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Annual Update in Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine 2011

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In summary, <strong>in</strong> comatose resuscitated patients who have not been treated with<br />

therapeutic hypothermia, cl<strong>in</strong>ical exam<strong>in</strong>ation allows accurate prediction of poor<br />

outcome as early as 24 hours from cardiac arrest. Status myoclonus <strong>and</strong> pupillary<br />

<strong>and</strong> corneal reflexes appear more reliable, hav<strong>in</strong>g the narrowest confidence <strong>in</strong>tervals.<br />

The major limitation of cl<strong>in</strong>ical exam<strong>in</strong>ation is that its f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs may be <strong>in</strong>fluenced<br />

by pathological factors, such as circulatory or metabolic derangements,<br />

<strong>and</strong> by the effects of treatments, e.g., sedatives <strong>and</strong> muscle relaxants. Patient stabilization<br />

<strong>and</strong> removal of any possible <strong>in</strong>terference are necessary to avoid <strong>in</strong>correct<br />

prognostication.<br />

Biochemical Markers<br />

Prediction of Neurological Outcome after Cardiac Arrest 657<br />

In the last 20 years, a series of biochemical markers of bra<strong>in</strong> damage obta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

from peripheral blood <strong>and</strong> cerebrosp<strong>in</strong>al fluid (CSF) have been <strong>in</strong>vestigated as<br />

predictors of functional outcome after CPR. S<strong>in</strong>ce blood samples are much easier<br />

<strong>and</strong> less dangerous to obta<strong>in</strong> than CSF, serum markers have been more extensively<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestigated <strong>and</strong> are considered more suitable for rout<strong>in</strong>e cl<strong>in</strong>ical practice.<br />

The serum marker which has so far demonstrated the best accuracy to predict<br />

poor outcome is neuron-specific enolase (NSE). NSE is the neuronal form of the<br />

cytoplasmic glycolytic enzyme enolase <strong>and</strong> it is found <strong>in</strong> neurons <strong>and</strong> neuroendocr<strong>in</strong>e<br />

cells. NSE is released <strong>in</strong> blood <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> CSF after neuronal ischemia <strong>and</strong> its<br />

serum concentrations correlate with the extent of bra<strong>in</strong> damage [24]. Several<br />

studies showed that serum NSE <strong>in</strong> the first days after cardiac arrest could predict<br />

poor outcome with a 0 % false positive rate <strong>and</strong> narrow 95 % CIs, but the cut-off<br />

levels varied greatly. The largest study [15] which <strong>in</strong>cluded 407 comatose patients,<br />

showed that serum NSE concentrations > 33 ` g/l drawn between 24 <strong>and</strong> 72 h<br />

after CPR predicted persistent vegetative state or death with a false positive rate<br />

of 0 % (95 % CI 0–3). However, <strong>in</strong> two other studies [25, 26], serum concentrationsashighas60<br />

` g/l <strong>and</strong> 90.9 ` g/l <strong>in</strong> the first 36 <strong>and</strong> 72 hours, respectively,<br />

were needed to achieve a 0 % false positive rate. F<strong>in</strong>ally, <strong>in</strong> a study from Pfeifer et<br />

al. [27] NSE levels higher than 65 ` g/l at 72 hours were still compatible with neurologicalrecovery(falsepositiverate4%).Sensitivityfortheabovecitedstudies<br />

ranged from 33 to 77 %.<br />

Prote<strong>in</strong> S100B is a calcium-b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g prote<strong>in</strong> secreted from glial <strong>and</strong> Schwann<br />

cells <strong>and</strong> released after cerebral ischemia. In the largest study conducted so far<br />

[15], 72/207 patients had serum levels of S100B greater than 0.7 ` g/l at 72 hours<br />

from cardiac arrest. All of these patients died or survived <strong>in</strong> a persistent vegetativestate(falsepositiverate0%;95%CI0–5).Smallerstudiesconfirmeda0%<br />

false positive rate at 72 h for serum S100B with cut-offs rang<strong>in</strong>g from 0.20 to 2.76<br />

` g/l [9, 26, 28, 29]. However, <strong>in</strong> another study [27], among 25 patients with serum<br />

levels above a threshold of 1.5 ` g/l one survived with good neurological outcome<br />

(false positive rate 4 %). The sensitivity of S100B <strong>in</strong> the above studies ranged<br />

from 40 to 75 %.<br />

In summary, <strong>in</strong> most studies, measurement of serum levels of NSE <strong>and</strong> S100B<br />

allowed prediction of poor neurological outcome with a zero false positive rate,<br />

but cut-offs varied considerably. Moreover, <strong>in</strong> at least one study, high levels of<br />

both these biomarkers were still compatible with a good outcome. At present,<br />

there is still <strong>in</strong>sufficient evidence to recommend a specific serum level of NSE or<br />

S100B for a 100 % accurate prediction of poor outcome.<br />

XV

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