our way synchronize with it.<br />

Finally, I want to take a moment to<br />

acknowledge that this is a stressful time<br />

for everyone. I encourage you all to take<br />

care of yourselves, your families, and your<br />

friends during <strong>the</strong> difficult days ahead.<br />

I will close <strong>the</strong>se thoughts with a<br />

prayer.<br />

Give me <strong>the</strong> beauty of <strong>the</strong> soul and claim<br />

me with <strong>the</strong> harmony of soul and body. Help<br />

me count <strong>the</strong> wise as rich...and give me <strong>the</strong><br />

wealth that only <strong>the</strong> restrained man can<br />

endure and maintain. - Socrates<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

95


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

Hauling US Banking Infrastructure<br />

By Archie Ravishankar<br />

Archie<br />

Ravishankar<br />

Founder and CEO of<br />

Cogni<br />

The COVID-19 pandemic is confronting<br />

us at every level of <strong>the</strong> global economy.<br />

We have never seen <strong>the</strong> economy<br />

shutdown at this scale and duration, and bring<br />

us into such completely uncharted territory. In<br />

<strong>the</strong> United States, we are seeing <strong>the</strong> Federal<br />

Government mounting a very ambitious<br />

economic response. Its role and attempts to<br />

ease <strong>the</strong> economic burden could last for years.<br />

Recently, Democratic presidential candidate, Joe<br />

Biden was quoted as saying “<strong>the</strong> next few years<br />

will look like <strong>the</strong> beginning of <strong>the</strong> presidency of<br />

Franklin Delano Roosevelt [FDR],” <strong>the</strong> president<br />

who was famous for taking America out of <strong>the</strong><br />

Great Depression and putting a large portion<br />

of <strong>the</strong> unemployed back to work.<br />

FDR’s approach was a complete paradigm<br />

shift from how <strong>the</strong> U.S. Government has<br />

functioned in <strong>the</strong> preceding 162 years before<br />

his election. The nation’s budget was split into<br />

a small group of silos -Defense (<strong>the</strong>n referred<br />

to as War), Treasury, Postal Service, Interior,<br />

and Foreign Affairs. At that point, <strong>the</strong> U.S. was<br />

a growing global power, and had not yet earned<br />

<strong>the</strong> super-power status it attained after <strong>World</strong><br />

War II. So FDR’s approach focused on bringing<br />

<strong>the</strong> country out of <strong>the</strong> Depression <strong>by</strong> reshuffling<br />

how a reduced tax base was distributed. The<br />

New Deal as it was called, was <strong>the</strong> largest-ever<br />

public works program. It saw <strong>the</strong> creation<br />

of many new departments of <strong>the</strong> federal<br />

government, most notably The Department<br />

of Labor, addressing an area where <strong>the</strong> U.S.<br />

had a surplus. This new department was<br />

<strong>the</strong> first tangible example of disruption in<br />

<strong>the</strong> last century. To deploy <strong>the</strong> unemployed<br />

masses, it launched a series of initiatives that<br />

laid <strong>the</strong> foundation for <strong>the</strong> nation today. The<br />

Department of Labor’s programs built new<br />

roads, parks, rail lines, airports, and more, all of<br />

which are critical to <strong>the</strong> nation’s infrastructure.<br />

Fast-forward to today, most of that physical<br />

infrastructure, and it’s digital counterpart are in<br />

serious need of updating; if Biden is correct, we<br />

may see <strong>the</strong> United States go through a process<br />

of significant upgrading.<br />

Today, <strong>the</strong> impacts of COVID-19 and <strong>the</strong><br />

social distancing and shelter in place orders<br />

have just begun to decimate <strong>the</strong> U.S. economy.<br />

There is no doubt that we are only in <strong>the</strong> early<br />

stages and are just scratching <strong>the</strong> surface of<br />

what could possibly face us. While economists<br />

disagree about <strong>the</strong> level of impact we will see in<br />

<strong>the</strong> near future, <strong>the</strong>y all agree <strong>the</strong> effects will be<br />

dire, some believing that <strong>the</strong> U.S. economy will<br />

shrink <strong>by</strong> as much as 40%. Some share <strong>the</strong> same<br />

view as current U.S. President that <strong>the</strong> “cure<br />

may be worse than <strong>the</strong> cause.” Even <strong>the</strong> most<br />

conservative estimates project <strong>the</strong> recovery<br />

program will cost trillions of dollars more over<br />

<strong>the</strong> next few years, on top of trillions in relief<br />

measures already approved <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> Congress<br />

and President to date. The harmful effects<br />

of this pandemic are not equally distributed.<br />

Children will be <strong>the</strong> largest victim, physically and<br />

economically, because <strong>the</strong> financial decisions<br />

made today will impact <strong>the</strong> nation for years to<br />

come.<br />

As we navigate this storm, <strong>the</strong> United<br />

States Department of Homeland Security has<br />

identified 16 critical infrastructure sectors<br />

whose assets, systems, and networks,<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r physical or virtual, are considered<br />

so vital to <strong>the</strong> United States. Their potential<br />

incapacitation would have a debilitating effect<br />

on security, economic security, national public<br />

health or safety, or any combination <strong>the</strong>reof.<br />

The Financial Services Sector, one of <strong>the</strong> 16<br />

includes global corporate and investment<br />

banks, insurance companies, thousands of<br />

smaller depository institutions, credit card<br />

providers, financial technology companies, and<br />

more. Despite any qualms <strong>the</strong> general public<br />

may have with this sector, it’s arguably <strong>the</strong> most<br />

critical piece of <strong>the</strong> U.S.’s infrastructure. It serves<br />

as <strong>the</strong> fuel and backbone for every o<strong>the</strong>r sector<br />

of <strong>the</strong> economy and is an industry that is at a<br />

crossroads. The sector can choose business as<br />

usual or business with purpose. So far, all signs<br />

point to <strong>the</strong> former.<br />

It’s shocking to see a lack of altruistic action<br />

coming from <strong>the</strong> large banks. Instead, as claims<br />

made in several class-action lawsuits state, <strong>the</strong><br />

largest banks have used this as an opportunity<br />

to profit. They have been quick to prioritize<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir largest customers and <strong>the</strong> substantial<br />

96 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

origination fees <strong>the</strong>y represent, while doing little to provide<br />

relief for <strong>the</strong> individuals that need it most. The crisis is <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

opportunity to lead, and help <strong>the</strong> nation pick-up where FDR’s<br />

new deal left off. Banks could, for example, offer low-interest<br />

loans to state and local governments to address <strong>the</strong> physical<br />

infrastructure issues plaguing <strong>the</strong> United States, <strong>the</strong>y could also<br />

use <strong>the</strong>ir superior resources to create simple and easy routes for<br />

individuals to find financial relief, both would ease <strong>the</strong> financial<br />

burden on <strong>the</strong> average American <strong>by</strong> offering opportunities for<br />

