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increase the number of participating<br />
individuals is tapping into the Internet.<br />
However, saddled with a freewheeling<br />
Wild West style, the Internet cannot<br />
easily provide pure well-controlled<br />
study populations. But the vast potential<br />
for touching enormous numbers of<br />
people could negate the noise of the<br />
Web. Experts use “meta-analysis” to<br />
increase the size of their experimental<br />
sample. Wiki knowledge derived from<br />
a social network offers a fluid, open<br />
source, ongoing meta-analysis—a virtual<br />
collection of experiences that can<br />
be constantly updated as users enter<br />
more individual data.<br />
Benefits and Challenges of<br />
Collective Information<br />
Social networks empower the “expert,”<br />
be it a doctor or a journalist, because<br />
access to this community-generated<br />
knowledge is shared by all. For example,<br />
illness and a significant story intersected<br />
at Love Canal, where 21,000<br />
tons of chemical waste lay buried<br />
beneath the community unbeknownst<br />
to the residents. Back in 1978, a time<br />
long before social media existed, Lois<br />
Gibbs, a local mother and president<br />
of the Love Canal Homeowners’ Association,<br />
first associated exposure to<br />
the leaking chemical waste with the<br />
epilepsy, asthma and urinary tract<br />
infections that were recurring in her<br />
children. Although flagrant and clear<br />
cut, Love Canal is not unique. Now, the<br />
ability of Web-based medical networks<br />
to cluster data geographically has the<br />
potential to reveal other dangerous living<br />
conditions. Similarly, occupational<br />
risks for disease are well recognized,<br />
and organizing medical data in this way<br />
will likely serve as an early warning<br />
system for on-the-job risks—and for<br />
investigative stories that can be done<br />
about them.<br />
Figuring out what constitutes a<br />
healthy lifestyle is something that<br />
consumes the time of both doctors<br />
and journalists, whose job it is to<br />
report reliably on the barrage of evidence<br />
emerging from many different<br />
studies—much of it contradictory or,<br />
at least, confusing. New information<br />
surfaces almost daily about dietary<br />
measures or fitness programs that<br />
will increase or decrease our risk<br />
for cancer, heart attacks, Alzheimer’s<br />
disease, and more, and some of it is<br />
potentially contaminated by the bias<br />
of financial involvement.<br />
How can one possibly capture all<br />
these simultaneous variables when<br />
computing risk? Did a study that found<br />
something new about coffee drinkers<br />
control for the number of hours those<br />
people spent in the gym? When a new<br />
drug is tested, the control group may<br />
not be identical to the experimental<br />
group in caloric intake, number of<br />
portions of vegetables eaten, or their<br />
amount of daily exercise. At best,<br />
the study is controlled for age and<br />
gender. But if those taking the drug<br />
are eating poorly and under stress<br />
and those on placebo are dining on<br />
salads and jogging on the beach, the<br />
wrong conclusion could be reached.<br />
And if one adds in genetic variation<br />
found in human populations—certain<br />
types of genes can increase or diminish<br />
the risk for disease—the variables<br />
mount further. Controlled studies are<br />
just not powered to capture multiple<br />
variables, and medical conditions are<br />
brimming with variables. The only way<br />
to increase the statistical power of a<br />
conclusion is to increase the sample<br />
size, exactly what social networks are<br />
designed to do.<br />
Because wiki knowledge in the social<br />
network arena is obtained in an<br />
unconventional manner, it might not<br />
provide conclusive evidence. Therefore,<br />
a preferable way of thinking about<br />
wiki knowledge is as a guidepost for<br />
the design of hypotheses (for scientists<br />
to test) or generating story ideas (for<br />
journalists to report). For each of us,<br />
the pitfalls are evident, and a few of<br />
them are highlighted below:<br />
• Selection bias is a problem. Those on<br />
a social network tend to be younger<br />
and not economically disadvantaged.<br />
When groups of people are excluded<br />
due to entry barriers, the information<br />
generated from the community<br />
will be biased, and other knowledge<br />
will be lost or skewed. In time, the<br />
increasing penetration of the Internet<br />
to all segments of the society will<br />
New Venues<br />
resolve this <strong>issue</strong> as has happened<br />
for telephones and TV.<br />
• The privacy question. No network<br />
is totally secure—and medical<br />
information is not immune to the<br />
problem. This summer, staff at a<br />
hospital near Los Angeles was discovered<br />
snooping through records of<br />
Hollywood celebrities. And this case<br />
is not unique. Beyond the security<br />
of servers, networks allow levels of<br />
access; therefore, on a site where<br />
people share medical information,<br />
they can limit the information that<br />
others can see. Some individuals<br />
may want to remain completely<br />
anonymous. Others may be willing<br />
to share all their information within<br />
a small subnetwork of people they<br />
know well and keep anonymous their<br />
data to the larger network.<br />
• Entry of false data is a potentially<br />
serious <strong>issue</strong>—for doctors and<br />
journalists alike. For example, take<br />
reporting on the performance of<br />
surgeons, an area in which data are<br />
sorely needed. Suppose a disgruntled<br />
patient wants to smear a surgeon<br />
and fabricates multiple entries with<br />
bad outcomes. Tools are needed for<br />
verification. Suppose a person is part<br />
of social network related to weight<br />
control or hypertension and enters<br />
false data. If just a few people are<br />
guilty of false entries the overall<br />
conclusions will not vary much. But<br />
large numbers of people may have<br />
a tendency to lie or distort their<br />
personnel information even if their<br />
identity is concealed.<br />
Neither doctors nor journalists will<br />
have been the first to venture into the<br />
realm of figuring out how to utilize<br />
wiki knowledge. In “Wikinomics,” by<br />
Don Tapscott [see his article on page<br />
18] and Anthony Williams, many positive<br />
examples are presented that bring<br />
collective Web-based knowledge to the<br />
business model. Yet there are critics<br />
of this approach, too. Andrew Keen,<br />
author of “The Cult of the Amateur,”<br />
argues that Web-based knowledge is<br />
superficial and lacks deep and considered<br />
judgment. Indeed, Web content<br />
can be boisterous, unfiltered and<br />
amateur. Yet if conventional knowl-<br />
<strong>Nieman</strong> Reports | Winter 2008 43