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Peter Obi's presidential run(2)<br />

The first major obstacle that any politician<br />

who aspires to transform Nigeria in any<br />

real sense would encounter and that would<br />

immediately hobble rather than enhance their<br />

performance pertains to the structure of<br />

Nigeria. Ours is a unitary system that disguises<br />

as federal. It is a system that robs Peter to pay<br />

Paul, a legacy of the military’s incursion into<br />

politics that has over the years deformed and<br />

rendered useless the tradition of healthy rivalry<br />

among the country’s constituent units and<br />

politicians right before independence in 1960,<br />

and was to be entrenched by the Constitution<br />

of 1963. But beginning from 1966 under the<br />

Aguiyi Ironsi military government that stood<br />

in the gap created by the failed putschists of<br />

January 1966, the country’s federal structure<br />

that was made up of semi-autonomous<br />

regions suffered incalculable and so far,<br />

irreparable damage. The farther we have<br />

travelled as a political entity from that period,<br />

the worse it has been to manage Nigeria<br />

without the chaos attendant to a failed state.<br />

This structural deformity from the military<br />

that was first transferred into the militarymidwifed<br />

Constitution of 1979 is the obstacle<br />

that has been confronted and will be<br />

confronted by every Nigerian leader in the<br />

post-military era with any slight awareness of<br />

what has to be done to right the historic wrong<br />

that was introduced into the country’s politics<br />

by the military in 1966. It was a political<br />

problem that is today also a constitutional<br />

crisis. You can only take charge of and change<br />

for good a problem you know exists. Peter Obi’s<br />

rhetoric has clearly glossed over this<br />

fundamental aspect of the Nigerian crisis and<br />

demonstrated no awareness of it, to say nothing<br />

of him proffering any solution to it. It is the<br />

political elephant or, perhaps more<br />

appropriately, the leviathan in the room that<br />

Peter Obi and his obedient partisans have<br />

failed to acknowledge.<br />

It is the failure or inability to either<br />

acknowledge or address the challenges posed<br />

by this structural conundrum by past and<br />

present leaders that is at the base of the<br />

identarian crisis that has frayed the country’s<br />

social fabric, tested its political unity and made<br />

its transition merely from a state to a nation a<br />

perennial challenge. No past or any other<br />

politician of the present times for that matter,<br />

including Peter Obi, stands the chance of<br />

making any impact on the calloused skin of<br />

the country’s divisive nationalisms as long as<br />

they choose to ride against the headwinds of<br />

this problem. Until Peter Obi is able to offer a<br />

road map around and away from the<br />

treacherous slopes of this roadblock, his<br />

prognosis of the Nigerian crisis will always<br />

remain a poetic flight of fancy than a realist<br />

take of our political situation.<br />

While Peter Obi’s starry-eyed postulations<br />

concerning how Nigeria was railroaded into<br />

its present situation would appear to carry the<br />

seeds of the solution to the problems of<br />

governance he has identified, only a clear and<br />

detailed elaboration of HOW we can get out<br />

of it should count. Thus, rather than the WHAT<br />

of the situation, it is the HOW (to get out) of it<br />

that matters. In other words, what should be of<br />

moment is what he has to say in unvarnished<br />

Vanguard, WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 14, 2022 —17<br />

