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Developments to the Met Office Global and Regional ... - UCAR

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© Crown copyright <strong>Met</strong> <strong>Office</strong><br />

MOGREPS-UK<br />

2.2km UKV model<br />

•First operational UK<br />

ensemble 2012<br />

•12 members, 2.2km<br />

•Now running technical<br />

trial with 36h forecasts<br />

Products will use Neighbourhood<br />

Processing <strong>to</strong> account for spatial<br />

uncertainty not covered by ensemble<br />

spread<br />

Probability of more than 100 mm of<br />

rain in 18 hours within 10 miles of any<br />

location

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