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June 2022 — MHCE Newsletter

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14 | <strong>MHCE</strong> - News www.mhce.us JUNE <strong>2022</strong> EDITION<br />

While the adult trials recruited tens of thousands of<br />

volunteers and waited to see if vaccinated people were<br />

better protected, the children's vaccine trials were primarily<br />

designed to measure immune responses using blood tests.<br />

The criteria for success was whether a vaccine provoked<br />

a comparable immune response to what was seen among<br />

young adults in trials conducted before the widespread<br />

emergence of variants. Both the Pfizer-BioNTech and<br />

Moderna pediatric vaccines succeeded on that measure,<br />

although the significance of that benchmark has shifted<br />

with the emergence of the omicron variant.<br />

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The companies also measured cases of symptomatic illness<br />

in the population, and Pfizer and BioNTech said the 80%<br />

efficacy finding was preliminary and based on 10 cases of<br />

COVID-19 in the study population as of the end of April.<br />

Once 21 cases have occurred, the companies will conduct a<br />

more formal analysis of efficacy.<br />

David Benkeser, a biostatistician at Emory University's<br />

Rollins School of Public Health, said the updated data<br />

would probably be ready before a decision would need to<br />

be made, and that he wouldn't be surprised if the efficacy<br />

number declined somewhat as more cases occur.<br />

"Even still, it appears the data are so far pointing towards<br />

a safe and effective vaccine for young children," Benkeser<br />

wrote in an email.<br />

Moderna's two-shot vaccine regimen was about 51%<br />

effective in children 6 months to 2 years old, and 37%<br />

effective in children 2 to 5 years old.<br />

If Pfizer's efficacy data holds up, it could pose a conundrum<br />

for public health officials, physicians and parents. If<br />

both vaccines are cleared by the FDA, the CDC advisory<br />

committee could weigh whether one vaccine should be<br />

recommended over the other.<br />

Moderna is studying a booster given six months after the<br />

last shot.<br />

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In either case, the hope is that children will be fully<br />

vaccinated in advance of a potential surge in the fall.<br />

On Sunday, before the Pfizer announcement, White House<br />

coronavirus response coordinator Ashish Jha predicted on<br />

ABC News' "This Week" that children could have access<br />

to a shot "in the next few weeks" and that action would be<br />

taken on the Moderna vaccine as soon as regulators were<br />

finished with their review.

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