Shea & Company, LLC
Shea & Company, LLC
Shea & Company, LLC
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Equity Trading Multiples by Segment<br />
($ millions)<br />
Share Price Market Enterprise Projected Revenue [a] EV / Revenue Projected EBITDA [a] EV / EBITDA Projected EPS [a] P/E Multiple<br />
<strong>Company</strong> (06/30/12) Value Value CY12E CY13E y/y CY12E CY13E CY12E mgn CY13E mgn CY12E CY13E CY12E CY13E y/y CY12E CY13E<br />
Global Diversified<br />
Microsoft $ 30.59 $ 257,666 $ 210,075 $ 76,204 $ 84,337 11% 2.8 x 2.5 x $ 31,287 41% $ 36,897 44% 6.7 x 5.7 x $ 2.75 $ 3.29 20% 11.1 x 9.3 x<br />
IBM 195.58 227,775<br />
Oracle 29.70 148,234<br />
Intel 26.65 134,613<br />
Cisco Systems 17.17 92,147<br />
SAP AG 59.36 70,724<br />
EMC 25.63 58,329<br />
Hewlett Packard 20.11 39,721<br />
Dell 12.51 21,895<br />
Application Delivery & Network Acceleration<br />
248,075<br />
131,481<br />
124,965<br />
59,078<br />
70,485<br />
48,524<br />
61,478<br />
13,671<br />
107,997<br />
37,546<br />
57,067<br />
46,841<br />
20,366<br />
22,231<br />
123,251<br />
60,496<br />
111,456<br />
40,025<br />
61,385<br />
49,956<br />
21,552<br />
24,662<br />
125,212<br />
61,255<br />
Notes:<br />
Enterprise value equals equity value, plus debt, less cash<br />
EV/EBITDA and P/E multiples in excess of 100x or less than 0x are considered to be not meaningful<br />
[a] Wall Street consensus estimates<br />
[b] Acquisition pending<br />
Source: <strong>Company</strong> releases, Wall Street research, <strong>Shea</strong> & <strong>Company</strong><br />
3% 2.3 2.2 26,900<br />
7% 3.5 3.3 17,920<br />
8% 2.2 2.0 24,658<br />
7% 1.3 1.2 15,064<br />
6% 3.5 3.3 7,645<br />
11% 2.2 2.0 6,635<br />
2% 0.5 0.5 16,194<br />
1% 0.2 0.2 5,435<br />
25% 28,886<br />
48% 19,126<br />
43% 27,262<br />
32% 15,958<br />
38% 8,090<br />
30% 6,680<br />
13% 14,929<br />
9% 5,338<br />
26% 9.2 8.6 14.96<br />
48% 7.3 6.9 2.48<br />
44% 5.1 4.6 2.46<br />
32% 3.9 3.7 1.85<br />
38% 9.2 8.7 4.00<br />
27% 7.3 7.3 1.72<br />
12% 3.8 4.1 4.13<br />
9% 2.5 2.6 1.96<br />
16.65<br />
2.77<br />
2.69<br />
1.98<br />
4.45<br />
2.00<br />
4.41<br />
2.05<br />
11% 13.1 11.7<br />
12% 12.0 10.7<br />
9% 10.8 9.9<br />
7% 9.3 8.7<br />
11% 14.8 13.4<br />
16% 14.9 12.8<br />
7% 4.9 4.6<br />
4% 6.4 6.1<br />
Mean $ 61,333 $ 64,427 6% 2.0 x 1.9 x $ 16,860 31% $ 18,130 31% 6.1 x 5.8 x $ 4.04 $ 4.48 11% 10.8 x 9.7 x<br />
Median 57,067 61,255 7% 2.2 2.0 16,194 32% 15,958 32% 6.7 5.7 2.48 2.77 11% 11.1 9.9<br />
Citrix Systems $ 83.94 $ 16,126 $ 14,418 $ 2,529 $ 2,889 14% 5.7 x 5.0 x $ 789 31% $ 978 34% 18.3 x 14.7 x $ 2.70 $ 3.23 19% 31.0 x 26.0 x<br />
F5 Networks 99.56 7,895<br />
Akamai Technologies 31.75 5,707<br />
Riverbed Technology 16.15 2,570<br />
Radware 38.29 874<br />
Brightcove 15.31 451<br />
RealNetworks 8.64 302<br />
Limelight Networks 2.93 296<br />
Business Intelligence<br />
6,788<br />
4,688<br />
2,020<br />
624<br />
393<br />
22<br />
174<br />
1,453<br />
1,342<br />
829<br />
192<br />
80<br />
273<br />
189<br />
1,720<br />
1,530<br />
962<br />
218<br />
100<br />
278<br />
210<br />
