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Venture Capital and the Finance of Innovation, Second Edition

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EXHIBIT 18-8<br />

EXIT DIAGRAM FOR THE SERIES A<br />

Series A<br />

Slope 1/2<br />

10 20 150<br />

$W<br />

Usually, <strong>the</strong> part <strong>of</strong> this diagram that confuses people is <strong>the</strong> drop <strong>of</strong> $20M at W 5 150.<br />

This drop is due to <strong>the</strong> combination <strong>of</strong> two effects. First, when Techco exercises <strong>the</strong>ir options,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y immediately receive 1/3 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> proceeds, which reduces <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> EBV stake from<br />

one-half <strong>of</strong> $150M (5 $75M) to one-third <strong>of</strong> $150M (5 $50M). This causes a drop <strong>of</strong> $25M.<br />

This drop is somewhat cushioned by one-third <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> proceeds from <strong>the</strong> exercise cost (1/3<br />

$15M 5 $5M), leaving a total drop <strong>of</strong> $25M 2 $5M 5 $20M. Note that this kind <strong>of</strong> binary<br />

call does not occur when “regular” preferred stock converts, because <strong>the</strong>re is no windfall<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>it or loss at <strong>the</strong> time <strong>of</strong> such conversions. In this example, however, Techco’s options are<br />

well in-<strong>the</strong>-money before <strong>the</strong>y are allowed to convert <strong>the</strong>m at W 5 $150M. When <strong>the</strong>y are<br />

finally able to convert, <strong>the</strong> resulting pr<strong>of</strong>its cause <strong>the</strong> jumps in <strong>the</strong> diagrams.<br />

(b) To compute <strong>the</strong> breakeven valuation (5 implied valuation) for <strong>the</strong> Series A, we first<br />

subtract <strong>the</strong> GP valuation from Equation (18.16) to obtain<br />

LP valuation <strong>of</strong> Series E 5 9=10 ½V 2 Cð10Þ 1 1=2 Cð20Þ<br />

2 20 BCð150Þ 2 1=6 Cð150ÞŠ:<br />

ð18:17Þ<br />

The LP cost is ($100M/$80M) $10M 5 $12.5M. As in <strong>the</strong> previous examples, it is<br />

necessary to use <strong>the</strong> FLEX Calculator to compute <strong>the</strong> IVpost. Under base-case assumptions for<br />

a Series A investment, we find an IVpost <strong>of</strong> $30.52M.<br />

(c) Using <strong>the</strong> IV post <strong>of</strong> $30.52M <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> same base-case assumptions as in part (b), we<br />

can use FLEX to compute <strong>the</strong> partial valuation <strong>of</strong> Techco’s options (Equation (18.13))<br />

as $4.58M. ’<br />

18.3 A COMPLEX EXAMPLE<br />

Slope 1/3<br />

Next, we try to solve a real messy problem. If we can do this, we can do (almost)<br />

anything.<br />

20<br />

18.3 A COMPLEX EXAMPLE 329

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