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A Course on Large Deviations with an Introduction to Gibbs Measures.

A Course on Large Deviations with an Introduction to Gibbs Measures.

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4.2. Varadh<strong>an</strong>’s theorem <strong>an</strong>d Bryc’s theorem 31<br />

Ln is a r<strong>an</strong>dom variable in Y = M1(X ). Let νn be its law. These empirical<br />

measures usually c<strong>on</strong>tain more informati<strong>on</strong> th<strong>an</strong> just the sample me<strong>an</strong> Sn/n.<br />

In our case however<br />

Ln = Sn<br />

n δ1<br />

<br />

+ 1 − Sn<br />

<br />

δ0.<br />

n<br />

Hence, if <strong>on</strong>e defines f : X → Y by f(s) = sδ1+(1−s)δ0, then νn = µn◦f −1 .<br />

The c<strong>on</strong>tracti<strong>on</strong> principle allows us <strong>to</strong> c<strong>on</strong>clude a large deviati<strong>on</strong> principle<br />

for νn. The corresp<strong>on</strong>ding rate functi<strong>on</strong> is given for α ∈ M1(X ) by<br />

H(α) = Ip(s) for α = sδ1 + (1 − s)δ0 <strong>with</strong> s ∈ [0, 1].<br />

We will see in Chapter 6 that H(α) is a relative entropy <strong>an</strong>d that the LDP<br />

for the empirical measure holds in general for i.i.d. processes.<br />

4.2. Varadh<strong>an</strong>’s theorem <strong>an</strong>d Bryc’s theorem<br />

A familiar fact about moment generating functi<strong>on</strong>s is that for a bounded<br />

measurable functi<strong>on</strong> f : X → R, a probability measure µ, <strong>an</strong>d a sequence<br />

rn → ∞,<br />

Hence<br />

c = µ-ess sup f ≥ 1<br />

rn log<br />

<br />

≥ 1 log µ{f > c − ε} + c − ε.<br />

rn<br />

1 lim<br />

n→∞ rn log<br />

<br />

e rnf dµ ≥ 1<br />

rn log<br />

<br />

e<br />

f>c−ε<br />

rnf dµ<br />

e rnf dµ = µ-ess sup f.<br />

(µ-ess sup f = inf{b : µ(f > b) = 0}.) But what happens when µ is replaced<br />

by a sequence µn? If {µn} satisfies a large deviati<strong>on</strong> principle <strong>with</strong><br />

normalizati<strong>on</strong> rn, then the rate functi<strong>on</strong> I comes in<strong>to</strong> the picture. The result<br />

is known as Varadh<strong>an</strong>’s theorem. It is a probabilistic <strong>an</strong>alogue of the<br />

well-known Laplace method for asymp<strong>to</strong>tics of integrals illustrated by the<br />

next simple exercise.<br />

Exercise 4.5. (Stirling’s formula) Use inducti<strong>on</strong> <strong>to</strong> show that<br />

n! =<br />

∞<br />

e<br />

0<br />

−x x n dx.<br />

Observe that e −x x n has a unique maximum at x = n. Prove that<br />

lim<br />

n→∞<br />

n!<br />

√ 2πn e −n n n<br />

= 1.<br />

Hint: Show that the main c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> <strong>to</strong> the integral comes from x ∈<br />

[n − ε, n + ε] <strong>an</strong>d use Taylor’s exp<strong>an</strong>si<strong>on</strong>.

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