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COMMODITY PRODUCTS<br />

2008 Moore Research Report<br />

Seasonals • Charts • Strategies<br />

DAIRY


Welcome to the<br />

2008 MOORe HISTORICal<br />

DaIRY RePORT<br />

this comprehensive report provides historical daily charts, cash and basis charts,<br />

and seasonal strategies to help you trade.<br />

cme Group offers the following Dairy futures and options contracts: Butter, cash-settled Butter,<br />

Dry Whey, class IV milk, class <strong>III</strong> milk and Nonfat Dry milk. In addition to the moore historical<br />

Report, cme Group offers the following free trading tools for Dairy futures and options:<br />

• www.cmegroup.com/dairyquotes<br />

Free real-time price quotes on electronic Dairy futures and options complete with:<br />

– Best bids and offers<br />

– Daily trading activity<br />

– outright and spread markets<br />

• www.DailyDairyReport.com<br />

Free one-page daily e-mail commentary on the fundamental drivers of the dairy markets<br />

For more information on cme Group Dairy products,<br />

visit www.cmegroup.com/commodities or<br />

contact commodities@cmegroup.com.<br />

to begin trading Dairy futures and options on the cme Globex<br />

electronic trading platform, contact your broker directly.


For Your<br />

Information<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong><br />

<strong>Milk</strong> Futures<br />

Basis<br />

& Cash<br />

Charts<br />

Page<br />

Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2<br />

<strong>CME</strong> Futures, Options & Spot Call Specifications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3<br />

How to Interpret Seasonal Pattern Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8<br />

Seasonal Section Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9<br />

Seasonal Patterns & Weekly Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10<br />

Seasonal & Spread Strategy Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40<br />

How to Interpret a Strategy Sheet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43<br />

Strategy Detail Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43<br />

How to Interpret Average Volatility & Bull/Bear Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .70<br />

Volatility, Bull/Bear, Daily Section Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71<br />

Historical Average Volatility Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .72<br />

Bull/Bear Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .75<br />

Historical Daily Futures Charts (<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .79<br />

Basis & Cash Section Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93<br />

Cheese/<strong>Milk</strong> Basis Averages & Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .94<br />

Cash Market Seasonal Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .100<br />

Cash Market Weekly Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .101<br />

Cash Market Monthly Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .102<br />

(Charts current through December 2007.)<br />

Table of Contents<br />

Historical Dairy Report 2008 Edition<br />

NOTE: The <strong>CME</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> (<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong>) contract<br />

replaced the BFP contract in January 2000.<br />

The Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI), located on 73 secluded<br />

acres outside Eugene, Oregon, is sought for its futures market analysis,<br />

combining many years of intensive computerized study and the<br />

experience of real-time trading. Our hardware and software both are<br />

constantly upgraded, giving MRCI the speed and depth of capability to<br />

study price movement that we believe are state-of-the-art for the industry.<br />

——————————————————————<br />

Copyright ©1989-2008. Moore Research Center, Inc. No part of this publication may be<br />

reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including<br />

photocopy, recording, facsimile, or any information storage and retrieval system,<br />

without written permission. Retransmission by fax or other means which results in the<br />

creation of an additional copy is unlawful.


Preface<br />

Knowledge is a foundation essential to making<br />

successful decisions. Does a prudent<br />

businessman market product/purchase raw material<br />

without first researching profit/cost potential? Does a<br />

successful futures trader/investor jump at a “hot tip” or a<br />

story in The Wall St. Journal? Or would one first seek<br />

some background—some history?<br />

The purpose of this publication is to quantify price<br />

history—both cash and futures—in the dairy market,<br />

offer it from a variety of relevant perspectives, and<br />

present it in a format useful to those whose commerce is<br />

substantially affected by fluctuations in prices for dairy<br />

products. The business executive and investor alike are<br />

encouraged to examine the following pages thoroughly,<br />

for seasonality can be a primary component of price<br />

movement in dairy products.<br />

Seasonal Patterns<br />

Nearly all markets—real estate, grain, cash butter,<br />

stock index futures—respond to various fundamental<br />

forces, many seasonal in nature. Such forces as weather,<br />

school calendars, and specific characteristics of futures<br />

contracts tend to recur and to influence, to one degree or<br />

another and in a more or less timely manner, certain<br />

markets every year. As any market responds to a series<br />

of these annually recurring factors, seasonal price<br />

patterns tend to evolve.<br />

Daily seasonal patterns are derived from and a<br />

composite of the historical daily price activity in the<br />

specific futures contract or cash market under<br />

consideration. The numerical index to the right of each<br />

seasonal pattern chart reflects the historical tendency for<br />

that market to reach its seasonal high (100) or low (0) at<br />

a given time.<br />

Weekly continuation charts, also contract-specific,<br />

are intended to illustrate historical relative value, turning<br />

points, and longer-term trends. Points on futures spread<br />

charts are plotted by subtracting the price of the secondnamed<br />

contract from that of the first.<br />

NOTE: The <strong>CME</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> (<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong>) contract<br />

replaced the BFP contract in January 2000.<br />

Preface<br />

Windows of Opportunity<br />

From these seasonal patterns, one can derive a<br />

seasonal approach to both cash and futures markets that<br />

is designed to anticipate, enter, and capture recurrent<br />

price trends as they emerge and exit before they are<br />

“realized.” Within these patterns may exist certain<br />

“windows of opportunity” wherein well-defined<br />

seasonal tops, bottoms, and trends tend to appear.<br />

Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI) computer<br />

programs have analyzed trends that have recurred in the<br />

same direction during a similar period of time in at least<br />

80% of all years studied. The underlying theory<br />

assumes that causal fundamental factors specific to that<br />

time period must have existed and may be influential<br />

again, thus making each strategy of such historical<br />

reliability valid for trading considerations. However,<br />

that past performance is not necessarily indicative of<br />

future results.<br />

Even though these are potential strategies only and<br />

not recommendations, there is no mystery to them.<br />

They are merely presentations of quantified historical<br />

fact. However, if knowledge is essential to decisionmaking,<br />

then historically reliable strategies would seem<br />

to offer a starting point from which to take a reasoned<br />

approach to the dairy market.<br />

Commercial users/producers, then, may find seasonal<br />

analysis vital to managing cost/profit risks. The<br />

consistency implied by seasonality and its more reliable<br />

strategies can afford, to the business strategist planning<br />

into the future, greater confidence in purchasing raw<br />

material and/or marketing product.<br />

Price movement affects management decisions.<br />

Those with the knowledge to anticipate price movement<br />

more accurately also have the capacity to make<br />

successful decisions more consistently.<br />

2 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


Chicago Mercantile Exchange has offered a variety of<br />

cash-settled dairy futures products since 1996. At present,<br />

these products consist of <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> and <strong>Class</strong> IV <strong>Milk</strong>, Nonfat<br />

Dry <strong>Milk</strong>, and Dry Whey futures and options contracts. In<br />

2005, <strong>CME</strong> listed a cash-settled butter futures contract<br />

(20,000 lbs) available for trade on Globex; in 2007, <strong>CME</strong><br />

made nearly all its cash-settled dairy futures and options<br />

contracts available for 23-hour trading on Globex. <strong>CME</strong> also<br />

trades a deliverable butter futures contract. In addition, <strong>CME</strong><br />

provides the location for a spot call (cash) dairy market where<br />

Cheese, Butter, and Nonfat Dry <strong>Milk</strong> are traded.<br />

Cash/Spot Market<br />

The Spot, or Cash, market is used for immediate<br />

inventory adjustments. This is a cash market that allows<br />

buyers and sellers to better manage production schedules and<br />

bottom lines with immediate sales or purchases of the<br />

products listed. Price discovery in this market is also used in<br />

conjunction with dairy information published by various<br />

government agencies to provide traders, hedgers, and<br />

speculators with trading possibilities.<br />

Trading<br />

Unit<br />

Contract<br />

Months<br />

Minimum<br />

Fluctuation<br />

Maximum<br />

Fluctuation<br />

Trading<br />

Hours<br />

Ticker<br />

Symbol<br />

Grade<br />

Dairy Futures and Options<br />

The futures are structured completely differently from<br />

the cash markets. All of <strong>CME</strong>’s dairy futures products,<br />

except butter, are cash-settled to the National Agricultural<br />

Statistical Service (NASS) monthly price. <strong>Class</strong> prices are<br />

based on formulas calculated by United States Department of<br />

Agriculture (USDA).<br />

Federal Order <strong>Class</strong> Prices<br />

Formulation of the Federal Order <strong>Class</strong> prices are<br />

derived from weighted averages of USDA-surveyed cheese,<br />

<strong>CME</strong> Dairy Futures, Options and Spot Call<br />

Contract Specifications: <strong>CME</strong> Spot Call Dairy Markets<br />

Cheese Butter Nonfat Dry <strong>Milk</strong><br />

40,000-44,000 lbs 40,000-44,000 lbs 42,000-45,000 lbs<br />

Daily Daily Daily<br />

$ 0.0025/lb $0.0025/lb $0.0025/lb<br />

$0.01/lb $0.01/lb $0.01/lb<br />

10:45AM to between<br />

10:47 and 11:01 AM<br />

Blocks: KB<br />

Barrels: RB<br />

Blocks: Grade A or better<br />

Barrels: Extra or better<br />

11:05AM to between<br />

11:07 and 11:21AM<br />

butter, nonfat dry milk, and whey prices for the month. The<br />

formulas for <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> and <strong>Class</strong> IV are as follow:<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> Price = (<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> Skim Price x .965) + (Butterfat Price x 3.5)<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> Skim Price = (Protein Price x 3.1) + (Other Solids Price x 5.9)<br />

Protein Price = ((Cheese Price - .1682) x 1.383) +<br />

((((Cheese Price - .1682) x 1.572) - Butterfat Price x .9) x 1.17)<br />

Other Solids Price = (Dry Whey Price - .1956) x 1.03<br />

Butterfat Price = (Butter Price - .1202) x 1.2<br />

<strong>Class</strong> IV Price = (<strong>Class</strong> IV Skim x .965) + (Butterfat Price x 3.5)<br />

<strong>Class</strong> IV Skim = Nonfat Solids Price x 9<br />

Nonfat Solids Price = (Nonfat Price - .1570) x .99<br />

Butterfat Price = (Butter Price - .1202) x 1.2<br />

What do these formulas tell us about the pricing of<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> and <strong>Class</strong> IV milk? Price movements in butter,<br />

cheese, whey, and<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Class</strong> IV<br />

nonfat dry milk<br />

have an impact on Cheese 9.7¢ n/a<br />

the final price. As a Whey 6.0¢ n/a<br />

general rule, a one-<br />

Butter 0.5¢ 4.2¢<br />

cent change in dairy<br />

Nonfat Dry <strong>Milk</strong> n/a 8.6¢<br />

product prices has<br />

10:45AM to between<br />

10:47 and 11:01AM<br />

Grade AA Grade A: NM<br />

Extra Grade: NX<br />

Grade AA Grade A and Extra<br />

the following price impact on the<br />

class futures prices for milk.<br />

Monthly government<br />

numbers used to settle the <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong><br />

and <strong>Class</strong> IV futures are released<br />

on the Friday before the 5th of the<br />

following month. If the 5th falls on<br />

Friday, data is then published on<br />

that Friday. Monthly data can be<br />

found on the USDA Web site or on<br />

a link at www.cmegroup.com.<br />

Examples of actual USDA<br />

monthly releases and last trading<br />

days for <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> and <strong>Class</strong> IV<br />

futures contracts are shown below.<br />

USDA Release Last Trading Day<br />

January 2/1/08 1/31/08<br />

February 2/29/08 2/28/08<br />

March 4/4/08 4/3/08<br />

April 5/2/08 5/1/08<br />

May 5/30/08 5/29/08<br />

June 7/3/08 7/2/08<br />

July 8/1/08 7/31/08<br />

August 9/5/08 9/4/08<br />

September 10/3/08 10/2/08<br />

October 10/31/08 10/30/08<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 3<br />

Dairy Futures, Options and Spot Call


Dairy Contract Specifications<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Futures<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> milk futures have been trading at <strong>CME</strong><br />

since 1996 in various forms. <strong>CME</strong> has adapted its<br />

futures contracts over time to keep up with the<br />

ever-changing government price support program for<br />

milk. Cash settlement was originally based on the<br />

Minnesota-Wisconsin (MW) price, then the Basic<br />

Formula Price (BFP), and currently the <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> milk<br />

price. <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> milk is also known by the industry as<br />

“cheese milk,” the milk used to produce American<br />

cheese.<br />

Contract Specifications: <strong>CME</strong> <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Futures<br />

Futures Options<br />

on Futures<br />

Trading Unit 200,000 pounds Same as futures<br />

Contract Months<br />

24 consecutive<br />

calendar months<br />

Same as futures<br />

Months Listed All All<br />

Minimum<br />

Fluctuation<br />

$0.01 per cwt. $0.01 per cwt.,<br />

except Cab = $0.005<br />

Price Limits $0.75 per cwt. None<br />

Options Exercise n/a On any day that<br />

the option is traded<br />

Strike Price<br />

Intervals<br />

Termination<br />

of Trading<br />

Trading Hours<br />

RTH<br />

Trading Hours<br />

Globex<br />

Position Limits:<br />

Expiring<br />

contract month<br />

n/a $0.25<br />

Business day prior<br />

to USDA<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Price<br />

announcement<br />

9:05 a.m.<br />

to 1:10 pm<br />

(9:05 a.m. to 12:10<br />

p.m. on<br />

last trading day)<br />

Trading extends<br />

from Monday at<br />

9:05 a.m. Central<br />

Time (CT) through<br />

Friday at 1:30 p.m.<br />

with daily hourlong<br />

trading halts<br />

at 4:00 p.m.<br />

Ticker Symbols<br />

RTH / Globex DA / DC<br />

Same as futures<br />

9:05 a.m.<br />

to 1:12 p.m.<br />

(9:05 a.m. to<br />

12:10 p.m. on last trading<br />

day)<br />

same as Globex futures<br />

1500 contracts Aggregated with<br />

futures on an<br />

equivalent basis<br />

Calls: DA/DC<br />

Puts: DA/DC<br />

<strong>Class</strong> IV <strong>Milk</strong> Futures<br />

<strong>Class</strong> IV milk futures began trading in 2000 to<br />

complement the USDA’s component pricing system.<br />

<strong>Class</strong> IV milk is used to produce butter and nonfat dry<br />

milk.<br />

Contract Specifications: <strong>CME</strong> <strong>Class</strong> IV <strong>Milk</strong> Futures<br />

Futures Options on Futures<br />

Trading Unit 200,000 pounds Same as futures<br />

Contract Months<br />

24 consecutive<br />

calendar months<br />

Same as futures<br />

Months Listed All All<br />

Minimum<br />

Fluctuation<br />

$0.01 per cwt. $0.01 per cwt.,<br />

except Cab = $0.005<br />

Price Limits $0.75 per cwt. None<br />

Options Exercise n/a On any day that<br />

the option is traded<br />

Strike Price<br />

Intervals<br />

Termination of<br />

Trading<br />

Trading Hours<br />

Trading Hours<br />

Globex<br />

Position Limits:<br />

Expiring contract<br />

month<br />

Ticker Symbol:<br />

RTH/Globex<br />

n/a $0.25<br />

Business day prior to<br />

USDA <strong>Class</strong> IV <strong>Milk</strong><br />

Price announcement<br />

9:05 a.m to 1:10 p.m<br />

(9:05 a.m. - 12:10 p.m.<br />

on last trading day)<br />

Trading extends from<br />

Monday at 9:05 a.m.<br />

Central Time (CT)<br />

through Friday at 1:30<br />

p.m. with daily hourlong<br />

trading halts at<br />

4:00 p.m.<br />

Same as futures<br />

9:05 a.m. to 1:12 p.m.<br />

(9:05 a.m. - 12:10 p.m.<br />

on last trading day)<br />

same as Globex futures<br />

1500 contracts Aggregated<br />

with futures on<br />

an equivalent basis<br />

DK/GDK Calls: DK/GDK<br />

Puts: DK/GDK<br />

4 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


Nonfat Dry <strong>Milk</strong> Futures<br />

Merchandisers, producers, processors, and<br />

speculators can now engage in price discovery and<br />

effectively manage price risk in Nonfat Dry <strong>Milk</strong>, a<br />

by-product derived from manufacturing butter. This<br />

product can be stored, used in various food sources,<br />

and/or reconstituted into milk. Futures complement<br />

<strong>CME</strong> Group’s overall dairy product complex, enabling<br />

users both to hedge and to trade milk against its major<br />

milk products.<br />

Contract Specifications: <strong>CME</strong> Nonfat Dry <strong>Milk</strong> Futures<br />

