The effect of climate change on surface water - CSIRO Land and Water

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14 <strong>of</strong> 15 GCMs project it will get drier CSIRO South-West Western Australia Sustainable Yields Project – Surface water Change in annual rainfall • Median future <strong>climate</strong> -7% • Wet (90 percentile) future <strong>climate</strong> -1% • Dry (10 percentile) -14% future <strong>climate</strong> High warming Mid warming Low warming
Geographic scope • 13 surface water basins covering 39,000 km 2 CSIRO South-West Western Australia Sustainable Yields Project – Surface water
Page 1 and 2: The effect
Page 3 and 4: Surface water team CSIRO • Richar
Page 5 and 6: Talk outline • Introduction • C
Page 7 and 8: Objectives • Project future quant
Page 9 and 10: Location of the pr
Page 11 and 12: Climate - annual averages, 1975 to
Page 13 and 14: Annual rainfalls have been even dri
Page 15: Scenarios • The
Page 19 and 20: Methods and Models CSIRO South-West
Page 21 and 22: Catchment representation Collie Bas
Page 23 and 24: Calibration results - examples Annu
Page 25 and 26: Calibration results Runof</
Page 27 and 28: Rainfall, runoff a
Page 29 and 30: Projected change i
Page 31 and 32: Projected changes
Page 33 and 34: Decline in streamflow in all basins
Page 35 and 36: Contributors Project Director Tom H

The effect of climate change on surface water - CSIRO Land and Water

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