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Peter Obi's presidential run(2)<br />
The first major obstacle that any politician<br />
who aspires to transform Nigeria in any<br />
real sense would encounter and that would<br />
immediately hobble rather than enhance their<br />
performance pertains to the structure of<br />
Nigeria. Ours is a unitary system that disguises<br />
as federal. It is a system that robs Peter to pay<br />
Paul, a legacy of the military’s incursion into<br />
politics that has over the years deformed and<br />
rendered useless the tradition of healthy rivalry<br />
among the country’s constituent units and<br />
politicians right before independence in 1960,<br />
and was to be entrenched by the Constitution<br />
of 1963. But beginning from 1966 under the<br />
Aguiyi Ironsi military government that stood<br />
in the gap created by the failed putschists of<br />
January 1966, the country’s federal structure<br />
that was made up of semi-autonomous<br />
regions suffered incalculable and so far,<br />
irreparable damage. The farther we have<br />
travelled as a political entity from that period,<br />
the worse it has been to manage Nigeria<br />
without the chaos attendant to a failed state.<br />
This structural deformity from the military<br />
that was first transferred into the militarymidwifed<br />
Constitution of 1979 is the obstacle<br />
that has been confronted and will be<br />
confronted by every Nigerian leader in the<br />
post-military era with any slight awareness of<br />
what has to be done to right the historic wrong<br />
that was introduced into the country’s politics<br />
by the military in 1966. It was a political<br />
problem that is today also a constitutional<br />
crisis. You can only take charge of and change<br />
for good a problem you know exists. Peter Obi’s<br />
rhetoric has clearly glossed over this<br />
fundamental aspect of the Nigerian crisis and<br />
demonstrated no awareness of it, to say nothing<br />
of him proffering any solution to it. It is the<br />
political elephant or, perhaps more<br />
appropriately, the leviathan in the room that<br />
Peter Obi and his obedient partisans have<br />
failed to acknowledge.<br />
It is the failure or inability to either<br />
acknowledge or address the challenges posed<br />
by this structural conundrum by past and<br />
present leaders that is at the base of the<br />
identarian crisis that has frayed the country’s<br />
social fabric, tested its political unity and made<br />
its transition merely from a state to a nation a<br />
perennial challenge. No past or any other<br />
politician of the present times for that matter,<br />
including Peter Obi, stands the chance of<br />
making any impact on the calloused skin of<br />
the country’s divisive nationalisms as long as<br />
they choose to ride against the headwinds of<br />
this problem. Until Peter Obi is able to offer a<br />
road map around and away from the<br />
treacherous slopes of this roadblock, his<br />
prognosis of the Nigerian crisis will always<br />
remain a poetic flight of fancy than a realist<br />
take of our political situation.<br />
While Peter Obi’s starry-eyed postulations<br />
concerning how Nigeria was railroaded into<br />
its present situation would appear to carry the<br />
seeds of the solution to the problems of<br />
governance he has identified, only a clear and<br />
detailed elaboration of HOW we can get out<br />
of it should count. Thus, rather than the WHAT<br />
of the situation, it is the HOW (to get out) of it<br />
that matters. In other words, what should be of<br />
moment is what he has to say in unvarnished<br />
Vanguard, WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 14, 2022 —17<br />
truth of how Nigeria can get out of the corner<br />
it has been painted into by the incompetence,<br />
misgovernance and corruption of some past<br />
leaders (all issues that have been accentuated<br />
by the structural problem identified above).<br />
This aspect of Obi’s and the so-called Obidients’<br />
apprehension of the HOW of the matter is in<br />
clear deficit. I am taking seriously the focus on<br />
Obi because he is that one of the three leading<br />
presidential candidates that has said he, and<br />
we have been told to accept, has the touch to<br />
