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Visualization for Improved Situational Awareness - Mitre

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<strong>Visualization</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Improved</strong><br />

Situation <strong>Awareness</strong><br />

(VISA)<br />

Pete Firey<br />

703-983-7423 • pfirey@mitre.org<br />

Army MOIE<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Problem<br />

Warfighters see fragmented in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

– Detected tracks and targets<br />

– And location of (some) ISR plat<strong>for</strong>ms<br />

But have NO comprehensive view<br />

(of the confidence and pedigree)<br />

– Lack of targets (wrongly) implies lack of threat<br />

– Lack of blue <strong>for</strong>ces or neutrals (wrongly) implies<br />

no collateral or fratricide<br />

– No ability to comprehend sensing acuity and<br />

currency<br />

Which leads to failures and casualties<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Objective<br />

Scott,<br />

Replace “map” with<br />

this image so we can<br />

get public release<br />

Standard COP display<br />

VISA: Mapping the fog of<br />

war – showing what we<br />

know and what we don’t<br />

Rein<strong>for</strong>cement<br />

s<br />

Movement<br />

VISA: Knowing what’s<br />

happening next & where<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Activities 1<br />

Develop designs to meet needs <strong>for</strong> analysis,<br />

collection management, and execution<br />

– Systems of composed services<br />

– Exposing models, applications, and systems as services;<br />

<strong>for</strong> example, line of sight, mobility, terrain concealment<br />

Create prototype <strong>for</strong> simulation or live feed<br />

assessment of operational or analytic capability<br />

– Representative sensors, plat<strong>for</strong>ms, and C2 data<br />

– Incorporate anticipated hot spots<br />

Extend visualization<br />

– Dynamic configurable presentation overlays<br />

– Presentation service to support 2D and 3D<br />

– Time controller (historical, current, planned)<br />

Assess per<strong>for</strong>mance and user feedback<br />

1 VISA completed initial concept and prototype development, data mining, and analysis in FY06<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Highlight: VISA “Fog of War”<br />

Overview<br />

Operators define area of<br />

interest (AOI) & resolution<br />

– e.g., a 10 square kilometer AOI<br />

with 100 x 100 cells<br />

VISA generates a<br />

confidence grid<br />

– Incorporates C2, ISR, and<br />

mined data<br />

– For each cell, VISA<br />

Computes confidence<br />

Accounts <strong>for</strong> time decay<br />

VISA Presentation Service<br />

– Available <strong>for</strong> analysis,<br />

planning, or execution<br />

Cell<br />

Grid<br />

AOI<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Highlight<br />

GIS Data Layers<br />

Target Class<br />

Terrain Mobility<br />

Weather<br />

VISA Data Services<br />

Sensor(s) Models<br />

LOS<br />

LOS<br />

Service<br />

Service<br />

Concealment<br />

OCOKA<br />

Service<br />

Model<br />

Service<br />

e.g., OCOKA<br />

Mobility<br />

NRMM Service<br />

Service<br />

e.g., NRMM<br />

Line of<br />

Sight<br />

(Occlusion)<br />

Terrain<br />

Concealment<br />

(Visibility)<br />

Target<br />

Mobility<br />

(Decay)<br />

VISA<br />

Sensor<br />

Service<br />

GRID<br />

Service<br />

Controller<br />

Cell Service<br />

Cell Service<br />

• Current<br />

• Current<br />

observations<br />

•<br />

observations<br />

Degrading<br />

•<br />

•Decaying<br />

Degrading<br />

•Decaying<br />

VISA VISA<br />

Presentation Publishing<br />

Service Services<br />

Controller<br />

Service<br />

Planned<br />

VISA<br />

Archive<br />

Service<br />

•Historical<br />

•Planned<br />

• Line Of Sight (LOS)<br />

• NATO Reference Mobility Model (NRMM)<br />

• Observation and Fields of Fire, Cover and Concealment, Obstacles, Key Terrain, Avenues of Approach (OCOKA)<br />

Google Earth<br />

C2PC<br />

…<br />

GOTS Java App<br />

Other<br />

Services<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Demonstration<br />

VISA Feeds<br />

to<br />

Google Earth<br />

Client<br />

VISA Time Analysis<br />

Controller Service<br />

(playback, current, planned)<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Impacts<br />

First to realize combined ISR, C2, and data mining<br />

situational awareness (SA) <strong>for</strong> analysis, planning,<br />

and execution<br />

<strong>Improved</strong> SA<br />

– Instant recognition of confidence via a visual overlay<br />

– Exploitation of historical in<strong>for</strong>mation patterns<br />

Presentation service approaches to display<br />

dynamic SA confidence<br />

Service-based solutions <strong>for</strong> geospatial-intensive<br />

SA<br />

– Operational<br />

– Tactical<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Future Plans<br />

