Alphaliner Newsletter no 19 - 2013 full
Alphaliner Newsletter no 19 - 2013 full
Alphaliner Newsletter no 19 - 2013 full
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ALPHALINER Weekly <strong>2013</strong> Issue <strong>19</strong><br />
Unit Scrapped<br />
The five C-10 units delivered to<br />
APL in <strong>19</strong>88 were the largest<br />
containerships at that time.<br />
These vessels have a beam of<br />
39.4 m, which were too wide to<br />
transit the Panama Canal which<br />
has a width limit of 32.3 m.<br />
The average age of scrapped<br />
units has fallen dramatically<br />
since the second half of 2012 and<br />
is <strong>no</strong>w down to 22 years.<br />
An increasing number of vessels<br />
below 20 years are being<br />
scrapped, a previously unseen<br />
phe<strong>no</strong>me<strong>no</strong>n. Many cash<br />
strapped owners do <strong>no</strong>t find buyers<br />
for further trading, leading<br />
them to accept scrap offers.<br />
This also reflects the poor trading<br />
prospects with charter rates<br />
for ships of 3,000-5,000 teu expected<br />
to remain weak in the<br />
near term. The smaller ships fare<br />
better. Modern ships of 1,100 teu<br />
obtain currently higher rates than<br />
some panamaxes of 5,000 teu<br />
aged only of 10 years.<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
Jan-08<br />
Units Scrapped ≤ 20 years<br />
Units Scrapped > 20 years<br />
Average Age of scrapped units<br />
40<br />
38<br />
36<br />
34<br />
32<br />
30<br />
28<br />
26<br />
24<br />
22<br />
20<br />
18<br />
Jan-09<br />
Jan-10<br />
Jan-11<br />
Jan-12<br />
Jan-13<br />
Average Age<br />
longer receive an operating stipend to subsidize the higher costs of<br />
maintaining them under the US registry. The fifth C-10 unit, the Singapore<br />
flagged APL KENNEDY, will be retained for the time being.<br />
The ongoing exodus of both panamax and early over-panamax ships<br />
reflects the poor short term trading prospects for these vessels. Charter<br />
rates for modern 4,200 teu panamax units stand currently at<br />
about $9,200/day, which is well below the long term average rate of<br />
$24,000/day. Older panamaxes obtain even lower rates, down to<br />
$6,000 in extreme cases.<br />
$/day<br />
Charter rate for 4,000 teu Panamax containerships : 2000-<strong>2013</strong><br />
50,000<br />
Despite the record scrapping levels, deletions still trail behind the<br />
delivery of new vessels. Based on <strong>Alphaliner</strong>’s records, new containership<br />
deliveries in the first four months of <strong>2013</strong> have reached<br />
496,000 teu, outpacing the capacity scrapped by a ratio of 3-to-1.<br />
Total deliveries in <strong>2013</strong> could rival the previous record of 1.57 Mteu<br />
delivered in 2008, even after allowance for deferrals and slippage.<br />
Capacity in TEU<br />
45,000<br />
40,000<br />
35,000<br />
30,000<br />
25,000<br />
20,000<br />
15,000<br />
10,000<br />
5,000<br />
250,000<br />
200,000<br />
150,000<br />
100,000<br />
50,000<br />
0<br />
-50,000<br />
0<br />
Containership deliveries vs deletions and net capacity increase<br />
by month : 2008-<strong>2013</strong><br />
2008 Jan<br />
ALPHALINER<br />
Page 2 © Copyright <strong>Alphaliner</strong> <strong>19</strong>99-<strong>2013</strong><br />
Jul<br />
TEU Scrapped<br />
TEU delivered<br />
Net Increase<br />
2009 Jan<br />
12 year average = $24,000/day<br />
Jul<br />
2010 Jan<br />
Jul<br />
2011 Jan<br />
Jul<br />
2012 Jan<br />
ALPHALINER<br />
Jul<br />
<strong>2013</strong> Jan