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Inqaba ya basebenzi Number 2 April 1981 - DISA

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14<br />

.USA REACTION<br />

As US president Reagan recovers from<br />

the bullet of a would-be assassin, the<br />

question remains— where is America<br />

going under this right-wing administration?<br />

The election of ex-cowboy film-actor, Ronald Reagan,<br />

as President of the United States reflects the crisis of the<br />

ruling class as well as widespread disillusionment of a<br />

big section, perhaps even a majority, of the American<br />

masses.<br />

Only 52% of ihe voters bothered<br />

to go to the polls—a drop from 54%<br />

in 1976 and 62% in 1964. This was<br />

despite the fact that 10 million 18-21<br />

year olds were voting for Ihe first<br />

time in the 1980 election.<br />

Reagan's victory shows the combination<br />

of apathy and uncertainty<br />

among the voters which has destroyed<br />

the ability of either of the two<br />

pro-capitalist parties—Republicans<br />

or Democrats—to build long-term<br />

majority coalitions. This instability<br />

is rooted in the crisis of capitalism.<br />

In 1976 the American voters<br />

placed Carter in office because he<br />

promised full employment, a balanced<br />

budget, and low prices. Four<br />

years later none of the promises had<br />

been fulfilled. Instead the economic<br />

situation had worsened—unemployment<br />

at 8 million, inflation running<br />

at 12.5% and the government<br />

spending far exceeding what it<br />

received by 27.5 billion dollars.<br />

The new President has also come<br />

into office with promises—of lax<br />

cuts to "stimulate investment",<br />

reductions in government interference,<br />

lower inflation and a "healthy<br />

vigorous growing economy" to<br />

reduce unemployment.<br />

But even the capitalist experts<br />

hold out little hope for him being<br />

able to measure up to his lofty<br />

promises. The Economist (Novem-<br />

THE SADDLE<br />

BUT RIDING FOR A FALL<br />

by Teboho Ptiiri<br />

he will be judged by 1984 to have<br />

failed.,." It goes on to speak of<br />

"another one-term failure".<br />

Thus even these spokesmen of<br />

capitalism have realised the inherent<br />

instability that bedevils even the<br />

strongest capitalist power.<br />

To understand the crisis of<br />

American capitalism, it is necessary<br />

to look closely at the rise and fall of<br />

the dollar and the changed position<br />

of the United States in the world<br />

economy after World War II.<br />

Bretton Woods<br />

The USA emerged enormously<br />

strengthened after World War II,<br />

the only real victor among the<br />

capitalist powers. It controlled<br />

nearly 50% of world capitalist<br />

production, 70% of capitalist world<br />

trade, and had 80% of the capitalist<br />

world's gold in its vaults.<br />

Thus in 1944 the United States<br />

was able to impose the Bretton<br />

Woods monetary agreement on the<br />

dollar, its value fixed at 35 dollars to<br />

the oz of gold, became the main<br />

currency of the world trade. It was<br />

on this basis that the American<br />

government was able to print<br />

massive quantities of currency that<br />

were not backed by gold or the real<br />

value of production.<br />

In the years after Bretton Woods<br />

the United States poured out dollars<br />

overseas at a far greater rate than it<br />

was getting back. It did this through<br />

Marshall Aid, buying and investing<br />

in industries in Europe, and military<br />

expenditure in acting as policeman<br />

of world imperialism.<br />

Dollar crisis<br />

As long as the US remained the<br />

major capitalist power, with the<br />

dollar the unchallenged world currency,<br />

she could continue with the<br />

policy of printing more dollars. But<br />

with the emergence of West Germany<br />

and Japan as serious trade<br />

competitors of the American capitalists,<br />

her position declined.<br />

The policy of printing dollars<br />

eventually led to the crisis of the<br />

dollar. The fiction could no longer<br />

be maintained that an ounce of gold<br />

was worth only 35 dollars. And the<br />

US government could not provide<br />

gold for all the dollars it had printed.<br />

To avoid complete financial<br />

collapse the US was forced to abolish<br />

the right of holders of dollars to<br />

exchange them for gold. The dollar<br />

was devalued. Capitalists around the<br />

world holding dollars rushed to cash<br />

them in for other currencies and the<br />

ber 1980) writes "The odds are that rest of the capitalist world. The dollars piled up as reserves in the

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