Weather, climate and the air we breathe - WMO
Weather, climate and the air we breathe - WMO
Weather, climate and the air we breathe - WMO
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In this issue<br />
The <strong>the</strong>me of World Meteorological<br />
Day this year is “<strong>Wea<strong>the</strong>r</strong>, <strong>climate</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>air</strong> <strong>we</strong> brea<strong>the</strong>”. This issue<br />
of <strong>the</strong> Bulletin is conceived around<br />
<strong>the</strong> same <strong>the</strong>me, with articles on <strong>air</strong><br />
quality <strong>and</strong> its manifestation in urban<br />
<strong>and</strong> surrounding regions, couplings<br />
with <strong>we</strong>a<strong>the</strong>r <strong>and</strong> <strong>climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> impact of pollutant deposition,<br />
including nitrogen, on <strong>the</strong> upper<br />
ocean. It opens with a message from<br />
<strong>the</strong> Secretary-General on <strong>the</strong> occasion<br />
of World Meteorological Day, as is<br />
customary in <strong>the</strong> January Bulletin.<br />
Bet<strong>we</strong>en 1800 <strong>and</strong> 2007, <strong>the</strong> fraction<br />
of <strong>the</strong> global population living in<br />
cities has risen from about 3 per cent<br />
to 50 per cent. As a consequence,<br />
megacities <strong>and</strong> regional hot spots<br />
have developed with anthropogenic<br />
pollutant emissions <strong>and</strong> changes in<br />
l<strong>and</strong> use that have large environmental<br />
implications both in <strong>the</strong> regional<br />
hot spots <strong>the</strong>mselves <strong>and</strong> on a<br />
larger scale. Air pollution in densely<br />
populated areas affects human<br />
health in important ways throughout<br />
<strong>the</strong> world. The forecasting of <strong>air</strong><br />
pollution in urban areas is a service<br />
required to allow <strong>the</strong> population to<br />
take precautions on a daily basis<br />
<strong>and</strong> to identify policy measures to<br />
reduce emissions so that pollution<br />
target levels can be met. Through<br />
<strong>the</strong> Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW)<br />
programme <strong>and</strong> its Urban Research<br />
<strong>and</strong> Meteorology Experiment (GURME)<br />
project <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> World <strong>Wea<strong>the</strong>r</strong><br />
Research Programme (WWRP)<br />
| <strong>WMO</strong> Bulletin 58 (1) - January 2009<br />
<strong>WMO</strong> enhances <strong>the</strong> capabilities of<br />
Member countries to provide <strong>air</strong>quality<br />
forecasting, illustrating <strong>the</strong><br />
linkages bet<strong>we</strong>en meteorology <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>air</strong> quality.<br />
Atmospheric chemical composition,<br />
<strong>we</strong>a<strong>the</strong>r <strong>and</strong> <strong>climate</strong> are strongly<br />
interconnected. There is pollutant<br />
emission growth in <strong>the</strong> Far East; <strong>and</strong><br />
in South America, while emissions<br />
in Europe <strong>and</strong> North America are<br />
levelling off or being reduced. The<br />
economy is globalized with important<br />
consequences for intercontinental<br />
transport of <strong>air</strong> pollution; <strong>air</strong>craft<br />
emissions (International Civil Aviation<br />
Organization); <strong>and</strong> shipping emissions<br />
(International Maritime Organization).<br />
Changes in farml<strong>and</strong> practices <strong>and</strong><br />
in physical <strong>climate</strong> give rise to more<br />
biomass burning <strong>and</strong> forest fires.<br />
The transport of <strong>air</strong> pollution across<br />
national, regional <strong>and</strong> continental<br />
boundaries is an important aspect<br />
of <strong>the</strong> global cycling of <strong>air</strong> pollution,<br />
including <strong>the</strong> impact in <strong>the</strong> Arctic <strong>and</strong><br />
on adjacent seas.<br />
Air pollution <strong>and</strong> <strong>climate</strong> change<br />
interact both ways. The United Nations<br />
Framework Convention on Climate<br />
Change focuses on <strong>the</strong> <strong>climate</strong> change<br />
effect of long-lived greenhouse gases.<br />
Aerosols (directly <strong>and</strong> indirectly) <strong>and</strong><br />
tropospheric ozone, exert regional<br />
radiative forcing on <strong>climate</strong> which is<br />
expected to modify <strong>the</strong> distribution<br />
of synoptic <strong>we</strong>a<strong>the</strong>r patterns <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> distribution of <strong>we</strong>a<strong>the</strong>r elements<br />
such as precipitation <strong>and</strong> wind on<br />
a regional basis. The extent of <strong>the</strong><br />
modification <strong>and</strong> its societal impact<br />
is not <strong>we</strong>ll known, but is likely to be<br />
important.<br />
Climate variability <strong>and</strong> change have<br />
consequences for atmospheric<br />
composition through <strong>the</strong><br />
modification of factors that affect<br />
<strong>the</strong> life cycle (sources, transport,<br />
chemical/physical transformation<br />
<strong>and</strong> removal) of a pollutant in<br />
<strong>the</strong> atmosphere; for example,<br />
temperature, surface properties<br />
(drought <strong>and</strong> plant cover), cloud<br />
cover, precipitation (including length<br />
of dry periods) <strong>and</strong> boundary layer<br />
mixing properties. The adaptation<br />
of societies to <strong>climate</strong> change has<br />
consequences for atmospheric<br />
composition; for example, through<br />
changes in <strong>the</strong> emissions from<br />
energy consumption as <strong>the</strong><br />
energy production system moves<br />
towards more extensive inclusion<br />
of renewable energies, including<br />
biofuels. <strong>WMO</strong> has a particular<br />
responsibility <strong>and</strong> proven ability to<br />
lead in <strong>the</strong> technical analysis of how<br />
<strong>climate</strong> variability <strong>and</strong> change <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>air</strong> pollution interact both ways on<br />
a regional basis <strong>and</strong> in combination<br />
on a global basis, as <strong>the</strong>se are issues<br />
of immediate concern affecting<br />
societies throughout <strong>the</strong> world to<br />
an extent that is not <strong>we</strong>ll known but<br />
could be significant (<strong>air</strong> pollution<br />
events, floods, droughts, water<br />
supply, food supply, etc).