Completion of concept engine<br />

Operational and technical discussions with<br />

–Maritime Domain <strong>Awareness</strong> Community<br />

–GCCS-J and I3<br />

–NECC<br />

–DCGS<br />

–Army CERDEC<br />

–Missile Defense C2 Battle Management<br />

Capability<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Supporting In<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


VISA – Prototype Architecture<br />

Per-combination<br />

Container<br />

Cell Combiner<br />

Cell Combiner<br />

(standing Cell Combiner<br />

(standing Cell Combiner<br />

query) (standing Cell Combiner<br />

query) (standing<br />

query) (standing<br />

query)<br />

query)<br />

OTH-GOLD<br />

BFT - VMF<br />

Normalized<br />

Sensor Database<br />

ISR, C2, Mined Data Feeds<br />

HUMINT<br />

Pd Backsolving<br />

App<br />

SIGACT<br />

NatoEx<br />

AAR<br />

…<br />

Sensor<br />

Characteristics<br />

Database<br />

COT<br />

SIPR /<br />

JWICS<br />

SIPR /<br />

JWICS<br />

Admin App<br />

Grid<br />

Service<br />

Rich client,<br />

3D App<br />

Grid Cache<br />

Database<br />

Cell Container<br />

Cell Container<br />

LCW<br />

Per-sensor Container<br />

Cell Calculator<br />

Cell Calculator<br />

Cell Calculator<br />

Cell<br />

Calculator<br />

Cell<br />

Calculator<br />

Calculator<br />

Cell<br />

Cell Calculator<br />

Calculator<br />

Cell Calculator<br />

Cell Calculator<br />

Cell Calculator<br />

Cell Calculator<br />

Cell Cell Calculator<br />

rasterizer<br />

Google<br />

Earth<br />

Presentation<br />

Services<br />

rasterizer<br />

C2PC<br />

I-Shop<br />

Geospatial Services<br />

Line Of Sight<br />

Terrain Concealment<br />

Target Mobility<br />

Weather<br />

…<br />

Web service<br />

request<br />

Periodic<br />

process<br />

Consumable<br />

GIS service<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


VISA Background/Objective<br />

<strong>Situational</strong> awareness (SA) should include what you know, what you don’t know,<br />

and what you expect will happen<br />

– Warfighters see<br />

What tracks and targets have been detected<br />

Where (some) ISR plat<strong>for</strong>ms have traveled<br />

– But have NO comprehensive view of the confidence and pedigree of what<br />

they see<br />

e.g.: Targets and tracks are displayed without context<br />

Lack of targets (wrongly) implies lack of threat<br />

No ability to comprehend sensing acuity and currency<br />

– Leads to failures and casualties<br />

So… Warfighters will benefit from an expanded implementation of SA and<br />

improved visualization of SA<br />

– Every warfighter, the other battlespace operators, along with their backup<br />

staffs, management, analysts, support teams, and coalition partners need to<br />

know:<br />

What they know<br />

What they don’t know<br />

about the battlespace<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Technical Components<br />

Situation assessment confidence modeling<br />

– Sensor per<strong>for</strong>mance characterization<br />

– Given: sensor type, target class, terrain interactions, weather<br />

– Temporal SA degradation characteristics<br />

– Given: target class, terrain interactions, weather<br />

Presentation services supporting multiple visualization<br />

paradigms<br />

– 2D, 3D, temporal playback, gauges, display recombination<br />

System of services architecture<br />

– Connectors <strong>for</strong> multiple ISR sources and BFT<br />

– NATO-EX, Cursor on Target (CoT), Link-16, OTH Gold, etc.<br />

– Geospatial services<br />

– <strong>for</strong>: line-of-sight, terrain visibility, terrain mobility, weather<br />

– Distributed GriD oriented computation engine<br />

Data mining to support model calibration<br />

– Back-solving of sensor per<strong>for</strong>mance given historical data<br />

– Detection of actionable spatial-temporal patterns<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Major Geospatial Effects<br />

That Affect Confidence<br />

Is the earth’s curvature in the way?<br />

Is the earth’s terrain in the way?<br />

What is the effect of the medium (e.g.,<br />

weather, terrain type)?<br />

Are any features on the earth’s terrain<br />

surface in the way?<br />

How old are my observations?<br />

How fast is the target likely to be moving?<br />

How does the local terrain affect target<br />

mobility?<br />

Line of Sight<br />

Concealment<br />

Temporal Decay<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Line of Sight<br />

