Shea & Company, LLC
Shea & Company, LLC
Shea & Company, LLC
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Equity Trading Multiples by Comparable Subset<br />
($ millions)<br />
Share Price Market Enterprise Projected Revenue [a] EV / Revenue Projected EBITDA [a] EV / EBITDA Projected EPS [a] P/E Multiple<br />
<strong>Company</strong> (06/30/12) Value Value CY12E CY13E y/y CY12E CY13E CY12E mgn CY13E mgn CY12E CY13E CY12E CY13E y/y CY12E CY13E<br />
Software-as-a-Service<br />
Salesforce.com $ 138.26 $ 19,629 $ 18,542 $ 3,006 $ 3,817 27% 6.2 x 4.9 x $ 512 17% $ 748 20% 36.2 x 24.8 x $ 1.46 $ 2.02 38% 94.8 x 68.6 x<br />
Red Hat 56.48 10,927<br />
Ariba 44.76 4,580<br />
Concur 68.10 4,163<br />
NetSuite 54.77 4,021<br />
ServiceNow 24.60 3,235<br />
Ultimate Software 88.93 2,523<br />
Rightnow Technologies 43.00 1,758<br />
ExactTarget 21.86 1,629<br />
Jive Software 20.99 1,413<br />
Bazaarvoice 18.20 1,277<br />
Cornerstone OnDemand 23.81 1,236<br />
Kenexa 29.03 808<br />
LogMeIn 30.52 778<br />
Responsys 12.12 652<br />
Constant Contact 17.86 553<br />
DemandTec 13.19 475<br />
SciQuest 17.96 407<br />
SPS Commerce 30.38 399<br />
Vocus 18.60 368<br />
Keynote Systems 14.85 268<br />
IntraLinks 4.38 239<br />
Notes:<br />
Enterprise value equals equity value, plus debt, less cash<br />
EV/EBITDA and P/E multiples in excess of 100x or less than 0x are considered to be not meaningful<br />
[a] Wall Street consensus estimates<br />
[b] Acquisition pending<br />
Source: <strong>Company</strong> releases, Wall Street research, <strong>Shea</strong> & <strong>Company</strong><br />
9,667<br />
4,323<br />
3,622<br />
3,857<br />
3,147<br />
2,461<br />
1,517<br />
1,417<br />
1,248<br />
1,152<br />
1,154<br />
751<br />
585<br />
554<br />
472<br />
405<br />
344<br />
364<br />
419<br />
223<br />
254<br />
1,265<br />
546<br />
465<br />
299<br />
235<br />
330<br />
269<br />
272<br />
112<br />
132<br />
115<br />
360<br />
141<br />
162<br />
253<br />
98<br />
63<br />
71<br />
171<br />
129<br />
197<br />
1,496<br />
643<br />
584<br />
370<br />
363<br />
402<br />
322<br />
329<br />
155<br />
169<br />
160<br />
413<br />
172<br />
196<br />
304<br />
109<br />
76<br />
84<br />
210<br />
147<br />
217<br />
18% 7.6 6.5 360<br />
18% 7.9 6.7 131<br />
26% 7.8 6.2 108<br />
24% 12.9 10.4 28<br />
54% 13.4 8.7 (10)<br />
22% 7.5 6.1 61<br />
20% 5.6 4.7 56<br />
21% 5.2 4.3 4<br />
38% 11.1 8.1 (17)<br />
28% 8.7 6.8 (25)<br />
39% 10.0 7.2 (9)<br />
15% 2.1 1.8 59<br />
22% 4.2 3.4 31<br />
21% 3.4 2.8 24<br />
20% 1.9 1.6 36<br />
10% 4.1 3.7 11<br />
21% 5.5 4.5 12<br />
18% 5.1 4.4 9<br />
23% 2.4 2.0 13<br />
14% 1.7 1.5 23<br />
10% 1.3 1.2 31<br />
28% 445<br />
24% 159<br />
23% 142<br />
9% 46<br />
nm 13<br />
19% 86<br />
21% 71<br />
2% 15<br />
nm 4<br />
nm (13)<br />
nm (2)<br />
16% 74<br />
22% 41<br />
15% 35<br />
14% 54<br />
11% 14<br />
19% 18<br />
12% 12<br />
7% 27<br />
18% 31<br />
16% 34<br />
30% 26.8 21.7 1.12<br />
25% 33.0 27.2 1.00<br />
24% 33.6 25.6 0.88<br />
12% nm 84.7 0.19<br />
1.35<br />
1.24<br />
1.22<br />
0.31<br />
21% 50.4 41.8<br />
24% 44.7 36.0<br />
39% 77.7 55.8<br />
68% nm nm<br />
3% nm nm n/a n/a n/a nm nm<br />
21% 40.1 28.6 0.98<br />
22% 27.1 21.4 0.82<br />
5% nm 95.4 (0.66)<br />
3% nm nm (0.43)<br />
nm nm nm (0.48)<br />
nm nm nm (0.27)<br />
18% 12.7 10.2 1.03<br />
24% 19.1 14.2 0.65<br />
18% 22.6 15.9 0.20<br />
18% 13.1 8.8 0.56<br />
13% 38.3 29.4 0.10<br />
23% 29.4 19.6 0.27<br />
15% 41.5 29.6 0.41<br />
13% 32.7 15.6 0.36<br />
21% 9.8 7.3 0.88<br />
16% 8.3 7.4 0.07<br />
1.43<br />
1.14<br />
(0.17)<br />
(0.16)<br />
(0.25)<br />
(0.09)<br />
1.30<br />
0.89<br />
0.31<br />
0.91<br />
0.11<br />
0.41<br />
0.56<br />
0.66<br />
1.27<br />
0.17<br />
46% 90.5 62.1<br />
39% 52.4 37.7<br />
nm nm nm<br />
nm nm nm<br />
nm nm nm<br />
nm nm nm<br />
26% 28.2 22.4<br />
37% 46.7 34.1<br />
53% 60.0 39.1<br />
64% 32.1 19.5<br />
12% nm nm<br />
53% 66.5 43.5<br />
37% 74.5 54.2<br />
85% 52.1 28.1<br />
44% 16.8 11.7<br />
131% 59.4 25.8<br />
Mean $ 395 $ 488 23% 6.2 x 4.9 x $ 66 16% $ 93 17% 26.5 x 27.1 x $ 0.44 $ 0.70 48% 56.5 x 38.7 x<br />
Median 216 260 21% 5.6 4.6 26 17% 35 18% 28.2 21.6 0.41 0.66 39% 52.4 37.7<br />
Global Diversified<br />
Application Delivery &<br />
Network Acceleration<br />
Business Intelligence<br />
Content Management<br />
ERP & Business<br />
Applications<br />
Financial Applications<br />
Human Capital<br />
Management<br />
IT Security Management<br />
Network Infrastructure<br />
Platforms, Development<br />
Tools & Deployment<br />
Storage Management<br />
Systems & Network<br />
Management<br />
Technical & Embedded<br />
Applications<br />
Software-as-a-Service<br />
High Growth<br />
Highly-Profitable<br />
Copyright © 2012 <strong>Shea</strong> & <strong>Company</strong>, <strong>LLC</strong> 25