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Yvonne Unruh

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Spectral Solar Irradiance<br />

Modelling: where now and where<br />

next?<br />

<strong>Yvonne</strong> <strong>Unruh</strong><br />

Imperial College London<br />

with many thanks to:<br />

William Ball, Nadine Afram, Natasha Krivova,<br />

Sami Solanki, Manfred Schüssler<br />

as well as to SORCE and UARS instrument scientists


Overview<br />

• Spectral solar irradiance: what do we<br />

know?<br />

• Tests of SSI models<br />

– Long-term inconsistencies?<br />

– Short term uncertainties<br />

• SSI from magneto-convection<br />

simulations<br />

• Conclusions


State of Affairs?<br />

Measurements models<br />

TSI rotational �����������������������<br />

cycle �����������������������<br />

����������cycle minima ? (�)<br />

Maunder min �����������������������?<br />

SSI rotational ���������������������(for most λ)<br />

cycle �and������������������(for some λ?)<br />

(wavelength dependent)<br />

cycle minima �����������������������?<br />

Maunder minima �����������������������?


What are the problems?<br />

Measurements:<br />

- Lack of continuous measurements<br />

- Insufficient overlap between different instruments<br />

- Calibration once instruments are in space /<br />

degradation corrections<br />

Models:<br />

- What produces the irradiance variations? (Can we<br />

just extrapolate from rotational → cyclic → secular<br />

variability?)<br />

- What are best / sufficient tracers?<br />

- Uncertainties in contrasts:<br />

– spectral synthesis<br />

– model atmospheres


Tests of Contrast Calculations<br />

SATIRE:<br />

- continuum images → spot coverage<br />

- magnetograms → facular filling coverage<br />

Time<br />

dependent<br />

- emergent contrasts<br />

– Currently not feature dependent,<br />

though scaled according to magnetic<br />

field of features<br />

– (cf Shapiro et al; Fontenla et al;<br />

Ermolli et al for different<br />

approaches)


Tests of Contrast Calculations


Tests of Contrast Calculations


SATIRE – SIM: comparisons<br />

200 - 300 nm


SATIRE – SIM: comparisons<br />

200 - 300 nm<br />

facular brightening too large<br />

(mainly during active phases)


SATIRE – SIM: comparisons<br />

970 - 1600 nm


SATIRE – SIM: comparisons<br />

lack of filling-factor<br />

sensitivity?<br />

970 - 1600 nm


+ SATIRE<br />

� SORCE/SIM<br />

SATIRE – SIM: in detail<br />

During May 2004 –<br />

reasonably active time


+ SATIRE<br />

� SORCE/SIM<br />

SATIRE – SIM: in detail<br />

During May 2004 –<br />

reasonably active time


Early<br />

2008 –<br />

much<br />

more<br />

quiet<br />

time<br />

SATIRE – SIM: in detail<br />

SIM<br />

SATIRE


spots and faculae: cycle vars<br />

spots<br />

total<br />

faculae


spots and faculae: cycle vars<br />

total<br />

spots<br />

faculae


MURaM<br />

Magnetoconvection simulations:<br />

288 x 288 x 100 points<br />

corresponding to<br />

6 x 6 x 1.4 Mm<br />

mean vertical magnetic flux:<br />

0, 50, 200 & 400 G<br />

vertical velocity<br />

Temperature vertical mag flux<br />

see Vögler et al 2005, A&A 429,<br />

5000 K<br />

10000 K<br />

↓ 9<br />

km/s<br />

↑ 9<br />

km/s<br />

2 kG<br />

-1 kG


From MURaM to disk-centre intensities 1:<br />

T B<br />

Tot<br />

al<br />

Mg G<br />

band II<br />

UV<br />

(268nm)<br />

Missing:<br />

B for<br />

200G<br />

run<br />

5 μ


From MURaM to disk-<br />

centre intensities 2:<br />

G-band images for different<br />

mean mag fluxes<br />

50<br />

G<br />

200<br />

G<br />

0<br />

G<br />

400<br />

G


mag<br />

pore<br />

mag<br />

bright<br />

point<br />

Individual features<br />

lane<br />

granule


Individual features


50 G<br />

200 G<br />

400 G<br />

MURAM<br />

disk-centre<br />

contrasts:<br />

50 G<br />

200 G<br />

400 G


S<br />

A<br />

T<br />

I<br />

R<br />

E<br />

Average limb-behaviour


S<br />

A<br />

T<br />

I<br />

R<br />

E<br />

+<br />

M<br />

U<br />

R<br />

A<br />

M<br />

Average limb-behaviour


Conclusions<br />

• Excellent agreement between models and<br />

observations on rotational timescale<br />

- some (small) uncertainties in UV and NIR<br />

• Are starting to understand cycle variations; SIM<br />

long-term trends seem unlikely starting with<br />

magnetically induced changes<br />

• Magneto-convection simulations allow the<br />

calculation of ab-initio contrasts<br />

– dependence of spectral shape on magnetic flux<br />

– Initial results are encouraging, but also some<br />

surprises... not straightforward!


SATIRE background<br />

<strong>Unruh</strong> et al 1999, A&A 345, 635<br />

Fligge et al 2000, A&A 353, 380<br />

Reconstructions (cyclical and shorter<br />

timescales)<br />

Krivova et al 2003, A&A 399, L1<br />

Wenzler et al 2006, A&A 460, 583<br />

<strong>Unruh</strong> et al 2008, A&A 486, 311<br />

Long-term reconstructions<br />

Krivova et al 2007, A&A 467, 335 (and refs<br />

therein)<br />

MURaM background

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