Weather, climate and the air we breathe - WMO
Weather, climate and the air we breathe - WMO
Weather, climate and the air we breathe - WMO
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ozone-related cancer, mortality <strong>and</strong><br />
hospitalization by as much 9 per cent<br />
in a major city such as Los Angeles,<br />
compared to 100 per cent gasoline,<br />
according to calculations made by<br />
Jacobson (2007).<br />
Concern has also been attributed to<br />
oxidation of unburned ethanol as a<br />
source of acetaldehyde, which is a<br />
human carcinogen. Combustion of<br />
biofuels will inevitably change <strong>the</strong><br />
organic constituent composition of<br />
<strong>the</strong> carbonaceous aerosol. While<br />
biofuels typically have higher oxygen<br />
content, more oxygenated species<br />
can be expected in <strong>the</strong> emissions.<br />
This fraction of <strong>the</strong> carbonaceous<br />
aerosol is <strong>the</strong> least explored, partly<br />
because of analytical limitations,<br />
<strong>and</strong> is thus an area of fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
investigation. Polar oxygenated<br />
compounds are <strong>the</strong> most water<br />
soluble species <strong>and</strong> thus potentially<br />
cloud-condensation-nuclei-active.<br />
Recent developments in analytical<br />
chemistry have provided evidence that<br />
biogenic secondary organic aerosols<br />
(BSOA) contribute substantially (60<br />
per cent) to <strong>the</strong> organic fraction of <strong>the</strong><br />
atmospheric carbonaceous aerosol,<br />
even in <strong>the</strong> urban environment (Szidat<br />
et al., 2006). This confirms what<br />
has long been stated: that biogenic<br />
secondary organic aerosols are<br />
one of <strong>the</strong> major missing sources<br />
of <strong>the</strong> carbonaceous aerosol. It is<br />
hypo<strong>the</strong>sized that global warming<br />
causes an increase in <strong>the</strong> concentration<br />
of biogenic secondary organic<br />
aerosols, due to a rise in emissions<br />
of biogenic volatile organic gaseous<br />
compounds that subsequently<br />
oxidize to form particulate matter<br />
in <strong>the</strong> atmosphere. In addition,<br />
biogenic secondary organic aerosol<br />
formation may be fur<strong>the</strong>r propelled<br />
by temperature- dependent reaction<br />
rates, as <strong>the</strong> atmospheric global<br />
warming increases. Arguments raised<br />
by Robinson et al. (2007) suggest that<br />
anthropogenic secondary organic<br />
aerosols might also be more abundant<br />
than previously expected, because<br />
of <strong>the</strong> oxidation of low-volatility<br />
products that evaporate from<br />
In a recent paper in Nature, Robinson et al. (2007) suggest that anthropogenic secondary<br />
organic aerosols might be more abundant than previously expected, because of oxidation<br />
of low volatility products that evaporate from primary carbonaceous aerosol with<br />
atmospheric dilution. This suggests that <strong>the</strong> majority of <strong>the</strong> population is exposed to<br />
secondary organic aerosols, even in urban areas.<br />
primary carbonaceous aerosol with<br />
atmospheric dilution. This suggests<br />
that <strong>the</strong> majority of <strong>the</strong> population<br />
is exposed to secondary organic<br />
aerosols, even in urban areas. As<br />
stated by Robinson et al. (2007):<br />
“A relatively local urban emission<br />
problem is transformed into a regional<br />
source of oxidized <strong>and</strong> presumably<br />
hydrophilic carbonaceous aerosols.<br />
The health consequences <strong>and</strong> <strong>climate</strong><br />
effects of this oxidized material are<br />
almost certainly dramatically different<br />
from those of primary emissions”.<br />
Primary biological aerosol particles<br />
have typically been ignored when<br />
assessing <strong>the</strong> sources of <strong>the</strong><br />
carbonaceous aerosol. Ho<strong>we</strong>ver, a<br />
few recent studies have shown that<br />
primary biological aerosol particles<br />
may account for a substantial 30-40<br />
per cent of <strong>the</strong> organic fraction of <strong>the</strong><br />
carbonaceous aerosol in moderately<br />
anthropogenically influenced<br />
regions (Winiwarter et al., 2008(a);<br />
Winiwarter et al., 2008(b); Yttri et al.,<br />
2007). Selected primary biological<br />
aerosol particles may be active as<br />
both cloud condensation nuclei <strong>and</strong><br />
heterogeneous ice nuclei <strong>and</strong> thus<br />
can contribute to cloud formation.<br />
The heterogenic nature of this source<br />
makes it difficult to predict how it will<br />
respond to <strong>climate</strong> change.<br />
Attempting to reduce global warming<br />
by reducing black carbon emissions<br />
requires targeting all major sources<br />
but, in particular, in regions of special<br />
concern; i.e. where emissions of black<br />
carbon have a strong <strong>climate</strong> effect.<br />
Examples are <strong>the</strong> growing economies<br />
in Asia such as those of China <strong>and</strong><br />
India, which toge<strong>the</strong>r account for 25-<br />
35 per cent of <strong>the</strong> world’s total black<br />
carbon emissions (Ramanathan <strong>and</strong><br />
Carmichael, 2008). Ano<strong>the</strong>r is nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Eurasia in winter <strong>and</strong> spring, which is<br />
<strong>the</strong> major source region of <strong>the</strong> Arctic<br />
lo<strong>we</strong>r troposphere (Barrie et al., 1986;<br />
Sharma et al., 2006; Stohl et al., 2006).<br />
Emissions within <strong>the</strong> Arctic itself<br />
should be reduced to a minimum, as<br />
<strong>the</strong>y have a disproportionately large<br />
effect. This could prove difficult, as<br />
various anthropogenic activities are<br />
likely to increase as <strong>the</strong> sea ice retreats.<br />
An opening of <strong>the</strong> North-<strong>we</strong>st Passage<br />
would probably increase shipping<br />
activity, as would fur<strong>the</strong>r oil <strong>and</strong> gas<br />
exploration, as currently seen in <strong>the</strong><br />
Barents Sea.<br />
<strong>WMO</strong> Bulletin 58 (1) - January 2009 | 5<br />
V. TORRES