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Direct Testimony of James T. Selecky On Behalf of ABATE

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Before the<br />

Public Service Commission<br />

<strong>of</strong> the State <strong>of</strong> Michigan<br />

Case No. U-12639<br />

<strong>Direct</strong> <strong>Testimony</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

<strong>On</strong> <strong>Behalf</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>ABATE</strong><br />

May 2001<br />

Project 7414


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INTRODUCTION<br />

Before the<br />

Public Service Commission <strong>of</strong> the State <strong>of</strong> Michigan<br />

Case No. U-12639<br />

<strong>Direct</strong> <strong>Testimony</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Q PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS.<br />

A <strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong>; 1215 Fern Ridge Parkway, Suite 208; St. Louis, Missouri, 63141.<br />

Q WHAT IS YOUR OCCUPATION AND BY WHOM ARE YOU EMPLOYED?<br />

A I am a consultant in the field <strong>of</strong> public utility regulation and a principal in the firm <strong>of</strong><br />

Brubaker & Associates, Inc., energy, economic and regulatory consultants.<br />

Q PLEASE STATE YOUR EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND AND EXPERIENCE.<br />

A These are set forth in Appendix A to this testimony.<br />

Q ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYING IN THIS PROCEEDING?<br />

A I am presenting testimony on behalf <strong>of</strong> the Association <strong>of</strong> Businesses Advocating<br />

Tariff Equity (<strong>ABATE</strong>). Member companies <strong>of</strong> <strong>ABATE</strong> are substantial purchasers <strong>of</strong><br />

electricity from The Detroit Edison Company (DECo or Company).<br />

BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.


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BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 2<br />

Q HAVE YOU PRESENTED TESTIMONY IN PRIOR DECo PROCEEDINGS BEFORE<br />

THE MICHIGAN PUBLIC SERVICE COMMISSION (COMMISSION OR MPSC)?<br />

A Yes. I have been involved in many prior DECo proceedings before this Commission.<br />

Q WHAT ISSUES ARE BEING ADDRESSED IN YOUR TESTIMONY?<br />

A My testimony addresses the level <strong>of</strong> net stranded cost appropriate for DECo and the<br />

development <strong>of</strong> a net stranded cost credit or negative surcharge. I will also discuss<br />

DECo’s method for calculating its net stranded cost and DECo’s proposed<br />

Equalization Transition Charge Adjustment (ETCA).<br />

SUMMARY OF CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS<br />

Q PLEASE SUMMARIZE YOUR CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS OF<br />

YOUR TESTIMONY.<br />

A The summary <strong>of</strong> my conclusions and recommendations is listed below:<br />

1. DECo’s net stranded costs are negative. That is, DECo’s net stranded benefits<br />

exceed its net stranded costs.<br />

2. The Commission should establish a net stranded cost credit or negative<br />

surcharge.<br />

3. The net stranded cost credit would only apply to customers who participate in the<br />

open access program.<br />

4. The Commission should reject DECo’s method for calculating net stranded cost<br />

because it will not promote open access.<br />

5. DECo’s ETCA should be rejected because it is inconsistent with Public Act 141<br />

(Act 141) in that it violates the rate freeze provisions. DECo’s ETCA requires the<br />

commercial secondary and industrial/commercial primary customers to continue<br />

to subsidize the residential customers in the open market.


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LEVEL OF NET STRANDED COST<br />

BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 3<br />

Q HAS <strong>ABATE</strong> FILED EVIDENCE ADDRESSING THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF<br />

NET STRANDED COST?<br />

A Yes. <strong>ABATE</strong> has filed evidence to assist the Commission in its mandate to determine<br />

the net stranded costs for DECo. <strong>ABATE</strong> witness Christopher Seiple <strong>of</strong> RDI<br />

Consulting, a division <strong>of</strong> Financial Times Energy, using a discounted cash flow<br />

approach, concludes that DECo’s generating assets have a market value <strong>of</strong> at least<br />

$5.702 billion, and a net book value, excluding Fermi 2, <strong>of</strong> $2.565 billion at December<br />

31, 2000. This results in a net stranded benefit <strong>of</strong> more than $3.137 billion. Factoring<br />

in the Commission’s Case No. U-12478 net book cost <strong>of</strong> $2.333 billion for Fermi 2<br />

and the net stranded costs associated with power purchase and power sales<br />

contracts reduces the net stranded benefit to $0.760 billion. That is, DECo does not<br />

have any stranded costs.<br />

In addition, <strong>ABATE</strong> witness Dr. Richard Tabors, using a comparative<br />

generation sales analysis, concludes that DECo’s generating units have a market<br />

value <strong>of</strong> $5.724 billion, and net book value <strong>of</strong> $4.898 billion including Fermi 2. This<br />

results in a net stranded benefit <strong>of</strong> $0.826 billion for generating assets owned by<br />

DECo.<br />

Q SHOULD THE COMMISSION UTILIZE THESE ESTIMATES TO DETERMINE THE<br />

LEVEL OF DECo’S NET STRANDED COSTS?<br />

A Yes. To meet the requirements <strong>of</strong> Section 10a. (10) <strong>of</strong> the June 5, 2000 Act 141, the<br />

Commission should rely on the <strong>ABATE</strong> estimates <strong>of</strong> net stranded costs. The<br />

methods put forth by <strong>ABATE</strong> clearly address the methods the Commission needs to<br />

consider in determining DECo’s stranded cost.


