View CV - European University Institute
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Clodomiro F. Ferreira<br />
Economics Department<br />
<strong>European</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>Institute</strong> (EUI)<br />
Villa San Paolo<br />
Via della Piazzuola 43<br />
50133 Florence, Italy<br />
Email: clodomiro.ferreira@eui.eu<br />
Homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/clodoferreira/<br />
EDUCATION (most recent first)<br />
Available from: March 2013<br />
This version: October 2012<br />
2008-2013 (expected) EUROPEAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE, Florence, Italy<br />
PhD Candidate in Economics. MRes. GPA: A-<br />
Thesis Title: Reputation, Limited Commitment and Beliefs in<br />
Microeconomics and Macroeconomics<br />
2006-2008 CENTRO DE ESTUDIOS MONETARIOS Y FINANCIEROS<br />
(CEMFI), Madrid, Spain.<br />
Master Sc. in Economics and Finance. Final grade:<br />
distinction.<br />
2000-2004 UNIVERSIDAD DE SAN ANDRES, Buenos Aires, Argentina.<br />
BS in Economics (minor in Statistics)<br />
RESEARCH INTERESTS<br />
Primary: Macroeconomics, Computational Economics, Industrial Organization, Monetary<br />
economics<br />
Secondary: Banking and Finance, Development economics and Inequality.<br />
RESEARCH PAPERS<br />
- Strategic Competition and the Dynamics of Reputation: The Case of an Online<br />
Market, joint with Ema Iancu (EUI) (JOB MARKET PAPER)<br />
Industrial organization, learning, dynamic games, computational economics, on-line<br />
markets<br />
- Expectations and Pricing in Sovereign (primary) Bond Markets, joint with P.<br />
Benczur (National Bank of Hungary) and C. Ilut (Duke <strong>University</strong>)<br />
Default and expectations, sovereign debt,<br />
TEACHING INTERESTS<br />
Introductory Econometrics and Statistics, Macroeconomics and Information, Financial<br />
Economics<br />
TEACHING EXPERIENCE (most recent first)
May 2012 Invited Lecturer.<br />
Topics In Dynamic Programming: Dynamic Games Solution<br />
and Data (PhD level). Prof. Russell Cooper and Jerome Adda.<br />
EUI.<br />
February-May 2012 Teaching Assistant.<br />
Money and Banking (undergraduate). New York <strong>University</strong>.<br />
Florence Campus. Prof. for Giampiero Gallo.<br />
2011 and 2012<br />
August-September 2009<br />
WORK EXPERIENCE (most recent first)<br />
Tutor Programming for MATLAB.<br />
PhD program at EUI.<br />
Lecturer. Probability Theory (PhD level). EUI.<br />
2010-2011 Visiting Researcher. Central Bank of Hungary (MNB).<br />
Project: Expectations and Pricing in Sovereign Bond markets.<br />
Joint with Peter Benczur (Head of Research, MNB) and<br />
Cosmin Ilut (Duke <strong>University</strong>)<br />
Summer 2007 Research Assistant. CEMFI and Bank of Spain.<br />
Prof. Claudio Michelacci.<br />
2004-2006 Junior Analyst. Advanced Logistics Group – Indra.<br />
Transport Engineering and Logistics consulting. Projects:<br />
- Shadow Prices for a Toll System Implementation in<br />
Bangkok, Thailand<br />
- Investment Valuation for the New Terminal at Port of<br />
Callao. Lima, Peru<br />
AWARDS (most recent first)<br />
2011-2012 <strong>European</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>Institute</strong> Ph.D. final year dissertation grant.<br />
2008-2011 Doctoral Grant, Agencia Española de Cooperación<br />
Internacional y Desarrollo, Spain,<br />
2006-2008 BBVA-Bank of Spain scholarship.<br />
2000-2002 Open contest scholarship, Universidad de San Andrés,<br />
CONFERENCE PRESENTATIONS and DISCUSSIONS (most recent first)<br />
November 2012 Workshop on Fiscal Policy and Sovereign Debt. Discussant.<br />
Florence, Italy.<br />
August 2012 Econometric Society <strong>European</strong> Meetings (ESEM). Presenter.<br />
Málaga, Spain<br />
July 2012. World Congress of Game Theory (Games 2012). Copresenter.<br />
Istambul, Turkey<br />
November 2011 Financial Fragility: Sources and Consequences. Discussant.<br />
Florence, Italy.<br />
August 2011 <strong>European</strong> Economic Association Meetings (EEA) Presenter.<br />
Oslo, Norway.<br />
September 2010 National Bank of Hungary. Research conference. Presenter.<br />
Budapest, Hungary.
