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Revista Digital Abril 2018

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E C O N O M Í A E M E R G E N T E C O N F U T U R O<br />

51<br />

Likewise, other destinations in the region, such as Bacalar,<br />

Mahahual, Holbox and Cozumel, are also growing in new<br />

rooms.<br />

For the expected development of the state in this period,<br />

especially in Cancun and Riviera Maya, these numbers<br />

represent an important economic spill for the destination<br />

and a growth of at least 20%<br />

in its hotel capacity. That is, as<br />

long as there is no external<br />

economic, political or climate<br />

factor preventing such. It is<br />

important to note that Quintana<br />

Roo’s economy is frail in<br />

spite of its consolidation and<br />

leading position in tourism<br />

and population growth. That is<br />

the case, precisely, because it<br />

depends on a single industry,<br />

tourism; and so, if any of the<br />

aforementioned factors is<br />

affected, the flow of visitors<br />

can decrease drastically, as it<br />

happened with the financial crisis<br />

of 2008, when the real estate sector was heavily impacted<br />

in a negative way for a period of at least three years. Adverse<br />

factors such as hurricane Wilma serve as another example,<br />

as it affected the tourist market directly for over two years,<br />

although it is worth mentioning that its effects were finally<br />

mitigated by the forceful economic activity derived from the<br />

infrastructural reconstruction of the area.<br />

All of this taken into account, and anticipating that Quintana<br />

Roo will continue to be the vanguard on tourism, it can be<br />

safely stated that the economic growth forecasts for the state<br />

in the coming years are encouraging, particularly for its<br />

northern part.<br />

en Quintana Roo es frágil, a pesar de su consolidación y liderato en turismo y<br />

crecimiento demográfico. Precisamente por depender en gran medida de una sola<br />

industria –el turismo–, al haber una afectación por cualquiera de estos factores, el<br />

flujo de visitantes puede verse disminuido drásticamente como sucedió en el caso<br />

de la crisis financiera de 2008, donde se vio fuertemente perjudicado el sector<br />

inmobiliario durante un lapso de por lo menos tres años; o por factores climáticos<br />

como el huracán Wilma, que afectó al mercado turístico directamente por más<br />

de dos años, aunque vale la pena recordar que sus efectos fueron finalmente<br />

mitigados por la vigorosa actividad económica generada en la reconstrucción de la<br />

nueva infraestructura.<br />

Tomando en cuenta lo anterior y previendo que Quintana Roo continuará al<br />

frente en materia de turismo, podemos decir que los pronósticos de crecimiento<br />

económico para el estado en los años venideros son alentadores, especialmente<br />

para la parte norte de la entidad.<br />

QUINTANA ROO OBTUVO<br />

UNA CALIFICACIÓN<br />

CREDITICIA DE EMISOR A<br />

LARGO PLAZO EN ESCALA<br />

NACIONAL DE<br />

‘BBB’,<br />

CON PERSPECTIVA ESTABLE.<br />

finTHE END<br />

QUINTANA ROO WAS<br />

RANKED AS BBB<br />

DOMESTIC LONG-<br />

TERM ISSUER OF<br />

CREDIT, WITH STABLE<br />

STANDING.

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