measurement and comparison of solar radiation estimation models ...

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TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES………………………………………………………………... LIST OF TABLES…………………………………………………………………. LIST OF SYMBOLS………………………………………………………………. LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS……………………………………………………... CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION………………………………………………….. CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE SURVEY………………………………………….. 2.1. Global Solar Radiation…………………………………………… 2.2. Diffuse Solar Radiation…………………………………………... CHAPTER 3. EXPERIMENTAL SOLAR RADIATION DATA AND STATISTICAL METHODS………………………………………... 3.1. Experimental data………………………………………………… 3.2. Statistical methods………………………………………………... 3.2.1. Mean Bias Error………………………………………………… 3.2.2. Root Mean Square Error………………………………………... 3.2.3. t-Statistic Method………………………………………………. 3.2.4. Relative Percentage Error………………………………………. CHAPTER 4. ANALYSIS OF GLOBAL RADIATION MODELS………………. 4.1. Kılıc and Ozturk’s Model…………………………………………. 4.2. Akinoglu and Ecevit’s Model……………………………………... 4.3. Tasdemiroglu and Sever’s Model…………………………………. 4.4. Oz’s Model………………………………………………………... 4.5. Aksoy’s Model……………………………………………………. 4.6. Ulgen and Ozbalta’s Model……………………………………….. 4.7. Togrul and Togrul’s Model……………………………………….. viii ix x xi 1 8 8 12 15 15 18 18 18 19 19 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 21 vi
4.8. Ulgen and Hepbasli’s Model…………………………………….... 4.9. Ulgen and Hepbasli’s Model…………………………………….... 4.10. New Developed Equation 1…………………………………….... 4.11. New Developed Equation 2…………………………………….... 4.12. New Developed Equation 3…………………………………….... CHAPTER 5. ANALYSIS OF DIFFUSE RADIATION MODELS………………. 5.1. H as a function of H and the clearness index (Group 1)…………. 5.1.1. Tasdemiroglu and Sever’s Model……………………………... 5.1.2. Tiris et al. Model……………………………………………… 5.1.3. New Developed Equation A…………………………………... 5.2. H as a function of H and sunshine fraction (Group 2)…………… 5.2.1. Barbaro et al.’s Model………………………………………… 5.2.2. Ulgen and Hepbasli’s Model………………………………….. 5.2.3. New Developed Equation B…………………………………... 5.3. H as a function of Hₒ and the clearness index (Group 3)………… 5.3.1. Ulgen and Hepbasli’s Model………………………………….. 5.3.2. Aras et al. Models …………………………………………….. 5.3.3. New Developed Equation C…………………………………... 5.4. H as a function of Hₒ and sunshine fraction (Group 4)…………... 5.4.1. Ulgen and Hepbasli’s Model………………………………….. 5.4.2. Aras et al. Models……………………………………………... 5.4.3. New Developed Equation D…………………………………... CHAPTER 6. RESULTS…………………………………………………………... 6.1. Results for Global Solar Radiation………………………………... 6.2. Results for Diffuse Solar Radiation……………………………….. CHAPTER 7. CONCLUSION……………………………………………………... REFERENCES……………………………………………………………………... APPENDIX A. The monthly-average hourly global solar radiation tables………... 22 22 22 22 23 24 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 25 26 26 26 26 26 26 27 27 28 28 39 44 45 49 vii
Page 1 and 2: MEASUREMENT AND COMPARISON OF SOLAR
Page 3 and 4: ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS First of all, the
Page 5: ÖZET İZMİR/TÜRKİYE İÇİN GÜ
Page 9 and 10: Table LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Turke
Page 11 and 12: DMI EIEI IYTE MBE RMSE e t-stat MPE
Page 13 and 14: development. Globally, an estimated
Page 15 and 16: eceived directly (direct radiation)
Page 17 and 18: According to these data, Turkey's a
Page 19 and 20: 2.1. Global Solar Radiation CHAPTER
Page 21 and 22: Electrical Works Research Directora
Page 23 and 24: Togrul et al. (2002) developed some
Page 25 and 26: so widely throughout China that the
Page 27 and 28: Figure 2. Approximate construction
Page 29 and 30: Meteorological data including tempe
Page 31 and 32: CHAPTER 4 ANALYSIS OF GLOBAL RADIAT
Page 33 and 34: The equation was in the Group 2. H
Page 35 and 36: CHAPTER 5 ANALYSIS OF DIFFUSE RADIA
Page 37 and 38: 5.3. 퐇 퐝 as a Function of 퐇
Page 39 and 40: CHAPTER 6 RESULTS 6.1. Results for
Page 41 and 42: Table 5. Hₒ values for Izmir Mont
Page 43 and 44: 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 20
Page 45 and 46: According to Table 9 the maximum va
Page 47 and 48: 36 Table 10. Hourly average global
Page 49 and 50: Evaluation of Group 1: There is onl
Page 51 and 52: 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 6
Page 53 and 54: The following main results were obt
Page 55 and 56: CHAPTER 7 CONCLUSION In this thesis
Page 57 and 58:
Haydar A.; Balli O.; Hepbasli A. (2
Page 59 and 60:
Yildiz, M. and Oz, S. (1994), Evalu
Page 61 and 62:
700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 900 8
Page 63 and 64:
800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 6
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