<strong>the</strong>m to work. Finally, a term often used in business is “money<br />

is cheap,” meaning <strong>the</strong> costs of financing are at all-time lows.<br />

Financing in banks used to be what provided customers with<br />

an average 8% interest on <strong>the</strong>ir savings. Instead, banks began<br />

taking nearly 90% of that interest away from customers to make<br />

“money cheap” for <strong>the</strong>ir corporate clients. It’s business as usual<br />

and all <strong>the</strong> typical business issues that come with it.<br />

As <strong>the</strong> CEO of Cogni, our banking priority is to ensure <strong>the</strong><br />

critical needs of our customers are met in a timely and efficient<br />

manner. We will continue to innovate and develop new financial<br />

products that support <strong>the</strong> financial needs of <strong>the</strong> Americans who<br />

can and cannot work from home. I founded Cogni to change<br />

<strong>the</strong> way people bank and <strong>the</strong>ir relationship with <strong>the</strong>ir financial<br />

institutions. We saw many issues with <strong>the</strong> banking system, when<br />

<strong>the</strong> economy was thriving, and are now seeing even worse issues<br />

during a crisis. I’m encouraged <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> fact that our company is<br />

in business, and we are a part of a growing group of cohorts<br />

that customers are quickly turning to for <strong>the</strong>ir financial needs.<br />

When <strong>the</strong> big banks were turning people away from <strong>the</strong>ir Pay<br />

Check Protection loan applications, Fintechs like BlueVine and<br />

Grasshopper Bank were <strong>the</strong>re to offer a simple route to this<br />

critical relief. These are two examples of <strong>the</strong> next generation<br />

of financial services, one being a provider of capital <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

is a growing business bank. Seeing this creates excitement for<br />

what’s coming next.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> past 20 years, <strong>the</strong> industries that have been disrupted<br />

haven’t been those that stood still and practiced business as<br />

usual regardless of external factors. When <strong>the</strong> writing was on<br />

<strong>the</strong> wall that Americans wanted smaller, more fuel-efficient<br />

cars, Ford, Chrysler, and G.M. ignored <strong>the</strong> signs and continued<br />

to make <strong>the</strong> same cars <strong>the</strong>y always made. This blindness<br />

opened <strong>the</strong> door for Japanese and Korean vehicles to quickly<br />

gain popularity, and bring <strong>the</strong>se stalwart American institutions<br />

to near bankruptcy. We’ve seen <strong>the</strong> same story play out with<br />

retail, food and beverage, agriculture, energy, and several o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

sectors. The only one remaining somewhat immune has been<br />

Financial Services; but with Fintech emerging as <strong>the</strong> champion<br />

in <strong>the</strong> early stages of <strong>the</strong> economic downturn, I believe this is<br />

proof of <strong>the</strong> next wave of disruption and, in 10 years, will be<br />

focused on changing this critical industry. The leaders of today<br />

will be telling a very similar story about <strong>the</strong> near-defeat of <strong>the</strong><br />

American banking industry and <strong>the</strong> “New Deal” that Fintechs<br />

offered to evolve a slow-moving sector.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

97


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

Take Africa into Consideration<br />

By Nikos Papazoglou<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

After an intense day, one of <strong>the</strong> many of my<br />

business activities that complete more than<br />

50 years, yet at <strong>the</strong> same time, different due<br />

to <strong>the</strong> fight on <strong>the</strong> front line with an invisible enemy,<br />

<strong>the</strong> corona-virus, I tried to put some thoughts in order<br />

and see <strong>the</strong> “bigger picture” for today and <strong>the</strong> future.<br />

As I usually say, every crisis creates opportunities,<br />

as long as one can see <strong>the</strong>m and is willing to make<br />

use of <strong>the</strong>m. As cliché and widely used as this phrase<br />

may sound, it is a reality. Keep <strong>the</strong> details of this short<br />

introduction for <strong>the</strong> next lines.<br />

Being involved in <strong>the</strong> market from a very young<br />

age, as a result of <strong>the</strong> loss of my fa<strong>the</strong>r at <strong>the</strong> age<br />

of 7, I tried to turn this unfortunate moment into<br />

an opportunity. So, in 1969, along with my bro<strong>the</strong>r<br />

George, who had worked in a pharmacy and knew<br />

<strong>the</strong> industry, we entered <strong>the</strong> field of pharmaceuticals.<br />

<strong>Our</strong> guide in this process has always been solvency,<br />

that is, whatever you say to do. Hence, you always<br />

come out victorious over time. And you should always<br />

look for alternatives, never rest, because inaction does<br />

not lead to progress. I do not wish to give you tips for<br />

success, nor is <strong>the</strong>re any infallible recipe that, if you<br />

follow it, will take you high. But surely, if you apply<br />

<strong>the</strong> above mentioned words, <strong>the</strong>y will put you in <strong>the</strong><br />

right context.<br />

In 1974, we entered <strong>the</strong> medical arena,<br />

representing and supplying <strong>the</strong> Greek market with<br />

German-made dermatological products. With steady<br />

steps we also entered <strong>the</strong> field of production of<br />

pharmaceutical and cosmetic products in Greece,<br />

watching our whole project grow steadily, guided <strong>by</strong><br />

98 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Nikos<br />

Papazoglou<br />

CEO, Pharmex SA<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

<strong>the</strong> principles we set in advance. A milestone<br />

year was <strong>the</strong> establishment in 1981 of <strong>the</strong><br />

“umbrella” company, named “Pharmex”<br />

which today has under its roof 5 independent<br />

“Societe Anonyme” companies, that entirely<br />

belong to <strong>the</strong> Papazoglou bro<strong>the</strong>rs.<br />

“Business” is <strong>by</strong> no means a simple matter.<br />

But you need to have a clear mind to overcome<br />

challenges. Such a great challenge was<br />

presented when <strong>the</strong> economic crisis broke out<br />

in Greece, accompanied with serious shocks<br />

for <strong>the</strong> credibility of <strong>the</strong> country and Greek<br />

companies in <strong>the</strong> European market. Hence,<br />

we saw all of it as an opportunity to open up<br />

to new ways and markets, <strong>by</strong> turning to <strong>the</strong><br />