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BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 4<br />

<strong>ABATE</strong> consultants have used two different administrative valuation<br />

approaches to calculate stranded costs. As indicated above, both approaches<br />

produced similar results. The fact that Dr. Tabors’ estimate produces a slightly higher<br />

market value for DECo’s generating assets is not surprising. As indicated in the<br />

testimony <strong>of</strong> Mr. Seiple <strong>of</strong> RDI, he would expect the actual sale <strong>of</strong> the assets to yield<br />

a higher market value. Mr. Tabors’ analysis, which is a comparative generation sales<br />

analysis, captures some <strong>of</strong> the sources <strong>of</strong> value that would be present in a true<br />

auction that are not captured by Mr. Seiple’s analysis.<br />

Q SHOULD THE COMMISSION DEVELOP A STRANDED BENEFIT SURCHARGE?<br />

A Yes. The Commission should develop a stranded benefit credit or negative<br />

surcharge that would be applicable to customers that participate in the customer<br />

choice or open access program. This stranded benefit credit would be an <strong>of</strong>fset or<br />

reduction to the securitization charge that results from the Commission’s order in<br />

Case No. U-12478.<br />

Q HAVE DECo’S SECURITIZATION CHARGES BEEN ESTABLISHED?<br />

A Yes. <strong>On</strong> March 16, 2001, DECo filed a letter with the Commission indicating the<br />

following:<br />

“Using the formula approved by the Commission in the Financing<br />

Order, this filing establishes the variables used in the calculation <strong>of</strong> the<br />

initial SB Charge and provides the resulting SB Charge and SB Tax<br />

Charge. Attachment A shows the values for each <strong>of</strong> the variables<br />

used in calculating the initial SB Charge and SB Tax Charge which is<br />

3.2 (mills/kWh) and 0.5 (mills/kWh) respectively. It is anticipated that<br />

the SB Charge and SB Tax Charge will be in effect from March 26,<br />

2001 through February 28, 2002 at which time the charges may be<br />

modified pursuant to the true-up procedures established in the<br />

Financing Order.”


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BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 5<br />

These two charges produce a total securitization charge <strong>of</strong> .37¢ per kWh that<br />

will recover DECo’s stranded costs, which include Fermi 2 and various other<br />

regulatory assets net <strong>of</strong> certain regulatory liabilities.<br />

Q WHY SHOULD THE COMMISSION ESTABLISH A STRANDED BENEFIT CREDIT?<br />

A Without this determination, the purposes <strong>of</strong> Act 141, which was to create customer<br />

choice for DECo customers, will not be met. Specifically, Section 10 <strong>of</strong> Act 141 states<br />

the purposes <strong>of</strong> this recently passed legislation. The stated purposes are:<br />

“(a) To ensure that all retail customers in this state <strong>of</strong> electric power<br />

have a choice <strong>of</strong> electric suppliers.<br />

(b) To allow and encourage the Michigan public service commission to<br />

foster competition in this state in the provision <strong>of</strong> electric supply and<br />

maintain regulation <strong>of</strong> electric supply for customers who continue to<br />

choose supply from incumbent electric utilities.<br />

(c) To encourage the development and construction <strong>of</strong> merchant<br />

plants which will diversify the ownership <strong>of</strong> electric generation in this<br />

state.<br />

(d) To ensure that all persons in this state are afforded safe, reliable<br />

electric power at a reasonable rate.<br />

(e) To improve the opportunities for economic development in this<br />

state and to promote financially healthy and competitive utilities in this<br />

state.” (Public Act No. 141 <strong>of</strong> 2000, Sec. 10 (2))<br />

The Commission has authorized DECo to securitize $1.750 billion <strong>of</strong> costs. It<br />

is implied that a significant portion <strong>of</strong> those costs is stranded and DECo would not be<br />

able to collect those costs in a competitive market. If the Commission does not<br />

establish a credit to recognize DECo’s stranded benefits and DECo’s securitization<br />

charges as authorized remain in place, the development <strong>of</strong> a competitive electric<br />

utility market would be severely impeded. Assessing DECo’s customers that<br />

participate in the customer choice program, a charge that only recognizes claimed<br />

stranded costs would have an adverse effect on the ability <strong>of</strong> customers to use open


