Torbay Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Torbay Council

Total Population
According to the most recent Census (2001 1 ) Torbay’s total population
was 129,702. However, the mid year estimates (2006 2 ) show that the
population has grown since 2001 and is now estimated to be 133,200,
but these show some significant changes among different age groups as
the graph below indicates. The number of children aged 0 to 14 has
decreased since the Census as have the number of adults aged 25 to
40, these two age groups pose the greatest relevance when assessing
the demand for childcare.
Figure 6
Change In Population By Age
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-84 85-89 90+
Age of people (in years)
1 Office for National Statistics Census 2001
2 Office for National Statistics 2006 Mid Year Estimates
3 Office for National Statistics Revised 2004 Population Projections
Census 2001
MYE 2006
Population size
Figure 7
Population Forecast for People Aged 20 to 49
50000
49000
48000
47000
46000
45000
44000
Population Projections
The total population of Torbay is expected to increase to 150,700 by
2017 3 . The number of people aged 20 to 49 is also expected to increase
in the next 5 years by 4%, but following this increase the population of
this age group is expected to remain steady from 2012.
Children in Torbay
The latest estimates (2006) indicate that there are 20,900 children in
Torbay aged between 0 and 14 (age group which need to be considered
for this assessment). This is a decrease of 3.9% than the figures
recorded by the Census in 2001 and represents on average a decrease
of 193 children a year.
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
3.0 DEMOGRAPHICS
The distribution of children in
this age group is not equal
across Torbay ranging from 8%
in Wellswood to 22% in
Blatchcombe. The wards of
Ellacombe and Watcombe in
Torquay, Blatchcombe in
Paignton and St Marys with
Summercombe in Brixham have
the highest proportions of
children aged between 0 and 14.
The wards of Wellswood in
Torquay and Churston with
Galmpton in between Brixham
and Paignton have the lowest
proportion of children in this age
group.
10