African continent.<br />

Africa is a long-suffering continent,<br />

with many potentials. We set up business<br />

in 2012 in Lusaka, Zambia, where we now<br />

maintain supply facilities for pharmaceuticals<br />

and hospital products. In addition, we also<br />

expanded our business in <strong>the</strong> food trade<br />

sector. So, <strong>the</strong> conclusion that is made from<br />

this whole course of more than 50 years, is to<br />

look for new ways, don’t afraid to dare, and to<br />

contextually adapt to <strong>the</strong> conditions and needs<br />

of <strong>the</strong> market.<br />

The impact of our corona-virus crisis is<br />

already taking us into uncharted waters.<br />

Unfortunately, <strong>the</strong> European Union has failed<br />

to recognise <strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> danger and<br />

to take concerted action, when <strong>the</strong> problem<br />

was at an early stage. It seems that long-term<br />

planning is missing, which is not something<br />

new. We have seen this, from time to time, in<br />

our discussions with top officials on <strong>the</strong> future<br />

of Africa. And apparently history repeats itself.<br />

On <strong>the</strong> issue of dealing with <strong>the</strong> coronavirus<br />

in Africa, <strong>the</strong> European family, which<br />

borders with <strong>the</strong> African continent, has limited<br />

itself to simple wishes. Nothing specific,<br />

nothing coordinated in action. Again, longterm<br />

design is missing and support is lacking.<br />

Of course, one could say that <strong>the</strong> Union<br />

remains committed to “its home affairs”. I<br />

strongly disagree with that. Everyone must<br />

understand <strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> Union’s<br />

potential and <strong>the</strong> responsibility it has taken<br />

on millions of our fellow citizens.<br />

All this reminds me of <strong>the</strong> crude attempts<br />

<strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong> “Residents of <strong>the</strong> Commission” to<br />

resolve <strong>the</strong> issue of improving people’s living<br />

conditions, so that <strong>the</strong>y are not forced to<br />

emigrate. The proposed solution was <strong>the</strong><br />

temporary funding to countries, without a clear<br />

plan. Any funding granted to individuals simply<br />

supported <strong>the</strong> small-scale, local production of<br />

agricultural products.<br />

Already as a company, we have worked<br />

on and published a business plan to support<br />

local communities <strong>by</strong> creating a market<br />

supply and repackaging center of European<br />

products, having first listened carefully to <strong>the</strong><br />

preferences of <strong>the</strong> communities. The goal of<br />

<strong>the</strong> project is twofold. Initially, <strong>the</strong> European<br />

market will be supported, since raw material<br />

and products that will be processed <strong>the</strong>re, will<br />

come from Europe. Secondly, <strong>the</strong> standard<br />

of living of <strong>the</strong> inhabitants will rise. Not only<br />

will <strong>the</strong>y enjoy <strong>the</strong> benefits of work, but<br />

<strong>the</strong>y will also have access to high quality<br />

nutrition products. As a logical consequence<br />

of improving <strong>the</strong>ir lives, <strong>the</strong>ir need for<br />

immigration will be significantly reduced. By<br />

<strong>the</strong> way, for your information, <strong>the</strong>re are 3<br />

independent trade unions in Africa. The first<br />

consists of 32 countries in Central Africa, <strong>the</strong><br />

second of 5 countries in East Africa, and <strong>the</strong><br />

third of 13 West African countries. Imagine<br />

<strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> influence of three<br />

large storage centers, with <strong>the</strong> purpose to<br />

promote European products, and also on-site<br />

packaging of local raw materials. If <strong>the</strong> plan<br />

is implemented, it will offer at least 20,000<br />

jobs <strong>the</strong>re and many o<strong>the</strong>r benefits for <strong>the</strong><br />

European products.<br />

Unfortunately, we have not reached<br />

to a favorable outcome in <strong>the</strong> discussions<br />

regarding <strong>the</strong> implementation plan of <strong>the</strong><br />

above project. And that’s why we return to<br />

what was mentioned at <strong>the</strong> beginning of <strong>the</strong><br />

article. You need to create long-term plans<br />

in order to render yourself invulnerable,<br />

when you cannot control events and <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

repercussions. You need planning, to deal with<br />

<strong>the</strong> problem in a comprehensive fashion and,<br />

of course, <strong>the</strong> desire to come up with solutions.<br />

The European Union must realize its<br />

responsibility to <strong>the</strong> countries of Africa and<br />

change its course. The corona-virus crisis is<br />

a first-class opportunity for reorganization.<br />

We must care for Africa since it has potential,<br />

yet not through empty funding that has been<br />

mismanaged over all <strong>the</strong>se years. It is vital<br />

to support specific business plans that will<br />

show <strong>the</strong> way, improve <strong>the</strong> living standards<br />

of societies and reduce unemployment. Let’s<br />

predict and act toge<strong>the</strong>r before it’s too late.<br />

99


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

Green Recovery, Energy Transition and<br />

Gender Equality: A Triple Target for Europe<br />

By Daria Nochevnik<br />

Daria<br />

Nochevnik<br />

Co-Founder Women<br />

in Energy, Climate<br />

and Sustainability<br />

Foundation<br />

Amid <strong>the</strong> coronavirus induced crisis,<br />

Europe is striving to keep <strong>the</strong><br />

momentum around <strong>the</strong> ambitious new<br />

green growth strategy set out in <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Green Deal, paving <strong>the</strong> way for reaching<br />

Europe’s climate neutrality and economic<br />

sustainability objectives. Policymakers are trying<br />

to reinforce Europe’s climate commitments,<br />

as green recovery plans are being developed<br />

both at <strong>the</strong> EU and at <strong>the</strong> national level. At <strong>the</strong><br />

same time, <strong>the</strong>re is a growing political will to<br />

ensure that Europe’s recovery programmes<br />

address not only <strong>the</strong> economic dimension, but<br />

also <strong>the</strong> social dimension of <strong>the</strong> transition to<br />

climate neutrality. The energy sector has been<br />

undergoing a profound transformation for<br />

years now, but today <strong>the</strong> tectonic shifts within<br />

<strong>the</strong> sector are coupled with <strong>the</strong> pressure to<br />

adapt to a new business environment in times<br />

of an unprecedented economic crisis and a<br />

prolonged period of uncertainly.<br />

What is clear however, is that <strong>the</strong> current<br />

crisis may have long-lasting impacts on all<br />

sectors across <strong>the</strong> EU economy, including<br />

that of energy. At <strong>the</strong> same time, changing<br />

consumer behavior, rollout of energy efficiency<br />

measures, as well as <strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong><br />