Futures Options on Futures<br />

Trading Unit 44,000 pounds<br />

Grade AA or Extra<br />

Same as futures<br />

Contract Months 24 months Same as futures<br />

Months Listed All Same as futures<br />

Minimum Fluctuation $0.00025 per pound $0.00025 per pound,<br />

except Cab = $0.000125<br />

Price Limits $0.025 per pound;<br />

expandable to $0.05 if<br />

contract nearest to<br />

expiration subject to<br />

daily price limit closes<br />

on the limit bid or offer<br />

None<br />

Options Exercise n/a Any day option is traded<br />

Strike Price Intervals n/a $0.02<br />

Termination of<br />

Trading<br />

Trading Hours<br />

RTH<br />

Trading Hours<br />

Globex<br />

Position Limits:<br />

Expiring month<br />

1st scale down<br />

Other contract<br />

months<br />

Ticker Symbol<br />

RTH / Globex<br />

Business day prior to<br />

USDA Nonfat Dry <strong>Milk</strong><br />

Price<br />

announcement<br />

9:05 a.m. to 1:10 p.m.<br />

(9:05 a.m. - 12:10 p.m.<br />

on last trading day)<br />

Trading extends from<br />

9:05 am Monday (CT)<br />

through 1:30 pm Friday<br />

with daily hour-long<br />

trading halts at 4:00 pm<br />

100 during the last 5<br />

days of trading<br />

1,000 in any contract<br />

month<br />

Same as futures<br />

9:05 a.m. to 1:12 p.m.<br />

(9:05 a.m. - 12:10 p.m.<br />

on last trading day)<br />

same as Globex futures<br />

Aggregated<br />

with futures on<br />

an equivalent basis<br />

NF / GNF Calls: NZ<br />

Puts: NZ<br />

Butter Futures<br />

Producers, consumers, merchandisers, and<br />

speculators can engage in price discovery and manage<br />

price risk for butter utilizing a physically delivered<br />

contract. Futures reflect cash market supply, demand,<br />

and cold-storage stocks.<br />

Contract Specifications: <strong>CME</strong> Butter Futures<br />

Futures (RTH) Options on Futures<br />

Trading Unit 40,000 pounds<br />

Grade AA<br />

Same as futures<br />

Contract Months 6 months Same as Futures<br />

Months Listed Mar, May, Jul,<br />

Sep, Oct, Dec<br />

Same as futures<br />

Minimum Fluctuation $0.00025 per pound $0.00025 per pound,<br />

Cab = $0.000125<br />

Price Limits $0.05 per pound;<br />

expandable to $0.10 if<br />

the contract nearest to<br />

expiration that is<br />

subject to daily price<br />

limit closes on the limit<br />

bid or offer<br />

None<br />

Options Exercise n/a Any day option traded.<br />

Strike Price Intervals n/a $0.02<br />

Termination of<br />

Trading<br />

Trading Hours<br />

Position Limits:<br />

Expiring Contract<br />

month<br />

1st scale down<br />

2nd scale down<br />

Other contract<br />

months<br />

The eighth-to-last<br />

business day of the<br />

month<br />

9:05 a.m. to 1:10 p.m.<br />

(9:05 a.m. - 12:10 p.m.<br />

on last trading day)<br />

150 at the close of<br />

business on the first<br />

business day following<br />

the first Friday of the<br />

contract month<br />

50 during the<br />

last 5 days of trading<br />

1,000 all months<br />

combined or 900<br />

in any contact month<br />

First Friday<br />

of the month<br />

9:05 a.m. to 1:12 p.m.<br />

(9:05 a.m. - 12:10 p.m.<br />

on last trading day)<br />

Aggregated<br />

with futures on<br />

an equivalent basis<br />

Ticker Symbol DB Calls: DB<br />

Puts: DB<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 5<br />

Dairy Contract Specifications


Dairy Contract Specifications<br />

Cash-settled Butter<br />

In September 2007, <strong>CME</strong> Group launched options<br />

on Cash-Settled Butter futures. Contract size at 20,000<br />

pounds is half the size of deliverable butter futures.<br />

Contract Specs: <strong>CME</strong> Cash-Settled Butter Futures (Globex Only)<br />

Trading Unit<br />

20,000 lbs<br />

Grade AA Butter<br />

Contract Listing 24 consecutive<br />

calendar months<br />

Minimum Fluctuation 1 point = $0.00025/lb<br />

= $5.00<br />

Price Limits $0.05 per pound,<br />

expanded to $0.10 after<br />

one-day limit move<br />

Termination of<br />

Trading<br />

Trading Hours<br />

Futures Options<br />

Business day preceding<br />

release date for USDA<br />

monthly price in the US<br />

for Butter<br />

Trading extends from<br />

Monday at 9:05 a.m.<br />

(CT) through Friday at<br />

1:30 p.m. with daily<br />

hour-long<br />

trading halts at 4:00 p.m.<br />

same as futures<br />

same as futures<br />

same as futures<br />

n/a<br />

same as futures<br />

same as futures<br />

Options Exercise n/a Any day option traded<br />

Strike Price Intervals n/a $0.02 per pound<br />

Ticker Symbol CB Puts/Calls: CB<br />

Dry Whey Futures<br />

Producers, consumers, merchandisers, and<br />

speculators can engage in price discovery and manage<br />

price risk for dry whey, which is a by-product from<br />

manufacturing cheese. Whey is the liquid that separates<br />

from milk in the process of cheese making. Dried whey,<br />

high in protein and low in fat, is used in a variety of<br />

foods such as crackers, breads, cereal, and commercial<br />

pastries. It is increasingly used in the popular energy<br />

and power bars as well as protein drinks and powders. It<br />

also has use as an animal feed.<br />

Contract Specs: <strong>CME</strong> Dry Whey Futures (Globex Only)<br />

Trading Unit<br />

Contract Listing<br />

Minimum Fluctuation<br />

Price Limits<br />

Termination of<br />

Trading<br />

Futures Options<br />

44,000 pounds<br />

Extra Grade<br />

24 consecutive<br />

calendar months<br />

1 point = $0.00025/lb =<br />

$11.00<br />

$0.04 per pound,<br />

except no limit in<br />

spot month during last<br />

5 trading days of month<br />

Business day preceding<br />

release date for USDA<br />

monthly price in the US<br />

for Butter<br />

same as futures<br />

same as futures<br />

same as futures, but also<br />

Cab $0.000125 = $5.50<br />

n/a<br />

same as futures<br />

Trading Hours Trading extends from<br />

Monday at 9:05 a.m.<br />

(CT) through Friday at<br />

1:30 p.m. with daily<br />

hour-long<br />

trading halts at 4:00 p.m.<br />

same as futures<br />

Options Exercise n/a Any day option traded<br />

Strike Price Intervals n/a $0.02 per pound<br />

Ticker Symbol DY Puts/Calls: DY<br />

6 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 7<br />

Personal Notes


How to Interpret Seasonal Pattern Charts<br />

Seasonal Pattern Chart Explanation<br />

ach chart consists of two aspects of a market’s seasonal pattern—the longest (up to 10 years) for which data<br />

Eexists (solid line) and its most recent 5-year (dotted line), December 2007 contracts inclusive. Thus, any evolution<br />

in the pattern may be perceived, as well as trends, tops, and bottoms coincident to both. The numerical index to the<br />

right measures the greatest historical tendency for the market to make a seasonal high (100) or low (0) at a given time.<br />

Besides illustrating the more obvious seasonal tops, seasonal bottoms, and seasonal trends, these patterns also<br />

suggest certain cause/effect phenomena which may present secondary opportunities. For instance, do smaller but<br />

well-defined breaks/rallies typically precede certain events, such as the Super Bowl or expiration of a lead contract?<br />

If so, does there exist an implied opportunity?<br />

9 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

January <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

How to Interpret Seasonal Average Charts<br />

utures markets are designed to enable those involved in the commerce of the underlying commodity to manage their<br />

Frisk of price fluctuation. Because commercial hedging is a purchase or sale in futures that temporarily<br />

substitutes for a similar transaction in the cash market, the relationship between cash and futures is of vital importance.<br />

Charts in the Basis section portray an averaged difference between a designated cash price and a designated<br />

futures contract price, commonly referred to as “basis.” Per industry standard, the daily futures closing price is<br />

subtracted from the underlying cash price to determine chart points and cash quotes of “$1.00 over” or “$0.05 under”<br />

futures—the fluctuation of cash around futures. Because futures prices are the reference against which cash quotes are<br />

made, futures prices are represented on the charts by the 0-line. [The chart itself consists of both a longer average (the<br />

solid line) and its most recent 5-year average (the dotted line).] From these charts, one may discern not only the<br />

degree to which basis typically widens/narrows at any given time of the year.<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

8 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00


Page<br />

SEASONAL PATTERNS & WEEKLY CONTINUATIONS<br />

Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10<br />

May, Jun, Jul, Aug . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12<br />

Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14<br />

Jan vs: Feb, Mar, Apr, May . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16<br />

Feb vs: Mar, Apr, May, Jun . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18<br />

Mar vs: Apr, May, Jun, Jul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20<br />

Apr vs: May, Jun, Jul, Aug . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22<br />

May vs: Jun, Jul, Aug, Sep . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24<br />

Jun vs: Jul, Aug, Sep, Oct . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26<br />

Jul vs: Aug, Sep, Oct, Nov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28<br />

Aug vs: Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30<br />

Sep vs: Oct, Nov, Dec, Jan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32<br />

Oct vs: Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34<br />

Nov vs: Dec, Jan, Feb, Mar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36<br />

Dec vs: Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38<br />

STRATEGIES<br />

Seasonal Trade & Spreads Strategy Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38<br />

Seasonal Strategy Detail Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong><br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong><br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 9


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Seasonal Patterns<br />

9 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

9 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

9 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

9 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

January <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

February <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb<br />

March <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar<br />

April <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr<br />

10 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.00<br />

10.00<br />

9.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.00<br />

10.00<br />

9.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.00<br />

10.00<br />

9.00<br />

8.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

Weekly Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 11<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Weeklies


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Seasonal Patterns<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

9 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

9 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1998-2007)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May<br />

June <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

July <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

August <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1998-2007)<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

12 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


22.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

22.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

24.00<br />

22.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

22.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

Weekly May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 13<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Weeklies


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Seasonal Patterns<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

September <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1998-2007)<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep<br />

October <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1997-2007)<br />

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

November <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1997-2007)<br />

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov<br />

December <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Seasonal Patterns(1997-2007)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

14 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


22.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

22.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

22.00<br />

20.00<br />

18.00<br />

16.00<br />

14.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

Weekly Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 15<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Weeklies


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: January<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

16 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

-6.00<br />

-8.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

-5.00<br />

-6.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

-5.00<br />

-6.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

-5.00<br />

-6.00<br />

Weekly Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 17<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: January


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: February<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb<br />

Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb<br />

Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb<br />

Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb<br />

18 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

-2.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

-2.00<br />

-2.50<br />

-3.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

Weekly Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 19<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: February


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: March<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar<br />

Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar<br />

Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar<br />

Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar<br />

20 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

-5.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

-5.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

-2.00<br />

-2.50<br />

-3.00<br />

Weekly Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 21<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: March


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: April<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr<br />

Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr<br />

Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr<br />

Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr<br />

22 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

-2.00<br />

-2.50<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

Weekly Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 23<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: April


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: May<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May<br />

May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May<br />

May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May<br />

May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May<br />

24 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

7.00<br />

6.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

7.00<br />

6.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

7.00<br />

6.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

Weekly May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 25<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: May


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: June<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

26 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

Weekly Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 27<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: June


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: July<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98-07)<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

28 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

-4.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

Weekly Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 29<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: July


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: August<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

30 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

-2.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

-2.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

Weekly Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 31<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: August


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: September<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep<br />

Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep<br />

Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep<br />

Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97/98-07/08)<br />

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep<br />

32 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

Weekly Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 33<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: September


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: October<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97/98-07/08)<br />

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97/98-07/08)<br />

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

34 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


4.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

6.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

Weekly Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 35<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: October


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: November<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97-07)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov<br />

Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97/98-07/08)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov<br />

Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97/98-07/08)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov<br />

Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Seasonal(97/98-07/08)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov<br />

36 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

-2.00<br />

-2.50<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

Weekly Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 37<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: November


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Seasonal Patterns: December<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98/99-07/08)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98/99-07/08)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98/99-07/08)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Seasonal(98/99-07/08)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

38 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

Weekly Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 39<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Spread Weeklies: December


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Summary<br />

Seasonal<br />

Strategy<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Seasonal & Spread Strategies<br />

Entry<br />

Date<br />

Note: These trade strategies have worked with historical consistency. No representation is being made that they will work this year or in the<br />

future. Please check current market fundamentals and technical conditions before considering these trades. This information is not a<br />

recommendation to buy or sell at this time, but merely a historical presentation of trade strategies. Past results are not necessarily indicative<br />

of future results. No representation is being made that an account will or is likely to achieve profits or incur losses similar to those shown.<br />

Exit<br />

Date<br />

SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING<br />

FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR. EVEN<br />

IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO<br />

REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL<br />

RECUR IN THE FUTURE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR<br />

IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS<br />

SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF<br />

HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL<br />

TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL<br />

TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED<br />

FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

Win<br />

Pct<br />

Win<br />

Years<br />

Loss<br />

Years<br />

Copyright ©1989-2008 Moore Research Center, Inc.<br />

Total<br />

Years<br />

Average<br />

Profit<br />

Ave Pft<br />

Per Day<br />

1 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—May 1/02 1/17 80 8 2 10 438 27/16 41<br />

2 Buy Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

3 Buy Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

4 Buy Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

2/04 4/03 90 9 1 10 988 16/60 42<br />

2/23 4/06 90 9 1 10 714 16/44 42<br />

2/25 3/26 90 9 1 10 1086 35/31 43<br />

5 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April 2/26 3/05 90 9 1 10 416 46/9 43<br />

6 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April 3/07 4/07 80 8 2 10 1502 47/32 44<br />

7 Buy May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

3/10 5/07 90 9 1 10 904 15/59 44<br />

8 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—August 3/17 6/13 90 9 1 10 2084 23/89 45<br />

9 Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

3/17 6/13 90 9 1 10 1312 15/89 45<br />

10 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April 3/18 4/09 90 9 1 10 734 32/23 46<br />

11 Buy May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

3/20 4/28 90 9 1 10 782 20/40 46<br />

12 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April 3/21 4/05 100 10 0 10 568 35/16 47<br />

13 Buy May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

14 Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

3/25 4/28 90 9 1 10 826 24/35 47<br />

4/15 4/28 80 8 2 10 510 36/14 48<br />

15 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—September 4/26 6/13 90 9 1 10 1512 31/49 48<br />

16 Buy Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

17 Buy Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

18 Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

19 Buy Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

5/04 5/16 90 9 1 10 524 40/13 49<br />

5/15 6/09 100 10 0 10 916 35/26 49<br />

5/20 6/13 90 9 1 10 1222 49/25 50<br />

5/20 6/19 80 8 2 10 874 28/31 50<br />

40 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

Pg<br />

No


Seasonal<br />

Strategy<br />

20 Buy Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Seasonal & Spread Strategies<br />

Entry<br />

Date<br />

Exit<br />

Date<br />

37 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—December 8/10 8/29 90 9 1 10 1192 60/20 59<br />

38 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November 8/10 10/09 90 9 1 10 1890 31/61 60<br />

39 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—December 8/31 9/11 80 8 2 10 412 34/12 60 Summary<br />

Note: These trade strategies have worked with historical consistency. No representation is being made that they will work this year or in the<br />

future. Please check current market fundamentals and technical conditions before considering these trades. This information is not a<br />

recommendation to buy or sell at this time, but merely a historical presentation of trade strategies. Past results are not necessarily indicative<br />

of future results. No representation is being made that an account will or is likely to achieve profits or incur losses similar to those shown. Strategy<br />

SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING<br />

FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR. EVEN<br />

IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO<br />

REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL <strong>Milk</strong><br />

RECUR IN THE FUTURE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR<br />

IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS<br />

SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF <strong>III</strong><br />

HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL<br />

TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL<br />

TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED<br />

FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

Copyright ©1989-2008 Moore Research Center, Inc. <strong>Class</strong><br />

Win<br />

Pct<br />

Win<br />

Years<br />

Loss<br />

Years<br />

Total<br />

Years<br />

Average<br />

Profit<br />

Ave Pft<br />

Per Day<br />

5/21 5/28 100 10 0 10 698 87/8 51<br />

21 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July 5/21 5/29 90 9 1 10 1008 112/9 51<br />