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BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 6<br />

access service and the development <strong>of</strong> merchant plants that are needed to provide<br />

the State with future capacity additions to provide a reliable source <strong>of</strong> electricity.<br />

Q WHAT IS THE BASIS FOR YOUR STATEMENT THAT DECo’S PROPOSED<br />

LEVEL OF STRANDED COSTS WOULD IMPEDE COMPETITION AND THE<br />

DEVELOPMENT OF MERCHANT PLANTS IN THE STATE OF MICHIGAN?<br />

A In a report, the Commission had the following comment regarding an electric industry<br />

restructuring proposal:<br />

“The Commission has thoroughly examined the Electric Industry<br />

Restructuring Proposal put forth by the Chamber <strong>of</strong> Commerce and<br />

Consumers Energy Company, which has subsequently been amended<br />

by a number <strong>of</strong> other parties. The Commission has also examined the<br />

proposal put forth by Detroit Edison. The Commission has two<br />

concerns over the transition charge in the Chamber-Consumers<br />

Energy proposal, as amended by Detroit Edison. These concerns are:<br />

(1) the transition charge is too large and will thus preclude effective<br />

competition, and (2) the transition charge will continue for 15 years for<br />

Detroit Edison, and 25 years for Consumers Energy, thus locking in<br />

Michigan to a no-competition or limited competition mode while most,<br />

or all other states, will pass us by competitively.<br />

It is estimated that the transition charge for customers in<br />

Consumers Energy’s territory will be between 6 and 7 mills (0.6 to 0.7<br />

cents) while the transition charge for customers in Detroit Edison’s<br />

territory will be approximately 3.5 mills (0.35 cents). These charges,<br />

which cannot be adjusted by the Michigan Public Service Commission<br />

even if they prove unworkable, will remain until they expire. The<br />

Commission believes that a transition charge <strong>of</strong> 3 mills (0.3 cents) is<br />

the maximum charge in which to foster a competitive market. This is<br />

usually a number given by most customer groups and potential<br />

competitors.”<br />

As previously stated, DECo’s securitization charge will be 3.7 mills per kWh or<br />

0.37¢ per kWh. Based on the above quote, it is likely that the stated purposes <strong>of</strong> Act<br />

141 will not be met, i.e., a competitive electric market will not develop. Without this<br />

market, the development and construction <strong>of</strong> merchant plants will be severely<br />

hindered because it will not be economical for buyers and sellers to participate in the<br />

open access market.


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BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 7<br />

Q HAVE YOU DEVELOPED A STRANDED BENEFIT CREDIT OR NEGATIVE<br />

SURCHARGE THAT WOULD BE APPLICABLE TO ALL CUSTOMERS THAT<br />

PARTICIPATE IN THE CUSTOMER CHOICE PROGRAM?<br />

A Yes. I have developed a stranded benefit credit using the same rate design that the<br />

Commission authorized DECo in Case No. U-12478, to collect its securitized cost. In<br />

that case, DECo is authorized to apply a uniform securitization surcharge per kWh to<br />

all metered customers. In this case, I am proposing that a stranded benefit credit or<br />

negative surcharge <strong>of</strong> 4.18 mills per kWh be assessed to all customers that<br />

participate in the open access program.<br />

Because DECo is obligated to serve bundled customers, the stranded benefit<br />

credit will not be applied to their usage. Although a bundled customer pays the<br />

securitization charges, their base energy charge is reduced by an equal amount.<br />

Therefore, the securitization charge does not currently adversely affect their power<br />

costs.<br />

Q HOW DID YOU DEVELOP YOUR PROPOSED STRANDED BENEFIT CREDIT?<br />

A My stranded benefit credit was developed from comparing the costs that DECo will<br />

securitize with the results <strong>of</strong> the net stranded cost analyses presented in this<br />

proceeding by <strong>ABATE</strong> witnesses.<br />

Q WOULD YOU PLEASE SUMMARIZE THE COST THAT DECo WILL SECURITIZE?<br />

A <strong>On</strong> April 9, 2001, DECo supplied to the Commission a 30-day securitization report. In<br />

that report, DECo indicated that it would securitize $1.750 billion <strong>of</strong> cost net <strong>of</strong> tax.<br />

Table 1 below summarizes those costs on a before tax and net <strong>of</strong> tax basis.