circular economy, clean mobility and <strong>the</strong> bioeconomy<br />

are set to create new, local, high<br />

quality employment opportunities.<br />

Exponential inclusion to meet<br />

exponential disruption<br />

The post crisis recovery and <strong>the</strong> continued<br />

transformation of <strong>the</strong> energy sector will inevitably<br />

have a structural impact on its labour<br />

market and beyond. Creating a suite of innovative<br />

solutions and business models to facilitate<br />

<strong>the</strong> transition to a climate neutral economy requires<br />

attracting a diverse talent pool.<br />

This means that today, more than ever, we<br />

need to work on developing and harnessing<br />

talent, not least <strong>by</strong> way of improving gender<br />

equality and diversity in <strong>the</strong> energy sector in<br />

Europe and <strong>the</strong> industries that are linked to it.<br />

The added value which could be brought <strong>by</strong><br />

boosting inclusion in Europe’s energy industry,<br />

as well as supporting female leadership is clear.<br />

Gender diverse companies are 70% more likely<br />

to capture new markets and 75% more likely to<br />

get innovative ideas to market.<br />

Apart from that, <strong>the</strong>re is strong evidence<br />

that firms with women on board tend to<br />

perform better than those that have less<br />

gender-diverse boards, and companies with<br />

more gender-diverse boards tend to have<br />

higher credit ratings. More specifically, research<br />

shows that companies with at least 30% women<br />

leaders end up raking-in 6% higher net margins.<br />

According to Morgan Stanley’s report “How<br />

Gender Diversity Enhances Society”, companies<br />

with a higher percentage of women in executive<br />

positions have a 34% higher total return to<br />

shareholders than those that do not.<br />

Studies also find that a better gender<br />

balance contributes to <strong>the</strong> improvement of<br />

working conditions for both men and women,<br />

with positive effects on well-being, work culture<br />

and productivity.<br />

Mind <strong>the</strong> gap<br />

Currently, women represent about 32% of<br />

workforce in <strong>the</strong> renewables industry. This<br />

percentage is only slightly higher a percentage<br />

compared to n <strong>the</strong> traditional oil and gas<br />

industry, where women account for only 22%<br />

of workforce. The studies carried out <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)<br />

suggest that women in <strong>the</strong> renewables industry<br />

are more likely to be employed in lower-paid,<br />

non-technical and administrative positions than<br />

in technical, managerial or policy-making roles.<br />

What about clean energy innovation?<br />

Women are listed in less than 11% of<br />

patent applications related to clean energy<br />

technologies and solutions.<br />

When it comes to leadership in <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

sector and gender representation in <strong>the</strong> C-suite,<br />

100 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Women<br />

in Energy,<br />

Climate and<br />

Sustainability<br />

(WECS) is<br />

a public<br />

foundation<br />

promoting<br />

gender<br />

equality in<br />

energy and<br />

climate as<br />

an essential<br />

enabler of<br />

<strong>the</strong> transition<br />

towards<br />

sustainable<br />

a carbon<br />

neutral<br />

economy in<br />

Europe and<br />

worldwide.<br />

<strong>the</strong> numbers are even more striking. On <strong>the</strong> whole, <strong>the</strong> total<br />

share of women representatives at board level across <strong>the</strong><br />

industry is no more than 7% (compared to 21% participation in<br />

finance and communications companies).<br />

These figures are in sharp contrast with <strong>the</strong> fact that women<br />

represent more than half of university students, and almost 50%<br />

<strong>the</strong> workforce across <strong>the</strong> world.<br />

A gender gap in <strong>the</strong> decision making in energy and climate is<br />

present not only in <strong>the</strong> private sector, but also in <strong>the</strong> public one.<br />

According to a study which covered 72 countries across <strong>the</strong> globe,<br />

women represent only 6% of ministerial positions responsible<br />

for national energy policies and programs. In Europe, women<br />

hold about 25,6% of high-level decision making positions in <strong>the</strong><br />

environment, transport, and energy sectors.<br />

Leading academics in <strong>the</strong> field point to <strong>the</strong> “enduring legacies<br />

of women’s traditional exclusion from <strong>the</strong> energy sector,” such<br />

as lack of equal access to information about employment<br />

and industry trends. Addressing <strong>the</strong> barriers that women in<br />

<strong>the</strong> sector face across <strong>the</strong> areas of employment, leadership,<br />

innovation and entrepreneurship will require action across <strong>the</strong><br />

public sector, businesses and academia. This includes boosting<br />

top leadership commitment to gender equality and equal<br />

professional opportunities, as well as mentoring and pay equity.<br />

Universities and executive education providers also have a<br />

key role to play in addressing <strong>the</strong> gender equality gap in <strong>the</strong><br />

sector. They are <strong>the</strong> ones preparing and encouraging women<br />

to become innovative entrepreneurs driving energy businesses,<br />

climate initiatives and <strong>the</strong> policy agenda of tomorrow.<br />

Way forward<br />

Navigating <strong>the</strong> disruption across <strong>the</strong> economy, leading green<br />

recovery and accelerating <strong>the</strong> pace of energy transition in Europe<br />

will require fully unlocking Europe’s talent and ensuring equal<br />

professional opportunities for all Europeans.<br />

The Commission President, Ursula von der Leyen, took<br />

action to address Europe’s equality challenges and mandated<br />

<strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong> EU’s first ever Gender Equality Strategy.<br />

Building synergies between <strong>the</strong> upcoming strategy and <strong>the</strong><br />

European Green Deal could be a stepping stone for improving<br />

gender equality in <strong>the</strong> field of energy and climate across Europe.<br />

Policymakers, <strong>the</strong> private sector and academia would have to<br />

be mobilised towards this common goal through platforms for<br />

dialogue and best practice development and exchange.<br />

Improving gender equality and diversity across <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

industry, and <strong>the</strong> energy and climate policy decision making roles<br />

can clearly not be a quick fix. But it is a long-term policy and a<br />

business imperative for Europe in order to deliver just, resilient,<br />

sustainable and inclusive green growth and to achieve climate<br />

neutrality.<br />

4<br />

WISE (Women in Solar Energy), Women employment in urban public sector, 2017<br />

5<br />

Renewable Energy: A Gender Perspective, IRENA, 2019<br />

6<br />

Ibid.<br />

7<br />

International Energy Agency, Gender diversity in energy: what we know and what we don’t know, 2020<br />

8<br />

Wood Mackenzie, “Can women speed up <strong>the</strong> energy transition?” 2019<br />

9<br />

Ibid.<br />

10<br />

IUCN-USAID, “Women at <strong>the</strong> forefront of <strong>the</strong> clean energy future”, 2014<br />

11<br />

European Institute for Gender Equality, Gender in environment and climate change<br />

12<br />

Bipasha Baruah, Addressing <strong>the</strong> diversity challenge in energy sector recruitment, 2019<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

101


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

International Education<br />

and a <strong>Pandemic</strong> Crisis<br />

By Patrick van Rooyen<br />

Patrick van<br />

Rooyen<br />

Executive Chairman,<br />

GoGlobal Education<br />

While <strong>the</strong> international press,<br />

politicians, national leaders and a<br />

wide range of commentators and<br />

soothsayers address <strong>the</strong> issues of <strong>the</strong> global<br />

pandemic, an “industry” called ‘international<br />

education’ appears somewhat forgotten.<br />

For those severely impacted – students,<br />

families, universities and educational institutions<br />

<strong>the</strong> challenge, is immense. In many cases<br />

institutions face financial closure, thousands of<br />

faculty and staff are out of work. Young men<br />

and women globally face <strong>the</strong> potential damage<br />

and collapse of <strong>the</strong>ir academic dreams as well<br />

as extreme cashflow issues for <strong>the</strong>ir families -<br />

an extended yet painful impact of this “virus”.<br />

We look at <strong>the</strong> major player in this “industry”<br />

– <strong>the</strong> USA.<br />

Globally, at <strong>the</strong> end of 2019 <strong>the</strong>re were some<br />

