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19. Scenarios for Co-creation of the Future with Effectuation

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<strong>Scenarios</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Co</strong>-<strong>creation</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong> <strong>with</strong> <strong>Effectuation</strong><br />

customer-centric design thinking (Boerman, 2018). Economies require less<br />

worker skills <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> efficient construction <strong>of</strong> products and delivery <strong>of</strong> services<br />

at scale, and increasingly depend on innovation, entrepreneurship, and o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

<strong>for</strong>ms <strong>of</strong> creativity that rely on capabilities such as critical thinking, emotional<br />

intelligence, and collaboration. Worker and organizational resilience is <strong>the</strong>n<br />

built by equipping workers <strong>with</strong> tools and strategies to adapt to a range <strong>of</strong><br />

uncertain futures (Deloitte, 2020, pp. 73, 75). The shift from functional hierarchies<br />

to team-centric and network-based organizational models was seen as<br />

important or very important by 65 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> organizations in Deloitte´s<br />

2019 Global Human Capital Trends report (p. 54). In <strong>the</strong>se teams and networks,<br />

effectuators will be able to <strong>for</strong>ge partnerships <strong>with</strong> people and organizations<br />

willing to make real pre-commitments to new ventures.<br />

5. Four <strong>Scenarios</strong><br />

Based on <strong>the</strong> two driving <strong>for</strong>ces <strong>for</strong> effectuation (section 3.4) and trends<br />

(section 4), four future scenarios <strong>for</strong> co-<strong>creation</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> future <strong>with</strong> effectuation<br />

are developed (see figure 2).<br />

Figure 2 Matrix <strong>with</strong> four scenarios <strong>for</strong> co-<strong>creation</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> future through effectuation<br />

19

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