truth of how Nigeria can get out of the corner<br />

it has been painted into by the incompetence,<br />

misgovernance and corruption of some past<br />

leaders (all issues that have been accentuated<br />

by the structural problem identified above).<br />

This aspect of Obi’s and the so-called Obidients’<br />

apprehension of the HOW of the matter is in<br />

clear deficit. I am taking seriously the focus on<br />

Obi because he is that one of the three leading<br />

presidential candidates that has said he, and<br />

we have been told to accept, has the touch to<br />

transform Nigeria in a manner no other<br />

candidate can or has. But where and in what<br />

way will or can this transformation take place<br />

given the structural imbalance that has<br />

humbled both the potentially capable if not<br />

great leader and the manifestly incompetent<br />

politician in post-military Nigeria? How can<br />

Peter Obi navigate the course differently from<br />

others who have showed an awareness of the<br />

Away from the structural<br />

challenges, Peter Obi and his<br />

Obidient train still have to work<br />

out how they can muster<br />

enough votes to win the<br />

presidency (with 25% of ballots<br />

across two-thirds of Nigeria’s<br />

36 states and the FCT) with<br />

nothing more than the abrasive<br />

enthusiasm of urban-based<br />

supporters<br />

problem, the original sin that has informed<br />

such demands as the calls for a sovereign<br />

national conference, the fashioning of a new<br />

constitution, the restructuring or, in more<br />

extreme cases, outright dismemberment of the<br />

country along ethnic or religious lines?<br />

While the likes of Olusegun Obasanjo chose to<br />

ignore any call for correcting the structural<br />

challenges and Muhammadu Buhari and his<br />

APC promised but have failed to do something<br />

in that regard, no serious politician (Umar<br />

Yar’Adua tried his bit during his short presidency<br />

in his admission of the flawed process that<br />

brought him to power and constituted the<br />

Muhammed Uwais Panel) has ignored the<br />

challenge the way Obi appears to be doing while<br />

waxing lyrical on what is amiss with<br />

governance. Even as “clueless” as Goodluck<br />

Jonathan was supposed to be, he was aware of<br />

this problem and constituted a National<br />

Conference to address it in 2014. The<br />

recommendations from that conference<br />

although not implemented are in some<br />

respects unimpeachable. What does Peter Obi<br />

have to say about this? Where does he stand<br />

on the matter for this is fundamental to<br />

anything else he hopes to achieve?<br />

Away from the structural challenges, Peter<br />

Obi and his Obidient train still have to work<br />

out how they can muster enough votes to<br />

win the presidency (with 25% of ballots across<br />

two-thirds of Nigeria’s 36 states and the FCT)<br />

with nothing more than the abrasive<br />

enthusiasm of urban-based supporters. This<br />

may be theoretically possible (if his assumed<br />

supporters choose to vote irrespective of party<br />

affiliation), but how practicable is this? How<br />

much can be achieved with the road walks<br />

or “million-man” marches of supporters?<br />

How financially mobilised are these foot<br />

soldiers, home and abroad? Although Nigeria<br />

has no cap on campaign funding, how much<br />

can donors or international remittances do<br />

in the face of the financial war chest of the<br />

APC and the PDP? Yes, Peter Obi may be<br />

richer than the average Nigerian or<br />

politician but will he run his campaign on<br />

personal funds?<br />

At the moment, his campaign nationwide is<br />

largely anchored on his PDP connections<br />

aside from the support that his APGA<br />

ancestry will provide in the Igbo-speaking<br />

states. The politicians he courts are also<br />

mostly from the PDP, a likely pointer to where<br />

he has his base and from where he could expect<br />

to draw votes outside APGA. Could this<br />

explain his Obidients’ constantly savage<br />

attack on Bola Tinubu, the potential<br />

beneficiary of the split votes of the PDP? Given<br />

the way Obi’s supporters attack Tinubu any<br />

cursory observer could be excused to think<br />

he is the sole aspirant to the office of president<br />

aside Peter Obi himself.<br />

Concluded<br />

They came on the wings of hope.<br />

Was it building castles in the air?<br />

Oh, the commonality of cliché!<br />

Nigeria will be good again. Life will<br />

