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Jupiter System Observer Mission Study: Final Report - Lunar and ...

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2007 JUPITER SYSTEM OBSERVER MISSION STUDY: FINAL REPORT 01 NOVEMBER 2007<br />

Task Order #NMO710851 SECTION 3—MISSION ARCHITECTURE ASSESSMENT<br />

also challenging, since the water <strong>and</strong><br />

especially ammonia overhead absorb radio<br />

signals. Given the capabilities of radio systems<br />

available for Galileo-like <strong>Jupiter</strong> probe<br />

applications, at the “sweet spot” frequencies<br />

around 1.35 to 1.4 GHz, <strong>and</strong> given 5 times<br />

solar oxygen <strong>and</strong> nitrogen abundances, the<br />

deepest a probe could expect to reach <strong>and</strong> still<br />

transmit a useful signal is less than 70 bars. If<br />

the abundances are 10 times solar, the limiting<br />

depth is much shallower. The primary problem<br />

is that a Galileo-like, single-element probe’s<br />

radio system must address simultaneously the<br />

problems of atmospheric attenuation <strong>and</strong><br />

attenuation due to the large distance from the<br />

probe to the receiving asset. This problem<br />

might be overcome by a two-element probe<br />

that maintains one element higher in the<br />

atmosphere, where overhead absorption is<br />

much less severe, <strong>and</strong> a deep element that<br />

relays its data to the shallow element only a<br />

few hundred km away. The deep-to-shallow<br />

link is relieved of the need to fight the large<br />

distance to the ultimate receiving asset, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

shallow-to-ultimate-receiver link is relieved of<br />

the atmospheric attenuation problem. Such<br />

probe architectures have not yet been seriously<br />

studied for a flight project so their TRL is low,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the need to use them undoubtedly adds to<br />

the estimated probe system mass <strong>and</strong> adds risk<br />

to the mission.<br />

The desire to follow-up on the Galileo<br />

probe results is very compelling. The science<br />

to be returned by a potential JSO deep probe<br />

must be assessed in light of a number of<br />

factors. First, the science questions to be<br />

addressed by the probe must be well defined.<br />

There is currently debate in the <strong>Jupiter</strong><br />

atmospheric science community regarding the<br />

depth (100 bars or possibly more) needed to<br />

achieve a conclusive <strong>and</strong> robust water<br />

measurement. The range of depths has<br />

significant implications as to how to design the<br />

probe. Second, <strong>and</strong> linked to the first issue, the<br />

Juno <strong>Mission</strong> will just be starting to return<br />

critical water abundance data needed for<br />

design at the time when the manufacture of the<br />

JSO probe should be nearly complete. <strong>Final</strong>ly,<br />

the JSO mass available for a probe is sufficient<br />

for the inclusion of a single probe. Since<br />

targeting a probe at <strong>Jupiter</strong> must be<br />

accomplished well before JOI, the specific<br />

atmospheric environment that it will enter<br />

3-7<br />

cannot be predicted. Like the Galileo probe,<br />

there is a risk of entering an anomalous region<br />

<strong>and</strong> compromising the science return.<br />

Therefore, the design of the probe needs to<br />

have a better underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the science<br />

requirements on depth along with the need for<br />

Juno results for design constrains.<br />

3.4.4 Selection Criteria<br />

The selection criteria to arrive at the final<br />

two architectures were based on science, cost,<br />

risk, <strong>and</strong> other intangibles.<br />

Table 3.4-2 shows the relative qualitative<br />

scoring of these factors for the four<br />

architectures using a star rating scale, 4 being<br />

the highest.<br />

Table 3.4-2. Comparative Rating of the<br />

Intermediate Architectures<br />

Science<br />

Science<br />

Cost<br />

Cost<br />

Risk<br />

Risk<br />

Intangibles<br />

Intangibles<br />

<strong>Mission</strong><br />

<strong>Mission</strong><br />

Development<br />

Development<br />

Technology<br />

Technology<br />

Option Option 1<br />

1<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

19<br />

19<br />

Option Option 2<br />

2<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

20<br />

20<br />

Option Option 3<br />

3<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

17<br />

17<br />

Option Option 4<br />

4<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

The science merit was evaluated as<br />

described in §3.3, 3.4.3, 3.4.4, <strong>and</strong> is shown in<br />

Figure 3.3-1.<br />

The cost rating is based on the relative cost<br />

comparison from §3.4.1.<br />

Risk ratings are separated into 3 areas.<br />

<strong>Mission</strong> risk is associated with potential<br />

operations failure due to system or mission<br />

operations complexity, or operating in an<br />

unknown environment. Based on the<br />

discussion of the deep probe option in §3.4.3,<br />

it was given a 2-star rating compared to the<br />

other architectures. Development risk is<br />

associated with complexity of interfaces <strong>and</strong><br />

number of elements that are required for<br />

integration <strong>and</strong> test. Architecture 1 is the<br />

simplest. Architecture 2 is more risky than 1<br />

because of the larger suite of instrumentation.<br />

Architecture 3 is more risky because of the<br />

large optics <strong>and</strong> potential shared focal plane of<br />

multiple instruments. Architecture 4 is more<br />

risky with the addition of the deep probe.<br />

Architectures 1 <strong>and</strong> 2 are similar in technology<br />

readiness with concern mainly in the re-design<br />

of rad-hard electronics <strong>and</strong> sensors.<br />

Architecture 3, with optics equal or better than<br />

12<br />

12

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