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Analysis of the Durrand Glacier Avalanche Accident

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<strong>Durrand</strong> <strong>Avalanche</strong> Report page 20<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

Survivors<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

n = 638<br />

0<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 m<br />

Burial Time (minutes)<br />

Fig. 19: Survival rate versus time before rescue (minutes) for buried avalanche victims.<br />

2. In this case, <strong>the</strong> data suggests that, given <strong>the</strong> deep burial <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> victims, and <strong>the</strong> delay in<br />

getting outside rescuers to <strong>the</strong> site, <strong>the</strong> totally buried victims had a very low probability <strong>of</strong><br />

survival. This may explain why all but one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fully buried victims died.<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

0.0-0.4 m 0.5-0.9 m 1.0-1.4 m 1.5-1.9 m 2.0 m<br />

Fig. 20: Survival rate versus depth <strong>of</strong> burial (n=252; source: CAA).<br />

Copyright: no part <strong>of</strong> this report may be reproduced without <strong>the</strong> written permission <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> author.

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