5.5 million international students, more than<br />

half of <strong>the</strong>m enrolled in education programs<br />

in six countries, <strong>the</strong> USA, <strong>the</strong> UK, Australia,<br />

France, Germany and <strong>the</strong> Russian Federation.<br />

The USA saw 1.1. million international students<br />

contribute nearly $45 billion to <strong>the</strong> U.S economy<br />

– a 5.5% increase. In <strong>the</strong> past three months<br />

universities have closed, international students<br />

told to vacate <strong>the</strong>ir dorms, travel restricted or<br />

banned, remote learning and online courses<br />

rushed into place.<br />

Often forgotten in assessing <strong>the</strong>se<br />

statistics and grasping <strong>the</strong> impact of this<br />

crisis is <strong>the</strong> prior wonderful global interaction<br />

of our young people and <strong>the</strong> positive<br />

relationships built and nurtured between <strong>the</strong><br />

future leaders of <strong>the</strong> world. Some 370,000+<br />

students from China studied in <strong>the</strong> US in 2018-<br />

19 with a remarkable concentration in STEM<br />

fields. Emerging market countries, Pakistan,<br />

Brazil, Nigeria, Bangladesh all showed strong<br />

growth years. Ano<strong>the</strong>r 342,000 U.S students<br />

participated in study abroad programs for<br />

academic credit, over 60% of <strong>the</strong>se going<br />

to European countries, <strong>the</strong> U.K., Italy, Spain,<br />

France and Germany hosting <strong>the</strong> most. In<br />

Greece, numbers grew <strong>by</strong> 20%+.<br />

In a best case situation we may see<br />

improvement in dealing with <strong>the</strong> pandemic<br />

within six months, students returning and<br />

universities reopening. In a worse case situation<br />

we may not see remedies until well into 2021<br />

or later. The pandemic has created a major<br />

financial disaster for educational institutions<br />

and it would appear we will witness hundreds<br />

or more closing before <strong>the</strong> control of <strong>the</strong><br />

pandemic occurs.<br />

It is necessary to grasp <strong>the</strong> size of <strong>the</strong><br />

problem to comprehend <strong>the</strong> resources that<br />

may be needed to respond to <strong>the</strong> crisis. There<br />

are some 5,300 colleges and universities in <strong>the</strong><br />

United States. The Association of American<br />

Colleges and Universities states that <strong>the</strong>re are<br />

some 2,600 accredited four-year colleges and<br />

universities. Most of <strong>the</strong>se are private or part of<br />

State education systems. Of <strong>the</strong> nearly 594,000<br />

reported instructional staff, 154,000 were<br />

professors, 129,000 were associate professors,<br />

132,000 were assistant professors, 98,400 were<br />

102 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

instructors, and 29,600 were lecturers (ncs.ed.gov). How many<br />

college students are <strong>the</strong>re in <strong>the</strong> U.S.? In 2018, <strong>the</strong>re were 14.53<br />

million college students in <strong>the</strong> U.S. enrolled in public colleges<br />

and 5.12 million students enrolled in private colleges. Moving<br />

all those assets into a remote learning/online environment is a<br />

major challenge, never before undertaken.<br />

If we <strong>the</strong>n turn to <strong>the</strong> global picture, moving <strong>the</strong> world’s<br />

students online starkly exposes deep inequities in education<br />

systems; from <strong>the</strong> shameful number of children who rely on<br />

school for food and a safe environment, to a digital divide in<br />

which children without devices or reliable internet connections<br />

are cut off from learning. In Denmark, Slovenia, Norway, Poland,<br />

Lithuania, Iceland, Austria, Switzerland and <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands, over<br />

over 95% of students reported having a computer to use for<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir work. (Quartz).<br />

Only 34% in Indonesia did. In <strong>the</strong> US, virtually every 15-yearold<br />

from a privileged background said <strong>the</strong>y had a computer<br />

to work, but nearly a quarter of those from disadvantaged<br />

backgrounds did not. These divides will likely worsen, as<br />

staggering job losses and a recession devastates <strong>the</strong> most<br />

marginalized in every society, including all <strong>the</strong>ir kids. Schools<br />

face a difficult choice: if <strong>the</strong>y don’t teach remotely, all of <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

students miss out on months of curriculum. If <strong>the</strong>y do, a sizable<br />

group of already disadvantaged students will be left out and will<br />

fall even far<strong>the</strong>r behind.<br />

The OECD is one of many organizations advocating to<br />

increase access to open free, online educational resources<br />

and digital learning platforms for teachers and students. For<br />

schools to succeed, teachers will also need access to training and<br />

support. The crisis is highlighting <strong>the</strong> role schools play outside<br />

of education.<br />

At a moment when schools need to adapt how <strong>the</strong>y teach,<br />

many are consumed with how to feed <strong>the</strong>ir students. Gwinnett<br />

County, Georgia, one of <strong>the</strong> largest school districts in <strong>the</strong> US,<br />

is feeding 90,000 students a day. “It’s a prime example of how<br />

schools have become not just learning institutions, but <strong>the</strong> heart<br />

of <strong>the</strong> social fabric of America,” (Emerson).<br />

When <strong>the</strong> storm of <strong>the</strong> pandemic passes, schools may be<br />

revolutionized <strong>by</strong> this experience. Or, <strong>the</strong>y may revert back to<br />

what <strong>the</strong>y know. But <strong>the</strong> world in which <strong>the</strong>y will exist—one<br />

marked <strong>by</strong> rising unemployment and likely recession—will<br />

demand more. Education may be slow to change, but <strong>the</strong> postcoronavirus<br />

