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Kotak Securties Limited - Srei Infrastructure Finance Limited

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Valuation<br />

INITIATING COVERAGE April 15, 2008<br />

SREI <strong>Infrastructure</strong> 133.7<br />

Project (Road, Port, SEZs) 42.8<br />

Quipo 17.3<br />

SREI Venture Capital 4.6<br />

SREI Capital 2.9<br />

Fair value of SREI <strong>Infrastructure</strong> 201.4<br />

Source:<br />

Because of the recent correction in the markets, the stock had come down by<br />

around 50% from its 52-week high of Rs.280. While the fundamentals of the<br />

company remain strong, the correction in stock price has provided an attractive opportunity<br />

to BUY the stock.<br />

At the current market price of Rs.139, the stock is trading at a P/E of 8.4x its FY10<br />

EPS of Rs.16.1 (post equity dilution-warrant conversion), and 1.4x its FY10 P/ABV<br />

of Rs.97. Based on our SoTP valuation method, we have arrived at a fair price target<br />

for the company of Rs.197. At our target price, the stock offers a potential<br />

upside of around 46%. We recommend BUY on the stock with a 12-month price<br />

target of Rs.200.<br />

Historical PBV multiple<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

Price 1x 1.5x 2x 2.5x<br />

0<br />

Mar-05 Aug-05 Jan-06 Jun-06 Nov-06 Apr-07 Sep-07 Feb-08<br />

Source: Capitaline, <strong>Kotak</strong> Securities - Private Client Research<br />

<strong>Kotak</strong> Securities - Private Client Research Please see the disclaimer on the last page For Private Circulation 14

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