22 Buy Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

5/21 6/04 90 9 1 10 1090 73/15 52<br />

23 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July 5/21 6/13 90 9 1 10 1710 71/24 52<br />

24 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—June 5/22 5/30 90 9 1 10 696 77/9 53<br />

25 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July 5/22 6/05 90 9 1 10 1332 89/15 53<br />

26 Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

27 Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

6/01 6/13 100 10 0 10 768 59/13 54<br />

6/10 8/10 100 10 0 10 904 15/62 54<br />

28 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—October 6/13 6/30 80 8 2 10 838 47/18 55<br />

29 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—August 6/22 6/29 80 8 2 10 674 84/8 55<br />

30 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—September 7/12 7/18 90 9 1 10 486 69/7 56<br />

31 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November 7/19 7/26 100 10 0 10 900 113/8 56<br />

32 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November 7/19 8/06 100 10 0 10 1338 70/19 57<br />

33 Buy Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

34 Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

7/19 8/12 90 9 1 10 846 34/25 57<br />

7/20 8/03 90 9 1 10 792 53/15 58<br />

35 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November 8/10 8/18 100 10 0 10 846 94/9 58<br />

36 Buy Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

8/10 8/20 100 10 0 10 1072 97/11 59<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 41<br />

Pg<br />

No


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Summary<br />

Seasonal<br />

Strategy<br />

40 Buy Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Seasonal & Spread Strategies<br />

Entry<br />

Date<br />

Note: These trade strategies have worked with historical consistency. No representation is being made that they will work this year or in the<br />

future. Please check current market fundamentals and technical conditions before considering these trades. This information is not a<br />

recommendation to buy or sell at this time, but merely a historical presentation of trade strategies. Past results are not necessarily indicative<br />

of future results. No representation is being made that an account will or is likely to achieve profits or incur losses similar to those shown.<br />

Exit<br />

Date<br />

SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING<br />

FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR. EVEN<br />

IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO<br />

REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL<br />

RECUR IN THE FUTURE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR<br />

IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS<br />

SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF<br />

HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL<br />

TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL<br />

TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED<br />

FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

Win<br />

Pct<br />

Win<br />

Years<br />

Loss<br />

Years<br />

Copyright ©1989-2008 Moore Research Center, Inc.<br />

Total<br />

Years<br />

Average<br />

Profit<br />

Ave Pft<br />

Per Day<br />

9/15 10/09 90 9 1 10 686 27/25 61<br />

41 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November 9/19 10/09 90 9 1 10 1294 62/21 61<br />

42 Buy Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

43 Buy Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

9/19 11/19 90 9 1 10 1396 23/62 62<br />

10/04 11/29 90 9 1 10 1490 26/57 62<br />

44 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—February 10/10 11/15 100 10 0 10 970 26/37 63<br />

45 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July 10/16 1/05 100 10 0 10 1030 13/82 63<br />

46 Buy Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

10/29 11/29 90 9 1 10 1344 42/32 64<br />

47 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—December 11/05 11/29 90 9 1 10 1514 61/25 64<br />

48 Buy Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

11/08 12/30 100 10 0 10 912 17/53 65<br />

49 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—January 11/28 12/16 90 9 1 10 810 43/19 65<br />

50 Sell <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—February 11/28 12/24 80 8 2 10 422 16/27 66<br />

51 Buy Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Sell Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

12/03 12/27 80 8 2 10 536 21/25 66<br />

52 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July 12/15 1/05 90 9 1 10 430 20/22 67<br />

53 Buy <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April 12/30 1/17 80 8 2 10 478 25/19 67<br />

For other MRCI products and information: 1-800-927-7259<br />

Website: http://www.mrci.com Email: sales@mrci.com<br />

(541) 484-7256 - Fax: (541) 484-0243<br />

42 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

Pg<br />

No


How to Interpret a Strategy Sheet<br />

nique MRCI strategy sheets present each historically reliable seasonal trade or spread with a table of its relevant<br />

Uhistorical detail. Traders are encouraged to evaluate each strategy individually; some may be more speculative in<br />

nature than others.<br />

To detect a trade, MRCI’s computer system scrutinizes the last several years of historical price data for those<br />

trends recurrent, with a minimum reliability of 80%, during similar time windows. Those strategies are then subjected<br />

to further criteria established for average profit and duration of time window. Once discovered and initially evaluated,<br />

a trading strategy is outlined, its crucial data tabulated, and then presented in the format below for closer analysis<br />

perspective in the third dimension, if you will.<br />

* Exceptions may be made in special reports in which are presented certain strategies that may have commercial<br />

rather than speculative application, for instance, those that duplicate/overlap other strategies or trade a “spot month”<br />

contract.<br />

Reading the Table<br />

For each contract year studied, the table lists entry date and price, exit date and price, and the ultimate profit or<br />

loss. Entry and exit prices are definitively based on the settlement price of the dates listed, as are profit and loss<br />

values. If an optimized trade date fell on a weekend or holiday, entry was considered made on the following trading<br />

day while exit on the prior. (To more accurately reflect historical fact and actual market movement, studies on these<br />

strategy sheets do not utilize the equity protection techniques (STOPS) suggested for real-time trading.) The table<br />

encourages further evaluation by providing peak equity/worst drawdown dates and amounts.<br />

The bottom section of the table calculates the strategy’s historical reliability and overall average results.<br />

Because past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, these strategies are not<br />

recommendations but rather presentations of quantified historical fact. MRCI urges all traders at all times<br />

to employ proper money-management techniques.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 01/02 - Exit on approximately 01/17<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

The <strong>CME</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> (<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong>) contract replaced<br />

the BFP contract in January 2000.<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—May<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 01/03/07 13.85 01/17/07 14.50 0.65 1300.00 01/17/07 1300.00<br />

2006 01/03/06 12.65 01/17/06 12.75 0.10 200.00 01/09/06 500.00<br />

2005 01/03/05 13.59 01/14/05 14.00 0.41 820.00 01/14/05 820.00<br />

2004 01/02/04 11.60 01/16/04 11.85 0.25 500.00 01/16/04 500.00<br />

2003 01/02/03 11.58 01/17/03 11.15 -0.43 -860.00 01/16/03 -1060.00<br />

2002 01/02/02 11.70 01/17/02 12.05 0.35 700.00 01/17/02 700.00<br />

2001 01/02/01 10.07 01/17/01 10.55 0.48 960.00 01/09/01 1260.00<br />

2000 01/03/00 11.08 01/14/00 11.25 0.17 340.00 01/14/00 340.00<br />

1999 01/04/99 12.00 01/15/99 11.91 -0.09 -180.00 01/15/99 -180.00<br />

1998 01/02/98 11.75 01/16/98 12.05 0.30 600.00 01/16/98 600.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.34 677.50 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.26 -520.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.22 438.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 43<br />

How to Interpret a Strategy Sheet


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 02/04 - Exit on approximately 04/03<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 02/05/07 -0.79 04/03/07 0.50 1.31 2620.00 04/03/07 2620.00 02/13/07 -160.00<br />

2006 02/06/06 -0.41 04/03/06 -0.26 0.14 280.00 10/08/03 780.00 03/08/06 -280.00<br />

2005 02/04/05 -0.33 04/01/05 -0.09 0.24 480.00 10/08/01 2200.00 02/11/05 -880.00<br />

2004 02/04/04 -1.12 04/02/04 2.08 3.22 6440.00 03/23/04 8560.00<br />

2003 02/04/03 -1.20 04/03/03 -1.20 0.01 20.00 02/18/03 580.00 04/01/03 -500.00<br />

2002 02/04/02 -1.44 04/03/02 -1.99 -0.55 -1100.00 02/07/02 20.00 03/20/02 -1400.00<br />

2001 02/05/01 -1.50 04/03/01 -1.47 0.04 80.00 02/28/01 1080.00 03/16/01 -100.00<br />

2000 02/04/00 -2.13 04/03/00 -2.08 0.05 100.00 02/18/00 840.00 02/11/00 -260.00<br />

1999 02/04/99 -0.25 04/01/99 -0.13 0.12 240.00 04/01/99 240.00 02/24/99 -1560.00<br />

1998 02/04/98 0.03 04/03/98 0.40 0.36 720.00 04/02/98 740.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.61 1220.00 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.55 -1100.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.49 988.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 02/23 - Exit on approximately 04/06<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 02/23/07 -0.22 04/05/07 -0.02 0.21 420.00 04/03/07 1500.00 02/26/07 -180.00<br />

2006 02/23/06 -0.02 04/06/06 0.04 0.07 140.00 03/29/06 280.00 03/17/06 -360.00<br />

2005 02/23/05 -0.06 04/06/05 0.26 0.34 680.00 10/08/01 2420.00 03/14/05 -640.00<br />

2004 02/23/04 -0.12 04/06/04 1.58 1.71 3420.00 03/23/04 5300.00 03/08/04 -1020.00<br />

2003 02/24/03 -0.85 04/04/03 -0.76 0.09 180.00 03/14/03 360.00 04/01/03 -260.00<br />

2002 02/25/02 -0.81 04/05/02 -1.17 -0.37 -740.00 03/20/02 -1060.00<br />

2001 02/23/01 -0.61 04/06/01 -0.58 0.04 80.00 03/08/01 280.00 03/28/01 -920.00<br />

2000 02/23/00 -0.96 04/06/00 -0.20 0.75 1500.00 03/29/00 1780.00 03/23/00 -780.00<br />

1999 02/23/99 0.04 04/06/99 0.57 0.53 1060.00 04/06/99 1060.00 02/24/99 -200.00<br />

1998 02/23/98 0.21 04/06/98 0.41 0.20 400.00 04/01/98 520.00 03/05/98 -580.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.44 875.56 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.37 -740.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.36 714.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

44 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 02/25 - Exit on approximately 03/26<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 02/26/07 0.06 03/26/07 0.76 0.71 1420.00 03/22/07 1500.00 03/05/07 -600.00<br />

2006 02/27/06 -0.16 03/24/06 -0.13 0.02 40.00 03/08/06 380.00 03/21/06 -280.00<br />

2005 02/25/05 0.34 03/24/05 0.50 0.15 300.00 02/28/05 720.00 03/17/05 -1060.00<br />

2004 02/25/04 0.50 03/26/04 4.30 3.80 7600.00 03/26/04 7600.00 02/26/04 -140.00<br />

2003 02/25/03 0.22 03/26/03 0.31 0.09 180.00 03/04/03 420.00<br />

2002 02/25/02 0.33 03/26/02 0.18 -0.14 -280.00 03/31/02 660.00 03/21/02 -360.00<br />

2001 02/26/01 -0.20 03/26/01 0.34 0.56 1120.00 03/23/01 1180.00 03/31/01 -220.00<br />

2000 02/25/00 0.05 03/24/00 0.05 0.01 20.00 03/02/00 500.00<br />

1999 02/25/99 -0.33 03/26/99 -0.12 0.21 420.00 03/23/99 480.00 03/03/99 -220.00<br />

1998 02/25/98 -0.67 03/20/98 -0.66 0.02 40.00 03/31/98 800.00 03/13/98 -120.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.62 1237.78 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.14 -280.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.54 1086.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 02/26 - Exit on approximately 03/05<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 02/26/07 14.56 03/05/07 14.40 0.16 320.00 03/30/07 720.00<br />

2006 02/27/06 10.93 03/03/06 10.90 0.03 60.00 03/03/06 60.00 03/30/06 -480.00<br />

2005 02/28/05 15.74 03/04/05 14.21 1.53 3060.00 03/03/05 3180.00<br />

2004 02/26/04 13.88 03/05/04 14.67 -0.79 -1580.00 03/05/04 -1580.00<br />

2003 02/26/03 9.55 03/05/03 9.54 0.01 20.00 02/28/03 260.00<br />

2002 02/26/02 11.21 03/05/02 11.00 0.21 420.00 03/05/02 420.00<br />

2001 02/26/01 11.16 03/05/01 11.15 0.01 20.00 03/02/01 220.00<br />

2000 02/28/00 9.99 03/03/00 9.91 0.08 160.00 03/03/00 160.00 03/01/00 -320.00<br />

1999 02/26/99 11.35 03/05/99 10.90 0.45 900.00 03/03/99 1080.00<br />

1998 02/26/98 12.24 03/05/98 11.85 0.39 780.00 03/04/98 780.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.32 637.78 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.79 -1580.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.21 416.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 45<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 03/07 - Exit on approximately 04/07<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 03/07/07 14.60 04/05/07 15.87 1.27 2540.00 04/05/07 2540.00<br />

2006 03/07/06 10.90 04/07/06 10.92 0.02 40.00 03/08/06 600.00 03/21/06 -100.00<br />

2005 03/07/05 14.05 04/07/05 14.51 0.46 920.00 03/30/05 1320.00 03/17/05 -300.00<br />

2004 03/08/04 14.63 04/07/04 19.39 4.76 9520.00 04/07/04 9520.00<br />

2003 03/07/03 9.45 04/07/03 9.50 0.05 100.00 03/11/03 100.00 03/31/03 -300.00<br />

2002 03/07/02 11.19 04/05/02 10.92 -0.27 -540.00 03/08/02 140.00 03/21/02 -880.00<br />

2001 03/07/01 11.00 04/06/01 11.87 0.87 1740.00 03/30/01 2100.00<br />

2000 03/07/00 9.95 04/07/00 9.56 -0.39 -780.00 03/08/00 100.00 04/07/00 -780.00<br />

1999 03/08/99 10.95 04/07/99 11.48 0.53 1060.00 04/07/99 1060.00<br />

1998 03/09/98 12.03 04/07/98 12.24 0.21 420.00 04/06/98 480.00 03/11/98 -260.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 1.02 2042.50 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.33 -660.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.75 1502.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 03/10 - Exit on approximately 05/07<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 03/12/07 0.03 05/07/07 -0.70 -0.73 -1460.00 04/05/07 300.00 05/02/07 -2800.00<br />

2006 03/10/06 -0.08 05/05/06 -0.08 0.01 20.00 04/10/06 280.00 03/17/06 -220.00<br />

2005 03/10/05 -0.08 05/06/05 0.24 0.33 660.00 03/30/05 880.00 04/11/05 -20.00<br />

2004 03/10/04 0.12 05/07/04 3.12 3.00 6000.00 05/06/04 6960.00<br />

2003 03/10/03 -0.48 05/07/03 -0.42 0.05 100.00 04/10/03 380.00 03/24/03 -420.00<br />

2002 03/11/02 -0.62 05/07/02 -0.29 0.34 680.00 05/07/02 680.00 03/26/02 -580.00<br />

2001 03/12/01 -0.53 05/07/01 -0.52 0.01 20.00 04/30/01 1040.00 03/28/01 -880.00<br />

2000 03/10/00 -0.79 05/05/00 0.08 0.87 1740.00 03/29/00 2120.00 03/27/00 -420.00<br />

1999 03/10/99 -0.16 05/07/99 0.38 0.54 1080.00 05/07/99 1080.00<br />

1998 03/10/98 0.00 05/07/98 0.08 0.10 200.00 04/28/98 280.00 03/24/98 -60.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.58 1166.67 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.73 -1460.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.45 904.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

46 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 03/17 - Exit on approximately 06/13<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—August<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 03/19/07 16.08 06/13/07 20.83 4.75 9500.00 06/13/07 9500.00 04/03/07 -980.00<br />

2006 03/17/06 12.07 06/13/06 12.35 0.28 560.00 05/30/06 960.00 05/08/06 -1240.00<br />

2005 03/17/05 14.53 06/13/05 14.64 0.11 220.00 03/22/05 740.00 05/23/05 -1340.00<br />

2004 03/17/04 15.15 06/10/04 16.21 1.06 2120.00 04/13/04 4000.00 05/21/04 -2060.00<br />

2003 03/17/03 10.76 06/13/03 11.89 1.13 2260.00 06/13/03 2260.00 03/18/03 -120.00<br />

2002 03/18/02 13.05 06/13/02 11.40 -1.65 -3300.00 04/04/02 700.00 06/12/02 -3320.00<br />

2001 03/19/01 12.77 06/13/01 14.70 1.93 3860.00 05/31/01 5760.00<br />

2000 03/17/00 12.20 06/13/00 12.40 0.20 400.00 05/05/00 740.00 04/19/00 -500.00<br />

1999 03/17/99 12.36 06/11/99 13.75 1.39 2780.00 06/10/99 2880.00 04/05/99 -420.00<br />