economy will demand it.<br />

103


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

Envelopes Resist Crises<br />

By Matti Rantanen<br />

Matti Rantanen<br />

Managing Director<br />

of <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Federation<br />

of Envelope<br />

Manufacturers<br />

Mail is a thing of <strong>the</strong> past, some would<br />

say. In today’s digitalized world of<br />

instant communication, letters may<br />

seem superfluous. Think again. Almost half<br />

of e-commerce packages arrive in envelopes;<br />

a letter from <strong>the</strong> bank or national authority<br />

attracts immediate attention; and a wedding<br />

invitation received in your letterbox is more<br />

than just informative – it is a memory to cherish.<br />

Yes, envelopes bring content that is useful,<br />

effective and impactful - and <strong>the</strong>y are here to<br />

stay.<br />

The first envelopes date back to 3500 BC.<br />

Now, in 2020, we are celebrating <strong>the</strong> 200th<br />

anniversary of industrially manufactured<br />

envelopes. They are used to transmit personal<br />

and business correspondence, as well as<br />

important financial transactions. Information<br />

on paper delivered <strong>by</strong> post is inherently more<br />

reliable. It is not surprising that <strong>the</strong> world has<br />

always associated envelopes with trust and<br />

credibility.<br />

The envelope industry has of course<br />

seen challenges. Disrupted economies, new<br />

technologies and communication channels<br />

have led to a reduction in mail volumes. In<br />

Europe, envelope production dropped from<br />

89 billion to 55 billion in just ten years.But <strong>the</strong><br />

envelope industry is resilient, and ongoing<br />

challenges and crises like COVID-19 will not<br />

defeat it.<br />

Envelope and Corona<br />

How has COVID-19 affected <strong>the</strong> envelope<br />

industry? You have perhaps noticed that post<br />

and parcel services are busy. Letters sent <strong>by</strong><br />

governments to inform of COVID measures,<br />

clo<strong>the</strong>s ordered online or cards sent to<br />

quarantine birthday kids (I am one of <strong>the</strong>m)<br />

will have reached you in an envelope.<br />

Behind <strong>the</strong> scenes, <strong>the</strong> industry has met<br />

different challenges – <strong>the</strong> capacity of some<br />

production plants has been cut, due to local<br />

infection levels. In some countries, more<br />

than 15% of workers are absent because<br />

of symptoms, pre-existing health risks, or<br />

family reasons. The industry has also had<br />

to lay workers off, and terminate temporary<br />

employees’ contracts.<br />

The envelope industry traditionally has<br />

three cornerstones: transaction mail, office<br />

supply and direct mail. While transactional and<br />

office supply are largely volume businesses,<br />

direct mail’s value goes beyond just volume.<br />

These strands of <strong>the</strong> envelope industry have felt<br />

different pressures due to <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 crisis.<br />

Direct mail marketing has collapsed. As<br />

shops are not open, companies have cut <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

marketing budgets. Office supply has also<br />

decreased significantly. Only transactional<br />

mail has yet to feel <strong>the</strong> full impact of <strong>the</strong><br />

crisis. The hits have been bearable so far, but<br />

if <strong>the</strong> situation continues for long, we will see<br />

dramatic changes.<br />

This crisis has also demonstrated <strong>the</strong><br />

danger of relying on digital communication;<br />

approximately 15% of EU citizens have no or<br />

inadequate access to <strong>the</strong> internet. It is <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

vital that <strong>the</strong> EU continues to support <strong>the</strong><br />

universal postal service in every country. It’s<br />

also worthwhile remembering that privacy<br />

laws are more strictly enforced for letters<br />

than email. Citizens can rest assured that <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

correspondence remains confidential.<br />

There are also positive signs creating<br />

trust in <strong>the</strong> industry. For example, in <strong>the</strong> US,<br />

more than 15% of total envelope production<br />

is currently used for medical deliveries. The<br />

status of <strong>the</strong> envelope as a communication<br />

tool has seen a revival in this crisis. In <strong>the</strong><br />

UK, envelope manufacturers have been<br />

declared system relevant businesses. Some<br />

EU countries, such as <strong>the</strong> UK and Finland, have<br />

sent a corona information letter to every citizen.<br />

Not surprisingly, my Brussels municipality knew<br />

that a letter would be a more efficient way to<br />

inform residents than <strong>the</strong> varying pieces of<br />

information online. Governments and local<br />

authorities choose letter mail, as it is <strong>the</strong> only<br />

communication method that reaches everyone<br />

and has credibility. The opening and reading<br />

rates for letter mail is 85% compared with<br />

only 11% for email. These figures pertain to<br />

104 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

marketing messages, but <strong>the</strong> ballpark is <strong>the</strong> same for all general<br />

communication.<br />

The envelope industry after Corona<br />

Despite this massive disruption, <strong>the</strong> envelope industry will<br />

remain strong. The world and economy will be different, and<br />

thus we have to remodel <strong>the</strong> industry and <strong>the</strong> markets where<br />

we operate.<br />

Transactional mail from governmental bodies and service<br />

providers will continue. The numbers may decrease due<br />

to digitalization, but <strong>the</strong> value and trustworthiness of mail<br />

communication will not. <strong>Our</strong> ‘Keep Me Posted’ campaign<br />

promotes <strong>the</strong> citizen’s right to choose how <strong>the</strong>y receive important<br />

information such as tax forms, election documents, bills and<br />

statements without disadvantage. It is a pro-choice campaign<br />

promoting <strong>the</strong> inclusion of vulnerable consumers, consumers<br />

without internet access, and consumers who simply prefer<br />

paper.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> coming years, <strong>the</strong> industry will move from envelopes<br />

towards light packaging. When it comes to material efficiency,<br />

environmental footprint and durability, <strong>the</strong> envelope is ideal<br />

for delivering products weighing less than 1.5 kg. We offer <strong>the</strong><br />

solution to <strong>the</strong> problem of over packaging, and parcels of less<br />

than 1.5 kg can be, in most cases, delivered into letterboxes.<br />

Using more suitable packaging, <strong>the</strong> efficiency of <strong>the</strong> whole<br />

delivery ecosystem is improved.<br />

Direct mail and marketing will resume after <strong>the</strong> crisis. One<br />

of print media’s leading qualities is its ability to command <strong>the</strong><br />

full attention of <strong>the</strong> reader. With fewer distractions, <strong>the</strong> reader<br />

becomes fully immersed – a process that leads to ‘deep thinking’,<br />

increasing <strong>the</strong> effectiveness of <strong>the</strong> content. Recent research on<br />

<strong>the</strong> effectiveness of physical and online communication strongly<br />

suggests that physical material facilitates higher emotional<br />

processing than digital. New technologies have made it possible<br />

to enhance visual and sensory paper communication through<br />

3D imaging, lenticular stamps, ‘scratch-and-sniff’ applications<br />

and die-cutting. Digital integration offers <strong>the</strong> marketer a host<br />

of opportunities to engage with <strong>the</strong>ir customers in several new<br />

and exciting ways.<br />

The business will change and most likely shift from volume to<br />

value. But what is sure is that <strong>the</strong> envelope industry will remain<br />

a significant part of <strong>the</strong> global communication and marketing<br />

ecosystem.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

105


CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE & THE FUTURE OF BUSINESS<br />

