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<strong>Vitec</strong> Energy<br />
Improve your wind power forecasts with <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong>!<br />
<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> is the latest product from <strong>Vitec</strong> software and is designed for short-<br />
term wind energy forecasting. Wind power is being used as never before and this has<br />
created new challenges for energy forecasting. <strong>Aiolos</strong> is the leading load forecasting<br />
software in the Nordic region and <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> is already gaining ground inter-<br />
nationally.<br />
The use of wind power has seen rapid growth in a<br />
short period of time and in order to leverage this<br />
renewable energy technology, precise energy forecasting<br />
tools are required to minimize the variability<br />
and uncertainty of wind power. <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong><br />
can be used to forecast the energy output of a<br />
single turbine, of an entire wind farm or of a whole<br />
country’s wind production. Forecasts can be produced<br />
for periods of half an hour up to 4 days long. Weather<br />
forecasts for the current area are included in the<br />
system and the accuracy of the forecasts is as high as<br />
93% in installed areas.<br />
Ho w d o e s t H e m o d e l w o r k ?<br />
The <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> system is configured with basic data<br />
of the production units, such as the geographic placement<br />
of the turbines, the maximum power, rotor diameter, hub<br />
height and more. Based on this data, the program then<br />
determines how each turbine reacts in various weather<br />
situations. This then produces a model which describes<br />
<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong><br />
the local conditions on each site. From this model you can<br />
produce a wind power production forecast.<br />
Current meteorological models have trouble producing pre-<br />
cise wind power forecasts as they are based on wind speed<br />
and wind forecasts which are generally less accurate than<br />
a temperature forecast. A wind forecast is afflicted with a<br />
larger error margin due to the variability of wind speeds<br />
included in a wind forecast. Inaccurate wind power forecasts<br />
arise when the power curve of the turbine is merely correla-<br />
ted to these wind forecasts.<br />
<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> uses the MOS-technique which correlates<br />
historical wind forecasts with the actual power generated<br />
and applies this to future wind forecasts. This technique is<br />
based on the direct relationship between wind forecasts<br />
and the energy produced and removes the error inherent in<br />
using wind speed and theoretical wind power. In this way,<br />
the errors of wind forecasting are minimized to produce an<br />
optimal wind power forecast.<br />
www.vitec.se
Ho w a c c u r at e is ai o l o s wi n dPo w e r ?<br />
During 2006, the model was evaluated and the accuracy<br />
found to be over 93% on an hour by hour basis for a wind<br />
park.<br />
Fu n c t i o n a l i t y o F ai o l o s wi n dPo w e r<br />
The system is easy to use and built to integrate with other<br />
systems<br />
Production data can be shown in graphical format<br />
Weather data can be automatically imported into the system<br />
The system has ready-to-use formats for the importing and<br />
exporting of common databases within the energy market for<br />
a number of meteorological institutes<br />
Forecasts can be produced for individual turbines or whole<br />
wind parks<br />
Tools are available for the control of historical data<br />
We tailor the weather forecasts for your production units<br />
<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> can be used integrated with <strong>Aiolos</strong> or as a<br />
stand alone system<br />
Vite c is a s a F e c H o i c e<br />
Making <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> your forecasting system is a safe choice.<br />
The further development of the system is secured by our broad<br />
customer base. 40 companies use <strong>Vitec</strong> forecasting systems today.<br />
In the past six months alone, six new customers in the Nordic<br />
market have chosen <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> for their demand forecasts.<br />
eV a l u at e a i o l o s w i n dP o w e r F o r a Few m o n t H s<br />
If you are interested in trying out <strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong> for a few<br />
months, to see for your self how accurate the forecasts really are,<br />
we can arrange a trial for you.<br />
Contact Niklas Berg at: niklas.berg@vitec.se or by phone at +46<br />
706 186 490, in order to set up a trial<br />
ru b r i k 3<br />
Brödtext<br />
”Kundkommentar ingress”<br />
”Kundkommentar brödtext”<br />
<strong>Aiolos</strong> <strong>WindPower</strong><br />
<strong>Vitec</strong>, Varbergsgatan 2C, 412 65 Göteborg, Sweden Tel +46(0)31-18 64 90 Fax 090-15 49 07<br />
Jane Doe<br />
Titel<br />
Företag<br />
”så himla<br />
bra”