be worth celebrating. Life will be<br />

safe. Food will be available. The<br />

dollar would return to the pre-1999<br />

value. They would put an end to<br />

fuel subsidy, and electricity would<br />

be available to the people, because<br />

any government that couldn’t<br />

resolve the problem of electricity or<br />

power within six months was<br />

irresponsible. Their government<br />

would not be irresponsible.<br />

Transportation - rail, road and air -<br />

will work once again in our nation.<br />

The only thing this government didn’t<br />

promise us was that they would bring<br />

the moon down so that, like Neil<br />

Armstrong, Buzz Aldrin and Michael<br />

Collins, the American astronauts that<br />

went to the moon in July 1969,<br />

Nigerians could also step on it and<br />

say “we come in peace for all<br />

mankind”.<br />

Come to think of it, Nigeria needed<br />

peace at the time. The nation<br />

needed hope and needed good men<br />

to stay in the gap and raise the<br />

standards. APC, as a political party,<br />

raised the men that filled that gap<br />

and began to feed the people with<br />

the sweetness of hope. They took the<br />

word, Panglossian, and painted it<br />

on a canvass of hope so that<br />

Nigerians would have no reason to<br />

despair ever again. Nobody ever<br />

thought of the flip side.<br />

The unquestioned flip side has<br />

become a haunting reality. Having<br />

08055069060 (SMS Only)<br />

For telecoms, the curse of the<br />

low hanging fruits<br />

placed some men and women of<br />

questionable competence in strategic<br />

offices, this government has failed so<br />

miserably that it is looking for all<br />

kinds of channels to raise finances to<br />

fund its operations. One of such<br />

channels, unfortunately, is the<br />

telecommunications industry which,<br />

at the moment, continues to<br />

outperform other sectors in spite of<br />

the government's failure to protect the<br />

sector.<br />

Globally, the telecoms industry<br />

suffers the fate of the low hanging<br />

fruits, readily available for any<br />

government in need to quickly<br />

pluck and solve its problems. For<br />

some of us with roots in the village,<br />

the expression, low hanging fruits,<br />

only stirs a nostalgia, some<br />

pleasurable throwback of those<br />

journeys to the farms after school,<br />

to meet your parents, and the joy of<br />

savouring the fruits of those<br />

economic trees that line the sides of<br />

the farm route, to quench your<br />

immediate hunger.<br />

Low hanging fruits. You didn’t need<br />

to struggle much before harvesting<br />

enough to fill your stomach. But life<br />

has changed so much. Nostalgia can<br />

now inflict pains because going to<br />

the farm has become more<br />

dangerous and deadlier than<br />

suicide. This is one dreadful legacy<br />

this administration is going to<br />

bequeath to Nigerians.<br />

As it is, some top officials are<br />

throwing everything into the fire<br />

to do whatever salvaging is possible.<br />

So, it was with respectable aplomb<br />

and fait accompli that the Minister of<br />

Finance, Budget and National<br />

Planning, Mrs Zainab Ahmed,<br />

announced in July this year, the<br />

implementation of a five per cent<br />

Excise Duty on telecommunications<br />

services.<br />

There was outrage. But it was the curse<br />

of the low hanging fruits. Industry<br />

bodies, the Association of<br />

Telecommunications Companies of<br />

Nigeria, ATCON, and the Association<br />

of Licensed Telecoms Operators of<br />

Nigeria, ALTON, said this was one<br />

tax too many. There was already a 7.5<br />

per cent VAT, bringing the total to<br />

12.5 per cent tax that the subscribers<br />

would have to pay. It would be an<br />

overkill for the subscriber, an overkill<br />

for the industry and even an overkill<br />

for the government that may enjoy<br />

some advantages in the immediate.<br />

While one may observe<br />

here that some<br />

individuals and<br />

organisations do pay their<br />

taxes to the government, it<br />

is difficult to establish<br />

how much education is<br />

going on, and how<br />

healthy and safe the<br />

environment is<br />

History will record it as a pleasant<br />

surprise that an elite member of the<br />

ministerial coterie, Dr Isah<br />

Pantami, whose rambunctious<br />

posturing has done so much damage<br />

to the telecommunications<br />

industry, has broken ranks to fight<br />

on the side of the industry. His<br />

