A Complex System View on the Financial and Economic Crisis

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CORN GOLD SOYBEAN R.Woodard and D.Sornette (2008) WHEAT source: R. Woodard 38
2006-2008 Oil bubble Speculation vs supply-demand D. Sornette, R. Woodard and W.-X. Zhou, The 2006-2008 Oil Bubble and Beyond, Physica A 388, 1571-1576 (2009) (arXiv.org/abs/ 0806.1170) Typical result of the calibration of the simple LPPL model to the oil price in US$ in shrinking windows 39 with starting dates tstart moving up towards the common last date tlast = May 27, 2008.
Page 1 and 2: A Complex
Page 3: Canada Currency: Canadian dollars 3
Page 6 and 7: Standard claim: The current financi
Page 8 and 9: The illusionary “PERPETUAL MONEY
Page 10 and 11: A 15y History of the 2008 crisis
Page 12 and 13: •1995-2000: growing divergence be
Page 14 and 15: Foreign capital inflow 14
Page 18 and 19: Causal slaving of the US Treasury B
Page 20 and 21: Causal Slaving of the U.S. Treasury
Page 22 and 23: Real-estate bubbles 22
Page 24 and 25: Real-estate in the UK 24
Page 26 and 27: (2005) And this with the median hou
Page 28 and 29: B-F Over the past decade and a half
Page 33 and 34: Key Players and Frictions in Subpri
Page 35 and 36: Estimated assets and market positio
Page 37: A 15y History of the 2008 crisis
Page 41 and 42: 41 Source: R. Woodard (FCO, ETH Zur
Page 43 and 44: Recession-Plagued Nation Demands Ne
Page 45 and 46: Separation of financial and credit
Page 47 and 48: Stress drop (coupling strength) 10
Page 49 and 50: • Fundamental error: “perpetual
Page 51: Main Messages • Do excesses exist

A Complex System View on the Financial and Economic Crisis

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