Capability defined by<br />

physical ray-tracing against<br />

a 3-D environment model<br />

– Ground or floating object<br />

opaque to the sensor<br />

For the purpose of<br />

identifying physical<br />

obstacles that block<br />

propagation of the sensing<br />

medium to a cell location<br />

For a given cell VISA<br />

determines visible from the<br />

center of the intersection<br />

viewing location<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Mobility Modeling<br />

Capability defined in the NRMM (NATO<br />

Reference Mobility Model)<br />

For the purpose of determining the terrain<br />

effects on in<strong>for</strong>mation decay<br />

– Results are specific to a “class” of<br />

target<br />

Incorporates the differences<br />

between tracked M1 and a 5-ton<br />

truck<br />

Target tactic is implied in the<br />

class designation<br />

– Incorporates weather effects<br />

Wet vs. dry<br />

Identifies terrain that restricts movement<br />

– Severely restricted<br />

– Restricted<br />

– Unrestricted<br />

VISA assumes “best available ef<strong>for</strong>t” from<br />

which to compute these mobility effects<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Mobility Data and Process<br />

Target Class<br />

Surface Condition<br />

NGA Data Layers<br />

Weather<br />

Mobility Model<br />

i.e., NRMM II<br />

Cell<br />

Mobility<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Terrain Visibility Modeling<br />

Capability defined in IPB OCOKA (observation, cover,<br />

obstacles, key terrain, avenues of approach) model<br />

For the purpose of determining the anticipated<br />

sensor per<strong>for</strong>mance given sensor, target class,<br />

surface, and weather<br />

OCOKA model separates concealment into 4<br />

categories<br />

– Excellent<br />

– Good<br />

– Fair<br />

– Poor<br />

Calculates sensor degradation based on<br />

– Known surface feature/vegetation effects<br />

– Sensor, weather, feature interactions<br />

– Calculates seasonal (i.e., summer, winter)<br />

degradation effects<br />

VISA combines sensor-specific concealment factors<br />

with sensor per<strong>for</strong>mance models to estimate the<br />

ability to detect a target class, given the usage<br />

characteristics<br />

Summer<br />

Winter<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Geospatial Services<br />

and Effects<br />

Target Class<br />

Surface Condition<br />

NGA Data Layers<br />

Weather<br />

Sensor Model<br />

Terrain Concealment<br />

Model, i.e., OCOKA<br />

Sensor-Specific<br />

Terrain Degradation<br />

Computation<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


VISA Mathematics<br />

Our AOI is divided into (possibly non-uni<strong>for</strong>m) grid-cells<br />

For each cell a mobility and sensor-specific concealment factor is<br />

computed<br />

– Predicated on present or predicted conditions<br />

Each sensor observation intersecting the cell is time-stamped<br />

A nominal range degraded Pds table is available <strong>for</strong> each sensor given<br />

undegraded viewing conditions<br />

Individual (sensor observation, cell) pairs have a computed<br />

awareness, based on the sensors inherent Pd, degraded by cell terrain<br />

factors: cell concealment, range, line of sight, percent of coverage,<br />

and age.<br />

– The cell has a maximum latency based on target mobility and<br />

terrain factors after which observations no longer contribute to<br />

“awareness”.<br />

Currently the overall cell “awareness” is computed as:<br />

– 1 – Product over relevant footprints (1 – (sensor observation,<br />

cell) awareness)<br />

A follow-on approach might consider the covariance of successive<br />

observations from the same sensor, or between sensor pairs<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Cell Computation Overview<br />

Sensor footprints can<br />

– Have no overlap with cell<br />

– Entirely overlap the cell<br />

– Partly intersect with the cell<br />

– Be contained within the cell<br />

Cell confidence depends on<br />

– LoS obstructions<br />

– Visibility factors<br />

– Detection factors<br />

– Amount of footprint(s)<br />

overlap<br />

– Age of observations<br />

– Speed of targets<br />

GIS Services should provide<br />

– Cell mobility factor<br />

– Line-of-sight occlusion<br />

– Terrain visibility factor<br />

Radar<br />

Cell<br />

Target<br />

(e.g., Blue Force Track)<br />

Sensor FootPrints<br />

Satellite<br />

UAV<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


P d<br />

Cell Confidence Calculation<br />

Models<br />

0.9<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

0<br />

Range to cell<br />

People<br />

vehical<br />

Notional Sensor Per<strong>for</strong>mance Curve <strong>for</strong> Undegraded<br />