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TABLE 1<br />

DECo’s Securitized Costs<br />

Before Tax Cost Net <strong>of</strong> Tax Cost<br />

Description<br />

($Million)<br />

($Million)<br />

Fermi 2 $2,273 $1,478<br />

Reacquired Debt 63 41<br />

FAS 109 156 101<br />

FAS 106 82 54<br />

Implementation 30 19<br />

Issuing Costs 30 20<br />

Retiring Securities 58 38<br />

Total<br />

$2,692 $1,750<br />

Total w/o Fermi 2<br />

BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

$ 419 $ 272<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 8<br />

As Table 1 above shows, excluding Fermi 2, the Commission authorized<br />

DECo to securitize $419 million <strong>of</strong> costs.<br />

Q WHAT DO THE <strong>ABATE</strong> ANALYSES SHOW RELATIVE TO DECo’S NET<br />

STRANDED COSTS?<br />

A The <strong>ABATE</strong> analyses show that DECo has net stranded benefits. That is, the<br />

stranded benefits associated with its generating assets and power purchase and<br />

power sales contracts exceed its stranded cost.<br />

<strong>ABATE</strong> witness Christopher Seiple’s analysis shows that DECo has net<br />

stranded benefits from power purchase and power sales obligations and generating<br />

assets <strong>of</strong> $3.093 billion, excluding the net book value <strong>of</strong> Fermi 2. Factoring in the net<br />

book value <strong>of</strong> Fermi 2 produces a net benefit <strong>of</strong> $760 million. A summary <strong>of</strong> Mr.<br />

Seiple’s analysis is shown in Table 2 below.


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TABLE 2<br />

Christopher Seiple Analysis<br />

Description<br />

BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

Net Benefit<br />

($Million)<br />

Steam $3,294<br />

Pump Storage (51)<br />

Gas Turbines (106)<br />

Power Purchases (44)<br />

Subtotal<br />

$3,093<br />

Fermi 2<br />

Total<br />

($2,333)<br />

$ 760<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 9<br />

<strong>ABATE</strong> witness Dr. Richard Tabors provided an analysis that determined<br />

DECo’s net stranded costs to be a negative $826 million. DECo’s stranded benefit<br />

exceeds its stranded cost. Since Dr. Tabors’ analysis did not reflect any net stranded<br />

costs associated with DECo’s power purchase and power sales obligations, I have<br />

utilized the results <strong>of</strong> the power purchase analysis performed by Mr. Seiple, and<br />

included that in Dr. Tabors’ analysis. The results are shown below in Table 3.<br />

TABLE 3<br />

Richard Tabors Analysis<br />

Comparable Book Net<br />

Value Value Benefit<br />

Description ($Million) ($Million) ($Million)<br />

Generation $5,724 $4,898 $826<br />

Power Purchases – – ($44)<br />

Total<br />

$782


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<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 10<br />

As Table 3 shows, DECo has net stranded benefits <strong>of</strong> $782 million, including<br />

power purchase obligations.<br />

Q HOW DID YOU UTILIZE THE RESULTS OF <strong>ABATE</strong> ANALYSES TO DEVELOP A<br />

STRANDED BENEFIT CREDIT?<br />

A As Table 1 shows, the Commission authorized DECo to securitize costs, excluding<br />

Fermi 2, <strong>of</strong> approximately $419 million. The analyses performed by <strong>ABATE</strong><br />

witnesses shown in Tables 2 and 3 indicate that including Fermi 2 costs, DECo has<br />

net stranded benefits <strong>of</strong> $760 million and $782 million, respectively. That is, using the<br />

results <strong>of</strong> these analyses, the average net stranded benefit for DECo is $771 million.<br />

These net benefits can be used to <strong>of</strong>fset DECo’s stranded net regulatory asset cost,<br />

excluding Fermi 2. Fermi 2 is excluded because it is included in the development <strong>of</strong><br />

the net stranded costs <strong>of</strong> DECo’s generation assets as determined by the <strong>ABATE</strong><br />

witnesses.<br />

This average net benefit <strong>of</strong> $771 million <strong>of</strong>fsets DECo’s securitized net<br />

regulatory costs, excluding Fermi 2, <strong>of</strong> $419 million (see Table 1). This results in<br />

DECo having net generation-related benefits <strong>of</strong> $352 million ($771 million - $419<br />

million) greater than the costs, excluding Fermi 2 that the Commission authorized<br />

DECo to securitize. Therefore, DECo’s net stranded benefit credit should be larger<br />

than DECo’s proposed securitization surcharge.<br />

Q HOW DID YOU DEVELOP A SPECIFIC STRANDED BENEFIT SURCHARGE?<br />

A As indicated in the previous answer, DECo’s net benefits associated with its<br />

generation assets are $352 million greater than the costs that DECo is authorized to<br />

securitize. As indicated in Table 1, DECo is authorized to securitize costs before its


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Page 11<br />

net <strong>of</strong> tax adjustment <strong>of</strong> $2,692 million. Since the net benefits produced by the<br />