1998 03/17/98 12.45 06/12/98 13.67 1.22 2440.00 06/10/98 3060.00 04/29/98 -1300.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 1.34 2682.22 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -1.65 -3300.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 1.04 2084.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 03/17 - Exit on approximately 06/13<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 03/19/07 0.91 06/13/07 2.89 1.97 3940.00 06/13/07 3940.00 04/04/07 -380.00<br />

2006 03/17/06 0.15 06/13/06 0.34 0.20 400.00 06/12/06 520.00 03/22/06 -260.00<br />

2005 03/17/05 1.33 06/13/05 1.47 0.14 280.00 03/28/05 680.00 05/19/05 -840.00<br />

2004 03/17/04 2.73 06/10/04 3.66 0.94 1880.00 03/31/04 2080.00 05/20/04 -1180.00<br />

2003 03/17/03 0.12 06/13/03 0.43 0.32 640.00 05/01/03 1220.00 04/04/03 -320.00<br />

2002 03/18/02 1.08 06/13/02 0.69 -0.39 -780.00 04/30/02 280.00 06/04/02 -1140.00<br />

2001 03/19/01 1.00 06/13/01 2.70 1.70 3400.00 06/13/01 3400.00 03/20/01 -100.00<br />

2000 03/17/00 0.70 06/13/00 0.83 0.13 260.00 04/24/00 740.00 06/09/00 -300.00<br />

1999 03/17/99 0.07 06/11/99 0.90 0.83 1660.00 06/10/99 1660.00 04/06/99 -240.00<br />

1998 03/17/98 0.16 06/12/98 0.89 0.72 1440.00 05/26/98 2780.00 04/14/98 -460.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.77 1544.44 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.39 -780.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.66 1312.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 47<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 03/18 - Exit on approximately 04/09<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 03/19/07 15.62 04/09/07 15.97 0.35 700.00 04/09/07 700.00 03/27/07 -40.00<br />

2006 03/20/06 10.88 04/07/06 10.92 0.04 80.00 04/03/06 260.00 03/21/06 -60.00<br />

2005 03/18/05 14.01 04/08/05 14.54 0.53 1060.00 03/30/05 1400.00 03/21/05 -40.00<br />

2004 03/18/04 17.74 04/08/04 19.36 1.62 3240.00 04/07/04 3300.00<br />

2003 03/18/03 9.38 04/09/03 9.45 0.07 140.00 04/07/03 240.00 03/31/03 -160.00<br />

2002 03/18/02 10.82 04/09/02 10.90 0.08 160.00 03/27/02 260.00 03/21/02 -140.00<br />

2001 03/19/01 11.38 04/09/01 11.88 0.50 1000.00 03/30/01 1340.00<br />

2000 03/20/00 9.60 04/07/00 9.56 -0.04 -80.00 03/30/00 60.00 04/07/00 -80.00<br />

1999 03/18/99 11.06 04/09/99 11.55 0.49 980.00 04/09/99 980.00<br />

1998 03/18/98 12.17 04/09/98 12.20 0.03 60.00 04/06/98 200.00 03/27/98 -340.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.41 824.44 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.04 -80.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.37 734.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 03/20 - Exit on approximately 04/28<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 03/20/07 0.00 04/27/07 -0.60 -0.61 -1220.00 04/05/07 360.00 04/27/07 -1220.00<br />

2006 03/20/06 -0.16 04/28/06 -0.06 0.11 220.00 04/10/06 440.00 03/21/06 -60.00<br />

2005 03/21/05 -0.06 04/28/05 0.23 0.30 600.00 03/30/05 820.00 04/11/05 -80.00<br />

2004 03/22/04 1.15 04/28/04 3.32 2.17 4340.00 04/28/04 4340.00 03/26/04 -600.00<br />

2003 03/20/03 -0.51 04/28/03 -0.50 0.01 20.00 04/10/03 460.00 03/24/03 -340.00<br />

2002 03/20/02 -0.79 04/26/02 -0.57 0.23 460.00 04/26/02 460.00 03/26/02 -240.00<br />

2001 03/20/01 -0.91 04/27/01 -0.40 0.52 1040.00 04/23/01 1340.00 03/28/01 -120.00<br />

2000 03/20/00 -0.94 04/28/00 -0.03 0.91 1820.00 03/29/00 2440.00 03/27/00 -100.00<br />

1999 03/22/99 0.02 04/28/99 0.23 0.20 400.00 04/23/99 480.00 03/23/99 -360.00<br />

1998 03/20/98 0.06 04/28/98 0.13 0.07 140.00 04/28/98 140.00 03/24/98 -200.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.50 1004.44 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.61 -1220.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.39 782.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

48 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 03/21 - Exit on approximately 04/05<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 03/21/07 15.62 04/05/07 15.87 0.25 500.00 04/05/07 500.00 03/27/07 -40.00<br />

2006 03/21/06 10.85 04/05/06 10.95 0.10 200.00 04/03/06 320.00<br />

2005 03/21/05 13.99 04/05/05 14.54 0.55 1100.00 03/30/05 1440.00<br />

2004 03/22/04 17.92 04/05/04 19.04 1.12 2240.00 04/02/04 2240.00<br />

2003 03/21/03 9.40 04/04/03 9.46 0.06 120.00 04/04/03 120.00 03/31/03 -200.00<br />

2002 03/21/02 10.75 04/05/02 10.92 0.17 340.00 03/27/02 400.00<br />

2001 03/21/01 11.47 04/05/01 11.82 0.35 700.00 03/30/01 1160.00<br />

2000 03/21/00 9.60 04/05/00 9.62 0.02 40.00 03/30/00 60.00<br />

1999 03/22/99 11.22 04/05/99 11.38 0.16 320.00 04/05/99 320.00 03/25/99 -120.00<br />

1998 03/23/98 12.20 04/03/98 12.26 0.06 120.00 04/03/98 120.00 03/27/98 -400.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.28 568.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.28 568.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 03/25 - Exit on approximately 04/28<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 03/26/07 0.01 04/27/07 -0.60 -0.63 -1260.00 04/05/07 320.00 04/27/07 -1260.00<br />

2006 03/27/06 -0.12 04/28/06 -0.06 0.07 140.00 04/10/06 360.00 03/28/06 -20.00<br />

2005 03/28/05 0.20 04/28/05 0.23 0.04 80.00 03/30/05 300.00 04/11/05 -600.00<br />

2004 03/25/04 0.92 04/28/04 3.32 2.40 4800.00 04/28/04 4800.00 03/26/04 -140.00<br />

2003 03/25/03 -0.62 04/28/03 -0.50 0.12 240.00 04/10/03 680.00<br />

2002 03/25/02 -0.83 04/26/02 -0.57 0.26 520.00 04/26/02 520.00 03/26/02 -180.00<br />

2001 03/26/01 -0.90 04/27/01 -0.40 0.50 1000.00 04/23/01 1300.00 03/28/01 -160.00<br />

2000 03/27/00 -1.00 04/28/00 -0.03 0.96 1920.00 03/29/00 2540.00<br />

1999 03/25/99 -0.03 04/28/99 0.23 0.27 540.00 04/23/99 620.00<br />

1998 03/25/98 0.00 04/28/98 0.13 0.14 280.00 04/28/98 280.00 03/27/98 -40.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.53 1057.78 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.63 -1260.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.41 826.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 49<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 04/15 - Exit on approximately 04/28<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 04/16/07 0.20 04/27/07 0.16 -0.05 -100.00 04/19/07 680.00 04/27/07 -100.00<br />

2006 04/17/06 0.91 04/28/06 0.98 0.07 140.00 04/20/06 200.00 04/25/06 -20.00<br />

2005 04/15/05 0.61 04/28/05 1.04 0.44 880.00 04/27/05 920.00 04/18/05 -100.00<br />

2004 04/15/04 -2.59 04/28/04 -1.28 1.32 2640.00 04/28/04 2640.00<br />

2003 04/15/03 1.58 04/28/03 1.75 0.18 360.00 04/23/03 420.00<br />

2002 04/15/02 1.48 04/26/02 1.53 0.06 120.00 04/26/02 120.00 04/23/02 -140.00<br />

2001 04/16/01 0.72 04/27/01 0.08 -0.64 -1280.00 04/17/01 20.00 04/27/01 -1280.00<br />

2000 04/17/00 2.52 04/28/00 2.61 0.08 160.00 04/24/00 420.00 04/19/00 -180.00<br />

1999 04/15/99 1.41 04/28/99 1.63 0.22 440.00 04/26/99 560.00 04/16/99 -80.00<br />

1998 04/15/98 0.82 04/28/98 1.68 0.87 1740.00 04/28/98 1740.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.40 810.00 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.34 -690.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.26 510.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 04/26 - Exit on approximately 06/13<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—September<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 04/26/07 17.95 06/13/07 20.60 2.65 5300.00 06/13/07 5300.00<br />

2006 04/26/06 12.00 06/13/06 12.79 0.79 1580.00 06/13/06 1580.00 05/08/06 -400.00<br />

2005 04/26/05 14.32 06/13/05 14.75 0.43 860.00 06/06/05 1020.00 05/19/05 -620.00<br />

2004 04/26/04 14.95 06/10/04 15.78 0.83 1660.00 06/09/04 1680.00 05/26/04 -1680.00<br />

2003 04/28/03 11.98 06/13/03 12.52 0.54 1080.00 06/13/03 1080.00 05/14/03 -700.00<br />

2002 04/26/02 13.17 06/13/02 12.10 -1.07 -2140.00 05/01/02 60.00 06/12/02 -2200.00<br />

2001 04/26/01 14.06 06/13/01 14.65 0.59 1180.00 05/31/01 3180.00 06/12/01 -580.00<br />

2000 04/26/00 12.24 06/13/00 12.66 0.42 840.00 05/05/00 1000.00<br />

1999 04/26/99 12.60 06/11/99 14.00 1.40 2800.00 06/10/99 2800.00<br />

1998 04/27/98 12.51 06/12/98 13.49 0.98 1960.00 05/26/98 3980.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.96 1917.78 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -1.07 -2140.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.76 1512.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

50 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 05/04 - Exit on approximately 05/16<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/04/07 -0.42 05/16/07 -0.33 0.10 200.00 05/08/07 460.00 05/14/07 -320.00<br />

2006 05/04/06 0.57 05/16/06 0.63 0.06 120.00 05/11/06 320.00<br />

2005 05/04/05 -0.16 05/16/05 -0.46 -0.30 -600.00 05/11/05 600.00 05/16/05 -600.00<br />

2004 05/04/04 -1.59 05/14/04 -0.21 1.38 2760.00 05/14/04 2760.00<br />

2003 05/05/03 1.04 05/16/03 1.12 0.08 160.00 05/14/03 240.00 05/09/03 -680.00<br />

2002 05/06/02 0.41 05/16/02 1.15 0.74 1480.00 05/16/02 1480.00<br />

2001 05/04/01 -0.75 05/16/01 -0.72 0.04 80.00 05/10/01 120.00<br />

2000 05/04/00 0.76 05/16/00 1.07 0.30 600.00 05/16/00 600.00 05/08/00 -440.00<br />

1999 05/04/99 1.37 05/14/99 1.54 0.18 360.00 05/11/99 400.00<br />

1998 05/04/98 1.48 05/15/98 1.52 0.04 80.00 05/15/98 80.00 05/14/98 -420.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.32 648.89 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.30 -600.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.26 524.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 05/15 - Exit on approximately 06/09<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/15/07 0.32 06/08/07 1.33 1.01 2020.00 06/04/07 2760.00 05/16/07 -80.00<br />

2006 05/15/06 -0.43 06/09/06 -0.37 0.05 100.00 05/30/06 660.00 05/18/06 -100.00<br />

2005 05/16/05 0.51 06/09/05 0.54 0.02 40.00 06/06/05 600.00 05/23/05 -620.00<br />

2004 05/17/04 0.50 06/09/04 1.88 1.39 2780.00 06/09/04 2780.00 05/21/04 -660.00<br />

2003 05/15/03 -0.66 06/09/03 -0.64 0.03 60.00 05/20/03 220.00 05/27/03 -300.00<br />

2002 05/15/02 -0.21 06/07/02 -0.14 0.07 140.00 06/03/02 460.00 05/21/02 -160.00<br />

2001 05/15/01 0.72 06/08/01 1.00 0.27 540.00 05/30/01 840.00 05/18/01 -120.00<br />

2000 05/15/00 -0.40 06/09/00 -0.39 0.01 20.00 05/17/00 360.00 06/06/00 -200.00<br />

1999 05/17/99 -0.58 06/09/99 -0.29 0.30 600.00 05/25/99 980.00<br />

1998 05/15/98 -0.83 06/09/98 0.59 1.43 2860.00 06/09/98 2860.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.46 916.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.46 916.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 51<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 05/20 - Exit on approximately 06/13<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/21/07 1.41 06/13/07 2.89 1.47 2940.00 06/13/07 2940.00<br />

2006 05/22/06 0.19 06/13/06 0.34 0.16 320.00 06/12/06 440.00 05/23/06 -20.00<br />

2005 05/20/05 0.94 06/13/05 1.47 0.52 1040.00 06/06/05 1240.00 05/23/05 -20.00<br />

2004 05/20/04 2.14 06/10/04 3.66 1.53 3060.00 06/10/04 3060.00<br />

2003 05/20/03 0.09 06/13/03 0.43 0.34 680.00 06/13/03 680.00 05/30/03 -100.00<br />

2002 05/20/02 0.99 06/13/02 0.69 -0.29 -580.00 06/04/02 -940.00<br />

2001 05/21/01 1.80 06/13/01 2.70 0.90 1800.00 06/13/01 1800.00 05/22/01 -100.00<br />

2000 05/22/00 0.69 06/13/00 0.83 0.13 260.00 06/13/00 260.00 06/09/00 -300.00<br />

1999 05/20/99 0.30 06/11/99 0.90 0.60 1200.00 06/10/99 1200.00<br />

1998 05/20/98 0.14 06/12/98 0.89 0.75 1500.00 05/26/98 2840.00 05/22/98 -20.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.71 1422.22 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.29 -580.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.61 1222.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 05/20 - Exit on approximately 06/19<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/21/07 -0.23 06/19/07 1.69 1.93 3860.00 06/19/07 3860.00 05/22/07 -280.00<br />

2006 05/22/06 0.35 06/19/06 0.10 -0.25 -500.00 05/30/06 680.00 06/19/06 -500.00<br />

2005 05/20/05 -0.08 06/17/05 -0.07 0.02 40.00 06/06/05 1080.00<br />

2004 05/20/04 -2.11 06/18/04 -1.39 0.71 1420.00 06/08/04 2040.00 06/03/04 -460.00<br />

2003 05/20/03 0.94 06/19/03 1.34 0.40 800.00 06/19/03 800.00 06/02/03 -520.00<br />

2002 05/20/02 0.69 06/19/02 -0.06 -0.76 -1520.00 05/23/02 40.00 06/19/02 -1520.00<br />

2001 05/21/01 0.06 06/19/01 0.07 0.01 20.00 05/30/01 1080.00 06/12/01 -2100.00<br />

2000 05/22/00 1.83 06/19/00 1.84 0.02 40.00 06/02/00 320.00 06/08/00 -500.00<br />

1999 05/20/99 0.61 06/18/99 2.08 1.46 2920.00 06/16/99 3160.00<br />

1998 05/20/98 0.13 06/19/98 0.96 0.83 1660.00 06/19/98 1660.00 05/26/98 -260.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.67 1345.00 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.51 -1010.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.44 874.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

52 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 05/21 - Exit on approximately 05/28<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/21/07 0.74 05/25/07 1.60 0.86 1720.00 05/24/07 1820.00<br />

2006 05/22/06 -0.64 05/26/06 -0.50 0.13 260.00 05/26/06 260.00<br />

2005 05/23/05 -0.15 05/27/05 0.27 0.43 860.00 05/27/05 860.00<br />

2004 05/21/04 0.16 05/28/04 0.79 0.64 1280.00 05/28/04 1280.00<br />

2003 05/21/03 -1.21 05/28/03 -1.20 0.01 20.00 05/28/03 20.00 05/22/03 -80.00<br />

2002 05/21/02 -1.00 05/28/02 -0.83 0.17 340.00 05/28/02 340.00<br />

2001 05/21/01 0.74 05/25/01 1.00 0.26 520.00 05/25/01 520.00 05/22/01 -100.00<br />

