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Alphaliner Newsletter no 19 - 2013 full

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ALPHALINER Weekly <strong>2013</strong> Issue <strong>19</strong><br />

Unit Scrapped<br />

The five C-10 units delivered to<br />

APL in <strong>19</strong>88 were the largest<br />

containerships at that time.<br />

These vessels have a beam of<br />

39.4 m, which were too wide to<br />

transit the Panama Canal which<br />

has a width limit of 32.3 m.<br />

The average age of scrapped<br />

units has fallen dramatically<br />

since the second half of 2012 and<br />

is <strong>no</strong>w down to 22 years.<br />

An increasing number of vessels<br />

below 20 years are being<br />

scrapped, a previously unseen<br />

phe<strong>no</strong>me<strong>no</strong>n. Many cash<br />

strapped owners do <strong>no</strong>t find buyers<br />

for further trading, leading<br />

them to accept scrap offers.<br />

This also reflects the poor trading<br />

prospects with charter rates<br />

for ships of 3,000-5,000 teu expected<br />

to remain weak in the<br />

near term. The smaller ships fare<br />

better. Modern ships of 1,100 teu<br />

obtain currently higher rates than<br />

some panamaxes of 5,000 teu<br />

aged only of 10 years.<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Jan-08<br />

Units Scrapped ≤ 20 years<br />

Units Scrapped > 20 years<br />

Average Age of scrapped units<br />

40<br />

38<br />

36<br />

34<br />

32<br />

30<br />

28<br />

26<br />

24<br />

22<br />

20<br />

18<br />

Jan-09<br />

Jan-10<br />

Jan-11<br />

Jan-12<br />

Jan-13<br />

Average Age<br />

longer receive an operating stipend to subsidize the higher costs of<br />

maintaining them under the US registry. The fifth C-10 unit, the Singapore<br />

flagged APL KENNEDY, will be retained for the time being.<br />

The ongoing exodus of both panamax and early over-panamax ships<br />

reflects the poor short term trading prospects for these vessels. Charter<br />

rates for modern 4,200 teu panamax units stand currently at<br />

about $9,200/day, which is well below the long term average rate of<br />

$24,000/day. Older panamaxes obtain even lower rates, down to<br />

$6,000 in extreme cases.<br />

$/day<br />

Charter rate for 4,000 teu Panamax containerships : 2000-<strong>2013</strong><br />

50,000<br />

Despite the record scrapping levels, deletions still trail behind the<br />

delivery of new vessels. Based on <strong>Alphaliner</strong>’s records, new containership<br />

deliveries in the first four months of <strong>2013</strong> have reached<br />

496,000 teu, outpacing the capacity scrapped by a ratio of 3-to-1.<br />

Total deliveries in <strong>2013</strong> could rival the previous record of 1.57 Mteu<br />

delivered in 2008, even after allowance for deferrals and slippage.<br />

Capacity in TEU<br />

45,000<br />

40,000<br />

35,000<br />

30,000<br />

25,000<br />

20,000<br />

15,000<br />

10,000<br />

5,000<br />

250,000<br />

200,000<br />

150,000<br />

100,000<br />

50,000<br />

0<br />

-50,000<br />

0<br />

Containership deliveries vs deletions and net capacity increase<br />

by month : 2008-<strong>2013</strong><br />

2008 Jan<br />

ALPHALINER<br />

Page 2 © Copyright <strong>Alphaliner</strong> <strong>19</strong>99-<strong>2013</strong><br />

Jul<br />

TEU Scrapped<br />

TEU delivered<br />

Net Increase<br />

2009 Jan<br />

12 year average = $24,000/day<br />

Jul<br />

2010 Jan<br />

Jul<br />

2011 Jan<br />

Jul<br />

2012 Jan<br />

ALPHALINER<br />

Jul<br />

<strong>2013</strong> Jan

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