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Draft Import Risk Analysis - Biosecurity New Zealand

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appealing. These social impacts, while being significant on there own, are of less significance<br />

given the wide number of pests and diseases already associated with these hosts in <strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong>.<br />

The potential environmental impact of CRLV in <strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong> should therefore be considered to<br />

have a low likelihood of being low.<br />

Human health consequences<br />

This organism is not known to be of any significance to human health.<br />

5.3.2.4. Conclusion of consequence assessment<br />

From the assessment above it is concluded that CRLV has a low likelihood of causing low to<br />

moderate unwanted economic consequences and low environmental consequences to<br />

<strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong>.<br />

5.3.2.5. <strong>Risk</strong> estimation<br />

The likelihood estimate is low that CRLV would be associated with Malus nursery stock on<br />

entry into <strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong>, high that any CRLV that does enter would successfully establish in<br />

<strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong>, and low that the establishment would result in low to moderate unwanted<br />

economic consequences and low environmental consequences to <strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong>. As a result the<br />

risk estimate for CRLV associated with imported Malus nursery stock is non-negligible and<br />

should be considered a hazard.<br />

5.3.2.6. Assessment of uncertainty<br />

There is some uncertainty around the biology, distribution and epidemiology of this virus. As<br />

such this risk assessment should be reviewed once further relevant information becomes<br />

available.<br />

5.3.3. <strong>Risk</strong> management<br />

5.3.3.1. <strong>Risk</strong> evaluation<br />

Since the risk estimate for CRLV associated with imported Malus nursery stock is nonnegligible,<br />

options for phytosanitary measures are provided for consideration.<br />

5.3.3.2. Option evaluation<br />

There are conceivably a number of points on the importation pathway that phytosanitary<br />

measures could be implemented to meet the aforementioned management objectives. The<br />

following risk management options should be assessed:<br />

a. Pest free area (PFA) (see section 4.3.7 for background): Malus nursery stock is imported<br />

from areas that they are free of CRLV;<br />

b. Pest free place of production (PFPP) (see section 4.3.7 for background): Malus nursery<br />

stock is imported from a place of production that is free of CRLV;<br />

c. Virus indexing of mother plants either prior to export to <strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong> or on arrival in<br />

<strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong> in a post entry quarantine facility.<br />

d. Inspection of mother plants.<br />

Pest free area (PFA)<br />

In crops that show symptoms and do not show latency, such as varieties of cherry and apple, the<br />

virus could be detected by visual inspection of the growing crop for typical symptoms.<br />

Inspections would need to occur at the appropriate times of the year when symptoms would be<br />

most obvious. Sampling and laboratory testing would then be required to confirm the identity of<br />

DRAFT <strong>Import</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong>: Viruses, Viroids, Phytoplasma, Bacteria and Diseases of<br />

Unknown Aetiology on Malus Nursery Stock<br />

August 2009 Page 39 of 203

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