transform Nigeria in a manner no other<br />
candidate can or has. But where and in what<br />
way will or can this transformation take place<br />
given the structural imbalance that has<br />
humbled both the potentially capable if not<br />
great leader and the manifestly incompetent<br />
politician in post-military Nigeria? How can<br />
Peter Obi navigate the course differently from<br />
others who have showed an awareness of the<br />
Away from the structural<br />
challenges, Peter Obi and his<br />
Obidient train still have to work<br />
out how they can muster<br />
enough votes to win the<br />
presidency (with 25% of ballots<br />
across two-thirds of Nigeria’s<br />
36 states and the FCT) with<br />
nothing more than the abrasive<br />
enthusiasm of urban-based<br />
supporters<br />
problem, the original sin that has informed<br />
such demands as the calls for a sovereign<br />
national conference, the fashioning of a new<br />
constitution, the restructuring or, in more<br />
extreme cases, outright dismemberment of the<br />
country along ethnic or religious lines?<br />
While the likes of Olusegun Obasanjo chose to<br />
ignore any call for correcting the structural<br />
challenges and Muhammadu Buhari and his<br />
APC promised but have failed to do something<br />
in that regard, no serious politician (Umar<br />
Yar’Adua tried his bit during his short presidency<br />
in his admission of the flawed process that<br />
brought him to power and constituted the<br />
Muhammed Uwais Panel) has ignored the<br />
challenge the way Obi appears to be doing while<br />
waxing lyrical on what is amiss with<br />
governance. Even as “clueless” as Goodluck<br />
Jonathan was supposed to be, he was aware of<br />
this problem and constituted a National<br />
Conference to address it in 2014. The<br />
recommendations from that conference<br />
although not implemented are in some<br />
respects unimpeachable. What does Peter Obi<br />
have to say about this? Where does he stand<br />
on the matter for this is fundamental to<br />
anything else he hopes to achieve?<br />
Away from the structural challenges, Peter<br />
Obi and his Obidient train still have to work<br />
out how they can muster enough votes to<br />
win the presidency (with 25% of ballots across<br />
two-thirds of Nigeria’s 36 states and the FCT)<br />
with nothing more than the abrasive<br />
enthusiasm of urban-based supporters. This<br />
may be theoretically possible (if his assumed<br />
supporters choose to vote irrespective of party<br />
affiliation), but how practicable is this? How<br />
much can be achieved with the road walks<br />
or “million-man” marches of supporters?<br />
How financially mobilised are these foot<br />
soldiers, home and abroad? Although Nigeria<br />
has no cap on campaign funding, how much<br />
can donors or international remittances do<br />
in the face of the financial war chest of the<br />
APC and the PDP? Yes, Peter Obi may be<br />
richer than the average Nigerian or<br />
politician but will he run his campaign on<br />
personal funds?<br />
At the moment, his campaign nationwide is<br />
largely anchored on his PDP connections<br />
aside from the support that his APGA<br />
ancestry will provide in the Igbo-speaking<br />
states. The politicians he courts are also<br />
mostly from the PDP, a likely pointer to where<br />
he has his base and from where he could expect<br />
to draw votes outside APGA. Could this<br />
explain his Obidients’ constantly savage<br />
attack on Bola Tinubu, the potential<br />
beneficiary of the split votes of the PDP? Given<br />
the way Obi’s supporters attack Tinubu any<br />
cursory observer could be excused to think<br />
he is the sole aspirant to the office of president<br />
aside Peter Obi himself.<br />
Concluded<br />
They came on the wings of hope.<br />
Was it building castles in the air?<br />
Oh, the commonality of cliché!<br />
Nigeria will be good again. Life will<br />
be worth celebrating. Life will be<br />
safe. Food will be available. The<br />
dollar would return to the pre-1999<br />
value. They would put an end to<br />
fuel subsidy, and electricity would<br />
be available to the people, because<br />
any government that couldn’t<br />
resolve the problem of electricity or<br />
power within six months was<br />
