16.01.2013 Views

The P&C Actuary's Role in Solvency Monitoring - Property and ...

The P&C Actuary's Role in Solvency Monitoring - Property and ...

The P&C Actuary's Role in Solvency Monitoring - Property and ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

PACICC – <strong>The</strong> P&C Actuary’s <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Solvency</strong> Monitor<strong>in</strong>g Page 40<br />

change <strong>in</strong> the environment <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> the actuary’s assessment of the various<br />

considerations that <strong>in</strong>fluence the selection of the marg<strong>in</strong> for adverse<br />

deviations, then a change may be justified.<br />

Dynamic Capital Adequacy Test<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>The</strong> work of the CIA on st<strong>and</strong>ards of practice for DCAT extends over many years. Two exposure<br />

drafts preceded the adoption of a f<strong>in</strong>al DCAT st<strong>and</strong>ard of practice by Council on December 14,<br />

1998. <strong>The</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard was effective for any DCAT work start<strong>in</strong>g on January 1, 1999. With the<br />

publication of Dynamic Capital Adequacy Test<strong>in</strong>g (DCAT SOP), the CIA f<strong>in</strong>ally had st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />

that addressed DCAT for both life <strong>and</strong> P&C <strong>in</strong>surance companies. Prior to December 1998, the<br />

previous dynamic solvency test<strong>in</strong>g st<strong>and</strong>ard of practice only applied to life <strong>in</strong>surance companies.<br />

<strong>The</strong> DCAT SOP was applicable to an actuary’s work exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g future f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition if<br />

asked for by the regulators. At the time, it was expected that the regulators would start requir<strong>in</strong>g<br />

P&C <strong>in</strong>surers to have DCAT analyses completed. In the cover memor<strong>and</strong>um of the DCAT<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ard of practice, it was noted that the “CIA will notify the federal <strong>and</strong> prov<strong>in</strong>cial regulators<br />

that the DCAT st<strong>and</strong>ard is effective January 1, 1999.” 75<br />

<strong>The</strong> purpose of DCAT was set out <strong>in</strong> Sections 15 to 17 of the DCAT SOP:<br />

Dynamic capital adequacy test<strong>in</strong>g exam<strong>in</strong>es the effect of various plausible adverse<br />

scenarios on the <strong>in</strong>surer’s forecasted capital adequacy. It is the actuary’s primary tool<br />

for <strong>in</strong>vestigation of an <strong>in</strong>surer’s f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition.<br />

<strong>The</strong> purpose of dynamic capital adequacy test<strong>in</strong>g is to identify<br />

plausible threats to satisfactory f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition,<br />

actions which lessen the likelihood of those threats, <strong>and</strong><br />

actions which would mitigate a threat if it materialized.<br />

Dynamic capital adequacy test<strong>in</strong>g is defensive: it addresses threats to f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

condition rather than the exploitation of opportunity. 76<br />

Some of the issues addressed <strong>in</strong> the DCAT SOP <strong>in</strong>cluded:<br />

― Requirements for the determ<strong>in</strong>ation of a satisfactory f<strong>in</strong>ancial condition<br />

― Length of the forecast period<br />

― Base scenario<br />

― Plausible adverse scenarios<br />

― Integrated scenarios<br />

― Ripple effects<br />

― Report<strong>in</strong>g<br />

― Op<strong>in</strong>ion<br />

<strong>The</strong> CIA published an educational note on DCAT <strong>in</strong> January 1999, which was replaced <strong>in</strong> 2009<br />

with a revised educational note. <strong>The</strong> DCAT SOP was repealed <strong>in</strong> 2003 when the consolidated<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards of practice were adopted. DCAT is now addressed <strong>in</strong> a separate section (Section 2500)<br />

of the consolidated st<strong>and</strong>ards of practice.<br />

75 DCAT, December 1998, cover note.<br />

76 http://www.actuaries.ca/members/publications/1998/9870e.pdf, accessed November 2010.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!