Revista Digital Abril 2018
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E C O N O M Í A E M E R G E N T E C O N F U T U R O<br />
51<br />
Likewise, other destinations in the region, such as Bacalar,<br />
Mahahual, Holbox and Cozumel, are also growing in new<br />
rooms.<br />
For the expected development of the state in this period,<br />
especially in Cancun and Riviera Maya, these numbers<br />
represent an important economic spill for the destination<br />
and a growth of at least 20%<br />
in its hotel capacity. That is, as<br />
long as there is no external<br />
economic, political or climate<br />
factor preventing such. It is<br />
important to note that Quintana<br />
Roo’s economy is frail in<br />
spite of its consolidation and<br />
leading position in tourism<br />
and population growth. That is<br />
the case, precisely, because it<br />
depends on a single industry,<br />
tourism; and so, if any of the<br />
aforementioned factors is<br />
affected, the flow of visitors<br />
can decrease drastically, as it<br />
happened with the financial crisis<br />
of 2008, when the real estate sector was heavily impacted<br />
in a negative way for a period of at least three years. Adverse<br />
factors such as hurricane Wilma serve as another example,<br />
as it affected the tourist market directly for over two years,<br />
although it is worth mentioning that its effects were finally<br />
mitigated by the forceful economic activity derived from the<br />
infrastructural reconstruction of the area.<br />
All of this taken into account, and anticipating that Quintana<br />
Roo will continue to be the vanguard on tourism, it can be<br />
safely stated that the economic growth forecasts for the state<br />
in the coming years are encouraging, particularly for its<br />
northern part.<br />
en Quintana Roo es frágil, a pesar de su consolidación y liderato en turismo y<br />
crecimiento demográfico. Precisamente por depender en gran medida de una sola<br />
industria –el turismo–, al haber una afectación por cualquiera de estos factores, el<br />
flujo de visitantes puede verse disminuido drásticamente como sucedió en el caso<br />
de la crisis financiera de 2008, donde se vio fuertemente perjudicado el sector<br />
inmobiliario durante un lapso de por lo menos tres años; o por factores climáticos<br />
como el huracán Wilma, que afectó al mercado turístico directamente por más<br />
de dos años, aunque vale la pena recordar que sus efectos fueron finalmente<br />
mitigados por la vigorosa actividad económica generada en la reconstrucción de la<br />
nueva infraestructura.<br />
Tomando en cuenta lo anterior y previendo que Quintana Roo continuará al<br />
frente en materia de turismo, podemos decir que los pronósticos de crecimiento<br />
económico para el estado en los años venideros son alentadores, especialmente<br />
para la parte norte de la entidad.<br />
QUINTANA ROO OBTUVO<br />
UNA CALIFICACIÓN<br />
CREDITICIA DE EMISOR A<br />
LARGO PLAZO EN ESCALA<br />
NACIONAL DE<br />
‘BBB’,<br />
CON PERSPECTIVA ESTABLE.<br />
finTHE END<br />
QUINTANA ROO WAS<br />
RANKED AS BBB<br />
DOMESTIC LONG-<br />
TERM ISSUER OF<br />
CREDIT, WITH STABLE<br />
STANDING.