2000 05/22/00 -1.08 05/26/00 -1.06 0.01 20.00 05/25/00 80.00 05/24/00 -40.00<br />

1999 05/21/99 -1.09 05/28/99 -0.37 0.72 1440.00 05/28/99 1440.00<br />

1998 05/21/98 -1.16 05/28/98 -0.91 0.26 520.00 05/28/98 520.00 05/26/98 -880.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.35 698.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.35 698.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 05/21 - Exit on approximately 05/29<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/21/07 18.64 05/29/07 19.64 1.00 2000.00 05/24/07 2020.00<br />

2006 05/22/06 11.50 05/26/06 11.99 0.49 980.00 05/26/06 980.00<br />

2005 05/23/05 13.50 05/27/05 14.08 0.58 1160.00 05/27/05 1160.00<br />

2004 05/21/04 14.11 05/28/04 14.60 0.49 980.00 05/25/04 1480.00<br />

2003 05/21/03 10.70 05/29/03 10.75 0.05 100.00 05/27/03 120.00 05/22/03 -80.00<br />

2002 05/21/02 11.32 05/29/02 11.07 -0.25 -500.00 05/23/02 100.00 05/29/02 -500.00<br />

2001 05/21/01 14.50 05/29/01 15.35 0.85 1700.00 05/29/01 1700.00 05/22/01 -200.00<br />

2000 05/22/00 11.42 05/26/00 11.47 0.05 100.00 05/23/00 160.00<br />

1999 05/21/99 12.10 05/28/99 13.05 0.95 1900.00 05/28/99 1900.00<br />

1998 05/21/98 11.92 05/29/98 12.75 0.83 1660.00 05/29/98 1660.00 05/26/98 -40.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.59 1175.56 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.25 -500.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.50 1008.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 53<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 05/21 - Exit on approximately 06/04<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/21/07 0.74 06/04/07 2.69 1.96 3920.00 06/04/07 3920.00<br />

2006 05/22/06 -0.64 06/02/06 -0.62 0.02 40.00 05/30/06 280.00<br />

2005 05/23/05 -0.15 06/03/05 0.37 0.52 1040.00 06/03/05 1040.00<br />

2004 05/21/04 0.16 06/04/04 1.23 1.07 2140.00 06/04/04 2140.00<br />

2003 05/21/03 -1.21 06/04/03 -1.54 -0.34 -680.00 05/28/03 20.00 06/02/03 -780.00<br />

2002 05/21/02 -1.00 06/04/02 -0.86 0.13 260.00 05/30/02 700.00<br />

2001 05/21/01 0.74 06/04/01 0.84 0.11 220.00 05/30/01 820.00 05/22/01 -100.00<br />

2000 05/22/00 -1.08 06/02/00 -0.73 0.34 680.00 06/02/00 680.00 05/24/00 -40.00<br />

1999 05/21/99 -1.09 06/04/99 -0.85 0.25 500.00 05/28/99 1440.00<br />

1998 05/21/98 -1.16 06/04/98 0.22 1.39 2780.00 06/04/98 2780.00 05/26/98 -880.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.64 1286.67 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.34 -680.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.55 1090.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 05/21 - Exit on approximately 06/13<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/21/07 18.64 06/13/07 21.55 2.91 5820.00 06/13/07 5820.00<br />

2006 05/22/06 11.50 06/13/06 11.70 0.20 400.00 05/30/06 1300.00<br />

2005 05/23/05 13.50 06/13/05 14.00 0.50 1000.00 06/06/05 1800.00<br />

2004 05/21/04 14.11 06/10/04 16.30 2.19 4380.00 06/09/04 4700.00<br />

2003 05/21/03 10.70 06/13/03 10.86 0.16 320.00 06/13/03 320.00 06/02/03 -400.00<br />

2002 05/21/02 11.32 06/13/02 10.43 -0.89 -1780.00 05/23/02 100.00 06/12/02 -1940.00<br />

2001 05/21/01 14.50 06/13/01 14.70 0.20 400.00 05/31/01 2300.00 06/12/01 -1380.00<br />

2000 05/22/00 11.42 06/13/00 11.60 0.18 360.00 06/02/00 580.00 06/08/00 -220.00<br />

1999 05/21/99 12.10 06/11/99 13.40 1.30 2600.00 06/10/99 2800.00<br />

1998 05/21/98 11.92 06/12/98 13.72 1.80 3600.00 06/05/98 4080.00 05/26/98 -40.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 1.05 2097.78 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.89 -1780.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.86 1710.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

54 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 05/22 - Exit on approximately 05/30<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—June<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/22/07 19.08 05/30/07 19.96 0.88 1760.00 05/30/07 1760.00<br />

2006 05/22/06 11.14 05/30/06 11.45 0.31 620.00 05/26/06 620.00<br />

2005 05/23/05 13.55 05/27/05 13.76 0.21 420.00 05/27/05 420.00<br />

2004 05/24/04 16.61 05/28/04 16.77 0.16 320.00 05/25/04 340.00 05/27/04 -580.00<br />

2003 05/22/03 9.81 05/30/03 9.82 0.01 20.00 05/27/03 180.00<br />

2002 05/22/02 10.67 05/30/02 10.55 -0.12 -240.00 05/29/02 -340.00<br />

2001 05/22/01 14.40 05/30/01 15.00 0.60 1200.00 05/30/01 1200.00<br />

2000 05/22/00 9.59 05/30/00 9.61 0.02 40.00 05/26/00 80.00<br />

1999 05/24/99 11.49 05/28/99 12.10 0.61 1220.00 05/28/99 1220.00<br />

1998 05/22/98 11.81 05/29/98 12.61 0.80 1600.00 05/29/98 1600.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.40 800.00 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.12 -240.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.35 696.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 05/22 - Exit on approximately 06/05<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 05/22/07 18.71 06/05/07 20.89 2.18 4360.00 06/04/07 4980.00<br />

2006 05/22/06 11.50 06/05/06 11.91 0.41 820.00 05/30/06 1300.00<br />

2005 05/23/05 13.50 06/03/05 14.30 0.80 1600.00 06/03/05 1600.00<br />

2004 05/24/04 14.83 06/04/04 14.98 0.15 300.00 06/04/04 300.00 05/26/04 -960.00<br />

2003 05/22/03 10.66 06/05/03 10.70 0.04 80.00 05/27/03 200.00 06/02/03 -320.00<br />

2002 05/22/02 11.33 06/05/02 10.90 -0.43 -860.00 05/23/02 80.00 06/05/02 -860.00<br />

2001 05/22/01 14.40 06/05/01 15.61 1.21 2420.00 05/31/01 2500.00<br />

2000 05/22/00 11.42 06/05/00 11.53 0.11 220.00 06/02/00 580.00<br />

1999 05/24/99 12.27 06/04/99 12.45 0.18 360.00 05/28/99 1560.00<br />

1998 05/22/98 11.95 06/05/98 13.96 2.01 4020.00 06/05/98 4020.00 05/26/98 -100.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.79 1575.56 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.43 -860.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.67 1332.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 55<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 06/01 - Exit on approximately 06/13<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 06/01/07 1.84 06/13/07 2.89 1.04 2080.00 06/13/07 2080.00<br />

2006 06/01/06 0.19 06/13/06 0.34 0.15 300.00 06/12/06 420.00<br />

2005 06/01/05 1.45 06/13/05 1.47 0.02 40.00 06/06/05 240.00 06/10/05 -500.00<br />

2004 06/01/04 2.23 06/10/04 3.66 1.44 2880.00 06/10/04 2880.00<br />

2003 06/02/03 0.16 06/13/03 0.43 0.27 540.00 06/13/03 540.00 06/04/03 -20.00<br />

2002 06/03/02 0.55 06/13/02 0.69 0.15 300.00 06/11/02 320.00 06/04/02 -60.00<br />

2001 06/01/01 2.52 06/13/01 2.70 0.17 340.00 06/13/01 340.00 06/12/01 -1140.00<br />

2000 06/01/00 0.66 06/13/00 0.83 0.16 320.00 06/13/00 320.00 06/09/00 -240.00<br />

1999 06/01/99 0.74 06/11/99 0.90 0.16 320.00 06/10/99 320.00 06/03/99 -480.00<br />

1998 06/01/98 0.60 06/12/98 0.89 0.28 560.00 06/03/98 920.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.38 768.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.38 768.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 06/10 - Exit on approximately 08/10<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 06/11/07 -0.37 08/10/07 -0.14 0.22 440.00 07/06/07 840.00 07/20/07 -1860.00<br />

2006 06/12/06 0.50 08/10/06 0.82 0.31 620.00 07/31/06 1540.00 06/16/06 -220.00<br />

2005 06/10/05 0.13 08/10/05 0.45 0.32 640.00 08/05/05 1560.00 06/28/05 -300.00<br />

2004 06/10/04 -0.43 08/10/04 0.55 0.99 1980.00 08/02/04 4360.00 06/15/04 -500.00<br />

2003 06/10/03 0.61 08/08/03 0.79 0.18 360.00 08/08/03 360.00 07/16/03 -920.00<br />

2002 06/10/02 0.57 08/09/02 1.05 0.48 960.00 07/31/02 2160.00<br />

2001 06/11/01 0.00 08/10/01 0.25 0.24 480.00 08/10/01 480.00 08/08/01 -1020.00<br />

2000 06/12/00 0.33 08/10/00 0.76 0.43 860.00 07/13/00 1240.00 07/31/00 -560.00<br />

1999 06/10/99 0.19 08/10/99 1.45 1.26 2520.00 08/10/99 2520.00 07/02/99 -560.00<br />

1998 06/10/98 -0.49 08/10/98 -0.40 0.09 180.00 07/27/98 1000.00 07/09/98 -80.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.45 904.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.45 904.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

56 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 06/13 - Exit on approximately 06/30<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—October<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 06/13/07 19.57 06/29/07 17.60 1.97 3940.00 06/29/07 3940.00 06/25/07 -760.00<br />

2006 06/13/06 12.80 06/30/06 12.20 0.60 1200.00 06/30/06 1200.00<br />

2005 06/13/05 14.08 06/30/05 14.00 0.08 160.00 06/17/05 460.00 06/27/05 -60.00<br />

2004 06/14/04 14.35 06/30/04 13.40 0.95 1900.00 06/25/04 3080.00<br />

2003 06/13/03 12.49 06/30/03 12.83 -0.34 -680.00 06/19/03 -1040.00<br />

2002 06/13/02 11.68 06/28/02 11.60 0.08 160.00 06/21/02 1360.00<br />

2001 06/13/01 13.64 06/29/01 13.35 0.29 580.00 06/18/01 1720.00 06/21/01 -620.00<br />

2000 06/13/00 12.70 06/30/00 12.66 0.04 80.00 06/14/00 620.00<br />

1999 06/14/99 14.15 06/30/99 13.53 0.62 1240.00 06/30/99 1240.00 06/18/99 -500.00<br />

1998 06/15/98 13.15 06/30/98 13.25 -0.10 -200.00 06/16/98 80.00 06/24/98 -220.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.58 1157.50 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.22 -440.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.42 838.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 06/22 - Exit on approximately 06/29<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—August<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 06/22/07 21.04 06/29/07 18.88 2.16 4320.00 06/29/07 4320.00 06/25/07 -720.00<br />

2006 06/22/06 11.67 06/29/06 11.61 0.06 120.00 06/29/06 120.00 06/23/06 -140.00<br />

2005 06/22/05 14.90 06/29/05 14.77 0.13 260.00 06/23/05 560.00 06/27/05 -300.00<br />

2004 06/22/04 15.05 06/29/04 14.20 0.85 1700.00 06/25/04 3900.00<br />

2003 06/23/03 11.90 06/27/03 12.32 -0.42 -840.00 06/27/03 -840.00<br />

2002 06/24/02 10.65 06/28/02 10.53 0.12 240.00 06/27/02 380.00 06/26/02 -320.00<br />

2001 06/22/01 14.84 06/29/01 14.43 0.41 820.00 06/27/01 880.00<br />

2000 06/22/00 12.19 06/29/00 12.10 0.09 180.00 06/28/00 180.00<br />

1999 06/22/99 13.92 06/29/99 13.79 0.13 260.00 06/29/99 260.00 06/24/99 -180.00<br />

1998 06/22/98 13.53 06/29/98 13.69 -0.16 -320.00 06/26/98 -320.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.49 987.50 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.29 -580.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.34 674.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 57<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 07/12 - Exit on approximately 07/18<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—September<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 07/12/07 18.93 07/18/07 18.30 0.63 1260.00 07/18/07 1260.00<br />

2006 07/12/06 11.94 07/18/06 11.92 0.02 40.00 07/14/06 220.00<br />

2005 07/12/05 15.08 07/18/05 14.75 0.33 660.00 07/18/05 660.00 07/14/05 -120.00<br />

2004 07/12/04 14.65 07/16/04 14.55 0.10 200.00 07/16/04 200.00 07/14/04 -1500.00<br />

2003 07/14/03 13.64 07/18/03 13.33 0.31 620.00 07/16/03 860.00<br />

2002 07/12/02 11.95 07/18/02 11.63 0.32 640.00 07/18/02 640.00<br />

2001 07/12/01 14.90 07/18/01 14.80 0.10 200.00 07/16/01 300.00<br />

2000 07/12/00 12.35 07/18/00 11.50 0.85 1700.00 07/18/00 1700.00<br />

1999 07/12/99 14.70 07/16/99 14.53 0.17 340.00 07/15/99 740.00<br />

1998 07/13/98 13.89 07/17/98 14.29 -0.40 -800.00 07/16/98 -1180.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.31 628.89 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.40 -800.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.24 486.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 07/19 - Exit on approximately 07/26<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 07/19/07 16.45 07/26/07 17.02 0.57 1140.00 07/25/07 1540.00<br />

2006 07/19/06 12.20 07/26/06 12.60 0.40 800.00 07/26/06 800.00<br />

2005 07/19/05 13.38 07/26/05 13.88 0.50 1000.00 07/25/05 1200.00<br />

2004 07/19/04 12.91 07/26/04 13.09 0.18 360.00 07/26/04 360.00 07/23/04 -20.00<br />

2003 07/21/03 12.70 07/25/03 12.74 0.04 80.00 07/25/03 80.00<br />

2002 07/19/02 11.55 07/26/02 11.69 0.14 280.00 07/26/02 280.00 07/24/02 -600.00<br />

2001 07/19/01 13.07 07/26/01 13.75 0.68 1360.00 07/26/01 1360.00<br />

2000 07/19/00 11.00 07/26/00 11.06 0.06 120.00 07/24/00 800.00<br />

1999 07/19/99 13.45 07/26/99 15.00 1.55 3100.00 07/26/99 3100.00<br />

1998 07/20/98 12.47 07/24/98 12.85 0.38 760.00 07/24/98 760.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.45 900.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.45 900.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

58 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 07/19 - Exit on approximately 08/06<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 07/19/07 16.45 08/06/07 17.85 1.40 2800.00 08/06/07 2800.00<br />

2006 07/19/06 12.20 08/04/06 12.64 0.44 880.00 07/28/06 1200.00<br />

2005 07/19/05 13.38 08/05/05 13.50 0.12 240.00 07/25/05 1200.00<br />

2004 07/19/04 12.91 08/06/04 13.10 0.19 380.00 08/02/04 1080.00 07/23/04 -20.00<br />

2003 07/21/03 12.70 08/06/03 12.94 0.24 480.00 08/01/03 480.00 07/29/03 -60.00<br />

2002 07/19/02 11.55 08/06/02 11.61 0.06 120.00 07/31/02 540.00 07/24/02 -600.00<br />

2001 07/19/01 13.07 08/06/01 13.50 0.43 860.00 08/01/01 1460.00<br />

2000 07/19/00 11.00 08/04/00 11.08 0.08 160.00 07/24/00 800.00 08/03/00 -580.00<br />

1999 07/19/99 13.45 08/06/99 16.40 2.95 5900.00 08/06/99 5900.00<br />

1998 07/20/98 12.47 08/06/98 13.25 0.78 1560.00 08/06/98 1560.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.67 1338.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.67 1338.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 07/19 - Exit on approximately 08/12<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 07/19/07 -1.89 08/10/07 -1.21 0.68 1360.00 08/07/07 1500.00<br />

2006 07/19/06 1.05 08/11/06 1.58 0.54 1080.00 07/31/06 1460.00<br />

2005 07/19/05 -0.10 08/12/05 0.42 0.52 1040.00 08/03/05 1860.00<br />

2004 07/19/04 -0.01 08/12/04 0.27 0.30 600.00 08/02/04 1800.00 07/22/04 -460.00<br />