<strong>ABATE</strong> analyses are 13.1% greater than DECo’s proposed securitized costs, I<br />

recommend that the net benefit credit be 13.1% greater than the securitization<br />

surcharge. Therefore, if the securitization surcharge is 3.7 mills per kWh for DECo,<br />

the net benefit credit should be 4.18 mills per kWh. It should be remembered that the<br />

net benefit credit is a negative surcharge and is only applicable to those customers<br />

who participate in the open access program.<br />

Alternatively, the Commission could implement a stranded benefit credit equal<br />

to the securitization surcharge. The $352 million <strong>of</strong> net stranded benefits that is not<br />

included in the credit would be used to <strong>of</strong>fset future implementation costs. However,<br />

in the event that the available net stranded benefits exceed the implementation costs,<br />

any excess should be fed back to the customers.<br />

Q DO YOU HAVE ANY COMMENTS TO MAKE REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT<br />

OF A STRANDED BENEFIT CREDIT?<br />

A Yes. If the Commission, in the unbundling case to be filed, requires that a<br />

securitization surcharge be developed separately for each rate class, a similar<br />

approach has to be taken for the development <strong>of</strong> the stranded benefit credit.<br />

However, the same approach that is used to develop the securitization surcharge<br />

should also be used to develop the stranded benefit credit.


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BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

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Page 12<br />

Q AS A RESULT OF SECURITIZATION, WILL DECo HAVE ANY EXCESS<br />

SECURITIZATION SAVINGS AFTER FUNDING THE 5% RATE REDUCTIONS AND<br />

THE LOW INCOME ENERGY FUND?<br />

A Yes. DECo witness Van Haerents indicates in response to discovery question EMDE<br />

4.22/129 that DECo will have the following annual amounts in excess <strong>of</strong> the 5% rate<br />

reduction and low income and energy efficiency fund:<br />

TABLE 4<br />

Excess Securitization Savings<br />

Year<br />

Amount<br />

(000)<br />

2002 $82,976<br />

2003 $30,249<br />

2004 $28,141<br />

2005 $20,455<br />

2006 $ 8,726<br />

2007 $ 554<br />

2008 $44,092<br />

Q HOW SHOULD THESE FUNDS BE UTILIZED?<br />

A These funds should be utilized to either reduce stranded cost or reasonable<br />

implementation costs related to customer choice. This is consistent with Act 141 <strong>of</strong><br />

2000 and the Commission’s Orders in Case No. U-12478.<br />

DECo should be required to create a separate account to record these excess<br />

securitization savings on an annual basis along with interest or a carrying charge.<br />

The use <strong>of</strong> the funds would be addressed in the annual true-up proceedings. Finally,<br />

if the retail access program is unsuccessful, the excess securitization savings should


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be passed on to the ratepayers in the form <strong>of</strong> a permanent rate reduction and any<br />

unrecovered implementation costs should be disallowed.<br />

Q IS THERE ANY OTHER SOURCE OF REVENUES THAT SHOULD BE USED TO<br />

OFFSET STRANDED COSTS?<br />

A Yes. As a result <strong>of</strong> DECo’s securitization, for a period <strong>of</strong> six years approximately $50<br />

million per year <strong>of</strong> the reduction in DECo’s revenue requirement associated with<br />

securitization is allocated to the low-income and energy efficiency fund administered<br />

by the MPSC. At the end <strong>of</strong> the six-year period, these funds should be used to further<br />

reduce stranded cost. It is my understanding that the MPSC has not previously<br />

addressed the disposition <strong>of</strong> these funds at the end <strong>of</strong> the six-year period.<br />

DECo’S POSITION<br />

Q BEFORE YOU DISCUSS DECo’S PROPOSAL FOR CALCULATING NET<br />

STRANDED COSTS, WHAT IS MEANT BY THE TERM “NET STRANDED COST”?<br />

A Generally, the term refers to costs that are permitted to be collected from customers<br />

under regulation, but cannot be recovered in a competitive market. <strong>ABATE</strong> witness<br />

Mr. Phillips addresses the term “net stranded cost” in detail in his prefiled testimony.<br />

Q HAS DECo PROVIDED A METHOD FOR RECOVERING ITS CLAIMED NET<br />

STRANDED COST?<br />

A DECo has proposed a method for recovering what it defines as net stranded cost.<br />

Under DECo’s definition, net stranded cost is the net economic harm or benefit<br />

experienced by DECo as a result <strong>of</strong> customers participating in the retail electric<br />

choice program. That is, if a customer chooses to take generation service from an