18% 4.7 3.9 580<br />
14% 3.5 3.1 574<br />
16% 2.4 2.1 240<br />
13% 3.2 2.9 42<br />
25% 4.9 3.9 (8)<br />
2% 0.1 0.1 (4)<br />
11% 0.9 0.8 17<br />
40% 697<br />
43% 668<br />
29% 277<br />
22% 49<br />
nm 3<br />
41% 11.7 9.7 4.70<br />
44% 8.2 7.0 1.60<br />
29% 8.4 7.3 0.95<br />
22% 14.8 12.7 1.72<br />
3% nm nm (0.48)<br />
nm n/a n/a nm nm (1.23)<br />
9% 26<br />
13% 10.2 6.6 (0.14)<br />
5.61<br />
1.88<br />
1.14<br />
2.07<br />
(0.17)<br />
(0.79)<br />
(0.06)<br />
19% 21.2 17.7<br />
18% 19.9 16.9<br />
20% 17.1 14.2<br />
20% 22.2 18.5<br />
nm nm nm<br />
nm nm nm<br />
nm nm nm<br />
Mean $ 861 $ 988 14% 3.2 x 2.7 x $ 279 29% $ 385 26% 11.9 x 9.7 x $ 1.23 $ 1.61 19% 22.3 x 18.7 x<br />
Median 551 620 14% 3.4 3.0 141 30% 277 29% 10.9 8.5 1.27 1.51 19% 21.2 17.7<br />
Informatica $ 42.36 $ 4,799 $ 4,234 $ 896 $ 1,027 15% 4.7 x 4.1 x $ 272 30% $ 314 31% 15.5 x 13.5 x $ 1.59 $ 1.87 17% 26.6 x 22.7 x<br />
Qlik Technologies 22.12 1,969<br />
MicroStrategy 129.86 1,477<br />
Bazaarvoice 18.20 1,277<br />
PROS 16.82 470<br />
Content Management<br />
1,774<br />
1,281<br />
1,152<br />
398<br />
412<br />
640<br />
132<br />
116<br />
515<br />
729<br />
169<br />
138<br />
25% 4.3 3.4 56<br />
14% 2.0 1.8 62<br />
28% 8.7 6.8 (25)<br />
20% 3.4 2.9 21<br />
14% 82<br />
10% 90<br />
nm (13)<br />
18% 26<br />
16% 31.7 21.7 0.38<br />
12% 20.7 14.2 2.99<br />
nm nm nm (0.48)<br />
19% 19.2 15.3 0.41<br />
0.57<br />
4.77<br />
(0.25)<br />
0.54<br />
51% 58.5 38.6<br />
60% 43.5 27.2<br />
nm nm nm<br />
31% 40.8 31.1<br />
Mean $ 439 $ 516 20% 4.6 x 3.8 x $ 77 18% $ 100 19% 21.8 x 16.2 x $ 0.98 $ 1.50 40% 42.3 x 29.9 x<br />
Median 412 515 20% 4.3 3.4 56 16% 82 17% 20.0 14.7 0.41 0.57 41% 42.1 29.2<br />
Adobe $ 32.37 $ 15,918 $ 14,430 $ 4,469 $ 4,819 8% 3.2 x 3.0 x $ 1,885 42% $ 2,157 45% 7.7 x 6.7 x $ 2.41 $ 2.65 10% 13.4 x 12.2 x<br />
Open Text 50.17 2,941<br />
Guidance Software 9.51 241<br />
IntraLinks 4.38 239<br />
3,036<br />
218<br />
254<br />
1,266<br />
129<br />
197<br />
1,331<br />
149<br />
217<br />
5% 2.4 2.3 362<br />
16% 1.7 1.5 15<br />
10% 1.3 1.2 31<br />
29% 371<br />
12% 15<br />
16% 34<br />
28% 8.4 8.2 4.72<br />
10% 14.6 14.4 0.37<br />
16% 8.3 7.4 0.07<br />
5.16<br />
0.48<br />
0.17<br />
9% 10.6 9.7<br />
30% 25.6 19.7<br />
131% 59.4 25.8<br />
Mean $ 1,515 $ 1,629 10% 2.2 x 2.0 x $ 573 24% $ 644 25% 9.7 x 9.2 x $ 1.90 $ 2.11 45% 27.3 x 16.8 x<br />
Median 732 774 9% 2.0 1.9 196 22% 203 22% 8.3 7.8 1.39 1.56 20% 19.5 16.0<br />
Global Diversified<br />
Application Delivery &<br />
Network Acceleration<br />
Business Intelligence<br />
Content Management<br />
ERP & Business<br />
Applications<br />
Financial Applications<br />
Human Capital<br />
Management<br />
IT Security Management<br />
Network Infrastructure<br />
Platforms, Development<br />
Tools & Deployment<br />
Storage Management<br />
Systems & Network<br />
Management<br />
Technical & Embedded<br />
Applications<br />
Software-as-a-Service<br />
High Growth<br />
Highly-Profitable<br />
Copyright © 2012 <strong>Shea</strong> & <strong>Company</strong>, <strong>LLC</strong> 21