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Stress testing in a SII environment

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Specification of specific scenarios (V)<br />

• The above are examples of specific shocks to consider. There are several others.<br />

The question is always how to <strong>in</strong>tegrate them <strong>in</strong>to the stress test model. Therefore,<br />

market monitor<strong>in</strong>g of specific risk <strong>in</strong>dicators is an important complement to stress<br />

<strong>test<strong>in</strong>g</strong>.<br />

• To be useful, the stress test scenarios need to be severe but plausible.<br />

• If all specified scenarios should be tested at once, they should be <strong>in</strong>ternally<br />

consistent (e.g. mortality and longevity assumptions, development of equity and<br />

bond values).<br />

• Not all shocks are equally relevant.<br />

• NB: <strong>Stress</strong> tests undertaken at the European level cannot take account of national<br />

idiosyncrasies.<br />

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND 27

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