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Central Entrance - City of Duluth

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1.0 Introduction<br />

1.1 SCOPE OF STUDY & PROJECT BACKGROUND<br />

MXD Development Strategists Ltd (Vancouver, Canada) was<br />

commissioned by the <strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Duluth</strong> in January 2009 to conduct a<br />

Market Study for the <strong>Central</strong> <strong>Entrance</strong> – Miller Hill Corridor (the<br />

“Study Area”). This study was conducted over the period February to<br />

March to assist the <strong>City</strong> in creating an identity for the entire area and<br />

for establishing a priority for land use allocation and development<br />

along it.<br />

This study specifically assesses the supply and demand for retail,<br />

residential, <strong>of</strong>fice, hotel land uses along the Study Area, followed by a<br />

land use allocation strategy and fiscal benefits summary.<br />

1.2 REPORT STRUCTURE<br />

MXD Development Strategists Ltd conducted field research in<br />

February 2009 to gain a firm understanding <strong>of</strong> the existing<br />

competitive and economic conditions in the <strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Duluth</strong>.<br />

These field investigations specifically examined and documented in<br />

detail the current retail inventory in the <strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Duluth</strong>, as well as<br />

major <strong>of</strong>fice clusters, multi‐family residential developments and<br />

accommodations.<br />

The purpose <strong>of</strong> this research was to establish a solid foundation for<br />

estimating the potential demand for land uses along the Study Area<br />

and specifically how such land uses could and should be located and<br />

prioritized to ensure well balanced and managed growth in the <strong>City</strong>.<br />

Accordingly, this study and its recommendations are structured as<br />

follows:<br />

Section 1: Project Scope & Understanding<br />

Section 2: Location Analysis<br />

In order to lay a foundation for subsequent growth forecasts, this<br />

section assesses the recent and current economic performance <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Duluth</strong>. Specific areas <strong>of</strong> examination will include employment, retail<br />

sales, GDP growth etc. An analysis <strong>of</strong> the Study Area’s local context<br />

and site qualities is also made.<br />

Sections 3: Competitive Supply (Retail, Office, Hotel/Leisure, and<br />

Residential)<br />

This section describes the existing local retail inventory documenting<br />

the major retail nodes in <strong>Duluth</strong>, focusing on the Study Area. This<br />

assessment also includes an overview <strong>of</strong> market conditions for <strong>of</strong>fice,<br />

hotel accommodations/amenities, and multi‐family residential uses.<br />

Section 4: Demand Analysis (Retail, Office, Hotel/Leisure, and<br />

Residential)<br />

This section examines the regional trade area, including its<br />

demographic pr<strong>of</strong>ile, and expenditure pr<strong>of</strong>iles for retail categories<br />

(excluding automotive sales and service). It also forecasts demand for<br />

<strong>of</strong>fice, accommodation and multi‐family residential land uses.<br />

Section 5: Land Use Allocation Analysis<br />

This section contrasts the supply and demand conditions, as well as<br />

the location analysis findings to forecast demand for each major land<br />

use along the Study Area.<br />

Section 6: Districting Strategies<br />

In this section key districts are developed and a prioritization <strong>of</strong><br />

development parcels is identified based upon an overall strategy for<br />

the entire corridor, available development parcels, and each parcel’s<br />

inherent site qualities and neighboring land uses.<br />

An order‐<strong>of</strong>‐magnitude estimate <strong>of</strong> the potential economic benefits<br />

that could result from the District Strategy & Land Use Allocation is<br />

included.<br />

Section 7: Place‐Making Strategies<br />

To complete the study, a brief illustration is made <strong>of</strong> how both Miller<br />

Hill and <strong>Central</strong> <strong>Entrance</strong> could develop a greater identity in the near‐<br />

term through specific design and streetscape enhancements.<br />

Land Use Allocation & Districting Strategy<br />

2

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