Public Services and Services of General<br />

Interest on <strong>the</strong> Frontline Against COVID-19<br />

SHUTTERSTOCK<br />

By Valeria Ronzitti<br />

The COVID-19 outbreak, and <strong>the</strong><br />

response to safeguard public<br />

health <strong>by</strong> limiting social life, has<br />

been one of <strong>the</strong> most violent shocks in<br />

recent history. Century-defining, <strong>the</strong><br />

current crisis has already provoked<br />

impacts for EU societies on multiple<br />

fronts, and its future developments –<br />

in terms of chronology, geography and<br />

intensity – are hardly anticipable.<br />

The spread of <strong>the</strong> virus across Europe<br />

has caused tens of thousands of deaths,<br />

and many more are still fighting in ICU.<br />

Hundreds of millions of Europeans are<br />

currently in lockdown. The economy is in<br />

slowdown, and <strong>the</strong> medium-term impact<br />

is expected to be as violent as <strong>the</strong> Great<br />

Depression or <strong>the</strong> 2008 crash.<br />

Providers of services of general<br />

interest (SGIs) and of public services,<br />

which CEEP represents at EU level, are<br />

at <strong>the</strong> frontline in this crisis. With social<br />

consequences aggravated <strong>by</strong> its very<br />

nature, <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 crisis has clearly<br />

shown how crucial <strong>the</strong> provision of those<br />

essential services is to <strong>the</strong> well-being of<br />

citizens and <strong>the</strong> economic resilience of<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU.<br />

Central in shaping <strong>the</strong> initial answers<br />

to <strong>the</strong> emergency, public services and<br />

services of general interest must also<br />

be involved at all levels in shaping <strong>the</strong><br />

medium and long-term visions for<br />

<strong>the</strong> post-COVID-19 world, relying on a<br />

sustainable, digital and fair agenda.<br />

SGI employers and<br />

providers at <strong>the</strong><br />

heart of <strong>the</strong> crisis<br />

In a context where <strong>the</strong> threat is economic,<br />

social and health-driven, <strong>the</strong> provision<br />

of services of general interest is even<br />

more crucial to <strong>the</strong> well-being of citizens,<br />

businesses and <strong>the</strong> overall economic<br />

resilience of <strong>the</strong> EU. Services such as<br />

healthcare, water and energy, waste<br />

management, telecommunications,<br />

education and transport must remain fully<br />

operational in all circumstances, regardless<br />

of <strong>the</strong> challenges faced. As providers of<br />

106 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


STRUCK BY THE PANDEMIC<br />

Valeria Ronzitti<br />

Secretary General of<br />

<strong>the</strong> European Centre<br />

of Employers and<br />

Enterprises providing<br />

Public Services<br />

those services and as employers of millions<br />

of Europeans, SGI providers must first and<br />

foremost ensure that a sufficient number of<br />

workers are available to maintain operations<br />

in safe manner. That of course includes<br />

putting forward additional measures to<br />

protect <strong>the</strong> health and safety of workers,<br />

requiring fur<strong>the</strong>r management efforts and<br />

financial costs.<br />

Many SGIs also face significant changes<br />

in <strong>the</strong>ir usage. Some sectors, such as<br />

healthcare, are faced with a sharp upward<br />

turn in demand. Managing <strong>the</strong> immediate<br />

life-threatening emergencies, many<br />

healthcare structures decided to postpone<br />

or cancel most of <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r services, which<br />

in most cases constitute a significant<br />

source of <strong>the</strong>ir income. Telecommunication<br />

services are also in increasing demand,<br />

and have been mobilizing great efforts<br />

to ensure <strong>the</strong>ir stability and quality. Also,<br />

<strong>the</strong> transport sector, and more specifically<br />

public transport, have had to continue<br />

operations and run with adapted services,<br />

such as providing additional services to and<br />

from healthcare infrastructures, or limiting<br />

<strong>the</strong> amount of users per vehicle, inducing<br />

additional costs and limited incomes.<br />

Additional crisis-motivated disruptions,<br />

such as <strong>the</strong> difficulties to access supplies –<br />

including protective gear for workers in <strong>the</strong><br />

waste or water sectors – or <strong>the</strong> sudden drop<br />

of <strong>the</strong> prices of EU Emission Trading for <strong>the</strong><br />

energy sector, exercise strong pressure on<br />

resources to keep activities running. Price<br />

fluctuations must be closely monitored, and<br />

no efforts should be spared to guarantee<br />

that <strong>the</strong>y remain at sustainable levels, for<br />

<strong>the</strong> preservation of high-quality efficient<br />

SGIs.<br />

A call for actions at EU level<br />

After <strong>the</strong> outbreak of <strong>the</strong> crisis, EU<br />

institutions quickly acted to allow a genuine<br />

response to <strong>the</strong> challenges. Quick decisions<br />

and <strong>the</strong> adoption of <strong>the</strong> temporary<br />

suspension of <strong>the</strong> SGP, <strong>the</strong> SURE, <strong>the</strong><br />

Coronavirus Response Investment Initiative,<br />

as well as <strong>the</strong> temporary framework for<br />

State aid, should help to partly absorb <strong>the</strong><br />

shock. Building up on this initial response,<br />

Member States should now step up and<br />

take responsibilities in order to materialise<br />

solidarity across Europe.<br />

In times of crisis and uncertainty, EU<br />

institutions, as well as <strong>the</strong> leaders of <strong>the</strong><br />

27, should build confidence in <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

and political future of <strong>the</strong> EU. Politics and<br />

economics are heavily influenced <strong>by</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

level of confidence shown <strong>by</strong> decisionmakers.<br />

The EU being <strong>the</strong> best defence<br />

line to prevent even deeper impacts for EU<br />

citizens, building confidence as a mobilising<br />

element should accompany any decisions.<br />

The EU as a whole needs to share <strong>the</strong><br />

burden: <strong>the</strong> pandemic hits all countries<br />

simultaneously and indistinctively,<br />

regardless of previous economic or fiscal<br />

policy choices, and any failure in setting up<br />

burden-sharing mechanisms will put <strong>the</strong><br />

entire EU internal market, and <strong>by</strong> extension<br />

<strong>the</strong> EU project as a whole, at risk.<br />

The way forward<br />

Going beyond <strong>the</strong> immediate emergency,<br />

EU institutions and Member States have<br />

engaged in talks aimed at fostering <strong>the</strong><br />

recovery on <strong>the</strong> medium-term. We believe<br />

this recovery relies on 2 main pillars:<br />

- A well-designed Multiannual Financial<br />

Framework to address <strong>the</strong> challenges of<br />

<strong>the</strong> future, relying on a strong Cohesion<br />

Policy to help regions most severely hit,<br />

on an effective digital agenda and on <strong>the</strong><br />

principles of <strong>the</strong> EU Green Deal, aimed at<br />

making Europe <strong>the</strong> first climate neutral<br />

continent <strong>by</strong> 2050, as well as on <strong>the</strong> settingup<br />

of an investment strategy.<br />

- A Recovery Fund and an investment-led<br />

Recovery, Plan based on joint instruments,<br />

such as recovery-bonds that would allow for<br />

a genuine capacity of sharing <strong>the</strong> burden of<br />

<strong>the</strong> crisis without implying mutualization of<br />

existing debts.<br />

Citizens and enterprises have<br />

expectations: respecting <strong>the</strong> lockdowns<br />

put in place across Europe, <strong>the</strong>y are doing<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir part to fight <strong>the</strong> COVID-19 outbreak.<br />