irresponsible. Their government<br />
would not be irresponsible.<br />
Transportation - rail, road and air -<br />
will work once again in our nation.<br />
The only thing this government didn’t<br />
promise us was that they would bring<br />
the moon down so that, like Neil<br />
Armstrong, Buzz Aldrin and Michael<br />
Collins, the American astronauts that<br />
went to the moon in July 1969,<br />
Nigerians could also step on it and<br />
say “we come in peace for all<br />
mankind”.<br />
Come to think of it, Nigeria needed<br />
peace at the time. The nation<br />
needed hope and needed good men<br />
to stay in the gap and raise the<br />
standards. APC, as a political party,<br />
raised the men that filled that gap<br />
and began to feed the people with<br />
the sweetness of hope. They took the<br />
word, Panglossian, and painted it<br />
on a canvass of hope so that<br />
Nigerians would have no reason to<br />
despair ever again. Nobody ever<br />
thought of the flip side.<br />
The unquestioned flip side has<br />
become a haunting reality. Having<br />
08055069060 (SMS Only)<br />
For telecoms, the curse of the<br />
low hanging fruits<br />
placed some men and women of<br />
questionable competence in strategic<br />
offices, this government has failed so<br />
miserably that it is looking for all<br />
kinds of channels to raise finances to<br />
fund its operations. One of such<br />
channels, unfortunately, is the<br />
telecommunications industry which,<br />
at the moment, continues to<br />
outperform other sectors in spite of<br />
the government's failure to protect the<br />
sector.<br />
Globally, the telecoms industry<br />
suffers the fate of the low hanging<br />
fruits, readily available for any<br />
government in need to quickly<br />
pluck and solve its problems. For<br />
some of us with roots in the village,<br />
the expression, low hanging fruits,<br />
only stirs a nostalgia, some<br />
pleasurable throwback of those<br />
journeys to the farms after school,<br />
to meet your parents, and the joy of<br />
savouring the fruits of those<br />
economic trees that line the sides of<br />
the farm route, to quench your<br />
immediate hunger.<br />
Low hanging fruits. You didn’t need<br />
to struggle much before harvesting<br />
enough to fill your stomach. But life<br />
has changed so much. Nostalgia can<br />
now inflict pains because going to<br />
the farm has become more<br />
dangerous and deadlier than<br />
suicide. This is one dreadful legacy<br />
this administration is going to<br />
bequeath to Nigerians.<br />
As it is, some top officials are<br />
throwing everything into the fire<br />
to do whatever salvaging is possible.<br />
So, it was with respectable aplomb<br />
and fait accompli that the Minister of<br />
Finance, Budget and National<br />
Planning, Mrs Zainab Ahmed,<br />
announced in July this year, the<br />
implementation of a five per cent<br />
Excise Duty on telecommunications<br />
services.<br />
There was outrage. But it was the curse<br />
of the low hanging fruits. Industry<br />
bodies, the Association of<br />
Telecommunications Companies of<br />
Nigeria, ATCON, and the Association<br />
of Licensed Telecoms Operators of<br />
Nigeria, ALTON, said this was one<br />
tax too many. There was already a 7.5<br />
per cent VAT, bringing the total to<br />
12.5 per cent tax that the subscribers<br />
would have to pay. It would be an<br />
overkill for the subscriber, an overkill<br />
for the industry and even an overkill<br />
for the government that may enjoy<br />
some advantages in the immediate.<br />
While one may observe<br />
here that some<br />
individuals and<br />
organisations do pay their<br />
taxes to the government, it<br />
is difficult to establish<br />
how much education is<br />
going on, and how<br />
healthy and safe the<br />
environment is<br />
History will record it as a pleasant<br />
surprise that an elite member of the<br />
ministerial coterie, Dr Isah<br />
Pantami, whose rambunctious<br />
posturing has done so much damage<br />
to the telecommunications<br />
industry, has broken ranks to fight<br />
on the side of the industry. His<br />
remonstrations have led to a<br />
suspension of the five per cent excise<br />
duty, while also compelling the<br />
government to set up a committee to<br />