2003 07/21/03 0.04 08/12/03 0.15 0.10 200.00 08/08/03 200.00 07/30/03 -600.00<br />

2002 07/19/02 1.51 08/12/02 1.68 0.18 360.00 07/23/02 900.00 08/01/02 -560.00<br />

2001 07/19/01 -1.21 08/10/01 -0.59 0.62 1240.00 08/01/01 1340.00 08/08/01 -360.00<br />

2000 07/19/00 0.67 08/11/00 0.74 0.06 120.00 08/10/00 960.00 07/26/00 -260.00<br />

1999 07/19/99 -0.36 08/12/99 1.42 1.80 3600.00 08/11/99 3660.00 07/20/99 -200.00<br />

1998 07/20/98 -1.01 08/12/98 -1.58 -0.57 -1140.00 07/28/98 420.00 08/12/98 -1140.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.53 1066.67 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.57 -1140.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.42 846.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 59<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 07/20 - Exit on approximately 08/03<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 07/20/07 -1.30 08/03/07 -0.58 0.71 1420.00 08/03/07 1420.00<br />

2006 07/20/06 0.69 08/03/06 1.00 0.30 600.00 07/31/06 1160.00 07/21/06 -80.00<br />

2005 07/20/05 0.21 08/03/05 0.90 0.68 1360.00 08/03/05 1360.00<br />

2004 07/20/04 0.86 08/03/04 1.63 0.77 1540.00 08/02/04 1760.00<br />

2003 07/21/03 0.27 08/01/03 0.63 0.36 720.00 08/01/03 720.00<br />

2002 07/22/02 1.21 08/02/02 1.58 0.37 740.00 07/31/02 880.00 07/24/02 -720.00<br />

2001 07/20/01 -0.19 08/03/01 -0.05 0.15 300.00 07/25/01 560.00<br />

2000 07/20/00 0.61 08/03/00 0.33 -0.27 -540.00 07/25/00 400.00 07/31/00 -1120.00<br />

1999 07/20/99 0.05 08/03/99 0.67 0.63 1260.00 08/03/99 1260.00 07/21/99 -40.00<br />

1998 07/20/98 -0.28 08/03/98 -0.01 0.26 520.00 07/27/98 580.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.47 940.00 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.27 -540.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.40 792.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 08/10 - Exit on approximately 08/18<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 08/10/07 17.68 08/17/07 17.41 0.27 540.00 08/16/07 1080.00<br />

2006 08/10/06 12.71 08/18/06 12.70 0.01 20.00 08/16/06 160.00 08/17/06 -120.00<br />

2005 08/10/05 13.65 08/18/05 13.32 0.33 660.00 08/18/05 660.00 08/11/05 -40.00<br />

2004 08/10/04 12.97 08/18/04 12.85 0.12 240.00 08/17/04 240.00<br />

2003 08/11/03 12.93 08/18/03 12.28 0.65 1300.00 08/18/03 1300.00 08/15/03 -140.00<br />

2002 08/12/02 11.60 08/16/02 10.85 0.75 1500.00 08/16/02 1500.00<br />

2001 08/10/01 13.80 08/17/01 13.53 0.27 540.00 08/17/01 540.00 08/15/01 -380.00<br />

2000 08/10/00 11.00 08/18/00 10.65 0.35 700.00 08/18/00 700.00 08/15/00 -100.00<br />

1999 08/10/99 16.76 08/18/99 15.40 1.36 2720.00 08/18/99 2720.00 08/11/99 -60.00<br />

1998 08/10/98 12.75 08/18/98 12.63 0.12 240.00 08/12/98 600.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.42 846.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.42 846.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

60 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 08/10 - Exit on approximately 08/20<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 08/10/07 2.14 08/20/07 2.53 0.39 780.00 08/16/07 860.00<br />

2006 08/10/06 -1.77 08/18/06 -1.64 0.12 240.00 08/16/06 320.00<br />

2005 08/10/05 -0.20 08/19/05 0.17 0.38 760.00 08/18/05 960.00<br />

2004 08/10/04 1.00 08/20/04 1.49 0.48 960.00 08/20/04 960.00<br />

2003 08/11/03 0.91 08/20/03 1.10 0.19 380.00 08/18/03 1120.00 08/15/03 -180.00<br />

2002 08/12/02 -2.09 08/20/02 -1.34 0.75 1500.00 08/19/02 1600.00<br />

2001 08/10/01 1.69 08/20/01 1.71 0.01 20.00 08/17/01 640.00 08/15/01 -380.00<br />

2000 08/10/00 -0.96 08/18/00 -0.63 0.33 660.00 08/17/00 680.00<br />

1999 08/10/99 -0.58 08/20/99 1.88 2.48 4960.00 08/20/99 4960.00 08/11/99 -100.00<br />

1998 08/10/98 2.55 08/20/98 2.78 0.23 460.00 08/12/98 600.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.54 1072.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.54 1072.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 08/10 - Exit on approximately 08/29<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—December<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 08/10/07 17.24 08/29/07 17.72 -0.48 -960.00 08/20/07 660.00 08/29/07 -960.00<br />

2006 08/10/06 12.73 08/29/06 12.58 0.15 300.00 08/22/06 300.00 08/11/06 -140.00<br />

2005 08/10/05 13.47 08/29/05 13.18 0.29 580.00 08/24/05 780.00 08/11/05 -60.00<br />

2004 08/10/04 12.25 08/27/04 11.98 0.27 540.00 08/26/04 540.00 08/12/04 -100.00<br />

2003 08/11/03 12.45 08/29/03 11.93 0.52 1040.00 08/18/03 1100.00 08/12/03 -40.00<br />

2002 08/12/02 11.68 08/29/02 10.77 0.91 1820.00 08/29/02 1820.00<br />

2001 08/10/01 13.40 08/29/01 12.67 0.73 1460.00 08/29/01 1460.00<br />

2000 08/10/00 10.95 08/29/00 10.77 0.18 360.00 08/21/00 780.00<br />

1999 08/10/99 15.90 08/27/99 12.61 3.29 6580.00 08/26/99 6600.00<br />

1998 08/10/98 12.70 08/28/98 12.60 0.10 200.00 08/13/98 480.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.72 1431.11 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.48 -960.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.60 1192.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 61<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 08/10 - Exit on approximately 10/09<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 08/10/07 17.68 10/09/07 17.04 0.64 1280.00 10/08/07 1720.00 09/04/07 -2980.00<br />

2006 08/10/06 12.71 10/09/06 12.32 0.39 780.00 09/11/06 920.00 08/25/06 -320.00<br />

2005 08/10/05 13.65 10/07/05 13.48 0.17 340.00 08/24/05 840.00 09/09/05 -320.00<br />

2004 08/10/04 12.97 10/08/04 12.57 0.40 800.00 08/27/04 1620.00 09/29/04 -640.00<br />

2003 08/11/03 12.93 10/09/03 12.78 0.15 300.00 08/18/03 1300.00 08/15/03 -140.00<br />

2002 08/12/02 11.60 10/09/02 10.40 1.20 2400.00 09/06/02 2940.00<br />

2001 08/10/01 13.80 10/09/01 11.56 2.24 4480.00 10/09/01 4480.00 09/19/01 -1500.00<br />

2000 08/10/00 11.00 10/09/00 9.40 1.60 3200.00 10/09/00 3200.00 08/15/00 -100.00<br />

1999 08/10/99 16.76 10/08/99 11.31 5.45 10900.00 10/08/99 10900.00 08/11/99 -60.00<br />

1998 08/10/98 12.75 10/09/98 15.54 -2.79 -5580.00 08/12/98 600.00 10/08/98 -5640.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 1.36 2720.00 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -2.79 -5580.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.95 1890.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 08/31 - Exit on approximately 09/11<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—December<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 08/31/07 17.90 09/11/07 18.32 0.42 840.00 09/11/07 840.00 09/10/07 -420.00<br />

2006 08/31/06 12.65 09/11/06 12.33 -0.32 -640.00 09/11/06 -640.00<br />

2005 08/31/05 13.24 09/09/05 13.51 0.27 540.00 09/09/05 540.00<br />

2004 08/31/04 12.05 09/10/04 12.15 0.10 200.00 09/08/04 380.00<br />

2003 09/02/03 11.89 09/11/03 12.20 0.31 620.00 09/11/03 620.00<br />

2002 09/03/02 10.51 09/11/02 10.40 -0.11 -220.00 09/06/02 -820.00<br />

2001 08/31/01 12.75 09/10/01 13.25 0.50 1000.00 09/07/01 1080.00<br />

2000 08/31/00 10.55 09/11/00 10.69 0.14 280.00 09/08/00 400.00<br />

1999 08/31/99 12.60 09/10/99 12.68 0.08 160.00 09/08/99 300.00 09/02/99 -1000.00<br />

1998 08/31/98 12.69 09/11/98 13.36 0.67 1340.00 09/10/98 1560.00 09/01/98 -280.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.31 622.50 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.21 -430.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.21 412.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

62 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 09/15 - Exit on approximately 10/09<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 09/17/07 0.75 10/09/07 1.28 0.53 1060.00 10/08/07 1100.00 09/18/07 -220.00<br />

2006 09/15/06 -0.10 10/09/06 -0.03 0.07 140.00 09/22/06 400.00<br />

2005 09/15/05 0.65 10/07/05 0.84 0.20 400.00 10/05/05 420.00<br />

2004 09/15/04 0.95 10/08/04 1.28 0.34 680.00 10/07/04 1000.00 09/17/04 -200.00<br />

2003 09/15/03 1.08 10/09/03 1.41 0.34 680.00 09/30/03 860.00 09/18/03 -140.00<br />

2002 09/16/02 -0.78 10/09/02 0.25 1.04 2080.00 10/08/02 2140.00<br />

2001 09/17/01 0.80 10/09/01 2.19 1.40 2800.00 10/09/01 2800.00<br />

2000 09/15/00 0.40 10/09/00 0.59 0.20 400.00 09/28/00 500.00 10/04/00 -160.00<br />

1999 09/15/99 0.59 10/08/99 0.78 0.19 380.00 10/08/99 380.00 09/29/99 -740.00<br />

1998 09/15/98 1.37 10/09/98 0.49 -0.88 -1760.00 10/08/98 -1900.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.48 957.78 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.88 -1760.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.34 686.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 09/19 - Exit on approximately 10/09<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—November<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 09/19/07 18.30 10/09/07 17.04 1.26 2520.00 10/08/07 2960.00<br />

2006 09/19/06 12.40 10/09/06 12.32 0.08 160.00 10/09/06 160.00 09/22/06 -400.00<br />

2005 09/19/05 13.70 10/07/05 13.48 0.22 440.00 10/06/05 520.00 09/20/05 -140.00<br />

2004 09/20/04 12.67 10/08/04 12.57 0.10 200.00 10/07/04 700.00 09/29/04 -1240.00<br />

2003 09/19/03 12.85 10/09/03 12.78 0.07 140.00 09/25/03 700.00 10/08/03 -200.00<br />

2002 09/19/02 10.65 10/09/02 10.40 0.25 500.00 09/30/02 720.00 09/20/02 -40.00<br />

2001 09/19/01 14.55 10/09/01 11.56 2.99 5980.00 10/09/01 5980.00<br />

2000 09/19/00 10.30 10/09/00 9.40 0.90 1800.00 10/09/00 1800.00<br />

1999 09/20/99 12.80 10/08/99 11.31 1.49 2980.00 10/08/99 2980.00 09/22/99 -100.00<br />

1998 09/21/98 14.65 10/09/98 15.54 -0.89 -1780.00 10/02/98 200.00 10/08/98 -1840.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.82 1635.56 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.89 -1780.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.65 1294.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 63<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 09/19 - Exit on approximately 11/19<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2008 09/19/07 -1.44 11/19/07 -0.90 0.55 1100.00 11/16/07 1540.00 11/05/07 -1580.00<br />

2007 09/19/06 0.00 11/17/06 0.91 0.92 1840.00 11/10/06 2540.00 09/29/06 -220.00<br />

2006 09/19/05 -0.86 11/18/05 -0.68 0.18 360.00 11/03/05 840.00 09/20/05 -100.00<br />

2005 09/20/04 -0.63 11/19/04 -0.51 0.11 220.00 10/07/04 420.00 11/03/04 -2400.00<br />

2004 09/19/03 -1.06 11/19/03 -1.83 -0.77 -1540.00 10/03/03 100.00 11/18/03 -1680.00<br />

2003 09/19/02 0.08 11/19/02 0.48 0.40 800.00 11/12/02 1180.00 10/15/02 -540.00<br />

2002 09/19/01 -2.00 11/19/01 0.39 2.39 4780.00 10/24/01 5700.00 09/21/01 -60.00<br />

2001 09/19/00 -0.05 11/17/00 1.16 1.21 2420.00 11/17/00 2420.00<br />

2000 09/20/99 -0.60 11/19/99 0.94 1.55 3100.00 11/05/99 3400.00 09/22/99 -100.00<br />

1999 09/21/98 -1.64 11/19/98 -1.19 0.44 880.00 11/19/98 880.00 11/03/98 -2840.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.86 1722.22 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.77 -1540.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.70 1396.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 10/04 - Exit on approximately 11/29<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 10/04/07 -0.66 11/29/07 0.41 1.07 2140.00 11/27/07 3200.00 11/05/07 -960.00<br />

2006 10/04/06 0.03 11/29/06 0.74 0.71 1420.00 11/14/06 2200.00 10/05/06 -60.00<br />

2005 10/04/05 -0.18 11/29/05 -0.17 0.01 20.00 10/05/05 240.00 11/17/05 -560.00<br />

2004 10/04/04 -0.66 11/29/04 1.97 2.64 5280.00 11/29/04 5280.00 11/01/04 -1040.00<br />

2003 10/06/03 -0.90 11/28/03 -1.93 -1.04 -2080.00 10/14/03 100.00 11/18/03 -2120.00<br />

2002 10/04/02 -0.11 11/27/02 0.16 0.28 560.00 11/21/02 680.00 10/15/02 -260.00<br />

2001 10/04/01 -0.75 11/29/01 0.66 1.41 2820.00 11/29/01 2820.00<br />

2000 10/04/00 0.00 11/29/00 0.78 0.78 1560.00 11/17/00 1700.00<br />

1999 10/04/99 -0.15 11/29/99 0.25 0.40 800.00 11/05/99 1860.00<br />

1998 10/05/98 -1.16 11/27/98 0.01 1.19 2380.00 11/24/98 2380.00 11/03/98 -880.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.94 1886.67 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -1.04 -2080.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.75 1490.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

64 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 10/10 - Exit on approximately 11/15<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—February<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2008 10/10/07 15.73 11/15/07 16.99 1.26 2520.00 11/15/07 2520.00 10/11/07 -20.00<br />

2007 10/10/06 12.28 11/15/06 13.74 1.46 2920.00 11/10/06 3480.00 10/11/06 -160.00<br />

2006 10/10/05 12.51 11/15/05 12.62 0.11 220.00 10/20/05 440.00<br />

2005 10/11/04 11.90 11/15/04 12.85 0.95 1900.00 11/11/04 1900.00<br />

2004 10/10/03 11.27 11/14/03 11.32 0.05 100.00 10/21/03 460.00 10/14/03 -100.00<br />

2003 10/10/02 10.55 11/15/02 10.65 0.10 200.00 11/15/02 200.00 11/04/02 -380.00<br />

2002 10/10/01 11.45 11/15/01 11.80 0.35 700.00 10/29/01 800.00<br />

2001 10/10/00 9.80 11/15/00 9.81 0.01 20.00 10/12/00 600.00 11/06/00 -500.00<br />

2000 10/11/99 11.34 11/15/99 11.40 0.06 120.00 10/14/99 980.00 11/10/99 -120.00<br />

1999 10/12/98 12.70 11/13/98 13.20 0.50 1000.00 11/11/98 1560.00 10/30/98 -300.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.49 970.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.49 970.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 10/16 - Exit on approximately 01/05<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 10/16/06 13.43 01/05/07 14.45 1.02 2040.00 11/10/06 2340.00<br />

2006 10/17/05 13.10 01/05/06 13.20 0.10 200.00 11/23/05 260.00<br />

2005 10/18/04 12.75 01/05/05 13.77 1.02 2040.00 12/28/04 2100.00 10/28/04 -200.00<br />

2004 10/16/03 12.29 01/05/04 12.80 0.51 1020.00 01/05/04 1020.00<br />

2003 10/16/02 12.40 01/03/03 12.76 0.36 720.00 12/03/02 800.00 10/18/02 -200.00<br />

