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effort against the <strong>Irish</strong> compared to the Illinois<br />

game. With that in mind, we expect to see a much<br />

better effort from Purdue’s linebackers covering the<br />

tight end in the passing game.<br />

As always, getting pressure on the quarterback<br />

will be key, especially since the Lions will probably be faced with<br />

several third-and-long situations.<br />

Keep in mind, that senior quarterback Zack Mills still won’t<br />

be close to 100 percent after partially separating his right (nonthrowing)<br />

shoulder against the Badgers.<br />

Also, the left-handed Mills has been prone to turn the ball<br />

over often during his career. He has thrown five touchdown passes<br />

with eight interceptions in 2004 and has been picked off 35<br />

times (compared to 37 TD passes) during the course of his career.<br />

If Michael Robinson is unable to go after suffering a concussion<br />

against Wisconsin, Penn State’s passing attack will be greatly<br />

effected. Robinson holds the Lions’ longest pass reception of<br />

the season (49 yards), but after that the longest play has been 32.<br />

Not helping matters in this category has been the fact that<br />

Penn State’s receivers have dropped several passes on numerous<br />

occasions.<br />

Purdue must improve its pass defense, which is surrendering<br />

239.5 yards per game (85th nationally).<br />

You can bet Penn State will try and exploit that any and<br />

every way it can.<br />

Advantage: Purdue<br />

PU RUNNING GAME VS. PSU AGAINST THE RUN<br />

The 77-year-old Paterno says the Lions aren’t as<br />

bad as some people believe at stopping the run<br />

(54th nationally, permitting 135.8 yards per game)<br />

so we think the Blue and White will play with a lot<br />

of energy and hold the Boilermaker running attack<br />

in check.<br />

Plus, Jerod Void is less than 100 percent after banging up his<br />

left shoulder against the <strong>Irish</strong>.<br />

The Lions did a decent job on Minnesota’s rushing attack,<br />

which entered play Oct. 2 averaging a Big Ten-best 332 yards per<br />

game. The Gophers settled for 288 yards on the ground, including<br />

a season-low 143 in the first two quarters.<br />

Nonetheless, Purdue proved against Notre Dame that it<br />

doesn’t have to run the ball especially well to be productive<br />

offensively.<br />

Advantage: Penn State<br />

PU PASSING GAME VS. PSU AGAINST THE PASS<br />

How would you like to be a defensive coordinator<br />

trying to devise a game plan to slow down<br />

the Boilermaker aerial attack and quarterback Kyle<br />

Orton?<br />

Purdue ranks second in the nation in passing<br />

2004 Top Nittany Lion Statistical Leaders<br />

Rushing Att. Yds. Avg. TDs Long Avg/G<br />

Hunt, T. 69 <strong>41</strong>0 5.1 4 77 82.0<br />

Scott, A. 21 172 8.2 2 47 43.0<br />

Robinson, M. 22 99 4.5 0 14 24.8<br />

Passing Att. Comp. Pct. Yds. TD Int. Long<br />

Mills, Z. 129 76 58.9 890 5 8 49<br />

Receiving No. Yds. Avg. TDs Long<br />

Hunt, T. 17 <strong>16</strong>8 9.9 0 24<br />

Robinson, M. <strong>16</strong> 231 14.4 1 49<br />

Smith, G. 14 201 14.4 0 27<br />

Jefferson, P. 10 63 6.3 0 20<br />

Tackles UT AT Tot Sacks<br />

Posluszny, P. 22 17 39 1.0<br />

Guman, A. 27 10 37 0.0<br />

Shaw, T. 19 14 33 0.5<br />

Rice, M. 17 13 30 1.0<br />

Zemaitis, A. 20 5 25 0.0<br />

follett’s<br />

Top Twenty<br />

1st<br />

Place<br />

Team Pts Record Votes<br />

1 USC 132 4-0 3<br />

2 Oklahoma 1<strong>16</strong> 4-0 1<br />

3 Georgia 114 4-0 1<br />

4 Auburn 99 5-0 1<br />

5 Miami Fla. 92 4-0<br />

5 Texas 92 4-0<br />

7 Purdue 78 4-0<br />

8 California 74 3-0<br />

8 Virginia 74 4-0<br />

10 Florida St. 65 3-1<br />

11 Minnesota 53 5-0<br />

12 Utah 51 5-0<br />

13 Michigan 49 4-1<br />

14 Florida 46 3-1<br />

15 Wisconsin 45 5-0<br />

<strong>16</strong> Ohio St. 22 3-1<br />

17 Tennessee 19 3-1<br />

18 West Virginia 17 4-1<br />

19 Arizona St. <strong>16</strong><br />

20 Maryland 13<br />

Also receiving votes: Louisville, Boise State, LSU,<br />

Oklahoma State. Voting Panel: Jeff Gulick, Follett’s;<br />