remonstrations have led to a<br />

suspension of the five per cent excise<br />

duty, while also compelling the<br />

government to set up a committee to<br />

take another look at the decision.<br />

The minister’s position is very clear.<br />

You don’t need to strangle a front-line<br />

performer as a reward for good<br />

performance and efficiency. He<br />

observed that in spite of the tax<br />

overload being borne by the<br />

operators, the industry has<br />

continued to perform well.<br />

“Three unprecedented positive<br />

developments have occurred in the<br />

digital economy sector in the last<br />

three years. In the last quarter of<br />

2020, ICT alone, without including<br />

digital services, contributed 14.70<br />

per cent to the GDP. In the second<br />

quarter of 2021, we saw another<br />

record where the sector contributed<br />

17.90 per cent to the GDP. The last<br />

record was in the second quarter of<br />

2022 where ICT contributed 18.44<br />

per cent to the GDP. By implication<br />

the sector has been contributing a<br />

lot to the GDP,” the minister stated.<br />

On this matter the minister is right<br />

and enjoys overwhelming support.<br />

What irks me a little bit is that the<br />

regulator of the industry, the<br />

Nigerian Communications<br />

Commission, NCC, had enough<br />

material to defend the operators but<br />

I wouldn’t know how much it tried.<br />

Otherwise the minister didn’t need<br />

to get into the fray at all.<br />

In a 2020 research titled: "A<br />

Compendium of Taxes, Levies and<br />

Fees by State Governments on<br />

Telecoms Operators in Nigeria and<br />

its Effect on the National Digital<br />

Economy", the regulator which<br />

sought tangible proofs of payments<br />

from the operators, was able to<br />

establish 41 sundry taxes in the<br />

basket of the operators with the<br />

Minister of Finance scheming to add<br />

even more.<br />

“The Telecommunications Operators<br />

in Nigeria reportedly pay more than<br />

40 different taxes and levies to<br />

different Agencies of the Government<br />

at Federal, State and Local<br />

Government levels in Nigeria,” the<br />

report said.<br />

In talking about tax, I particularly<br />

like the researchers’ choice of K.<br />

Nightingale’s definition, which<br />

says: “A tax is compulsory<br />

contribution, imposed by<br />

Government, and while tax payers<br />

may receive nothing identifiable in<br />

return for their contributions, they<br />

nevertheless have the benefit of living<br />

in a relatively educated, healthy and<br />

safe society.”<br />

While one may observe here that<br />

some individuals and organisations<br />

do pay their taxes to the<br />

government, it is difficult to<br />

establish how much education is<br />

going on, and how healthy and safe<br />

the environment is. Universities<br />

are shut for nearly seven months<br />

and insecurity is pervasive and<br />

hovering at the fringes of a full<br />

blown war. What returns are the<br />

people and corporates getting from<br />

their taxes?<br />

The evils of multiple taxation were<br />

also clearly listed. The word,<br />

multiple, speaks well for itself. The<br />

researchers describe multiple<br />

taxation as follows: "an income<br />

that is subjected to tax more than<br />

once, often by two or more<br />

different authorities in a way that<br />

may be unfair or illegal.<br />

Illegality and unfairness<br />

distinguish multiple taxation<br />

from double taxation.”<br />

A grim reality established by the<br />

research is that “the higher the<br />

taxes the higher the level of<br />

unserved areas - areas not<br />

covered by telecommunications<br />

services. It shows that taxes<br />

hinder the expansion of the<br />

telecommunications industry<br />

towards areas that are unserved<br />

and as a result might hinder the<br />

achievement of the digital<br />

economy.”<br />

Here is my little observation. It<br />

is in the nature of government to<br />

look for multiple channels to<br />

increase revenue; more so in a<br />

world where the global economy<br />

is challenged, and further<br />

exacerbated locally by installed<br />

incompetence in high places. But<br />

it is also the responsibility of the<br />

regulator to stand firm and<br />

defend the industry and its<br />

customers with available<br />

statistics. Otherwise, regulation<br />

only becomes an instrument of<br />

legitimised extortion.

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