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alternate provider, DECo experiences harm in the form <strong>of</strong> lost revenues. DECo<br />

receives <strong>of</strong>fsetting benefits if it can sell the freed-up power to the market. Simply put,<br />

the difference between the lost revenues and the revenues received by <strong>of</strong>f-system<br />

sales produces DECo’s net stranded cost. DECo witness A. Zakem describes in<br />

detail the method used to calculate DECo’s net stranded cost.<br />

Q CAN NET STRANDED COSTS BE PROPERLY DETERMINED BY ANALYZING<br />

THE REVENUES LOST BY THE UTILITY FROM CUSTOMERS SWITCHING TO AN<br />

ALTERNATIVE SUPPLIER?<br />

A No. A proper definition <strong>of</strong> net stranded costs should be based on the valuation the<br />

market would give to utility assets. This asset-based approach recognizes that it is<br />

the value <strong>of</strong> an asset in competitive markets that is the ultimate determinant <strong>of</strong> utility<br />

strandable costs, not the amount <strong>of</strong> utility revenue lost because <strong>of</strong> a switch in<br />

generation suppliers.<br />

Q PLEASE BRIEFLY DESCRIBE DECo’S PROPOSAL FOR RECOVERING ITS<br />

CLAIMED NET STRANDED COST.<br />

A DECo is proposing a two-year program with a zero transition charge in 2002. This<br />

transition charge is separate from the securitization charge. The first transition<br />

charge will be applied to 2003 customer choice sales, and will be designed to recover<br />

the actual economic harm or benefit incurred in 2002. Finally, DECo is proposing to<br />

allow customers who exercise customer choice to save up to 10% <strong>of</strong> the average<br />

supply revenue before DECo requests recovery <strong>of</strong> its net economic harm resulting<br />

from retail electric choice. The savings is subject to an annual cap <strong>of</strong> $25 million in<br />

economic harm to DECo.


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Q HAS DECo PROPOSED ANY OTHER RATE ADJUSTMENTS THAT ARE<br />

UNIQUE?<br />

A Yes. In addition, DECo is proposing the creation <strong>of</strong> Equalization Transition Charge<br />

Adjustment (ETCA), which is intended to eliminate rate skewing. This results in an<br />

increase in the RAST rates for commercial secondary and commercial/industrial<br />

primary customers and a rate reduction for residential customers.<br />

Q DO YOU AGREE WITH DECo’S DEFINITION OF NET STRANDED COST?<br />

A No. DECo’s definition <strong>of</strong> net stranded cost is not specifically related to its generation<br />

assets. In fact, DECo’s procedure would include earnings <strong>of</strong> the Company in excess<br />

<strong>of</strong> its last authorized rate <strong>of</strong> return. For example, in Case No. U-11495, the<br />

Administrative Law Judge issued a proposal for decision that stated DECo was<br />

earning $101.6 million in excess <strong>of</strong> its authorized rate <strong>of</strong> return. Since Act 141 froze<br />

DECo’s rates, customers never realized a rate reduction. Under DECo’s proposed<br />

plan, the Company would be allowed to retain most <strong>of</strong> this overearning.<br />

DECo’s proposed calculation <strong>of</strong> net stranded cost does not focus on costs<br />

specifically, but focuses on lost revenues. When the Commission established costs<br />

to be securitized, an analysis was made <strong>of</strong> specific cost. DECo’s definition <strong>of</strong> net<br />

stranded cost should be more appropriately referred to as lost revenue. It is critical<br />

that the Commission examine DECo’s cost and determine which costs are stranded,<br />

and not rely on lost revenue calculations.


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Page 16<br />

Q DECo WITNESS MR. GERARD ANDERSON IS CRITICAL OF STRANDED COST<br />

DETERMINATIONS UTILIZING A DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS AND<br />

POWER PLANT SALE ANALYSIS TO DETERMINE STRANDED COST. PLEASE<br />

COMMENT ON MR. ANDERSON’S CRITICISM.<br />

A The discounted cash flow analysis and the comparative power plant analysis<br />

performed by <strong>ABATE</strong> witnesses to determine DECo’s stranded cost are recognized<br />

methods <strong>of</strong> calculating net stranded costs. These administrative valuation techniques<br />

have been employed by other commissions to establish net stranded costs. As<br />

DECo’s customers participate in retail access, portions <strong>of</strong> DECo’s generation are<br />

freed-up. This generation can be used to make sales into the open or competitive<br />

market. The discounted cash flow analysis and the comparative plant analysis<br />

provide for the value <strong>of</strong> that generation.<br />

In addition, administrative valuations have been used by the MPSC to<br />

establish stranded cost estimates for DECo. In its order in Case No. U-11726, the<br />