Joe McConnell, Purdue Sports Radio Network; Alan<br />

Karpick, Gold & Black Illustrated; Lanny Sigo,<br />

WASK-Radio and Guest Fans Brent Talcott and<br />

Keith Didion.<br />

offense, averaging 370.3 yards per game.<br />

Orton will be looking to become the first Purdue quarterback<br />

ever to have four consecutive 300-yard passing games.<br />

He’ll do just that if Stubblefield continues to sizzle. He is<br />

making a strong case for being the front runner for the Biletnikoff<br />

Award this season. No. 21 has been sensational to date, hauling<br />

in 28 passes for 505 yards (that’s an average of 18 yards per grab)<br />

and a whopping 10 touchdowns. In just four games Stubblefield<br />

is just three touchdown receptions short of the school single-season<br />

record shared by John Standeford and Vinny Sutherland.<br />

Stubblefield is playing with more confidence than ever and<br />

has that mind set that no one can cover him let alone catch<br />

him.<br />

Penn State’s defense limited Minnesota quarterback Bryan<br />

Cupito to 113 yards passing (8-for-18) and intercepted him<br />

once. Cupito, however, isn’t in the same league as Orton.<br />

Statistically, the Lions are 18th in the country in pass<br />

defense, allowing <strong>16</strong>1.2 yards per game, but haven’t faced an<br />

offense nearly as committed to the pass as<br />

Purdue’s.<br />

Advantage: Purdue<br />

SPECIAL TEAMS<br />

Purdue’s special teams were special against<br />

Notre Dame and if they continue to play like that they could be<br />

the difference between a very good season and a special season.<br />

Ben Jones hit both of his field goal versus Notre Dame and<br />

has now connected on 5-of-6 attempts this season, including<br />

five straight.<br />

Opponents now have to fear Jerome Brooks’ ability to<br />

change the complexion of a game.<br />

Freshman Dave Brytus has been OK in the punting department,<br />

averaging 38.1 yards. To his defense, he hasn’t gotten a lot<br />

of practice in game conditions (just nine attempts). Brytus has<br />

put five of those nine inside the 20.<br />

Talk about not many chances … that certainly applies to<br />

Penn State kicker Robbie Gould. He has hit 1-of-3 field goals this<br />

season, a 23-yarder.<br />

Like Brytus, Penn State punter Jeremy Kapino has been average<br />

at best. He’s averaging 37.8 yards per punt with six going<br />

inside the 20. However, Kapino has punted 26 times in five games.<br />

There doesn’t appear to be a big threat in the return game<br />

for the Lions as they have yet to run back a kickoff or a punt<br />

longer than 30 yards.<br />

Penn State has allowed a punt return for a touchdown.<br />

The Lions’ strengths on special teams is blocking kicks.<br />

Advantage: Purdue<br />

GUT FEELING<br />

Will Purdue suffer a letdown after such an<br />

impressive performance at Notre Dame? Not with<br />

the way Orton is playing and leading the offense.<br />

Penn State is playing with little to no confidence.<br />

After all, the Lions have lost nine of their last 10 Big Ten games.<br />

Purdue, on the other hand, has an abundance of confidence<br />

after its showing in South Bend.<br />

If the Boilermakers get off to a good start and silence the<br />

Penn State faithful (except for the “Joe must go!” shouts), this<br />

one could get out of hand early.<br />

Keep in mind that Purdue leads the nation in total offense,<br />

averaging 549.3 yards per game and is second in scoring offense,<br />

averaging 47.3 points. Penn State, on the other hand, is 65th in<br />

the country in total offense (364.8 yards per game) and 90th in<br />

scoring offense (20.4 points).<br />

Advantage: Purdue<br />

PREDICTION<br />

PURDUE 34, PENN STATE 17<br />

If the Boilermakers can win in Notre Dame Stadium for the<br />

first time in 30 years, they certainly can defeat a slumping Penn<br />

State program for the first time ever in Beaver Stadium.<br />

As long as Purdue protects the ball, they’ll win going away<br />

in this one.<br />

For thorough, daily coverage of Boilermaker football, visit<br />

GoldandBlack.com.

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