2002 10/16/01 12.60 01/04/02 13.20 0.60 1200.00 12/20/01 1300.00<br />

2001 10/16/00 10.81 01/05/01 11.45 0.64 1280.00 01/05/01 1280.00 10/25/00 -220.00<br />

2000 10/18/99 12.37 01/05/00 12.60 0.23 460.00 12/17/99 460.00 12/15/99 -20.00<br />

1999 10/16/98 12.35 01/05/99 12.40 0.05 100.00 10/20/98 300.00 11/03/98 -200.00<br />

1998 10/16/97 11.63 01/05/98 12.25 0.62 1240.00 01/05/98 1240.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.51 1030.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.51 1030.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 65<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 10/29 - Exit on approximately 11/29<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 10/29/07 -0.95 11/29/07 0.41 1.36 2720.00 11/27/07 3780.00 11/05/07 -380.00<br />

2006 10/30/06 0.37 11/29/06 0.74 0.37 740.00 11/14/06 1520.00 10/31/06 -40.00<br />

2005 10/31/05 -0.25 11/29/05 -0.17 0.08 160.00 11/29/05 160.00 11/17/05 -420.00<br />

2004 10/29/04 -1.04 11/29/04 1.97 3.03 6060.00 11/29/04 6060.00 11/01/04 -260.00<br />

2003 10/29/03 -1.25 11/28/03 -1.93 -0.69 -1380.00 10/30/03 60.00 11/18/03 -1420.00<br />

2002 10/29/02 0.14 11/27/02 0.16 0.03 60.00 11/21/02 180.00 11/04/02 -380.00<br />

2001 10/29/01 0.18 11/29/01 0.66 0.47 940.00 11/29/01 940.00 11/08/01 -140.00<br />

2000 10/30/00 0.38 11/29/00 0.78 0.40 800.00 11/17/00 940.00 11/02/00 -120.00<br />

1999 10/29/99 0.06 11/29/99 0.25 0.19 380.00 11/05/99 1440.00<br />

1998 10/29/98 -1.46 11/27/98 0.01 1.48 2960.00 11/24/98 2960.00 11/03/98 -300.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.82 1646.67 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.69 -1380.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.67 1344.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 11/05 - Exit on approximately 11/29<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—December<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 11/05/07 17.58 11/29/07 19.65 2.07 4140.00 11/27/07 5220.00<br />

2006 11/06/06 13.04 11/29/06 13.59 0.55 1100.00 11/13/06 1740.00<br />

2005 11/07/05 13.14 11/29/05 13.17 0.03 60.00 11/29/05 60.00 11/17/05 -520.00<br />

2004 11/05/04 13.60 11/29/04 16.95 3.35 6700.00 11/29/04 6700.00<br />

2003 11/05/03 11.46 11/28/03 11.55 0.09 180.00 11/06/03 480.00 11/18/03 -20.00<br />

2002 11/05/02 9.70 11/29/02 9.97 0.27 540.00 11/21/02 660.00<br />

2001 11/05/01 11.33 11/29/01 12.00 0.67 1340.00 11/23/01 1340.00 11/08/01 -20.00<br />

2000 11/06/00 9.05 11/29/00 9.36 0.31 620.00 11/17/00 1140.00<br />

1999 11/05/99 11.28 11/29/99 10.35 -0.93 -1860.00 11/22/99 -1860.00<br />

1998 11/05/98 15.53 11/27/98 16.69 1.16 2320.00 11/20/98 2340.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.94 1888.89 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.93 -1860.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.76 1514.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

66 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 11/08 - Exit on approximately 12/30<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2006 11/08/06 -0.17 12/29/06 0.14 0.32 640.00 12/04/06 1060.00 11/09/06 -180.00<br />

2005 11/08/05 0.40 12/30/05 0.45 0.06 120.00 12/14/05 1000.00 11/09/05 -100.00<br />

2004 11/08/04 1.50 12/30/04 2.33 0.84 1680.00 12/13/04 4420.00<br />

2003 11/10/03 0.33 12/30/03 0.41 0.08 160.00 12/24/03 460.00 12/02/03 -460.00<br />

2002 11/08/02 -0.78 12/30/02 -0.70 0.08 160.00 12/17/02 420.00 12/03/02 -220.00<br />

2001 11/08/01 -0.42 12/28/01 0.31 0.74 1480.00 12/28/01 1480.00<br />

2000 11/08/00 -0.49 12/29/00 -0.43 0.05 100.00 11/15/00 500.00 12/19/00 -300.00<br />

1999 11/08/99 -0.30 12/30/99 0.75 1.05 2100.00 12/30/99 2100.00 12/10/99 -1880.00<br />

1998 11/09/98 2.84 12/30/98 3.48 0.63 1260.00 12/15/98 1900.00 12/02/98 -1680.00<br />

1997 11/10/97 0.26 12/22/97 0.98 0.71 1420.00 12/19/97 1460.00<br />

Percentage Correct 100<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.46 912.00 Winners 10<br />

Average Loss on Trades Losers 0<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.46 912.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 11/28 - Exit on approximately 12/16<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—January<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2008 11/28/07 18.38 12/14/07 18.17 0.21 420.00 11/29/07 640.00 12/03/07 -740.00<br />

2007 11/28/06 13.53 12/15/06 13.15 0.38 760.00 12/04/06 1140.00<br />

2006 11/28/05 12.80 12/16/05 13.15 -0.35 -700.00 11/30/05 40.00 12/15/05 -760.00<br />

2005 11/29/04 15.07 12/16/04 13.50 1.57 3140.00 12/13/04 3840.00<br />

2004 11/28/03 11.67 12/16/03 11.62 0.05 100.00 12/01/03 340.00 12/04/03 -180.00<br />

2003 11/29/02 10.42 12/16/02 10.08 0.34 680.00 12/11/02 760.00 12/03/02 -460.00<br />

2002 11/28/01 12.02 12/14/01 11.48 0.54 1080.00 12/11/01 1540.00 11/29/01 -60.00<br />

2001 11/28/00 9.80 12/15/00 9.75 0.05 100.00 12/07/00 320.00<br />

2000 11/29/99 10.89 12/16/99 10.38 0.51 1020.00 12/16/99 1020.00 12/09/99 -260.00<br />

1999 11/30/98 16.17 12/16/98 15.42 0.75 1500.00 12/16/98 1500.00 12/10/98 -520.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.49 977.78 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.35 -700.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.40 810.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 67<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

SELL<br />

DATE<br />

Sell on approximately 11/28 - Exit on approximately 12/24<br />

SELL<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—February<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2008 11/28/07 17.35 12/24/07 17.35 0.00 0.00 12/18/07 780.00 12/03/07 -760.00<br />

2007 11/28/06 13.48 12/22/06 13.17 0.31 620.00 12/04/06 960.00<br />

2006 11/28/05 12.55 12/23/05 12.82 -0.27 -540.00 12/01/05 140.00 12/19/05 -820.00<br />

2005 11/29/04 14.00 12/23/04 13.70 0.30 600.00 12/13/04 2620.00 11/30/04 -120.00<br />

2004 11/28/03 11.43 12/24/03 11.23 0.20 400.00 12/24/03 400.00 12/19/03 -420.00<br />

2003 11/29/02 10.70 12/23/02 10.50 0.20 400.00 12/17/02 740.00 12/03/02 -380.00<br />

2002 11/28/01 12.06 12/24/01 11.85 0.21 420.00 12/11/01 1520.00 11/29/01 -80.00<br />

2001 11/28/00 9.82 12/22/00 9.81 0.01 20.00 12/07/00 540.00 12/19/00 -80.00<br />

2000 11/29/99 10.85 12/23/99 10.50 0.35 700.00 12/23/99 700.00 12/10/99 -660.00<br />

1999 11/30/98 14.35 12/24/98 13.55 0.80 1600.00 12/15/98 1900.00 12/02/98 -1440.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.30 595.00 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.13 -270.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.21 422.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

ENTRY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) / Sell Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

Enter on approximately 12/03 - Exit on approximately 12/27<br />

ENTRY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2008 12/03/07 -0.75 12/27/07 -0.84 -0.09 -180.00 12/18/07 600.00 12/26/07 -200.00<br />

2007 12/04/06 0.57 12/27/06 0.69 0.13 260.00 12/26/06 280.00 12/06/06 -60.00<br />

2006 12/05/05 0.08 12/27/05 0.06 -0.03 -60.00 12/13/05 140.00 12/19/05 -300.00<br />

2005 12/03/04 -0.32 12/27/04 0.16 0.49 980.00 12/20/04 1280.00<br />

2004 12/03/03 0.56 12/24/03 0.67 0.12 240.00 12/11/03 260.00 12/04/03 -60.00<br />

2003 12/03/02 0.94 12/27/02 1.19 0.25 500.00 12/17/02 960.00<br />

2002 12/03/01 0.33 12/27/01 0.79 0.47 940.00 12/11/01 1040.00<br />

2001 12/04/00 0.63 12/27/00 0.65 0.02 40.00 12/07/00 40.00 12/19/00 -220.00<br />

2000 12/03/99 0.59 12/27/99 1.05 0.45 900.00 12/15/99 1200.00<br />

1999 12/03/98 -1.59 12/24/98 -0.73 0.87 1740.00 12/22/98 1920.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.35 700.00 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.06 -120.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.27 536.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

68 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 12/15 - Exit on approximately 01/05<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—July<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 12/15/06 14.31 01/05/07 14.45 0.14 280.00 12/29/06 280.00 12/19/06 -60.00<br />

2006 12/15/05 13.18 01/05/06 13.20 0.02 40.00 01/05/06 40.00 12/19/05 -80.00<br />

2005 12/15/04 12.93 01/05/05 13.77 0.84 1680.00 12/28/04 1740.00<br />

2004 12/15/03 12.53 01/05/04 12.80 0.27 540.00 01/05/04 540.00<br />

2003 12/16/02 12.76 01/03/03 12.76 0.00 0.00 12/19/02 -380.00<br />

2002 12/17/01 13.15 01/04/02 13.20 0.05 100.00 12/20/01 200.00 12/31/01 -180.00<br />

2001 12/15/00 11.00 01/05/01 11.45 0.45 900.00 01/05/01 900.00<br />

2000 12/15/99 12.36 01/05/00 12.60 0.24 480.00 12/17/99 480.00<br />

1999 12/15/98 12.36 01/05/99 12.40 0.04 80.00 12/31/98 100.00 12/16/98 -20.00<br />

1998 12/15/97 12.15 01/05/98 12.25 0.10 200.00 01/05/98 200.00 12/22/97 -20.00<br />

Percentage Correct 90<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.24 477.78 Winners 9<br />

Average Loss on Trades 0.00 0.00 Losers 1<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.21 430.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

CONT<br />

YEAR<br />

BUY<br />

DATE<br />

Buy on approximately 12/30 - Exit on approximately 01/17<br />

BUY<br />

PRICE<br />

EXIT<br />

DATE<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)—April<br />

EXIT<br />

PRICE PROFIT<br />

PROFIT<br />

AMOUNT<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

BEST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

Contract Size: 200,000 lbs<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

DATE<br />

WORST<br />

EQUITY<br />

AMOUNT<br />

2007 01/03/07 13.56 01/17/07 14.05 0.49 980.00 01/17/07 980.00<br />

2006 12/30/05 12.65 01/17/06 12.75 0.10 200.00 01/05/06 600.00<br />

2005 12/30/04 13.60 01/14/05 15.00 1.40 2800.00 01/14/05 2800.00<br />

2004 12/30/03 11.65 01/16/04 11.66 0.01 20.00 01/06/04 180.00 01/13/04 -120.00<br />

2003 12/30/02 11.24 01/17/03 10.60 -0.64 -1280.00 01/16/03 -1400.00<br />

2002 12/31/01 11.65 01/17/02 12.05 0.40 800.00 01/17/02 800.00<br />

2001 01/02/01 10.02 01/17/01 10.30 0.28 560.00 01/09/01 1100.00<br />

2000 12/30/99 10.75 01/14/00 10.81 0.06 120.00 01/05/00 500.00 01/11/00 -80.00<br />

1999 12/30/98 12.43 01/15/99 12.33 -0.10 -200.00 01/04/99 20.00 01/12/99 -200.00<br />

1998 12/30/97 11.65 01/16/98 12.04 0.39 780.00 01/14/98 800.00<br />

Percentage Correct 80<br />

Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.39 782.50 Winners 8<br />

Average Loss on Trades -0.37 -740.00 Losers 2<br />

Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.24 478.00 Total trades 10<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE<br />

PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED<br />

BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,<br />

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE<br />

ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE<br />

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF<br />

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 69<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Strategy Tables


How to Interpret Volatility & Bull/Bear Charts<br />

How to Interpret Volatility Charts<br />

oth futures and options traders can make use of patterns both in price direction and in volatility, a standardized<br />

Bmeasure of risk. Also an important component of option pricing, volatility can make premiums cheap or<br />

expensive. Just as insurance companies use actuarial tables, option traders wanting to know the risk of an “event”<br />

happening can determine the “normal” by referring to a chart of average historical volatility, a diagram plotting<br />

the average, or “normal,” volatility throughout the life of the contract.<br />

By way of explanation, the center line in these charts represents a multi-year average of volatility in futures. At<br />

any given point on this line, volatility has been above half the time, below the other half. The top line is +1 standard<br />

deviation (STD), the bottom line at -1 STD. The area between these two may be considered a “probability” range,<br />

wherein volatility has remained 68% of the time. During the remaining 32% of the time, volatility was outside that<br />

range (16% above +1 STD, 16% below -1 STD). By comparing current implied volatility to average historical<br />

volatility, option traders may better determine whether option premiums are cheap or expensive historically. !<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

How to Interpret Bull/Bear Charts<br />

ach bull/bear chart consists of one composite pattern for bull years (solid line) and one for bear years (dotted line),<br />

Ewith component contract years for each indicated in the box (“99” denotes 1999) for reference. Rather than<br />

chronologically, the order of contract years listed is determined by the degree of inclination/declination of the line best<br />

describing its scatterplot. In other words, the most bullish (as defined by comparing slopes) of the bull years is listed<br />

first, but the most bearish of the bear years is listed last.<br />

That neither bull nor bear pattern reaches either 0 or 100 reflects a conscious decision made to better reproduce<br />

the vigor of dynamic trends. When MRCI constructs a multi-year pattern, averaged raw percentage values for each<br />

calendar day typically lie between 35 and 65—and are then normalized to between 0 and 100 to reflect greatest<br />

tendency. That final step is not taken when constructing these bull/bear patterns, and thus each better represents the<br />

extent of the typical bull or bear move. !<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull years: 99 07 05<br />

Bear years: 00 01 03<br />

January <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

70 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


Dairy Industry and Futures Charts<br />

Page<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Historical Volatility Charts<br />

Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .72<br />

May, Jun, Jul, Aug . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .73<br />

Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .74<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Bull/Bear Charts<br />

Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .75<br />

May, Jun, Jul, Aug . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .76<br />

Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .77<br />

Futures Charts<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 71


Historical Volatility Charts<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb<br />

Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar<br />

Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr<br />

72 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%


+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May<br />

Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 73<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

Historical Volatility Charts


Historical Volatility Charts<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

+1 STD<br />

Above<br />

Central<br />

Tendency<br />

-1 STD<br />

Below<br />

Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep<br />

Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov<br />

Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Ave Volatility(98-07)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

74 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%


Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull years: 99 07 05<br />

Bear years: 00 01 03<br />

January <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

Bull years: 07 05<br />

Bear years: 06 01 00 03<br />

February <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb<br />

Bull years: 07 05 04<br />

Bear years: 06 00 03<br />

March <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar<br />

Bull years: 07 05 04 01<br />

Bear years: 02 99 00 06 03<br />

April <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 75<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Bull/Bear Charts


Bull/Bear Charts<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull years: 07 04 05 01<br />

Bear years: 98 02 99 00 03 06<br />

May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1998-2007)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May<br />

Bull years: 07 04 01 05<br />

Bear years: 02 99 00 03 06<br />

June <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

Bull years: 01 07 04 05<br />

Bear years: 02 00 03 06<br />

July <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1999-2007)<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

Bull years: 01 07 98 99 04 05<br />

Bear years: 00 02 06<br />

August <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1998-2007)<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

76 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bear<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull<br />

Pattern<br />

Bull years: 01 07 98 99 04 05<br />

Bear years: 00 06 02<br />

September <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1998-2007)<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep<br />