Observation<br />

Target Type<br />

Vehicle<br />

Surveillance Radar<br />

Terrain Type<br />

Roads<br />

Deciduous Forest<br />

Urban<br />

Cropland<br />

Dessert<br />

…<br />

ship<br />

Mobility<br />

Mobility degradation factor given terrain type and weather<br />

0.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.5<br />

0.6<br />

0.2<br />

0.4<br />

Target Type<br />

Vehicle<br />

Terrain Type<br />

Roads<br />

Deciduous Forest<br />

Urban<br />

Cropland<br />

Dessert<br />

…<br />

Visibility<br />

0.0<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.1<br />

0.05<br />

0.15<br />

Visibility degradation factor given predominant<br />

terrain type and weather<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


Cell Confidence<br />

Calculation Example<br />

•Range awareness is interpolated from the<br />

sensor per<strong>for</strong>mance range curve<br />

•Age awareness is calculated given a nominal<br />

target speed and cell mobility factor<br />

•Line of sight is calculated from ray-tracing<br />

from sensor location<br />

•Footprint percentage is calculated from<br />

polygon intersection<br />

•Terrain visibility is taken from the terrain<br />

visibility table<br />

UAV 1<br />

UAV 2<br />

BFT 3<br />

Factor<br />

Time of Observation<br />

(Hours)<br />

0.1<br />

0.15<br />

0.2<br />

Age<br />

(Hours)<br />

0.4<br />

0.35<br />

0.3<br />

Range<br />

(Km)<br />

3<br />

3.4<br />

35<br />

Range awareness<br />

0.9<br />

0.85<br />

0.6<br />

Age <strong>Awareness</strong><br />

0.97<br />

0.975<br />

0.978<br />

Cell<br />

BFT-T3<br />

UAV –T1<br />

LoS (1 - % of cell<br />

blocked)<br />

<strong>Awareness</strong><br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0.8<br />

% of cell<br />

inside<br />

footprint<br />

0.18<br />

0.08<br />

0.18<br />

UAV –T2<br />

Terrain<br />

Visibility<br />

<strong>Awareness</strong><br />

0.9<br />

0.9<br />

0.75<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


VISA Displays<br />

Google Earth<br />

C2PC<br />

Google Earth<br />

Movie<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


FY07 Work<br />

Lab assessments and user trials<br />

New sensors<br />

– UAV/EO, SAR, etc.<br />

Further development of our confidence combinator<br />

– Incorporate additional metadata<br />

– Allow <strong>for</strong> sensor interactions<br />

Web service-oriented client (a.k.a. Web-2.0)<br />

Implement/integrate additional support services<br />

– Weather<br />

– GIS: LoS; mobility; quality of view; …<br />

User-needs<br />

Combinator<br />

Architecture<br />

Extend <strong>Visualization</strong><br />

– Enhancements - dynamic configuration of overlay; pressure gauges;<br />

selective combinator composition<br />

<strong>Visualization</strong><br />

Data Mining<br />

– Validation of sensor Pd confidence estimation with real data<br />

– Actionable spatio-temporal patterns Data-Mining<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


FY07: Completing the VISA Vision<br />

what we know now; versus what we knew; what we don’t don t know at all; and what is next<br />

Rein<strong>for</strong>cements<br />

moving North<br />

Expected Tank<br />

Movement<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation


<strong>Visualization</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Improved</strong><br />

<strong>Situational</strong> <strong>Awareness</strong><br />

Project Leaders: Gerry Blais,<br />

Pete Firey,<br />

Scott Musman,<br />

James Van Guilder<br />

Project Team: E200, E500, G030, G060<br />

Sponsor POC: DISA, I3, Ruth Shearer<br />

Army and Marine G2, G3: TBD<br />

Build SAO<br />

Planned Activities<br />

Develop Enhanced C2 <strong>Visualization</strong>s<br />

Enhance Data mining <strong>for</strong> SA Pd estimates<br />

Integrate SAO, Data Mining, SOGIS into<br />

VISA prototype<br />

Experiment using warfighter focus groups<br />

Extend prototype to 3D<br />

Objectives<br />

Seek and follow Warfighter feedback<br />

Enhance VISA prototype<br />

Demonstrate managed SA<br />

Ideally:<br />

– Provide new capability to<br />

warfighters ASAP<br />

Rein<strong>for</strong>cements<br />

Movement<br />

VISA: comprehensive SA– priceless!<br />

© 2007, The MITRE Corporation

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