OTHER ACTIVITIES<br />
2011 - present Project Insight Europe<br />
Founding member. Think tank that focuses current socioeconomic<br />
issues, drawing on an interdisciplinary network of<br />
economists, historians, political scientists and lawyers from<br />
different countries and continents.<br />
2009 - 2010 Researcher Representative – Economics Department<br />
Designed an algorithm in the lines of the Gale-Roth-Shapley<br />
algorithms for the allocation of researchers to available<br />
workspaces given a set of revealed preferences.<br />
SKILLS<br />
Languages: Spanish (mother tongue), English (proficiency level), French (basic) and<br />
Italian (intermediate)<br />
Programming and statistical packages: MATLAB, Fortran 90, Gauss, Stata, Eviews,<br />
LaTEX, Microsoft Office<br />
PERSONAL INFORMATION<br />
Nationality: Argentinean<br />
Date of birth: 30 April 1982<br />
JOB PREFERENCES<br />
Institutions, Private sector, Academia.<br />
REFERENCES<br />
Professor Russell Cooper<br />
Department of Economics<br />
Penn State <strong>University</strong><br />
611 Kenn Graduate Building<br />
Philadelphia<br />
Tel:+1-814-863-4775<br />
Email: russellcoop@gmail.com<br />
Homepage: R. Cooper's homepage<br />
Professor Arpad Abraham<br />
Department of Economics<br />
<strong>European</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>Institute</strong><br />
Via della Piazzuola 43<br />
50133 Florence, Italy<br />
Tel: +39-055-4685.909<br />
E-mail: arpad.abraham@eui.eu<br />
Homepage: A. Abraham's homepage<br />
Professor Piero Gottardi<br />
Department of Economics<br />
<strong>European</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>Institute</strong><br />
Via della Piazzuola 43<br />
50133 Florence, Italy<br />
Tel: +39-055-4685.919<br />
Email: piero.gottardi@eui.eu<br />
Homepage: P. Gottardi's homepage
PAPER ABSTRACTS<br />
JOB MARKET PAPER<br />
Strategic Competition and the Dynamics of Reputation: The Case of An Online Market<br />
joint with Ema Iancu (EUI)<br />
This paper analyzes how reputation building and strategic competition among sellers shape<br />
their equilibrium behavior when there are different sources of asymmetric information, and<br />
how these determine the dynamics of market outcomes. In the empirical context of on-line<br />
markets, we use this analysis to show the bias that might arise in the reduced form<br />
estimation of the impact of reputation / feedback on sales due to the unobserved nature of<br />
effort, even when panel or randomized data is used. Such bias, however, decreases with the<br />
number of buyers. We examine a market in which long-lived firms repeatedly auction off a<br />
homogeneous object to a pool of short-lived buyers, and in which their competence and<br />
effort is private information. We first investigate the incentives of a single seller (a<br />
"monopolist") to build a reputation that generates higher future profits. We show that there is<br />
a unique equilibrium in Markov strategies in which effort evolves non-monotonically with<br />
reputation. Second, we characterize the impact of strategic competition for heterogeneous<br />
buyers on sellers’ behaviour and observed outcomes: as the "intensity" of competition<br />
increases in the unique equilibrium, sellers have less incentives to exert effort. By contrasting<br />
the two scenarios, we theoretically disentangle the effects of reputation and strategic<br />
competition as incentives mechanisms.<br />
SECOND PAPER<br />
Understanding Sovereign Bond Prices: Expectations, Information, and Self Fulfilling<br />
Crises<br />
joint with P. Benczur (National Bank of Hungary) and C. Ilut (Duke <strong>University</strong>)<br />
Do market participants perceive the expected values of sovereign risks correctly? When<br />
attempting to separate various determinants of sovereign bond prices, a major obstacle is<br />
that the conditional expectations of various losses are not directly observable. We use data<br />
on the realizations of the risk events (losses), and address the following four issues related to<br />
the above question. First, whether foreign currency denominated sovereign bond price<br />
differentials can be attributed entirely to differences in expected returns, consistent with<br />
expected values (probabilities) predicted from default realizations. Second, what risks<br />
(default risk alone, or default and illiquidity risks) are involved in the calculation of expected<br />
returns, and what are their relative importance. Third, do global factors have an extra impact?<br />
Finally, we test whether there are systematic expectational errors, leading to a strong<br />
feedback from investor sentiment (manifesting in low or high refinancing costs) to future<br />
default, raising the possibility of self-fulfilling debt crises, as in Cole and Kehoe (2000). In<br />
order to do answer the questions, we estimate a structural form pricing equation for bonds,<br />
and test for a role of additional factors and systematic expectational errors.