The P&C Actuary's Role in Solvency Monitoring - Property and ...
The P&C Actuary's Role in Solvency Monitoring - Property and ...
The P&C Actuary's Role in Solvency Monitoring - Property and ...
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PACICC – <strong>The</strong> P&C Actuary’s <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Solvency</strong> Monitor<strong>in</strong>g Page 40<br />
change <strong>in</strong> the environment <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> the actuary’s assessment of the various<br />
considerations that <strong>in</strong>fluence the selection of the marg<strong>in</strong> for adverse<br />
deviations, then a change may be justified.<br />
Dynamic Capital Adequacy Test<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>The</strong> work of the CIA on st<strong>and</strong>ards of practice for DCAT extends over many years. Two exposure<br />
drafts preceded the adoption of a f<strong>in</strong>al DCAT st<strong>and</strong>ard of practice by Council on December 14,<br />
1998. <strong>The</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard was effective for any DCAT work start<strong>in</strong>g on January 1, 1999. With the<br />
publication of Dynamic Capital Adequacy Test<strong>in</strong>g (DCAT SOP), the CIA f<strong>in</strong>ally had st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />
that addressed DCAT for both life <strong>and</strong> P&C <strong>in</strong>surance companies. Prior to December 1998, the<br />
previous dynamic solvency test<strong>in</strong>g st<strong>and</strong>ard of practice only applied to life <strong>in</strong>surance companies.<br />
<strong>The</strong> DCAT SOP was applicable to an actuary’s work exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g future f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition if<br />
asked for by the regulators. At the time, it was expected that the regulators would start requir<strong>in</strong>g<br />
P&C <strong>in</strong>surers to have DCAT analyses completed. In the cover memor<strong>and</strong>um of the DCAT<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ard of practice, it was noted that the “CIA will notify the federal <strong>and</strong> prov<strong>in</strong>cial regulators<br />
that the DCAT st<strong>and</strong>ard is effective January 1, 1999.” 75<br />
<strong>The</strong> purpose of DCAT was set out <strong>in</strong> Sections 15 to 17 of the DCAT SOP:<br />
Dynamic capital adequacy test<strong>in</strong>g exam<strong>in</strong>es the effect of various plausible adverse<br />
scenarios on the <strong>in</strong>surer’s forecasted capital adequacy. It is the actuary’s primary tool<br />
for <strong>in</strong>vestigation of an <strong>in</strong>surer’s f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition.<br />
<strong>The</strong> purpose of dynamic capital adequacy test<strong>in</strong>g is to identify<br />
plausible threats to satisfactory f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition,<br />
actions which lessen the likelihood of those threats, <strong>and</strong><br />
actions which would mitigate a threat if it materialized.<br />
Dynamic capital adequacy test<strong>in</strong>g is defensive: it addresses threats to f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />
condition rather than the exploitation of opportunity. 76<br />
Some of the issues addressed <strong>in</strong> the DCAT SOP <strong>in</strong>cluded:<br />
― Requirements for the determ<strong>in</strong>ation of a satisfactory f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition<br />
― Length of the forecast period<br />
― Base scenario<br />
― Plausible adverse scenarios<br />
― Integrated scenarios<br />
― Ripple effects<br />
― Report<strong>in</strong>g<br />
― Op<strong>in</strong>ion<br />
<strong>The</strong> CIA published an educational note on DCAT <strong>in</strong> January 1999, which was replaced <strong>in</strong> 2009<br />
with a revised educational note. <strong>The</strong> DCAT SOP was repealed <strong>in</strong> 2003 when the consolidated<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ards of practice were adopted. DCAT is now addressed <strong>in</strong> a separate section (Section 2500)<br />
of the consolidated st<strong>and</strong>ards of practice.<br />
75 DCAT, December 1998, cover note.<br />
76 http://www.actuaries.ca/members/publications/1998/9870e.pdf, accessed November 2010.