MPSC provided for a rapid amortization <strong>of</strong> Fermi 2 that would “promote competition<br />

by reducing future stranded costs.” (Order in Case No. U-11726, page 37.) Clearly,<br />

to make this finding, the MPSC was relying on an administrative valuation. To<br />

dismiss the <strong>ABATE</strong> provided administrative analysis would be inconsistent with<br />

previous MPSC rulings.<br />

Q IS IT IMPORTANT THAT DECo’S GENERATION-RELATED NET STRANDED<br />

COST BE DETERMINED ACCURATELY?<br />

A Yes. As previously indicated, one <strong>of</strong> the stated purposes <strong>of</strong> Act 141 is to encourage<br />

the development and construction <strong>of</strong> merchant plants to diversify the ownership <strong>of</strong><br />

electric generation in Michigan. For this to occur, stable estimates <strong>of</strong> net stranded


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cost are imperative. Without stable estimates, a customer choice market will not<br />

develop. Without stable estimates, customers will be uncertain as to the price they<br />

will pay for electricity. Therefore, it will be difficult for customers to make long-range<br />

commitments as to who will be their suppliers. Without this commitment, developers<br />

will be unwilling to build new generation in the state.<br />

Q WHY DO YOU BELIEVE DECo’S PROPOSAL DOES NOT ACCOMPLISH THE<br />

STATED OBJECTIVE OF ENCOURAGING THE DEVELOPMENT AND<br />

CONSTRUCTION OF MERCHANT PLANTS?<br />

A Under DECo’s proposal, customers that exercise customer choice will be paying rates<br />

approximately equal to DECo’s current rates. This arises because DECo relies on<br />

historic hub energy prices to develop its net stranded cost estimates. The hub energy<br />

prices are likely representative <strong>of</strong> prices customers are paying for generation<br />

services. Therefore, there is little incentive for customers to leave the system since<br />

the electricity cost they incur by leaving the system will be almost the same as the<br />

electricity cost they would incur by remaining a DECo retail customer.<br />

Q YOU INDICATED EARLIER THAT DECo HAS CREATED AN ETCA. WHAT IS<br />

THE PURPOSE OF THIS ADJUSTMENT?<br />

A The purpose <strong>of</strong> this adjustment is to eliminate the rate skewing that currently exists.<br />

Under the current rates, the residential class is paying rates below cost <strong>of</strong> service,<br />

while the commercial secondary and industrial/commercial primary customers are<br />

paying rates in excess <strong>of</strong> their cost.


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Page 18<br />

Q DOES DECo PROPOSE TO ELIMINATE RATE SKEWING FOR ITS RETAIL AND<br />

CUSTOMER CHOICE CUSTOMERS?<br />

A No. DECo’s proposal only affects the retail access program.<br />

Q WHAT IS THE RATE IMPACT OF DECo’S PROPOSAL ON RAST RATES?<br />

A Under DECo’s proposal, the commercial secondary and industrial/commercial primary<br />

customers will be assessed an ETCA surcharge <strong>of</strong> 1.89¢ per kWh and .21¢ per kWh,<br />

respectively. Conversely, the residential class will see a negative surcharge <strong>of</strong> 1.11¢<br />

per kWh.<br />

Q SHOULD THE COMMISSION ADOPT DECo’S ETCA PROPOSAL?<br />

A No. DECo’s proposal violates the rate freeze provisions <strong>of</strong> Act 141. Specifically,<br />

Section 10d. <strong>of</strong> Act 141 froze rates as <strong>of</strong> May 1, 2000. The only exceptions to the<br />

rate freeze were the mandated 5% rate reduction for the residential customers and<br />

the pass on <strong>of</strong> any reduction in the revenue requirement associated with<br />

securitization. Act 141 required that the rate freeze would remain in effect until<br />

December 31, 2003. As a result <strong>of</strong> DECo’s proposal, the commercial secondary and<br />

industrial/commercial primary customers will be seeing rate increases in their<br />

distribution rates. This is in violation <strong>of</strong> the Act 141 mandated rate freeze since DECo<br />

is increasing rates above the level that existed at May 1, 2000.<br />

Also, DECo’s proposal continues the residential rate subsidy that has existed<br />

for a number <strong>of</strong> years. The Commission, for whatever reasons, has authorized the<br />

residential rates below cost <strong>of</strong> service. So that DECo was not adversely affected<br />

financially, the difference between the residential cost <strong>of</strong> service and the residential<br />

revenues has been made up by the other rate classes. In order to send proper


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signals, the Commission should not implement non-cost-based rates or surcharges<br />

applicable to those customers taking service in the competitive market.<br />

Therefore, the Commission should reject DECo’s ETCA proposal. Customers<br />

should be able to participate in the customer choice program based on cost-based<br />

rates.<br />

Q DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR TESTIMONY AT THIS TIME?<br />

A Yes.


