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Aiolos WindPower - Vitec

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<strong>Vitec</strong> Energy<br />

Improve your wind power forecasts with <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong>!<br />

<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> is the latest product from <strong>Vitec</strong> software and is designed for short-<br />

term wind energy forecasting. Wind power is being used as never before and this has<br />

created new challenges for energy forecasting. <strong>Aiolos</strong> is the leading load forecasting<br />

software in the Nordic region and <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> is already gaining ground inter-<br />

nationally.<br />

The use of wind power has seen rapid growth in a<br />

short period of time and in order to leverage this<br />

renewable energy technology, precise energy forecasting<br />

tools are required to minimize the variability<br />

and uncertainty of wind power. <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong><br />

can be used to forecast the energy output of a<br />

single turbine, of an entire wind farm or of a whole<br />

country’s wind production. Forecasts can be produced<br />

for periods of half an hour up to 4 days long. Weather<br />

forecasts for the current area are included in the<br />

system and the accuracy of the forecasts is as high as<br />

93% in installed areas.<br />

Ho w d o e s t H e m o d e l w o r k ?<br />

The <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> system is configured with basic data<br />

of the production units, such as the geographic placement<br />

of the turbines, the maximum power, rotor diameter, hub<br />

height and more. Based on this data, the program then<br />

determines how each turbine reacts in various weather<br />

situations. This then produces a model which describes<br />

<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong><br />

the local conditions on each site. From this model you can<br />

produce a wind power production forecast.<br />

Current meteorological models have trouble producing pre-<br />

cise wind power forecasts as they are based on wind speed<br />

and wind forecasts which are generally less accurate than<br />

a temperature forecast. A wind forecast is afflicted with a<br />

larger error margin due to the variability of wind speeds<br />

included in a wind forecast. Inaccurate wind power forecasts<br />

arise when the power curve of the turbine is merely correla-<br />

ted to these wind forecasts.<br />

<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> uses the MOS-technique which correlates<br />

historical wind forecasts with the actual power generated<br />

and applies this to future wind forecasts. This technique is<br />

based on the direct relationship between wind forecasts<br />

and the energy produced and removes the error inherent in<br />

using wind speed and theoretical wind power. In this way,<br />

the errors of wind forecasting are minimized to produce an<br />

optimal wind power forecast.<br />

www.vitec.se


Ho w a c c u r at e is ai o l o s wi n dPo w e r ?<br />

During 2006, the model was evaluated and the accuracy<br />

found to be over 93% on an hour by hour basis for a wind<br />

park.<br />

Fu n c t i o n a l i t y o F ai o l o s wi n dPo w e r<br />

The system is easy to use and built to integrate with other<br />

systems<br />

Production data can be shown in graphical format<br />

Weather data can be automatically imported into the system<br />

The system has ready-to-use formats for the importing and<br />

exporting of common databases within the energy market for<br />

a number of meteorological institutes<br />

Forecasts can be produced for individual turbines or whole<br />

wind parks<br />

Tools are available for the control of historical data<br />

We tailor the weather forecasts for your production units<br />

<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> can be used integrated with <strong>Aiolos</strong> or as a<br />

stand alone system<br />

Vite c is a s a F e c H o i c e<br />

Making <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> your forecasting system is a safe choice.<br />

The further development of the system is secured by our broad<br />

customer base. 40 companies use <strong>Vitec</strong> forecasting systems today.<br />

In the past six months alone, six new customers in the Nordic<br />

market have chosen <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> for their demand forecasts.<br />

eV a l u at e a i o l o s w i n dP o w e r F o r a Few m o n t H s<br />

If you are interested in trying out <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> for a few<br />

months, to see for your self how accurate the forecasts really are,<br />

we can arrange a trial for you.<br />

Contact Niklas Berg at: niklas.berg@vitec.se or by phone at +46<br />

706 186 490, in order to set up a trial<br />

ru b r i k 3<br />

Brödtext<br />

”Kundkommentar ingress”<br />

”Kundkommentar brödtext”<br />

<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong><br />

<strong>Vitec</strong>, Varbergsgatan 2C, 412 65 Göteborg, Sweden Tel +46(0)31-18 64 90 Fax 090-15 49 07<br />

Jane Doe<br />

Titel<br />

Företag<br />

”så himla<br />

bra”

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