take another look at the decision.<br />
The minister’s position is very clear.<br />
You don’t need to strangle a front-line<br />
performer as a reward for good<br />
performance and efficiency. He<br />
observed that in spite of the tax<br />
overload being borne by the<br />
operators, the industry has<br />
continued to perform well.<br />
“Three unprecedented positive<br />
developments have occurred in the<br />
digital economy sector in the last<br />
three years. In the last quarter of<br />
2020, ICT alone, without including<br />
digital services, contributed 14.70<br />
per cent to the GDP. In the second<br />
quarter of 2021, we saw another<br />
record where the sector contributed<br />
17.90 per cent to the GDP. The last<br />
record was in the second quarter of<br />
2022 where ICT contributed 18.44<br />
per cent to the GDP. By implication<br />
the sector has been contributing a<br />
lot to the GDP,” the minister stated.<br />
On this matter the minister is right<br />
and enjoys overwhelming support.<br />
What irks me a little bit is that the<br />
regulator of the industry, the<br />
Nigerian Communications<br />
Commission, NCC, had enough<br />
material to defend the operators but<br />
I wouldn’t know how much it tried.<br />
Otherwise the minister didn’t need<br />
to get into the fray at all.<br />
In a 2020 research titled: "A<br />
Compendium of Taxes, Levies and<br />
Fees by State Governments on<br />
Telecoms Operators in Nigeria and<br />
its Effect on the National Digital<br />
Economy", the regulator which<br />
sought tangible proofs of payments<br />
from the operators, was able to<br />
establish 41 sundry taxes in the<br />
basket of the operators with the<br />
Minister of Finance scheming to add<br />
even more.<br />
“The Telecommunications Operators<br />
in Nigeria reportedly pay more than<br />
40 different taxes and levies to<br />
different Agencies of the Government<br />
at Federal, State and Local<br />
Government levels in Nigeria,” the<br />
report said.<br />
In talking about tax, I particularly<br />
like the researchers’ choice of K.<br />
Nightingale’s definition, which<br />
says: “A tax is compulsory<br />
contribution, imposed by<br />
Government, and while tax payers<br />
may receive nothing identifiable in<br />
return for their contributions, they<br />
nevertheless have the benefit of living<br />
in a relatively educated, healthy and<br />
safe society.”<br />
While one may observe here that<br />
some individuals and organisations<br />
do pay their taxes to the<br />
government, it is difficult to<br />
establish how much education is<br />
going on, and how healthy and safe<br />
the environment is. Universities<br />
are shut for nearly seven months<br />
and insecurity is pervasive and<br />
hovering at the fringes of a full<br />
blown war. What returns are the<br />
people and corporates getting from<br />
their taxes?<br />
The evils of multiple taxation were<br />
also clearly listed. The word,<br />
multiple, speaks well for itself. The<br />
researchers describe multiple<br />
taxation as follows: "an income<br />
that is subjected to tax more than<br />
once, often by two or more<br />
different authorities in a way that<br />
may be unfair or illegal.<br />
Illegality and unfairness<br />
distinguish multiple taxation<br />
from double taxation.”<br />
A grim reality established by the<br />
research is that “the higher the<br />
taxes the higher the level of<br />
unserved areas - areas not<br />
covered by telecommunications<br />
services. It shows that taxes<br />
hinder the expansion of the<br />
telecommunications industry<br />
towards areas that are unserved<br />
and as a result might hinder the<br />
achievement of the digital<br />
economy.”<br />
Here is my little observation. It<br />
is in the nature of government to<br />
look for multiple channels to<br />
increase revenue; more so in a<br />
world where the global economy<br />
is challenged, and further<br />
exacerbated locally by installed<br />
incompetence in high places. But<br />
it is also the responsibility of the<br />
regulator to stand firm and<br />
defend the industry and its<br />
customers with available<br />
statistics. Otherwise, regulation<br />
only becomes an instrument of<br />
legitimised extortion.