Kotak Securties Limited - Srei Infrastructure Finance Limited
Kotak Securties Limited - Srei Infrastructure Finance Limited
Kotak Securties Limited - Srei Infrastructure Finance Limited
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Valuation<br />
INITIATING COVERAGE April 15, 2008<br />
SREI <strong>Infrastructure</strong> 133.7<br />
Project (Road, Port, SEZs) 42.8<br />
Quipo 17.3<br />
SREI Venture Capital 4.6<br />
SREI Capital 2.9<br />
Fair value of SREI <strong>Infrastructure</strong> 201.4<br />
Source:<br />
Because of the recent correction in the markets, the stock had come down by<br />
around 50% from its 52-week high of Rs.280. While the fundamentals of the<br />
company remain strong, the correction in stock price has provided an attractive opportunity<br />
to BUY the stock.<br />
At the current market price of Rs.139, the stock is trading at a P/E of 8.4x its FY10<br />
EPS of Rs.16.1 (post equity dilution-warrant conversion), and 1.4x its FY10 P/ABV<br />
of Rs.97. Based on our SoTP valuation method, we have arrived at a fair price target<br />
for the company of Rs.197. At our target price, the stock offers a potential<br />
upside of around 46%. We recommend BUY on the stock with a 12-month price<br />
target of Rs.200.<br />
Historical PBV multiple<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
Price 1x 1.5x 2x 2.5x<br />
0<br />
Mar-05 Aug-05 Jan-06 Jun-06 Nov-06 Apr-07 Sep-07 Feb-08<br />
Source: Capitaline, <strong>Kotak</strong> Securities - Private Client Research<br />
<strong>Kotak</strong> Securities - Private Client Research Please see the disclaimer on the last page For Private Circulation 14