Leaders should now provide security and<br />

stability to plan for <strong>the</strong> future, and ensure<br />

<strong>the</strong> continuity of our well-being, relying on<br />

fairness, efficient and effective services of<br />

general interest, a joint vision for <strong>the</strong> future<br />

and well-funded key infrastructures.<br />

OUR WORLD | MAY 2020<br />

107


FINAL WORD<br />

Turning Uncertainty into Opportunity<br />

Welcome to <strong>Our</strong> new <strong>World</strong>. Embrace it.<br />

Jerry Zagoritis<br />

Founder & CEO of<br />

Campaign Lab and <strong>the</strong><br />

Publishing Partner of<br />

“<strong>Our</strong> <strong>World</strong>: <strong>Struck</strong> <strong>by</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>Pandemic</strong>”<br />

I<br />

f our Instagram and Twitter bios are a<br />

measure of how we self-identify, I’m probably<br />

an eternal optimist, a disruption enthusiast,<br />

and an entrepreneur.<br />

Being an eternal optimist, I can’t help but<br />

see <strong>the</strong> best in people and strive to make <strong>the</strong><br />

best out of situations. I see crisis as a blessing<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r than a curse, and where most people<br />

see uncertainty, I see opportunity.<br />

If you can properly phrase a question, one<br />

said once, <strong>the</strong>n finding <strong>the</strong> answer is <strong>the</strong> easy<br />

part.<br />

And <strong>the</strong> question that kept spinning around<br />

my head since day one of a situation where we<br />

can’t decide whe<strong>the</strong>r we’ve been working from<br />

home or living at work (I suppose <strong>the</strong> answer<br />

here is “we’re probably omni-channel”), was<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r straightforward: “How do you want to<br />

be remembered in a year from now?”<br />

Do you want to be someone who lived<br />

in fear or someone who lived exponentially?<br />

The answer was easy but followed <strong>by</strong> more<br />

questions.<br />

“How can you be of service to your clients?<br />

How can you help your community get through<br />

adversity? Can you volunteer or donate?<br />

Essentially, what can you do to play your part?”<br />

I feel that now is <strong>the</strong> time for Governments<br />

around <strong>the</strong> globe to ask some similar<br />

questions, starting with “How do we want to<br />

be remembered in a decade from now?”.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> time of writing, entrepreneurs<br />

around <strong>the</strong> globe are working around <strong>the</strong><br />

clock to build, restore, relaunch or keep <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

businesses alive.<br />

And yet, most governments are still debating<br />

how to break <strong>the</strong> bureaucratic structures that<br />

simply drag those same entrepreneurs, who<br />

are struggling to meet payroll and ensure some<br />

sort of stability for <strong>the</strong> next quarters, behind.<br />

I’m not just talking about <strong>the</strong> Fortune 500<br />

businesses. I’m also and primarily talking<br />

about <strong>the</strong> small shop owners from Brussels<br />

to Rome, <strong>the</strong> farmers from Kenya to rural<br />

India, <strong>the</strong> hospitality entrepreneurs from<br />

Dublin to A<strong>the</strong>ns who form <strong>the</strong> texture of<br />

our communities, and <strong>the</strong> start-uppers from<br />

Seattle to Berlin and from Helsinki to Tel Aviv,<br />

many of which are in it because of that burning<br />

idea <strong>the</strong>y couldn’t get off <strong>the</strong>ir heads.<br />

Yes, I’m talking about <strong>the</strong> very people who<br />

are moving our world forward. As <strong>the</strong>y’re<br />

fighting to keep <strong>the</strong>ir businesses running in<br />

<strong>the</strong> face of unprecedented disruption, ready<br />

to embrace risks in order to experience all<br />

that entrepreneurship has to offer, <strong>the</strong>y need<br />

Governments to reflect fur<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

“How can we be of service to our<br />

entrepreneurs? How can we help <strong>the</strong>m get<br />

through adversity? Can we lower or postpone<br />

taxes and social contributions? Can we<br />

guarantee loans? Essentially, what can we do<br />

to play our part?” It’s about time.<br />

Finally, as a student of disruption, I feel<br />

compelled to close this edition <strong>by</strong> writing <strong>the</strong><br />

following. For a long time now I’ve been feeling<br />

that <strong>the</strong> way business is conducted in Brussels<br />

has to change.<br />

I sense a feeling in town that where <strong>the</strong>re’s<br />

a market, <strong>the</strong>re will be buyers; and where <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are buyers <strong>the</strong>re will be business. This is simply<br />

wrong.<br />

It is well known that an overly bureaucratic<br />

system governs <strong>the</strong> EU, but what people may<br />

not necessarily be aware of is that <strong>the</strong> way<br />

politics, advocacy and public relations are<br />

conducted in Brussels, is almost as boring.<br />

It favours lacklustre tick-a-box compliance<br />

and reporting, where instead <strong>the</strong>re could<br />

be meaningful engagement, grassroots<br />

movements and honest relationships. It<br />

favours top down behaviour in an increasingly<br />

flat world. And it operates in hierarchies in a<br />

world of networks.<br />

It is my hope that this crisis will serve as an<br />

opportunity to modernise <strong>the</strong> way business is<br />

conducted at <strong>the</strong> European Union’s business<br />

and political Capital.<br />

This is <strong>the</strong> time for consultants to be more<br />

agile and for politicians to be more result<br />

oriented. And if <strong>the</strong>y won’t, well… when new<br />

entrants come to disrupt <strong>the</strong> status quo, not<br />

all incumbents are going to survive.<br />

Welcome to <strong>Our</strong> new <strong>World</strong>. Embrace it.<br />

108 MAY 2020 | OUR WORLD


Past<br />

Present<br />

Future


THIS PAGE IS NOT FOR SALE<br />

We use this space to pay tribute to all <strong>the</strong><br />

heroes, on <strong>the</strong> frontlines and behind <strong>the</strong><br />

scenes, who have been putting <strong>the</strong>mselves<br />

and <strong>the</strong>ir families at risk, fighting every day in<br />

<strong>the</strong> most challenging of conditions to make<br />

sure that our friends, our family members,<br />

and our world, survive.<br />

We also honour <strong>the</strong> memory of <strong>the</strong> doctors,<br />

medical staff, and many o<strong>the</strong>r professionals<br />

who sacrificed <strong>the</strong>ir lives fighting this fight,<br />

and <strong>the</strong> many victims of this pandemic who<br />

will be so missed.<br />

EUR 10

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