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Yield Gap Analysis: Implications for Research and Policy

Yield Gap Analysis: Implications for Research and Policy

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How high can average farm yields go?<br />

• Best current estimate:<br />

– 75-85% <strong>for</strong> irrigated crops<br />

– 70-80% <strong>for</strong> rainfed crops<br />

• Actual threshold depends on:<br />

– Relative prices <strong>for</strong> outputs versus inputs<br />

– Crop sensitivity to lodging, diseases <strong>and</strong><br />

insect pests, other stresses at high yield<br />

levels, <strong>and</strong> probability of intense storms<br />

• Rice more sensitive than maize (lower ceiling)<br />

• Wheat varies: southern (India) > northern<br />

(northern Europe)

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