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increase the number of participating<br />

individuals is tapping into the Internet.<br />

However, saddled with a freewheeling<br />

Wild West style, the Internet cannot<br />

easily provide pure well-controlled<br />

study populations. But the vast potential<br />

for touching enormous numbers of<br />

people could negate the noise of the<br />

Web. Experts use “meta-analysis” to<br />

increase the size of their experimental<br />

sample. Wiki knowledge derived from<br />

a social network offers a fluid, open<br />

source, ongoing meta-analysis—a virtual<br />

collection of experiences that can<br />

be constantly updated as users enter<br />

more individual data.<br />

Benefits and Challenges of<br />

Collective Information<br />

Social networks empower the “expert,”<br />

be it a doctor or a journalist, because<br />

access to this community-generated<br />

knowledge is shared by all. For example,<br />

illness and a significant story intersected<br />

at Love Canal, where 21,000<br />

tons of chemical waste lay buried<br />

beneath the community unbeknownst<br />

to the residents. Back in 1978, a time<br />

long before social media existed, Lois<br />

Gibbs, a local mother and president<br />

of the Love Canal Homeowners’ Association,<br />

first associated exposure to<br />

the leaking chemical waste with the<br />

epilepsy, asthma and urinary tract<br />

infections that were recurring in her<br />

children. Although flagrant and clear<br />

cut, Love Canal is not unique. Now, the<br />

ability of Web-based medical networks<br />

to cluster data geographically has the<br />

potential to reveal other dangerous living<br />

conditions. Similarly, occupational<br />

risks for disease are well recognized,<br />

and organizing medical data in this way<br />

will likely serve as an early warning<br />

system for on-the-job risks—and for<br />

investigative stories that can be done<br />

about them.<br />

Figuring out what constitutes a<br />

healthy lifestyle is something that<br />

consumes the time of both doctors<br />

and journalists, whose job it is to<br />

report reliably on the barrage of evidence<br />

emerging from many different<br />

studies—much of it contradictory or,<br />

at least, confusing. New information<br />

surfaces almost daily about dietary<br />

measures or fitness programs that<br />

will increase or decrease our risk<br />

for cancer, heart attacks, Alzheimer’s<br />

disease, and more, and some of it is<br />

potentially contaminated by the bias<br />

of financial involvement.<br />

How can one possibly capture all<br />

these simultaneous variables when<br />

computing risk? Did a study that found<br />

something new about coffee drinkers<br />

control for the number of hours those<br />

people spent in the gym? When a new<br />

drug is tested, the control group may<br />

not be identical to the experimental<br />

group in caloric intake, number of<br />

portions of vegetables eaten, or their<br />

amount of daily exercise. At best,<br />

the study is controlled for age and<br />

gender. But if those taking the drug<br />

are eating poorly and under stress<br />

and those on placebo are dining on<br />

salads and jogging on the beach, the<br />

wrong conclusion could be reached.<br />

And if one adds in genetic variation<br />

found in human populations—certain<br />

types of genes can increase or diminish<br />

the risk for disease—the variables<br />

mount further. Controlled studies are<br />

just not powered to capture multiple<br />

variables, and medical conditions are<br />

brimming with variables. The only way<br />

to increase the statistical power of a<br />

conclusion is to increase the sample<br />

size, exactly what social networks are<br />

designed to do.<br />

Because wiki knowledge in the social<br />

network arena is obtained in an<br />

unconventional manner, it might not<br />

provide conclusive evidence. Therefore,<br />

a preferable way of thinking about<br />

wiki knowledge is as a guidepost for<br />

the design of hypotheses (for scientists<br />

to test) or generating story ideas (for<br />

journalists to report). For each of us,<br />

the pitfalls are evident, and a few of<br />

them are highlighted below:<br />

• Selection bias is a problem. Those on<br />

a social network tend to be younger<br />

and not economically disadvantaged.<br />

When groups of people are excluded<br />

due to entry barriers, the information<br />

generated from the community<br />

will be biased, and other knowledge<br />

will be lost or skewed. In time, the<br />

increasing penetration of the Internet<br />

to all segments of the society will<br />

New Venues<br />

resolve this <strong>issue</strong> as has happened<br />

for telephones and TV.<br />

• The privacy question. No network<br />

is totally secure—and medical<br />

information is not immune to the<br />

problem. This summer, staff at a<br />

hospital near Los Angeles was discovered<br />

snooping through records of<br />

Hollywood celebrities. And this case<br />

is not unique. Beyond the security<br />

of servers, networks allow levels of<br />

access; therefore, on a site where<br />

people share medical information,<br />

they can limit the information that<br />

others can see. Some individuals<br />

may want to remain completely<br />

anonymous. Others may be willing<br />

to share all their information within<br />

a small subnetwork of people they<br />

know well and keep anonymous their<br />

data to the larger network.<br />

• Entry of false data is a potentially<br />

serious <strong>issue</strong>—for doctors and<br />

journalists alike. For example, take<br />

reporting on the performance of<br />

surgeons, an area in which data are<br />

sorely needed. Suppose a disgruntled<br />

patient wants to smear a surgeon<br />

and fabricates multiple entries with<br />

bad outcomes. Tools are needed for<br />

verification. Suppose a person is part<br />

of social network related to weight<br />

control or hypertension and enters<br />

false data. If just a few people are<br />

guilty of false entries the overall<br />

conclusions will not vary much. But<br />

large numbers of people may have<br />

a tendency to lie or distort their<br />

personnel information even if their<br />

identity is concealed.<br />

Neither doctors nor journalists will<br />

have been the first to venture into the<br />

realm of figuring out how to utilize<br />

wiki knowledge. In “Wikinomics,” by<br />

Don Tapscott [see his article on page<br />

18] and Anthony Williams, many positive<br />

examples are presented that bring<br />

collective Web-based knowledge to the<br />

business model. Yet there are critics<br />

of this approach, too. Andrew Keen,<br />

author of “The Cult of the Amateur,”<br />

argues that Web-based knowledge is<br />

superficial and lacks deep and considered<br />

judgment. Indeed, Web content<br />

can be boisterous, unfiltered and<br />

amateur. Yet if conventional knowl-<br />

<strong>Nieman</strong> Reports | Winter 2008 43

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