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Modelling of Pollutant Transport in the Atmosphere - MANHAZ

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Direct Numerical Simulation DNS. DNS methods symbolize full and untruncated<br />

solutions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Navier-Stokes equations <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g particle<br />

track<strong>in</strong>g on all scales. As <strong>the</strong> smallest scale <strong>of</strong> relevance for atmospheric<br />

dispersion is <strong>the</strong> Kolmogorov microscale (<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> order <strong>of</strong> ~1 mm) it is<br />

evident that DNS methods are not relevant for atmospheric dispersion,<br />

where scales are rang<strong>in</strong>g from meters to thousand <strong>of</strong> km, cf. Figure1.<br />

Aga<strong>in</strong>, nei<strong>the</strong>r DNS nor LES type models are suited for direct practical<br />

real-time air pollution control or emergency assessments, but should<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r be considered as research tools.<br />

On-l<strong>in</strong>e Numerical Wea<strong>the</strong>r Prediction w<strong>in</strong>ds for dispersion<br />

Numerical wea<strong>the</strong>r forecast data are today available to dispersion<br />

modeller’s for download from <strong>the</strong> world’s national and <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

wea<strong>the</strong>r forecast centres.<br />

Limited Area Models (LAM) with an <strong>in</strong>ternal grid resolution down to ~10 x<br />

10 km grid resolution, and with <strong>in</strong>ternal time steps <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> order <strong>of</strong><br />

m<strong>in</strong>utes, produce regional scale (e.g. Europe) forecasts with a forecast<br />

length up to + 36 or + 48 hours.<br />

As an example <strong>the</strong> jo<strong>in</strong>t Scand<strong>in</strong>avian- European corporation project<br />

HIRLAM (for HIgh Resolution Limited Area Model) wea<strong>the</strong>r prediction<br />

code operates at several European national Met <strong>of</strong>fices. HIRLAM is a<br />

complete 3-D regional atmospheric forecast<strong>in</strong>g system. With<strong>in</strong> a vertical<br />

resolved grid conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g some thirty levels, and runn<strong>in</strong>g around <strong>the</strong> clock<br />

<strong>in</strong> a 6 hour updated data-assimilation cycle, HIRLAM produces w<strong>in</strong>d,<br />

temperature, humidity and precipitation + 48 hours ahead.<br />

Numerical wea<strong>the</strong>r forecasts <strong>of</strong> local w<strong>in</strong>ds and stability are nowadays onl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

available <strong>in</strong> Europe for use with local scale atmospheric dispersion<br />

forecasts. For <strong>in</strong>stance are HIRLAM produced local w<strong>in</strong>d and<br />

precipitation forecasts today operationally accessible for local scale<br />

dispersion calculations with<strong>in</strong> two European Emergency management<br />

decision support systems, RODOS and ARGOS (Mikkelsen, 2000).<br />

30

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