Bull years: 01 98 07 05 03 97<br />

Bear years: 06 00 02<br />

October <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1997-2007)<br />

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

Bull years: 98 07 97 03 05 04<br />

Bear years: 00 02<br />

November <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1997-2007)<br />

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov<br />

Bull years: 98 07 97 06 04 05<br />

Bear years: 00 02<br />

December <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) Bull/Bear Patterns(1997-2007)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 77<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Bull/Bear Charts


Personal Notes<br />

78 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


Historical Daily Futures Charts (<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>)<br />

Page<br />

January<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .80<br />

February<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .81<br />

March<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82<br />

April<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .83<br />

May<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .84<br />

June<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85<br />

July<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .86<br />

August<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87<br />

September<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .88<br />

October<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .89<br />

November<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .90<br />

December<br />

2000 - 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .91<br />

Daily Charts<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 79


Daily Charts: January<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

12.20<br />

12.10<br />

12.00<br />

11.90<br />

11.80<br />

11.70<br />

11.60<br />

11.50<br />

11.40<br />

11.30<br />

11.20<br />

11.10<br />

11.00<br />

13.70<br />

13.60<br />

13.50<br />

13.40<br />

13.30<br />

13.20<br />

13.10<br />

13.00<br />

12.90<br />

12.80<br />

12.70<br />

12.60<br />

12.50<br />

Jan00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

F M A M J J A S O N D J<br />

Jan02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

F M A M J J A S O N D J<br />

Jan04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

F M A M J J A S O N D J<br />

Jan06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

F M A M J J A S O N D J<br />

Jan01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

F M A M J J A S O N D J<br />

Jan03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

F M A M J J A S O N D J<br />

Jan05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

F M A M J J A S O N D J<br />

Jan07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

F M A M J J A S O N D J<br />

80 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

9.80<br />

9.60<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00


13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

11.90<br />

11.80<br />

11.70<br />

11.60<br />

11.50<br />

11.40<br />

11.30<br />

11.20<br />

11.10<br />

11.00<br />

10.90<br />

13.30<br />

13.20<br />

13.10<br />

13.00<br />

12.90<br />

12.80<br />

12.70<br />

12.60<br />

12.50<br />

12.40<br />

12.30<br />

12.20<br />

12.10<br />

12.00<br />

Feb00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F<br />

Feb02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F<br />

Feb04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F<br />

Feb06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F<br />

Feb01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F<br />

Feb03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F<br />

Feb05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F<br />

Feb07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M A M J J A S O N D J F<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 81<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

9.80<br />

9.60<br />

9.40<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

9.80<br />

9.60<br />

9.40<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

Daily Charts: February


Daily Charts: March<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

Mar00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A M J J A S O N D J F M<br />

Mar02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A M J J A S O N D J F M<br />

Mar04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A M J J A S O N D J F M<br />

Mar06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A M J J A S O N D J F M<br />

Mar01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A M J J A S O N D J F M<br />

Mar03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A M J J A S O N D J F M<br />

Mar05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A M J J A S O N D J F M<br />

Mar07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A M J J A S O N D J F M<br />

82 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

9.80<br />

9.60<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

8.50<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50


13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.00<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

Apr00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

Apr02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

Apr04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

Apr06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

Apr01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

Apr03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

Apr05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

Apr07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

M J J A S O N D J F M A<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 83<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

9.80<br />

9.60<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

9.80<br />

9.60<br />

9.40<br />

9.20<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

Daily Charts: April


Daily Charts: May<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

May00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J J A S O N D J F M A M<br />

May02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J J A S O N D J F M A M<br />

May04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J J A S O N D J F M A M<br />

May06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J J A S O N D J F M A M<br />

May01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J J A S O N D J F M A M<br />

May03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J J A S O N D J F M A M<br />

May05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J J A S O N D J F M A M<br />

May07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J J A S O N D J F M A M<br />

84 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

9.80<br />

9.60<br />

9.40<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

18.00<br />

17.50<br />

17.00<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00


13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.00<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

Jun00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J A S O N D J F M A M J<br />

Jun02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J A S O N D J F M A M J<br />

Jun04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J A S O N D J F M A M J<br />

Jun06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J A S O N D J F M A M J<br />

Jun01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J A S O N D J F M A M J<br />

Jun03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J A S O N D J F M A M J<br />

Jun05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J A S O N D J F M A M J<br />

Jun07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J A S O N D J F M A M J<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 85<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

10.00<br />

9.80<br />

9.60<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

Daily Charts: June


Daily Charts: July<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.50<br />

17.00<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

Jul00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A S O N D J F M A M J J<br />

Jul02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A S O N D J F M A M J J<br />

Jul04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A S O N D J F M A M J J<br />

Jul06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A S O N D J F M A M J J<br />

Jul01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A S O N D J F M A M J J<br />

Jul03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A S O N D J F M A M J J<br />

Jul05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A S O N D J F M A M J J<br />

Jul07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

A S O N D J F M A M J J<br />

86 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

10.60<br />

10.40<br />

10.20<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

23.00<br />

22.00<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00


13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

17.50<br />

17.00<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

13.60<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

Aug00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

S O N D J F M A M J J A<br />

Aug02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

S O N D J F M A M J J A<br />

Aug04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

S O N D J F M A M J J A<br />

Aug06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

S O N D J F M A M J J A<br />

Aug01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

S O N D J F M A M J J A<br />

Aug03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

S O N D J F M A M J J A<br />

Aug05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

S O N D J F M A M J J A<br />

Aug07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

S O N D J F M A M J J A<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 87<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

15.40<br />

15.20<br />

15.00<br />

14.80<br />

14.60<br />

14.40<br />

14.20<br />

14.00<br />

13.80<br />

13.60<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

22.00<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

Daily Charts: August


Daily Charts: September<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

17.00<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.80<br />

13.60<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

Sep00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

O N D J F M A M J J A S<br />

Sep02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

O N D J F M A M J J A S<br />

Sep04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

O N D J F M A M J J A S<br />

Sep06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

O N D J F M A M J J A S<br />

Sep01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

O N D J F M A M J J A S<br />

Sep03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

O N D J F M A M J J A S<br />

Sep05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

O N D J F M A M J J A S<br />

Sep07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

O N D J F M A M J J A S<br />

88 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

15.60<br />

15.40<br />

15.20<br />

15.00<br />

14.80<br />

14.60<br />

14.40<br />

14.20<br />

14.00<br />

13.80<br />

13.60<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

22.00<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00


13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

Oct00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

N D J F M A M J J A S O<br />

Oct02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

N D J F M A M J J A S O<br />

Oct04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

N D J F M A M J J A S O<br />

Oct06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

N D J F M A M J J A S O<br />

Oct01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

N D J F M A M J J A S O<br />

Oct03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

N D J F M A M J J A S O<br />

Oct05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

N D J F M A M J J A S O<br />

Oct07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

N D J F M A M J J A S O<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 89<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

15.20<br />

15.00<br />

14.80<br />

14.60<br />

14.40<br />

14.20<br />

14.00<br />

13.80<br />

13.60<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

Daily Charts: October


Daily Charts: November<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

8.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

Nov00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

D J F M A M J J A S O N<br />

Nov02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

D J F M A M J J A S O N<br />

Nov04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

D J F M A M J J A S O N<br />

Nov06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

D J F M A M J J A S O N<br />

Nov01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

D J F M A M J J A S O N<br />

Nov03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

D J F M A M J J A S O N<br />

Nov05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

D J F M A M J J A S O N<br />

Nov07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

D J F M A M J J A S O N<br />

90 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

13.60<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

14.20<br />

14.00<br />

13.80<br />

13.60<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

19.50<br />

19.00<br />

18.50<br />

18.00<br />

17.50<br />

17.00<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50


13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

9.00<br />

8.50<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

10.50<br />

10.00<br />

9.50<br />

18.00<br />

17.50<br />

17.00<br />

16.50<br />

16.00<br />

15.50<br />

15.00<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

14.50<br />

14.00<br />

13.50<br />

13.00<br />

12.50<br />

12.00<br />

11.50<br />

11.00<br />

Dec00 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Dec02 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Dec04 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Dec06 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Dec01 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Dec03 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Dec05 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Dec07 <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 91<br />

13.60<br />

13.40<br />

13.20<br />

13.00<br />

12.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

12.60<br />

12.40<br />

12.20<br />

12.00<br />

11.80<br />

11.60<br />

11.40<br />

11.20<br />

11.00<br />

10.80<br />

13.70<br />

13.60<br />

13.50<br />

13.40<br />

13.30<br />

13.20<br />

13.10<br />

13.00<br />

12.90<br />

12.80<br />

12.70<br />

12.60<br />

12.50<br />

12.40<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

Daily Charts: December


Personal Notes<br />

92 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


Page<br />

Block Cheese/<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Futures Basis Seasonal Averages<br />

Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .94<br />

May, Jun, Jul, Aug . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .96<br />

Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .98<br />

Block Cheese/<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> Futures Basis Weekly Charts<br />

Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95<br />

May, Jun, Jul, Aug . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .97<br />

Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .99<br />

Cash Seasonal Patterns<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100<br />

Butter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100<br />

Block Cheddar Cheese . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100<br />

Barrel Cheddar Cheese . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100<br />

Weekly Cash Charts<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101<br />

Butter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101<br />

Block Cheddar Cheese . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101<br />

Barrel Cheddar Cheese . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101<br />

Monthly Cash Charts<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102<br />

Butter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102<br />

Block Cheddar Cheese . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102<br />

Barrel Cheddar Cheese . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102<br />

Basis & Cash Charts<br />

Basis & Cash<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 93


Cheese/<strong>Milk</strong> Basis Averages<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr<br />

94 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00


12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

12.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Jan <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Feb <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Mar <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Apr <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 95<br />

Cheese/<strong>Milk</strong> Basis Weekly Charts


Cheese/<strong>Milk</strong> Basis Averages<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Average(97-07)<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

96 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00


10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

7.00<br />

6.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

7.00<br />

6.00<br />

5.00<br />

4.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.00<br />

1.00<br />

0.00<br />

-1.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-3.00<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus May <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Jun <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Jul <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Aug <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 97<br />

Cheese/<strong>Milk</strong> Basis Weekly Charts


Cheese/<strong>Milk</strong> Basis Averages<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

11 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

10 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Average(97-07)<br />

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Average(97-07)<br />

Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 11 Year Average(97-07)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks - Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>) 10 Year Average(98-07)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

98 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

-1.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

-1.00<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50<br />

3.50<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

-0.50


8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0.00<br />

-2.00<br />

-4.00<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Sep <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Oct <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Nov <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks minus Dec <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong>(<strong>CME</strong>)<br />

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 99<br />

Cheese/<strong>Milk</strong> Basis Weekly Charts


Cash Market Seasonal Patterns<br />

15 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

15 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

15 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

15 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

5 Year<br />

Pattern<br />

<strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong> 15 Year Seasonal(1993-2007)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Butter, AA 15 Year Seasonal(1993-2007)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Cheddar Cheese Blocks 15 Year Seasonal(1993-2007)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

Cheddar Cheese Barrels 15 Year Seasonal(1993-2007)<br />

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec<br />

100 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0


22.00<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.00<br />

10.00<br />

9.00<br />

240.00<br />

220.00<br />

200.00<br />

180.00<br />

160.00<br />

140.00<br />

120.00<br />

100.00<br />

80.00<br />

230.00<br />

220.00<br />

210.00<br />

200.00<br />

190.00<br />

180.00<br />

170.00<br />

160.00<br />

150.00<br />

140.00<br />

130.00<br />

120.00<br />

110.00<br />

100.00<br />

90.00<br />

220.00<br />

210.00<br />

200.00<br />

190.00<br />

180.00<br />

170.00<br />

160.00<br />

150.00<br />

140.00<br />

130.00<br />

120.00<br />

110.00<br />

100.00<br />

Weekly <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong><br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Butter, AA<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Blocks<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Weekly Cheddar Cheese Barrels<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 101<br />

Cash Market Weekly Charts


Cash Market Monthly Charts<br />

22.00<br />

21.00<br />

20.00<br />

19.00<br />

18.00<br />

17.00<br />

16.00<br />

15.00<br />

14.00<br />

13.00<br />

12.00<br />

11.00<br />

10.00<br />

9.00<br />

8.00<br />

300.00<br />

280.00<br />

260.00<br />

240.00<br />

220.00<br />

200.00<br />

180.00<br />

160.00<br />

140.00<br />

120.00<br />

100.00<br />

80.00<br />

60.00<br />

230.00<br />

220.00<br />

210.00<br />

200.00<br />

190.00<br />

180.00<br />

170.00<br />

160.00<br />

150.00<br />

140.00<br />

130.00<br />

120.00<br />

110.00<br />

100.00<br />

90.00<br />

220.00<br />

210.00<br />

200.00<br />

190.00<br />

180.00<br />

170.00<br />

160.00<br />

150.00<br />

140.00<br />

130.00<br />

120.00<br />

110.00<br />

100.00<br />

90.00<br />

Monthly <strong>Class</strong> <strong>III</strong> <strong>Milk</strong><br />

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07<br />

Monthly Butter, AA<br />

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07<br />

Monthly Cheddar Cheese Blocks<br />

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07<br />

Monthly Cheddar Cheese Barrels<br />

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07<br />

102 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT


MRCI Staff<br />

President:<br />

Steve Moore<br />

swm@mrci.com<br />

Research Director:<br />

Nick Colley<br />

nac@mrci.com<br />

Editor:<br />

Jerry Toepke<br />

jerry@mrci.com<br />

Operations Manager:<br />

Melissa Moore<br />

melissa@mrci.com<br />

Office Manager<br />

Amy Prince<br />

amy@mrci.com<br />

Sales Representives<br />

Rachel Heinze<br />

rachel@mrci.com<br />

Trading Assistant<br />

Mary Hatfield<br />

mary@mrci.com<br />

All material in this report is<br />

copyrighted, and all rights are reserved<br />

unless specifically stated otherwise.<br />

Material is provided for information<br />

only; no recommendation to buy or sell<br />

futures is made. Opinions expressed are<br />

solely those of the author(s). All information<br />

is derived from sources believed to<br />

be reliable, but MRCI does not guarantee<br />

its accuracy. Any losses resulting from<br />

following information contained herein<br />

are the sole responsibility of the reader.<br />

While representatives of MRCI may have<br />

a position in and/or intend to buy or sell<br />

futures referred to, their positions and<br />

intentions may not necessarily be<br />

consistent with the enclosed material.<br />

When reviewing performance<br />

results, please consider the added<br />

impact of transaction costs and<br />

slippage. Market conditions may<br />

prevent execution of a stop-loss<br />

order at its specified price. Also,<br />

results shown in this report do not<br />

include a deduction for transaction<br />

costs (commissions and fees).<br />

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value to traders even of a non-seasonal persuasion. This section contains over<br />

250 charts displaying 5- and 15-year seasonal patterns for over 40 cash and<br />

futures markets.<br />

Correlation studies - Updated daily, evaluate up to 55 years of history<br />

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behaved most similarly to the current market for both futures and spreads.<br />

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THERE IS A RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING.<br />

MOORE RESEARCH CENTER, INC. 103


Each 60 to 80-page monthly report presents<br />

historical detail on as many as 15 seasonal and 15<br />

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Special Reports are Hardcopy Only SPECIAL HISTORICAL REPORTS Price<br />

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THERE IS RISK OF FINANCIAL LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING.<br />

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104 HISTORICAL DAIRY REPORT<br />

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Futures trading is not suitable for all investors, and involves the risk of loss. Futures are a leveraged investment, and because only a percentage of a contract’s value is required to trade, it is possible to lose more than the<br />

amount of money deposited for a futures position. therefore, traders should only use funds that they can afford to lose without affecting their lifestyles. And only a portion of those funds should be devoted to any one trade<br />

because they cannot expect to profit on every trade.<br />

All references to options refer to options on futures.<br />

the Globe logo, cme ® , chicago mercantile exchange ® , cme Group , Globex ® and cme eoS trader are trademarks of chicago mercantile exchange Inc.<br />

the information within this document has been compiled by cme Group for general purposes only. Although every attempt has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information within this document, cme Group<br />

assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. Additionally, any examples in this document are hypothetical situations, used for explanation purposes only, and should not be considered investment advice or the<br />

results of actual market experience.<br />

All matters pertaining to rules and specifications herein are made subject to and are superseded by official cme, cBot and cme Group rules. current rules should be consulted in all cases concerning contract specifications.<br />

copyright © 2008 cme Group. All rights reserved.


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