10.04.2013 Views

A Complex System View on the Financial and Economic Crisis

A Complex System View on the Financial and Economic Crisis

A Complex System View on the Financial and Economic Crisis

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

2006-2008 Oil bubble<br />

Speculati<strong>on</strong> vs supply-dem<strong>and</strong><br />

D. Sornette, R.<br />

Woodard <strong>and</strong> W.-X.<br />

Zhou, The<br />

2006-2008 Oil<br />

Bubble <strong>and</strong> Bey<strong>on</strong>d,<br />

Physica A 388,<br />

1571-1576 (2009)<br />

(arXiv.org/abs/<br />

0806.1170)<br />

Typical result of <strong>the</strong> calibrati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>the</strong> simple LPPL model to <strong>the</strong> oil price in US$ in shrinking windows<br />

39<br />

with starting dates tstart moving up towards <strong>the</strong> comm<strong>on</strong> last date tlast = May 27, 2008.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!