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Qualifications <strong>of</strong> <strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Q PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS.<br />

BRUBAKER & ASSOCIATES, INC.<br />

Appendix A<br />

A <strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong>. My business mailing address is P. O. Box 412000, 1215 Fern<br />

Ridge Parkway, Suite 208, St. Louis, Missouri 63141-2000.<br />

Q PLEASE STATE YOUR OCCUPATION.<br />

A I am a consultant in the field <strong>of</strong> public utility regulation and am a principal in the firm <strong>of</strong><br />

Brubaker & Associates, Inc., energy, economic and regulatory consultants.<br />

Q PLEASE STATE YOUR EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND AND PROFESSIONAL<br />

EMPLOYMENT EXPERIENCE.<br />

A I graduated from Oakland University in 1969 with a Bachelor <strong>of</strong> Science degree with a<br />

major in Engineering. In 1978 I received the degree <strong>of</strong> Master <strong>of</strong> Business Admin-<br />

istration with a major in Finance from Wayne State University.<br />

I was employed by The Detroit Edison Company (DECo) in April <strong>of</strong> 1969 in its<br />

Pr<strong>of</strong>essional Development Program. My initial assignments were in the engineering<br />

and operations divisions where my responsibilities included evaluation <strong>of</strong> equipment<br />

for use on the distribution and transmission system; equipment performance testing<br />

under field and laboratory conditions; and trouble-shooting and equipment testing at<br />

various power plants throughout the DECo system. I also worked on system design<br />

and planning for system expansion.


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Appendix A<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 2<br />

In May <strong>of</strong> 1975, I transferred to the Rate and Revenue Requirement area <strong>of</strong><br />

DECo. From that time, and until my departure from DECo in June 1984, I held various<br />

positions which included economic analyst, senior financial analyst, supervisor <strong>of</strong><br />

Rate Research Division, supervisor <strong>of</strong> Cost-<strong>of</strong>-Service Division and director <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Revenue Requirement Department. In these positions, I was responsible for overseeing<br />

and performing economic and financial studies and book depreciation studies,<br />

developed fixed charge rates and parameters and procedures used in economic studies,<br />

providing a financial analysis consulting service to all areas <strong>of</strong> DECo, developing and<br />

designing rate structure for electrical and steam service, analyzing pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> various<br />

classes <strong>of</strong> service and recommending changes therein, determining fuel and purchased<br />

power adjustments and all aspects <strong>of</strong> determining revenue requirements for ratemaking<br />

purposes.<br />

In June <strong>of</strong> 1984, I joined the firm <strong>of</strong> Drazen-Brubaker & Associates, Inc. (DBA).<br />

In April 1995 the firm <strong>of</strong> Brubaker & Associates, Inc. (BAI) was formed. It includes most<br />

<strong>of</strong> the former DBA principals and staff. At DBA and BAI I have testified in electric, gas<br />

and water proceedings involving almost all aspects <strong>of</strong> regulation. I have also performed<br />

economic analyses for clients related to energy cost issues.<br />

In addition to our main <strong>of</strong>fice in St. Louis, the firm also has branch <strong>of</strong>fices in<br />

Kerrville, Texas; Plano, Texas; Denver, Colorado; and Chicago, Illinois.<br />

Q HAVE YOU PREVIOUSLY APPEARED BEFORE A REGULATORY COMMISSION?<br />

A Yes. I have testified on behalf <strong>of</strong> DECo in its steam heating and main electric cases. In<br />

these cases I have testified to rate base, income statement adjustments, changes<br />

in book depreciation rates, rate design, and interim and final revenue deficiencies.


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Appendix A<br />

<strong>James</strong> T. <strong>Selecky</strong><br />

Page 3<br />

In addition, I have testified before the regulatory commissions <strong>of</strong> the States <strong>of</strong><br />

Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Maryland, Massachusetts,<br />

Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee,<br />

Texas, Utah, Wisconsin, and Wyoming, and the Provinces <strong>of</strong> Saskatchewan and<br />

Alberta. I also have testified before the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. In<br />

addition, I have filed testimony in proceedings before the regulatory commissions in the<br />

States <strong>of</strong> Iowa, Montana, New York, and Pennsylvania. My testimony has addressed<br />

revenue requirement issues, cost <strong>of</strong> service, rate design, financial integrity, accounting-<br />

related issues, merger-related issues, and performance standards. The revenue<br />

requirement testimony has addressed book depreciation rates, decommissioning<br />

expense, O&M expense levels, and rate base adjustments for items such as plant held<br />

for future use, working capital, and post test year adjustments. In addition, I have<br />

testified on deregulation issues such as stranded cost estimates and rate design.<br />

Q ARE YOU A REGISTERED PROFESSIONAL ENGINEER?<br />

A Yes, I am a registered pr<strong>of</strong>essional engineer in the State <strong>of</strong> Michigan, based upon state<br />

examinations.

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